THE 26 th ANNUAL INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON STATISTICS AND MODELING IN HUMAN AND SOCIAL SCIENCES. Agenda
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1 THE 26 th ANNUAL INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON STATISTICS AND MODELING IN HUMAN AND SOCIAL SCIENCES Agenda MARCH 25-27, 2014 CAIRO, EGYPT FACULTY OF ECONOMICS AND POLITICAL SCIENCE, CAIRO UNIVERSITY SAWIRIS HALL (FIRST FLOOR)
2 Conference Organizing Committee General Supervisor Prof. Hala Helmy El Said Dean of Faculty of Economics and Political Science Executive Secretariat Prof. Ali El Hefnawy Chairman of Statistics Department Committee Members Prof. Hussein A. Sayed Prof. Zeinab Selim Prof. Sanaa Ismail Dr. Mahmoud Al Said Dr. Rasha El Souda Prof. Tarik Amira Prof. Magued Osman Prof. Mohamed Ismail Dr. Mahmoud Rashwan Dr. Rasha El Kholy International Scientific Committee Prof. Abdelhameed El Shaarawi Prof. Ali Hadi The American University in Cairo, Egypt (Chair) The American University in Cairo, Egypt Members Ms. Aya Anas Ms. Rania Mamdouh Ms. Wafaa Ibrahim Ms. Reham El- Shaer Ms. Mennatallah Gamal Ms. Silvana Sobhy The Reviewers (In Alphabetic Order) Prof. Abd-Elnasser Saad Dr. Ahmed Gad Prof. Amani Mousa Prof. Hegazy Zaher Prof. Mohamed Ismail Prof. Mohamed Osman Prof. Ramadan Hamed Prof. Sanaa Ismail Prof. Abdullah Abd-Elfattah Prof. Alsaid Al-Sherbeny Prof. Heba El-laithy Prof. Mahmoud Ryad Prof. Mohamed Naguib Prof. Nadia Makary Prof. Samir Ashour
3 Day 1: Tuesday, March 25 TH 09:00-09:30 Registration 09:30-10:45 Opening Session Prof. Ali El-Hefnawy, Chairman of the Statistics Department Prof. Hala Helmy El-Said, Dean of Faculty of Economics and Political Science Major General Abu Bakr El-Gendy, Chairman of the Central Agency for Public Mobilization and Statistics (CAPMAS) Mr. Hisham Zazou, Minister of Tourism Prof. Ashraf El-Araby, Minister of Planning and International Cooperation 10:45-11:30 Coffee Break 11:30-12:30 Invited Paper (1) Moderator: Prof. Mohamed Abd-Elwahab (Dean of Faculty of Science, Al-Azhar University, Egypt) Prof. Abdulhakeem Eideh (Al-Quds University, Al-Quds, Palestine) Bayes Estimation and Prediction under Biased Sample Selected from a Finite Population
4 12:30-13:30 Invited Paper (2) Moderator: Prof. Sanaa Ismail (Faculty of Economics and Dr. Khouzeima Moutanabbir (The American University in Cairo, Egypt) Finite Mixed Erlang Moment-Based Approximation 13:30-15:00 Session (1): Applied Statistics 1 15:00-16:00 Lunch Chairman: Prof. Sayed Meshaal (Dean of Institute of Statistical Studies and Research, Cairo University, Egypt) Rapporteur: Dr. Alyaa Zahran (Faculty of Economics and 1- "Phase II Multiple Linear Regression Profile with Small Sample Sizes" Mahmoud A Mahmoud, Abd El Naser Saad and Reham El Shaer (Faculty of Economics and Political Science, Cairo University, Egypt) 2- "Robust Estimation of Parameters in Classification Models: Review" Hazem Refaat Ahmed (Institute of Statistical Studies and Research, Cairo University, Egypt) 3- "Computation of Sample Mean Range of the Generalized Laplace Distribution" Kamal Selim (Faculty of Economics and Political Science, Cairo University, Egypt)
5 16:00-18:00 Seminar Organized by Ministry of Tourism Moderator: Speakers: On the Quality of Tourism Statistics in Egypt حول جودة اإلحصاءات السياحية في مصر Prof. Adla Ragab (Faculty of Economics and Political Science, Cairo University, Egypt and Economic Advisor to the Minister of Tourism) Mr. Bakr Soltan (Advisor to the Chairman of the Central Agency for Public Mobilization and Statistics (CAPMAS)) Prof. Hassan Zaki (Faculty of Economics and Political Science, Cairo University, Egypt) Prof. M. Fathy Sakr (Faculty of Economics and Political Science, Cairo University, Egypt) Mr. Elhamy Elzayat ( Head of the Union of Tourism Chambers)
6 Day 2: Wednesday, March 26 TH 08:30-09:45 Course (Overview of Survey Methodology) 09:45-10:30 Invited Paper (3) Prof. Abdulhakeem Eideh (Al-Quds University, Al-Quds, Palestine) Moderator: Prof. Abdelhameed El Shaarawi (The American University in Cairo, Egypt) Dr. Yulia Gel (Texas University, USA) The Role of Modern Social Media Data in Surveillance and Prediction of Infectious Diseases: from Time Series to Networks 10:30-11:00 Coffee Break 11:00-12:30 Session (2): Operations Research Chairman: Prof. Mohamed Osman (Vice President of 10th of Ramadan University, Egypt) Rapporteur: Dr. Zeinab Yousef (Faculty of Economics and 1- "A Proposed Goal Programming Model For Locating Literacy Classes" Ramadan Hamed, Ali El Hefnawy, Maha El-Ashram (Faculty of Economics and, and Hoda El-Rayis 2- "Using Meta-Goal Programming for a New Human Development Indicator with Distinguishable Country Ranks" Hussein A. Sayed, Ramadan Hamed (Faculty of Economics and, Mohamed Abdel- Ghani Ramadan (Food and Agriculture Organization), Samaa Hosny (Faculty of Economics and Political Science, Cairo University, Egypt) 3- "Hierarchical Multi-Level Data Envelopment Analysis" Ramadan Hamed, Ali El Hefnawy (Faculty of Economics and, and Yara El Husseiny
7 4- "Optimal Design of the Adaptive Exponentially Weighted Moving Average Control Chart over a Range of Mean Shifts" Ramadan M. Hamed, Mahmoud A. Mahmoud and Aya A. Aly (Faculty of Economics and Political Science, Cairo University, Egypt) 12:30-14:00 Session (3): Applied Statistics 2 Chairman: Prof. Tarek Moursi (Faculty of Economics and Rapporteur: Dr. Sahar El-Shenity (Faculty of Economics and 1- "A Study of the Trend in Unwanted Fertility using Three Different Measures" Laila O. El-Zeini (Faculty of Economics and Political Science, Cairo University and Social Research Center, American University in Cairo) John B. Casterline (Ohio State University, USA) 2- "The Most Effective Fiscal Stimulus Measures for Egypt: An Empirical Investigation" Lobna Abdellatif, Abdallah Shehata (Faculty of Economics and, and Omar Albedwehy 3- "Financial Risk Management under Asymmetric and Heavy-Tailed Return Distributions: A Copula-Based Approach" Alaa El-Shazly (Faculty of Economics and Political Science, Cairo University, Egypt) 14:00-15:30 Session (4): Mathematical Statistics Chairman: Prof. Samir Ashour (Institute of Statistical Studies and Research, Cairo University, Egypt) Rapporteur: Dr. Iman El-Khodary (Faculty of Economics and 1- "Two-Sample Bayesian Prediction Intervals for Progressively Type- II Censored Competing Risks Data from The Half-Logistic Distribution" Essam K. AL-Hussaini (Department of Mathematics, Faculty of Science, Alexandria University, Egypt), Alaa H. Abdel-Hamid and Atef F. Hashem (Department of Mathematics, Faculty of Science, Beni-Suef University, Egypt)
8 2- "Statistical Inference for Kumaraswamy Distribution Based on Generalized Order Statistics with Applications" Mona Sharaf EL-Deen, Ganat Ramadan AL-Dayian and Abeer EL-Helbawy (Department of Statistics, Faculty of Commerce, AL- Azhar University, Girls Branch-Cairo) 3- "Marshall-Olkin Extended Two-Parameter Bathtub-Shaped Lifetime Distribution" Fahima A. Alawadhi (Department of Statistics and Operations Research, Faculty of Science, Kuwait University), Ammar M. Sarhan and David C. Hamilton (Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Faculty of Science, Dalhousie University) 15:30-16:30 Lunch 16:30-18:30 Seminar Population and Development Program: 20 years after the International Conference on Population and Development 1994 برنامج عمل السكان والتنمية بعد 02 عاما من المؤتمر الدولى للسكان والتنمية 4991 Moderator: Prof. Hussein A. Sayed (Faculty of Economics and political Science, Cairo University, Egypt) Speakers: Prof. Maha El-Rabat (Former Minister of Health and Population) Prof. Fatma El-Zanaty (Faculty of Economics and political Science, Cairo University, Egypt and Director of El-Zanaty and Associates )
9 Day 3: Thursday, March 27 TH 08:30-9:45 Course (Overview of Survey Methodology) Prof. Abdulhakeem Eideh (Al-Quds University, Al-Quds, Palestine) 09:45-10:30 Course (Introduction to ARCH/GARCH Modeling, with Examples from Environmental Sciences and Finance) Dr. Yulia Gel (Texas University, USA) 10:30-11:00 Coffee Break 11:00-12:30 Course (Introduction to ARCH/GARCH Modeling, with Examples from Environmental Sciences and Finance) Dr. Yulia Gel (Texas University, USA) 12:30-14:00 Session (5): Young Researchers Chairman: Prof. Heba El-Laithy (Faculty of Economics and 14:00-15:00 Lunch 1- "The Performance of Normal and Exponential CUSUM Charts with Estimated Mean " Abdullah Abdel Karim Abdel Aziz, Mariam Yehia Sorour and Nourhan El Nabawy "دراسة حول التعدين و استغالل المحاجر " -2 Hadir Mohmed Ali, Ahmed Hassan Ahmed and Sayed Magdi Eid 3- "Factors Affecting Leisure Time Distribution of the Egyptian Youth among Different Aspects of Activities and the Influences of this Distributions" Basma Gamal Abdel Fatah, Sherouk Samir Mouawad and Rana Tarek El Said 4- "Determinants of Frustrations among Egyptian Youth Aged (22-29) in 2009" Amr Mohamed Diab, Hager Ismail Hasan and Nevin Mohamed Abdel Alim
10 CALL FOR PAPERS Cairo University Faculty of Economics and Political Science Department of Statistics THE 27 th ANNUAL CONFERENCE ON STATISTICS AND MODELING IN HUMAN AND SOCIAL SCIENCES MARCH 24-26, 2015 Important Dates Deadline for receiving abstracts 31 st January 2015 Deadline for receiving papers 28 th February 2015 The conference announces the reward offered by Prof. Nadia Makari that is granted for any research published in the conference proceedings and accepted later for publication in one of the recognized international periodicals. Correspondence Department of Statistics, Faculty of Economics and Political Science, Cairo University. Tel: Fax: Or visit:
THE 27 th ANNUAL INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON STATISTICS AND MODELLING IN HUMAN AND SOCIAL SCIENCES
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