Associate Members. Welcome to the CELIMO International Meeting. European GDP. The Countries of CELIMO
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1 Associate Members Welcome to the CELIMO International Meeting EMO Milan Wednesday 7 th October 215 There are countries where no such association exists Developed the concept of Associate Members for companies in those countries Expands the CELIMO Network The Countries of CELIMO European GDP CELIMO covers 12 European countries o Austria o Belgium o Germany o Finland o France o Italy o Netherlands o Spain o Sweden o Switzerland o Turkey o United Kingdom Source: Eurostat
2 European Unemployment European PMI s Source: Eurostat European Inflation European PMI s Source: Eurostat
3 European Industrial Production European Capacity Utilisation Source: Eurostat Source: Eurostat European end-user data European Exchange Rates Source: Eurostat Source: European Central Bank
4 The Source of Machine Tool Imports Key European Markets Germany is the most important source of imports into the other CELIMO countries European countries account for 6% of imports into the CELIMO area Japan and Taiwan are the other major sources IMPORT SOURCES IN 214 Others 21.2% Other Europe 21.% Taiwan 7.% Italy 8.1% Germany 19.1% Japan 11.5% Switz. 12.% The largest machine tool markets in CELIMO are Germany, Italy and Turkey. Germany accounted for 4% of the market in the CELIMO area in 214. Italy had a double dip in demand for machine tools, but 214 showed signs of recovery - at last! The Turkish market has plateaued over the past couple of years euro millions Germany Italy Turkey 214 Trends in Machine Tool Demand Medium-sized Markets The UK figures are affected by exchange rate changes The Swiss did not see quite as large a recession as others and has recovered well France saw a good recovery initially, but machine tool demand has fallen back since 211 Spain, like Italy, is only now seeing a recovery, but again, the most recent data is positive. euro millions Switzerland Spain UK France
5 Summary - The Outlook for 216 Europe s exchange rate advantage should help it to continue growing but this won t help non-euro countries The slowdown in China will have an impact, but the risk of Greece leaving the Euro has eased and low inflation should help keep interest rates low. U.S. Market Perspective Pat McGibbon Vice President Strategic Analytics Market Drivers
6 Manufacturing Eco System Production Runs Product Changes Labor Market Technology Labor Market Technology Automation: Over 1,3 Planned Purchases Within 12 Months Percent of Shops Likelihood to Purchase by Machine Segment 65% 59% 39% 33% 32% 3% 17% In the next 12 months, shops of all sizes in the tool and die industry plan to purchase over 1,3 machines The focus on 5+ Axis machines is due to tool complexity, throughput demands, and increased capability CNC Automation 5+ Axis 4 Axis RAM EDM Carbon Cutting Wire EDM Additive Machines Already Budgeted / Highly Likely Somewhat Likely Source: Harbour IQ Industry Machining Survey
7 Product Changes Structural Issues Demand Regulation Replacement Competition Number of Models in Production North America Production Runs Models Under <1, Units North America Competition Number of Models in Prodution % Other Number of Models Source: LMC Automotive
8 Replacement Demand Aerospace Medical Energy Off Road Automotive? Regulation Domestic Automotive Sale Rates Source: Federal Reserve Board
9 How confident are you that your company will move ahead and implement the needed capital investment to meet your 216/217 demand requirements? Somewhat confident (5-75%) 16 2% Very confident (>75%) 56 71% Slightly confident (<5%) 3 4% Not applicable, we are not planning for increased capital expenditure investments 4 5% 28% 6% 8% 214 for 215/216 4% 36% 11% 213 for 214/215 5% Backlog: $52.3 Billion Demand: 29,4 airplanes valued at $3.2 Trillion over the next 2 years 48% No. of Responses = 79 OESA Automotive Supplier Barometer September 215 Published with the support of Aerospace Aerospace is the strongest manufacturing market in the world. We ve had over a decade of record numbers, and despite concerns about the world economy, we ve got a few more years of growth ahead. 12, 1, 8, 6, 4, Medical Resident population as of July 214 Numbers in thousands 2, Richard Aboulafia, Vice President, Analysis at Teal Group to 64 years 65 years +
10 Contract Machining Outlook 78 Durable Manufacturing Capacity Utilization Aug 12 Dec 12 Apr 13 Aug 13 Dec 13 Apr 14 Aug 14 Dec 14 Apr 15 Aug 15 Energy & Off Road Pat McGibbon pmcgibbon@amtonline.org AMT The Association For Manufacturing Technology
11 EMO 215 CELIMO INTERNATIONAL MEETING 7 TH OCTOBER 215 The educational course, SE(Sales Engineer) Certification System, for sales personnel of members and related industries will be the 25 th year this year after the educational activities have been initiated in PRESENTED BY JAPAN MACHINE TOOL DISTRIBUTORS ASSOCIATION (JMTDA) JAPAN MACHINE TOOL DISTRIBUTORS ASSOCIATION (JMTDA) Established: 197 Number of Member : Regular Members - 75 companies (both whole sellers and direct distributors) Associate Members 63 Machine Tool builders 12 Leasing companies Total 15 companies A total sales of regular members cover approx.7% of domestic Machine Tool sales. The educational course, SE (Sales Engineer) Certification System, for sales personnel of members and related industries will be the 25 th year this year after the educational activities have been initiated. Total students exceeded 7,5 last year and students with SE certification is expected to exceed 3, this year. In this June, new board of directors were elected, and Mr. Kaoru Tomita, President & CEO of TOMITA CO.,LTD. was elected as a chairman of the board. New Chairman, Mr.Kaoru Tomita
12 Million Yen 12 Billion Yen Domestic Overseas Source: Japan Machine Tool Builder s Association (JMTBA) Source: Japan Machine Tool Builder s Association (JMTBA) Lehman Brothers Bankruptcy Collapse of Bubble Economy Collapse of IT Bubble Economy UNIT: 1. cars 2, Strong Yen rate by Plaza Accord Asian Financial Crisis 18, 16, 14, Domestic Overseas 12, 1, 8, 6, 4, 2, Source: Japan Machine Tool Builder s Association (JMTBA) Source: Japan Automobile Manufactures Association, Inc.
13 UNIT:1, cars Source: Japan Automobile Manufactures Association, Inc. Source : JMTBA million Yen 6, 5, Industrial Machinery Die & Mold Motor Vehicle Elec.&Precision Machinery Other Domestic 4, 3, 2, 1, (1-6) Source : JMTBA
14 INDIAN MACHINE TOOL MANUFACTURERS ASSOCIATION Sets CELIMO NETWORKING MEETING 7 th October 215 Source: Ministry of Economy,Trade and Industry IMTMA at a Glance Thank you for your attention! Constituted in 1946 Single point of contact for industry JMTDA Represents over 9 % of organised machine tool and allied equipment manufacturers Membership of 49+ companies
15 y Indian Economy- at a Glance (215) Projected Demand During to GDP : $ 2.4 trillion (nominal) (214) $ 7.37 trillion (PPP) (214) GDP Growth: 7.3 % (214-15) Exports : $ 31.5 billion (214-15) Imports : $ billion (214-15) Sectoral Share in GDP (%) 17.1 Agriculture Services Industry Value in USD Tn Value in USD Tn GDP in current US$ US China Japan German UK Fance Brazil Italy India Russia GDP in PPP $ US China India Japan Germany Russia Brazil Indonesia Fance UK Value In USD Millions Metal Cutting Metal Forming Total Estimated Source: IMF data Apr. 215,& Fin Ministry GOI Exchange rate for all forecast years is assumed to be 1 USD =INR 64 Source : IMTMA Machine Tool Consumption Trend from to Sector wise Machine Tool Consumption (%) Production Imports Exports Consumption Production Imports Exports Consumption Value in Rs. Millions Value in US$ Millions Auto/auto comp Die & Mould Industrial machinery Textiles, Food processing, Durables, Electricals etc. Defense/aerospace Total Demand during : USD 1495 Mn. Others Total Demand during : INR Mn. Exchange rate for 1 USD, 21-11=rs.47, = Rs. 45, = RS =Rs.61, =Rs.62
16 Indian Machine Tool Industry USP of Indian Machine Tools India makes Standard Products and Special Purpose Machines Major products CNC turning Machines Machining centers Grinding machines Boring machines Vertical Turret Lathe EDMs / Wire EDM Inspection and CMMs Special Purpose Machines Metal forming presses Tooled up solutions TPM friendly Contemporary design Reliable performance After sales support Press brakes :Important Manufacturers ACE Designers, AMS, BFW, Jyoti CNC, Micromatic Grinding, Lakshmi, Lokesh, HMT, Electropneumatics, ISGEC, Hindustan Hydraulics & others Accessories, Tools and Components Key Industry Strengths Tool turrets Rotary tables Bar feeders Spindles Deburring Tools & Moulds Cutting tools Form tools Tool holders Special tools Important Manufacturers: Major products: Chucks Chip conveyors Coolant systems Robotics and Automation UCAM, Fenwick & Ravi, Miven Mayfran, Pragati, PARI, Rajamane, Span, Universal, Taegutec, Kennametal, Sandvik, SECO, Walter, Addison, Bhukanwala, Bipico, Chennai Metco, Dagger Forst Tools, Forbes, Hittco, Ind-Sphinx and others. Most companies are ISO certified with CE marked products Cost effective, high quality, reliable and customised solutions Strong backward integration Optimum price performance Interactive customer relationships and proactive linkages [Contd.]
17 Export Competitiveness India at EMO 215 Major exports - China, Germany, Italy, Turkey, Middle-East, USA, etc. No language difficulty Rupee exchange rate advantage Enter co-operation agreements Explore business partnerships Ideal opportunity for dealers to sell competitive products Strategic partnerships for global markets Indian Companies Overseas Ventures Major Indian Companies with Global Footprints ACE MICROMATIC GROUP BFW BATLIBOI GRIND MASTER MACHINES HMT MACHINE TOOLS JYOTI CNC AUTOMATION UCAM and many more.. EMO MILANO Welcome to Indian Stalls!!! Thank You
18 Figure 1:GDP Growth Rate in China(Y o Y%) Q2 Data Sources:National Bureau of Statistics of the People s Republic of China Industrial value added(y o Y%) Figure 2:Major Economic Indicators in China Investment in the fixed assets(y o Y%) Data Sources:National Bureau of Statistics of the People s Republic of China (1 8)
19 Figure 3:China Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index PMI from NBS PMI from caixin.com Data Sources:National Bureau of Statistics of the People s Republic of China, Data Sources:National Bureau of Statistics of the People s Republic of China
20 Figure 5:Contribution Rate of Investment, Consumption and Export to GDP in China(%) Investment Consumption Export Q2 Data Sources:National Bureau of Statistics of the People s Republic of China Data Sources:State Administration of Foreign Exchange Data Sources:China Securities Regulatory Commission Data Sources:CMTBA
21 Data Sources:CMTBA
22 Figure 12:China Machine Tool Import Growth Rate(Y o Y%) Metal Working Metal Cutting Metal Forming Figure 11:China Machine Tool International Trade(Import and Export)(1M U.S. dollars) Import 212 Export Wood Working, 2.2, 2% Abrasive Product, 3.6, 4% Figure 13:Machine Tools Products Import Structure from Jan. to July in 215 (1M U.S. dollars) CNC Device, 9., 1% Cutting Tool, 7.9, 9% Metal Forming, 9.8, 11% Fuctional Component, 12.1, 14% Metal Cutting, 41.8, 47% Foundry, 1.4, 2% Measurer,.9, 1%
23 .6, 1% 1.3, 2% 1.4, 3% 1.4, 3% 1.9, 4% 2.8, 5% Figure 14:Machine Tool Import Type Structure from Jan. to July in 215(1M U.S. dollars) 3.9, 7%.5, 1%.3, 1%.3, 1% 3.9, 8% 21.4, 41% Machining center Grinding Non Traditional Lathe Punching and Bending Forging or Stamping Pressing Other Metal Working Milling Gear Manufacturing Sawing Drilling Sloting, Broaching & Planing 5.9, 11% 6.1, 12% Boring Figure 16:Metal Cutting Machine Tool Import Origin from Jan. to July in 215(1M U.S. dollars) Singapore,.4, 1% Thailand,.4, 1% Others, 1.7, 4% Czech,.5, 1% U.S.A, 1.7, 4% Italy, 1.8, 4% Swizerland, 2.3, 6% Korea, 2.9, 7% Taiwan, 4.9, 12% Japan, 14.7, 35% German, 1.5, 25% Figure 15:Metal Working Machine Tool Import Origin from Jan. to July in 215(1M U.S. dollars) Britain,.5, 1% Others, 2.9, 6% Czech,.5, 1% Sweden,.5, 1% U.S.A, 2.5, 5% Swizerland, 2.6, 5% Italy, 2.7, 5% Korea, 4.1, 8% Taiwan, 6., 12% Japan, 16.7, 32% German, 12.6, 24% Figure 17:Metal Forming Machine Tool Import Origin from Jan. to July in 215(1M U.S. dollars) Belgium,.2, Others,.7, Britain,.2, 2% 7% 2% Swizerland,.3, 3% Sweden,.4, 4% German, 2.2, 22% U.S.A,.8, 8% Japan, 2., Italy,.8, 9% 2% Taiwan, 1.1, 11% Korea, 1.2, 12%
24 Figure 18:China Machine Tool Export Growth Rate(Y o Y%) 29 Metal Working Metal Cutting Metal Forming Figure 2:Machine Tool Export Type Structure from Jan. to July in 215(1M U.S. dollars).5, 3%.2, 1%.1, % Non Traditional Lathe.8, 4%.4, % Punching and Bending.8, 5% Pressing 1.2, 6% 3.4, 19% Grinding Machining center 1.3, 7% 1.4, 8% 1.4, 8% 1.5, 8% 2.7, 15% 2.8, 16% Sawing Other Metal Working Forging or Stamping Drilling Milling Boring Gear Manufacturing Sloting, Broaching & Planing Figure 19:Machine Tools Products Export Structure from Jan. to July in 215(1M U.S. dollars) CNC Device, 3.4, 5% Fuctional Component, 6.1, 1% Metal Forming, 6.1, 1% Wood Working, 7.2, 11% Metal Cutting, 12.2, 19% Cutting Tool, 14.1, 22% Measurer, 1.1, 2% Foundry,.6, 1% Abrasive Product, 12.4, 2% Figure 21:Metal Working Machine Tool Export Destination from Jan. to July in 215(1M U.S. dollars) Holland,.5, 2% Korea,.6, 3% Others, 8.6, 47% Malaysia,.7, 4% U.S.A, 1.9, 1% Vietnam, 1.6, 9% Japan, 1.2, 6% India, 1., 5% Indonesia,.8, 5% German,.8, 5% Thailand,.7, 4%
25 Figure 22:Metal Cutting Machine Tool Export Destination from Jan. to July in 215(1M U.S. dollars) Malaysia,.4, 3% Thailand,.4, 3% Others, 5.2, 43% Holland,.4, 4% Korea,.5, 4% U.S.A, 1.4, 11% Vietnam, 1.2, 1% Japan, 1., 8% German,.7, 6% India,.5, 4% Indonesia,.5, 4% Figure 23:Metal Forming Machine Tool Export Destination from Jan. to July in 215(1M U.S. dollars) Others, 3.1, 51% Mexico,.2, 3% Turkey,.2, 3% U.S.A,.5, 8% India,.5, 7% Vietnam,.4, 6% Indonesia,.3, 6% Malaysia,.3, 5% Thailand,.3, 5% Japan,.2, 3% Iran,.2, 3%
1 PREFACE
22 PREFACE Machine Tools are Basic Investment and Production machines used to produce high value-added technologies in all sectors of manufactured goods and manufacturing industry, especially critical
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