CASINO GAMING IN HAMPTON ROADS
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1 CASINO GAMING IN HAMPTON ROADS Presented to the Hampton Roads Transportation Planning Organization By: Greg Grootendorst, Chief Economist, HRPDC October 17, 2013 Agenda Item #10
2 Background During the 2013 General Assembly session, the Senate Committee on General Laws and Technology voted to refer Senate Bill 714 (The Toll Mitigation Act) and Senate Bill 1369 (Virginia Riverboat Gaming Commission) to the Hampton Roads Transportation Planning Organization to gather and analyze information regarding four policy concerns, namely: 1. The potential overall economic impact of the development of a resort hotel/casino in the Hampton Roads Transportation District; 2. The potential revenue to the region and state that could be used for toll mitigation and other transportation projects; 3. The potential societal impact on the residents of the Hampton Roads region; and 4. The potential impact on state and local law enforcement in the Hampton Roads region 2
3 Historical Perspective on Gaming Gambling has strong roots in the U.S. and in Virginia Lotteries were permitted by the crown to help fund the Jamestown Colony and Thomas Jefferson obtained permission from the Virginia Legislature to hold a private lottery to alleviate his debt Gaming lost favor with the public in the 1830s due to moral objections and lottery scandals Anti-gambling sentiments began to change in the great depression Virginia approved the return of a government run lottery in 1987 and parimutuel betting in 1996, which resulted in the opening of Colonial Downs the following year 3
4 Proximity of Existing Casino Gaming Establishments Closest casinos to Hampton Roads are in Delaware approximately 3+ hours from Chesapeake, VA 4
5 Revenue Potential Various methodologies used to calculate revenue potential Estimates range from $210m to $601m Proximity of population base and income have the greatest impact on revenue potential Competition and tax rates will also have a significant influence on revenue There are sources of revenue in addition to the taxation of gross gaming revenue 5
6 Potential Tax Revenues from Casino Gaming in Hampton Roads Gaming Receipts Low Tax Rate- 20% Average Tax Rate- 30% High Tax Rate- 40% Low- $210M $42 $63 $84 Moderate- $375M $75 $113 $150 High- $601M $120 $180 $240 Source: HRPDC Estimates 6
7 Factors Affecting Net Impact Number of new outside visitors Number of retained visits Persons previously who previously travelled for the purpose of gaming Level of economic displacement Number of casinos Size of establishment(s) Location of establishment(s) Level of taxation Higher levels of taxation can reduce casino investment Social costs 7
8 Potential Economic Impact Potential Economic Impact on Hampton Roads of a Casino with 2,000 Employees Total Employment (Direct, Indirect, and Induced) Increase in Gross Regional Product (millions of 2014$s) Increase in Regional Personal Income (millions of 2014$s) lower estimate 1,950 higher estimate 2,470 lower estimate $77.9 higher estimate $107.1 lower estimate $65.5 higher estimate $91.8 Source: Hampton Roads Planning District Commission 8
9 Social Impacts Associated with Gambling Crime Type Bearer of Costs Description Local communities, law enforcement, individuals, courts, corrections Increase in crime associated with the introduction of a gambling facility. Majority of crime is monetary in nature (theft, burglary), but violent crimes may be associated as well. Business and Employment Costs Bankruptcy Mental Illness Suicide Social Services Regulatory Costs Family Costs Abused Dollars Social Connections Political Individual, family, economy, businesses Individuals, banks, legal system, creditors Health insurer, treatment provider, family Family Government, service agencies Government Family Family, friends, employers Individuals, family, friends, communities Government, local communities Increase in lost work days, lost productivity, and employment termination. Bankruptcy as a result of gambling debts. Gambling is associated with mental illness such as depression and anxiety. Problem and pathological gamblers have a higher risk for suicidal thoughts and committing suicide than the general public. These are the costs related to unemployment, welfare, and treatment costs due to individuals with problem gambling. Government expenditures to operate a gambling regulatory agency. This includes costs associated with divorce, spousal separation, and child abuse and neglect, and domestic violence. These costs are those associated with money lost gambling that was taken from family, friends, or employers that is never reported as a crime. Reduction of social capital. Increasing concentration of economic power could result in disproportionate political influence. Source: New Hampshire Gaming Study Commission
10 Conclusions Gaming has a long tradition and is acceptable to a strong majority of adults. Casino gaming in Hampton Roads is likely to generate approximately $375 million in GGR, which could yield an annual tax revenue of $113 million. Although there are numerous casino studies, there is little consensus as to the social and economic impacts of gaming. Further study is recommended in order to better understand the impacts of casino gaming on Hampton Roads. Clarification on the structure of gaming in the Commonwealth would allow for a more refined analysis. 10
11 Recommended Action Approve the Casino Gaming White Paper under Consent Agenda Item #15-Ha for distribution to the Senate General Laws and Technology Committee Chair and Bill Patrons.
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