Presentation on Business Results for the 1st-Half of Fiscal Year Ending March 31, 2019

Transcription

1 Presentation on Business Results for the 1st-Half of Fiscal Year Ending March 31, 2019 November 16, 2018 This presentation contains forward-looking statements relating to expected future performance as of Nov. 16, Such statements are based on the views and assumptions of company management and involve risks and uncertainties such as changes in the business environment that may cause the actual results to differ materially from expectations.

2 Performance Summary 2

3 1st-half consolidated results (versus original forecasts for the period) Original forecasts (announced May 11) 1st-half FY ending Mar.31,2019 (millions of yen) Vs. original forecasts for the period Amount Percent (%) Amount Percent (%) Change Rate(%) Net sales 32, , , Operating income 8, , Ordinary income 8, , Net income 5, , EPS (yen) Net Income refers to net income attributable to owners of parent. 3

4 1st-half consolidated results (year-on-year change) 1st-half FY ended Mar.31,2018 1st-half FY ending Mar.31,2019 (millions of yen) Year-on-year change Amount Percent (%) Amount Percent (%) Change Rate (%) Net sales 25, , , Gross profit 12, , , Operating income 5, , , Ordinary income 5, , , Net income 3, , , EPS (yen) Capital investment Depreciation 3,128 2,712 10,506 2,784 7, costs R&D costs 714 1, Net Income refers to net income attributable to owners of parent. Capital investment amounts are the amounts of tangible and intangible fixed assets acquired in the term. 4 We adjusted 1st-half FY ended Mar.31,2018 retroactively due to the tentative accounting process.

5 Performance of main group companies for 1st-half of fiscal year ending March 31, 2019 Equity stake Amount Net sales Change(%) Net income Amount (millions of yen) Change(%) *2 *5 Harmonic Drive Systems Inc. HD Systems, Inc. (Harmonic Drive L.L.C.) (U.S.A) 100% (51%) - 25, , , Harmonic AD, Inc. 100% 1, *3 *4 *6 Harmonic Drive Systems (Shanghai) Co., Ltd. 100% 2, Harmonic Drive AG (Germany) 74.7% 8, , Percent change(%) indicates increase or decrease from same period of previous fiscal year. *1 For overseas subsidiaries and affiliates, the fiscal year ends December 31. *2 Exchange rates: Jan. Jun., US$ = yen, Jan. Jun., US$ = yen *3 Exchange rates: Jan. Jun., CNY = yen, Jan. Jun., US$ = yen *4 Exchange rates: Jan. Jun., = yen, Jan. Jun., = yen *5 Net income of US subsidiaries (consolidated) is after excluding non-controlling interests. *6 Net income of German subsidiaries (consolidated) is before excluding non-controlling interests. 5

6 1st-half non-consolidated results 1st-half FY ended Mar.31,2018 1st-half FY ending Mar.31,2019 (millions of yen) Year-on-year change Amount Percent(%) Amount Percent(%) Change Rate(%) Net sales 17, , , Gross profit 7, , , Operating income 5, , , Ordinary income 5, , , Net income 3, , , EPS (yen) Capital 2,077 8,716 investment 6, Depreciation costs R&D costs

7 Net sales by application (non-consolidated) (millions of yen) 30,000 25,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 5, ,848 2,230 2, , , ,317 11,892 12,843 5,308 2, ,215 13,904 2, ,310 17,934 2, ,890 21,048 2, ,137 1,076 11,457 1, ,325 1,165 1,349 1,383 1,554 1,797 2,237 3, ,320 1,210 12,941 1,768 3,341 1st-half 2nd-half 1st-half 2nd-half 1st-half 2nd-half 1st-half FY ended Mar.31,2016 FY ended Mar.31,2017 FY ended Mar.31,2018 Semiconductor equipment Flat panel equipment Robotics Gearbox for motor manufactures Machine tools Printing machines Optical devices Transporter Measuring machines Excavation system for the oil, etc. Others 25,229 FY ending Mar.31,2019 7

8 Factors in year-on-year change in 1st-half non-consolidated operating income 5,135 Higher income +4,125 Lower marginal profit Higher fixed ratio, etc. manufacturing costs, etc ,177 Higher SG&A 686 (millions of yen) 7,205 1st-half of FY ended March 31, st-half of FY ending March 31,

9 Status of consolidated assets (millions of yen) 140, , ,000 80,000 60, , ,965 29,464 15,816 6, ,524 19,472 7, ,306 29,331 Cash & bank deposits and securities Trade receivables Inventories Other current assets Tangible fixed assets 40,000 20, ,582 43,019 15,802 12,175 March 31, 2018 September 30,2018 Intangible fixed assets Investments and other assets 9

10 Status of consolidated liabilities and net assets (millions of yen) 140, , , , ,965 3,162 3,675 9,559 10,381 2,168 2,502 14,974 13, ,034 3,496 Trade payable Other current liabilities Long and short-term borrowings Other fixed liabilities Stock option Minority interests 80,000 60,000 40,000 99, ,590 Owned capital 20,000 0 Equity ratio 74.8% March 31, 2018 September 30,2018 Equity ratio 74.7% 10

11 Status of consolidated cash flows (millions of yen) 1st-half of FY ended Mar.31,2018 1st-half of FY ending Mar.31,2019 Cash flow from operating activities 1,480 3,555 Cash flow from investing activities 1,973 8,415 Cash flow from financing activities 1,037 1,126 Effect of exchange rate changes on cash and cash equivalents Net increase (decrease) in cash and cash equivalents 1,566 6,156 Cash and cash equivalents at end of year 8,102 22,164 11

12 Performance Forecast For Fiscal Year Ending March 31,

13 Revised consolidated results forecast for fiscal year ending March 31, 2019 Original forecasts (announced May 11) Revised forecasts (announced Nov. 8) (millions of yen) Vs. original forecasts Amount Percent (%) Amount Percent (%) Change Rate (%) Net sales 68, , , Operating income 17, , , Ordinary income 17, , , Net income 11, , EPS (yen) Assumed exchange rate for FY19/3 forecasts 1USD = EUR = CNY = Net income refers to net income attributable to owners of parent. 13

14 Revised non-consolidated results forecast for fiscal year ending March 31, 2019 (millions of yen) Original forecasts (announced May 11) Revised forecasts (announced Nov. 8) Vs. original forecasts Amount Percent (%) Amount Percent (%) Change Rate (%) Net sales 50, , , Operating income 14, , , Ordinary income 14, , , Net income 10, , EPS (yen) Assumed exchange rate for FY19/3 forecasts 1USD = EUR = CNY =

15 Consolidated performance forecast for fiscal year ending March 31, 2019 (millions of yen) FY ended Mar. 31, 2018 Forecasts FY ending Mar. 31, 2019 Year-on-year change Amount Percent (%) Amount Percent (%) Change Rate (%) Net sales 54, , , Operating income 12, , , Ordinary income 12, , , Net income 8, , , EPS (yen) Capital investment 8,757-23,500-14, Depreciation 5,852-6,300 - costs R&D costs 2,114-2, Net income refers to net income attributable to owners of parent. Assumed exchange rate for FY ending Mar.31, 2019 forecasts 1US$ = = CNY= Depreciation costs include depreciation cost of tangible assets and amortization cost of intangible assets and goodwill. 15

16 Forecasts of main group companies for fiscal year ending March 31, 2019 (millions of yen) Equity stake Amount Net sales Year-on-year change (%) Amount Net income Year-on-year change (%) *2 *5 Harmonic Drive Systems Inc. - 48, , HD Systems, Inc. (Harmonic Drive L.L.C) (U.S.A) 100% (51%) 6, Harmonic AD, Inc. 100% 3, *3 *4 *6 Harmonic Drive Systems (Shanghai) Co., Ltd. 100% 4, Harmonic Drive AG (Germany) 74.7% 15, , Percent change(%) indicates increase or decrease from same period of previous fiscal year. *1 For overseas subsidiaries and affiliates, the fiscal year ends December 31. *2 Exchange rates: Jan. Dec., USD = yen, Jan. Dec., 2018 forecast 1USD = yen *3 Exchange rates: Jan. Dec., CHY = yen, Jan. Dec., 2018 forecast 1CYN = yen *4 Exchange rates: Jan. Dec., EUR = yen, Jan. Dec., 2018 forecast 1EUR = yen *5 Net income of US subsidiaries (consolidated) is after excluding non-controlling interests. *6 Net income of German subsidiaries (consolidated) is before excluding non-controlling interests. 16

17 Non-Consolidated performance forecast for fiscal year ending March 31, 2019 (millions of yen) FY2018/3 FY2019/3 forecasts Year-on-year change Amount Percent (%) Amount Percent (%) Change Rate (%) Net sales 38, , , Operating income Ordinary income Net income EPS (yen) Capital 11, , , , , , , , , investment 12, Depreciation 6,523-19,500-1,634 costs - 2, R&D costs 1,368-1, Assumed exchange rate for FY19/3 forecasts 1USD = EUR = CNY =

18 Sales trend line (non-consolidated) (millions of yen) 50,000 40,000 30,000 23,029 23,740 Four-year average 28,125 mil. yen 26,747 38,982 21,048 48,000 22,770 20,000 10, ,663 11,892 13,904 11,366 11,848 12,843 FY ended Mar. 31,2015 FY ending Mar. 31,2016 1st-half FY ending Mar. 31, ,934 FY ending Mar. 31,2018 2nd-half 25,229 FY ending Mar. 31,2019 forecast 18

19 Sales trend line by product (non-consolidated) (millions of yen) 50,000 40,000 30,000 23,029 23,740 Four-year average 28,125mil. Yen 26,747 38,982 5,136 3,650 48,000 5,700 4,300 Mechatronics Planetary Gear 20,000 3,534 4,329 2,606 2,827 4,539 3,066 30,196 38,000 HarmonicDrive 10,000 16,888 16,583 19,142 0 FY15/3 FY16/3 FY17/3 FY18/3 FY19/3 forecast HarmonicDrive Planetary Gear Mechatronics 19

20 Non-consolidated bookings by application (quarterly) (millions of yen) 20,000 15,000 10,000 5, ,985 1, ,754 1,179 14,583 1, ,948 1,241 1,625 1,670 16,889 1, ,114 2,568 18,113 1, ,091 9,082 10, ,903 9,546 1, , ,126 6,183 1, ,638 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q FY ended Mar. 31, 2018 FY ending Mar. 31, Semiconductor equipment Flat panel equipment Robotics Gearbox for motor manufactures Machine tools Printing machines Optical devices Transporter Measuring machines Excavation systems for the oil, etc. Others 20 20

21 30,000 25,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 Non-consolidated net sales by application (premise for 2nd-half forecasts) (millions of yen) 0 13,904 2, ,310 17,934 2, ,890 21,048 2, ,137 1,076 11,457 25,229 3,300 1,320 1,210 12,941 1,200 1,200 11,500 1,768 1,325 1,165 1,431 1,000 1,554 1,797 2,237 3,341 2, ,770 3,500 2nd-half 1st-half 2nd-half 1st-half 2nd-half forcast FY ended Mar.31,2017 FY ended Mar.31,2018 FY ending Mar.31,2019 Semiconductor equipment Flat panel equipment Robotics Gearbox for motor manufactures Machine tools Printing machines Optical devices Transporter Measuring machines Excavation system for the oil, etc. Others

22 Factors in year-on-year change in non-consolidated operating income (fiscal year ending March 31, 2019 forecast) Higher income +5,056 Lower marginal profit ratio, etc. Higher fixed 290 manufacturing 11,016 costs, etc. Higher SG&A 2,112 costs 1,070 (millions of yen) 12,600 FY ended Mar. 31, 2018 FY ending Mar. 31, 2019 forecast 22

23 Trends in operating income (non-consolidated) (millions of yen) (%) 14,000 12,000 Four-year average 7,368mil. yen ,000 8,000 6, , , ,000 2,000 5,975 5,913 6, FY ended Mar. 31,2015 FY ended Mar. 31,2016 FY ended Mar. 31,2017 FY ending Mar. 31,2018 FY ending Mar. 31,2019 forecast Operating income Operating income margin (%) 23

24 Future Outlook 24

25 Orders by Region 25

26 Consolidated Orders, by region External environment In the preceding fiscal year, adjustment process in Asia due to investment overheating and advance orders centering on robots Adopting a wait-and-see approach for some investment due to US China trade friction and revisions to China s state subsidy system Internal environment Strong performance in Europe and North America Competitive advantage unchanged Expect upturn in orders from Q4 (firm in advanced-country economies, strong progress in plans for investing in automation) (Millions of yen) 25,000 Harmonic Drive AG becomes subsidiary 20,000 FY03/19 15,000 10,000 5, ,715 14,439 14,022 15,645 9,526 6,449 11,544 1,707 2,076 1,894 1,867 5,820 2,006 2,247 5,412 6,543 3,834 4,264 4,442 3,681 4,695 4,088 1, ,133 1,035 1, Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Europe North America Asia 26

27 Trends in Main Fields of Application 27

28 1. Industrial robots Growth leveling off in 2018 due to US China trade friction and revisions to China s state subsidy system A wait-and-see attitude on some investment in Asia Bringing jobs back home campaigns in the US and other countries, as well as favorable demand for investment in automation in advanced and newly industrialized countries (backdrop of rising personnel expenses, worker shortages, and a growing quality focus) Worldwide outlook for number of industrial robots sold *forecast Copyright 2018 Harmonic Drive Systems Inc. 28

29 2. Collaborative robots (co-bots) Expanding adoption in the manufacturing and service industries Robust demand, centered on Europe Sales (billions of yen) Ten thousands of units Expected size of the market for co-bots (by amount and units) (forecast) Aprox.4.3x CAGR: 62.4% (Actual) (Estimate) (Forecast) Japan Asia Europe US (Forecast) Source: Techman Robot Inc. Source: Reality and Future Outlook of Worldwide Robot Related Market 2018; Vol.1 FA Robot Market Edition, Fuji Keizai Group 29

30 3. Semiconductor manufacturing equipment, LED and OLED manufacturing equipment Semiconductor manufacturing equipment At present, adjustments underway to invest in higher semiconductor multilayer and miniaturization technologies Growing demand for AI, VR, and CASE (automobile-related) Driven by 5G-related investment (3G [voice] 4G [data] 5G [video]) Explosion in data volume driving increases in server demand and accelerating the shift toward cloud computing Shift from hard disk drives to solid-state drives LED and OLED manufacturing equipment Demand for small- and medium-sized panels falling as smartphone growth levels off Demand emerging for OLEDs used in large TVs and onboard automotive electronics 30

31 New Applications 31

32 1. Medical applications Robotics technology is playing an active role in medical practice Use of power assistance is expanding in physical therapy clinics and for easing the burden of carrying heavy objects Health insurance applicability to surgery assistance robots is growing Market forecast for surgical robots Surgical robots Power assist suits (US M$) 10 8 Forecast mm diameter HarmonicDrive ~2020 Source: IFR "World Robotics 2017 Industrial Statistics" 32

33 2.-(1) Helping to bring a revolutionary type of new engine into practical use Nissan Motor Co., Ltd. Used in actuator for variable compression ratio (VCR) engine One Harmonic Drive used in each engine Significantly improved fuel performance Compression ratio continuously changes according to driving conditions Significantly improved thermal efficiency Has been something of a dream among internal engine technologies, under development for more than 20 years Source: Nissan Motor Co., Ltd. Expected to drive next-generation technologies State-of-the-art technology contributing to the fusion of internal combustion engines and electric vehicles 33

34 2.-(2) Helping to bring a revolutionary type of new engine into practical use Major technological breakthrough in internal combustion engines Optimal compression ratio for travel obtained by changing the top dead center position of the piston We are developing and commercializing specialized speed reducer for VCR engines Newly developed Harmonic Drive Dual type Multi-link mechanism Note: Developed by Nissan Motor Harmonic Drive area Technology once considered a dream achieved through multi-link mechanism and new Harmonic Drive 34

35 2.-(3) Autonomous motorcycle Yamaha Motor Co., Ltd. s MOTOROiD Uses batteries as weights and pendulum principles to control balance Used in actuators to control vehicle position Our AC servo actuators contribute help control vehicle balance Used to control steering and center of gravity Non-backlash contributes to improved controllability High marks for being lightweight and compact Source: Yamaha Motor Co., Ltd. Unveiled at the 2017 Tokyo Motor Show On display at the Yamaha Motor Booth at World Robot Summit 2018 (October 17 21) 35

36 Initiatives Aimed at Achieving Medium-Term Management Plan Targets Raising QCDS Capacity 36

37 1. Roadmap to raising production capacity 1. Strain wave gearing devices (Numbers indicate units produced per month) To Jan Aug. Apr. Oct. -Mar Hotaka Factory Japan: Harmonic Drive Systems Inc. 50,000 66,000 85, ,000+ Ariake Factory Ariake Factory (new plant building) Total for two factories: 200, , ,000 Germany: Harmonic Drive AG US: Harmonic Drive LLC Limburg Factory Boston Factory 10, ,000 15,000+ New factory 30,000 50,000 10,000 30, Crossed roller bearings Total 98,000+ Total: 123,000+ Total 240, , , ,000 Japan: Harmonic Precision Corp. Germany: Harmonic Drive AG Current factory Limburg Factory 60, ,000+ New factory 150,000 10,000+ New factory 30,000 Total 70,000+ Total 80,000+ Total 180,000 37

38 2. Construction of new plant building at the Ariake Factory (Azumino, Nagano Prefecture) Production base for strain wave gearing devices (Harmonic Drive ) Factory designed in anticipation of production increases over the medium term (total floor space of 21,818sqm) We plan to increase capital investment in equipment and increase the number of personnel in stages, keeping a close watch on demand trends Sep Now Nov Jul Construction started Under construction Construction to be completed Groundbring ceremony Building area Artist s rendition of completed facility 38

39 3. Construction of new plant building at the Matsumoto Factory (Matsumoto, Nagano Prefecture) Production base for crossed roller bearings Factory designed in anticipation of production increases over the medium term (total floor space of 23,659sqm) Now Dec Nov Jan Construction started Under construction Construction to be completed Site preparation Current progress Artist s rendition of completed facility 39

40 4. Construction of new plant building at the US Factory (Beverly, Massachusetts) Production base for strain wave gearing devices (Harmonic Drive ) Designed to increased North American local production ratio and meet future demand increases (total floor space of 8,830sqm) Now Jul Nov Jul Construction started Under construction Construction to be completed Site preparation Current progress Artist s rendition of completed facility 40

41 5. Efforts to increase productivity Expand automated lines Promote cross-trained workers Achieve ongoing improvements in fabrication, assembly, and testing processes Normalize and shorten delivery times Pursue further quality increases Enhance cost competitiveness 41

42 Current Mid-term management plan and Aiming for Further Growth toward 2030 and

43 Mid-term management plan and long-term vision Consolidated sales (billions of yen) Planned sales Actual sales E 前 mid-term Earlier management mid-term management plan plan Previous mid-term management plan 50th anniversary Current mid-term management plan Good balance among three businesses RD MT AD FY2012 FY2014 FY2015 FY2017 FY2018 FY2020 FY2030 FY

44 The performance targets and other numerical data presented herein are forecasts based on information available to the HDS Group at the time this material was prepared, and are subject to the influence of uncertainties including those in the economic and competitive environment. Actual performance may therefore differ materially from the forecasts given in this material. For more information: Please contact us as follows for material contents and investor information of all kinds. Corporate Planning Division, Harmonic Drive Systems Inc. Ichigo Omori bldg. 7F, Minami-Oi, Shinagawa-ku, Tokyo Japan Website: