ANZ Bank. Sticking with Super Regional A$27.52 AUSTRALIA. Event. Impact. Earnings and target price revision. Price catalyst. Action and recommendation
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- Howard Manning
- 5 years ago
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1 AUSTRALIA ANZ AU Price (at 09:49, 01 Oct 2015 GMT) Neutral A$27.52 Valuation - DDM/PE A$ month target A$ month TSR % Volatility Index Low GICS sector Banks Market cap A$m 79, day avg turnover A$m Number shares on issue m 2,903 Investment fundamentals Year end 30 Sep 2014A 2015E 2016E 2017E Net interest Inc m 13,797 14,542 15,637 16,776 Non interest Inc m 5,656 5,968 6,160 6,521 Underlying profit m 10,693 11,189 12,124 13,324 Reported profit m 7,170 7,031 7,602 8,347 Adjusted profit m 7,027 7,201 7,602 8,347 EPS adj EPS adj growth % PER adj x PER rel x Total DPS Total div yield % Franking % ROA % ROE % Equity to assets % P/BV x ANZ AU vs ASX 100, & rec history Note: Recommendation timeline - if not a continuous line, then there was no Macquarie coverage at the time or there was an embargo period. Source: FactSet, Macquarie Research, October 2015 (all figures in AUD unless noted) 1 October 2015 Macquarie Securities (Australia) Limited Sticking with Super Regional Event ANZ today announced that Mike Smith will step down after 8 years as CEO on 31 December He will be replaced by Shayne Elliott, the current CFO. We would not expect to see wholesale changes to ANZ's current superregional strategy given the incoming CEO is an internal candidate with international banking experience; however, there will likely be a period of rebasing in the coming months. Neutral. Impact Shayne Elliott appointed new ANZ CEO - Shayne Elliott will replace Mike Smith as CEO of ANZ from 1 January The market had recently been made aware that Mike would be stepping down within 12 months, but the timeframe is a little sooner than we expected. Elliott is currently the CFO and is also responsible for Group Strategy, Treasury, M&A, Legal and Investor Relations. He joined ANZ in June 2009 as the CEO of the Institutional Division and prior to this had a variety of international investment banking roles. Super-regional (lower RoE) strategy is here to stay - Given Elliott's responsibilities have included Group strategy and with an international banking background, it appears the Group's super-regional (lower RoE) strategy is here to stay. That being said, divesting from the Group's capitalintensive, Asian minority interests will no doubt be atop of the to-do list (see our note - The Dis-Associates). The other item on the agenda is unsurprisingly technology. Due to their focus on Asia it could be said that ANZ have lagged peers in terms of technology investment and capability in recent times. We welcome this approach, although we view this as ANZ playing catch-up more so than getting ahead of the curve. This will also have to be done whilst closely managing their already elevated capitalised software balances. Bank stocks typically underperform their peers and market by ~3% in the months following a CEO transition announcement - As is often the case when a new CEO begins their tenure, there will likely be a period of rebasing. As a result, this typically leads to the bank underperforming both the sector and the market by ~3%. Analysis by our quant team shows that much of this underperformance occurs in the 2-3 months following the CEO transition announcement. Earnings and target price revision No change. Price catalyst 12-month price target: A$34.15 based on a DDM/PE methodology. Catalyst: FY15 result. Action and recommendation Maintain Neutral. Given short term rebasing risks, exposure to a slowing Asia and bank specific concerns around asset quality (see our note Australian banks - Weathering the Storm), ANZ remains our least preferred pick of the major banks. Please refer to page 7 for important disclosures and analyst certification, or on our website
2 Analysis ANZ today announced that Mike Smith will step down after 8 years as CEO on 31 December He will be replaced by Shayne Elliott, the current CFO. We would not expect to see wholesale changes to ANZ's current super-regional strategy given the incoming CEO is an internal candidate with international banking experience; however, there will likely be a period of rebasing in the coming months. Neutral. Shayne Elliott appointed new ANZ CEO Shayne Elliott will replace Mike Smith as CEO of ANZ from 1 January The market had recently been made aware that Mike would be stepping down within 12 months, but the timeframe is a little sooner than we expected. Elliott is currently the CFO and is also responsible for Group Strategy, Treasury, M&A, Legal and Investor Relations. He joined ANZ in June 2009 as the CEO of the Institutional Division and prior to this had a variety of international investment banking roles. Super-regional (lower RoE) strategy is here to stay Given Elliott's responsibilities have included Group strategy and with an international banking background, it appears the Group's super-regional (lower RoE) strategy is here to stay. That being said, divesting from the Group's capital-intensive, Asian minority interests will no doubt be atop of the to-do list (see our note - The Dis-Associates). Fig 1 ANZ associate profit, book equity, RoE and CET1 benefit from divestment 1H15 earnings (annualised) Equity RoE % of group earnings CET1 divestment benefit (@1.0x P/BV) AMMB 154 1, % 2.1% 0.38% Panin % 1.0% 0.21% Shanghai Rural 212 1, % 2.9% 0.37% Bank of Tianjin % 2.2% 0.18% Other % 0.4% 0.04% Total 628 4, % 8.6% 1.18% Group , % Source: Company data, Macquarie Research, October 2015 The other item on the agenda is unsurprisingly technology. Due to their focus on Asia it could be said that ANZ have lagged peers in terms of technology investment and capability in recent times. Fig 2 ANZ s absolute investment spend and as a % of the cost base has lagged peers $m Inv. Spend % 10of Costs 15.0% 14.0% 13.0% 12.0% 11.0% 10.0% 9.0% 8.0% ANZ CBA NAB WBC* 1H14 2H14 1H15 2H15 ANZ Inv. Spend % CBA Inv. Spend % NAB Inv. Spend % WBC Inv. Spend % Source: Company data, Macquarie Research, October 2015 We welcome this approach, although we view this as ANZ playing catch-up more so than getting ahead of the curve. This will also have to be done whilst closely managing their already elevated capitalised software balances. 1 October
3 Fig 3 Capitalised software balances at ANZ are quite elevated $m ANZ CBA NAB WBC 1H14 2H14 1H15 2H15 Source: Company data, Macquarie Research, October 2015 Bank stocks typically underperform their peers and market by ~3% in the months following a CEO transition announcement As is often the case when a new CEO begins their tenure, there will likely be a period of rebasing. As a result, this typically leads to the bank underperforming both the sector and the market by ~3%. Analysis by our quant team shows that much of this underperformance occurs in the 2-3 months following the CEO transition announcement. Fig 4 Following a CEO transition announcement, bank stocks typically Underperform their peers by ~3% in the subsequent 2-3 months 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.0% -0.5% -1.0% -1.5% -2.0% -2.5% -3.0% -3.5% -4.0% 250% 200% 150% 100% 50% 0% Volumes - Median (RHS) Volumes - Mean (RHS) Returns - Median Returns - Mean Source: Macquarie Quant Team, Macquarie Research, October October
4 ESG Eye (Analyst: Deana Mitchell) ANZ s treatment of unvested equity awards is the preferred way The Board has re-based target pay for the newly appointed CEO. The total target pay for Elliott is 29% below that of exiting CEO Mike Smith. Fig 5 Total target pay for Elliott is 29% below that of exiting CEO Mike Smith Fixed Target STI Target LTI Total Comments Elliot As CEO Max STI opportunity is $4.2m Smith As CEO Max STI opportunity is $6.8m Difference -38% -38% 0% -29% Source: Macquarie Research, October 2015 With regards to Smith s substantial unvested LTI grants, these will remain on foot and will vest at the originally intended vesting dates to the extent that the performance conditions are satisfied in accordance with the conditions of the grant. In other words, there will be no automatic or accelerated vesting of those entitlements. This is the preferred way of treating unvested equity grants. This is in contrast to the treatment of Ken MacKenzie following his departure at AMC. The Board pro-rated most of the unvested equity awards, accelerated vesting and made a cash payment to him. Treatment of unvested awards under retirement or good leaver conditions is a difficult assessment for Boards, particularly for long standing executives. However, accelerated vesting of previously issued awards can often be debated as it may not be the preferred path because it negates the spirit of the performance award. The ANZ treatment of unvested equity awards is the preferred way. It is also worth observing the exit terms for Mike Smith as outlined by the leaving arrangements set by the Board. He will work as CEO until the end of the calendar year, gardening leave until 7 July and an additional 3 months of payment in lieu of notice. From 11 July 2016, he will be retained on a services agreement of $250,000 as an advisor to the Board on International Affairs. Investment View Maintain Neutral. Given short term rebasing risks, exposure to a slowing Asia and bank specific concerns around asset quality (see our note Australian banks - Weathering the Storm), ANZ remains our least preferred of the major banks. 1 October
5 Fig 6 ANZ Financial Summary Year Ending 30 September H14 2H H15 2H Neutral PER SHARE DATA Cash EPS (AUD) - Macquarie Basis Current Price Target Price Cash EPS Growth (%) 6% 6% -1% 7% 5% -6% 2% 0% 7% $27.52 $34.15 DPS (AUD) Total Shareholder Return 30.6% BVPS (AUD) NTA PS (AUD) Bloomberg: ANZ AU Shares on issue (m) 2,744 2,744 2,757 2,757 2,766 2,878 2,878 2,986 3,016 Reuters: ANZ.AX VALUATION METRICS Macquarie Equities Australian Banks P/E (Cash) Analyst(s) Contact(s) P/B (Stated) Brendan Carrig P/NTA Chantal Sirisena RoE (%) 15.1% 15.2% 14.8% 15.0% 14.6% 13.0% 13.7% 12.8% 12.9% RoA (%) 1.0% 1.0% 0.9% 0.9% 0.9% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% Dividend Yield (%) 6.0% 6.0% 6.9% 6.5% 6.3% 6.8% 6.5% 6.5% 6.6% Margins & Volumes Dividend Payout (%) 71.0% 66.7% 76.9% 71.8% 66.2% 76.8% 71.3% 71.3% 67.5% Net Interest Margin (%) GLAA growth (%) Sustainable RoE used in Valuation (%) 12.5% 12.5% 12.5% 12.5% 12.5% 12.5% 12.5% 12.5% 12.5% 12.0% 2.40% Cost of Equity (%) 9.8% 9.8% 9.8% 9.8% 9.8% 9.8% 9.8% 9.8% 9.8% 10.0% 8.0% 6.0% 4.0% 2.0% 0.0% 7.0% 6.0% 5.0% 4.0% 3.0% 2.0% 1.0% 0.0% H14 2H H15 2H Efficiency Income Ratio (%) Cost / Cost growth (%) 2H H15 2H H % 2.20% 2.10% 2.00% 46.0% 44.0% 42.0% PROFIT & LOSS (AUDm) Net Interest Income 12,772 6,764 7,033 13,797 7,138 7,404 14,542 15,637 16,776 Non-Interest Income 5,606 2,904 2,752 5,656 3,047 2,921 5,968 6,160 6,521 Fees & Commissions 2,459 1,255 1,260 2,515 1,308 1,233 2,541 2,584 2,709 Financial Markets 1, , Life and Funds 1, , ,019 1,998 2,178 2,379 Other Revenue Total Operating Income 18,378 9,668 9,785 19,453 10,185 10,324 20,509 21,798 23,297 Total Operating Costs 8,236 4,286 4,474 8,760 4,593 4,727 9,320 9,674 9,973 Employee Costs 4,757 2,493 2,558 5,051 2,715 2,769 5,484 5,706 5,936 Other Costs 3,479 1,793 1,916 3,709 1,878 1,958 3,836 3,968 4,036 Pre-Provision Operating Profit 10,142 5,382 5,311 10,693 5,592 5,597 11,189 12,124 13,324 Impairment Charge 1, ,206 1,557 1,738 Pre-Tax Profit 8,945 4,854 4,850 9,704 5,082 4,901 9,983 10,567 11,586 Tax Expense 2,437 1,333 1,333 2,666 1,398 1,368 2,766 2,949 3,223 Minority Shareholders Other Post Tax Items Stated Net Profit 6,272 3,381 3,789 7,170 3,506 3,525 7,031 7,602 8,347 Extraordinary & Other Items Hybrid Distributions Derivatives & Hedging Revaluation Macquarie Cash Profit 6,498 3,515 3,512 7,027 3,676 3,525 7,201 7,602 8, % 200% 150% 100% Asset Quality Impairment Charge / GLAA (bp) Coverage (%) BALANCE SHEET & CAP AD (AUDm) Risk Weighted Assets* 339, , , , , , , , ,131 Interest Earning Assets 575, , , , , , , , ,375 Gross Loans, Advances & Acceptances 473, , , , , , , , ,329 Total Deposits 522, , , , , , , , ,876 Total Assets 702, , , , , , , ,130 1,023,370 Shareholders Equity 45,615 47,038 49,284 49,284 52,051 56,673 56,673 62,651 66,663 Tier 1 Capital* 35,192 37,315 38,601 38,601 41,088 44,847 44,847 49,434 52,343 Tier 1 Ratio (%)* 10.37% 10.34% 10.68% 10.68% 10.62% 11.13% 11.13% 10.80% 10.59% Core Tier 1 Ratio (%) - Basel III 8.49% 8.33% 8.79% 8.79% 8.72% 9.31% 9.31% 9.19% 9.11% 19 50% 0% H14 2H H15 2H ASSET QUALITY Impairment Charge / GLAA (bp) Coverage (%) 102% 119% 136% 136% 149% 164% 164% 206% 266% Total Stage 1 Dividends DDM Valuation 6.65 Total Fade Period Dividends Total Perpetuity Dividends 0.52 Total Surplus Capital Per Share KEY RATIOS & GROWTH Net Interest Income growth (%) 5.5% 3.5% 4.0% 8.0% 1.5% 3.7% 5.4% 7.5% 7.3% Non-Interest Income growth (%) 2.5% 5.4% -5.2% 0.9% 10.7% -4.1% 5.5% 3.2% 5.9% Total Revenue growth (%) 4.5% 4.0% 1.2% 5.8% 4.1% 1.4% 5.4% 6.3% 6.9% Cost growth (%) 2.7% 2.0% 4.4% 6.4% 2.7% 2.9% 6.4% 3.8% 3.1% Pre-Provision Profit growth (%) 6.1% 5.7% -1.3% 5.4% 5.3% 0.1% 4.6% 8.4% 9.9% RWA growth (%) 13.0% 6.3% 0.2% 6.6% 7.0% 4.2% 11.5% 13.6% 7.9% GLAA growth (%) 9.2% 8.4% 2.3% 10.9% 6.9% 4.2% 11.4% 6.8% 7.5% Deposit growth (%) 11.0% 4.4% 2.4% 6.9% 8.8% 4.2% 13.3% 6.8% 7.5% Net Interest Margin (%) 2.22% 2.14% 2.13% 2.13% 2.03% 2.02% 2.02% 2.03% 2.03% Cost / Income Ratio (%) 44.8% 44.3% 45.7% 45.0% 45.1% 45.8% 45.4% 44.4% 42.8% *B , B onward Source: Company data, Macquarie Research, October October
6 Fundamentals Macquarie Quant View The quant model currently holds a marginally negative view on. The strongest style exposure is Growth, indicating this stock has good historic and/or forecast growth. Growth metrics focus on both top and bottom line items. The weakest style exposure is Profitability, indicating this stock is not efficiently converting its investments to earnings as proxied by ratios such as ROE, ROA etc. 530/661 Global rank in Banks % of BUY recommendations 62% (10/16) Number of Price Target downgrades 6 Number of Price Target upgrades 1 Attractive Quant Local market rank Global sector rank Displays where the company s ranked based on the fundamental consensus Price Target and Macquarie s Quantitative Alpha model. Two rankings: Local market (Australia & NZ) and Global sector (Banks) Macquarie Alpha Model ranking A list of comparable companies and their Macquarie Alpha model score (higher is better). Factors driving the Alpha Model For the comparable firms this chart shows the key underlying styles and their contribution to the current overall Alpha score. Suncorp Westpac Banking Corporati Westfield Corporation Commonwealth Bank National Australia Bank Scentre Group Suncorp Westpac Banking Corporati Westfield Corporation Commonwealth Bank National Australia Bank Scentre Group % -80% -60% -40% -20% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Valuations Growth Profitability Earnings Momentum Price Momentum Quality Macquarie Earnings Sentiment Indicator The Macquarie Sentiment Indicator is an enhanced earnings revisions signal that favours analysts who have more timely and higher conviction revisions. Current score shown below. Drivers of Stock Return Breakdown of 1 year total return (local currency) into returns from dividends, changes in forward earnings estimates and the resulting change in earnings multiple. Suncorp Westpac Banking Corporati Westfield Corporation Commonwealth Bank National Australia Bank Scentre Group Suncorp Westpac Banking Corporati Westfield Corporation Commonwealth Bank National Australia Bank Scentre Group % -30% -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% Dividend Return Multiple Return Earnings Outlook 1Yr Total Return What drove this Company in the last 5 years Which factor score has had the greatest correlation with the company s returns over the last 5 years. Price to Cash FY0 Price to Sales LTM Price to Book FY0 EV/EBITDA FY0 3m Recom. Revisions Sales Revisions 3 Month Profit Margin FY1 CPS Growth FY1-25% -28% -20% -22% Negatives Positives 25% 24% 24% 24% -30% -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% How it looks on the Alpha model A more granular view of the underlying style scores that drive the alpha (higher is better) and the percentile rank relative to the sector and market. Alpha Model Score Valuation Growth Profitability Earnings Momentum Price Momentum Quality Capital & Funding Liquidity Risk Technicals & Trading Normalized Score Percentile relative to sector(/661) Percentile relative to market(/397) Source (all charts): FactSet, Thomson Reuters, and Macquarie Research. For more details on the Macquarie Alpha model or for more customised analysis and screens, please contact the Macquarie Global Quantitative/Custom Products Group (cpg@macquarie.com) 1 October
7 Important disclosures: Recommendation definitions Macquarie - Australia/New Zealand Outperform return >3% in excess of benchmark return Neutral return within 3% of benchmark return Underperform return >3% below benchmark return Benchmark return is determined by long term nominal GDP growth plus 12 month forward market dividend yield Macquarie Asia/Europe Outperform expected return >+10% Neutral expected return from -10% to +10% Underperform expected return <-10% Macquarie First South - South Africa Outperform expected return >+10% Neutral expected return from -10% to +10% Underperform expected return <-10% Macquarie - Canada Outperform return >5% in excess of benchmark return Neutral return within 5% of benchmark return Underperform return >5% below benchmark return Macquarie - USA Outperform (Buy) return >5% in excess of Russell 3000 index return Neutral (Hold) return within 5% of Russell 3000 index return Underperform (Sell) return >5% below Russell 3000 index return Volatility index definition* This is calculated from the volatility of historical price movements. Very high highest risk Stock should be expected to move up or down % in a year investors should be aware this stock is highly speculative. High stock should be expected to move up or down at least 40 60% in a year investors should be aware this stock could be speculative. Medium stock should be expected to move up or down at least 30 40% in a year. Low medium stock should be expected to move up or down at least 25 30% in a year. Low stock should be expected to move up or down at least 15 25% in a year. * Applicable to Asia/Australian/NZ/Canada stocks only Recommendations 12 months Note: Quant recommendations may differ from Fundamental Analyst recommendations Financial definitions All "Adjusted" data items have had the following adjustments made: Added back: goodwill amortisation, provision for catastrophe reserves, IFRS derivatives & hedging, IFRS impairments & IFRS interest expense Excluded: non recurring items, asset revals, property revals, appraisal value uplift, preference dividends & minority interests EPS = adjusted net profit / efpowa* ROA = adjusted ebit / average total assets ROA Banks/Insurance = adjusted net profit /average total assets ROE = adjusted net profit / average shareholders funds Gross cashflow = adjusted net profit + depreciation *equivalent fully paid ordinary weighted average number of shares All Reported numbers for Australian/NZ listed stocks are modelled under IFRS (International Financial Reporting Standards). Recommendation proportions For quarter ending 30 June 2015 AU/NZ Asia RSA USA CA EUR Outperform 46.23% 58.36% 47.27% 44.20% 60.65% 43.01% (for US coverage by MCUSA, 9.68% of stocks followed are investment banking clients) Neutral 37.67% 25.65% 29.09% 49.29% 34.19% 40.93% (for US coverage by MCUSA, 5.53% of stocks followed are investment banking clients) Underperform 16.10% 15.99% 23.64% 6.52% 5.16% 16.06% (for US coverage by MCUSA, 1.38% of stocks followed are investment banking clients) ANZ AU vs ASX 100, & rec history (all figures in AUD currency unless noted) Note: Recommendation timeline if not a continuous line, then there was no Macquarie coverage at the time or there was an embargo period. Source: FactSet, Macquarie Research, October month target price methodology ANZ AU: A$34.15 based on a DDM/PE methodology Company-specific disclosures: ANZ AU: MACQUARIE CAPITAL (NEW ZEALAND) LIMITED or one of its affiliates managed or co-managed a public offering of securities of Australia and New Zealand Banking Group Ltd in the past 12 months, for which it received compensation. Important disclosure information regarding the subject companies covered in this report is available at Date Stock Code (BBG code) Recommendation Target Price 31-Aug-2015 ANZ AU Neutral A$ Aug-2015 ANZ AU Neutral A$ Jul-2015 ANZ AU Neutral A$ Jul-2015 ANZ AU Underperform A$ Jun-2015 ANZ AU Underperform A$ May-2015 ANZ AU Underperform A$ May-2015 ANZ AU Underperform A$ Feb-2015 ANZ AU Underperform A$ Oct-2014 ANZ AU Underperform A$ Oct-2014 ANZ AU Underperform A$ Sep-2014 ANZ AU Underperform A$ Sep-2014 ANZ AU Underperform A$ Aug-2014 ANZ AU Underperform A$ Jul-2014 ANZ AU Underperform A$ May-2014 ANZ AU Underperform A$ Mar-2014 ANZ AU Neutral A$ Feb-2014 ANZ AU Neutral A$ Jan-2014 ANZ AU Neutral A$ Dec-2013 ANZ AU Neutral A$ Oct-2013 ANZ AU Neutral A$ Oct-2013 ANZ AU Neutral A$ Sep-2013 ANZ AU Outperform A$ October
8 16-Aug-2013 ANZ AU Outperform A$ Jul-2013 ANZ AU Outperform A$ Jun-2013 ANZ AU Outperform A$ May-2013 ANZ AU Outperform A$ Apr-2013 ANZ AU Outperform A$ Mar-2013 ANZ AU Outperform A$ Feb-2013 ANZ AU Outperform A$ Feb-2013 ANZ AU Outperform A$ Jan-2013 ANZ AU Outperform A$ Jan-2013 ANZ AU Outperform A$ Oct-2012 ANZ AU Outperform A$ Oct-2012 ANZ AU Outperform A$27.89 Target price risk disclosures: ANZ AU: Any inability to compete successfully in their markets may harm the business. This could be a result of many factors which may include geographic mix and introduction of improved products or service offerings by competitors. The results of operations may be materially affected by global economic conditions generally, including conditions in financial markets. The company is exposed to market risks, such as changes in interest rates, foreign exchange rates and input prices. From time to time, the company will enter into transactions, including transactions in derivative instruments, to manage certain of these exposures. Analyst certification: We hereby certify that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect our personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities. We also certify that no part of our compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. The Analysts responsible for preparing this report receive compensation from Macquarie that is based upon various factors including Macquarie Group Ltd total revenues, a portion of which are generated by Macquarie Group s Investment Banking activities. General disclosure: This research has been issued by Macquarie Securities (Australia) Limited (ABN , AFSL No ) a Participant of the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) and Chi-X Australia Pty Limited. This research is distributed in Australia by Macquarie Equities Limited (ABN , AFSL No ) ("MEL"), a Participant of the ASX, and in New Zealand by Macquarie Equities New Zealand Limited ( MENZ ) an NZX Firm. Macquarie Private Wealth s services in New Zealand are provided by MENZ. Macquarie Bank Limited (ABN , AFSL No ) ( MBL ) is a company incorporated in Australia and authorised under the Banking Act 1959 (Australia) to conduct banking business in Australia. None of MBL, MGL or MENZ is registered as a bank in New Zealand by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand under the Reserve Bank of New Zealand Act Any MGL subsidiary noted in this research, apart from MBL, is not an authorised deposit-taking institution for the purposes of the Banking Act 1959 (Australia) and that subsidiary s obligations do not represent deposits or other liabilities of MBL. MBL does not guarantee or otherwise provide assurance in respect of the obligations of that subsidiary, unless noted otherwise. This research is general advice and does not take account of your objectives, financial situation or needs. Before acting on this general advice, you should consider the appropriateness of the advice having regard to your situation. We recommend you obtain financial, legal and taxation advice before making any financial investment decision. This research has been prepared for the use of the clients of the Macquarie Group and must not be copied, either in whole or in part, or distributed to any other person. If you are not the intended recipient, you must not use or disclose this research in any way. If you received it in error, please tell us immediately by return and delete the document. We do not guarantee the integrity of any s or attached files and are not responsible for any changes made to them by any other person. Nothing in this research shall be construed as a solicitation to buy or sell any security or product, or to engage in or refrain from engaging in any transaction. This research is based on information obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but the Macquarie Group does not make any representation or warranty that it is accurate, complete or up to date. We accept no obligation to correct or update the information or opinions in it. Opinions expressed are subject to change without notice. The Macquarie Group accepts no liability whatsoever for any direct, indirect, consequential or other loss arising from any use of this research and/or further communication in relation to this research. The Macquarie Group produces a variety of research products, recommendations contained in one type of research product may differ from recommendations contained in other types of research. The Macquarie Group has established and implemented a conflicts policy at group level, which may be revised and updated from time to time, pursuant to regulatory requirements; which sets out how we must seek to identify and manage all material conflicts of interest. The Macquarie Group, its officers and employees may have conflicting roles in the financial products referred to in this research and, as such, may effect transactions which are not consistent with the recommendations (if any) in this research. The Macquarie Group may receive fees, brokerage or commissions for acting in those capacities and the reader should assume that this is the case. The Macquarie Group s employees or officers may provide oral or written opinions to its clients which are contrary to the opinions expressed in this research. Important disclosure information regarding the subject companies covered in this report is available at 1 October
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AUSTRALIA AHG AU Price (at 06:14, 11 Aug 2016 GMT) Outperform A$4.61 Valuation - EV/EBITA A$ 4.09-4.63 12-month target A$ 4.36 12-month TSR % -0.2 Volatility Index Low GICS sector Retailing Market cap
More informationANZ Bank. What execution risk? Earnings and target price revision. Price catalyst. Catalyst: 1Q17 Trading update, February 2017.
AUSTRALIA ANZ AU Price (at 09:15, 18 Jan 2017 GMT) Neutral A$30.11 Valuation A$ 30.69- - Sum of Parts/GG 31.47 12-month target A$ 31.00 12-month TSR % +8.4 Volatility Index Low/Medium GICS sector Banks
More informationSilver Chef. Capital raising A$7.71 AUSTRALIA. Event. Impact. Earnings and target price revision. Price catalyst. Action and recommendation
AUSTRALIA SIV AU Price (at 08:50, 21 Mar 2017 GMT) Neutral A$7.71 Valuation - PER A$ 6.68 12-month target A$ 6.68 12-month TSR % -7.4 Volatility Index Medium GICS sector Capital Goods Market cap A$m 278
More informationAustralian Banks. Pre-Reporting Form Guide AUSTRALIA. Event. Impact. Outlook
AUSTRALIA MRE vs Consensus MQG FY15 Consensus FY15 Date Profit EPS DPS Profit EPS DPS BEN 10-Aug 439 92 67 434 92 67 CBA 12-Aug 9,289 557 420 9,116 554 419 Source: Factset, Macquarie Research, August 2015
More informationOil Search. Proving up PNG A$7.11 AUSTRALIA. Event. Impact. Earnings and target price revision. Price catalyst. Action and recommendation
AUSTRALIA OSH AU Price (at 05:10, 16 Feb 2017 GMT) Outperform A$7.11 Valuation A$ - DCF (WACC 8.5%, beta 1.4, ERP 5.0%, RFR 3.3%) 6.70 12-month target A$ 7.60 12-month TSR % +8.2 Volatility Index Medium
More informationTox Free Solutions. Winning work again A$2.34 AUSTRALIA. Event. Impact. Earnings and target price revision. Price catalyst. Action and recommendation
AUSTRALIA TOX AU Price (at 05:10, 30 Nov 2016 GMT) Outperform A$2.34 Valuation - EV/EBITDA A$ 2.52-3.07 12-month target A$ 2.79 12-month TSR % +23.1 Volatility Index Medium GICS sector Commercial & Professional
More informationFisher & Paykel Healthcare
NEW ZEALAND FPH NZ Price (at 05:00, 10 Jul 2015 GMT) Outperform NZ$7.03 Valuation NZ$ 7.39 - DCF (WACC 8.8%, beta 0.9, ERP 7.0%, RFR 4.5%, TGR 2.0%) 12-month target NZ$ 7.80 12-month TSR % +13.1 Volatility
More informationSims Metal Management
AUSTRALIA SGM AU Price (at 5:11, 17 Nov 215 GMT) Outperform A$7.19 Valuation - EV/EBIT A$ 8.49-9.6 12-month target A$ 8.9 12-month TSR % +26.6 Volatility Index Medium GICS sector Materials Market cap A$m
More informationRamsay Health Care. France begins to bite A$66.37 AUSTRALIA. Event. Impact. Earnings and target price revision. Price catalyst
AUSTRALIA RHC AU Price (at 06:11, 06 Aug 2015 GMT) Neutral A$66.37 Valuation A$ 64.54 - DCF (WACC 8.1%, beta 1.1, ERP 5.0%, RFR 3.8%, TGR 3.0%) 12-month target A$ 70.00 12-month TSR % +7.3 Volatility Index
More informationSeek. Progresses Zhaopin privatisation A$16.33 AUSTRALIA. Event. Impact. Earnings and target price revision. Price catalyst. Action and recommendation
AUSTRALIA SEK AU Price (at 06:33, 07 Apr 2017 GMT) Outperform A$16.33 Valuation - Sum of Parts A$ 16.77 12-month target A$ 16.50 12-month TSR % +3.9 Volatility Index Low/Medium GICS sector Commercial &
More informationCochlear. Roberts replaced A$88.66 AUSTRALIA. Event. Impact. Earnings and target price revision. Price catalyst. Action and recommendation
AUSTRALIA COH AU Price (at 06:47, 26 May 2015 GMT) Outperform A$88.66 Valuation A$ 81.19 - DCF (WACC 8.0%, beta 1.0, ERP 5.0%, RFR 3.8%, TGR 3.0%) 12-month target A$ 95.00 12-month TSR % +9.8 Volatility
More informationCardno. Tough half over A$2.88 AUSTRALIA. Event. Impact. Earnings and target price revision. Price catalyst. Action and recommendation
AUSTRALIA CDD AU Price (at 04:53, 17 Feb 2015 GMT) Neutral A$2.88 Valuation - Sum of Parts A$ 2.80-3.43 12-month target A$ 3.12 12-month TSR % +18.4 Volatility Index Medium GICS sector Capital Goods Market
More informationEarnings and target price revision. Price catalyst. Catalyst: 1H14 result in February Action and recommendation
AUSTRALIA CBA AU Price (at 06:10, 10 Sep 2013 GMT) Neutral A$73.63 Valuation A$ - DCF (WACC 10.3%, beta 1.0, ERP 5.0%, RFR 5.5%) 50.40 12-month target A$ 66.15 12-month TSR % -5.0 Volatility Index Low
More informationNational Australia Bank
AUSTRALIA NAB AU Price (at 08:23, 03 Jul 2012 GMT) Outperform A$23.68 Volatility index Low 12-month target A$ 27.66 12-month TSR % +24.9 Valuation A$ - DCF (WACC 12.6%, beta 1.0, ERP 5.0%, RFR 5.8%) 25.14
More informationWhitehaven Coal. China outlook drives impairments A$1.04 AUSTRALIA. Event. Impact. Earnings and target price revision.
AUSTRALIA WHC AU Price (at 06:10, 13 Aug 2015 GMT) Neutral A$1.04 Valuation A$ - DCF (WACC 8.0%, beta 1.6, ERP 5.0%, RFR 3.8%) 1.18 12-month target A$ 1.15 12-month TSR % +10.6 Volatility Index High GICS
More informationAustralian Banks. If it s too good to be true AUSTRALIA. Event. Impact. Outlook. Impact of repricing and capital from additional 10% investor RWA
CBA CBA CBA CBA AUSTRALIA Changes to lending rates (bps) bps Owner Occupier Investor P&I IO P&I IO 0 20 25 36 CBA 3 25 24 26 7 7 25 25 3 8 23 28 BEN 0 0 25 25 Source: Company data, Macquarie research,
More informationOz Minerals. On track to meet guidance A$6.51 AUSTRALIA. Event. Impact. Earnings and target price revision. Price catalyst. Action and recommendation
AUSTRALIA OZL AU Price (at 08:20, 22 Jul 2016 GMT) Underperform A$6.51 Valuation A$ - DCF (WACC 9.0%, beta 1.4, ERP 5.0%, RFR 3.3%) 4.31 12-month target A$ 5.00 12-month TSR % -21.4 Volatility Index High
More informationCoca-Cola Amatil. Not as fizzy as it looks A$8.78 AUSTRALIA. Event. Impact. Earnings and target price revision. Price catalyst
AUSTRALIA CCL AU Price (at CLOSE#, 21 Aug 2015) Underperform A$8.78 Valuation A$ 8.47 - DCF (WACC 8.7%, beta 1.0, ERP 5.0%, RFR 3.8%, TGR 1.9%) 12-month target A$ 8.99 12-month TSR % +7.3 Volatility Index
More informationSouthern Cross Media. Streamlining ahead of reform? A$1.37 AUSTRALIA
AUSTRALIA SXL AU Price (at 05:10, 27 Mar 2017 GMT) Neutral A$1.37 Valuation A$ - DCF (WACC 8.0%, beta 1.2, ERP 5.0%, RFR 3.3%) 1.39 12-month target A$ 1.30 12-month TSR % +0.8 Volatility Index Medium GICS
More informationChallenger. Normalised margin trends expected to decline. Earnings and target price revision. Price catalyst. Action and recommendation
1H13E 2H13E 1H14E 2H14E 1H15E 2H15E AUSTRALIA CGF AU Price (at CLOSE#, 20 Aug 2012) Outperform A$3.76 Volatility index Low 12-month target A$ 4.57 12-month TSR % +26.4 Valuation - Sum of Parts A$ 4.57
More informationMeridian Energy. On tax depreciation NZ$2.08 NEW ZEALAND. Event. Impact. Earnings and target price revision. Price catalyst. Action and recommendation
NEW ZEALAND MEL NZ Price (at 05:00, 13 Jul 2015 GMT) Outperform NZ$2.08 Valuation NZ$ 2.50 - DCF (WACC 7.8%, beta 0.6, ERP 7.0%, RFR 3.6%, TGR 2.0%) 12-month target NZ$ 2.60 12-month TSR % +31.7 Volatility
More informationGenworth Mortgage Insurance Australia
AUSTRALIA GMA AU Price (at 07:29, 05 Aug 2015 GMT) Outperform A$3.50 Valuation A$ - DCF (WACC 12.0%, beta 1.6, ERP 5.0%, RFR 4.5%) 3.52 12-month target A$ 3.47 12-month TSR % +9.2 Volatility Index Medium
More informationSenex Energy Production and revenue unsurprised, cash builds on lower capex
26 April 2018 Australia EQUITIES SXY AU Price (at 06:10, 26 Apr 2018 GMT) Outperform A$0.42 Valuation A$ 0.49 - DCF (WACC 9.1%, beta 1.5, ERP 4.0%, RFR 4.3%) 12-month target A$ 0.50 12-month TSR % +19.0
More informationTelstra Corporation. Vodafone better, but far from good A$6.43 AUSTRALIA. Event. Impact. Earnings and target price revision.
AUSTRALIA TLS AU Price (at 11:23, 21 Jul 2015 GMT) Neutral A$6.43 Valuation A$ 6.37 - DCF (WACC 6.8%, beta 0.8, ERP 5.0%, RFR 3.8%, TGR 1.2%) 12-month target A$ 6.30 12-month TSR % +3.3 Volatility Index
More informationNuplex Industries. Should benefit from a weak Kiwi NZ$4.55 NEW ZEALAND. Event. Impact. Earnings and target price revision.
NEW ZEALAND NPX NZ Price (at 05:00, 31 Jul 2015 GMT) Outperform NZ$4.55 Valuation NZ$ 4.40 - DCF (WACC 12.5%, beta 1.4, ERP 7.0%, RFR 4.5%, TGR 2.0%) 12-month target NZ$ 4.75 12-month TSR % +10.6 Volatility
More informationAustralian Banks. Funding markets open for now
AUSTRALIA Weekly performance 4% 2% % -2% -4% -6% -8% -1% Source: IRESS, August 212 Rolling monthly performance 8% 6% 4% 2% % -2% -4% -6% Source: IRESS, August 212 Rolling yearly performance % 15% 5% -5%
More informationSirtex Medical. Healthy dose sales. Earnings and target price revision. Price catalyst. Catalyst: FY16 result on the 24th of August
AUSTRALIA SRX AU Price (at CLOSE#, 11 Jul 2016) Outperform A$27.88 Valuation A$ 37.93 - DCF (WACC 9.0%, beta 1.2, ERP 5.0%, RFR 3.3%, TGR 1.5%) 12-month target A$ 38.00 12-month TSR % +37.4 Volatility
More informationSuper Retail Group (SUL AU) Are we there yet?
25 October 2018 Australia EQUITIES SUL AU Price (at 09:01, 24 Oct 2018 GMT) Neutral A$8.33 Valuation A$ 8.30-9.50 - EV/EBITA 12-month target A$ 8.70 12-month TSR % +10.9 Volatility Index GICS sector Low/Medium
More informationOrigin Energy. 4Q Production. ORG reported its 4 th quarter production report, following on ConocoPhilips quarterly result.
AUSTRALIA ORG AU Price (at 06:11, 30 Jul 2015 GMT) Neutral A$11.35 Valuation A$ 12.79 - DCF (WACC 10.3%, beta 1.3, ERP 5.0%, RFR 3.8%, TGR 2.0%) 12-month target A$ 12.89 12-month TSR % +18.1 Volatility
More informationNational Australia Bank
AUSTRALIA NAB AU Price (at 05:32, 30 Mar 2015 GMT) Outperform A$38.32 Valuation A$ - DCF (WACC 9.3%, beta 1.0, ERP 5.0%, RFR 5.8%) 38.97 12-month target A$ 40.58 12-month TSR % +11.1 Volatility Index Low
More informationKingsgate Consolidated
AUSTRALIA KCN AU Price (at 6:11, 31 Jul 215 GMT) Underperform A$.67 Valuation A$ - DCF (WACC 12.%, beta 1.6, ERP 5.%, RFR 3.8%).3 12-month target A$.3 12-month TSR % -54.9 Volatility Index Very High GICS
More informationSpotless Group Holdings
AUSTRALIA SPO AU Price (at 05:45, 31 Jan 2017 GMT) Neutral A$0.94 Valuation - Peer multiples A$ 1.02 12-month target A$ 1.02 12-month TSR % +18.3 Volatility Index High GICS sector Commercial & Professional
More informationGeneration Healthcare REIT
AUSTRALIA GHC AU Price (at 06:13, 24 Aug 2015 GMT) Neutral A$1.65 Valuation - Sum of Parts A$ 1.51-1.59 12-month target A$ 1.59 12-month TSR % +1.8 Volatility Index Low GICS sector Real Estate Market cap
More informationFisher & Paykel Healthcare
NEW ZEALAND FPH NZ Price (at 03:59, 16 Mar 2015 GMT) Outperform NZ$6.63 Valuation NZ$ 6.86 - DCF (WACC 8.8%, beta 0.9, ERP 7.0%, RFR 4.5%, TGR 2.0%) 12-month target NZ$ 7.25 12-month TSR % +11.6 Volatility
More informationBoart Longyear. Earnings and target price revision. No change. Price catalyst. Action and recommendation
AUSTRALIA BLY AU Price (at 08:01, 12 Sep 2013 GMT) Neutral A$0.50 Valuation A$ 0.71 - DCF (WACC 10.1%, beta 1.5, ERP 0.1%, RFR 0.1%, TGR 0.0%) 12-month target A$ 0.56 12-month TSR % +12.0 Volatility Index
More informationNEW ZEALAND Price Valuation NZ$ 1.74 Event 12-month target NZ$ month TSR % -10.1
NEW ZEALAND GNE NZ Price (at 05:06, 24 Feb 2015 GMT) Underperform NZ$2.20 Valuation NZ$ 1.74 - DCF (WACC 8.1%, beta 0.6, ERP 7.0%, RFR 3.6%, TGR 2.1%) 12-month target NZ$ 1.82 12-month TSR % -10.1 Volatility
More informationAustralian Banks. Money Talks vertically challenged AUSTRALIA. Inside. Majors average short positions and banks index
Jun- Dec- Jun- Dec- Jun- Dec- Jun-1 Dec-1 Jun-11 Dec-11 Jun-1 Dec-1 Jun-1 Dec-1 Jun-1 Dec-1 Jun- Dec- AUSTRALIA Repricing generally follows an election s Nov Aug 1 Sep 1 1-1 Source: RBA, Macquarie Research,
More informationKaroon Gas. What a difference a day makes A$1.63 AUSTRALIA. Event. Impact. Earnings and target price revision. Price catalyst
AUSTRALIA KAR AU Price (at 05:10, 16 Mar 2017 GMT) Outperform A$1.63 Valuation A$ - DCF (WACC 11.1%, beta 1.7, ERP 5.0%, RFR 3.3%) 2.79 12-month target A$ 2.40 12-month TSR % +47.7 Volatility Index High
More informationHealthcare. Currency adjustments AUSTRALIA. Event. Impact. Outlook COH 8.0% RMD 6.9% CSL 6.0% ANN 5.0% SHL 2.6%
AUSTRALIA Recommendations: CSL Outperform P/T: $110.00 RMD Underperform P/T: $7.50 COH Outperform P/T: $100.00 SHL Outperform P/T: $24.00 ANN Outperform P/T: $26.00 RHC Outperform P/T: $75.00 A$ earnings
More informationOrocobre. Upside exposure fading. Earnings and target price revision. Price catalyst. Catalyst: Update on projects or Q1 report
AUSTRALIA ORE AU Price (at 5:11, 28 Feb 217 GMT) Neutral A$3.8 Valuation - DCF (WACC 1.%) A$ 1.34 12-month target A$ 3.17 12-month TSR % +2.9 Volatility Index High GICS sector Materials Market cap A$m
More informationOz Minerals. Solid start to the year A$5.62 AUSTRALIA. Event. Impact. Earnings and target price revision. Price catalyst. Action and recommendation
AUSTRALIA OZL AU Price (at 6:24, 21 Apr 216 GMT) Underperform A$5.62 Valuation A$ - DCF (WACC 1%, beta 1.4, ERP 5.%, RFR 3.8%) 4.61 12-month target A$ 4.6 12-month TSR % -15.5 Volatility Index High GICS
More informationAMP. Earnings and target price revision. No change. Price catalyst. Action and recommendation
AUSTRALIA AU Price (at CLOSE#, 19 Mar 213) Underperform A$5.7 Volatility index Low 12-month target A$ 4.99 12-month TSR % +3.6 Valuation - Sum of Parts A$ 4.68 GICS sector Insurance Market cap A$m 14,855
More informationKiwi Property Group. Land banking for the future NZ$1.43 NEW ZEALAND. Event. Impact. Earnings and target price revision.
NEW ZEALAND KPG NZ Price (at 08:19, 07 Apr 2017 GMT) Outperform NZ$1.43 Valuation NZ$ 1.53 - DCF (WACC 6.9%, beta 0.6, ERP 7.0%, RFR 3.5%, TGR 2.0%) 12-month target NZ$ 1.53 12-month TSR % +11.8 Volatility
More informationCIMIC Group. Earnings and target price revision. No change. Price catalyst. Catalyst: Q1 earnings 13 April. Action and recommendation
AUSTRALIA CIM AU Price (at 05:10, 31 Mar 2017 GMT) Outperform A$35.93 Valuation A$ 42.69 - DCF (WACC 8.5%, beta 1.4, ERP 5.0%, RFR 3.3%, TGR 2.0%) 12-month target A$ 42.50 12-month TSR % +22.0 Volatility
More informationVista Group International
NEW ZEALAND VGL NZ Price (at 03:15, 26 Feb 2015 GMT) Outperform NZ$4.35 Valuation NZ$ 4.31 - DCF (WACC 9.9%, beta 1.0, ERP 7.0%, RFR 4.0%, TGR 2.0%) 12-month target NZ$ 4.75 12-month TSR % +9.5 Volatility
More informationPerseus Mining. Revised Sissingué plan A$0.31 AUSTRALIA. Event. Impact. Earnings and target price revision. Price catalyst. Action and recommendation
AUSTRALIA PRU AU Price (at 5:1, 31 Mar 217 GMT) Neutral A$.31 Valuation A$ - DCF (WACC 1.%, beta.4, ERP 5.%, RFR 3.3%).35 12-month target A$.32 12-month TSR % +3.2 Volatility Index Very High GICS sector
More informationDowner EDI Two out of three ain t bad Event
AUSTRALIA DOW AU Price (at 06:26, 01 Dec 2016 GMT) Outperform A$6.08 Valuation - Sum of Parts A$ 5.69-6.38 12-month target A$ 6.40 12-month TSR % +9.6 Volatility Index Medium GICS sector Commercial & Professional
More informationPilbara Minerals (PLS AU) Ramp-up gaining traction
17 January 219 Australia EQUITIES PLS AU Price (at 5:1, 16 Jan 219 GMT) Outperform A$.7 Valuation A$ 1.11 - DCF (WACC 1.%, beta 1.6, ERP 5.%, RFR 3.8%) 12-month target A$ 1.2 12-month TSR % +72.7 Volatility
More informationSandfire Resources. Swings to net cash A$5.34 AUSTRALIA. Event. Impact. Earnings and target price revision. Price catalyst. Action and recommendation
AUSTRALIA SFR AU Price (at 6:11, 7 Jul 216 GMT) Outperform A$5.34 Valuation A$ - DCF (WACC 9.%, beta 1.4, ERP 5.%, RFR 3.3%) 5.82 12-month target A$ 6.1 12-month TSR % +18.3 Volatility Index Medium GICS
More informationAust. General Insurance
AUSTRALIA June 2016 3 mth rolling market results Personal Commercial Market Average Rate Growth -3. -3.6% -3.3% GWP Growth 1.8% -0.8% 0.9% Volume Growth 2.8% 0.8% 2.1% Est. Exposure Value Growth 2. 2.
More informationAuckland International Airport
NEW ZEALAND AIA NZ Price (at 04:00, 27 Nov 2013 GMT) Neutral NZ$3.42 Valuation NZ$ 3.37 - DCF (WACC 8.0%, beta 0.9, ERP 7.0%, RFR 4.3%, TGR 3.0%) 12-month target NZ$ 3.37 12-month TSR % +2.6 Volatility
More informationRegis Resources. Strong 1H15 result A$1.29 AUSTRALIA. Event. Impact. Earnings and target price revision. Price catalyst. Action and recommendation
AUSTRALIA RRL AU Price (at 7:29, 13 2 GMT) Outperform A$1.29 Valuation A$ - DCF (WACC 9.%, beta 1.5, ERP 5.%, RFR 3.8%) 1.68 12-month target A$ 1.7 12-month TSR % +37.2 Volatility Index High GICS sector
More informationAussie Macro Moment. Budget 16/17 careful consolidation AUSTRALIA. Event. Impact. Outlook
AUSTRALIA Lower deficits still in train, arriving late - - - /5 /7-5 -5 Jun-9 Jun- Jun Jun-8 Jun Jun Jun- Revenue recovery remains sluggish 7 5 Australian Federal : Underlying Balance ( of GDP) 5/ Spending
More informationAustralian Mobile Market
AUSTRALIA Telstra data inclusions on key post-paid plans $130 $130 $95 $70 $55 Optus data inclusions on key post-paid plans "Everyday Connect" "Mobile Accelerate" $50 $40 Vodafone data inclusions on key
More informationPanAust. Larger impairment and dividend cut A$1.35 AUSTRALIA. Event. Impact. Earnings and target price revision. Price catalyst
AUSTRALIA PNA AU Price (at 7:6, 19 Feb 215 GMT) Outperform A$1.35 Valuation A$ - DCF (WACC 11.%, beta 1.7, ERP 5.%, RFR 3.8%) 1.73 12-month target A$ 1.7 12-month TSR % +25.9 Volatility Index High GICS
More informationIron Mountain. US$10 worth Recalling at investor day US$31.83 UNITED STATES. Event. Impact. Earnings and target price revision.
UNITED STATES IRM US Price (at 20:03, 07 Oct 2015 GMT) Outperform US$31.83 Valuation - DCF (WACC 6.1%) US$ 40.00 12-month target US$ 40.00 12-month TSR % +31.6 GICS sector Real Estate Market cap US$m 6,711
More informationFortescue Metals Group
AUSTRALIA FMG AU Price (at 5:1, 5 Mar 215 GMT) Neutral A$2.29 Valuation A$ 2.6 - DCF (WACC 1.%, beta 1.4, ERP 5.%, RFR 3.8%, TGR 2.6%) 12-month target A$ 2.6 12-month TSR % +16. Volatility Index High GICS
More informationSingTel. Earnings and target price revision. Price catalyst. Action and recommendation. Maintain Outperform.
AUSTRALIA SGT AU Price (at 05:10, 06 Dec 2012 GMT) Outperform A$2.59 Volatility index Low 12-month target A$ 2.81 12-month TSR % +14.6 Valuation - Sum of Parts A$ 2.81 GICS sector Telecommunication Services
More informationCarsales.com. Motoring along nicely A$10.23 AUSTRALIA. Event. Impact. Earnings and target price revision. Price catalyst. Action and recommendation
AUSTRALIA CRZ AU Price (at 9:48, 18 Feb 15 GMT) Outperform A$1.23 Valuation A$ 12.59 - DCF (WACC 8.1%, beta 1.2, ERP 5., RFR 3.8%, TGR 3.) 12-month target A$ 12.3 12-month TSR % +24.1 Volatility Index
More informationANZ Bank. Turning the corner? Earnings and target price revision. Price catalyst. Catalyst: 1Q17 Trading update, February 2017.
AUSTRALIA ANZ AU Price (at 11:16, 3 Nov 216 GMT) Outperform A$27.35 Valuation A$ 27.47- - Sum of Parts/GG 29.23 12-month target A$ 28.5 12-month TSR +1.2 Volatility Index Low/Medium GICS sector Banks Market
More informationSingTel. Optus rises A$3.98 AUSTRALIA. Event. Impact. Earnings and target price revision. Price catalyst. Action and recommendation
AUSTRALIA SGT AU Price (at 05:10, 12 Feb 2015 GMT) Outperform A$3.98 Valuation - Sum of Parts A$ 4.64-4.73 12-month target A$ 4.69 12-month TSR % +22.4 Volatility Index Low GICS sector Telecommunication
More informationDexus Property Group. Infra driving industrial demand A$9.94 AUSTRALIA. Event. Impact. Earnings and target price revision.
AUSTRALIA DXS AU Price (at 06:10, 06 Apr 2017 GMT) Neutral A$9.94 Valuation - NAV A$ 9.20-9.57 12-month target A$ 9.57 12-month TSR % +1.0 Volatility Index Low GICS sector Real Estate Market cap A$m 9,621
More informationPremier Investments. Making a move? A$14.18 AUSTRALIA. Event. Impact. Earnings and target price revision. Price catalyst. Action and recommendation
AUSTRALIA PMV AU Price (at 09:06, 29 Mar 2017 GMT) Outperform A$14.18 Valuation - Sum of Parts A$ 17.19 12-month target A$ 17.92 12-month TSR % +30.4 Volatility Index Low/Medium GICS sector Retailing Market
More informationIndependence Group NL
AUSTRALIA IGO AU Price (at 12:29, 26 Oct 216 GMT) Outperform A$4.25 Valuation A$ - DCF (WACC 8.4%, beta 1.2, ERP 5.%, RFR 3.3%) 3.98 12-month target A$ 5. 12-month TSR % +2.2 Volatility Index High GICS
More informationGenesis Energy. A 9% FCF yield and you call underperform? NZ$1.71 NEW ZEALAND. Event. Impact. Earnings and target price revision.
NEW ZEALAND GNE NZ Price (at 06:49, 29 Jul 2015 GMT) Underperform NZ$1.71 Valuation NZ$ 1.60 - DCF (WACC 8.0%, beta 0.6, ERP 7.0%, RFR 3.5%, TGR 2.1%) 12-month target NZ$ 1.65 12-month TSR % +6.1 Volatility
More informationRamsay Health Care (RHC AU) RHC UK on the mend?
17 October 2018 Australia EQUITIES RHC AU Price (at 05:48, 17 Oct 2018 GMT) Outperform A$54.18 Valuation A$ 68.50 - DCF (WACC 7.4%, beta 0.9, ERP 5.0%, RFR 3.7%, TGR 3.7%) 12-month target A$ 68.50 12-month
More informationAustralian Banks. Insolent Insolvencies
AUSTRALIA Insolvencies Stubborn # of Insolvencies 17, 16, 15, 14, 13, 12, 11, 1, Source: ASIC, Macquarie Research, Dec 212 WA/VIC insolvencies deterioration 2.4 2.2 Jan- 2 1.8 1.6 1.4 1.2 1 Source: ASIC,
More informationAventus Retail Property Fund
AUSTRALIA AVN AU Price (at 06:10, 29 Apr 2016 GMT) A$2.16 Volatility Index Low GICS sector Real Estate Market cap A$m 741 30-day avg turnover A$m 0.7 Number shares on issue m 343.2 Investment fundamentals
More informationSilver Lake Resources
AUSTRALIA SLR AU Price (at 12:42, 27 Jan 215 GMT) Neutral A$.25 Valuation - DCF (WACC 1.%) A$.23 12-month target A$.23 12-month TSR % -8. Volatility Index Very High GICS sector Materials Market cap A$m
More information3P Learning. Coming to America... A$2.55 AUSTRALIA. Event. Impact. Earnings and target price revision. Price catalyst. Action and recommendation
AUSTRALIA 3PL AU Price (at 09:19, 02 Mar 2015 GMT) Outperform A$2.55 Valuation - DCF A$ 2.65-3.35 12-month target A$ 3.00 12-month TSR % +18.9 Volatility Index Low/Medium GICS sector Consumer Services
More informationRyman Healthcare. Arrested development NZ$9.60 NEW ZEALAND. Event. Impact. Earnings and target price revision. Price catalyst
NEW ZEALAND RYM NZ Price (at 6:, 19 May 216 GMT) Outperform NZ$9.6 Valuation NZ$ 1.5 - DCF (WACC 9.%, beta.8, ERP 7.%, RFR 4.5%, TGR 2.%) 12-month target NZ$ 11. 12-month TSR % +16.5 Volatility Index Low
More informationAsaleo Care. NZ$ pulped. We review the outlook for Asaleo. Earnings and target price revision. Price catalyst. Catalyst: CY15 results.
AUSTRALIA AHY AU Price (at 06:10, 16 Jul 2015 GMT) Outperform A$1.80 Valuation - EV/EBITA A$ 1.90-2.00 12-month target A$ 2.00 12-month TSR % +16.8 Volatility Index Low GICS sector Household & Personal
More informationOz Minerals. Raises copper production outlook A$9.08 AUSTRALIA. Event. Impact. Earnings and target price revision. Price catalyst
AUSTRALIA OZL AU Price (at 7:28, 3 Jan 27 GMT) Neutral A$9.8 Valuation A$ - DCF (WACC 9.%, beta.4, ERP 5.%, RFR 3.3%) 8.48 2-month target A$ 9.3 2-month TSR % +4.6 Volatility Index High GICS sector Materials
More informationAUSTRALIA Price Valuation A$ 7.52 Event 12-month target A$ month TSR % +3.4
AUSTRALIA ILU AU Price (at 05:10, 19 Feb 2015 GMT) Neutral A$7.59 Valuation A$ 7.52 - DCF (WACC 9.0%, beta 1.5, ERP 5.0%, RFR 4.5%, TGR 3.9%) 12-month target A$ 7.50 12-month TSR % +3.4 Volatility Index
More informationBendigo and Adelaide Bank
AUSTRALIA BEN AU Price (at CLOSE#, 17 Aug 2012) Neutral A$8.69 Volatility index Low 12-month target A$ 9.28 12-month TSR % +14.0 Valuation - DCF (WACC 12.1%) A$ 8.28 GICS sector Banks Market cap A$m 3,447
More informationFisher & Paykel Healthcare
NEW ZEALAND FPH NZ Price (at 05:00, 28 May 2015 GMT) Outperform NZ$6.30 Valuation NZ$ 7.29 - DCF (WACC 8.8%, beta 0.9, ERP 7.0%, RFR 4.5%, TGR 2.0%) 12-month target NZ$ 7.25 12-month TSR % +17.6 Volatility
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