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1 Subject: Feddern Financial Consulting Group Newsletter In this issue What's New? Feddern Financial Consulting Group TODAY'S NEWS this website on a regular basis TODAY'S 401-k Asset Allocation Changes. This Can't Last Forever... Can It? KEYS TO THE BEGINNING OF A RECOVERY AAII/LUG's Group Info TODAYS NEWS: check-out this excellent GOLD video ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ "If you don't listen to the media, you're uninformed...

2 If you do listen to the media, you're misinformed." - Mark Twain Three Things Gold Investors Need to Do Now If you're invested in gold, here's some good news: Dennis Gartman, Founder and Publisher of the Gartman Letter, has some advice for you. "Gold is still probably going to head lower," says Gartman. "So, you've got to do something." Here are Gartman's three tips on what gold investors should next: 1.Reduce the size of your position: Gartman says: "You always have to own some gold, but you don't have to own as much as you have. 2.Sell call options against your gold: Gartman says: "That might be a way to mitigate your risk. If you have an account that allows you to trade options, take a look at the gold ETF (such as GLD). I think you have to sell some at-the-money calls to protect yourself on the downside. At least take in a little bit of income. Volatility levels have been rather high in the last several weeks. The price of an option is predicated upon how volatile the underlying instrument has been. Gold has been unbelievably volatile and it has been on the downside. Option premiums are going to be little bit higher. So, sell some options. 3.Sell mining shares against your gold: Gartman says: "Sell the gold ETF short if you can take a short position. Or, if you can't do that, sell short some of the mining stocks. The mining stocks have been horribly underperforming bullion itself. That might be a way to do it.

3 "But the easiest way," says Gartman, "is simply reducing the size of your trade. Gold still looks like it wants to go lower. If you have an exposure, cutting some of that exposure in some manner is the proper course of action to be taken. " For those who think now is a good time to average down their investment, Gartman warns, "Averaging down is the carcinogen of investment. You have no idea how far down can be. When you average down, you're averaging a losing trade. Try to do more of that which is working and less of that which is not." ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ Check this website on a regular basis It's truly eye-opening. We just passed the $16 T-mark AND We're closing in on $ AND Another One on Silver: TODAY'S 401-k Asset Allocation Changes

4 BE AWARE: As of we are Out of all International equity, all fixed income, and have raised all the" PROTECTIVE STOPS" on EVERYTHING ELSE. We also have several Inverse positions. ``````````````````````````````````````````````````````````````````````````````````````````````````````````````````````````````````````````````` Click this link for an incredible website for calculators for your 401-k AND financial planning ````````````````````````````````````````````````````````````````````````````````````````````````````````````````````````` This market is due for a pullback. You know it and I know it. We had a nice turnout for our first LUGS meeting on JUN 8th The next one is The real question is, what are you going to do when it happens? Some investors will let it scare them off... others will stand frozen in fear. And they'll all lose big because of it. So I want to make sure you are 100% prepared when the inevitable pullback happens. Because when it does, you don't have to be like a deer-in-the-headlights! It is possible to get out of the way...and use Inverse Funds for a profit-making opportunity. We will spend some appreciable amount of time reviewing and analyzing them. Then look for the next opportunity as the down-draft will end and new bull market will begin. We at FFCG began our detailed research on downside risk way back in 1999! So we've had some experience in avoiding catastrophes like 2008 and recognize opportunities like 2003 and Its not rocket science, but it did take a fair amount of work to develop our methodology using what's called point and figure analysis which was originally began by Charles DOW when he became the

5 first editor of the Wall Street Journal in Over the years, we have developed a unique and really educational 1½ hour seminar that you may or may not have seen. But since we constantly update the material, we've decided to offer the seminar in my office conference room on the second SAT of each. The next one is JUL 13th. This will be a standing meeting. Please me if you plan to attend and feel free to invite any guests. We ARE limited to 9-10 people in my conference room. Make no mistake, this is not a sales presentation on any product; but simply an emplanation of how we operate our 1 Risk. ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ Feddern Ultimate 401-k (40 No-Load Index Funds) Welcome: Anderson Law, LLC Dynamark Graphics Group No Change Ahead Human Resources 401-k (34 Load-Waived Funds) No Change Socially Responsible Portfolio No Change

6 OneAmerica 401-k (25 Load-Waived Funds) No Change VISIT OUR WEBSITE FOR SPECIFIC RECOMMENDATIONS We have added a new set of indicators provided to me by the folks at NetSignal which are used for the broad markets and give a general indicator of BUY or SELL. The following market signal changes were issued by NetSignal as of: US STOCKS - SELL ( ) FOREIGN STOCKS- SELL ( ) EMERGING MARKETS - SELL ( ) GOLD - SELL ( ) (If your company's 401-k could use our expertise in active asset allocation, let me know. We have a daily monitoring service that is designed to mitigate the downside risk for the participants. We did not lose any money in 2008! We doubt that your current provider - broker, agent, representative, trust officer, etc. has any concept of fiduciary responsibility and how to provide you and the others with meaningful, DAILY advice on what to own, when, AND how much...and most importantly WHEN NOT TO OWN!!!!) See the newest annual report from kiplinger on the best 401-k funds: CLICK HERE

7 This Can't Last Forever... Can It? The U.S. oil industry started to take root in the latter half of the 19th century. But it wasn't until much later that things really started to flourish. Even the famous discovery on Spindletop, which shot 100,000 barrels of crude per day over 150 feet into the air for more than a week, was more of a starting point for domestic production. In the three decades following that moment in history, U.S. oil output grew 1,127%, averaging 2.3 million barrels per day in 1931 (slightly less than current Texas production). Here's a quick primer on what things looked like thirty years after Spindletop... With Herbert Hoover as president, the United States had a GDP of $76.6 billion, or $703.6 billion in 1996 dollars, according to the Census Bureau. Comparatively, U.S. GDP in 2012 was well over $15 trillion (in 2012 dollars). Oil traded around 65 cents per barrel, or around ten bucks in today's dollars. Of course, the population of 124 million people was roughly half of what it is today - and only 24 million vehicles were registered throughout the country. That same year, the Saint Louis Cardinals won the World Series over the Philadelphia Athletics. KEYS TO THE BEGINNING OF A RECOVERY ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ 1. The Real Estate market must stabilize. Ifnot reversing, at least not continuing to fall. Inventory

8 still huge and getting worse! However, one dichotomy is that the best performing sector in 2011 was Real Estate; and the first 1/2 of 2012 RE is also leading the way...go figure. Rental units are highly coveted. 2. Unemployment must stabilize. If not reversing, at least not continuing to rise. Last report was indeed unstable! AND IT CONTINUES TO REMAIN ABOVE 7%! The REAL RATE is much closer to 20% if you really count ALL without a job! Of course there's very little motivation to really search for a job with unemployment payments now running 99 weeks!!! 3. Corporate earnings (profits) must stabilize. If not reversing, at least not continuing to fall. SOME POSITIVE SIGNS. But top line growth (new sales) have just not been there. There's just so much cost cutting that can be done. We'll see what the rest of 2012 brings. 4. Banks must begin to make loans again (especially to small businesses and potential home owners... albeit under ancient premises of buyers being qualified and of all things, a down payment! Lots of "hoopla" from the mega banks, but it appears that there's no real progress. They're hoarding any cash they can get their hands on. And that probably includes Helicopter Ben's newest $42 BILLION a month! And now, here comes Regional problems compounded by PRIME loan, Alt-A resets in the Commercial end! Beware of your bank's ratings. Community Banks offer the best deal! We are checking them out at least weekly. Call me. I have some personal experience here. 5. The DOLLAR has to decline. It's started for REAL But now with the Euro going down the tubes today and rallying tomorrow, the dollar seems to be the best of the worst. 6. Auto sales must stabilize at some NEW level. Maybe started! Chrysler and Ford reported excellent growth numbers. 7. The consumer must get "back in the game of consumin" - NO WAY (except for the carzy APPLE IPhone)... NOT YET at any rate! ANALYSIS OF THE ABOVE: NO Real Hope YET! - 6/27/2013 AAII/LUG's Group Info ============================ AAII will Meet on THURSDAY at 6:00 PM at the AUDUBON CC (note the change in day AND location)

9 AGENDA See the schedule below AAII Monthly Meetings ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ The Audubon Country Club is conveniently located off Preston Highway, approximately one mile South of Eastern Parkway in Audubon Park on the left. After entering Audubon Park, take the first right and go all of the way to the end and you will be at the entrance to the Club. Parking is very convenient. Since this meeting is sponsored by the Louisville Chapter of the American Association of Individual Investors, you are always asked to pre-register by to attend this program, in order for the country club to provide appropriate seating arrangements. Also, indicate if you plan to stay for the dinner afterwards. Please confirm your attendance by to There is a charge for attending the meeting of $10 to help defray some of our expenses And this is not a "prospecting seminar" conducted by a financial services firm selling financial products, and your addresses will remain private and protected. You are also invited to stay for the buffet which is an additional $15 (which makes the total $25 for the meeting AND the dinner.) About the American Association of Individual Investors From the beginning, AAII has answered the question, "Where can you go to get unbiased facts and effective knowledge about investing?" AAII was founded in 1978 to provide individual investors with effective investment education materials that with a bit of dedication could outperform the popular market averages. Over thirty years later, the 150,000 members of AAII report investment returns that are consistently higher than those of the stock market as a whole. AAII's purpose is to assist individuals in becoming effective managers of their own assets through programs of education, information and research. AAII Louisville Chapter offers investment education to members in a "person to person" social setting at the Audubon Country Club. Recent presentations have included "Economic Update" by

10 Christopher Waller, Ph.D., Senior Vice President and Director of Research, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, "Tax Ramifications of the Health Care Bill", by Joe Johnston, CPA, Strothman & Company, "Why Real Estate as Part of a Diversified Portfolio, Why Non-Traded REITs", by Scott Crawford, Regional Vice President, Realty Capital Securities, and Senator Rand Paul "A Legislative Update" Monthly chapter meetings regularly discuss attendees favorite stock and mutual fund selections, stock market timing indicators, leading and lagging sectors, and member presentations regarding how they manage their investment portfolios. In general, we discuss anything of interest to the individual investor. Whether you are an active or passive investor, you will find something of interest in the AAII Journal and our monthly meetings. ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ 2013 Programs `````````````````````````````````````````````````````````````````````````````````````````````````````````````````````````````````````````````````````````````````````` JUN 20 - Speaker: Julie Lavalle Jones, Mayln, LLC Urban Real Estate Development, "Enhancing Communities and Environments" And Bob Mayhugh, Insuraance Agent "How Much DO You REALLY Know About Real Estate" Take the test with us!

11 If time permits: 19 Stock and Bond Indicators to Help You Determine "Where We Are" Especially Since the Election The "Holy Grail" Stock Portfolio Using VectorVest Rules Everyone is encouraged to bring your BEST TWO Stock picks for 2013 along with your brief explanation. We will follow these each month in the VectorVest software and award a nice prize in December for the best positive gains for the year. You must be in attendance for this meeting in order to submit your picks. Reservations Needed and Appreciated (502) Otto Office (502) Otto Cell otto@fedderngroup.com Dinner and Meeting $25 Meeting Only $10 DON'T MISS THIS ONE! You don't need to be a member of AAII to attend the first time ========================================================== ALSO ========================================================== Louisville User Group (LUG) FREE - No Reservations needed SATURDAY - Jul 13-10:00 AM

12 PROGRAM: How to mitigate the Downside risk in your portfolio while participating in the Upside My Conference Room Coffee and rolls provided FEDDERN FINANCIAL CONSULTING GROUP 603 North Shore Drive - Suite 102 Jeffersonville, IN (502) Office (502) Otto Cell otto@fedderngroup.com Quick Links... Visit our Website Otto G. Feddern Feddern Financial Consulting Group 603 North Shore Drive Suite 102 Jeffersonville, IN (502) Office (502) Cell otto@fedderngroup.com Forward

13 This was sent to by Update Profile/ Address Instant removal with SafeUnsubscribe Privacy Policy. Feddern Financial Consulting Group 603 north shore drive suite 102 jeffersonville IN 47130

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