A FUNDERS PERSPECTIVE OF THE BUS INDUSTRY. - Kathy Bell

Transcription

1 A FUNDERS PERSPECTIVE OF THE BUS INDUSTRY - Kathy Bell

2 AGENDA Industry challenges Transport challenges in South Africa Passenger Based Services Subsidised Scheduled Services Current Status Process constraints Distribution of Revenue Act (DORA) vs Revenue GAP Escalation formula DORA Allocation Operational Challenges Road Death Statistics Operational Risk Mitigation SANS 1395 / ISO Credit Evaluation Factors Conclusion

3 Source: Dora and the Dam presentation, Thys Hens, SABOA conference 6 March 2014 TRANSPORT CHALLENGES IN SOUTH AFRICA Global Competitiveness Transport Efficiency National Economy Road Safety Vehicle Maintenance Industry Challenges Road Infrastructure Vehicle Overloading Construction Maintenance & Rehabilitation Road Infrastructure Deterioration Traffic Congestion Road/Rail Debate Unfair Competition Driver Fatigue Driver Wellness Driver Health Law Enforcement Driver Training

4 PASSENGER BASED SERVICES Scheduled subsidised services City-to-City Luxury charters Private Hires Schools Sports / corporates Scholar Services Cross Border Services Commercial Services mines, employees

5 SUBSIDISED SCHEDULED SERVICES Subsidised scheduled services Contracted - Interim / Negotiated / Tender basis Counter-parties National, Provincial, Municipal NLTA (No 5 of 2009 and Regulations) DORA

6 Source: Dora and the Dam presentation, Thys Hens, SABOA conference 6 March 2014 CURRENT STATUS Context: Slow Implementation of Transport Policy since 1994 Context: Slow Implementation of BRT s (20-25 years) Context: Chronic funding shortages for public transport The Present Time Period 20 to 25 years The Future Rail BRT IPTN s Context: Devolution of Public Transport to metro s Q: Will the bus industry survive until the future transport system becomes a reality? What do we do in the interim? Context: Taxi industry demand for subsidies

7 Source: Dora and the Dam presentation, Thys Hens, SABOA conference 6 March 2014 PROCESS CHALLENGE WHERE THE PROCESS BRAKES DOWN The different spheres of government are not in agreement on who should take responsibility for the funding requirements of bus contracts This problem was discussed in great detail by SABOA with all spheres of government and all key role players during the last two years - National Treasury is clear that DORA is supplementary funding and that provinces should provide funding for existing bus contracts if the DORA allocation falls short - Provinces claim they do not have the funding and that the bus contracts were devolved to them from the NDOT without the requisite funding following the contracts - The NDOT has acknowledged the problem of underfunding in bus contracts and has urged National Treasury to provide additional funding

8 Source: Dora and the Dam presentation, Thys Hens, SABOA conference 6 March 2014 DISTRIBUTION OF REVENUE ACT VS REVENUE GAP WHAT IS THE PROBLEM WITH DORA? The problem is not DORA. It is how DORA is applied What operators should have received Year What operators actually received Due to funding limitations commuter bus operators do not receive the contractual increase in bus subsidies to keep pace with the cost increase in volatile cost items such as fuel, labour and vehicle maintenance This is having a devastating effect on the financial viability of bus companies and impacts on the quality of service rendered to millions of bus commuters 10.99% 2009/10-6.0% 2.15% 2010/ % 6.81% 2011/12 5.0% 9.86% 2012/ % 5.90% 2013/ % 7.14% Average per year 2.52%

9 Source: Dora and the Dam presentation, Thys Hens, SABOA conference 6 March 2014 ESCALATION FORMULA The principle of including an escalation formula in government bus contracts is widely accepted throughout the world The purpose of bus subsidies is to make bus transport affordable to poor communities who cannot afford their own means of transport and who are dependent on public transport to get to work, home, shops, school and other destinations Such an escalation formula ensures that the payments to commuter bus operators for services rendered are adjusted to compensate for increases in volatile or unpredictable cost items such as labour, fuel and maintenance costs A proper escalation formula ensures the viability of bus contracts and provides continuity and sustainability for public transport users and operators

10 Source: Dora and the Dam presentation, Thys Hens, SABOA conference 6 March 2014 DORA ALLOCATION DIVISION OF REVENUE ACT Public Transport Operations Grant Schedule 4 (2009/ /15) Allocation from National Treasury to Provinces for Public Transport Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year / / / / / /15 % Incr % Incr % Incr % Incr % Incr R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R R

11 OPERATIONAL CHALLENGES 70% of trucks un-roadworthy No brakes Smooth tyres High incidents of trucks causing Bus crashes 2014

12 ROAD DEATH STATISTICS ESTIMATED ROAD TRAFFIC DEATH RATES PER POPULATION US Turkey Egypt Mexico Ethiopia Madagascar Mozambique Gambia India Malawi China Botswana Ghana Tanzania Angola Zambia Namibia Uganda Chad Iraq South Africa Nigeria Iran Venezuela Thailand Dominican Republic

13 OPERATIONAL RISK - MITIGATION RTMS (Road Transport Management System) SANS 1395 (ARP067) PBS (Performance Based Standard) RMTS is a self regulation standard with key focus areas on: Vehicle maintenance Driver wellness Productivity Reduced overloading Positive outcomes: Accident costs/km reduced by 31% Over a 4 year period Reduction in overloading maintain At 1.2% over 3 years

14 SANS 1395 / ISO Payload optimisation Prevention of overloading Load safety Dimensional compliance Vehicle maintenance Daily roadworthy verification Minimise breakdowns Tyre management Driver medical fitness Fatigue management Skills development Corrective actions

15 144 RTMS OPERATORS / 7643

16 CREDIT EVALUATION FACTORS Contracts Long-term source of revenue Cash flows Input costs / Timing / Payments Routing and scheduling Operating risks Transport Index / Transport Rates Diesel / Maintenance Operational controls RTMS

17 CONCLUSION OVERALL BENEFITS OF RTMS When working through the ARP067 document you are bound to get a new perspective on your: Operations Systems Policies and Procedures RTMS ensures that all important aspects of transport management are addressed RTMS has the potential to enhance your image as a responsible operator which can be beneficial when dealing with: Transport Authorities Passenger Forums Other Stakeholders "RTMS certification can be used to prove to Banks that you have sound management systems in place when applying for finance -Leon Grobbelaar

18 A FUNDERS PERSPECTIVE OF THE BUS INDUSTRY - Kathy Bell