Information Systems Analysts and Consultants (NOC 2171)

Transcription

1 Occupational Snapshot Information Systems Analysts and Consultants (NOC 2171) The British Columbia Asia Pacific Gateway Information Systems Analysts and Consultants analyze systems requirements, develop and implement information systems development plans, policies and procedures, and provide advice on a wide range of information systems issues. They are employed in information technology consulting firms and in information technology units throughout the private and public sectors, or they may be selfemployed. For more information, see Appendix A. Example Job Titles: IT (information technology) consultant Computer systems analyst Informatics consultant Informatics security analyst Information systems business analyst Information systems quality assurance analyst Management information systems (MIS) analyst Systems auditor Systems consultant Systems security analyst About this report Labour market information is data about the supply of and demand for labour in key occupations, sectors, and regions of the economy. The Asia Pacific Gateway Skills Table (APGST) and its partners developed this report to provide comprehensive and up-to-date information on employment needs over a 5- and 10- year forecast period, with a focus on Information Systems Analysts and Consultants. Reports are also available covering regional and sector outlooks, as are Occupational Snapshots for an additional 51 occupations considered essential to the Asia Pacific Gateway. The snapshots contain detailed supply and demand information, highlights, and data tables. Reports can be found at lmionline.ca. This report provides in-depth information about Information Systems Analysts and Consultants (NOC 2171) in the Asia Pacific Gateway that can be used to facilitate labour market planning for decisionmakers and employers, and can help workers make informed choices about their careers and futures. The APGST generates the information in these reports from a labour market forecast based on three economic scenarios: the High Investment Scenario, Investment Scenario and Investment Scenario. The analysis that follows, unless otherwise indicated, is based on a Investment Scenario, which includes projects that are underway as well as planned and likely to proceed. Regional information is included for British Columbia as a whole as well as for the er Mainland and rthern BC. Information for the rest of BC s development regions is included in the forecast for the province as a whole, but is not reported separately. For more information, see Appendix B. Information Systems Analysts and Consultants (NOC 2171) 1

2 Table of Contents About this report... 1 Executive Summary... 3 Key Facts HIRING DIFFICULTY INDEX... 4 LABOUR DEMAND... 4 Expansion... 5 LABOUR SUPPLY... 6 Replacement... 6 Base Supply... 7 New Supply... 7 BC Labour Market: Three Economic Scenarios... 3 Conclusions APPENDICES Appendix A Duties and Educational Requirements Appendix B Data Tables by Region and Economic Scenario The Asia Pacific Gateway Skills Table wishes to acknowledge the funding support from the Government of Canada s Sectoral Initiatives Program. -- The opinions and interpretations in this publication are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of the Government of Canada. Additional 2016 BC LMI Products: Occupational Snapshots Regional Outlooks Sector Outlooks APGST LMI Forecast Backgrounder More information can be found at or contact the Skills Table at info@apgst.ca or Information Systems Analysts and Consultants (NOC 2171) 2

3 Executive Summary BY THE NUMBERS 50% 49% 24% of New Supply are from other countries See page 9 for more information on Immigration. of New Supply are New Entrants See page 7 for more information on New Supply. of today s Information Systems Analysts and Consultants will leave the job market by 2025 See page 6 for more information on Replacement. Over the next 10 years, the demand for Information Systems Analysts and Consultants is expected to be high in British Columbia and the er Mainland but low in rthern BC. Employers will face some in finding the workers they need to fill Job Openings for Information Systems Analysts and Consultants in most years of the forecast, and conditions will become difficult in 2020, and 2022 to It is expected that over the next 10 years: 7,635 Information Systems Analysts and Consultants Job Openings will be created. At least 24% of today s Information Systems Analysts and Consultants (approximately 4,045) will retire and leave the labour market by Job Openings for Information Systems Analysts and Consultants will increase by 19%. In BC and the er Mainland, Replacement 1 will generate about half (more than 49%) of Job Openings for Information Systems Analysts and Consultants. In BC, Expansion accounts for 47% of Job Openings. In the er Mainland, 51% of Job Openings will be from Expansion. In rthern BC, Expansion generates 21% of Job Openings, lower at 11% in the first 5 years. Replacement will generate 79% Job Openings in rthern BC. The 7,615 new Information Systems Analysts and Consultants are forecast to be made up of: 3,730 New Entrants (49%) 3,840 workers new to Canada (50%) 1,055 workers for other parts of the labour force (-14%) 1,100 workers from out of province (14%) 78% of Information Systems Analysts and Consultants live in the er Mainland, while less than 1% live in rthern BC. 1 Refers to workers who retire and leave the labour force. Information Systems Analysts and Consultants (NOC 2171) 3

4 Key Facts This forecast provides important information about supply and demand for Information Systems Analysts and Consultants in British Columbia and key regions of the province. The first 5 years of the forecast show a growing economy, with the following 5 showing many workers retiring from the sector. The Asia Pacific Gateway is forecast to grow during the 10 years of the forecast as trade activity between rth America and Asia continues to expand. This growth will increase the need for an available, welltrained workforce. HIRING DIFFICULTY INDEX The Hiring Difficulty Index assesses the overall for employers who are trying to hire in the labour market. It aggregates five metrics and combines them to provide a single measure that reflects the different interactions between the labour market components. For example, the metrics can show the ratio of workers to Job Openings (the Market Tightness) as Tight, with International Reliance and Supply Lag and positive (i.e., workers are moving in), while the Loss of Experience is and the reliance on New Entrants is Extreme. This implies quite different labour market conditions than a situation where the Market Tightness is Tightening (i.e., less difficult), but International Reliance is High, supply is growing much more slowly than Job Openings, and a high portion of current workers are to work in other provinces. Employers will face some in finding the workers they need to fill Job Openings for Information Systems Analysts and Consultants in most years of the forecast (see Table 1). Conditions will become difficult in 2020, and 2022 to In the er Mainland, conditions will become difficult from 2021 to In rthern BC, 8 of the 10 years see fewer Job Openings. Table 1 Hiring Difficulty Index Difficult Difficult The number of positions (demand) has declined from the previous year. Oversupplied market 0-8 Easy market Difficult Extremely difficult 30+ Information Systems Analysts and Consultants (NOC 2171) 4

5 LABOUR DEMAND 19% increase in Information Systems Analysts and Consultants positions between 2016 and 2025 Labour Demand is the number of jobs available for workers who have the skills and/or required certifications to be considered qualified to work in each occupation each year. Information Systems Analysts and Consultants positions are forecast to increase by 3,150 over the 10-year forecast: 2,705 in the er Mainland Less than 5 in rthern BC In BC as a whole, 7,635 Job Openings for Information Systems Analysts and Consultants are expected to be created from growth and retirements, with: 6,145 in the er Mainland 15 in rthern BC The number of Job Openings is lowest in 2019 and peaks in 2023, reflecting the waves of investment in BC (Figure 1) Figure 1 Total Job Openings, British Columbia, Information Systems Analysts and Consultants Expansion Expansion Demand is defined as the number of Job Openings in an occupation created by economic or business growth. In BC, Expansion accounts for 47% of Information Systems Analysts and Consultants Job Openings over the entire forecast period. In the er Mainland, Expansion accounts for 51% of Job Openings. In rthern BC, Expansion generates 21% of Job Openings (Table 2). Information Systems Analysts and Consultants (NOC 2171) 5

6 Table 2 Demand and Job Openings for Information Systems Analysts and Consultants (NOC 2171) Region Average Annual Number of Jobs Total Job Openings, Jobs Created by Expansion, Jobs Created by Expansion, Expansion Demand as a % of Job Openings British Columbia 18,030 7, % er Mainland 14,120 6, % rthern BC % LABOUR SUPPLY 50% of the New Supply of Information Systems Analysts and Consultants is from other countries Labour Supply is the number of workers who have the skills and/or certifications to be qualified to work in each occupation each year, including those who are newly trained, have moved from other provinces or countries, or have moved from other occupations. For BC as a whole, labour supply is expected to grow by about 3,190 workers over the 10 years of the forecast, with: 2,705 of those workers in the er Mainland Less than 5 in rthern BC On average, Information Systems Analysts and Consultants are 43 years old, with little difference between the regions. Replacement Replacement Demand is defined as the number of Job Openings created by workers who leave each occupation, and the labour market as a whole, due to retirement or death each year. Replacement continues to be a significant driver of Job Openings, although its impact is declining as more workers remain in the workforce after the age of 65, and the impact of the baby boom generation moving out of the workforce lessens. In BC, Replacement will create 4,045 Job Openings over the 10 years of the forecast (Table 3). Table 3 Impact of Replacement on Job Openings Region Job Openings Created by Replacement, Job Openings Created by Replacement, % Job Openings Created by Replacement British Columbia 1,890 2,155 53% er Mainland 1,385 1,630 49% rthern BC % Information Systems Analysts and Consultants (NOC 2171) 6

7 Loss of Experience assesses the rate at which experienced workers are retiring in relation to the number of Job Openings. The rate of loss is medium for the whole of the forecast (Table 4). Table 4 Loss of Experience Measure Medium Medium High 35% of Job Openings represented by Replacement 35-70% of Job Openings represented by Replacement More than 70% of Job Openings represented by Replacement Base Supply Base Supply is a measure of the decline in the number of workers who are active in an occupation at the beginning of the forecast and subsequently leave due to Replacement over the forecast period. Base Supply is calculated as the total supply less the average number of unemployed workers, less Replacement from each year of the forecast. Base Supply calculations demonstrate the changes in each year of the forecast period to the cohort of workers as compared with the first year of the forecast. For BC as a whole, Base Supply is expected to decline by an average of 24% over the forecast period, with the decline being lower in rthern BC (Table 5). Table 5 Changes to Base Supply Labour Supply Region Base Supply, 2016 Decline, % Decline, British Columbia 16,820-1,890-11% -4,045-24% er Mainland 13,005-1,385-11% -3,015-23% rthern BC % % % New Supply New Supply is defined as the number of workers who are new to the occupation from Immigration, other provinces or regions, or other parts of the labour force, or who are New Entrants newly trained and new to the workforce. The Supply Lag Measure assesses the extent to which New Supply is keeping pace with Job Openings. It allows for an assessment of the extent to which conditions are tightening or loosening in the labour market. Risk is low for the majority of the forecast period (Table 6). Information Systems Analysts and Consultants (NOC 2171) 7

8 Table 6 Supply Lag Measure Medium Job Openings or New Supply is less than 6 New Supply New Supply is 0 or negative New Supply is 97% or more of Job Openings Medium New Supply is 93-97% of Job Openings High New Supply is 93% or less of Job Openings The forecast shows New Supply keeps pace with Job Openings for BC as a whole and the er Mainland (Table 7). In rthern BC, supply outpaces Job Openings (129%) over the whole of the forecast period. Table 7 Labour Supply Characteristics, Region Average Number of Qualified Workers New Entrants International Labour Force British Columbia 18,860 3,730 3,840 1,100-1,055 er Mainland 14,770 2,920 3, rthern BC The composition of New Supply will change over the forecast period, with decreasing reliance on Immigration and (Figure 2). 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% -10% -20% -30% -40% New Entrants International Labour Force Figure 2 Components of New Supply, Information Systems Analysts and Consultants, British Columbia, 2016 and 2025 Information Systems Analysts and Consultants (NOC 2171) 8

9 New Entrants (workers who are newly trained and new to the workforce) are forecast to represent 49% of New Supply in BC. Regionally, Immigration represents: 47% in the er Mainland 111% in rthern BC (which loses workers to other regions in BC and other provinces) Immigration (workers coming from other countries) is expected to add 50% to the total New Supply of labour in BC. Regionally, Immigration represents: 61% in the er Mainland 6% in rthern BC New Entrants refers to the number of graduates, from school or training programs, who are filling Job Openings. The number of New Entrants takes previous participation in the labour force into consideration. If a new graduate has never worked before, they would be counted as a New Entrant; if a new graduate worked 25% of the year prior to graduating, they would be counted as 0.75 of a New Entrant. The number of New Entrants may not match administrative data for graduates, as graduates do not always end up in the labour force. The International Reliance Measure assesses the extent to which the New Supply of workers is dependent on workers from other countries. Given that the levers that control Immigration are not in the control of employers, this measure provides insight into the potential for New Supply expectations to be influenced by changes in Immigration policy. Reliance on Immigration for Information Systems Analysts and Consultants is extreme for the majority of the forecast period (Table 8). Table 8 International Reliance Measure for Information Systems Analysts and Consultants (NOC 2171) Extreme High Extreme High Extreme New Supply ne Medium High Extreme New Supply is 0 or negative International workers are not part of New Supply Less than 10% of New Supply represented by Immigration 10% to 25% of New Supply represented by Immigration 25% to 50% of New Supply represented by Immigration 50% or more of New Supply represented by Immigration (workers moving into the province) will increase supply by 14%. Regionally, : Represents 3% in the er Mainland Reduce New Supply by 17% in rthern BC The Measure demonstrates the extent to which movement into or out of the province affects the supply of workers available to fill Job Openings. For the regions, it measures movement into and out of the region to other regions in BC, as well as to and from other provinces. For most of the forecast period, workers will be moving into the region (Table 9). Information Systems Analysts and Consultants (NOC 2171) 9

10 Table 9 Measure Moving in Moving in The number of positions (demand) has declined from the previous year Job Openings There are 0 Job Openings Net is 0 Moving in Workers are moving to the province/region 10% or less of workers 10% to 25% of workers High 25% to 50% of workers Extreme 50% or more of workers Labour Force (workers from other occupations and those returning to the labour force) will reduce New Supply by 14% in BC. Regionally, Labour Force : Reduces New Supply by 12% in the er Mainland ne in rthern BC BC Labour Market: Three Economic Scenarios The Investment Scenario is conservative. It includes projects that are underway or certain to proceed, for a total of $22.6B in investments from % of that investment will be in rthern BC. The Investment Scenario is the expected scenario. It adds projects that are planned and likely to proceed, for a total of $59.4B in investments from % of that investment will be in rthern BC. The High Investment Scenario is optimistic. It adds projects that have been announced, but with more distant start dates or more regulatory approvals needed to proceed. It is a total of $95.1B in investments from % of that investment will be in rthern BC. The APGST generates the information in these reports from a labour market forecast based on three economic scenarios: the High Investment Scenario, Investment Scenario, and Investment Scenario. The analysis in this report is based on the Investment Scenario unless otherwise indicated. In BC, the High Investment Scenario will generate a total of about 985 (31%) more Job Openings than the Investment Scenario in the first 5 years of the forecast (2016 to 2020). In the final 5 years (2021 to 2025), the Investment Scenario outperforms the High by almost 510 Job Openings, for a net effect that has the High Scenario generating about 470 (6%) more Job Openings than the. The pattern is similar in the er Mainland. In rthern BC the investment Scenario out performs the High (13%) over the whole of the forecast period. The forecast shows that the economic scenarios impact both supply and demand for Information Systems Analysts and Consultants. This holds true for the regions as well (Figure 3). Information Systems Analysts and Consultants (NOC 2171) 10

11 High Figure 3 Expansion Demand by Scenario, British Columbia, Information Systems Analysts and Consultants, Conclusions The labour market will have some for employers looking to hire Information Systems Analysts and Consultants over the 10 years of the forecast period, in BC as a whole as well as in each of the regions. Employers can reduce the impacts of the forecast conditions by building programs and strategies to ensure an adequate labour supply. strategies to help employers gain access to workers and enhance productivity in this environment include: Developing and leveraging existing cultural and immigrant settlement programs to enable immigrant workers to integrate quickly and effectively into the workplace Developing and supporting work experience, co-op, and internship programs to help build experience in newly trained workers Reviewing hiring and job requirements with a focus on transferability from other occupations and other sectors Developing programs aimed at retaining mature workers to help maintain corporate memory Examining workforce retention and recruitment programs for mature workers to extend the working lives of current employees Managing succession and building comprehensive succession plans and experienced worker retention programs to expand and maintain workforces Information Systems Analysts and Consultants (NOC 2171) 11

12 APPENDICES Appendix A Duties and Educational Requirements Information Systems Analysts and Consultants perform some or all of the following duties: Information systems business analysts and consultants confer with clients to identify and document requirements, conduct business and technical studies, design, develop, integrate and implement information systems business solutions, and provide advice on information systems strategy, policy, management, security and service delivery. Systems security analysts confer with clients to identify and document requirements, assess physical and technical security risks to data, software and hardware, and develop policies, procedures and contingency plans to minimize the effects of security breaches. Information systems quality assurance analysts develop and implement policies and procedures throughout the software development life cycle to maximize the efficiency, effectiveness and overall quality of software products and information systems. Systems auditors conduct independent third-party reviews to assess quality assurance practices, software products and information systems Educational Requirements A bachelor's degree in computer science, computer systems engineering, software engineering, business administration or a related discipline or Completion of a college program in computer science is usually required. Experience as a computer programmer is usually required. Certification or training provided by software vendors may be required by some employers Information Systems Analysts and Consultants (NOC 2171) 12

13 Appendix B Data Tables by Region and Economic Scenario Information Systems Analysts and Consultants (NOC 2171) te: Market Tightness: Assesses the tightness of the labour market; i.e., the degree of difficulty an employer may experience in trying to hire into the occupation. 1 - Excess supply More than 60% higher than normal unemployment 2 - Balanced supply and demand Between 30-60% higher than normal unemployment 3 - Nearing a tight labour market Between 0-30% higher than normal unemployment 4 - Excess demand, limited supply Below normal unemployment British Columbia, Investment Scenario Hiring Difficulty Index Historical Data Difficult Forecast Difficult Difficult Difficult Employment 14,897 15,413 16,060 16,384 16,647 16,890 17,133 17,386 17,734 18,079 18,554 18,970 19,320 Expansion Demand Replacement Demand Job Openings Net New Positions Labour Force Supply 15,763 16,170 16,860 17,227 17,590 17,940 18,270 18,588 18,920 19,205 19,563 19,925 20,264 Net New Supply , New Entrants International Labour Force Average Age Market Tightness Moving in Moving in Moving in Moving in Moving in Moving in Moving in Moving in Moving in Supply Lag High High High High International Reliance High High High Extreme High High Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme High High Loss of Experience Medium Medium Medium Medium Medium Medium Medium Medium Medium Medium Medium Medium Information Systems Analysts and Consultants (NOC 2171) 13

14 British Columbia, Investment Scenario Hiring Difficulty Index Historical Data Difficult Difficult Forecast Difficult Difficult Employment Expansion Demand Replacement Demand Job Openings Net New Positions Labour Force Supply 15,763 16,170 16,860 17,236 17,634 18,025 18,377 18,716 19,028 19,357 19,725 20,082 20,426 Net New Supply , New Entrants International Labour Force Average Age Market Tightness Moving in Moving in Moving in Moving in Moving in Moving in Moving in Moving in Moving in Moving in Moving in Supply Lag High Medium Medium International Reliance High High High Extreme High High High Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme High Extreme Loss of Experience Medium Medium Medium Medium Medium Medium Medium Medium Medium Medium Medium Medium Information Systems Analysts and Consultants (NOC 2171) 14

15 British Columbia, High Investment Scenario Hiring Difficulty Index Historical Data Difficult Difficult Difficult Forecast Difficult Difficult Difficult Employment 14,897 15,413 16,060 16,581 17,172 17,646 18,050 18,317 18,524 18,796 19,088 19,401 19,748 Expansion Demand Replacement Demand Job Openings Net New Positions Labour Force Supply 15,763 16,170 16,860 17,273 17,734 18,196 18,604 18,949 19,230 19,540 19,902 20,286 20,641 Net New Supply , New Entrants International Labour Force Average Age Market Tightness Moving in Moving in Moving in Moving in Moving in Moving in Moving in Moving in Moving in Moving in Moving in Supply Lag High High High International Reliance High High High High High High High Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Loss of Experience Medium Medium Medium Medium Medium Medium Medium Medium Medium Medium Medium Medium Information Systems Analysts and Consultants (NOC 2171) 15

16 rthern BC, Investment Scenario Historical Data Hiring Difficulty Index Job Openings Job Openings Easy market Easy market Forecast Employment Expansion Demand Replacement Demand Job Openings Net New Positions Labour Force Supply Net New Supply New Entrants International Labour Force Average Age Market Tightness Moving in Moving in Extreme Extreme Job Openings Supply Lag High Count too International Reliance ne New Supply Loss of Experience New Supply Job Openings ne ne High High ne ne ne ne ne ne High High Medium Medium Medium Medium High High High High Information Systems Analysts and Consultants (NOC 2171) 16

17 rthern BC, Investment Scenario Historical Data Forecast Hiring Difficulty Index Job Openings Job Openings Easy market Easy market Employment Expansion Demand Replacement Demand Job Openings Net New Positions Labour Force Supply Net New Supply New Entrants International Labour Force Average Age Market Tightness Supply Lag International Reliance Moving in High ne Moving in Count too New Supply Loss of Experience New Supply Job Openings Moving in Extreme ne ne ne ne ne ne ne ne ne High Medium Medium Medium Medium High High High High High Information Systems Analysts and Consultants (NOC 2171) 17

18 rthern BC, High Investment Scenario Historical Data Hiring Difficulty Index Job Openings Job Openings Easy market Easy market Easy market Forecast Employment Expansion Demand Replacement Demand Job Openings Net New Positions Labour Force Supply Net New Supply New Entrants International Labour Force Average Age Market Tightness Moving in Moving in Moving in Supply Lag High Count too International Reliance ne New Supply Loss of Experience New Supply Job Openings ne ne ne ne ne ne ne ne ne ne High Medium Medium Medium High High High High High High Information Systems Analysts and Consultants (NOC 2171) 18

19 er Mainland, Investment Scenario Historical Data Hiring Difficulty Index Difficult Difficult Forecast Difficult Difficult Difficult Difficult Employment 11,265 11,582 12,378 12,687 12,919 13,130 13,341 13,555 13,852 14,133 14,534 14,883 15,172 Expansion Demand Replacement Demand Job Openings , Net New Positions Labour Force Supply 11,955 12,189 12,946 13,325 13,662 13,974 14,267 14,534 14,804 15,028 15,326 15,634 15,917 Net New Supply New Entrants International Labour Force Average Age Market Tightness Moving in Moving in Moving in High High High Moving in Moving in Moving in Supply Lag High Medium Medium High High High International Reliance Extreme Extreme High Extreme High High Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Loss of Experience High Medium Medium Medium Medium Medium Medium Medium Medium Medium Medium Medium Information Systems Analysts and Consultants (NOC 2171) 19

20 er Mainland, Investment Scenario Historical Data Hiring Difficulty Index Difficult Difficult Forecast Difficult Difficult Difficult Employment Expansion Demand Replacement Demand Job Openings , Net New Positions Labour Force Supply 11,955 12,189 12,946 13,332 13,709 14,063 14,377 14,670 14,926 15,203 15,513 15,815 16,101 Net New Supply New Entrants International Labour Force Average Age Market Tightness Moving in Moving in Moving in Moving in Moving in Moving in Moving in Supply Lag High Medium Medium High High International Reliance Extreme Extreme High Extreme High High Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Loss of Experience High Medium Medium Medium Medium Medium Medium Medium Medium Medium Medium Medium Information Systems Analysts and Consultants (NOC 2171) 20

21 er Mainland, High Investment Scenario Historical Data Hiring Difficulty Index Difficult Difficult Difficult Difficult Forecast Difficult Difficult Difficult Difficult Difficult Difficult Difficult Employment 11,265 11,582 12,378 12,852 13,375 13,798 14,162 14,407 14,584 14,818 15,064 15,322 15,609 Expansion Demand Replacement Demand Job Openings , Net New Positions Labour Force Supply 11,955 12,189 12,946 13,370 13,812 14,235 14,599 14,899 15,131 15,392 15,696 16,023 16,325 Net New Supply New Entrants International Labour Force Average Age Market Tightness Moving in Moving in Moving in Moving in Supply Lag High Medium High High International Reliance Extreme Extreme High High High High Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Extreme Loss of Experience High Medium Medium Medium Medium Medium Medium Medium Medium Medium High Information Systems Analysts and Consultants (NOC 2171) 21