REPUBLIC OF RWANDA. NATIONAL INSTITUTE OF STATISTICS OF RWANDA P.O.Box 6139 KIGALI - RWANDA. GDP Annual Estimates (2011/12) based on 2006 benchmark
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2 REPUBLIC OF RWANDA NATIONAL INSTITUTE OF STATISTICS OF RWANDA P.O.Box 6139 KIGALI - RWANDA September 2012 GDP Annual Estimates (2011/12) based on 2006 benchmark Gross Domestic Product and its structure by activity In the fiscal year 2011/12, GDP at current prices was estimated to be Rwf 4,121 billion, up from Rwf 3,484 billion in the year 2010/11. In 2011/12, 46% of GDP was generated by the tertiary sector compared to 32% by the primary sector. The remainder or 16% was attributable to the secondary sector and 6% as adjustment Growth rate by kind of activity The estimates calculated at constant 2006 prices show that GDP went up by 9.4% in real terms in 2011/12, following increases of 7.4% in 2010/11. Table1: 2011/12 GDP shares, growths rate and contribution to the growth. Shares Growth rates Contribution to the growth rate Gross Domestic Product 100% 9.4% 9.4 Agriculture 32% 6% 2.1 Food crop 27% 7% 2.0 Industry 16% 12% 1.8 Manufacturing 6% 7% 0.4 Construction 8% 15% 1.2 Services 46% 12% 5.3 Wholesale and retail trade 13% 13% 1.6 Transport, storage, communication 8% 14% 1.2 Real estate, business services 8% 4% 0.3 Public administration 5% 16% 0.9 Education 6% 16% 0.8 Adjustments 6% 4% 0.2
3 Agriculture Agriculture grew by 6% in 2011/12 as a result of growths of 7% in food crops. Exports crops production decreased by 4% compared to 2010/11. Industry Activities in the industry sector grew by 12% in 2011/12. Within the sector, i) Mining: Exports of mineral products grew by 24% in the 2011/12 following a increase of 20% in 2010/11 ii) Manufacturing grew by 7% in 2011/12. iii) Electricity, gas and water: after a growth of 11% in 2010/11, this activity grew further by 19% in 2011/12. iv) Construction: grew by 15% in 2011/12 following an increase of 18% in 2010/11. Services The tertiary sector grew by 12% in 2011/12 as a result of growths of 14% Transport, storage, communication.and 13% in Wholesale and retail trade. Finances and insurance grew by 12% in 2011/12 following 34% increase in 2010/11 GDP deflator Based on 2006=100, the implied GDP deflator (an indicator of inflation obtained by dividing the GDP at current prices by GDP at constant prices) increased by 8.1% from 145 in 2010/11 to 156 in 2011/2012. Expenditure on GDP In Table 3a it can be seen that private final consumption expenditure was 83% and the government final consumption expenditure was 15% of GDP in 2011/12. The level of investment (gross capital formation) is estimated at 22% of GDP in 2011/12, reflecting high levels of construction activity (16% increase). In 2011/12, imports are provisionally estimated to have increased by 10% at constant prices. These figures imply an increase of 6% in private final consumption expenditure. Exports grew by 37% following an increase of 28% in 2010/11. GDP by mode of production In the year 2011/12, the formal sector accounted for 24% of GDP (including taxes); the informal sector 45.5%; non-monetary production 18.5%; and government 12%. 2
4 Table 1 Tableau 1 Gross Domestic Product by Kind of Activity Produit Intérieur Brut par Branche d'activité at current prices en prix constants de 2006 ( in billion of 2006 Frw) (en milliards de frw de 2006) YEARS ENDING JUNE 2006/ / / / / /12 Gross Domestic Product 1,908 2,245 2,840 3,128 3,484 4,121 Produit Intérieur Brut Agriculture ,054 1,091 1,328 Agriculture Food crop AA ,133 Culture vivrière Export Crop AB Culture d'exportation Livestock AC Elevage Forestry AD Sylviculture Fisheries B Pêche Industry Industrie Mining and quarrying C Mines et carrières Manufacturing D Manufactures Of which: Food DA Dont: Alimentaires Beverages and tobacco DB Boissons et tabac Textiles and clothing DC Textiles Wood, paper and printingdd Bois, papier, impression, édition Chemicals, rubber, plasticde Chimique, caouchout, plastiques Non metallic minerals DF Mineraux non métalliques Furniture and other DG Meubles et autres Electricity, gas and water E Electricité, gaz et eau Construction F Construction Services 807 1,030 1,309 1,437 1,621 1,893 Services Wholesale and retail trade G Commerce de gros et de détail Hotels and restaurants H Restaurants et hôtels Transport, storage, communication I Transport, entreposage, communication Finance, insurance J Finances, assurances Real estate, business services K Immobilieres, services d'affaires Public administration L Administration publique Education M Education Health N Santé Other personal services O Autres services personnels Adjustments Ajustements Less: Imputed bank service charge Moins: production imputée des services bancaires Plus: VAT and other taxes on products Plus: TVA et autres taxes sur les produits
5 Table 1A Tableau 1A Gross Domestic Product by Kind of Activity Produit Intérieur Brut par Branche d'activité Shares at current prices en prix courants ( percentages) New estimates (en milliards de frw de 2006) YEARS ENDING JUNE CITI 2006/ / / / / /12 Gross Domestic Product 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Produit Intérieur Brut Agriculture 38% 34% 33% 34% 31% 32% Agriculture Food crop AA 32% 28% 27% 29% 26% 27% Culture vivrière Export Crop AB 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% Culture d'exportation Livestock AC 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% Elevage Forestry AD 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% Sylviculture Fisheries B 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Pêche Industry 14% 14% 15% 14% 16% 16% Industrie Mining and quarrying C 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% Mines et carrières Manufacturing D 6% 6% 6% 7% 7% 6% Manufactures Of which: Food DA 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% Dont: Alimentaires Beverages and tobacco DB 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% Boissons et tabac Textiles and clothing DC 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Textiles Wood, paper and printingdd 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Bois, papier, impression, édition Chemicals, rubber, plasticde 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Chimique, caouchout, plastiques Non metallic minerals DF 1% 1% 0% 1% 1% 1% Mineraux non métalliques Furniture and other DG 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% Meubles et autres Electricity, gas and water E 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% Electricité, gaz et eau Construction F 6% 7% 8% 7% 8% 8% Construction Services 42% 46% 46% 46% 47% 46% Services Wholesale and retail trade G 11% 13% 14% 13% 13% 13% Commerce de gros et de détail Hotels and restaurants H 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% Restaurants et hôtels Transport, storage, communication I 7% 7% 7% 8% 8% 8% Transport, entreposage, communication Finance, insurance J 3% 3% 2% 2% 3% 3% Finances, assurances Real estate, business services K 7% 9% 9% 9% 9% 8% Immobilieres, services d'affaires Public administration L 5% 5% 4% 4% 5% 5% Administration publique Education M 4% 5% 4% 5% 5% 6% Education Health N 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 1% Santé Other personal services O 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% Autres services personnels Adjustments 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% Ajustements Less: Imputed bank service charge -1% -2% -2% -1% -2% -2% Moins: production imputée des services bancaires Plus: VAT and other taxes on products 7% 7% 8% 7% 8% 8% Plus: TVA et autres taxes sur les produits 4
6 Table 2 Tableau 2 Gross Domestic Product by Kind of Activity Produit Intérieur Brut par Branche d'activité at constant 2006 prices en prix constants de 2006 ( in billion 2006 Frw) (en milliards de frw de 2006) YEARS ENDING JUNE 2006/ / / / / /12 Gross Domestic Product 1,801 1,949 2,138 2,244 2,410 2,637 Produit Intérieur Brut Agriculture Agriculture Food crop AA Culture vivrière Export Crop AB Culture d'exportation Livestock AC Elevage Forestry AD Sylviculture Fisheries B Pêche Industry Industrie Mining and quarrying C Mines et carrières Manufacturing D Manufactures Of which: Food DA Dont: Alimentaires Beverages and tobacco DB Boissons et tabac Textiles and clothing DC Textiles Wood, paper and printingdd Bois, papier, impression, édition Chemicals, rubber, plasticde Chimique, caouchout, plastiques Non metallic minerals DF Mineraux non métalliques Furniture and other DG Meubles et autres Electricity, gas and water E Electricité, gaz et eau Construction F Construction Services ,011 1,110 1,239 Services Wholesale and retail trade G Commerce de gros et de détail Hotels and restaurants H Restaurants et hôtels Transport, storage, communication I Transport, entreposage, communication Finance, insurance J Finances, assurances Real estate, business services K Immobilieres, services d'affaires Public administration L Administration publique Education M Education Health N Santé Other personal services O Autres services personnels Adjustments Ajustements Less: Imputed bank service charge Moins: production imputée des services bancaires Plus: VAT and other taxes on products Plus: TVA et autres taxes sur les produits 5
7 Table 2A Tableau 2 Gross Domestic Product by Kind of Activity Produit Intérieur Brut par Branche d'activité Growth rates at constant 2006 prices en prix constants de 2006 ( percentage change from previous year) New estimates (en milliards de frw de 2006) YEARS ENDING JUNE 2006/ / / / / /12 Gross Domestic Product 8.2% 9.7% 4.9% 7.4% 9.4% Produit Intérieur Brut Agriculture 4% 6% 6% 3% 6% Agriculture Food crop AA 4% 6% 7% 3% 7% Culture vivrière Export Crop AB -1% -1% -1% 6% -4% Culture d'exportation Livestock AC 2% 3% 4% 4% 4% Elevage Forestry AD 4% 3% 3% 3% 3% Sylviculture Fisheries B 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% Pêche Industry 10% 10% 1% 13% 12% Industrie Mining and quarrying C 4% -22% -16% 20% 24% Mines et carrières Manufacturing D 4% 1% 7% 6% 7% Manufactures Of which: Food DA 3% 4% 5% 7% 4% Dont: Alimentaires Beverages and tobacco DB 1% -1% 3% 7% 5% Boissons et tabac Textiles and clothing DC 10% -7% 2% 1% -1% Textiles Wood, paper and printingdd 21% 5% 8% -5% 5% Bois, papier, impression, édition Chemicals, rubber, plasticde -1% 7% -4% 14% 17% Chimique, caouchout, plastiques Non metallic minerals DF 6% -7% 10% 7% 22% Mineraux non métalliques Furniture and other DG 8% 6% 34% 7% 12% Meubles et autres Electricity, gas and water E 9% 15% 19% 11% 19% Electricité, gaz et eau Construction F 18% 22% -2% 18% 15% Construction Services 12% 12% 5% 10% 12% Services Wholesale and retail trade G 14% 18% 0% 11% 13% Commerce de gros et de détail Hotels and restaurants H 7% -5% 4% 5% 9% Restaurants et hôtels Transport, storage, communication I 19% 21% 6% 5% 14% Transport, entreposage, communication Finance, insurance J 14% -3% 0% 34% 12% Finances, assurances Real estate, business services K 14% 13% 6% 1% 4% Immobilieres, services d'affaires Public administration L 1% 9% 8% 17% 16% Administration publique Education M 11% 11% 12% 13% 16% Education Health N 13% 12% 17% 12% 3% Santé Other personal services O 8% -2% 1% 4% -1% Autres services personnels Adjustments 3% 12% 9% 1% 4% Ajustements Less: Imputed bank service charge 33% 1% -10% 34% 28% Moins: production imputée des services bancaires Plus: VAT and other taxes on products 8% 10% 5% 7% 9% Plus: TVA et autres taxes sur les produits 6
8 Table 2B Tableau 2 Gross Domestic Product by Kind of Activity Produit Intérieur Brut par Branche d'activité Deflators en prix constants de 2001 ( 2006=100) Percentage change (en milliards de frw) YEARS ENDING JUNE 2006/ / / / / / / / / / / /12 Gross Domestic Product % 15% 5% 4% 8% Produit Intérieur Brut Agriculture % 15% 7% 0% 15% Agriculture Food crop AA % 14% 8% 0% 15% Culture vivrière Export Crop AB % 10% 8% 4% 3% Culture d'exportation Livestock AC % 28% 2% 4% 8% Elevage Forestry AD % 19% -1% 3% 15% Sylviculture Fisheries B % 29% 6% 13% 16% Pêche Industry % 18% 6% 7% 6% Industrie Mining and quarrying C % 0% 0% 88% 0% Mines et carrières Manufacturing D % 25% 8% 6% 7% Manufactures Of which: Food DA % 24% 10% 6% 11% Dont: Alimentaires Beverages and tobacco DB % 42% 14% 3% 6% Boissons et tabac Textiles and clothing DC % 12% -5% 19% 9% Textiles Wood, paper and printingdd % 0% 2% 16% 1% Bois, papier, impression, édition Chemicals, rubber, plasticde % 6% 3% 6% 3% Chimique, caouchout, plastiques Non metallic minerals DF % 25% 5% 5% 1% Mineraux non métalliques Furniture and other DG % 18% 2% -1% 4% Meubles et autres Electricity, gas and water E % -32% 5% 1% 1% Electricité, gaz et eau Construction F % 18% 5% 3% 6% Construction Services % 13% 5% 3% 5% Services Wholesale and retail trade G % 16% 2% 3% 4% Commerce de gros et de détail Hotels and restaurants H % 17% 5% 2% 3% Restaurants et hôtels Transport, storage, communication I % 6% 8% 4% 4% Transport, entreposage, communication Finance, insurance J % 12% 1% 4% 12% Finances, assurances Real estate, business services K % 18% 4% 3% 4% Immobilieres, services d'affaires Public administration L % 11% 4% 3% 6% Administration publique Education M % 8% 13% 6% 5% Education Health N % 11% 2% 0% 2% Santé Other personal services O % 11% 3% 3% 6% Autres services personnels Adjustments % 26% -9% 20% 7% Ajustements Less: Imputed bank service charge % 18% 5% 3% 7% Moins: production imputée des services bancaires Plus: VAT and other taxes on products % 25% -6% 16% 6% Plus: TVA et autres taxes sur les produits 7
9 Table 3 Tableau 3 Expenditure on GDP Calendar years Fiscal years ending June Emplois du PIB ( in billion Frw) (en milliards de frw) / / / / / /12 in current prices aux prix courants Gross Domestic Product 1,716 2,045 2,577 2,985 3,280 3,826 1,908 2,245 2,840 3,128 3,484 4,121 Produit Intérieur Brut Total final consumption expenditure 1,686 1,970 2,398 2,920 3,266 3,738 1,851 2,128 2,695 3,113 3,442 4,040 Dépenses de Consommation finale Government Administration publique Private (includes changes in stock) 1,374 1,632 2,019 2,466 2,742 3,168 1,535 1,771 2,265 2,632 2,900 3,415 Privée (y compris variation des stocks) Gross capital formation Investissement intérieur brut Gross fixed capital formation Formation brute de capital fixe Construction Construction Durable capital goods Equipement (biens durables) Resource balance Balance des ressources Exports of Goods and NFS Exportations (bsnf) Goods (fob) Biens (fob) Non-factor services Services nonfacteurs Imports of goods and NFS ,003 1, ,114 1,349 Importations (bsnf) Goods (fob) Biens (fob) Non-factor Services Services nonfacteurs in constant 2006 prices aux prix constants de 2006 Gross Domestic Product 1,716 1,848 2,054 2,182 2,339 2,533 1,801 1,949 2,138 2,244 2,410 2,637 Produit Intérieur Brut Total final consumption expenditure 1,686 1,800 1,885 2,139 2,321 2,482 1,766 1,837 2,027 2,206 2,402 2,553 Dépenses de Consommation finale Government Administration publique Private (includes changes in stock) 1,374 1,485 1,563 1,779 1,924 2,066 1,461 1,516 1,676 1,836 1,997 2,107 Privée (y compris variation des stocks) Gross capital formation Investissement intérieur brut Gross fixed capital formation Formation brute de capital fixe Construction Construction Durable capital goods Equipement (biens durables) Resource balance Balance des ressources Exports of Goods and NFS Exportations (bsnf) Goods (fob) Biens (fob) Non-factor services Services nonfacteurs Imports of goods and NFS Importations (bsnf) Goods (fob) Biens (fob) Non-factor Services Services nonfacteurs 8
10 Table 3A Tableau 3A Expenditure on GDP Calendar years Fiscal years ending June Emplois du PIB / / / / / /12 percentages, in current prices pourcentages, en prix courants Gross Domestic Product 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Produit Intérieur Brut Total final consumption expenditure 98% 96% 93% 98% 100% 98% 97% 95% 95% 100% 99% 98% Dépenses de Consommation finale Government 18% 17% 15% 15% 16% 15% 17% 16% 15% 15% 16% 15% Administration publique Private (includes changes in stock) 80% 80% 78% 83% 84% 83% 80% 79% 80% 84% 83% 83% Privée (y compris variation des stocks) Gross capital formation 16% 18% 23% 22% 21% 21% 16% 20% 24% 20% 21% 22% Investissement intérieur brut Gross fixed capital formation 16% 18% 23% 22% 21% 21% 16% 20% 24% 20% 21% 22% Formation brute de capital fixe Construction 12% 13% 15% 14% 15% 16% 12% 13% 15% 14% 16% 16% Construction Durable capital goods 4% 5% 8% 7% 6% 5% 4% 7% 8% 6% 5% 5% Equipement (biens durables) Resource balance -14% -14% -16% -19% -21% -19% -14% -15% -19% -20% -20% -20% Balance des ressources Exports of Goods and NFS 11% 11% 14% 10% 10% 13% 11% 13% 12% 10% 12% 13% Exportations (bsnf) Goods (fob) 5% 5% 6% 4% 5% 7% 4% 5% 4% 4% 6% 7% Biens (fob) Non-factor services 6% 6% 9% 6% 6% 7% 6% 8% 7% 6% 6% 6% Services nonfacteurs Imports of goods and NFS 25% 26% 30% 30% 31% 33% 24% 28% 30% 30% 32% 33% Importations (bsnf) Goods (fob) 15% 16% 19% 20% 21% 23% 14% 18% 20% 20% 22% 23% Biens (fob) Non-factor Services 11% 10% 11% 10% 10% 10% 10% 11% 10% 10% 10% 10% Services nonfacteurs growth rates, in constant 2006 prices taux de croissance, en prix constants de 2006 Gross Domestic Product 7.6% 11.2% 6.2% 7.2% 8.3% 8.2% 9.7% 4.9% 7.4% 9.4% Produit Intérieur Brut Total final consumption expenditure 7% 5% 13% 8% 7% 4% 10% 9% 9% 6% Dépenses de Consommation finale Government 1% 2% 12% 10% 5% 5% 9% 5% 9% 10% Administration publique Private (includes changes in stock) 8% 5% 14% 8% 7% 4% 11% 10% 9% 6% Privée (y compris variation des stocks) Gross capital formation 25% 32% 3% 7% 12% 24% 28% -7% 17% 10% Investissement intérieur brut Gross fixed capital formation 25% 32% 3% 7% 12% 24% 28% -7% 17% 10% Formation brute de capital fixe Construction 16% 30% 1% 9% 24% 18% 23% -2% 19% 16% Construction Durable capital goods 54% 38% 5% 4% -14% 38% 37% -17% 12% -3% Equipement (biens durables) Resource balance Balance des ressources Exports of Goods and NFS 12% 40% -25% 6% 48% 34% -4% -11% 28% 37% Exportations (bsnf) Goods (fob) 16% 25% -27% 30% 62% 32% -12% -3% 47% 67% Biens (fob) Non-factor services 8% 52% -24% -9% 35% 35% 1% -16% 15% 10% Services nonfacteurs Imports of goods and NFS 17% 15% 10% 11% 20% 14% 18% 1% 26% 10% Importations (bsnf) Goods (fob) 26% 18% 15% 14% 24% 22% 25% 2% 30% 14% Biens (fob) Non-factor Services 6% 10% 1% 6% 11% 3% 6% 0% 19% 3% Services nonfacteurs Deflators Déflateurs Gross Domestic Product Produit Intérieur Brut Total final consumption expenditure Dépenses de Consommation finale Government Administration publique Private (includes changes in stock) Privée (y compris variation des stocks) Gross domestic fixed investment Investissement intérieur brut Gross fixed capital formation Formation brute de capital fixe Construction Construction Durable capital goods Equipement (biens durables) Resource balance Balance des ressources Exports of Goods and NFS Exportations (bsnf) Goods (fob) Biens (fob) Non-factor services Services nonfacteurs Imports of goods and NFS Importations (bsnf) Goods (fob) Biens (fob) Non-factor Services Services nonfacteurs 9
11 Table 4 Tableau 4 Gross Domestic Product by Production Mode Produit Intérieur Brut par Mode de Production in current prices aux prix courants ( in billion Frw) (en milliards de frw) / / / / / / /12 Gross Domestic Product 1,717 2,045 2,577 2,985 3,280 3,826 1,908 2,245 2,840 3,128 3,484 3,484 4,121 Produit Intérieur Brut Formal sector Secteur formel Industry Industrie Services Services Adjustments Ajustements Informal sector (monetary) ,222 1,428 1,504 1, ,050 1,361 1,471 1,574 1,574 1,880 Secteur informel (monétisé) Agriculture Agriculture Industry Industrie Services Services Non-monetary Non-monétaire Agriculture Agriculture Industry Industrie Services Services Government and NGOs Gouvernement & ISBL Services Services Table 4A Tableau 4A Gross Domestic Product by Production Mode Produit Intérieur Brut par Mode de Production in current prices aux prix courants ( in percentages) (en pourcentages) / / / / / / /12 Gross Domestic Product 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Produit Intérieur Brut Formal sector 20% 22% 23% 22% 24% 23% 21% 22% 23% 22% 24% 24% 24% Secteur formel Industry 4% 4% 4% 4% 5% 5% 4% 4% 4% 4% 5% 5% 5% Industrie Services 11% 12% 13% 12% 13% 12% 11% 12% 12% 12% 13% 13% 13% Services Adjustments 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% Ajustements Informal sector (monetary) 48% 46% 47% 48% 46% 46% 47% 47% 48% 47% 45% 45% 46% Secteur informel (monétisé) Agriculture 24% 22% 21% 21% 20% 20% 23% 21% 21% 21% 19% 19% 20% Agriculture Industry 9% 9% 9% 10% 9% 10% 9% 9% 10% 9% 9% 9% 10% Industrie Services 15% 16% 18% 17% 17% 16% 15% 17% 18% 17% 16% 16% 16% Services Non-monetary 21% 22% 19% 20% 19% 19% 22% 20% 19% 20% 19% 19% 19% Non-monétaire Agriculture 15% 14% 12% 13% 12% 12% 15% 13% 12% 13% 12% 12% 13% Agriculture Industry 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% Industrie Services 5% 6% 6% 6% 6% 5% 5% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 5% Services Government and NGOs 11% 11% 10% 10% 11% 12% 11% 11% 10% 11% 12% 12% 12% Gouvernement & ISBL Services 11% 11% 10% 10% 11% 12% 11% 11% 10% 11% 12% 12% 12% Services 10
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