Delhi Budget Analysis

Transcription

1 Delhi Budget Analysis The Minister of Finance of Delhi, Mr. Manish Sisodia, presented the Budget for financial year on March 22, Budget Highlights The Gross State Domestic Product (GSDP) of Delhi for is expected to be Rs 6,86,017 crore (at current prices). This is 11.2% higher than the GSDP for (Rs 6,16,826 crore). Total expenditure for is estimated to be Rs 53,000 crore, a 19.5% increase over the revised estimates of. In, there was a decrease of Rs 3,630 crore (7.6%) in expenditure over the budget estimates. Total receipts (excluding borrowings) for are estimated to be Rs 50,076 crore, an increase of 15.2% as compared to the revised estimates of. In, total receipts (excluding borrowings) fell short of the budgeted estimate by Rs 1,661 crore. Revenue surplus for is targeted at Rs 4,465 crore, an increase of 14% over the revised estimates of. Fiscal deficit is targeted at Rs 2,924 crore, an increase of 2.4% over the revised estimates of. Allocation towards the education sector increased by 46.2%, followed by a 24% increase each in allocations towards the departments of public health, and development. In an effort to reduce air pollution and move towards the use of renewable energy, the government has announced various subsidies including: (i) a subsidy of Rs 30,000 to firms to switch from diesel generators to clean fuel-based generators, and (ii) incentivising industries through subsidy of up to Rs one lakh to switch from existing fuels to Piped Natural Gas. Policy Highlights Health: The government has announced a new Universal Health Insurance Scheme to cover treatment in empanelled private and government hospitals. For this, a committee has been constituted to formulate detailed guidelines. An outlay of Rs 100 crore has been proposed for this scheme in. The government aims to set up 530 Mohalla Clinics and 230 clinics in schools by October Transport: The government has planned to provide 1,000 new electric buses by March Further, 1,000 new cluster buses will also be provided. Rs 450 crore has been allocated for these cluster buses. Education: To promote security and safety in schools, Rs 175 crore has been allocated for installing about 1.3 lakh CCTVs in all government school buildings. Further the government aims to set up 12,748 classrooms and 30 new school buildings till. Delhi s Economy Economy: The growth in Gross State Domestic Product (GSDP) of Delhi decreased from 9.2% in to 8.1% in. Sectoral growth: In the year, the services sector contributed 85% to state s economy. This is followed by manufacturing, at 12%, and agriculture at 3%. While the services sector is the largest contributor, the growth in this sector decreased from 13% in to 7.3% in. Per capita income: The per capita income of Delhi in (at constant prices) was Rs 2,92,714 crore. This is higher than the average national per capita income of Rs 1,12,764 in. Figure 1: GSDP growth in Delhi (year-on-year) 12% 1 8% 6% 4% 2% 9.2% 10.5% 8.6% 8.1% Sources: GSVA by Economic Activities, Central Statistics Office; PRS. Gayatri Mann gayatri@prsindia.org Sanat Kanwar sanat@prsindia.org March 23, 2018 For more information on this subject, please contact Vibhor Relhan at or at vibhor@prsindia.org

2 Delhi Budget Analysis Budget Estimates for The total expenditure in is targeted at Rs 53,000 crore. This is 19.5% higher than the revised estimates of. This expenditure is proposed to be met through receipts (other than borrowings) of Rs 50,076 crore, and borrowings of Rs 2,924 crore. Total receipts for (other than borrowings) are expected to be 15.2% higher than the revised estimates of. Table 1: Budget - Key figures (Rs crore) Items BE to RE of RE to BE Total Expenditure 37,263 48,000 44, % 53, % A. Borrowings* 1,696 2,856 2,856 2, % B. Receipts (except borrowings) 34,558 45,144 43, % 50, % Total Receipts (A+B) 36,254 48,000 46, % 53, % Revenue Deficit 5,264 3,789 3, % 4, % Fiscal Deficit -1,051-2,856-2, , % Primary Deficit 1, % % Note: BE is Budget Estimate; RE is Estimate. In the absence of the GSDP in, it is not possible to calculate deficits as a % of GSDP. Sources: Budget at a Glance, Delhi Budget Documents ; PRS. Revenue surplus: It is the excess of revenue receipts over revenue expenditure. A revenue surplus indicates an income over expenditure of the government on services provided by it. The government has estimated a revenue surplus of Rs 4,465 crore in. For, the government has revised its revenue surplus to Rs 3,921 crore, which is 3.5% higher than the budgeted target of Rs 3,789 crore. Fiscal deficit: It is the excess of total expenditure over total receipts. This gap is filled by borrowings by the government and leads to an increase in total liabilities. A fiscal deficit of Rs 2,924 crore is estimated in , an increase of 2.4% over the revised estimates of. Primary deficit is the difference between fiscal deficit and interest payments. In, the government has projected a primary surplus of Rs 35 crore. This signifies that the government s net borrowing is needed to meet past debt obligations. Expenditure in Capital expenditure for is proposed to be Rs 9,908 crore, which is an increase of 23.2% over the revised estimates of. This includes expenditure which affects the assets and liabilities of the state and leads to creation of assets (such as bridges and hospitals), and repayment of loans, among others. Revenue expenditure for is proposed to be Rs 43,092 crore, which is an increase of 18.6% over the revised estimates of. This expenditure includes payment of salaries, maintenance of assets, etc. Note that in, Delhi s revenue expenditure was 5.5% lower than its budget estimates, while the capital expenditure was 16% lower. In, Delhi is expected to spend Rs 4,688 crore on servicing its debt (i.e., Rs 1,729 crore on repaying loans, and Rs 2,959 crore on interest payments). This is 3% higher than the revised estimates of. Table 2: Expenditure budget (Rs crore) Item BE to RE RE to BE Capital Expenditure 8,182 9,573 8, , % Revenue Expenditure 29,082 38,427 36, % 43, % Total Expenditure 37,263 48,000 44, % 53, % A. Loan Repayment 1,655 1,682 1, , % B. Interest Payments 2,883 3,006 2, % 2, % Debt Servicing (A+B) 4,537 4,689 4, % 4, Note: Capital expenditure includes: (i) spending that creates assets, (ii) repayments on the loans taken by the government, and (iii) loans provided by the government. Sources: Delhi Budget Documents ; PRS. March 23,

3 Delhi Budget Analysis Departmental expenditure in The departments listed below account for 83.1% of the total budgeted expenditure of Delhi in. A comparison of Delhi s expenditure on key sectors with 18 other states can be found in the Annexure. Table 3: Department-wise plan outlay for Delhi Budget (in Rs crore) % change from RE Department to BE Urban Development (includes Public Works and Power Department) Education (includes School and Higher Education Departments) Social Welfare (includes Women and Child Directorate, Transport and Tourism Departments) Medical and Public Health (includes Directorate of Health Services and allocations to Medical Colleges and Hospitals) Development (includes Environment and Irrigation and Flood Control) 12,744 13,772 16, % 6,844 8,524 12, % 5,344 7,124 6, % 3,671 4,728 5, % 1,821 2,401 2, % Total 30,424 36,549 44, % % of total expenditure 81.7% 82.4% 83.1% Sources: Delhi Budget Speech ; Detailed Demand for Grants ; PRS. Subsidies Budget provisions for Rs 1,000 crore will be spent on improving dilapidated roads and lanes. Pilot project will be launched to install solar panels over 16 km of cycle tracks. 12,748 classrooms and 30 new school buildings will be set up. Rs 175 crore has been allocated for installing about 1.3 lakh CCTVs in all government school buildings. Roll out of 1,000 new electric buses planed by March Rs 450 crore has been allocated towards providing 1,000 new cluster buses. Jai Bhim Muhkhyamantri Pratibha Yojana launched with an outlay of Rs 45 crore to provide coaching to scheduled caste students. Rs 403 crore has been allocated for setting up new mohalla clinics and polyclinics in. The number of beds in hospitals will be increased from 10,000 to 20,000 beds. A subsidy of up to Rs 30,000 will be provided to firms to switch from diesel generators to clean fuel-based electricity generators. Incentive of up to Rs one lakh to industries to switch from existing fuels to Piped Natural Gas. The state government provides subsidies across various sectors. Some of these subsidies are shown in Table 4. In addition to the explicit subsidies, the budget provides implicit subsidies such as grant-in-aid to DTC of Rs 1,825 crore, and to the Delhi Electricity Regulatory Commission of Rs 25 crore. Table 4: Subsidies in (in Rs crore) Subsidy Budget RE to BE Power Subsidy 1,578 1,720 1,720 Water Subsidy (through Delhi Jal Board) Subsidy intended for Subsidy to consumers for consumption of up to 400 units of electricity. Subsidy provided for free water to households consuming up to 20 kilo litres per month. DTC Concessional Pass Concessional passes issued to DTC bus commuters. Consumer subsidy Source: Detailed Demand for Grants ; PRS. Subsidy provided on essential commodities primarily sugar. March 23,

4 Delhi Budget Analysis Receipts in The total revenue receipts for are estimated to be Rs 47,557 crore, an increase of 18.2% over the revised estimates of. Of this, Rs 42,800 crore (9 of the revenue receipts) will be raised by the state through its own resources, and Rs 4,757 crore (1 of the revenue receipts) will be devolved by the centre in the form of grants. Non-Tax Revenue: Delhi has estimated to generate Rs 800 crore through non-tax sources in. This remains unchanged over the revised estimates of Table 5: Break up of state government receipts (Rs crore) Item BE to RE RE to BE State's Own Tax 31,140 38,700 36, % 42, % State's Own Non-tax Grants in aid and contributions 2,825 2,716 2, % 4, Total Revenue Receipts 34,346 42,216 40, % 47, % Recovery of Loans and Advances % Borrowings 1,696 2,856 2, , % Other receipts - 2,528 2, % 1, % Total Capital Receipts 1,908 5,784 6, % 5, % Total Receipts 36,254 48,000 46, % 53, % Note: Other receipts for the years and, include the opening balances for those years. Sources: Delhi Budget Documents ; PRS. Tax Revenue: Total own tax revenue of Delhi is estimated to be Rs 42,000 crore in. The composition of the state s tax revenue is shown in Figure 2. Figure 2: Composition of Tax Revenue in (Budget estimates) Stamp Duty, 10.2% State Excise, 12.4% Sales Tax, 15.7% Vehicle Tax, 6. Sources: Delhi Budget Documents ; PRS. SGST, 55.7% In, government revenue receipts are estimated to be 4.7% (Rs 1,968 crore) less than the budgeted estimates. This decrease is driven by a decline of 5.4% (Rs 2,100 crore) in tax revenue collection, the largest component of the state s revenue (88%). In, grants-in-aid from the centre are estimated to increase by 67% over the revised estimates of This can be attributed to an increase of Rs 2,357 crore (248%) in the allocation towards Centrally Sponsored Schemes. State Goods and Services Tax (SGST) is expected to be the largest component of Delhi s tax revenue. It is expected to contribute Rs 23,400 crore (55.7%). Sales tax is the second largest component of tax revenue of the state. As a major portion of Sales tax has been subsumed under GST, this tax is now only levied on certain items such as alcohol for human consumption and petroleum products. Sales tax is expected to generate Rs 6,600 crore in. This is a decrease of 40.5% from the revised estimates of. Further, the government is expected to generate Rs 2,500 crore through taxes on vehicles. This is an increase of 16.3% over the revised estimates of. Stamp Duty will contribute Rs 4,298 crore, which is 10.2% of the state s tax revenue. This is an increase of 14.7%, over the revised estimates of. March 23,

5 Delhi Budget Analysis Annexure The graphs below compare Delhi s expenditure on two key sectors as a proportion of its total budget, with 18 other states. 1 Education: Delhi has allocated 26.3% of its budget towards education in. This is higher than the average expenditure allocated to education by 18 other states (using budget estimates). Health: Delhi has allocated 12.7% of its total expenditure on health, which is significantly higher than the average expenditure of 18 other states. Spending on education as a % of total budget Spending on health as a % of total budget % 23.4% 23.7% 26.3% 14% 12% 10.8% 11.9% 11.6% 12.7% % 1 8% 1 6% 4% 4.8% 2% (RE) Average of 19 states ( BE) (RE) Average of 19 states ( BE) DISCLAIMER: This document is being furnished to you for your information. You may choose to reproduce or redistribute this report for non-commercial purposes in part or in full to any other person with due acknowledgement of ( PRS ). The opinions expressed herein are entirely those of the author(s). PRS makes every effort to use reliable and comprehensive information, but PRS does not represent that the contents of the report are accurate or complete. PRS is an independent, not-for-profit group. This document has been prepared without regard to the objectives or opinions of those who may receive it. 1 The 18 states apart from Delhi are: Andhra Pradesh, Assam, Bihar, Chhattisgarh, Gujarat, Haryana, Jammu and Kashmir, Karnataka, Kerala, Madhya Pradesh, Maharashtra, Odisha, Punjab, Rajasthan, Tamil Nadu, Telangana, Uttar Pradesh, and West Bengal. March 23,