ACUITY STOCKBROKERS RESEARCH SRI LANKA EQUITIES. ASPI Remains Flat Over the Week National Inflation Hits 17-Month High ASPI ^ 0.09% S&P SL20 ^ 0.

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1 (Turnover LKR Bn) ASPI S&P SL20 ACUITY STOCKBROKERS RESEARCH SRI LANKA EQUITIES ASPI Remains Flat Over the Week National Inflation Hits 17-Month High Indices vs. Turnover (18 th July 22 nd July) ASPI ^ 0.09% S&P SL20 ^ 0.36% 6,500 ASPI 3,475 6,475 S&P SL20 3,450 Bourse continued to remain in the green for the Cont. P2 6,450 3,425 Foreign investors closed the week in a net buying... Cont. P3 6,425 6, Jul 20-Jul 21-Jul 22-Jul 3,400 3,375 Equity markets remained muted Cont. P Economic Snapshot P Jul 20-Jul 21-Jul 22-Jul KEY STATISTICS Week ending 22 nd July 15 th July +/- ASPI 6, , % S&P SL20 3, , % Banking & Finance 15, , % Food & Beverage 22, , % Diversified 1, , % Hotel & Travel 3, , % Plantations % Manufacturing 4, , % Turnover (LKR Bn) % Foreign Buying (LKR Mn) % Foreign Selling (LKR Mn) % Daily Average Turnover (LKR Bn) % Daily Average Foreign Buying (LKR Mn) % Daily Average Foreign Selling (LKR Mn) % TOP 10 GAINERS Code Opening Closing WoW % Change COLOMBO CITY PHARN % SINGHE HOSPITALS SINH % CITRUS HIKKADUWA CITHN % SINHAPUTHRA FIN SFL N % CITRUS WASKADUWA CITWN % ROYAL PALMS RPBHN % MASKELIYA MASKN % CITRUS LEISURE REEFN % CEYLON PRINTERS CPRTN % CITRUS KALPITIYA CITKN % TOP 10 LOSERS Code Opening Closing WoW % Change CENTRAL FINANCE CFINN % KALAMAZOO KZOON % BLUE DIAMONDS BLUEN % RADIANT GEMS RGEM % INDO MALAY INDON % BLUE DIAMONDS[NV] BLUEX % S M B LEASING SEMBN % MULTI FINANCE MFL N % CIFL CIFLN % CEYLINCO INS.[NV] CINSX % 1

2 ACUITY STOCKBROKERS RESEARCH SRI LANKA EQUITIES Market Review Indices Bourse continued to remain in the green for the third consecutive week as the ASPI increased by points (or +0.98%) to close at 6, points while the S&P SL20 Index increased by points (or +1.94%) to close at 3, points. Turnover & Market Capitalization Dialog was the highest contributor to the week s turnover value, contributing LKR 0.32Bn or 15.09% of total turnover value. JKH followed suit, accounting for 7.34% of turnover (value of LKR 0.16n) while Dunamis Capital contributed LKR 0.15Bn to account for 6.80% of the week s turnover. Total turnover value amounted to LKR 2.14Bn (cf. last week s value of LKR 4.34Bn), while daily average turnover value amounted to LKR 0.53Bn (-38.33% W-o-W) compared to last week s average of LKR 0.87Bn. Market capitalization meanwhile, increased marginally by 0.09% W-o-W (or LKR 2.59Bn) to LKR Bn cf. LKR Bn last week. Liquidity (in Value Terms) The Banking Finance & Insurance Sector was the highest contributor to the week s total turnover value, accounting for 17.31% (or LKR 0.37Bn) of market turnover. Sector turnover was driven primarily by Seylan Bank, LOLC and Commercial Bank which accounted for 84.61% of the sector s total turnover. The Diversified sector meanwhile accounted for 16.81% (or LKR 0.36Bn) of the week s total turnover value with turnover driven primarily by JKH and Dunamis Capital which accounted for 84.12% sector turnover. Manufacturing Sector was also amongst the top sectorial contributors, contributing 16.77% (or LKR 0.36Bn). The sector turnover was driven by Hayleys Fibre & Grain Elevators which accounted to 36.41% of the sector turnover. Liquidity (in Volume Terms) The Telecom sector dominated the market in terms of share volume, accounting for 19.51% (or 29.36Mn shares) of total volume, with a value contribution of LKR 0.32Bn. Diversified sector followed suit, adding 14.40% to total turnover volume as 21.67Mn shares were exchanged. The sector s volume accounted for LKR 0.36Bn of total market turnover value. The Banking Finance & Insurance sector meanwhile, contributed 18.35Mn shares (or 12.19%), amounting to LKR 0.37bn. Top Gainers & Losers Colombo City was the week s highest price gainer; increasing 26.34% W-o-W from LKR to LKR Singhe Hospitals gained 15.79% W-o-W to close at LKR 2.20 while Citrus Hikkaduwa gained 12.86% W-o-W to close at LKR Singhaputhra Finance (+12.75% W-o-W) and Citrus Waskaduwa (+12.24% W-o-W) were also amongst the gainers. Central Finance was the week s highest price loser, declining 49.71% W-o-W to close at LKR 112. Kalamazoo (-24.82% W-o-W), Blue Diamonds (-14.81% W-o-W) and Radiant Gems (-14.25%) also declined. TOP 10 TURNOVER Code Opening Closing Value (Rs. Mn) DIALOG DIALN JKH JKH N DUNAMIS CAPITAL CSECN SEYLAN BANK[NV] SEYBX LOLC LOLCN COMMERCIAL BANK COMBN HAYLEYS FIBRE HEXPN DISTILLERIES DISTN GRAIN ELEVATORS GRANN ACCESS ENG SL AEL N

3 LKR. Mn LKR. Mn ACUITY STOCKBROKERS RESEARCH SRI LANKA EQUITIES Market Review (Cont d) Net Foreign Purchases (by Volume) (15 Jul-22 Jul) Net Foreign Sales (by Volume) (15 Jul-22 Jul) ARPICO INSURANCE GRAIN ELEVATORS COMMERCIAL BANK NATION LANKA DISTILLERIES TEXTURED JERSEY SEYLAN BANK JKH RICHARD PIERIS ACCESS ENG SL Volume Change ('000s) Volume Change ('000s) TAL LANKA CITRUS LEISURE JKH[W.0023] SINGER FINANCE PEOPLES LEASING AHOT PROPERTIES DIALOG VALLIBEL RENUKA AGRI SEYLAN BANK[X.0000] ,040 1,300 (1,000) (800) (600) (400) (200) - Foreign investors closed the week in a net buying position with daily average net inflows amounting to LKR 0.05bn relative to last week s daily average net inflow position of LKR 0.12bn (-58.38% W-o-W). Daily average foreign purchases decreased 6.41% W-o-W to LKR 0.18bn from last week s value of LKR 0.19bn, while daily average foreign sales amounted to LKR 0.13bn relative to LKR 0.08bn recorded last week (+70.54% W-o-W). In terms of volume, Access Engineering & Richard Pieris led foreign purchases, while Seylan Bank (NV) and Renuka Agri led foreign sales. In terms of value, JKH and Distilleries led foreign purchases while Seylan Bank (NV) and AHOT Properties led foreign sales. Net Foreign Purchases (By Transaction Value) Foreign Holding (%) Value* Net Change 22/07/16 15/07/16 (LKR. Mn) JKH 51.2% 51.1% 614, DISTILLERIES 23.1% 23.0% 239, SEYLAN BANK 5.9% 5.7% 363, ACCESS ENG SL 5.7% 5.6% 1,266, COMMERCIAL BANK 29.2% 29.1% 170, TEXTURED JERSEY 42.5% 42.4% 298, CEYLON TOBACCO 97.3% 97.3% 10, RICHARD PIERIS 72.4% 72.4% 1,088, GRAIN ELEVATORS 66.4% 66.2% 100, BAIRAHA FARMS 0.0% 0.1% 24, * Value based on VWA price and not on actual traded price Net Foreign Sales (By Transaction Value) Foreign Holding (%) Value* Net Change 22/07/16 15/07/16 (LKR. Mn) SEYLAN BANK[X.0000] 5.9% 6.4% (941,000) (63.1) AHOT PROPERTIES 1.8% 1.8% (159,249) (8.8) VALLIBEL 2.4% 2.5% (436,980) (3.9) DIALOG 93.9% 93.9% (340,144) (3.7) LOLC 34.3% 34.3% (30,000) (2.5) SANASA DEV. BANK 6.7% 6.7% (20,000) (2.5) PEOPLES LEASING 6.9% 6.9% (126,468) (2.3) SINGER FINANCE 0.7% 0.8% (102,208) (2.1) TEA SERVICES 0.6% 0.7% (2,303) (1.9) TOKYO CEMENT 24.6% 24.6% (37,092) (1.6) * Value based on VWA price and not on actual traded price 450 Foreign Purchases Vs. Sales Foreign Purchase Foreign Sales 700 Week Ending Net Position of Foreign Holdings Jul 20-Jul 21-Jul 22-Jul Jul 08-Jul 15-Jul 22-Jul 3

4 ACUITY STOCKBROKERS RESEARCH SRI LANKA EQUITIES Announcements for the Week Dividend Announcements DPS (Rs.) Final/Interim XD Date LANKA IOC PLC 1.25 First & Final 26/09/2016 Point of View Equity markets remained muted this week, gaining just 6 points relative to last week s 56 point gain on the back of bullish investor sentiment following the country s successful issuance of its 1 st dual tranche sovereign bond worth $1.5Bn. Investor s remained largely on the sidelines this week as they adopted a watchful stance ahead of the Prime Minister s economic policy statement in August. Volumes too were subdued as institutional investors accounted for just ~12% of total market turnover, and as retail interest remained focused on a selected mid-caps. Market turnover value subsequently declined ~38% over the week to a daily average LKR0.53Bn (cf. YTD average: LKR 0.73Bn and 2015 average of LKR 1.06Bn). Foreign investor interest meanwhile, remained in positive territory for the 3 rd consecutive week, although net foreign inflows declined ~67% (to LKR 193Mn) from last week s net inflows of LKR 580Mn. The equity sell-off that has dominated most of the 2016 however, eased off over the month of July helping pare down the ~LKR 532.6Mn worth of net outflows over the month of June amid the BREXIT shock. With the initiation of June quarter corporate earnings this week, markets in the week ahead are likely to look towards corporate performance for direction. National Inflation Hits 17-Month High National inflation levels in June tracked the increase in urban inflation levels, rising by 1.1% over the month to 6.4% Y-o-Y (cf. 5.3% Y-o-Y in May 16). National inflation levels rose higher primarily due to increases in food inflation while non-food inflation in Clothing & Footwear, Housing, Water, Electricity, Gas & other fuels and Communication also contributed to the higher inflation figure. In a supplement to its Mar 16 Asian Development Outlook (ADO) report meanwhile, the ADB revised down its forecasts for developing Asia marginally (to 5.6% in 2016E from 5.7% in March ADO), adding that the combined growth forecast for the major industrial economies (US, Euro Area & Japan) however has been trimmed down to 1.5% for 2016E (original estimate for 2016E: 1.8%). The group cited surprisingly soft growth in the US and heightened uncertainty in the Euro Area following BREXIT as reasons for the downward revision. Sri Lanka s Cabinet meanwhile, approved a budget deficit of 4.7% (of GDP) in 2017E, lower than the 5.4% target in 2016 and in line with the targets agreed with the IMF. 4

5 Exports /Imports (USD Mn) Total Arrivals T- Bill (6M ) Rate (%) Rs. per kilo Rs /USD CCPI ACUITY STOCKBROKERS RESEARCH SRI LANKA EQUITIES Economic Snapshot Nov 15 Dec 15 Jan 16 Feb 16 Mar 16 Apr 16 May 16 Jun 16 Interest Rates Prime Lending Rate Ave. Wtd. Deposit Rates Ave. Wtd. Fixed Dep. Rates CCPI (N) AA Inflation Y-o-Y % GDP Growth (Base 2010) 9.1% 3.4% 4.9% 4.8% Source Central Bank Exchange Rate, Rs. vs. US$ Jan-12 Aug-12 Mar-13 Oct-13 May-14 Dec-14 Jul-15 Feb-16 Inflation (CCPI-N) YoY% Aug-11 May-12 Feb-13 Nov-13 Aug-14 May-15 Feb-16 6 Month T-Bill Yield Tea s Apr-12 Nov-12 Jul-13 Mar-14 Nov-14 Jun-15 Apr Jan-14 May-14 Sep-14 Jan-15 May-15 Sep-15 Jan-16 Source: Sri Lanka Tea Board Export & Trade Balance Trends in Tourist Arrivals Jan-12 Apr-13 Jul-14 Oct Exports (LHS) Imports (LHS) Trade Balance (RHS) Trade Balance (USD Mn) 210,000 Y-o-Y Growth 168, ,000 84,000 42,000 0 Jul-13 Mar-14 Nov-14 Jul-15 Mar % 64.0% 48.0% 32.0% 16.0% 0.0% Y-o-Y Growth Source: Sri Lanka Tourism Development Authority 5

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