Supplement. The Debt Monster. By the Numbers. Daniel Stelter, Dirk Schilder, and Katrin van Dyken. May

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1 Supplement The Debt Monster By the Numbers Daniel Stelter, Dirk Schilder, and Katrin van Dyken May

2 T the impact of an increase in interest rates on the debt burden in the ten countries in our sample: Japan, the U.S., and eight countries in the euro zone France, Germany, Greece, Ireland, Italy, Portugal, Spain, and the U.K. For each country, we show total debt as a percentage of GDP, as well as the breakdown of that debt among households, nonfinancial, and government (the le-hand column). We also show the total interest burden as a percentage of GDP for the average and each of these three sectors, as well as the impact of changes in interest rates on the total interest burden (the middle column). Finally, for the average and the three sectors, we calculate the cost in billions of euros of a hypothetical change from the current interest rate to an interest rate of percent or 8 percent (the right-hand column). E Japan trillion = billion 2.22 trillion 3.4 trillion 7.1 trillion (as a percentage of GDP) Note: is total debt as a percentage of GDP in 29; interest burden is annual interest as a percentage of GDP in 29 at the then interest rate, which is marked by red dots. The vertical dashed lines show the interest rate as of February 211. T D M

3 E U.S trillion = billion 1.22 trillion 8.2 trillion 8.99 trillion (as a percentage of GDP) Note: is total debt as a percentage of GDP in 29; interest burden is annual interest as a percentage of GDP in 29 at the then interest rate, which is marked by red dots. The vertical dashed lines show the interest rate as of February 211. E France trillion = billion 1.2 trillion 1.6 trillion 1.49 trillion (as a percentage of GDP) Note: is total debt as a percentage of GDP in 29; interest burden is annual interest as a percentage of GDP in 29 at the then interest rate, which is marked by red dots. The vertical dashed lines show the interest rate as of February 211. T B C G

4 E Germany trillion = billion 1.34 trillion 1.7 trillion 1.76 trillion (as a percentage of GDP) Note: is total debt as a percentage of GDP in 29; interest burden is annual interest as a percentage of GDP in 29 at the then interest rate, which is marked by red dots. The vertical dashed lines show the interest rate as of February 211. E Greece billion = billion 14 billion 171 billion (as a percentage of GDP) billion Note: is total debt as a percentage of GDP in 29; interest burden is annual interest as a percentage of GDP in 29 at the then interest rate, which is marked by red dots. The vertical dashed lines show the interest rate as of February T D M

5 E Ireland billion = billion 193 billion 33 billion 1 billion (as a percentage of GDP) Note: is total debt as a percentage of GDP in 29; interest burden is annual interest as a percentage of GDP in 29 at the then interest rate, which is marked by red dots. The vertical dashed lines show the interest rate as of February 211. E Italy trillion = billion 9 billion 1.4 trillion 1.76 trillion (as a percentage of GDP) Note: is total debt as a percentage of GDP in 29; interest burden is annual interest as a percentage of GDP in 29 at the then interest rate, which is marked by red dots. The vertical dashed lines show the interest rate as of February 211. T B C G

6 E Portugal billion = billion 17 billion 24 billion (as a percentage of GDP) billion Note: is total debt as a percentage of GDP in 29; interest burden is annual interest as a percentage of GDP in 29 at the then interest rate, which is marked by red dots. The vertical dashed lines show the interest rate as of February E Spain trillion = billion 82 billion 1.6 trillion 61 trillion (as a percentage of GDP) Note: is total debt as a percentage of GDP in 29; interest burden is annual interest as a percentage of GDP in 29 at the then interest rate, which is marked by red dots. The vertical dashed lines show the interest rate as of February T D M

7 E U.K trillion = billion 1.83 trillion 2.21 trillion 1.19 trillion (as a percentage of GDP) Note: is total debt as a percentage of GDP in 29; interest burden is annual interest as a percentage of GDP in 29 at the then interest rate, which is marked by red dots. The vertical dashed lines show the interest rate as of February 211. T B C G

8 About the Authors Daniel Stelter is a senior partner and managing director in the Berlin office of The Boston Consulting Group and the global leader of the Corporate Development practice. You may contact him by at stelter.daniel@bcg.com. Dirk Schilder is an analyst in the firm s Munich office. You may contact him by at schilder.dirk@bcg.com. Katrin van Dyken is an analyst in BCG s Frankfurt office. You may contact her by at vandyken.katrin@bcg.com. Acknowledgments The authors would like to thank Robert Howard for his contributions to the writing of this report, as well as other members of the editorial and production staffs, including Angela DiBattista, Elyse Friedman, and Kirsten Leshko. For Further Contact If you would like to discuss this Focus report, please contact one of the authors. The Boston Consulting Group (BCG) is a global management consulting firm and the world s leading advisor on business strategy. We partner with clients in all sectors and regions to identify their highest-value opportunities, address their most critical challenges, and transform their businesses. Our customized approach combines deep insight into the dynamics of and markets with close collaboration at all levels of the client organization. This ensures that our clients achieve sustainable competitive advantage, build more capable organizations, and secure lasting results. Founded in 1963, BCG is a private company with 74 offices in 42 countries. For more information, please visit For a complete list of BCG publications and information about how to obtain copies, please visit our website at To receive future publications in electronic form about this topic or others, please visit our subscription website at The Boston Consulting Group, Inc All rights reserved. /11 T B C G

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