The Pew-MacArthur Results First Initiative: Targeting Programs that Work. Gary VanLandingham, Director
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2 The Pew-MacArthur Results First Initiative: Targeting Programs that Work Gary VanLandingham, Director
3 The critical policy challenge Governments talk about making strategic budget choices, but they often rely on inertia and anecdote
4 Governments lack critical information Leaders often don t know: What programs exist What each costs What programs accomplish How they compare Results First addresses these challenges
5 Approach Use the best national research to identify what works Predict each program s impact in a state Calculate and compare longterm costs and benefits
6 Assess full costs and benefits Taxpayer costs (i.e., policies and services that respond to crime) Societal costs (i.e., victimization)
7 What works? Meta-analysis of Functional Family Therapy (WA) Recidivism Rate 80% 60% 40% RECIDIVISM RATES REDUCED BY 22% 20% 0% Without FFT (actual baseline) With FFT Follow-up Years Source: Washington State Institute for Public Policy
8 Cost-benefit of Functional Family Therapy WA STATE 2010 DOLLARS Cost Per Family $3,190 Net Present Value $34,549 Benefits Per Dollar of Cost $11.86 Source: Washington State Institute for Public Policy
9 Cost-benefit of Functional Family Therapy BENEFITS PER FAMILY WA STATE 2010 DOLLARS MAIN SOURCE OF BENEFITS Reduced crime $31,745 Lower state & victim costs Increased high school graduation $5,686 Increased earnings Reduced health care costs $307 Lower public costs Total Benefits Per Family $37,739 Cost Per Family $3,190 Net Present Value $34,549 Benefits Per Dollar of Cost $11.86 Source: Washington State Institute for Public Policy
10 Cost-benefit of Functional Family Therapy BENEFITS PER FAMILY WA STATE 2010 DOLLARS MAIN SOURCE OF BENEFITS Reduced crime $31,745 Lower state & victim costs Increased high school graduation $5,686 Increased earnings Reduced health care costs $307 Lower public costs Total Benefits Per Family $37,739 Cost Per Family $3,190 Net Present Value $34,549 Benefits Per Dollar of Cost $11.86 Source: Washington State Institute for Public Policy
11 Compare programs in consumer reports lists POLICY/PROGRAM COST NET LONG-TERM BENEFITS COST/BENEFIT RATIO Alternative drug sentencing $1,511 $26,502 $18.57 Correctional education in prison $1,102 $18,821 $18.11 Vocational education in prison $1,537 $17,547 $12.43 Community drug treatment $2,102 $13,317 $7.35 Mental health court $2,878 $11,352 $4.95 Cognitive behavioral therapy $217 $10,524 $49.55 Work release $649 $5,817 $9.97 JUVENILE PROGRAMS Aggression replacement training $1,473 $66,481 $45.50 Drug court $3,024 $9,713 $4.22 Coordination of services $386 $4,884 $13.63 Scared Straight $63 -$6,095 0 *Washington State 2010 dollars Source: Washington State Institute for Public Policy
12 Step 1 Identify program costs POLICY/PROGRAM COST NET LONG-TERM BENEFITS COST/BENEFIT RATIO Alternative drug sentencing $1,511 $26,502 $18.57 Correctional education in prison $1,102 $18,821 $18.11 Vocational education in prison $1,537 $17,547 $12.43 Community drug treatment $2,102 $13,317 $7.35 Mental health court $2,878 $11,352 $4.95 Cognitive behavioral therapy $217 $10,524 $49.55 Work release $649 $5,817 $9.97 JUVENILE PROGRAMS Aggression replacement training $1,473 $66,481 $45.50 Drug court $3,024 $9,713 $4.22 Coordination of services $386 $4,884 $13.63 Scared Straight $63 -$6,095 0 *Washington State 2010 dollars Source: Washington State Institute for Public Policy
13 Step 2 Calculate benefits POLICY/PROGRAM COST NET LONG-TERM BENEFITS COST/BENEFIT RATIO Alternative drug sentencing $1,511 $26,502 $18.57 Correctional education in prison $1,102 $18,821 $18.11 Vocational education in prison $1,537 $17,547 $12.43 Community drug treatment $2,102 $13,317 $7.35 Mental health court $2,878 $11,352 $4.95 Cognitive behavioral therapy $217 $10,524 $49.55 Work release $649 $5,817 $9.97 JUVENILE PROGRAMS Aggression replacement training $1,473 $66,481 $45.50 Drug court $3,024 $9,713 $4.22 Coordination of services $386 $4,884 $13.63 Scared Straight $63 -$6,095 0 *Washington State 2010 dollars Source: Washington State Institute for Public Policy
14 Step 3 Compare costs and benefits POLICY/PROGRAM COST NET LONG-TERM BENEFITS COST/BENEFIT RATIO Alternative drug sentencing $1,511 $26,502 $18.57 Correctional education in prison $1,102 $18,821 $18.11 Vocational education in prison $1,537 $17,547 $12.43 Community drug treatment $2,102 $13,317 $7.35 Mental health court $2,878 $11,352 $4.95 Cognitive behavioral therapy $217 $10,524 $49.55 Work release $649 $5,817 $9.97 JUVENILE PROGRAMS Aggression replacement training $1,473 $66,481 $45.50 Drug court $3,024 $9,713 $4.22 Coordination of services $386 $4,884 $13.63 Scared Straight $63 -$6,095 0 *Washington State 2010 dollars Source: Washington State Institute for Public Policy
15 Long-term success in Washington State Developed by Washington State Institute for Public Policy 15+ years of helping steer budget decisions, achieving better outcomes at lower costs LOWERED CRIME RATE and avoided $1.3 BILLION per budget cycle
16 VT NH MA RI CT NJ DE MD AK HI WA TN MT OR ID WY CO UT NV CA AZ NM NE KS OK TX ME ND SD MN LA AR MO IA WI MI IL IN OH PA NY WV KY MS AL GA SC NC FL VA AK Participation in Results First
17 Services Provided by Results First Provide software Train staff in the approach Provide ongoing technical assistance Help interpret results for policy makers
18 Additional Services Community of practice Expand and update model All services free of charge
19 State Partners
20 Mississippi Results First Model Brian Dickerson Program Evaluator Joint Legislative Committee on Performance Evaluation and Expenditure Review (PEER)
21 Mississippi Results First Model Initiative led by Mississippi Legislature Implementation coordinated by PEER Mississippi Joint Legislative Committee on Performance Evaluation and Expenditure Review With assistance from Legislative Budget Office and state agencies.
22 Mississippi Results First Model Implementation Status Now in data collection and integration phase Began work in December 2012 Initial focus is adult correctional programs, now beginning work on K-12 educational programs Goal complete implementation by Fall 2013 so that results can be considered during 2014 Legislative Session
23 Mississippi Results First Model Implementation Experience Positive feedback from agencies Establishing a program inventory of evidencebased programs Tracking expenditures on a program basis Has been resource-intensive on the front end, but work will decrease as we get familiar with the model and initial data collection period is completed
24 Mississippi Results First Model Connecting to Budgetary and Policy Process: Our mission is to inform policy makers There is strong leadership support for Results First It will be critical to keep model relevant to legislators, clearly communicate findings, and Ensure open communication between PEER, the Legislature and agencies
25 Massachusetts Results First Model Michael Coelho Assistant Secretary for Policy and Planning Executive Office of Public Safety and Security
26 Massachusetts Results First Model Status of Implementation Work began in March 2012 Currently housed within Executive Office of Public Safety and Security- Overseen by Special Commission to Study Criminal Justice System Most comprehensive assessment of criminal justice data ever done in state Comprehensive recidivism analysis Comprehensive assessment of probation data
27 Massachusetts Results First Model This data will inform process beyond Results First Validation ongoing Strong interagency collaboration Continuing to refine methodologies for recidivism research WSIPP: Model Update Q&A Creating momentum for data storage warehouse
28 Massachusetts Results First Model Result First collaborations leading to policy innovations across executive and judiciary Will use Byrne grant funds for evidenced based policies and evaluation across the systems DOC accelerating need to tie recidivism analysis to programming received by inmates
29 Massachusetts Results First Model Has increased interest in using Results First approach in other areas - Social Financing, other policy areas Results First data providing more detailed arguments for budget appropriation and increases Excellent organizing mechanism for MA system, which is fractured
30 New Mexico Results First Model Charles Sallee Deputy Director Legislative Finance Committee
31 New Mexico Results First Model Background Work began in 2012 The model is currently housed at the Legislative Finance Committee New Mexico is one of five states in which both the governor and a legislative agency propose a comprehensive state budget to the full legislature
32 New Mexico Results First Model Using model to assess multiple policy areas Crime (adult and juvenile) Education Child Welfare Substance Use Health Care We are planning on implementing mental health and refreshing data once a year.
33 New Mexico Results First Model Uses of Model LFC staff have used the model in program evaluations to examine in-prison programs For every dollar spent on these New Mexico programs, the amount of benefit returned should be: $0 $10 $20 $30 $ evaluation found that drug treatment in prison was not operating with fidelity Adult Education $30.22 The relative low ROI of drug treatment in prison and the lack of fidelity helped to prompt corrections officials to replace the program with another evidence based approach Cognitive Behavioral Programs Vocational Education in Prison Drug Treatment In Prison $4.77 $19.20 $15.89
34 New Mexico Results First Model Lifetime total benefits of selected outcomes in New Mexico
35 New Mexico Results First Model Incorporating the model into budget decisions Consumer reports Inventory existing programs. Prioritize funding for programs with a high likelihood of success. Budget and policy analysis Providing benchmarks for expected performance from evidence based programs that have already been implemented. Program evaluations More in depth evaluations to investigate if state is getting the results we expect to see
36 For more information Gary VanLandingham, Director Sara Dube, Manager Ashleigh Holand, Senior Associate Adrea Turner, Senior Associate
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