Outline. Outline. What Demographic Statistics Say About Michigan 1/21/2014

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What Demographic Statistics Say About Michigan Presentation for the MSU Institute for Public Policy and Social Research (IPPSR) January 22, 2014 Kenneth Darga Outline Income by Age Population

1 What Demographic Statistics Say About Michigan Presentation for the MSU Institute for Public Policy and Social Research (IPPSR) January 22, 2014 Kenneth Darga Outline Income by Age Population Trends Higher Education Geography of Greater Detroit Outline Income by Age Population Trends Higher Education Geography of Greater Detroit THEME: Challenges Young Adults Face in Post Recession Michigan 1

2 Income by Age 2

3 Population Trends 3

4 4

5 145, , ,000 Actual and Projected Births in Michigan: er of Births Numbe 130, , , ,000 Projected 110, , , Year 145, , ,000 Actual and Projected Births in Michigan: er of Births Numbe 130, , , ,000 Projected 110, , , Year 5

6 Trends in Higher Education: Funding and Tuition ons per $1,000 Appropriatio $12.00 $10.00 $8.00 $6.00 $4.00 $2.00 $0.00 State Higher Education Appropriations per $1000 in Personal Income: U.S Down 44% in 23 years Source: The College Board, "Trends in College Pricing, 2013" FIscal Year ons per $1,000 Appropriatio $12.00 $10.00 $8.00 $6.00 $4.00 $2.00 $0.00 State Higher Education Appropriations per $1000 in Personal Income: U.S Down 44% in 23 years Michigan appropriations per FTE in : 5th lowest in nation 60% of national level Source: The College Board, "Trends in College Pricing, 2013" FIscal Year 6

7 4 = 100) Index ('83 ' In State Tuition and Fees at Public 4 Year Colleges: U.S., (adjusted for inflation) Up 231% in 30 years Source: The College Board, "Trends in College Pricing, 2013" Academic Year 4 = 100) Index ('83 ' In State Tuition and Fees at Public 4 Year Colleges: U.S., (adjusted for inflation) Up 231% in 30 years Michigan tuition in : 6th highest in nation 30% higher than national average Source: The College Board, "Trends in College Pricing, 2013" Academic Year Trends in Higher Education: Young College Graduates 7

8 Degrees by Place of Residence Degrees by Place of Birth Retention of People with Degrees 8

9 Educational Status of In-Migrants from Other States Attraction of In-Migrants from Other States Why so few people moving to Michigan? Not enough jobs Reputation for not having jobs 9

10 Why so few people moving to Michigan? Not enough jobs Reputation for not having jobs Detroit s problems Detroit s reputation for problems Geography of Greater Detroit Detroit has huge numbers of vacant lots and abandoned houses 10

was designed for Detroit is one of the nation s most densely populated

11 Detroit has huge numbers of vacant lots and abandoned houses Detroit has half as many people p as it was designed for Detroit has huge numbers of vacant lots and abandoned houses Detroit has half as many people p as it was designed for Detroit is one of the nation s most densely populated cities 11

12 A comparison among cities seems to be a simple apples to apples comparison. But Cities are Mixed Fruits 33 U.S. cities have over 500,000 residents * 23 (70%) have more land area than Detroit * 16 (48%) have more than twice the land area of Detroit * 21 (64%) have lower population density than Detroit In Michigan: Most larger cities are surrounded by newer and more prosperous urban communities. 12

13 In Michigan: Most larger cities are surrounded by newer and more prosperous urban communities. Elsewhere: A majority of large cities either started out with large amounts of undeveloped dland within their boundaries or else they have annexed adjacent land as it became developed. In Michigan: Most larger cities are surrounded by newer and more prosperous urban communities. Elsewhere: A majority of large cities either started out with large amounts of undeveloped dland within their boundaries or else they have annexed adjacent land as it became developed. A majority of large cities (and smaller cities as well) essentially contain many of their own suburbs. Implications For Michigan cities: Tax base declines as urban sprawl takes people beyond the city limits. 13

14 Implications For Michigan cities: Tax base declines as urban sprawl takes people beyond the city limits. Incentives grow for businesses and individuals id to escape the city s legacy costs. Implications For Michigan cities: Tax base declines as urban sprawl takes people beyond the city limits. Incentives grow for businesses and individuals id to escape the city s legacy costs. Urban cores decay while outer ring suburbs prosper. Implications For Michigan cities: Tax base declines as urban sprawl takes people beyond the city limits. Incentives grow for businesses and individuals id to escape the city s legacy costs. Urban cores decay while outer ring suburbs prosper. Michigan cities look worse than they should in comparison to more typical cities elsewhere. 14

15 Implications For young adults: People who move to Michigan cities take on burdens that should not be theirs. Implications For young adults: People who move to Michigan cities take on burdens that should not be theirs. They pay the city s legacy costs. Their city cannot afford services. Implications For young adults: People who move to Michigan cities take on burdens that should not be theirs. They pay the city s legacy costs. Their city cannot afford services. So Michigan cities do not attract very many people from other states. 15

16 Summary THEME: Challenges Young Adults Face in Post Recession Michigan Low income Difficulty forming families High education costs Penalized for moving to Michigan cities 16

17 Comparing Detroit to other urban areas is a lot less discouraging than comparing Detroit to other cities. Among the nation s 50 largest cities: Detroit ranks dead last with respect to: * median home value * employment/population ratio * family and household income * percent with bachelor s degree * percent married couple families Detroit ranks first with respect to: * poverty * percent receiving food stamps Among the nation s 50 largest cities: Detroit is also in the worst quintile with respect to: * percent of housing built in 2005 or later * homeowners spending more than 30% of their income on housing * renters spending more than 30% of their income on housing * percentage of population with a high school diploma 17

18 Among the nation s 50 largest Urban Areas: Detroit ranks last with respect to: * median home value Detroit ranks first with respect to: * home ownership Among the nation s 50 largest Urban Areas: Detroit is in the worst quintile with respect to: * poverty * food stamps * employment population ratio * housing built after 2005 * in migrants from other states * commuters using public transit * commuters driving alone Among the nation s 50 largest Urban Areas: Detroit is in the middle quintiles with respect to the other variables in the profile, including: * health insurance * costs and affordability of home ownership * costs and affordability of rental housing * married couple families * high school diplomas * bachelor s degrees * commuting time * car pooling 18

19 7 Non-Farm Employment per 1,000 Population: Michigan and the United States, (12-month moving average of monthly data through November, 2013) January, 2003 January, 2007 January, Residents Jobs per United States Michigan End of Period Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Employment Statistics. 5 Difference in Number of Jobs per 1000 Residents Between Michigan and the U.S.: (12-month moving average of monthly data through November, 2013) er of Jobs per 1000) Difference (Numbe January, 2003 January, 2007 January, End of Period Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Employment Statistics. Change in Michigan's Employment Gap Relative to Corresponding Month of Prior Year: (updated through November, 2013) er of Jobs per 1000) Difference (Numbe January, 2003 January, 2007 January, Year and Month Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Employment Statistics. 19

Shingle Creek. Minneapolis neighborhood profile. About this area. Trends in the area. Neighborhood in Minneapolis. October 2011

Shingle Creek. Minneapolis neighborhood profile. About this area. Trends in the area. Neighborhood in Minneapolis. October 2011 neighborhood profile October 2011 About this area The neighborhood is bordered by 53rd Avenue North, Humboldt Avenue North, 49th Avenue North, and Xerxes Avenue North. It is home to Olson Middle School.