THE 27 th ANNUAL INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON STATISTICS AND MODELLING IN HUMAN AND SOCIAL SCIENCES
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1 THE 27 th ANNUAL INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON STATISTICS AND MODELLING IN HUMAN AND SOCIAL SCIENCES Agenda MARCH 24-26, 2015 Cairo, Egypt Faculty of Economics and Political Science, Cairo University Sawiris Hall (First Floor)
2 Conference Organization Committee General Supervisor Prof. Hala Helmy El Said, Dean of Faculty of Economics and Political Science Executive Secretariat Prof. Mohamed Ismail, Chairman of Statistics Department Committee Members Prof. Hussein A. Sayed Prof. Tarek Emera Prof. Ali Hadi (AUC) Prof. Sanaa Ismail Dr. Mahmoud Rashwan Ms. Heba El Deeb Ms. Nesma Ramadan Prof. Abdelhameed El Shaarawi Prof. Zeinab Selim Prof. Magued Osman Prof. Mahmoud Al-said Dr. Rasha El Kholy Ms. Nesma Saleh Reviewers (In Alphabetic Order) Prof. Abdelhameed El Shaarawi Prof Abdullah A. Ghali Prof. Alaa El Shazly Prof. Amal Soliman Prof. Laila El-zeini Dr. Mahmoud Rashwan Prof. Moshira Ismail Prof. Ramadan Hamed Dr. Sanaa El Gayar Prof. Abdel Naser Saad Prof. Ahmed Gad Prof. Alyaa Zahran Prof. Hussein A. Sayed Prof. Mahmoud Al-Said Dr. May Mokhtar Prof. Nadia Makary Prof. Reda Mazloum 1
3 Day 1: Tuesday, March 24 th 09:00-09:30 Registration 09:30-10:30 Opening Session Prof. Mohamed Ismail, Chairman of the Statistics Department Prof. Hala El Said, Dean of Faculty of Economics and Political Science Prof. Gaber Nassar, President of Cairo Universty Major General Abu Bakr El-Gendy, Chairman of the Central Agency for Public Mobilization and Statistics (CAPMAS) Prof. Ashraf El-Araby, Minister of Planning, Monitoring and Administrative reform 10:30-11:00 Coffee Break 11:00-12:00 Invited Paper Moderator: Prof. Abdelhameed El Shaarawi Prof. Hao Zhang and Yen-Ning Huang (Purdue University, USA) Modeling Bivariate Marked Point Processes 2
4 12:00-14:00 Session (1): Theoretical Statistics 1 Chairman: Prof. Ali Hadi (The American University in Cairo, Egypt) Discussant: Dr. Sanaa El Gayar (Faculty of Economics Moderator: Dr. Hanan Hassan (Faculty of Economics 1- Homogenity Tests for Weibull Mixture Models under Random Censoring Moshira A. Ismail and Noura S. Mohamed (Faculty of Economics and Political Science, Cairo University, Egypt) 2- Parameters Estimation of Generalized Extreme Value Distribution Under Progressive Type I Censoring Salwa M. Assar (Institute of Statistical Studies and Research, Cairo University, Egypt) and Nesma M. Amer (Central Agency for Public Mobilization and Statistics, Egypt) 3- A Simple Procedure for Approximating the CDF of Bivariate Normal and t Distribution Abdelhameed El Shaarawi (Visiting Professor, Cairo University, Egypt) 14:00-15:00 Lunch 3
5 15:00-17:00 Seminar 2014 Panel Survey of Young People in Egypt (SYPE14) Preliminary Results Chairman: Prof. Fatma El-Zanaty, Faculty of Economics and Political Science, Cairo University, Egypt Speaker: Dr. Rania Roushdy, Senior Program Manager, Population Council, Cairo, Egypt 4
6 Day 2: Wednesday, March 25 th 09:00-10:30 Session (2): Theoretical Statistics 2 Chairman: Prof. Sanaa Ismail (Faculty of Economics Discussant: Prof. Moshira Ismail (Faculty of Economics Moderator: Dr. May Barghout (Faculty of Economics 1- Updating a Nonlinear Discriminant Function Estimated from a Mixture of Two Burr Type III Distribution Asmaa S. Al-Moisheer (College of Science, Al Jouf University, Kingdom of Saudi Arabia) 2- A Comparison of Three Different Procedures for Estimating Variance Components Zakaria A. A. Wahed (Faculty of Economics and Political Science, Cairo University, Egypt) and Mohamed S. Abdallah (Cairo University, Egypt) 3- Warranty Cost Models for Repairable Products using Generalized-exponential Distribution Essam A. Ahmed, Iman Mabrouk, and Belques A. Mahran (Faculty of Commerce and Business Administration, Helwan University, Egypt) 10:30-11:00 Coffee Break 5
7 11:00-12:30 Session (3): Applied Statistics 1 Chairman: Prof. Ramadan Hamed (Faculty of Economics and Political Science, Cairo University, Egypt) Discussant: Prof. Laila El-Zeini (Faculty of Economics Moderator: Dr. Mai Mokhtar (Faculty of Economics and Political Science, Cairo University, Egypt) 1- Parameter Instability and Econometric Modeling of Money Demand: A Structural Vector Autoregressive Approach Alaa El-shazly (Faculty of Economics and Political Science, Cairo University, Egypt) 2- On Agent-based Model of Financial Markets: Evidence from Egypt Kamal Selim, Ahmed Okasha, and Heba Ezzat (Faculty of Economics and Political Science, Cairo University, Egypt) 3- Impact of the Changes in Women s Characteristics Over Time on Antenatal Health Care Utilization in Egypt ( ) Hassan H. M. Zaky, Dina M. Armanious (Faculty of Economics and Political Science, Cairo University, Egypt), and Mohamed A. Hussein (Faculty of Arts and Social Sciences, Kingston University, London, UK) 6
8 12:30-14:00 Workshop Part (1) Prof. Hao Zhang and Prof. Abdelhameed El Shaarawi (Purdue University, USA) (Cairo University, Egypt) Extreme Value Analysis with Environmental Applications 14:00-15:00 Lunch 15:00-17:00 Seminar مشروع الحساب القومي الفرعي لتنظيم األسرة في مصر Chairman: Prof. Hussein A. Sayed, Faculty of Economics and Political Science, Cairo University, Egypt Speakers: Prof. Mahmoud A. Latif, Expert in Health Economics Prof. Zakaria A. A. Wahed, Faculty of Economics and Political Science, Cairo University, Egypt 7
9 Day 3: Thursday, March 26th 09:00-10:00 Session (4): Applied Statistics 2 Chairman: Prof. Nadia Makary (Faculty of Economics Discussant: Prof. Alyaa Zahran (Faculty of Economics Moderator: Dr. Hend Auda (Faculty of Commerce, Helwan University, Egypt) كيفية اختيار عينة من أفراد األسرة لتمثل أفراد المجتمع في -1 مصر Zakaria A. A. Wahed (Faculty of Economics and Political Science, Cairo University, Egypt) 2- Comparison Parametric and Non Parametric Methods to Predict the Insolvent Borrowers in Egypt Nany A. E. Elfar (Central Agency for Public Mobilization and Statistics, Egypt) 8
10 10:00-10:30 Coffee Break 10:30-12:30 Session (5): Young Researchers Chairman: Prof. Heba El Laithy (Faculty of Economics and Political Science, Cairo University, Egypt) تأثير استخدام االنترنت علي العزلة االجتماعية -1 Manal M. Ezzat, Sally M. Hafez, Gamal T. Hamdy, and Hisham S. Sadek (Faculty of Economics and Political Science, Cairo University, Egypt) 2- Civic Engagement of Egyptian Youth; Aged (15-22) in 2009 Rahma K. Diab (Faculty of Economics and Political Science, Cairo University, Egypt) 3- The Millenium Development Goals and Child Situation in Egypt, 2008 Dalia G. E. Elabady (Central Agency for Public Mobilization and Statistics, Egypt) 4- Using a Poisson Regression Model to Analyze Woman s Labor Force Data Reem I. Elsybaey (Institute of Statistical Studies and Research) and Yasmine Ibrahim (Institute of Statistical Studies and Research) 9
11 القطاع غير الرسمي في مصر ( هيكله أداؤه - محدداته( -5 Dina A. Bekhyt (Central Agency for Public Mobilization and Statistics, Egypt) تعريف بجمعية شباب اإلحصائيين -6 Reem I. Elsybaey (Institute of Statistical Studies and Research) 12:30-14:00 Workshop Part (2) Prof. Hao Zhang and Prof. Abdelhameed El Shaarawi (Purdue University, USA) (Cairo University, Egypt) Extreme Value Analysis with Environmental Applications 10
12 CALL FOR PAPERS Cairo University Faculty of Economics and Political Science Department of Statistics THE 28 th ANNUAL INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON STATISTICS AND MODELLING IN HUMAN AND SOCIAL SCIENCES April, 2016 Important Dates Deadline for receiving abstracts: 31 st January 2016 Deadline for receiving papers: 29 th February 2016 The conference announces the reward offered by Prof. Dr. Nadia Makary that is granted for any research published in the conference proceedings and accepted later for publication in one of the international recognized periodicals. Correspondence Department of Statistics, Faculty of Economics and Political Science, Cairo University Tel: Fax: Website: 11
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