Crown Resorts. A favourable risk/reward setting A$12.94 AUSTRALIA. Event. Impact. Earnings and target price revision.

Size: px
Start display at page:

Download "Crown Resorts. A favourable risk/reward setting A$12.94 AUSTRALIA. Event. Impact. Earnings and target price revision."

Transcription

1 AUSTRALIA CWN AU Price (at 06:10, 06 Jul 2015 GMT) Outperform A$12.94 Valuation A$ DCF (WACC 8.6%, beta 1.2, ERP 5., RFR 3.8%, TGR 2.) 12-month target A$ month TSR % Volatility Index Low/Medium GICS sector Consumer Services Market cap A$m 9, day avg turnover A$m 22.5 Number shares on issue m Investment fundamentals Year end 30 Jun 2014A 2015E 2016E 2017E m 2, , , ,768.0 EBIT m Reported profit m Adjusted profit m Gross cashflow m CFPS CFPS growth % PGCFPS x PGCFPS rel x EPS adj EPS adj growth % PER adj x PER rel x Total DPS Total div yield % Franking % ROA % ROE % EV/EBITDA x Net debt/equity % P/BV x CWN AU vs ASX 100, & rec history Note: Recommendation timeline - if not a continuous line, then there was no Macquarie coverage at the time or there was an embargo period. Source: FactSet, Macquarie Research, July 2015 (all figures in AUD unless noted) 7 July 2015 Macquarie Securities (Australia) Limited A favourable risk/reward setting Event We adjust our near-term domestic profit expectations following a number of recent data points and industry discussions that suggest a favourable outlook for Crown s domestic assets, albeit at a more modest near-term growth rate. All in, we view the risk/reward setting as favourable. Impact Improving momentum in Melbourne. Our positive outlook on Crown is premised on the firm s solid operation footprint in Australia, with +4-6% main gaming floor growth across the domestic casinos through FY17 combining with a solid outlook for VIP revenue, as outlined in our recent VIP focused report titled Following Chinese footsteps. Recent data releases suggest that EGM revenue momentum is improving in Victoria, with VCGLR data showing +3.8% EGM revenue growth across Victoria for the first five months of 2015, likely supported by lower interest rates and improved consumer sentiment. We model MGF revenue growth of +5.1%. On VIP, we model revenue growth of +21.5% vs the pcp, which sits 16% below 1H15, and EBITDA growth of +9.4%. Our VIP margin lag is based on a +7.5% increase to VIP commission rates, resulting in a $14m EBITDA headwind vs the pcp. Combined, we model Crown Melbourne 2H15 revenue/ EBITDA growth at +9.8/+3.8%. Crown Perth outperforming local economy. While the macro setting in WA has kept investors wary of growth in Crown Perth, our recent visit suggests the firm is well positioned for MGF/VIP revenue growth of +3/+13%. Despite the recent VIP tax rate cut improving Perth s ability to attract customers from SE Asia, in addition to a continued cost-out program, we view the margin benefit as minimal due to the likely increase in VIP commission rates. Further offsetting the margin benefit, we expect the VIP tax base as likely to fall short of the minimum tax guarantee to the WA Govt, requiring a further $1-2m tax contribution. We model 2H15 Perth revenue/ebitda growth of +7.1/6.3%. CrownBet marketing to weigh on Wagering. We model a ramp-up in marketing is likely to weigh on the Wagering division following the tie-up with BetEasy in 1H15. The division posted 1H15 revenue at $23.7m and EBITDA of -$5.2m, however we note this represented only two weeks of the combined entity. In 2H15, we model revenue of $45m, based on turnover of ~$560m and a yield of 8%. Accounting for the notable step up in marketing, we model an EBITDA loss for 2H15 at -$10.0m. We model the Wagering division to return to profitability in 2H16 as marketing spend falls to a normalised level. Earnings and target price revision EPS changes: FY15E -5.7%, FY16E -4.1%, FY17E -2.8%. Our target price falls to $16.20 (from $16.50). Price catalyst 12-month price target: A$16.20 based on a Sum of Parts methodology. Catalyst: FY15 earnings release, August 13th. Action and recommendation Maintain Outperform. We view the risk/reward setting as favourable. Please refer to page 8 for important disclosures and analyst certification, or on our website

2 2H15 results preview VIP strength combines with satisfactory main gaming floor. Despite a weak consumer environment in Crown s key domestic markets of Melbourne and Perth, combined with welldocumented headwinds in Macau, we view Crown as likely to post group revenue growth of +11.7% and earnings growth of +0.7%, after accounting for the tie-up with BetEasy. On a like-forlike basis (ex-wagering), we model revenue growth of +8.7% and EBITDA growth of +3.3%. Per our industry checks, Crown Melbourne remains well positioned to post 2H15 revenue growth of +9.8%, supported by +5.1% revenue growth on the main gaming floor and +21.5% VIP growth. Latest data released by the VCGLR highlights Victorian EGM expenditure growth of +3.8% for the five months to May 2015, likely supporting Melbourne MGF growth. For Crown Perth, investor focus has centred on the slowing macro setting in Western Australia. While not immune to this slowdown, we model Crown Perth posting +7.1% revenue growth, supported by the main gaming floor posting solid revenue growth of +3.1%, and VIP revenue growth of As such, we model Australian casino revenue growth of +8.9%, with EBITDA growth of +4.5% lagging revenue growth based on an uptick in VIP commissions as Crown continues to build out their share in regional VIP turnover, as we have previously outlined in our recent Asian regional casino piece titled Search for life beyond Macau, and our research report titled Following Chinese footsteps. CrownBet ramp-up likely to weigh on near-term EBITDA. We model a ramp-up in marketing spend is likely to weigh on Crown s Wagering division following the tie-up with BetEasy in December 2014, in which Crown s wholly owned sports book, Betfair, combined with BetEasy s fixed odds business in a JV. The Wagering division posted 1H15 revenue at $23.7m and an EBITDA loss of -$5.2m, however we note this represented only two weeks of the combined entity. For 2H15, we model revenue of $45m, derived from turnover of ~$560m and a revenue yield of 8%. Accounting for the notable step up in marketing to build out the CrownBet brand, we model an EBITDA loss for 2H15 at -$10.0m. We view CrownBet as well positioned to be a disruptive force within the Australian online wagering sector, and model the division to return to positive EBITDA in 2H16 based on increased turnover share and a slow-down in the aggressive marketing ramp-up. Fig 1 CWN FY15 result preview $m 1H15 yoy chg 2H15e yoy chg FY15e yoy chg Crown Melbourne 1, % 1, % 2, Crown Perth % % % Australian casino revenue 1, % 1, % 3, % Aspinalls % % % Wagering 23.7 na 45.0 na 68.7 na Group revenue 1, % 1, % 3, % EBITDA Crown Melbourne % % % Crown Perth % % Australian casino EBITDA % % % Australian casino EBITDA margin 29.4% 27.6% 28.5% Aspinalls % % % Wagering -5.2 na na na Corporate % % Group EBITDA % % % Group EBITDA margin 26.3% 23.9% 25.1% D&A % % EBIT (normalised, theoretical) % % Associates contribution (normalised) % % % EBIT % Net interest % % % EBT % % % Normalised tax % % Adjusted Profit % % % Adjusted EPS % % % DPS Source: Company data, Macquarie Research, July July

3 Jan-10 Apr-10 Jun-10 Sep-10 Dec-10 Mar-11 Jun-11 Sep-11 Dec-11 Mar-12 Jun-12 Sep-12 Dec-12 Mar-13 Jun-13 Sep-13 Dec-13 Mar-14 Jun-14 Sep-14 Dec-14 Mar-15 Jun-15 Macquarie Wealth Management Fig 2 Macquarie vs. consensus expectations - Sales, EBITDA, & EPS (A$m, except EPS) Macquarie Estimates & Variance Consensus Estimates Company Name Identifier Rating Metric FY0 FY1 FY2 FY0 FY1 FY2 Limited CWN-AU OP Sales 3, , , , , ,449.8 EBITDA EBITDA Margin 25.9% 25.1% 26.6% 25.9% 26.1% 26.1% Source: FactSet, Macquarie Research, July 2015 EPS Fig 3 Crown s domestic casinos are trading at a 1-turn discount to Echo, reversing the average 1-turn premium averaged over the past four years EV/EBITDA (FY1) 11.0x 10.0x CWN/MPEL EGP 9.0x 8.4x 8.0x 7.0x 7.6x 6.0x 5.0x Source: Bloomberg, Macquarie Research, July 2015 Fig 4 Victorian gaming expenditure vs. Melbourne main gaming floor growth. Latest data from the VCGLR shows Victorian expenditure up +3.8% for the May YTD, supporting our outlook for +5.1% MGF revenue growth for Crown Melbourne (yoy chg) % -1.9% 5.1% 6.3% 4.5% 3.3% 2.9% 1.1% 5.7% 6.7% 2.7% 3.7% Source: VCGLR, Macquarie Research, July % 6.1% 6.6% 3.7% 2.1% 1.1% 4.3% 3.4% 5.1% 3.8% 0.1% 1.1% 1.8% -0.2% -1.9% -6.5% -7.8% FY4 FY5 FY6 FY7 FY8 FY9 FY10 FY11 FY12 1H13 2H13 1H14 2H14 1H15 2H15e Victorian EGM Expenditure - yoy chg Crown MGF - yoy chg 7 July

4 Crown Melbourne supported by MGF strength We anticipate continued strong main gaming floor growth for Crown Melbourne, with the latest VCGLR data showing +3.8% EGM revenue growth across Victoria for the first five months of 2015, likely supported by lower interest rates and improved consumer sentiment. We model MGF revenue growth of +5.1%. On VIP, we model revenue growth of +21.5% vs the pcp, which sits 16% below 1H15, and EBITDA growth of +9.4%. Our VIP margin lag is based on a +7.5% increase to VIP commission rates, resulting in a $14m EBITDA headwind vs the pcp. Combined, we model Crown Melbourne 2H15 revenue/ EBITDA growth at +9.8/+3.8%. Fig 5 Crown Melbourne P&L summary (normalised) $m 1H15a % ch 2H15e % ch FY15e % ch Main gaming floor % % 1, % VIP % % % Non-gaming % % Total revenue 1, % 1, % 2, Total EBITDA % % % EBITDA margin 30.2% 2.9% 27.3% -5.5% 28.8% -1. D&A % % EBIT % % Source: Company data, Macquarie Research, July 2015 Fig 6 Melbourne revenue growth trends Fig 7 Melbourne EBITDA margins 25% 22.5% % 33% 2 15% 1 5% 11.8% 3.3% 6.9% 0.6% 12.8% 9.8% 32% 31% 3 29% 28% 27.9% 27.8% 27.5% 29.3% 29.3% 28.9% 30.2% -5% 27% 27.3% % 26% -15% 25% Source: Company data, Macquarie Research, July 2015 Source: Company data, Macquarie Research, July 2015 Fig 8 Melbourne revenue growth trends: MGF Fig 9 Melbourne revenue growth trends: VIP 8% 7.5% % 6% 4% 2% 5.7% 3.7% -0.2% 4.3% 3.4% 5.1% % 15.1% 0.6% 42.9% 21.5% -2% -1.9% -2-4% % Source: Company data, Macquarie Research, July 2015 Source: Company data, Macquarie Research, July July

5 Crown Perth outpacing local weakness While the macro setting in WA has kept investors wary of growth in Crown Perth, our recent visit suggests the firm is well positioned for MGF/VIP revenue growth of +3/+13%, with visitation remaining relatively strong, offsetting a decline in per capita spending. Despite the recent VIP tax rate cut improving Perth s ability to attract customers from SE Asia, in addition to a continued cost-out program, we view the margin benefit as minimal due to the likely increase in VIP commission rates. We model 2H15 Perth revenue/ebitda growth of +7.1/6.3%. Fig 10 Crown Perth P&L summary (normalised) $m 1H15a % ch 2H15e % ch FY15e % ch Main gaming floor % % % VIP % % Non-gaming % % Total revenue % % % Total EBITDA % % EBITDA margin 27.5% 5.2% 28.4% -0.7% 27.9% 2.2% D&A % % EBIT % % Source: Company data, Macquarie Research, July 2015 Fig 11 Perth growth trends: Fig 12 Perth EBITDA margins 18% 16.7% % 3 16% 29.1% 14% 29% 28.5% 28.6% 28.4% 12% 1 8% 6% 8.2% 8.9% 9.8% 4.3% 7.1% 28% 27% 28.6% 27.7% 27.5% 4% 2% 1.7% 2.4% 26% 26.1% 25% Source: Company data, Macquarie Research, July 2015 Source: Company data, Macquarie Research, July 2015 Fig 13 Perth growth trends: MGF revenue Fig 14 Perth growth trends: VIP revenue 12% 10.9% % % 8% 6% 5.1% 3.7% 4% 3.1% 2.2% 2% -2% -1.3% % % 3.8% 1.9% 1.2% 2.9% Source: Company data, Macquarie Research, July 2015 Source: Company data, Macquarie Research, July July

6 Crown Limited (CWN.AU) Interim results 1H15 2H15e 1H16e 2H16e Profit & Loss FY14 FY15e FY16e FY17e Crown Melbourne (normalised) $m 1, , , ,162.4 Crown Melbourne (normalised) $m 1, , , ,417.4 Burswood (normalised) $m Burswood (normalised) $m ,101.3 Aspinalls (normalised) $m Aspinalls (normalised) $m Other revenue $m Other revenue $m Total (normalised) $m 1, , , ,767.2 Total (normalised) $m 2, , , ,768.0 Total (reported) $m 1, , , ,712.2 Total (reported) $m 3, , , ,652.5 EBITDA EBITDA Crown Melbourne (normalised) $m Crown Melbourne (normalised) $m Burswood (normalised) $m Burswood (normalised) $m Aspinalls (normalised) $m Aspinalls (normalised) $m Corporate/mark to market/dividends $m Corporate/mark to market/dividends $m Total EBITDA (normalised) $m Total EBITDA (normalised) $m ,027.6 Total EBITDA (reported) $m Total EBITDA (reported) $m ,027.6 Depreciation & Amortisation Depreciation & Amortisation Crown Melbourne $m Crown Melbourne $m Burswood $m Burswood $m Aspinalls $m Aspinalls $m Corporate $m Corporate $m Total D&A $m Total D&A $m Normalised EBIT $m Normalised EBIT $m EBIT non-recurring (adj. for actual win-rate) $m EBIT non-recurring (adj. for actual win-rate) $m Other EBIT non-recurring $m Other EBIT non-recurring $m Reported EBIT (pre-associates) $m Reported EBIT (pre-associates) $m MPEL (33.5%) at actual $m MPEL (33.5%) at actual $m Normalisation of MPEL $m Normalisation of MPEL $m MPEL (33.5%) at theoretical $m MPEL (33.5%) at theoretical $m Aspinalls (5) $m Aspinalls (5) $m Betfair Australia (5) $m Betfair Australia (5) $m Gateway (5) $m Gateway (5) $m Cannery (24.5%) - non-participating $m Cannery (24.5%) - non-participating $m Reported EBIT $m Reported EBIT $m Net Interest $m Net Interest $m EBT $m EBT $m Normalised tax expense $m Normalised tax expense $m Non recurring tax expense $m Non recurring tax expense $m Reported tax expense $m Reported tax expense $m NPAT $m NPAT $m Normalisation of Associates net profits $m Normalisation of Associates net profits $m Reported Profit $m Reported Profit $m Cons. Adj. Profit $m Cons. Adj. Profit $m Gross Cashflow $m Gross Cashflow $m Profit and Loss ratios 1H15 2H15e 1H16e 2H16e Profit and Loss ratios FY14 FY15e FY16e FY17e Reported EPS cps Reported EPS cps Adjusted EPS cps Adjusted EPS cps PER (Adj. Earnings) x 18.4x 32.6x 20.4x 25.3x PER (Adj. Earnings) x 18.4x 23.5x 22.6x 20.8x DPS cps DPS cps Dividend Yield % 2.2% 2.3% 2.3% 2.3% Dividend Yield % 2.3% 2.3% 2.3% 2.3% Payout ratio % 41% 77% 41% 58% Payout ratio % 42% 42% 42% 42% growth % 17.1% 11.7% 4.5% 7.2% growth % 1.5% 14.4% 5.8% 6. EBITDA growth % 14.8% 0.7% 6.4% 18.6% EBITDA growth % 3.2% 7.8% % EBITDA margin % 26.3% 23.9% 26.8% 26.4% EBITDA margin % 26.7% 25.1% 26.6% 27.3% EBIT growth % 19.7% -3.7% 6.1% 25. EBIT growth % 3.4% % 7.8% Effective tax rate % 17.5% 24.8% 18.9% 21. Effective tax rate % 12.7% % 19.7% EV/EBITDA x 15.6x 18.4x 15.4x 16.1x EV/EBITDA x 17.1x 17.2x 15.9x 14.8x EV/EBIT x 21.8x 28.0x 21.6x 23.3x EV/EBIT x 24.8x 24.9x 22.6x 21.3x FCFEps cps FCFEps cps FCFE Yield % -0.7% -0.5% -2.3% -2.5% FCFE Yield % 2.5% -0.6% -2.4% 0.4% Balance sheet ratios 1H15 2H15e 1H16e 2H16e Balance sheet ratios FY14 FY15e FY16e FY17e ROE % 15.3% 8.2% 12.9% 10.3% ROE % 16.1% 11.3% 11.5% 12.1% ROA % 8.9% 4.5% 6.8% 5.3% ROA % 8.8% 5.9% 5.8% 6.1% ROFE % 9.6% 7.3% 9.2% 8.3% ROFE % 9.7% 8.2% 8.5% 8.8% Net Debt $m 2, , , ,247.8 Net Debt $m 1, , , ,468.5 Net Debt / Equity x 0.5x 0.6x 0.7x 0.7x Net Debt / Equity x 0.4x 0.6x 0.7x 0.7x Net Debt / EBITDA x 2.5x 3.4x 3.1x 3.5x Net Debt / EBITDA x 2.0x 3.2x 3.4x 3.4x Net Interest Cover (EBIT) x 6.2x 3.7x 5.2x 4.3x Net Interest Cover (EBIT) x 5.4x 4.8x 4.7x 4.6x Net Interest Cover (EBITDA) x 8.6x 5.7x 7.2x 6.3x Net Interest Cover (EBITDA) x 7.9x 7.0x 6.7x 6.6x Price/NTA x 0.3x 0.2x 0.2x 0.2x Price/NTA x 0.3x 0.2x 0.2x 0.3x NTA per share $ NTA per share $ EFPOWA m EFPOWA m Cashflow Analysis 1H15 2H15e 1H16e 2H16e Cashflow Analysis FY14 FY15e FY16e FY17e EBITDA $m EBITDA $m , Tax $m Tax $m Interest paid $m Interest paid $m Change in WC $m Change in WC $m Net Operating cashflows $m Net Operating cashflows $m Capex $m Capex $m Acquisitions / (Divestments) $m Acquisitions / (Divestments) $m Other inv. Cashflows $m Other inv. Cashflows $m Net Investing cashflows $m Net Investing cashflows $m , Dividends Paid $m Dividends Paid $m Equity movements $m Equity movements $m Debt Movements $m Debt Movements $m , Other $m Other $m Net Financing cashflows $m Net Financing cashflows $m Net Increase in Cash $m Net Increase in Cash $m Net Exchange Rate Differences $m Net Exchange Rate Differences $m Net Cash Movement $m Net Cash Movement $m Balance Sheet FY14 FY15e FY16e FY17e (FY15e) Cash $m Cash $m Receivables $m Other Receivables $m Inventories Aspinalls revenue $m Inventories $m Investments, equity method 4% $m2% 1, , , ,816.8 Investments, equity method $m 1, , , ,772.8 Other Investments $m Other Investments $m PPE $m 3, , , ,544.1 PPE $m 3, , , ,960.3 Intangibles $m 1, , , ,645.0 Intangibles $m , , ,645.0 Other Assets $m Other Assets $m Total Assets Burswood $m 8, , , ,198.7 Total Assets $m 6, , , , Crown Short Term Debt $m Short Term Debt $m Melbourne Long Term Debt $m 2, , , ,576.9 Long Term Debt $m 1, , , , % Other Liabilities $m 1, ,005.3 Other Liabilities $m , ,030.7 Total Liabilities $m 3, , , ,652.4 Total Liabilities $m 2, , , ,898.5 Shareholders Funds $m 4, , , ,546.3 Shareholders Funds $m 3, , , ,698.4 Source: Company data, Macquarie Research, July July

7 Fundamentals Macquarie Wealth Management Macquarie Quant View The quant model currently holds a neutral view on. The strongest style exposure is Quality, indicating this stock is likely to have a superior and more stable underlying earnings stream. The weakest style exposure is Price Momentum, indicating this stock has had weak medium to long term returns which often persist into the future. 246/381 Global rank in Consumer Services % of BUY recommendations 5 (6/12) Number of Price Target downgrades 2 Number of Price Target upgrades 1 Attractive Quant Local market rank Global sector rank Displays where the company s ranked based on the fundamental consensus Price Target and Macquarie s Quantitative Alpha model. Two rankings: Local market (Australia & NZ) and Global sector (Consumer Services) Macquarie Alpha Model ranking A list of comparable companies and their Macquarie Alpha model score (higher is better). Factors driving the Alpha Model For the comparable firms this chart shows the key underlying styles and their contribution to the current overall Alpha score. Echo Entertainment Group Echo Entertainment Group Las Vegas Sands -0.6 Las Vegas Sands Galaxy Entertainment Wynn Resorts Melco Crown Entertainment Wynn Macau Galaxy Entertainment Wynn Resorts Melco Crown Entertainment Wynn Macau Valuations Growth Profitability Earnings Momentum Price Momentum Quality Macquarie Earnings Sentiment Indicator The Macquarie Sentiment Indicator is an enhanced earnings revisions signal that favours analysts who have more timely and higher conviction revisions. Current score shown below. Drivers of Stock Return Breakdown of 1 year total return (local currency) into returns from dividends, changes in forward earnings estimates and the resulting change in earnings multiple. Echo Entertainment Group Las Vegas Sands Galaxy Entertainment Wynn Resorts Melco Crown Entertainment Wynn Macau Echo Entertainment Group Las Vegas Sands Galaxy Entertainment Wynn Resorts Melco Crown Entertainment Wynn Macau Dividend Return Multiple Return Earnings Outlook 1Yr Total Return What drove this Company in the last 5 years Which factor score has had the greatest correlation with the company s returns over the last 5 years. Change in PPE FY0 Net Buybacks to Mkt Cap Capex to Sales FY0 Price to Earnings FY0 Sales Revisions 3 Month Turnover(USD) 125 Day Turnover (USD) 20 Day Working Capital Inc. Negatives Positives -26% -27% -28% -33% 28% 27% 41% 37% How it looks on the Alpha model A more granular view of the underlying style scores that drive the alpha (higher is better) and the percentile rank relative to the sector and market. Alpha Model Score Valuation Growth Profitability Earnings Momentum Price Momentum Quality Capital & Funding Liquidity Risk Technicals & Trading Normalized Score Percentile relative to sector(/381) Percentile relative to market(/415) Source (all charts): FactSet, Thomson Reuters, and Macquarie Research. For more details on the Macquarie Alpha model or for more customised analysis and screens, please contact the Macquarie Global Quantitative/Custom Products Group (cpg@macquarie.com) 7 July

8 Important disclosures: Recommendation definitions Macquarie - Australia/New Zealand Outperform return >3% in excess of benchmark return Neutral return within 3% of benchmark return Underperform return >3% below benchmark return Benchmark return is determined by long term nominal GDP growth plus 12 month forward market dividend yield Macquarie Asia/Europe Outperform expected return >+1 Neutral expected return from -1 to +1 Underperform expected return <-1 Macquarie First South - South Africa Outperform expected return >+1 Neutral expected return from -1 to +1 Underperform expected return <-1 Macquarie - Canada Outperform return >5% in excess of benchmark return Neutral return within 5% of benchmark return Underperform return >5% below benchmark return Macquarie - USA Outperform (Buy) return >5% in excess of Russell 3000 index return Neutral (Hold) return within 5% of Russell 3000 index return Underperform (Sell) return >5% below Russell 3000 index return Volatility index definition* This is calculated from the volatility of historical price movements. Very high highest risk Stock should be expected to move up or down in a year investors should be aware this stock is highly speculative. High stock should be expected to move up or down at least 40 6 in a year investors should be aware this stock could be speculative. Medium stock should be expected to move up or down at least 30 4 in a year. Low medium stock should be expected to move up or down at least 25 3 in a year. Low stock should be expected to move up or down at least 15 25% in a year. * Applicable to Asia/Australian/NZ/Canada stocks only Recommendations 12 months Note: Quant recommendations may differ from Fundamental Analyst recommendations Financial definitions All "Adjusted" data items have had the following adjustments made: Added back: goodwill amortisation, provision for catastrophe reserves, IFRS derivatives & hedging, IFRS impairments & IFRS interest expense Excluded: non recurring items, asset revals, property revals, appraisal value uplift, preference dividends & minority interests EPS = adjusted net profit / efpowa* ROA = adjusted ebit / average total assets ROA Banks/Insurance = adjusted net profit /average total assets ROE = adjusted net profit / average shareholders funds Gross cashflow = adjusted net profit + depreciation *equivalent fully paid ordinary weighted average number of shares All Reported numbers for Australian/NZ listed stocks are modelled under IFRS (International Financial Reporting Standards). Recommendation proportions For quarter ending 30 June 2015 AU/NZ Asia RSA USA CA EUR Outperform 46.23% 58.36% 47.27% % 43.01% (for US coverage by MCUSA, 9.68% of stocks followed are investment banking clients) Neutral 37.67% 25.65% 29.09% 49.29% 34.19% 40.93% (for US coverage by MCUSA, 5.53% of stocks followed are investment banking clients) Underperform % 23.64% 6.52% 5.16% 16.06% (for US coverage by MCUSA, 1.38% of stocks followed are investment banking clients) CWN AU vs ASX 100, & rec history (all figures in AUD currency unless noted) Note: Recommendation timeline if not a continuous line, then there was no Macquarie coverage at the time or there was an embargo period. Source: FactSet, Macquarie Research, June month target price methodology CWN AU: A$16.20 based on a Sum of Parts methodology Company-specific disclosures: CWN AU: Macquarie and its affiliates collectively and beneficially own or control 1% or more of any class of Crown Limited's equity securities. Ben Brazil, Co-Head of Macquarie Corporate & Asset Finance and an Executive Committee Member of Macquarie Group Limited is also a Non Executive Director of Limited. Important disclosure information regarding the subject companies covered in this report is available at Date Stock Code (BBG code) Recommendation Target Price 08-May-2015 CWN AU Outperform A$ Apr-2015 CWN AU Outperform A$ Mar-2015 CWN AU Outperform A$ Mar-2015 CWN AU Outperform A$ Feb-2015 CWN AU Outperform A$ Jan-2015 CWN AU Outperform A$ Dec-2014 CWN AU Outperform A$ May-2014 CWN AU Outperform A$ Mar-2014 CWN AU Outperform A$ Feb-2014 CWN AU Outperform A$ Feb-2014 CWN AU Outperform A$ Dec-2013 CWN AU Outperform A$ Oct-2013 CWN AU Outperform A$ Aug-2013 CWN AU Neutral A$ Jul-2013 CWN AU Neutral A$ May-2013 CWN AU Neutral A$ Feb-2013 CWN AU Outperform A$ Feb-2013 CWN AU Outperform A$ Nov-2012 CWN AU Outperform A$ Aug-2012 CWN AU Outperform A$ Aug-2012 CWN AU Outperform A$ July

9 26-Jun-2012 CWN AU Outperform A$10.00 Target price risk disclosures: CWN AU: Any inability to compete successfully in their markets may harm the business. This could be a result of many factors which may include geographic mix and introduction of improved products or service offerings by competitors. The results of operations may be materially affected by global economic conditions generally, including conditions in financial markets. The company is exposed to market risks, such as changes in interest rates, foreign exchange rates and input prices. From time to time, the company will enter into transactions, including transactions in derivative instruments, to manage certain of these exposures. Analyst certification: The views expressed in this research reflect the personal views of the analyst(s) about the subject securities or issuers and no part of the compensation of the analyst(s) was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the inclusion of specific recommendations or views in this research. The analyst principally responsible for the preparation of this research receives compensation based on overall revenues of Macquarie Group Ltd (ABN , AFSL No ) ( MGL ) and its related entities (the Macquarie Group ) and has taken reasonable care to achieve and maintain independence and objectivity in making any recommendations. General disclosure: This research has been issued by Macquarie Securities (Australia) Limited (ABN , AFSL No ) a Participant of the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) and Chi-X Australia Pty Limited. This research is distributed in Australia by Macquarie Equities Limited (ABN , AFSL No ) ("MEL"), a Participant of the ASX, and in New Zealand by Macquarie Equities New Zealand Limited ( MENZ ) an NZX Firm. Macquarie Private Wealth s services in New Zealand are provided by MENZ. Macquarie Bank Limited (ABN , AFSL No ) ( MBL ) is a company incorporated in Australia and authorised under the Banking Act 1959 (Australia) to conduct banking business in Australia. None of MBL, MGL or MENZ is registered as a bank in New Zealand by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand under the Reserve Bank of New Zealand Act Any MGL subsidiary noted in this research, apart from MBL, is not an authorised deposit-taking institution for the purposes of the Banking Act 1959 (Australia) and that subsidiary s obligations do not represent deposits or other liabilities of MBL. MBL does not guarantee or otherwise provide assurance in respect of the obligations of that subsidiary, unless noted otherwise. This research is general advice and does not take account of your objectives, financial situation or needs. Before acting on this general advice, you should consider the appropriateness of the advice having regard to your situation. We recommend you obtain financial, legal and taxation advice before making any financial investment decision. This research has been prepared for the use of the clients of the Macquarie Group and must not be copied, either in whole or in part, or distributed to any other person. If you are not the intended recipient, you must not use or disclose this research in any way. If you received it in error, please tell us immediately by return and delete the document. We do not guarantee the integrity of any s or attached files and are not responsible for any changes made to them by any other person. Nothing in this research shall be construed as a solicitation to buy or sell any security or product, or to engage in or refrain from engaging in any transaction. This research is based on information obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but the Macquarie Group does not make any representation or warranty that it is accurate, complete or up to date. We accept no obligation to correct or update the information or opinions in it. Opinions expressed are subject to change without notice. The Macquarie Group accepts no liability whatsoever for any direct, indirect, consequential or other loss arising from any use of this research and/or further communication in relation to this research. The Macquarie Group produces a variety of research products, recommendations contained in one type of research product may differ from recommendations contained in other types of research. The Macquarie Group has established and implemented a conflicts policy at group level, which may be revised and updated from time to time, pursuant to regulatory requirements; which sets out how we must seek to identify and manage all material conflicts of interest. The Macquarie Group, its officers and employees may have conflicting roles in the financial products referred to in this research and, as such, may effect transactions which are not consistent with the recommendations (if any) in this research. The Macquarie Group may receive fees, brokerage or commissions for acting in those capacities and the reader should assume that this is the case. The Macquarie Group s employees or officers may provide oral or written opinions to its clients which are contrary to the opinions expressed in this research. Important disclosure information regarding the subject companies covered in this report is available at 7 July

Platinum Asset Management

Platinum Asset Management AUSTRALIA PTM AU Price (at 06:10, 11 Jul 2016 GMT) Neutral A$5.52 Valuation A$ - DCF (WACC 9.3%, beta 1.2, ERP 5.0%, RFR 3.3%) 5.19 12-month target A$ 5.36 12-month TSR % +2.6 Volatility Index Low/Medium

More information

SG Fleet Group. Another UK acquisition. Earnings and target price revision

SG Fleet Group. Another UK acquisition. Earnings and target price revision AUSTRALIA SGF AU Price (at 08:26, 30 Nov 2016 GMT) Outperform A$3.23 Valuation - PER A$ 3.96-4.22 12-month target A$ 4.37 12-month TSR % +41.0 Volatility Index High GICS sector Commercial & Professional

More information

IOOF. Positive flows in 1Q17. FUM and Net Flows for September Qtr Source: Company data, Macquarie Research, Oct 2016.

IOOF. Positive flows in 1Q17. FUM and Net Flows for September Qtr Source: Company data, Macquarie Research, Oct 2016. AUSTRALIA IFL AU Price (at 06:35, 26 Oct 2016 GMT) Outperform A$8.34 Valuation A$ - DCF (WACC 8.8%, beta 1.1, ERP 5.0%, RFR 3.3%) 8.74 12-month target A$ 9.00 12-month TSR % +14.3 Volatility Index Low/Medium

More information

SG Fleet Group % growth in FY17. Earnings and target price revision. Price catalyst. Catalyst: Results and contract wins.

SG Fleet Group % growth in FY17. Earnings and target price revision. Price catalyst. Catalyst: Results and contract wins. AUSTRALIA SGF AU Price (at 07:57, 27 Oct 2016 GMT) Outperform A$3.85 Valuation - PER A$ 3.92-4.18 12-month target A$ 4.37 12-month TSR % +18.1 Volatility Index Medium GICS sector Commercial & Professional

More information

QBE Insurance. QBE ANZ performance: LMI vs. Excl. LMI (A$m) Source: Company data, Macquarie Research, April 16. Earnings and target price revision

QBE Insurance. QBE ANZ performance: LMI vs. Excl. LMI (A$m) Source: Company data, Macquarie Research, April 16. Earnings and target price revision AUSTRALIA QBE AU Price (at 10:44, 27 Apr 2016 GMT) Neutral A$11.19 Valuation A$ - DCF (WACC 9.3%, beta 1.1, ERP 5.0%, RFR 3.8%) 11.34 12-month target A$ 12.00 12-month TSR % +12.7 Volatility Index Low/Medium

More information

NIB Holdings. Lowest in 4 years still enough A$3.72 AUSTRALIA. Event. Impact. Earnings and target price revision. Price catalyst

NIB Holdings. Lowest in 4 years still enough A$3.72 AUSTRALIA. Event. Impact. Earnings and target price revision. Price catalyst AUSTRALIA NHF AU Price (at 09:52, 02 Mar 2016 GMT) Outperform A$3.72 Valuation A$ 3.85 - DCF (WACC 8.5%, beta 1.0, ERP 5.0%, RFR 3.8%, TGR 2.5%) 12-month target A$ 4.00 12-month TSR % +11.7 Volatility

More information

Eclipx Group. Highlights its funding flexibility A$3.77 AUSTRALIA. Event. Impact. Earnings and target price revision.

Eclipx Group. Highlights its funding flexibility A$3.77 AUSTRALIA. Event. Impact. Earnings and target price revision. AUSTRALIA ECX AU Price (at 02:49, 15 Dec 2016 GMT) Outperform A$3.77 Valuation - PER A$ 3.53-3.78 12-month target A$ 4.22 12-month TSR % +16.3 Volatility Index Low/Medium GICS sector Diversified Financials

More information

Automotive Holdings Group

Automotive Holdings Group AUSTRALIA AHG AU Price (at 06:14, 11 Aug 2016 GMT) Outperform A$4.61 Valuation - EV/EBITA A$ 4.09-4.63 12-month target A$ 4.36 12-month TSR % -0.2 Volatility Index Low GICS sector Retailing Market cap

More information

Silver Chef. Capital raising A$7.71 AUSTRALIA. Event. Impact. Earnings and target price revision. Price catalyst. Action and recommendation

Silver Chef. Capital raising A$7.71 AUSTRALIA. Event. Impact. Earnings and target price revision. Price catalyst. Action and recommendation AUSTRALIA SIV AU Price (at 08:50, 21 Mar 2017 GMT) Neutral A$7.71 Valuation - PER A$ 6.68 12-month target A$ 6.68 12-month TSR % -7.4 Volatility Index Medium GICS sector Capital Goods Market cap A$m 278

More information

Seek. Progresses Zhaopin privatisation A$16.33 AUSTRALIA. Event. Impact. Earnings and target price revision. Price catalyst. Action and recommendation

Seek. Progresses Zhaopin privatisation A$16.33 AUSTRALIA. Event. Impact. Earnings and target price revision. Price catalyst. Action and recommendation AUSTRALIA SEK AU Price (at 06:33, 07 Apr 2017 GMT) Outperform A$16.33 Valuation - Sum of Parts A$ 16.77 12-month target A$ 16.50 12-month TSR % +3.9 Volatility Index Low/Medium GICS sector Commercial &

More information

Ramsay Health Care. France begins to bite A$66.37 AUSTRALIA. Event. Impact. Earnings and target price revision. Price catalyst

Ramsay Health Care. France begins to bite A$66.37 AUSTRALIA. Event. Impact. Earnings and target price revision. Price catalyst AUSTRALIA RHC AU Price (at 06:11, 06 Aug 2015 GMT) Neutral A$66.37 Valuation A$ 64.54 - DCF (WACC 8.1%, beta 1.1, ERP 5.0%, RFR 3.8%, TGR 3.0%) 12-month target A$ 70.00 12-month TSR % +7.3 Volatility Index

More information

Cardno. Tough half over A$2.88 AUSTRALIA. Event. Impact. Earnings and target price revision. Price catalyst. Action and recommendation

Cardno. Tough half over A$2.88 AUSTRALIA. Event. Impact. Earnings and target price revision. Price catalyst. Action and recommendation AUSTRALIA CDD AU Price (at 04:53, 17 Feb 2015 GMT) Neutral A$2.88 Valuation - Sum of Parts A$ 2.80-3.43 12-month target A$ 3.12 12-month TSR % +18.4 Volatility Index Medium GICS sector Capital Goods Market

More information

Oil Search. Proving up PNG A$7.11 AUSTRALIA. Event. Impact. Earnings and target price revision. Price catalyst. Action and recommendation

Oil Search. Proving up PNG A$7.11 AUSTRALIA. Event. Impact. Earnings and target price revision. Price catalyst. Action and recommendation AUSTRALIA OSH AU Price (at 05:10, 16 Feb 2017 GMT) Outperform A$7.11 Valuation A$ - DCF (WACC 8.5%, beta 1.4, ERP 5.0%, RFR 3.3%) 6.70 12-month target A$ 7.60 12-month TSR % +8.2 Volatility Index Medium

More information

Fisher & Paykel Healthcare

Fisher & Paykel Healthcare NEW ZEALAND FPH NZ Price (at 05:00, 10 Jul 2015 GMT) Outperform NZ$7.03 Valuation NZ$ 7.39 - DCF (WACC 8.8%, beta 0.9, ERP 7.0%, RFR 4.5%, TGR 2.0%) 12-month target NZ$ 7.80 12-month TSR % +13.1 Volatility

More information

Sims Metal Management

Sims Metal Management AUSTRALIA SGM AU Price (at 5:11, 17 Nov 215 GMT) Outperform A$7.19 Valuation - EV/EBIT A$ 8.49-9.6 12-month target A$ 8.9 12-month TSR % +26.6 Volatility Index Medium GICS sector Materials Market cap A$m

More information

Tox Free Solutions. Winning work again A$2.34 AUSTRALIA. Event. Impact. Earnings and target price revision. Price catalyst. Action and recommendation

Tox Free Solutions. Winning work again A$2.34 AUSTRALIA. Event. Impact. Earnings and target price revision. Price catalyst. Action and recommendation AUSTRALIA TOX AU Price (at 05:10, 30 Nov 2016 GMT) Outperform A$2.34 Valuation - EV/EBITDA A$ 2.52-3.07 12-month target A$ 2.79 12-month TSR % +23.1 Volatility Index Medium GICS sector Commercial & Professional

More information

Telstra Corporation. Vodafone better, but far from good A$6.43 AUSTRALIA. Event. Impact. Earnings and target price revision.

Telstra Corporation. Vodafone better, but far from good A$6.43 AUSTRALIA. Event. Impact. Earnings and target price revision. AUSTRALIA TLS AU Price (at 11:23, 21 Jul 2015 GMT) Neutral A$6.43 Valuation A$ 6.37 - DCF (WACC 6.8%, beta 0.8, ERP 5.0%, RFR 3.8%, TGR 1.2%) 12-month target A$ 6.30 12-month TSR % +3.3 Volatility Index

More information

Southern Cross Media. Streamlining ahead of reform? A$1.37 AUSTRALIA

Southern Cross Media. Streamlining ahead of reform? A$1.37 AUSTRALIA AUSTRALIA SXL AU Price (at 05:10, 27 Mar 2017 GMT) Neutral A$1.37 Valuation A$ - DCF (WACC 8.0%, beta 1.2, ERP 5.0%, RFR 3.3%) 1.39 12-month target A$ 1.30 12-month TSR % +0.8 Volatility Index Medium GICS

More information

Boart Longyear. Earnings and target price revision. No change. Price catalyst. Action and recommendation

Boart Longyear. Earnings and target price revision. No change. Price catalyst. Action and recommendation AUSTRALIA BLY AU Price (at 08:01, 12 Sep 2013 GMT) Neutral A$0.50 Valuation A$ 0.71 - DCF (WACC 10.1%, beta 1.5, ERP 0.1%, RFR 0.1%, TGR 0.0%) 12-month target A$ 0.56 12-month TSR % +12.0 Volatility Index

More information

Whitehaven Coal. China outlook drives impairments A$1.04 AUSTRALIA. Event. Impact. Earnings and target price revision.

Whitehaven Coal. China outlook drives impairments A$1.04 AUSTRALIA. Event. Impact. Earnings and target price revision. AUSTRALIA WHC AU Price (at 06:10, 13 Aug 2015 GMT) Neutral A$1.04 Valuation A$ - DCF (WACC 8.0%, beta 1.6, ERP 5.0%, RFR 3.8%) 1.18 12-month target A$ 1.15 12-month TSR % +10.6 Volatility Index High GICS

More information

National Australia Bank

National Australia Bank AUSTRALIA NAB AU Price (at 06:10, 27 Jul 2015 GMT) Outperform A$33.91 Valuation A$ - DCF (WACC 9.6%, beta 1.0, ERP 5.0%, RFR 5.8%) 37.74 12-month target A$ 39.39 12-month TSR % +22.1 Volatility Index Low

More information

Sirtex Medical. Healthy dose sales. Earnings and target price revision. Price catalyst. Catalyst: FY16 result on the 24th of August

Sirtex Medical. Healthy dose sales. Earnings and target price revision. Price catalyst. Catalyst: FY16 result on the 24th of August AUSTRALIA SRX AU Price (at CLOSE#, 11 Jul 2016) Outperform A$27.88 Valuation A$ 37.93 - DCF (WACC 9.0%, beta 1.2, ERP 5.0%, RFR 3.3%, TGR 1.5%) 12-month target A$ 38.00 12-month TSR % +37.4 Volatility

More information

Cochlear. Roberts replaced A$88.66 AUSTRALIA. Event. Impact. Earnings and target price revision. Price catalyst. Action and recommendation

Cochlear. Roberts replaced A$88.66 AUSTRALIA. Event. Impact. Earnings and target price revision. Price catalyst. Action and recommendation AUSTRALIA COH AU Price (at 06:47, 26 May 2015 GMT) Outperform A$88.66 Valuation A$ 81.19 - DCF (WACC 8.0%, beta 1.0, ERP 5.0%, RFR 3.8%, TGR 3.0%) 12-month target A$ 95.00 12-month TSR % +9.8 Volatility

More information

Nuplex Industries. Should benefit from a weak Kiwi NZ$4.55 NEW ZEALAND. Event. Impact. Earnings and target price revision.

Nuplex Industries. Should benefit from a weak Kiwi NZ$4.55 NEW ZEALAND. Event. Impact. Earnings and target price revision. NEW ZEALAND NPX NZ Price (at 05:00, 31 Jul 2015 GMT) Outperform NZ$4.55 Valuation NZ$ 4.40 - DCF (WACC 12.5%, beta 1.4, ERP 7.0%, RFR 4.5%, TGR 2.0%) 12-month target NZ$ 4.75 12-month TSR % +10.6 Volatility

More information

Bendigo and Adelaide Bank

Bendigo and Adelaide Bank AUSTRALIA AU Price (at 06:17, 30 Mar 2017 GMT) Underperform A$12.03 Valuation A$ 11.48- - Sum of Parts/GG 11.71 12-month target A$ 11.50 12-month TSR % +1.2 Volatility Index Low/Medium GICS sector Banks

More information

Oz Minerals. On track to meet guidance A$6.51 AUSTRALIA. Event. Impact. Earnings and target price revision. Price catalyst. Action and recommendation

Oz Minerals. On track to meet guidance A$6.51 AUSTRALIA. Event. Impact. Earnings and target price revision. Price catalyst. Action and recommendation AUSTRALIA OZL AU Price (at 08:20, 22 Jul 2016 GMT) Underperform A$6.51 Valuation A$ - DCF (WACC 9.0%, beta 1.4, ERP 5.0%, RFR 3.3%) 4.31 12-month target A$ 5.00 12-month TSR % -21.4 Volatility Index High

More information

Origin Energy. 4Q Production. ORG reported its 4 th quarter production report, following on ConocoPhilips quarterly result.

Origin Energy. 4Q Production. ORG reported its 4 th quarter production report, following on ConocoPhilips quarterly result. AUSTRALIA ORG AU Price (at 06:11, 30 Jul 2015 GMT) Neutral A$11.35 Valuation A$ 12.79 - DCF (WACC 10.3%, beta 1.3, ERP 5.0%, RFR 3.8%, TGR 2.0%) 12-month target A$ 12.89 12-month TSR % +18.1 Volatility

More information

Coca-Cola Amatil. Not as fizzy as it looks A$8.78 AUSTRALIA. Event. Impact. Earnings and target price revision. Price catalyst

Coca-Cola Amatil. Not as fizzy as it looks A$8.78 AUSTRALIA. Event. Impact. Earnings and target price revision. Price catalyst AUSTRALIA CCL AU Price (at CLOSE#, 21 Aug 2015) Underperform A$8.78 Valuation A$ 8.47 - DCF (WACC 8.7%, beta 1.0, ERP 5.0%, RFR 3.8%, TGR 1.9%) 12-month target A$ 8.99 12-month TSR % +7.3 Volatility Index

More information

Kingsgate Consolidated

Kingsgate Consolidated AUSTRALIA KCN AU Price (at 6:11, 31 Jul 215 GMT) Underperform A$.67 Valuation A$ - DCF (WACC 12.%, beta 1.6, ERP 5.%, RFR 3.8%).3 12-month target A$.3 12-month TSR % -54.9 Volatility Index Very High GICS

More information

Spotless Group Holdings

Spotless Group Holdings AUSTRALIA SPO AU Price (at 05:45, 31 Jan 2017 GMT) Neutral A$0.94 Valuation - Peer multiples A$ 1.02 12-month target A$ 1.02 12-month TSR % +18.3 Volatility Index High GICS sector Commercial & Professional

More information

Meridian Energy. On tax depreciation NZ$2.08 NEW ZEALAND. Event. Impact. Earnings and target price revision. Price catalyst. Action and recommendation

Meridian Energy. On tax depreciation NZ$2.08 NEW ZEALAND. Event. Impact. Earnings and target price revision. Price catalyst. Action and recommendation NEW ZEALAND MEL NZ Price (at 05:00, 13 Jul 2015 GMT) Outperform NZ$2.08 Valuation NZ$ 2.50 - DCF (WACC 7.8%, beta 0.6, ERP 7.0%, RFR 3.6%, TGR 2.0%) 12-month target NZ$ 2.60 12-month TSR % +31.7 Volatility

More information

Fisher & Paykel Healthcare

Fisher & Paykel Healthcare NEW ZEALAND FPH NZ Price (at 03:59, 16 Mar 2015 GMT) Outperform NZ$6.63 Valuation NZ$ 6.86 - DCF (WACC 8.8%, beta 0.9, ERP 7.0%, RFR 4.5%, TGR 2.0%) 12-month target NZ$ 7.25 12-month TSR % +11.6 Volatility

More information

Challenger. Normalised margin trends expected to decline. Earnings and target price revision. Price catalyst. Action and recommendation

Challenger. Normalised margin trends expected to decline. Earnings and target price revision. Price catalyst. Action and recommendation 1H13E 2H13E 1H14E 2H14E 1H15E 2H15E AUSTRALIA CGF AU Price (at CLOSE#, 20 Aug 2012) Outperform A$3.76 Volatility index Low 12-month target A$ 4.57 12-month TSR % +26.4 Valuation - Sum of Parts A$ 4.57

More information

Senex Energy Production and revenue unsurprised, cash builds on lower capex

Senex Energy Production and revenue unsurprised, cash builds on lower capex 26 April 2018 Australia EQUITIES SXY AU Price (at 06:10, 26 Apr 2018 GMT) Outperform A$0.42 Valuation A$ 0.49 - DCF (WACC 9.1%, beta 1.5, ERP 4.0%, RFR 4.3%) 12-month target A$ 0.50 12-month TSR % +19.0

More information

CIMIC Group. Earnings and target price revision. No change. Price catalyst. Catalyst: Q1 earnings 13 April. Action and recommendation

CIMIC Group. Earnings and target price revision. No change. Price catalyst. Catalyst: Q1 earnings 13 April. Action and recommendation AUSTRALIA CIM AU Price (at 05:10, 31 Mar 2017 GMT) Outperform A$35.93 Valuation A$ 42.69 - DCF (WACC 8.5%, beta 1.4, ERP 5.0%, RFR 3.3%, TGR 2.0%) 12-month target A$ 42.50 12-month TSR % +22.0 Volatility

More information

Oz Minerals. Solid start to the year A$5.62 AUSTRALIA. Event. Impact. Earnings and target price revision. Price catalyst. Action and recommendation

Oz Minerals. Solid start to the year A$5.62 AUSTRALIA. Event. Impact. Earnings and target price revision. Price catalyst. Action and recommendation AUSTRALIA OZL AU Price (at 6:24, 21 Apr 216 GMT) Underperform A$5.62 Valuation A$ - DCF (WACC 1%, beta 1.4, ERP 5.%, RFR 3.8%) 4.61 12-month target A$ 4.6 12-month TSR % -15.5 Volatility Index High GICS

More information

ANZ Bank. The Dis-Associates. Earnings and target price revision. No change. Price catalyst. Catalyst: 3Q15 Trading Update. Action and recommendation

ANZ Bank. The Dis-Associates. Earnings and target price revision. No change. Price catalyst. Catalyst: 3Q15 Trading Update. Action and recommendation AUSTRALIA ANZ AU Price (at 07:51, 03 Jul 2015 GMT) Underperform A$32.46 Valuation - DDM/PE A$ 32.52 12-month target A$ 33.91 12-month TSR % +10.0 Volatility Index Low GICS sector Banks Market cap A$m 89,752

More information

Vista Group International

Vista Group International NEW ZEALAND VGL NZ Price (at 03:15, 26 Feb 2015 GMT) Outperform NZ$4.35 Valuation NZ$ 4.31 - DCF (WACC 9.9%, beta 1.0, ERP 7.0%, RFR 4.0%, TGR 2.0%) 12-month target NZ$ 4.75 12-month TSR % +9.5 Volatility

More information

Carsales.com. Motoring along nicely A$10.23 AUSTRALIA. Event. Impact. Earnings and target price revision. Price catalyst. Action and recommendation

Carsales.com. Motoring along nicely A$10.23 AUSTRALIA. Event. Impact. Earnings and target price revision. Price catalyst. Action and recommendation AUSTRALIA CRZ AU Price (at 9:48, 18 Feb 15 GMT) Outperform A$1.23 Valuation A$ 12.59 - DCF (WACC 8.1%, beta 1.2, ERP 5., RFR 3.8%, TGR 3.) 12-month target A$ 12.3 12-month TSR % +24.1 Volatility Index

More information

Super Retail Group (SUL AU) Are we there yet?

Super Retail Group (SUL AU) Are we there yet? 25 October 2018 Australia EQUITIES SUL AU Price (at 09:01, 24 Oct 2018 GMT) Neutral A$8.33 Valuation A$ 8.30-9.50 - EV/EBITA 12-month target A$ 8.70 12-month TSR % +10.9 Volatility Index GICS sector Low/Medium

More information

Genworth Mortgage Insurance Australia

Genworth Mortgage Insurance Australia AUSTRALIA GMA AU Price (at 07:29, 05 Aug 2015 GMT) Outperform A$3.50 Valuation A$ - DCF (WACC 12.0%, beta 1.6, ERP 5.0%, RFR 4.5%) 3.52 12-month target A$ 3.47 12-month TSR % +9.2 Volatility Index Medium

More information

Pilbara Minerals (PLS AU) Ramp-up gaining traction

Pilbara Minerals (PLS AU) Ramp-up gaining traction 17 January 219 Australia EQUITIES PLS AU Price (at 5:1, 16 Jan 219 GMT) Outperform A$.7 Valuation A$ 1.11 - DCF (WACC 1.%, beta 1.6, ERP 5.%, RFR 3.8%) 12-month target A$ 1.2 12-month TSR % +72.7 Volatility

More information

Orocobre. Upside exposure fading. Earnings and target price revision. Price catalyst. Catalyst: Update on projects or Q1 report

Orocobre. Upside exposure fading. Earnings and target price revision. Price catalyst. Catalyst: Update on projects or Q1 report AUSTRALIA ORE AU Price (at 5:11, 28 Feb 217 GMT) Neutral A$3.8 Valuation - DCF (WACC 1.%) A$ 1.34 12-month target A$ 3.17 12-month TSR % +2.9 Volatility Index High GICS sector Materials Market cap A$m

More information

NEW ZEALAND Price Valuation NZ$ 1.74 Event 12-month target NZ$ month TSR % -10.1

NEW ZEALAND Price Valuation NZ$ 1.74 Event 12-month target NZ$ month TSR % -10.1 NEW ZEALAND GNE NZ Price (at 05:06, 24 Feb 2015 GMT) Underperform NZ$2.20 Valuation NZ$ 1.74 - DCF (WACC 8.1%, beta 0.6, ERP 7.0%, RFR 3.6%, TGR 2.1%) 12-month target NZ$ 1.82 12-month TSR % -10.1 Volatility

More information

Regis Resources. Strong 1H15 result A$1.29 AUSTRALIA. Event. Impact. Earnings and target price revision. Price catalyst. Action and recommendation

Regis Resources. Strong 1H15 result A$1.29 AUSTRALIA. Event. Impact. Earnings and target price revision. Price catalyst. Action and recommendation AUSTRALIA RRL AU Price (at 7:29, 13 2 GMT) Outperform A$1.29 Valuation A$ - DCF (WACC 9.%, beta 1.5, ERP 5.%, RFR 3.8%) 1.68 12-month target A$ 1.7 12-month TSR % +37.2 Volatility Index High GICS sector

More information

Karoon Gas. What a difference a day makes A$1.63 AUSTRALIA. Event. Impact. Earnings and target price revision. Price catalyst

Karoon Gas. What a difference a day makes A$1.63 AUSTRALIA. Event. Impact. Earnings and target price revision. Price catalyst AUSTRALIA KAR AU Price (at 05:10, 16 Mar 2017 GMT) Outperform A$1.63 Valuation A$ - DCF (WACC 11.1%, beta 1.7, ERP 5.0%, RFR 3.3%) 2.79 12-month target A$ 2.40 12-month TSR % +47.7 Volatility Index High

More information

Perseus Mining. Revised Sissingué plan A$0.31 AUSTRALIA. Event. Impact. Earnings and target price revision. Price catalyst. Action and recommendation

Perseus Mining. Revised Sissingué plan A$0.31 AUSTRALIA. Event. Impact. Earnings and target price revision. Price catalyst. Action and recommendation AUSTRALIA PRU AU Price (at 5:1, 31 Mar 217 GMT) Neutral A$.31 Valuation A$ - DCF (WACC 1.%, beta.4, ERP 5.%, RFR 3.3%).35 12-month target A$.32 12-month TSR % +3.2 Volatility Index Very High GICS sector

More information

Kiwi Property Group. Land banking for the future NZ$1.43 NEW ZEALAND. Event. Impact. Earnings and target price revision.

Kiwi Property Group. Land banking for the future NZ$1.43 NEW ZEALAND. Event. Impact. Earnings and target price revision. NEW ZEALAND KPG NZ Price (at 08:19, 07 Apr 2017 GMT) Outperform NZ$1.43 Valuation NZ$ 1.53 - DCF (WACC 6.9%, beta 0.6, ERP 7.0%, RFR 3.5%, TGR 2.0%) 12-month target NZ$ 1.53 12-month TSR % +11.8 Volatility

More information

Downer EDI Two out of three ain t bad Event

Downer EDI Two out of three ain t bad Event AUSTRALIA DOW AU Price (at 06:26, 01 Dec 2016 GMT) Outperform A$6.08 Valuation - Sum of Parts A$ 5.69-6.38 12-month target A$ 6.40 12-month TSR % +9.6 Volatility Index Medium GICS sector Commercial & Professional

More information

Generation Healthcare REIT

Generation Healthcare REIT AUSTRALIA GHC AU Price (at 06:13, 24 Aug 2015 GMT) Neutral A$1.65 Valuation - Sum of Parts A$ 1.51-1.59 12-month target A$ 1.59 12-month TSR % +1.8 Volatility Index Low GICS sector Real Estate Market cap

More information

Auckland International Airport

Auckland International Airport NEW ZEALAND AIA NZ Price (at 04:00, 27 Nov 2013 GMT) Neutral NZ$3.42 Valuation NZ$ 3.37 - DCF (WACC 8.0%, beta 0.9, ERP 7.0%, RFR 4.3%, TGR 3.0%) 12-month target NZ$ 3.37 12-month TSR % +2.6 Volatility

More information

Fortescue Metals Group

Fortescue Metals Group AUSTRALIA FMG AU Price (at 5:1, 5 Mar 215 GMT) Neutral A$2.29 Valuation A$ 2.6 - DCF (WACC 1.%, beta 1.4, ERP 5.%, RFR 3.8%, TGR 2.6%) 12-month target A$ 2.6 12-month TSR % +16. Volatility Index High GICS

More information

Sandfire Resources. Swings to net cash A$5.34 AUSTRALIA. Event. Impact. Earnings and target price revision. Price catalyst. Action and recommendation

Sandfire Resources. Swings to net cash A$5.34 AUSTRALIA. Event. Impact. Earnings and target price revision. Price catalyst. Action and recommendation AUSTRALIA SFR AU Price (at 6:11, 7 Jul 216 GMT) Outperform A$5.34 Valuation A$ - DCF (WACC 9.%, beta 1.4, ERP 5.%, RFR 3.3%) 5.82 12-month target A$ 6.1 12-month TSR % +18.3 Volatility Index Medium GICS

More information

PanAust. Larger impairment and dividend cut A$1.35 AUSTRALIA. Event. Impact. Earnings and target price revision. Price catalyst

PanAust. Larger impairment and dividend cut A$1.35 AUSTRALIA. Event. Impact. Earnings and target price revision. Price catalyst AUSTRALIA PNA AU Price (at 7:6, 19 Feb 215 GMT) Outperform A$1.35 Valuation A$ - DCF (WACC 11.%, beta 1.7, ERP 5.%, RFR 3.8%) 1.73 12-month target A$ 1.7 12-month TSR % +25.9 Volatility Index High GICS

More information

Healthcare. Currency adjustments AUSTRALIA. Event. Impact. Outlook COH 8.0% RMD 6.9% CSL 6.0% ANN 5.0% SHL 2.6%

Healthcare. Currency adjustments AUSTRALIA. Event. Impact. Outlook COH 8.0% RMD 6.9% CSL 6.0% ANN 5.0% SHL 2.6% AUSTRALIA Recommendations: CSL Outperform P/T: $110.00 RMD Underperform P/T: $7.50 COH Outperform P/T: $100.00 SHL Outperform P/T: $24.00 ANN Outperform P/T: $26.00 RHC Outperform P/T: $75.00 A$ earnings

More information

SingTel. Optus rises A$3.98 AUSTRALIA. Event. Impact. Earnings and target price revision. Price catalyst. Action and recommendation

SingTel. Optus rises A$3.98 AUSTRALIA. Event. Impact. Earnings and target price revision. Price catalyst. Action and recommendation AUSTRALIA SGT AU Price (at 05:10, 12 Feb 2015 GMT) Outperform A$3.98 Valuation - Sum of Parts A$ 4.64-4.73 12-month target A$ 4.69 12-month TSR % +22.4 Volatility Index Low GICS sector Telecommunication

More information

UGL. Driving growth in DTZ. Earnings and target price revision. No change. Price catalyst. Action and recommendation

UGL. Driving growth in DTZ. Earnings and target price revision. No change. Price catalyst. Action and recommendation AUSTRALIA AU Price (at 08:17, 03 Sep 2012 GMT) Underperform A$10.52 Volatility index Low 12-month target A$ 11.08 12-month TSR % +12.0 Valuation A$ - DCF (beta 1.1, ERP 5.0%, RFR 6.0%, TGR 2.5%) 15.09

More information

Earnings and target price revision. Price catalyst. Catalyst: 1H14 result in February Action and recommendation

Earnings and target price revision. Price catalyst. Catalyst: 1H14 result in February Action and recommendation AUSTRALIA CBA AU Price (at 06:10, 10 Sep 2013 GMT) Neutral A$73.63 Valuation A$ - DCF (WACC 10.3%, beta 1.0, ERP 5.0%, RFR 5.5%) 50.40 12-month target A$ 66.15 12-month TSR % -5.0 Volatility Index Low

More information

Iron Mountain. US$10 worth Recalling at investor day US$31.83 UNITED STATES. Event. Impact. Earnings and target price revision.

Iron Mountain. US$10 worth Recalling at investor day US$31.83 UNITED STATES. Event. Impact. Earnings and target price revision. UNITED STATES IRM US Price (at 20:03, 07 Oct 2015 GMT) Outperform US$31.83 Valuation - DCF (WACC 6.1%) US$ 40.00 12-month target US$ 40.00 12-month TSR % +31.6 GICS sector Real Estate Market cap US$m 6,711

More information

Adelaide Brighton. Overcoming headwinds A$5.45 AUSTRALIA. Event. Impact. Earnings and target price revision. Price catalyst. Action and recommendation

Adelaide Brighton. Overcoming headwinds A$5.45 AUSTRALIA. Event. Impact. Earnings and target price revision. Price catalyst. Action and recommendation AUSTRALIA ABC AU Price (at 09:22, 23 Feb 2017 GMT) Outperform A$5.45 Valuation A$ 6.40 - DCF (WACC 7.8%, beta 1.2, ERP 5.0%, RFR 3.3%, TGR 2.0%) 12-month target A$ 6.30 12-month TSR % +2 Volatility Index

More information

Premier Investments. Making a move? A$14.18 AUSTRALIA. Event. Impact. Earnings and target price revision. Price catalyst. Action and recommendation

Premier Investments. Making a move? A$14.18 AUSTRALIA. Event. Impact. Earnings and target price revision. Price catalyst. Action and recommendation AUSTRALIA PMV AU Price (at 09:06, 29 Mar 2017 GMT) Outperform A$14.18 Valuation - Sum of Parts A$ 17.19 12-month target A$ 17.92 12-month TSR % +30.4 Volatility Index Low/Medium GICS sector Retailing Market

More information

Ramsay Health Care (RHC AU) RHC UK on the mend?

Ramsay Health Care (RHC AU) RHC UK on the mend? 17 October 2018 Australia EQUITIES RHC AU Price (at 05:48, 17 Oct 2018 GMT) Outperform A$54.18 Valuation A$ 68.50 - DCF (WACC 7.4%, beta 0.9, ERP 5.0%, RFR 3.7%, TGR 3.7%) 12-month target A$ 68.50 12-month

More information

Independence Group NL

Independence Group NL AUSTRALIA IGO AU Price (at 12:29, 26 Oct 216 GMT) Outperform A$4.25 Valuation A$ - DCF (WACC 8.4%, beta 1.2, ERP 5.%, RFR 3.3%) 3.98 12-month target A$ 5. 12-month TSR % +2.2 Volatility Index High GICS

More information

SingTel. Earnings and target price revision. Price catalyst. Action and recommendation. Maintain Outperform.

SingTel. Earnings and target price revision. Price catalyst. Action and recommendation. Maintain Outperform. AUSTRALIA SGT AU Price (at 05:10, 06 Dec 2012 GMT) Outperform A$2.59 Volatility index Low 12-month target A$ 2.81 12-month TSR % +14.6 Valuation - Sum of Parts A$ 2.81 GICS sector Telecommunication Services

More information

Oz Minerals. Raises copper production outlook A$9.08 AUSTRALIA. Event. Impact. Earnings and target price revision. Price catalyst

Oz Minerals. Raises copper production outlook A$9.08 AUSTRALIA. Event. Impact. Earnings and target price revision. Price catalyst AUSTRALIA OZL AU Price (at 7:28, 3 Jan 27 GMT) Neutral A$9.8 Valuation A$ - DCF (WACC 9.%, beta.4, ERP 5.%, RFR 3.3%) 8.48 2-month target A$ 9.3 2-month TSR % +4.6 Volatility Index High GICS sector Materials

More information

Asaleo Care. NZ$ pulped. We review the outlook for Asaleo. Earnings and target price revision. Price catalyst. Catalyst: CY15 results.

Asaleo Care. NZ$ pulped. We review the outlook for Asaleo. Earnings and target price revision. Price catalyst. Catalyst: CY15 results. AUSTRALIA AHY AU Price (at 06:10, 16 Jul 2015 GMT) Outperform A$1.80 Valuation - EV/EBITA A$ 1.90-2.00 12-month target A$ 2.00 12-month TSR % +16.8 Volatility Index Low GICS sector Household & Personal

More information

Aged Care. Propco sale & lease back A$2.71 A$5.75 A$6.15 AUSTRALIA. Event. Impact. Outlook

Aged Care. Propco sale & lease back A$2.71 A$5.75 A$6.15 AUSTRALIA. Event. Impact. Outlook AUSTRALIA JHC AU Price (at 06:10, 27 Apr 2015 GMT) Outperform A$2.71 Valuation A$ 2.97 - DCF (WACC 9.1%, beta 1.1, ERP 5.0%, RFR 4.5%, TGR 2.3%) 12-month target A$ 3.00 12-month TSR % +14.7 Volatility

More information

AMP. Earnings and target price revision. No change. Price catalyst. Action and recommendation

AMP. Earnings and target price revision. No change. Price catalyst. Action and recommendation AUSTRALIA AU Price (at CLOSE#, 19 Mar 213) Underperform A$5.7 Volatility index Low 12-month target A$ 4.99 12-month TSR % +3.6 Valuation - Sum of Parts A$ 4.68 GICS sector Insurance Market cap A$m 14,855

More information

Australian Banks. Pre-Reporting Form Guide AUSTRALIA. Event. Impact. Outlook

Australian Banks. Pre-Reporting Form Guide AUSTRALIA. Event. Impact. Outlook AUSTRALIA MRE vs Consensus MQG FY15 Consensus FY15 Date Profit EPS DPS Profit EPS DPS BEN 10-Aug 439 92 67 434 92 67 CBA 12-Aug 9,289 557 420 9,116 554 419 Source: Factset, Macquarie Research, August 2015

More information

ANZ Bank. What execution risk? Earnings and target price revision. Price catalyst. Catalyst: 1Q17 Trading update, February 2017.

ANZ Bank. What execution risk? Earnings and target price revision. Price catalyst. Catalyst: 1Q17 Trading update, February 2017. AUSTRALIA ANZ AU Price (at 09:15, 18 Jan 2017 GMT) Neutral A$30.11 Valuation A$ 30.69- - Sum of Parts/GG 31.47 12-month target A$ 31.00 12-month TSR % +8.4 Volatility Index Low/Medium GICS sector Banks

More information

AUSTRALIA Price Valuation A$ 7.52 Event 12-month target A$ month TSR % +3.4

AUSTRALIA Price Valuation A$ 7.52 Event 12-month target A$ month TSR % +3.4 AUSTRALIA ILU AU Price (at 05:10, 19 Feb 2015 GMT) Neutral A$7.59 Valuation A$ 7.52 - DCF (WACC 9.0%, beta 1.5, ERP 5.0%, RFR 4.5%, TGR 3.9%) 12-month target A$ 7.50 12-month TSR % +3.4 Volatility Index

More information

Australian Mobile Market

Australian Mobile Market AUSTRALIA Telstra data inclusions on key post-paid plans $130 $130 $95 $70 $55 Optus data inclusions on key post-paid plans "Everyday Connect" "Mobile Accelerate" $50 $40 Vodafone data inclusions on key

More information

Ryman Healthcare. Arrested development NZ$9.60 NEW ZEALAND. Event. Impact. Earnings and target price revision. Price catalyst

Ryman Healthcare. Arrested development NZ$9.60 NEW ZEALAND. Event. Impact. Earnings and target price revision. Price catalyst NEW ZEALAND RYM NZ Price (at 6:, 19 May 216 GMT) Outperform NZ$9.6 Valuation NZ$ 1.5 - DCF (WACC 9.%, beta.8, ERP 7.%, RFR 4.5%, TGR 2.%) 12-month target NZ$ 11. 12-month TSR % +16.5 Volatility Index Low

More information

Fisher & Paykel Healthcare

Fisher & Paykel Healthcare NEW ZEALAND FPH NZ Price (at 05:00, 28 May 2015 GMT) Outperform NZ$6.30 Valuation NZ$ 7.29 - DCF (WACC 8.8%, beta 0.9, ERP 7.0%, RFR 4.5%, TGR 2.0%) 12-month target NZ$ 7.25 12-month TSR % +17.6 Volatility

More information

Genesis Energy. A 9% FCF yield and you call underperform? NZ$1.71 NEW ZEALAND. Event. Impact. Earnings and target price revision.

Genesis Energy. A 9% FCF yield and you call underperform? NZ$1.71 NEW ZEALAND. Event. Impact. Earnings and target price revision. NEW ZEALAND GNE NZ Price (at 06:49, 29 Jul 2015 GMT) Underperform NZ$1.71 Valuation NZ$ 1.60 - DCF (WACC 8.0%, beta 0.6, ERP 7.0%, RFR 3.5%, TGR 2.1%) 12-month target NZ$ 1.65 12-month TSR % +6.1 Volatility

More information

Silver Lake Resources

Silver Lake Resources AUSTRALIA SLR AU Price (at 12:42, 27 Jan 215 GMT) Neutral A$.25 Valuation - DCF (WACC 1.%) A$.23 12-month target A$.23 12-month TSR % -8. Volatility Index Very High GICS sector Materials Market cap A$m

More information

Iluka Resources. A soft start to FY15 A$7.73 AUSTRALIA. Event. Impact. Earnings and target price revision. Price catalyst. Action and recommendation

Iluka Resources. A soft start to FY15 A$7.73 AUSTRALIA. Event. Impact. Earnings and target price revision. Price catalyst. Action and recommendation AUSTRALIA ILU AU Price (at 06:10, 15 Apr 2015 GMT) Underperform A$7.73 Valuation A$ - DCF (WACC 9.0%, beta 1.5, ERP 5.0%, RFR 3.8%) 6.35 12-month target A$ 6.50 12-month TSR % -12.6 Volatility Index Medium

More information

National Australia Bank

National Australia Bank AUSTRALIA NAB AU Price (at 08:23, 03 Jul 2012 GMT) Outperform A$23.68 Volatility index Low 12-month target A$ 27.66 12-month TSR % +24.9 Valuation A$ - DCF (WACC 12.6%, beta 1.0, ERP 5.0%, RFR 5.8%) 25.14

More information

3P Learning. Coming to America... A$2.55 AUSTRALIA. Event. Impact. Earnings and target price revision. Price catalyst. Action and recommendation

3P Learning. Coming to America... A$2.55 AUSTRALIA. Event. Impact. Earnings and target price revision. Price catalyst. Action and recommendation AUSTRALIA 3PL AU Price (at 09:19, 02 Mar 2015 GMT) Outperform A$2.55 Valuation - DCF A$ 2.65-3.35 12-month target A$ 3.00 12-month TSR % +18.9 Volatility Index Low/Medium GICS sector Consumer Services

More information

Monash IVF Group. Share losses compound pain A$1.40 AUSTRALIA. Event. Impact. Earnings and target price revision. Price catalyst

Monash IVF Group. Share losses compound pain A$1.40 AUSTRALIA. Event. Impact. Earnings and target price revision. Price catalyst AUSTRALIA MVF AU Price (at 05:10, 25 Feb 2015 GMT) Outperform A$1.40 Valuation A$ 1.80 - DCF (WACC 1.8%, beta 1.1, ERP, RFR 4.5%, TGR 2.0%) 12-month target A$ 1.80 12-month TSR % +33.8 Volatility Index

More information

AUSTRALIA Price Event Valuation A$ month target A$ 5.20

AUSTRALIA Price Event Valuation A$ month target A$ 5.20 AUSTRALIA VOC AU Price (at 05:10, 22 Feb 2017 GMT) Outperform A$4.81 Valuation A$ 5.02 - DCF (WACC 7.7%, beta 1.2, ERP 5.0%, RFR 3.3%, TGR 1.0%) 12-month target A$ 5.20 12-month TSR % +12.2 Volatility

More information

Saracen Mineral Holdings

Saracen Mineral Holdings AUSTRALIA SAR AU Price (at 5:, Jan 17 GMT) Neutral A$1.11 Valuation A$ - DCF (WACC 5.%, beta.4, ERP 5.%, RFR 3.3%) 1.19 12-month target A$ 1. 12-month TSR % +.5 Volatility Index High GICS sector Materials

More information

Australian Banks. Funding markets open for now

Australian Banks. Funding markets open for now AUSTRALIA Weekly performance 4% 2% % -2% -4% -6% -8% -1% Source: IRESS, August 212 Rolling monthly performance 8% 6% 4% 2% % -2% -4% -6% Source: IRESS, August 212 Rolling yearly performance % 15% 5% -5%

More information

Nine Entertainment Co.

Nine Entertainment Co. AUSTRALIA NEC AU Price (at 06:47, 26 Feb 2015 GMT) Outperform A$2.03 Valuation A$ - DCF (WACC 8.2%, beta 1.2, ERP 5.0%, RFR 3.8%) 2.41 12-month target A$ 2.25 12-month TSR % +15.3 Volatility Index Low/Medium

More information

Filling in the gaps. Earnings and target price revision. Price catalyst. Action and recommendation

Filling in the gaps. Earnings and target price revision. Price catalyst. Action and recommendation AUSTRALIA PGH AU Price (at 06:11, 16 Jun 2015 GMT) Neutral A$4.45 Valuation - Peers' Multiples A$ 4.70 12-month target A$ 4.70 12-month TSR % +10.3 Volatility Index Low GICS sector Materials Market cap

More information

Evolution Mining. Cowal pushes EVN beyond 800kozpa A$1.10 AUSTRALIA. Event. Impact. Earnings and target price revision.

Evolution Mining. Cowal pushes EVN beyond 800kozpa A$1.10 AUSTRALIA. Event. Impact. Earnings and target price revision. AUSTRALIA EVN AU Price (at 3:18, 26 May 215 GMT) Neutral A$1.1 Valuation A$ - DCF (WACC 9.%, beta 1.7, ERP 5.%, RFR 3.8%) 1.11 12-month target A$ 1.1 12-month TSR % +1.8 Volatility Index High GICS sector

More information

Karoon Gas. Losing the deal A$1.83 AUSTRALIA. Event. Impact. Earnings and target price revision. Price catalyst. Action and recommendation

Karoon Gas. Losing the deal A$1.83 AUSTRALIA. Event. Impact. Earnings and target price revision. Price catalyst. Action and recommendation AUSTRALIA KAR AU Price (at 05:10, 29 Mar 2017 GMT) Outperform A$1.83 Valuation A$ - DCF (WACC 11.1%, beta 1.7, ERP 5.0%, RFR 3.3%) 2.79 12-month target A$ 2.40 12-month TSR % +31.5 Volatility Index High

More information

Dexus Property Group. Infra driving industrial demand A$9.94 AUSTRALIA. Event. Impact. Earnings and target price revision.

Dexus Property Group. Infra driving industrial demand A$9.94 AUSTRALIA. Event. Impact. Earnings and target price revision. AUSTRALIA DXS AU Price (at 06:10, 06 Apr 2017 GMT) Neutral A$9.94 Valuation - NAV A$ 9.20-9.57 12-month target A$ 9.57 12-month TSR % +1.0 Volatility Index Low GICS sector Real Estate Market cap A$m 9,621

More information

Australian Banks. If it s too good to be true AUSTRALIA. Event. Impact. Outlook. Impact of repricing and capital from additional 10% investor RWA

Australian Banks. If it s too good to be true AUSTRALIA. Event. Impact. Outlook. Impact of repricing and capital from additional 10% investor RWA CBA CBA CBA CBA AUSTRALIA Changes to lending rates (bps) bps Owner Occupier Investor P&I IO P&I IO 0 20 25 36 CBA 3 25 24 26 7 7 25 25 3 8 23 28 BEN 0 0 25 25 Source: Company data, Macquarie research,

More information

Aust. General Insurance

Aust. General Insurance AUSTRALIA June 2016 3 mth rolling market results Personal Commercial Market Average Rate Growth -3. -3.6% -3.3% GWP Growth 1.8% -0.8% 0.9% Volume Growth 2.8% 0.8% 2.1% Est. Exposure Value Growth 2. 2.

More information

Earnings and target price revision. Price catalyst. Action and recommendation

Earnings and target price revision. Price catalyst. Action and recommendation AUSTRALIA TLS AU Price (at 13:07, 19 Apr 2012 GMT) Outperform A$3.39 Volatility index Low 12-month target A$ 3.55 12-month TSR % +13.0 Valuation A$ - DCF (WACC 9.6%, beta 0.9, ERP 6.0%, TGR 1.0%) 3.55

More information

Newcrest Mining. Strong production result A$21.37 AUSTRALIA. Event. Impact. Earnings and target price revision. Price catalyst

Newcrest Mining. Strong production result A$21.37 AUSTRALIA. Event. Impact. Earnings and target price revision. Price catalyst AUSTRALIA NCM AU Price (at 5:37, 27 Oct 216 GMT) Neutral A$21.37 Valuation A$ - DCF (WACC 5.%, beta.8, ERP 5.%, RFR 3.3%) 15.8 12-month target A$ 24. 12-month TSR % +13.9 Volatility Index Medium GICS sector

More information

CSL. New competitor on the block A$89.68 AUSTRALIA. Event. Impact. Earnings and target price revision. Price catalyst. Action and recommendation

CSL. New competitor on the block A$89.68 AUSTRALIA. Event. Impact. Earnings and target price revision. Price catalyst. Action and recommendation AUSTRALIA AU Price (at 10:28, 20 May 2015 GMT) Outperform A$89.68 Valuation A$ 95.47 - DCF (WACC 8.1%, beta 1.0, ERP 5.0%, RFR 3.8%, TGR 2.5%) 12-month target A$ 102.00 12-month TSR % +15.7 Volatility

More information

Seek. SEEKing to evolve A$17.10 AUSTRALIA. Event. Impact. Earnings and target price revision. Price catalyst. Action and recommendation

Seek. SEEKing to evolve A$17.10 AUSTRALIA. Event. Impact. Earnings and target price revision. Price catalyst. Action and recommendation AUSTRALIA SEK AU Price (at 12:41, 17 Feb 2015 GMT) Outperform A$17.10 Valuation - Sum of Parts A$ 18.03 12-month target A$ 18.10 12-month TSR % +8.5 Volatility Index Medium GICS sector Commercial & Professional

More information

Sandfire Resources. Strong result but guidance light A$6.10 AUSTRALIA. Event. Impact. Earnings and target price revision.

Sandfire Resources. Strong result but guidance light A$6.10 AUSTRALIA. Event. Impact. Earnings and target price revision. AUSTRALIA SFR AU Price (at 06:37, 29 Jul 20 GMT) Outperform A$6.10 Valuation A$ - DCF (WACC 10.0%, beta 1.7, ERP 5.0%, RFR 3.8%) 8.02 12-month target A$ 8.00 12-month TSR % +35.8 Volatility Index Medium

More information

Fairfax / REA Group. No housing boom here. A$0.81 Valuation A$ Sum of Parts 12-month target A$ month TSR % +16.0

Fairfax / REA Group. No housing boom here. A$0.81 Valuation A$ Sum of Parts 12-month target A$ month TSR % +16.0 AUSTRALIA FXJ AU Price (at 05:11, 03 Nov 2016 GMT) Outperform A$0.81 Valuation A$ 0.88 - Sum of Parts 12-month target A$ 0.90 12-month TSR % +16.0 Volatility Index Low/Medium Market cap A$m 1,863 30-day

More information

Tatts Group. Earnings and target price revision. Price catalyst. Action and recommendation. Maintain Underperform on valuation grounds.

Tatts Group. Earnings and target price revision. Price catalyst. Action and recommendation. Maintain Underperform on valuation grounds. AUSTRALIA TTS AU Price (at 8:37, 23 Aug 212 GMT) Underperform A$2.79 Volatility index Low 12-month target A$ 2.45 12-month TSR % -6.8 Valuation - Sum of Parts A$ 2.4-2.47 GICS sector Consumer Services

More information

Aussie Macro Moment. Budget 16/17 careful consolidation AUSTRALIA. Event. Impact. Outlook

Aussie Macro Moment. Budget 16/17 careful consolidation AUSTRALIA. Event. Impact. Outlook AUSTRALIA Lower deficits still in train, arriving late - - - /5 /7-5 -5 Jun-9 Jun- Jun Jun-8 Jun Jun Jun- Revenue recovery remains sluggish 7 5 Australian Federal : Underlying Balance ( of GDP) 5/ Spending

More information

Greencross. Check up. We review the outlook for GXL. Earnings and target price revision. Price catalyst. Catalyst: FY15/6 results

Greencross. Check up. We review the outlook for GXL. Earnings and target price revision. Price catalyst. Catalyst: FY15/6 results AUSTRALIA GXL AU Price (at 09:46, 13 Jul 2015 GMT) Outperform A$5.00 Valuation - EV/EBITA A$ 7.15-8.05 12-month target A$ 7.50 12-month TSR % +53.9 Volatility Index Medium GICS sector Health Care Equipment

More information

Australian Banks. Insolent Insolvencies

Australian Banks. Insolent Insolvencies AUSTRALIA Insolvencies Stubborn # of Insolvencies 17, 16, 15, 14, 13, 12, 11, 1, Source: ASIC, Macquarie Research, Dec 212 WA/VIC insolvencies deterioration 2.4 2.2 Jan- 2 1.8 1.6 1.4 1.2 1 Source: ASIC,

More information