Corus Entertainment Inc.

Size: px
Start display at page:

Download "Corus Entertainment Inc."

Transcription

1 Company Comment Thursday, April 14, 2016, Pre-Market 1 Corus Entertainment Inc. No Change to Our Investment Thesis Jeff Fan, CPA, CA, CFA - (416) (Scotia Capital Inc. - Canada) jeff.fan@scotiabank.com Rating: Sector Perform Target 1-Yr: C$12.00 ROR 1-Yr: 9.8% Valuation: 6.75x EV/EBITDA on NTM EBITDA 1 year forward Key Risks: Slowdown in adv spending; Subscriber churn from Pick and Pay TV model (CJR.B-T C$11.97) Moby Parkhani - (416) (Scotia Capital Inc. - Canada) Matthew J Lee - (416) (Scotia Capital Inc. - Canada) Div. (NTM) $1.14 Div. (Curr.) $1.14 Yield (Curr.) 9.5% Event We updated our CJR model post Q2/F16 results. Implications Within the TV business, we have lowered our estimates on advertising revenue as secular trends towards digital advertising in tandem with soft economic conditions lead us to expect a lower growth rate in H2/16. Corus' MD&O segment achieved steady growth in Q2/16 driven by distribution deals on Nickelodeon content. We see this as a small positive step towards growing this revenue stream but CJR is still not the creator. We slightly increased our forecast on MD&O driven by further distribution deals CJR announced. We expect total Television revenue and EBITDA of $628M and $292M, respectively in F2016. We have reduced our radio EBITDA forecasts as revenue continues to decline more quickly than costs. Corus was unable to cut fixed costs at a sufficient rate to maintain margins in Q2/16. We believe that this trend will continue and don't expect Corus to be able to improve margins in the second half of the year. We now expect radio to report EBITDA of $32M (-13% YOY) and revenue of $153M (-5% YOY) for F2016. Recommendation We maintain our Sector Perform rating and $12 price target. Our thesis remains that the time to invest in CJR is when there is visibility of a true transition. Pertinent Revisions Qtly Adj. EPS (FD) Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Year P/E Capitalization 2014A $0.65 A $0.31 A $0.49 A $0.31 A $ x 2015A $0.60 A $0.33 A $0.36 A $0.28 A $ x 2016E $0.49 A $1.17 $0.49 $0.17 $ x 2017E $0.55 $0.22 $0.46 $0.19 $ x (FY-Aug.) 2013A 2014A 2015A 2016E 2017E EBITDA (M) $270 $290 $277 $431 $634 Adj Earnings/Share $1.65 $1.76 $1.57 $1.94 $1.42 Free Cash Flow/Sh $1.83 $2.14 $2.27 $1.60 $1.40 EV/EBITDA 9.5x 10.2x 7.2x 8.2x 6.6x Price/Earnings 15.3x 13.9x 9.1x 6.2x 8.4x Price/FCF 13.8x 11.4x 6.3x 7.5x 8.6x Revenues (M) $804 $833 $815 $1,201 $1,733 Debt/EBITDA 1.7x 3.0x 2.8x 4.5x 2.8x BVPS16E: $18.55 ROE16E: 11.92% Historical price multiple calculations use FYE prices. Source: Reuters; company reports; Scotiabank GBM estimates. All values in C$ unless otherwise indicated. ^ Non-Voting New Old Adj. EPS16E $1.94 $1.29 Adj. EPS17E $1.42 $1.41 Market Cap (M) $1,041 Net Debt + Pref. (M) $764 Enterprise Value (M) $1,805 Shares O/S (M) 87 Float O/S (M) 79 ScotiaView Analyst Link For Reg AC Certification and important disclosures see Appendix A of this report. Analysts employed by non-u.s. affiliates are not registered/qualified as research analysts with FINRA in the U.S.

2 2 CJR s Quarter Was In Line; No Change to Our Investment Thesis Our investment thesis remains unchanged after Q2 results generally meet expectations. We continue to believe that Corus will be able to maintain its dividend of 9.8%, which should attract dividend seeking investors to the stock. However, we are looking to get more clarity around the integration of Shaw Media and will remain cautious on the stock until there is more visibility of a true transition. We maintain our Sector Perform rating and $12 price target. With the synergies flowing through over the next 1-2 years and dividend stability, we believe CJR valuation has some temporary support at 6.7x NTM EBITDA. We do not expect any material multiple re-rating beyond 7.5x unless CJR can achieve its transition to become an impactful content creator. TV Advertising Revenue Lowered; Partially Offset by MD&O We have decreased our specialty advertising revenue forecast as market conditions continue to remain soft. Specialty TV ad revenues declined 8% YOY, which was slightly worse than our estimate of -6% YOY. This was driven by soft macro-economic conditions reducing total advertising spend in combination with the secular trend towards digital advertising. We have reduced our advertising forecast in the back of 2016 to -8% YOY. Merchandising, distribution and other revenue increased 7% driven by distribution deals (when adjusting for one-time payment of $6.5M from Bell). Corus MD&O segment achieved steady growth in Q2/16 driven by distribution deals on Nickelodeon content (CJR not the creator). Management has noted that owning and controlling more content is a key strategic focus of the new Corus, and we believe Q2 results were a step in the right direction. Further distribution deals on CJR s owned library could generate growth for the business and move investors focus away from labelling CJR as a broadcaster. However, we note even with strong execution this is many years away. We slightly increased our forecast on MD&O driven by further distribution deals CJR announced (Masters of Flip, Buying the View and Netflix deal for Nickelodeon content). We expect total Television revenue and EBITDA of $628M and $292M respectively for F2016. Radio Declining Faster than Anticipated Radio EBITDA declined at a faster rate than we expected. Radio EBITDA of $5.2M (- 17% YoY) was significantly below our estimate of $7M as a result of lower than expected reductions of fixed costs. We expect Corus to continue to face some pressure on cost cutting in the segment and have slightly increased our costs estimates. We now expect radio to report EBITDA of $32M (-13% YOY) and revenue of $153M (-5% YOY) for F2016. The New Corus We believe the Shaw Media acquisition provides CJR management with more time to achieve its strategy to own and control more content. Until then, for the next 1-2 years, we expect the acquisition synergies will keep EBITDA and FCF stable. We expect this will bring net debt/ebitda down to below 3.0x by F18. For F2016 we now expect the combined entity to report revenue of $1,201M and EBITDA of $431M. As for the dividend, we estimate the payout ratio (% of FCF) will be manageable in F16 and F17 at approximately 50% but this is mainly because of SJR's DRIP participation, which saves CJR approximately $80M annually. SJR has committed to the DRIP for F16 and F17. By F18, if SJR no longer participates, the payout ratio rises close to 80%.

3 3 Exhibit 1 - Summary Model Year ending August 31 (CORUS ONLY; DOES NOT INCLUDE SHAW MEDIA E 2017E 2018E Q1/F15 Q2/F15 Q3/F15 Q4/F15 Q1/F16 Q2/F16E Q3/F16E Q4/F16E Specialty Advertising Conventional Advertising Specialty Subscription Pay TV Subscription Total Television % of Total Revenue 69% 69% 66% 64% 63% 71% 69% 70% 65% 70% 67% 67% 61% Television Content (Nelvana) % of Total Revenue 11% 11% 14% 15% 17% 9% 12% 10% 15% 11% 16% 12% 18% Radio Advertising Radio Content Total Radio % of Total Revenue 21% 20% 20% 20% 20% 20% 19% 20% 20% 20% 17% 21% 21% Revenue Mix (% of Total Revenue) Total Specialty Revenue 53% 53% 37% 26% 26% 56% 53% 55% 49% 54% 52% 31% 26% Specialty TV: Subscription 28% 29% 20% 14% 14% 25% 31% 28% 31% 25% 33% 16% 16% Specialty TV: Advertising 26% 25% 17% 12% 11% 31% 22% 26% 18% 29% 19% 15% 10% Pay TV Revenue 13% 13% 5% 0% 0% 13% 13% 13% 13% 13% 13% 0% 0% Conventional Advertising 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% Television Content (Nelvana) 11% 11% 9% 6% 7% 9% 12% 10% 15% 11% 16% 6% 8% Total TV Revenue Mix 79% 80% 52% 33% 34% 80% 81% 80% 80% 80% 83% 38% 35% Television Revenue Growth Metrics Specialty TV Revenue: Advertising 15% -6% 0% 1% -6% 1% -7% -12% -10% -6% -8% 6% 13% Specialty TV Revenue: Subscription 25% 2% 4% 1% -2% 10% 1% -3% -1% 2% 7% 3% 3% Merchandising, Distribution and Other -24% 5% 18% 1% 10% -12% 25% 12% -1% 26% 32% 8% 8% Year ending August 31 ($M; execpt EPS; INCLUDES Shaw Media Q3/16) E 2017E 2018E Q1/F15 Q2/F15 Q3/F15 Q4/F15 Q1/F16 Q2/F16E Q3/F16E Q4/F16E Revenue Radio Television Corus Shaw Media (from Q3/16) 420 1, Total Revenue ,201 1,733 1, Radio Growth (%) -6.0% -6.4% -5.3% -3.9% -4.9% -5.1% -7.6% -7.2% -6.0% -2.2% -5.6% -6.8% -6.8% Television Growth (%) 6.5% -1.0% -4.0% -7.9% -1.2% 2.0% 2.0% -4.6% -3.4% 1.2% 5.3% -12.3% -10.6% Shaw Media Growth (%) -3.3% -3.7% Total Revenue Growth Organic(%) 2 3.7% -2.1% 2.7% 0.0% -3.0% 0.5% 0.0% -5.1% -3.9% 0.5% 3.2% 2.1% 3.6% EBITDA Radio Television Corus Shaw Media (from Q3/16) Synergies and one time costs Corporate (29) (20) (23) (23) (23) (3) (6) (5) (6) (5) (7) (5) (6) Total EBITDA Radio Growth (%) -17.5% -18.6% -12.5% 4.1% -1.0% -19.1% -26.5% -19.0% -10.5% -0.1% -16.8% -19.3% -20.6% Radio Margin (%) 26.4% 22.9% 21.1% 22.9% 23.8% 28.1% 17.2% 23.4% 21.7% 28.7% 15.1% 20.3% 18.4% Television Growth (%) 14.4% -4.8% 12.1% -7.9% -4.9% 1.5% 2.9% -15.3% -7.8% 5.1% 36.4% 1.6% 8.7% Television Margin (%) 41.4% 39.8% 46.5% 46.4% 44.7% 46.2% 38.5% 39.4% 34.1% 47.9% 49.8% 45.6% 41.4% Shaw Media Growth (%) -6.9% -5.4% Shaw Media Margin (%) 33.2% 32.0% 31.4% 39.1% 20.7% Total EBITDA Growth (%) 11.4% -4.3% 13.1% 5.2% 0.3% 22.0% 17.5% 0.9% 13.6% 2.8% 33.3% 3.6% 11.0% EBITDA Margin (%) 34.8% 34.0% 35.9% 36.6% 37.8% 41.1% 31.2% 33.8% 28.7% 42.0% 40.3% 39.3% 27.1% Depr. & Amort EBIT Interest Taxes Non-controlling Interest Net Income to Common 150 (25) (87) (8) Average Shares (M) - Basic Adjusted EPS ($C) $1.76 $1.57 $1.94 $1.42 $1.41 $0.60 $0.33 $0.36 $0.28 $0.49 $1.17 $0.49 $0.17 EPS Growth (%) 7% -11% 23% -26% -1% -66% 359% -202% -1% -20% 255% 35% -40% Dividend per Share ($C) $1.09 $1.14 $1.14 $1.14 $1.14 $0.27 $0.28 $0.28 $0.28 $0.28 $0.28 $0.28 $0.28 Dividend Growth (%) 6.9% 4.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 6.9% 4.6% 4.6% 4.6% 4.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% Payout ratio (% of Adjusted EPS) 62% 72% 59% 80% 80% $25M CAPEX from CJR and Leverage is expected to decline due to PayTV proceeds from BCE. Other: Capex $16M from 3 SJR Media Capex Intensity 1.4% 2.0% 3.1% 2.4% 2.4% 1.2% 2.6% 2.4% 2.1% 1.2% 3.8% 2.9% 3.9% Cash EBIT (EBITDA - Capex) Cash EBIT Margin (%) 33.3% 32.0% 32.8% 34.2% 35.3% 39.8% 28.6% 31.4% 26.6% 40.8% 36.5% 36.3% 23.2% Net Debt ,952 1,779 1, ,980 1,952 Net Debt/ EBITDA 3.0x 2.8x 3.0x 2.8x 2.7x 3.3x 3.1x 2.9x 2.8x 2.6x 0.9x 3.1x 3.0x FCF FCF/share ($C) $2.15 $2.27 $1.60 $1.40 $1.51 $0.40 $0.53 $0.74 $0.60 $0.76 ($0.02) $0.67 $0.20 Payout Raio (% of FCF) 51% 50% 49% 47% 76% 68% 53% 38% 47% 37% -1432% 42% 84% 1 CJR payout jumps to ~80% 2015 FCF included $20M cash proceeds from venture funds and associated companies. post SJR DRIP participation 13-Apr-16 2 Growth rate excludes Pay TV and SJR Media Subscriber growth excluding the impacts of PayTV and Disney is -4% in F16 and -3% in F17. Disney channel advertising begins to flow through 2H/16 and subscriber revenue starts in Q1/16. Specialty TV advertising revenue growth rate excluding Disney is -10% in F16 and -7% in F17. Shaw Media contributes to CJR results for 5 months in F16. EBITDA includes synergies and onetime costs. Radio EBITDA margin is expected to remain stable due to cost control offsetting revenue decline. F16 TV EBITDA margin is expected to be more stable due to the addition of Disney and removal of PayTV absorbing the underlying specialty TV ad revenue pressure. Cash Dividend payout ratio (% of FCF) will be managable at ~45% with SJR DRIP participation. Without DRIP we estimate payout ratio jumps to ~80%. Source: Company reports; Scotiabank GBM estimates.

4 4 Exhibit 2 - Target Price Table One-Year Target Price Calculation ($M, except otherwise noted) F2016E* F2017E F2018E Total EBITDA (excluding Pay TV and including Shaw Media) NTM 1-YR FWD Current Valuation (Proforma) Total EBITDA (excluding Pay TV and including Shaw Media) Share Price $11.97 Multiple 6.78x 6.75x Total Enterprise Value 4,250 4,285 Implied EV/EBITDA (NTM) 6.8x Less: Net Debt (PF Pay TV proceeds and Shaw Media acquisition) 1,980 1,863 P/E Multiple (NTM) 6.9x Equity Value 2,270 2,422 FCF Yield (NTM) 12.3% Fully Diluted Shares Outstanding (M) (including shares issued to SJR and sub receipts) Share Price (Current/Target) $11.97 $12.00 Implied EV/EBITDA (target) 6.8x Dividend Yield 9.5% P/E Multiple (target) 8.4x Total ROR 9.8% FCF Yield (target) 12.2% *Adjusted to include full year SJR Media EBITDA and exclude Pay-TV EBITDA Source: Company reports; Scotiabank GBM estimates. Exhibit 3 - Valuation Comparables NTM Valuation One-Year Market Dividend FCF Yield Country (Currency) Company Ticker Rating Current Price Div. / Share Target Price ROR Cap ($M) Yield EV/cash EBIT EV/EBITDA P/E Full tax 1 Actual tax Telecom & Cable Can (C$) Quebecor Inc. QBR.B-CA Focus Stock $32.10 $0.14 $ % 3, % 14.5x 7.0x 13.9x 4.9% 4.9% Can (C$) Shaw Comm. (PF WIND & Media) SJR.B-CA Sector Outperform $24.31 $1.19 $ % 11, % 16.8x 7.5x n.a. 3.3% 3.3% US (US$) Comcast Corporation CMCSA-US Sector Outperform $61.95 $1.10 $ % 153, % 11.2x 7.4x 16.4x 5.9% 5.7% Can (C$) Rogers Communications RCI.B-CA Sector Outperform $49.95 $1.92 $ % 25, % 14.3x 7.8x 16.4x 6.0% 6.6% Can (C$) Cogeco Cable CCA-CA Sector Outperform $66.95 $1.56 $ % 3, % 12.0x 6.6x 11.7x 10.4% 10.2% Can (C$) BCE Inc. BCE-CA Sector Outperform $59.65 $2.73 $ % 51, % 14.9x 8.5x 17.7x 5.1% 5.8% US (US$) Verizon Communications VZ-US Sector Outperform $51.29 $2.26 $ % 209, % 10.9x 6.7x 12.8x 7.2% 7.5% Can (C$) TELUS Corporation T-CA Sector Perform $40.71 $1.76 $ % 24, % 19.5x 8.2x 16.3x 3.7% 3.6% US (US$) AT&T Inc. T-US Sector Perform $38.25 $1.92 $ % 235, % 10.9x 6.5x 13.4x 8.3% 8.3% US (US$) Time Warner Cable Inc. TWC-US Sector Perform $ $3.00 $ % 57, % 18.8x 9.0x 28.1x 2.5% 3.0% Can (C$) Manitoba Tel (PF Allstream) MBT-CA Sector Underperform $32.32 $1.30 $ % 2, % 15.2x 8.0x 25.9x 4.8% 6.3% Media Can (C$) DHX Media Ltd. DHX.B-CA Sector Outperform $7.29 $0.06 $ % % 10.6x 10.1x 16.4x 5.2% 5.2% Can (C$) Corus Ent. (Pro forma Shaw Media) CJR.B-CA Sector Perform $11.97 $1.14 $ % 1, % n.a. 6.8x 6.9x 12.3% 12.3% Prices as at Apr. 13, 2016 U.S. Average* 11.6x 7.0x 15.2x 6.9% 7.0% 1 Assumes full cash taxes are paid; MBT has a tax holiday until Can. Average* 15.8x 8.1x 15.4x 5.0% 5.4% Sources: Factset; Scotiabank GBM estimates. Cable Average* 13.5x 7.8x 18.4x 5.0% 4.9% *U.S. and Can. Averages do not include DHX or CJR Integrated Telco Average* 11.8x 6.9x 13.9x 7.3% 7.5% Source: Company reports; Scotiabank GBM estimates. ScotiaView Analyst Link

5 5 Appendix A: Important Disclosures Company Ticker Disclosures (see legend below)* BCE Inc. BCE B26, B8, G, H.P.147, I, S, U Cogeco Cable Inc. CCA VS214 Corus Entertainment Inc. CJR.B I DHX Media Ltd. DHX.B I Manitoba Telecom Services Inc. MBT S Quebecor Inc. QBR.B G, U Rogers Communications Inc. RCI.B G, I, N1, S, U TELUS Corporation T G, H.P.147, I, J, U I, Jeff Fan, certify that (1) the views expressed in this report in connection with securities or issuers that I analyze accurately reflect my personal views and (2) no part of my compensation was, is, or will be directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendations or views expressed by me in this report. This research report was prepared by employees of Scotia Capital Inc. and/or its affiliates who have the title of Analyst. All pricing of securities in reports is based on the closing price of the securities principal marketplace on the night before the publication date, unless otherwise explicitly stated. All Equity Research Analysts report to the Head of Equity Research. The Head of Equity Research reports to the Managing Director, Head of Institutional Equity Sales, Trading and Research, who is not and does not report to the Head of the Investment Banking Department. Scotiabank, Global Banking and Markets has policies that are reasonably designed to prevent or control the sharing of material non-public information across internal information barriers, such as between Investment Banking and Research. The compensation of the research analyst who prepared this report is based on several factors, including but not limited to, the overall profitability of Scotiabank, Global Banking and Markets and the revenues generated from its various departments, including investment banking. Furthermore, the research analyst s compensation is charged as an expense to various Scotiabank, Global Banking and Markets departments, including investment banking. Research Analysts may not receive compensation from the companies they cover. Non-U.S. analysts may not be associated persons of Scotia Capital (USA) Inc. and therefore may not be subject to FINRA Rule 2241 restrictions on communications with subject company, public appearances and trading securities held by the analysts. For Scotiabank, Global Banking and Markets Research analyst standards and disclosure policies, please visit gbm.scotiabank.com/disclosures. Scotiabank, Global Banking and Markets Research, 40 King Street West, 33rd Floor, Toronto, Ontario, M5H 1H1. * Legend B8 B26 G H.P.147 I J N1 S Ronald Brenneman is a director of BCE Inc and is a director of The Bank of Nova Scotia. Thomas C. O'Neill is a director of BCE Inc. and is Chairman of the Board of The Bank of Nova Scotia. Scotia Capital (USA) Inc. or its affiliates has managed or co-managed a public offering in the past 12 months. Jeff Fan, a member of Jeff Fan's household and/or an account related to Jeff Fan own securities of this issuer. Scotia Capital (USA) Inc. or its affiliates has received compensation for investment banking services in the past 12 months. Scotia Capital (USA) Inc. or its affiliates expects to receive or intends to seek compensation for investment banking services in the next 3 months. Scotia Capital (USA) Inc. had an investment banking services client relationship during the past 12 months. Scotia Capital Inc. and its affiliates collectively beneficially own in excess of 1% of one or more classes of the issued and outstanding equity securities of this issuer.

6 6 U VS214 Within the last 12 months, Scotia Capital Inc. and/or its affiliates have undertaken an underwriting liability with respect to equity or debt securities of, or have provided advice for a fee with respect to, this issuer. Our Research Analyst visited Cogeco Data Services, a data centre operation, on November No payment was received from the issuer for the travel-related expenses incurred by the Research Analyst to visit this site. Numbers are located to the left of the lines they represent. Numbers indicated with a plus sign (+) have more than one target or rating change in the given month. # Date Corus Entertainment Inc. (CJR.B) Closing Price Rating Target- 1YR 1 12-Apr-13 C$24.88 Sector Outperform * Jul-13 C$24.30 Sector Outperform * Apr-14 C$23.69 Sector Outperform * Jul-14 C$24.01 *Sector Perform * Oct-14 C$21.51 Sector Perform * Jan-15 C$21.65 Sector Perform * Mar-15 C$18.41 *Sector Underperform * Apr-15 C$17.55 Sector Underperform * Jul-15 C$17.22 Sector Underperform * Jul-15 C$14.14 Sector Underperform * Aug-15 C$13.32 Sector Underperform * Oct-15 C$12.54 Sector Underperform * Jan-16 C$10.70 *Sector Perform Jan-16 C$10.38 Restricted 13 4-Feb-16 C$9.48 Sector Perform * Apr-16 C$11.73 Sector Perform *12.00 * represents the value(s) that has changed.

7 7 Definition of Scotiabank, Global Banking and Markets Equity Research Ratings We have a four-tiered rating system, with ratings of Focus Stock, Sector Outperform, Sector Perform, and Sector Underperform. Each analyst assigns a rating that is relative to his or her coverage universe or an index identified by the analyst that includes, but is not limited to, stocks covered by the analyst. The rating assigned to each security covered in this report is based on the Scotiabank, Global Banking and Markets research analyst s 12-month view on the security. Analysts may sometimes express to traders, salespeople and certain clients their shorter-term views on these securities that differ from their 12-month view due to several factors, including but not limited to the inherent volatility of the marketplace. Ratings Focus Stock (FS) The stock represents an analyst s best idea(s); stocks in this category are expected to significantly outperform the average 12-month total return of the analyst s coverage universe or an index identified by the analyst that includes, but is not limited to, stocks covered by the analyst. Sector Outperform (SO) The stock is expected to outperform the average 12-month total return of the analyst s coverage universe or an index identified by the analyst that includes, but is not limited to, stocks covered by the analyst. Sector Perform (SP) The stock is expected to perform approximately in line with the average 12- month total return of the analyst s coverage universe or an index identified by the analyst that includes, but is not limited to, stocks covered by the analyst. Sector Underperform (SU) The stock is expected to underperform the average 12-month total return of the analyst s coverage universe or an index identified by the analyst that includes, but is not limited to, stocks covered by the analyst. Other Ratings Tender Investors are guided to tender to the terms of the takeover offer. Under Review The rating has been temporarily placed under review, until sufficient information has been received and assessed by the analyst. Risk Ranking As of June 22, 2015, Scotiabank, Global Banking and Markets discontinued its Low, Medium, and High risk rankings. The Speculative risk ranking reflects exceptionally high financial and/or operational risk, exceptionally low predictability of financial results, and exceptionally high stock volatility. The Director of Research and the Supervisory Analyst jointly make the final determination of the Speculative risk ranking. Scotiabank, Global Banking and Markets Equity Research Ratings Distribution* Distribution by Ratings and Equity and Equity-Related Financings* Percentage of companies covered by Scotiabank, Global Banking and Markets within each rating category. Percentage of companies within each rating category for which Scotiabank, Global Banking and Markets has undertaken an underwriting liability or has provided advice for a fee within the last 12 months. Source: Scotiabank GBM. For the purposes of the ratings distribution disclosure FINRA requires members who use a ratings system with terms different than buy, hold/neutral and sell, to equate their own ratings into these categories. Our Focus Stock, Sector Outperform, Sector Perform, and Sector Underperform ratings are based on the criteria above, but for this purpose could be equated to strong buy, buy, neutral and sell ratings, respectively.

8 8 General Disclosures This report has been prepared by analysts who are employed by the Research Department of Scotiabank, Global Banking and Markets. Scotiabank, together with Global Banking and Markets, is a marketing name for the global corporate and investment banking and capital markets businesses of The Bank of Nova Scotia and certain of its affiliates in the countries where they operate, including Scotia Capital Inc. All other trademarks are acknowledged as belonging to their respective owners and the display of such trademarks is for informational use only. Scotiabank, Global Banking and Markets Research produces research reports under a single marketing identity referred to as Globally-branded research under U.S. rules. This research is produced on a single global research platform with one set of rules which meet the most stringent standards set by regulators in the various jurisdictions in which the research reports are produced. In addition, the analysts who produce the research reports, regardless of location, are subject to one set of policies designed to meet the most stringent rules established by regulators in the various jurisdictions where the research reports are produced. Scotia Capital Inc. or an affiliate thereof owns or controls an equity interest in TMX Group Limited and in excess of 1% of the issued and outstanding equity securities thereof. In addition, an affiliate of Scotia Capital Inc. is a lender to TMX Group Limited under its credit facilities. As such, Scotia Capital Inc. may be considered to have an economic interest in TMX Group Limited. This report is provided to you for informational purposes only. This report is not, and is not to be construed as, an offer to sell or solicitation of an offer to buy any securities and/or commodity futures contracts. The securities mentioned in this report may neither be suitable for all investors nor eligible for sale in some jurisdictions where the report is distributed. The information and opinions contained herein have been compiled or arrived at from sources believed reliable, however, Scotiabank, Global Banking and Markets makes no representation or warranty, express or implied, as to their accuracy or completeness. Scotiabank, Global Banking and Markets has policies designed to make best efforts to ensure that the information contained in this report is current as of the date of this report, unless otherwise specified. Any prices that are stated in this report are for informational purposes only. Scotiabank, Global Banking and Markets makes no representation that any transaction may be or could have been effected at those prices. Any opinions expressed herein are those of the author(s) and are subject to change without notice and may differ or be contrary from the opinions expressed by other departments of Scotiabank, Global Banking and Markets or any of its affiliates. Neither Scotiabank, Global Banking and Markets nor its affiliates accepts any liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss arising from any use of this report or its contents. Equity research reports published by Scotiabank, Global Banking and Markets are available electronically via: Bloomberg, Thomson Financial/First Call - Research Direct, Reuters, Capital IQ, and FactSet. Institutional clients with questions regarding distribution of equity research should contact us at This report and all the information, opinions, and conclusions contained in it are protected by copyright. This report may not be reproduced in whole or in part, or referred to in any manner whatsoever, nor may the information, opinions, and conclusions contained in it be referred to without the prior express consent of Scotiabank, Global Banking and Markets. Additional Disclosures Canada: This report is distributed by Scotia Capital Inc., a subsidiary of The Bank of Nova Scotia. Scotia Capital Inc. is a member of the Canadian Investor Protection Fund and the Investment Industry Regulatory Organization of Canada. Chile: This report is distributed by Scotia Corredora de Bolsa Chile S.A., a subsidiary of The Bank of Nova Scotia. Colombia: This report is distributed in Colombia according to the resolutions issued by the Superintendencia Financiera, in which the regulator authorized marketing / promotion of products and services to the following foreign entities, exclusively for the approved purposes: The Bank of Nova Scotia (Canada) Resolution 058 of 2014, The Bank of Nova Scotia (Panama) Resolution 2137 of 2010, and Scotia Capital Inc. Resolution 0226 of Hong Kong: This report is distributed by The Bank of Nova Scotia Hong Kong Branch, which is authorized by the Securities and Future Commission to conduct Type 1, Type 4 and Type 6 regulated activities and regulated by the Hong Kong Monetary Authority. Mexico: This report is distributed by Scotia Inverlat Casa de Bolsa S.A. de C.V., a subsidiary of the Bank of Nova Scotia. Peru: This report is distributed by Scotia Sociedad Agente de Bolsa S.A., a subsidiary of The Bank of Nova Scotia. Singapore: This report is distributed by The Bank of Nova Scotia Asia Limited, a subsidiary of The Bank of Nova Scotia. The Bank of Nova Scotia Asia Limited is authorised and regulated by the Monetary Authority of Singapore, and exempted under Section 99(1)(a),and (b), (c) and (d) of the Securities and Futures Act to conduct regulated activities. United Kingdom and the rest of Europe: Except as otherwise specified herein, this report is distributed by Scotiabank Europe plc, a subsidiary of The Bank of Nova Scotia. Scotiabank Europe plc is authorized by the Prudential Regulation Authority (PRA) and regulated by the PRA and the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA). Scotiabank Europe plc complies with all FCA requirements concerning research and the associated disclosures and these are indicated on the research where applicable. United States: This report is distributed by Scotia Capital (USA) Inc., a subsidiary of Scotia Capital Inc., and a registered U.S. broker-dealer. All transactions by a U.S. investor of securities mentioned in this report must be effected through Scotia Capital (USA) Inc. Non-U.S. investors wishing to effect a transaction in the securities discussed in this report should contact a Scotiabank, Global Banking and Markets entity in their local jurisdiction unless governing law permits otherwise.

Natural Gas Markets. Scotiabank GBM Commodity Strategy. April 2017

Natural Gas Markets. Scotiabank GBM Commodity Strategy. April 2017 Natural Gas Markets Scotiabank GBM Commodity Strategy Michael Loewen, CFA, MBA Analyst 4168637985 Scotia Capital Inc. Canada michael.loewen@scotiabank.com Pricing as at March 31, 2017, unless otherwise

More information

Perspectives Portfolio & Quantitative Strategy IMAGE

Perspectives Portfolio & Quantitative Strategy IMAGE Perspectives 2016 Portfolio & Quantitative Strategy Vincent Delisle, CFA Managing Director, Investment Strategist (Scotia Capital Inc. Canada) (514) 287-3628 vincent.delisle@scotiabank.com IMAGE Hugo Ste-Marie,

More information

Enbridge Inc. EQUITY RESEARCH DAILY EDGE. Goodbye Sandpiper... Hello Bakken Pipeline System. Wednesday, August 3, 2016, Intraday Flash

Enbridge Inc. EQUITY RESEARCH DAILY EDGE. Goodbye Sandpiper... Hello Bakken Pipeline System. Wednesday, August 3, 2016, Intraday Flash Enbridge Inc. Goodbye Sandpiper... Hello Bakken Pipeline System OUR TAKE: Enbridge Inc. (ENB) and its MLP sponsored vehicle, Enbridge Energy Partners (EEP-N), announced a 27.6% investment in the Bakken

More information

Trinidad Drilling Ltd.

Trinidad Drilling Ltd. Company Comment Wednesday, November 4, 2015, After Close 1 Trinidad Drilling Ltd. Taking a Defensive Stance as Activity Subsides Vladislav C. Vlad, MBA, P.Eng. - (403) 213-7759 (Scotia Capital Inc. - Canada)

More information

LatAm Utilities EQUITY RESEARCH DAILY EDGE. Blockchain & Power: The Intersection of Boring and Cool. Thursday, October 19, 2017, Pre-market

LatAm Utilities EQUITY RESEARCH DAILY EDGE. Blockchain & Power: The Intersection of Boring and Cool. Thursday, October 19, 2017, Pre-market LatAm Utilities Blockchain & Power: The Intersection of Boring and Cool OUR TAKE: We attended the "Deploying Blockchain into Energy" event, hosted by the Energy Web Foundation (U.S. Austria, non-profit)

More information

This report is intended for Unauthorized distribution of this report is prohibited.

This report is intended for Unauthorized distribution of this report is prohibited. LatAm IT Sonda: Strong Guidance, Execution by New Teams Is Crucial OUR TAKE: We attended the first-ever Sonda Day in Santiago, where the company presented an expansion plan that, if executed correctly,

More information

Oilfield Services EQUITY RESEARCH DAILY EDGE. Trans Mountain and Line 3 Helps But Not Game Changers. Wednesday, November 30, 2016, Pre-market

Oilfield Services EQUITY RESEARCH DAILY EDGE. Trans Mountain and Line 3 Helps But Not Game Changers. Wednesday, November 30, 2016, Pre-market Oilfield Services Trans Mountain and Line 3 Helps But Not Game Changers OUR TAKE: Broadly speaking, government sanction of major projects is good for the camps space, whether it is through direct wins

More information

Bell Gets Final Approvals For MTS Buy With Xplornet Added To Mix To Appease Regulators, TELUS Side Deal Adjusted

Bell Gets Final Approvals For MTS Buy With Xplornet Added To Mix To Appease Regulators, TELUS Side Deal Adjusted February 15, 2017 The NBF Daily Bulletin Industry Comment Telecom Services Bell Gets Final Approvals For MTS Buy With Xplornet Added To Mix To Appease Regulators, TELUS Side Deal Adjusted Industry Rating

More information

Solid Q4 As EBITDA Ahead; But Corus Is A Transition Story & Our Focus Remains On F'17

Solid Q4 As EBITDA Ahead; But Corus Is A Transition Story & Our Focus Remains On F'17 I N S T I T U T I O N A L E Q U I T Y R E S E A R C H Robert Bek, CFA 1 (416) 594-7454 Bob.Bek@cibc.com Kulveer Grewal, CFA, CPA, CA 1 (416) 594-7907 Kulveer.Grewal@cibc.com j Corus Entertainment Inc.

More information

Dollarama Inc. Q4 F2017 Results. A straight-forward beat and other notable business updates HIGHLIGHTS. The NBF Daily Bulletin.

Dollarama Inc. Q4 F2017 Results. A straight-forward beat and other notable business updates HIGHLIGHTS. The NBF Daily Bulletin. DOL (T) $110.88 Stock Rating: Outperform (Unchanged) Target: $122.00 (Was $113.00) Risk Rating: Below Average (Unchanged) Est. Total Return: 10.4% Stock Data: 52-week High-Low (Canada) Bloomberg $104.94

More information

March 12, Quebecor Inc. Quarterly Preview HIGHLIGHTS

March 12, Quebecor Inc. Quarterly Preview HIGHLIGHTS QBR.b (T) Stock Rating: Target: Risk Rating: Cdn$38.74 Outperform (Unchanged) Cdn$43. (Unchanged) Above Average (Unchanged) Est. Total Return 11.5% Stock Data: 52-w eek High-Low (Canada) $41.22 - $31.53

More information

Dollarama Inc. Q2 F2017 Preview. (1) Growth expected to continue (2) A deeper look at valuation HIGHLIGHTS. The NBF Daily Bulletin.

Dollarama Inc. Q2 F2017 Preview. (1) Growth expected to continue (2) A deeper look at valuation HIGHLIGHTS. The NBF Daily Bulletin. DOL (T) $97.04 Stock Rating: Outperform (Unchanged) Target: $105.00 (Was $104.00) Risk Rating: Average (Unchanged) Est. Total Return: 8.6% Stock Data: 52-week High-Low (Canada) Bloomberg $98.94 - $66.32

More information

Industry Note Equity Research July 27, 2016

Industry Note Equity Research July 27, 2016 Industry Note Equity Research July 27, 2016 Communications Lower Rates Equal Multiple Expansion for High-yielding Telcos Impact: SLIGHTLY POSITIVE TD Investment Conclusion We are increasing our target

More information

Q4 Preview & Transfer of Coverage: Growth Potential and Attractive Valuation Supports Strong Buy

Q4 Preview & Transfer of Coverage: Growth Potential and Attractive Valuation Supports Strong Buy 23-Apr-14 14-May-14 4-Jun-14 25-Jun-14 16-Jul-14 6-Aug-14 27-Aug-14 17-Sep-14 8-Oct-14 29-Oct-14 19-Nov-14 10-Dec-14 31-Dec-14 21-Jan-15 11-Feb-15 4-Mar-15 25-Mar-15 15-Apr-15 Daily Volume ('000) Share

More information

Cannabis Retail Photo Report

Cannabis Retail Photo Report Cannabis Retail Photo Report Red label = sold-out Cannabis Oliver Rowe, MBA, CFA Associate Analyst 416-863-5907 oliver.rowe@scotiabank.com Scotia Capital Inc. Canada The vault at the Nova Cannabis store

More information

LatAm Utilities. Weak Hydrology, Tax Hike Likely in Chile, and ECL Upgrade on Valuation

LatAm Utilities. Weak Hydrology, Tax Hike Likely in Chile, and ECL Upgrade on Valuation Industry Comment Thursday, September 5, 213, Pre-Market 1 LatAm Utilities Weak Hydrology, Tax Hike Likely in Chile, and ECL Upgrade on Valuation Ezequiel Fernández López - +562 2692 6251 (Scotia Corredores

More information

PAG Report. The Myths and Realities of Rate Reset Preferred Shares. ScotiaMcLeod Portfolio Advisory Group. Portfolio Advisory Group

PAG Report. The Myths and Realities of Rate Reset Preferred Shares. ScotiaMcLeod Portfolio Advisory Group. Portfolio Advisory Group Portfolio Advisory Group PAG Report ScotiaMcLeod Portfolio Advisory Group February 24, 2014 The Myths and Realities of Rate Reset Preferred Shares February 24, 2014 1 PAG Report The Myths and Realities

More information

Canada Positioning for the Future

Canada Positioning for the Future Canada Positioning for the Future FEI Canada June 16, 217 Mary E. Webb Director, Economic & Fiscal Policy Perhaps a Stronger 217 More Balanced Provincial Output Gains 6 2 real GDP, annual % change 12 8

More information

Hudson s Bay Company. Q4 F2016 Preview. Efficiency initiatives and F2017 guidance in focus HIGHLIGHTS. The NBF Daily Bulletin.

Hudson s Bay Company. Q4 F2016 Preview. Efficiency initiatives and F2017 guidance in focus HIGHLIGHTS. The NBF Daily Bulletin. HBC (T) $10.08 Stock Rating: Sector Perform (Unchanged) Target: $15.00 (Unchanged) Risk Rating: Above Average (Unchanged) Est. Total Return: 50.8% Stock Data: 52-week High-Low (Canada) Bloomberg $19.69

More information

Darden Restaurants, Inc.

Darden Restaurants, Inc. Darden Restaurants, Inc. DRI: Reports Solid Performance; Expectations Were Pretty High Despite Evidence Segment Is Slowing Our View: We reiterate our OW rating following shares coming under pressure because

More information

3,951 EBITDA 1,174 1,153 1,260 1,284 1,332 Outst shares (mn) 57 EBIT Free float (%)

3,951 EBITDA 1,174 1,153 1,260 1,284 1,332 Outst shares (mn) 57 EBIT Free float (%) European Equity Research ACCIONA Facing a Good 2017E Spain Electricity November 7, 2016 (07:15 CET) BUY CURRENT PRICE: 69.01 TARGET PRICE: 82.40 ANA released 9M16 results on Nov 4 and we have adjusted

More information

Manulife Financial Corp.

Manulife Financial Corp. I N S T I T U T I O N A L E Q U I T Y R E S E A R C H Robert Sedran, CFA 1 (416) 594-7874 Robert.Sedran@cibc.com Koki Akala, CFA 1 (416) 956-3723 Koki.Akala@cibc.com Maurissa Bell, CPA, CA 1 (416) 594-7283

More information

FLASH NOTE Welspun India 31 Jan 17

FLASH NOTE Welspun India 31 Jan 17 Oct-11 Feb-12 Jun-12 Oct-12 Feb-13 Jun-13 Oct-13 Feb-14 Jun-14 Oct-14 Feb-15 Jun-15 Oct-15 Feb-16 Jun-16 Oct-16 Feb-17 FLASH NOTE Welspun India 31 Jan 17 CMP (Rs) 76 TP (Rs) 81 Outperformer Key Figures

More information

Q4 EARNINGS REPORT Welspun India 25 Apr 17

Q4 EARNINGS REPORT Welspun India 25 Apr 17 Dec-11 Apr-12 Aug-12 Dec-12 Apr-13 Aug-13 Dec-13 Apr-14 Aug-14 Dec-14 Apr-15 Aug-15 Dec-15 Apr-16 Aug-16 Dec-16 Q4 EARNINGS REPORT Welspun India 25 Apr 17 CMP (Rs) 94 TP (Rs) 112 Maintain Outperformer

More information

Release of our 2014 global strategy outlook and 5th edition of our 10 Themes List.

Release of our 2014 global strategy outlook and 5th edition of our 10 Themes List. Portfolio Strategy Comment Tuesday, December 3, 2013, Pre-Market 1 Portfolio Strategy 10 Themes for 2014 Vincent Delisle, CFA - (514) 287-3628 (Scotia Capital Inc. - Canada) vincent.delisle@scotiabank.com

More information

VIX to Fall; Stocks to Rise; Small to Outperform

VIX to Fall; Stocks to Rise; Small to Outperform RBC Capital Markets, LLC October 14, 2014 VIX to Fall; Stocks to Rise; Small to Outperform Market Delivers Above-Average Returns Following Volatility Spikes Investor concerns regarding global growth have

More information

Anta Sports (2020 HK)

Anta Sports (2020 HK) Equity Research Consumer Discretionary Anta Sports (2020 HK) Buy (maintained) Target price: HK$18.50 Product mix improvement in 4Q15 order book 4Q15 order book kept at low-teen, better product mix Order

More information

FIRST GLANCE COMMENT. Enbridge Inc. (TSX: ENB; 36.69; NYSE: ENB) Q1/07 Results Generally In Line. Sector Perform Average Risk. Impact Neutral.

FIRST GLANCE COMMENT. Enbridge Inc. (TSX: ENB; 36.69; NYSE: ENB) Q1/07 Results Generally In Line. Sector Perform Average Risk. Impact Neutral. 125 WEEKS 17DEC04-01MAY07 Rel. S&P/TSX COMPOSITE INDEX HI-20MAY05 110.97 110.00 HI/LO DIFF -24.90% 100.00 90.00 40.00 38.00 36.00 34.00 32.00 30.00 28.00 7500 6000 4500 3000 1500 2005 D J F M A M J J A

More information

CIDMEGA Services. Outperformer 2 P$51.0. Quarterly Report October 25, CIDMEGA Market Outperformer 12m FWD Price Target P$51

CIDMEGA Services. Outperformer 2 P$51.0. Quarterly Report October 25, CIDMEGA Market Outperformer 12m FWD Price Target P$51 Quarterly Report October 25, 2016 CIDMEGA Market Outperformer 12m FWD Price Target P$51 Price 44.0 12M Price Range 37.5 / 50 Shares Outstanding 68 Market Cap (Mill) 2,976 Float 27% Net Debt (Mill) 1,823

More information

Anta Sports (2020 HK)

Anta Sports (2020 HK) Equity Research Consumer Discretionary Anta Sports (2020 HK) Hold (downgraded) Target price: HK$22.80 Albert Yip, CFA SFC CE No. ADT599 albertyip@gfgroup.com.hk +852 3719 1010 GF Securities (Hong Kong)

More information

City of London Investment Group*

City of London Investment Group* For FCA purposes this is a Marketing Communication City of London Investment Group* CLIG LN Tough 1H trading update Financials What s new. CLIG s 1H trading update released this morning reveals details

More information

American Tower Corp. AMT 3Q16 Results: Solid Quarter with a Beat and Raise on EBITDA

American Tower Corp. AMT 3Q16 Results: Solid Quarter with a Beat and Raise on EBITDA EQUITY RESEARCH COMPANY UPDATE October 27, 2016 Stock Rating: OUTPERFORM 12-18 mo. Price Target $130.00 AMT - NYSE $115.67 3-5 Yr. EPS Gr. Rate 20% 52-Wk Range $118.26-$83.07 Shares Outstanding 430.0M

More information

Comcast EQUITY RESEARCH QUARTERLY UPDATE OUTPERFORM. Comcast 2Q16 Follow-Up: Raising Price Target to $74, 8x 2017E EBITDA.

Comcast EQUITY RESEARCH QUARTERLY UPDATE OUTPERFORM. Comcast 2Q16 Follow-Up: Raising Price Target to $74, 8x 2017E EBITDA. EQUITY RESEARCH QUARTERLY UPDATE July 29, 2016 Stock Rating: OUTPERFORM 12-18 mo. Price Target $74.00 CMCSA - NASDAQ $67.86 3-5 Yr. EPS Gr. Rate 17% 52-Wk Range $68.36-$50.01 Shares Outstanding 2,446.0M

More information

TVS Motors. Source: Company Data; PL Research

TVS Motors. Source: Company Data; PL Research Margins trajectory looking up ; Accumulate November 01, 2017 Saksham Kaushal sakshamkaushal@plindia.com +91 22 66322235 Poorvi Banka poorvibanka@plindia.com +91 22 66322426 Rating Accumulate Price Rs709

More information

Savaria Corporation. Q2/17 Results. Span contribution begins; guidance revised (unsurprisingly) upwards HIGHLIGHTS. The NBF Daily Bulletin

Savaria Corporation. Q2/17 Results. Span contribution begins; guidance revised (unsurprisingly) upwards HIGHLIGHTS. The NBF Daily Bulletin SIS (T) $15.06 Stock Rating: Outperform Target: $17.00 Risk Rating: Above Average Est. Total Return 14.6% Stock Data: 52-w eek High-Low $17.55 - $7.74 Bloomberg/Reuters SIS CN / SIS.TO Shares Outstanding

More information

Crius Energy Trust. Resuming Coverage. USGE Provides Enhanced Footprint, Diversification & Cross-Sell Potential

Crius Energy Trust. Resuming Coverage. USGE Provides Enhanced Footprint, Diversification & Cross-Sell Potential KWH.un (T) Stock Rating: Target: Risk Rating: Cdn$10.14 Outperform Cdn$13.00 Average Est. Total Return 35.9% Stock Data: Cash Yield 7.7% Implied Price Return 28.2% 52-w eek High-Low $11.32-$7.76 Bloomberg/Reuters:

More information

Dollarama Inc. Q4 F2015 Results. Solid results supported by sales growth, margin expansion and capital return HIGHLIGHTS. The NBF Daily Bulletin

Dollarama Inc. Q4 F2015 Results. Solid results supported by sales growth, margin expansion and capital return HIGHLIGHTS. The NBF Daily Bulletin Title: Dollarama Inc. - (T) $68.10 Price: $68.10 StockRating: Outperform TargetPrice: $74.00 Headline: Solid results supported by sales growth, margin expansion and (T) $68.10 Stock Rating: Outperform

More information

ScotiaMocatta. Commitments of Traders (CFTC)

ScotiaMocatta. Commitments of Traders (CFTC) contracts (s) contracts (s) gold (spot) ScotiaMocatta itments of Traders (CFTC) Trading Contacts Reuters MMCN or (212)2-62 Russell Browne russell.browne@scotiabank.com Robert Lockwood robert.lockwood@scotiabank.com

More information

2Q16 Highlights: 12M FWD EV/EBITDA 12M PRICE PERFORMANCE VS. IPC P/E

2Q16 Highlights: 12M FWD EV/EBITDA 12M PRICE PERFORMANCE VS. IPC P/E GISSA Market Outperformer 12M FWD Price Target P$45.0 Price 31.4 12M Price Range 29.5/ 33.09 Shares Outstanding 356 Market Cap (Mill) 11,169 Float 19.5% Net Debt (Mill) 46 EV (Mill) 11,164 Dividend Yield

More information

LARGE CAP & 1,970 BSE

LARGE CAP & 1,970 BSE Batlivala & Karani RESULT UPDATE LARGE CAP Share Data Reuters code DIVI.BO Bloomberg code DIVI IN Market cap. (US$ mn) 4,97 6M avg. daily turnover (US$ mn) 4.7 Issued shares (mn) 133 Target price (Rs)

More information

CVC. Equity Research. Another solid sales showing. Latin America Retailing Company Note 07 April 2015

CVC. Equity Research. Another solid sales showing. Latin America Retailing Company Note 07 April 2015 Equity Research CVC Another solid sales showing Promotional environment drove sales in Q1 Bookings rose 11% y/y to R$1.269bn, supported by 6.4% SSS and the opening of 105 stores (totaling 919 exclusive

More information

Chow Tai Fook (1929 HK)

Chow Tai Fook (1929 HK) Equity Research Consumer Discretionary Chow Tai Fook (1929 HK) Accumulate Target price: HK$11.60 3QFY15 sales disappoint SSS plunge 21% YoY in HK and Macau The sluggish sales was attributable to protest

More information

GLOBAL ECONOMICS SCOTIABANK S FORECAST TABLES

GLOBAL ECONOMICS SCOTIABANK S FORECAST TABLES Recovery Remains on Track CONTACTS The synchronous global recovery remains robust, as all signs continue to point to strong and mutually beneficial growth. Indicators of investment activity remain, by

More information

Hindustan Unilever (RHS)

Hindustan Unilever (RHS) Jul-14 Aug-14 Oct-14 Nov-14 Dec-14 Feb-15 Mar-15 Apr-15 Jun-15 Jul-15 India Research FMCG July 22, 2015 QUARTERLY REVIEW Bloomberg: HUVR IN Reuters: HLL.BO SELL Higher A&P drove volume growth HUL s Q1FY16

More information

Canadian Equity Strategy

Canadian Equity Strategy INVESTMENT STRATEGY I RESEARCH Canadian Equity Strategy The U.S. Election Oct-16 RBC Dominion Securities Inc. Matthew Barasch (Chief Canadian Equity Strategist) (416) 842-7857 matt.barasch@rbccm.com This

More information

GLOBAL ECONOMICS SCOTIABANK S FORECAST TABLES. Steady as She Goes

GLOBAL ECONOMICS SCOTIABANK S FORECAST TABLES. Steady as She Goes Steady as She Goes Our outlook has remained generally unchanged over the last month. Global growth remains solid, led by a very strong US economy. Trade policy risks remain elevated, particularly as they

More information

Enbridge Energy Partners, L.P.

Enbridge Energy Partners, L.P. Equity Research Earnings Update April 30, 2007 Stock Rating: Sector Performer Sector Weighting: Market Weight 12-18 mo. Price Target $60.00 EEP-NYSE (4/27/07) $61.19 Key Indices: None 3-5-Yr. EPS Gr. Rate

More information

IOOF. Positive flows in 1Q17. FUM and Net Flows for September Qtr Source: Company data, Macquarie Research, Oct 2016.

IOOF. Positive flows in 1Q17. FUM and Net Flows for September Qtr Source: Company data, Macquarie Research, Oct 2016. AUSTRALIA IFL AU Price (at 06:35, 26 Oct 2016 GMT) Outperform A$8.34 Valuation A$ - DCF (WACC 8.8%, beta 1.1, ERP 5.0%, RFR 3.3%) 8.74 12-month target A$ 9.00 12-month TSR % +14.3 Volatility Index Low/Medium

More information

Ahluwalia Contracts (India)

Ahluwalia Contracts (India) May-14 Jul-14 Aug-14 Sep-14 Oct-14 Dec-14 Jan-15 Feb-15 Apr-15 May-15 India Research Infrastructure May 22, 215 QUARTERLY REVIEW Bloomberg: AHLU IN Reuters: AHLU.BO BUY Better performance ahead ACIL posted

More information

HOLD. Deleveraging story playing out RAMCO CEMENTS. Target Price: Rs 503. Q4 performance

HOLD. Deleveraging story playing out RAMCO CEMENTS. Target Price: Rs 503. Q4 performance RAMCO S HOLD Target Price: Rs 503 Deleveraging story playing out Ramco Cements total debt reduced by a massive Rs 5 bn to Rs 22 bn in FY16. The company generated total EBITDA of Rs 11.5 bn in FY16 and

More information

Key estimate revision. Financial summary. Year

Key estimate revision. Financial summary. Year : price: EPS: How does our one year outlook change? We retain our positive outlook on WIL and believe that revival in MHCV industry, increasing content per vehicle and opportunity in exports would drive

More information

Turkcell EARNINGS REVIEW 4Q17. Digital transformation on track BUY

Turkcell EARNINGS REVIEW 4Q17. Digital transformation on track BUY EARNINGS REVIEW 4Q17 Turkey Telecom Services 16 February 2018 Turkcell Digital transformation on track We maintain our BUY recommendation for Turkcell with a 12M target price of TRY17.54, which offers

More information

Daphne (210 HK) Hold (maintained) Target price: HK$1.07. Takeaways from company visit. Equity Research Consumer Discretionary.

Daphne (210 HK) Hold (maintained) Target price: HK$1.07. Takeaways from company visit. Equity Research Consumer Discretionary. Equity Research Consumer Discretionary Daphne (21 HK) Hold (maintained) Target price: HK$1.7 Takeaways from company visit Maintain Hold We recently visited Daphne to gain a more in-depth insight into its

More information

GPAG Fixed Income. Andrew Edelberg, CFA Manager, Fixed Income Global Portfolio Advisory Group. Enriched Thinking

GPAG Fixed Income. Andrew Edelberg, CFA Manager, Fixed Income Global Portfolio Advisory Group. Enriched Thinking GPAG Fixed Income Andrew Edelberg, CFA Manager, Fixed Income Global Portfolio Advisory Group Enriched Thinking 0 Topics Covered Fixed income vs equity returns What drives prices Prices vs yields Spreads

More information

DX (Group) plc* Industrial Transportation. Successful HMPO tender improves forecast certainty. Price 17.75p. Price Performance. Financial Forecasts

DX (Group) plc* Industrial Transportation. Successful HMPO tender improves forecast certainty. Price 17.75p. Price Performance. Financial Forecasts For FCA purposes this is a Marketing Communication DX (Group) plc* DX. LN Industrial Transportation Successful HMPO tender improves forecast certainty DX has confirmed that it has won the retendering of

More information

HCC BUY. Infrastructure April 10, QIP step in the right direction EVENT UPDATE. India Research. Bloomberg: HCC IN Reuters: HCNS.

HCC BUY. Infrastructure April 10, QIP step in the right direction EVENT UPDATE. India Research. Bloomberg: HCC IN Reuters: HCNS. Jan-14 Mar-14 Apr-14 May-14 Jul-14 Aug-14 Sep-14 Nov-14 Dec-14 Jan-15 India Research Infrastructure April 10, 2015 EVENT UPDATE Bloomberg: IN Reuters: HCNS.BO BUY QIP step in the right direction has successfully

More information

Anta Sports (2020 HK)

Anta Sports (2020 HK) Equity Research Consumer Discretionary Anta Sports (2020 HK) Buy (maintained) Target price: HK$18.50 Strong FY14 results; order book momentum maintained FY14 results above expectation Net profit jumped

More information

Silicon Works (108320)

Silicon Works (108320) Company Note June 8, 2018 12M rating BUY (Maintain) OLED growth starts with Silicon Works 12M TP W56,000 Up/downside +38% from W56,000 2Q18 OP to surge 165% YoY to W8.4bn Despite disappointing 1Q18 results,

More information

Platinum Asset Management

Platinum Asset Management AUSTRALIA PTM AU Price (at 06:10, 11 Jul 2016 GMT) Neutral A$5.52 Valuation A$ - DCF (WACC 9.3%, beta 1.2, ERP 5.0%, RFR 3.3%) 5.19 12-month target A$ 5.36 12-month TSR % +2.6 Volatility Index Low/Medium

More information

ScotiaMocatta. Commitments of Traders (CFTC)

ScotiaMocatta. Commitments of Traders (CFTC) contracts (s) contracts (s) gold (spot) ScotiaMocatta itments of Traders (CFTC) Trading Contacts Reuters MMCN or (212)2-62 Russell Browne russell.browne@scotiabank.com Robert Lockwood robert.lockwood@scotiabank.com

More information

Simmtech (222800) Focus on 2H earnings WHAT S THE STORY?

Simmtech (222800) Focus on 2H earnings WHAT S THE STORY? Company Update Simmtech (222800) Focus on 2H earnings Simmtech yesterday reported disappointing 4Q results, which compels us to cut our 2018 operating profit forecast by 10% to KRW52.9b and 12-month target

More information

Ramco Cement. Rating: Target price: EPS: Rating CMP. Target BUY. Rs.415. Rs. 360

Ramco Cement. Rating: Target price: EPS: Rating CMP. Target BUY. Rs.415. Rs. 360 : price: EPS: How does our one year outlook change? We maintain our positive stance on s (TRCL). The company is one of the largest cement producers in South and remains among the best plays on Southern

More information

Key estimate revision. Financial summary. Year FY16E 29, % 3,583 2, FY17E 26, % 3,478 2,

Key estimate revision. Financial summary. Year FY16E 29, % 3,583 2, FY17E 26, % 3,478 2, : price: EPS: How does our one year outlook change? We maintain our negative stance on SKF India due to the absence of significant growth momentum drivers over the medium term. While railways could be

More information

Trinidad Drilling Ltd. (TDG-T; $8.90 intra-day) Rig Purchase/Sale Streamlines Ops; Moving to Strong Buy on Share Price Weakness

Trinidad Drilling Ltd. (TDG-T; $8.90 intra-day) Rig Purchase/Sale Streamlines Ops; Moving to Strong Buy on Share Price Weakness Special Situations Energy Services Trinidad Drilling Ltd. (TDG-T; $8.90 intra-day) Recommendation: Strong Buy Greg Colman, (416) 640-4890; gcolman@wwcm.com Alex MacDonald, P.Eng. (416) 640-5202; amacdonald@wwcm.com

More information

GLOBAL ECONOMICS SCOTIABANK S FORECAST TABLES

GLOBAL ECONOMICS SCOTIABANK S FORECAST TABLES International 2000-14 2015 2016f 2017f 2000-14 2015 2016f 2017f Real GDP Consumer Prices (annual % change) (y/y % change, year-end) World (based on purchasing power parity) 3.9 3.1 3.0 3.3 Canada 2.2 1.1

More information

GLOBAL ECONOMICS SCOTIABANK S FORECAST TABLES

GLOBAL ECONOMICS SCOTIABANK S FORECAST TABLES Foundation for Growth Remains Solid The global recovery remains on firm footing, despite the very recent rise in stock market volatility. In fact, the correction in equity markets has been triggered by

More information

MCX Ltd. Rating: Target price: EPS: Tepid volume growth continues. Target. Rating CMP. Rs. 1,080 SELL. Rs. 1,176

MCX Ltd. Rating: Target price: EPS: Tepid volume growth continues. Target. Rating CMP. Rs. 1,080 SELL. Rs. 1,176 : price: EPS: Tepid volume growth continues 4QFY15 traded volumes in MCX showed a small improvement sequentially whereas declined yoy. FY15 traded Values are at a sever year low. We retain our cautious

More information

BUY (Maintained) Tunas Baru Lampung (TBLA IJ) COMPANY UPDATE. New Raw Sugar Import Quota To Ensure Steady Performance In 2018

BUY (Maintained) Tunas Baru Lampung (TBLA IJ) COMPANY UPDATE. New Raw Sugar Import Quota To Ensure Steady Performance In 2018 COMPANY UPDATE Tunas Baru Lampung (TBLA IJ) New Raw Sugar Import Quota To Ensure Steady Performance In 2018 TBLA was just allotted a 75,000-tonne raw sugar import quota. This should ensure steady inventory

More information

GLOBAL ECONOMICS INSIGHTS & VIEWS

GLOBAL ECONOMICS INSIGHTS & VIEWS May, 1 Tracking the Early Impact of the Minimum Wage Increase in Ontario (May 1 Update) EMPLOYMENT IMPACT APPEARS MODEST SO FAR, BUT EMPLOYEE EARNINGS AND WAGES RISING QUICKLY CONTACTS Juan Manuel Herrera

More information

Habib Bank (HBL) Result Review. 3Q2015 EPS Rs6.9. Key takeaways. October 21, Best Local Brokerage House

Habib Bank (HBL) Result Review. 3Q2015 EPS Rs6.9. Key takeaways. October 21, Best Local Brokerage House FOCUS Equity Commercial Banks Habib Bank (HBL) October 21, 2015 Topline Securities (Private) Limited 508, Continental Trade Centre, 5 th Floor Block-8, Clifton, Karachi, Pakistan Tel: +9221-35303330-32

More information

KIMBERLY CLARK DE MEXICO Re-Rating Completed; Downgrading to Hold

KIMBERLY CLARK DE MEXICO Re-Rating Completed; Downgrading to Hold Latin American Equity Research Mexico City, November 20, 2006 KIMBERLY CLARK DE MEXICO Re-Rating Completed; Downgrading to Hold Joaquín Ley* Mexico: Santander Banco Santander S.A. 5255) 5269-1921 jley@santander.com.mx

More information

Q4/16 Results Support Our Thesis

Q4/16 Results Support Our Thesis I N S T I T U T I O N A L E Q U I T Y R E S E A R C H Robert Catellier, CFA 1 (416) 956-6197 Robert.Catellier@cibc.com Ollie Primak, CFA 1 (416) 956-6732 Ollie.Primak@cibc.com Ian Woodward, CFA 1 (416)

More information

FQ1 Brings Another Strong Quarter Of Revenue Growth

FQ1 Brings Another Strong Quarter Of Revenue Growth Canopy Growth Corp. (CGC-T: C$3.79) August 30, 2016 BUY Dundee Target: C$4.75 Daniel Pearlstein / (647) 253-1160 dpearlstein@dundeecapitalmarkets.com FQ1 Brings Another Strong Quarter Of Revenue Growth

More information

Mphasis. Increased confidence on margins. Source: Company Data; PL Research

Mphasis. Increased confidence on margins. Source: Company Data; PL Research Increased confidence on margins July 25, 2016 Govind Agarwal govindagarwal@plindia.com +91 22 66322300 Rating BUY Price Rs540 Target Price Rs570 Implied Upside 5.6% Sensex 28,095 Nifty 8,636 (Prices as

More information

SG Fleet Group. Another UK acquisition. Earnings and target price revision

SG Fleet Group. Another UK acquisition. Earnings and target price revision AUSTRALIA SGF AU Price (at 08:26, 30 Nov 2016 GMT) Outperform A$3.23 Valuation - PER A$ 3.96-4.22 12-month target A$ 4.37 12-month TSR % +41.0 Volatility Index High GICS sector Commercial & Professional

More information

Daewoo E&C ( KS) WHAT S THE STORY?

Daewoo E&C ( KS) WHAT S THE STORY? Company Update (047040 KS) All-round margin improvements WHAT S THE STORY? Event: yesterday after market close reported that its parentbased operating profit hit KRW107.6b in 3Q, vs the consolidated consensus

More information

EQUITY RESEARCH. OSFI releases draft of revisions to B-20 mortgage guidelines. For Required Non-U.S. Analyst and Conflicts Disclosures, see page 3.

EQUITY RESEARCH. OSFI releases draft of revisions to B-20 mortgage guidelines. For Required Non-U.S. Analyst and Conflicts Disclosures, see page 3. EQUITY RESEARCH July 7, 2017 Canadian Mortgage Industry OSFI releases draft of revisions to B-20 mortgage guidelines RBC Global Equity Team Click here for contributing analysts' contact information OSFI

More information

Corus Entertainment Annual Report

Corus Entertainment Annual Report MANAGEMENT S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS Management s Discussion and Analysis of the financial position and results of operations for the year ended August 31, 2017 is prepared at November 17, 2017. The following

More information

Cummins India Ltd Bloomberg Code: KKC IN

Cummins India Ltd Bloomberg Code: KKC IN Company Update Margins Under Pressure; Domestic Recovery Underway Half-yearly revenue was flat; margins were under pressure: Cummins India revenue, EBITDA and PAT for H1FY17 reached to Rs.24,784mn, Rs.4,649mn

More information

AutoZone, Inc. EQUITY RESEARCH QUARTERLY UPDATE OUTPERFORM. Quick Read: Sales a Bit Soft, But Results Solid. September 22, 2016

AutoZone, Inc. EQUITY RESEARCH QUARTERLY UPDATE OUTPERFORM. Quick Read: Sales a Bit Soft, But Results Solid. September 22, 2016 EQUITY RESEARCH QUARTERLY UPDATE September 22, 2016 Stock Rating: OUTPERFORM 12-18 mo. Price Target $900.00 AZO - NYSE $751.45 3-5 Yr. EPS Gr. Rate 14% 52-Wk Range $819.54-$681.01 Shares Outstanding 30.8M

More information

Charter Communications Inc.

Charter Communications Inc. December 12, 2014 Charter Communications Inc. Current Recommendation NEUTRAL Prior Recommendation Underperform Date of Last Change 02/26/2014 Current Price (12/11/14) $164.16 Target Price $172.00 SUMMARY

More information

Luk Fook (590 HK) Hold Target price: HK$ Downgrade to Hold on more challenging HK & Macau market outlook. Equity Research Consumer Discretionary

Luk Fook (590 HK) Hold Target price: HK$ Downgrade to Hold on more challenging HK & Macau market outlook. Equity Research Consumer Discretionary Equity Research Consumer Discretionary Luk Fook (590 HK) Hold Target price: HK$24.60 Albert Yip, CFA SFC CE No. ADT599 albertyip@gfgroup.com.hk +852 3719 1010 GF Securities (Hong Kong) Brokerage Limited

More information

Thomson Reuters Corporation (TRI)

Thomson Reuters Corporation (TRI) Portfolio Advisory Group Thomson Reuters Corporation (TRI) September 7, 2010 Shares of Thomson Reuters ( Thomson ) have faced a number of challenges over the last decade that have made the stock a frustrating

More information

Fineotex Chemical Ltd

Fineotex Chemical Ltd Company Update Decent Performance under Macroeconomic Pressure; Business Traction to Continue: Fineotex Chemical recorded decent set of result as consolidated sales grew by 1.1% YoY (largely in line) to

More information

AMINO TECHNOLOGIES TECHNOLOGY HARDWARE AND EQUIPMENT

AMINO TECHNOLOGIES TECHNOLOGY HARDWARE AND EQUIPMENT AMINO TECHNOLOGIES TECHNOLOGY HARDWARE AND EQUIPMENT AMO.L 187.5p Market Cap: 134.7m SHARE PRICE (p) 240 190 140 90 Jul-16 12m high/low Source: LSE Data KEY INFORMATION Enterprise value Index/market 128.5m

More information

Energy and Mines World Congress: Scotiabank Metals Outlook

Energy and Mines World Congress: Scotiabank Metals Outlook Energy and Mines World Congress: Scotiabank Metals Outlook November 27, 217 Rory Johnston Commodity Economist Scotiabank Economics A Tale of Two Growth Outlooks: World Picks Up Slack of Slowing China 5

More information

Mahindra & Mahindra. Source: Company Data; PL Research

Mahindra & Mahindra. Source: Company Data; PL Research Tractors drive Q2 performance; Accumulate November 11, 2016 Rohan Korde rohankorde@plindia.com +91 22 66322235 Rating Accumulate Price Rs1,242 Target Price Rs1,503 Implied Upside 21.0% Sensex 26,819 Nifty

More information

Q Results Conference Call. November 2, 2017

Q Results Conference Call. November 2, 2017 Q3 2017 Results Conference Call November 2, 2017 Safe harbour notice Certain statements made in this presentation are forward-looking statements. These statements include, without limitation, statements

More information

JackpotJoy plc. A transformational year. Revenue and EBITDA slightly ahead of estimates. Strong operating cash flow dividends from 2019

JackpotJoy plc. A transformational year. Revenue and EBITDA slightly ahead of estimates. Strong operating cash flow dividends from 2019 JackpotJoy plc A transformational year FY17 results Travel & leisure 2017 was a transformational year for JPJ, with a successful London listing followed by substantial improvements in the capital structure.

More information

Equity Research DAILY COMMENT

Equity Research DAILY COMMENT Equity Research DAILY COMMENT NTG Clarity Networks Inc. NCI-V $0.40 February 07, 2014 Rating: STRONG BUY Target Price: $1.00 Market Capitalization: $14.1M Risk Profile: SPECULATIVE COMPANY PROFILE NTG

More information

GFAMSA Retail. Quarterly Report July 29, GFAMSA Market Performer 12M FWD Price Target P$8.6

GFAMSA Retail. Quarterly Report July 29, GFAMSA Market Performer 12M FWD Price Target P$8.6 Quarterly Report GFAMSA Market Performer 12M FWD Price Target P$8.6 Price 7.8 12M Price Range 6.77 / 15.34 Shares Outstanding (Mill) 562 Market Cap (Mill) 4,383 Float 36% Net Debt (Mill) 27,728 EV (Mill)

More information

ITC. Rating: Target price: EPS: Relative better visibility despite the smoke, Maintain BUY CMP. Target. Rating. Rs.389. Buy. Rs.

ITC. Rating: Target price: EPS: Relative better visibility despite the smoke, Maintain BUY CMP. Target. Rating. Rs.389. Buy. Rs. : price: EPS: Relative better visibility despite the smoke, Maintain BUY ITC reported revenues of Rs.~87.2bn (+13% y-o-y), operating profits of Rs.32.8bn (+15% y-o-y) and PAT of Rs.~23.8bn (+16% y-o-y).

More information

Key estimate revision. Year CY14 87,383 11,148 6, CY15E 1,20,126 17,838 9,

Key estimate revision. Year CY14 87,383 11,148 6, CY15E 1,20,126 17,838 9, : price: EPS: How does our one year outlook change? We retain our positive view on EIM on the back of expected improvement in volume and margin at Royal Enfield (RE) and expected revival in VECV on the

More information

GS Global ECS Credit Strategy Research. March 31, Alberto Gallo, CFA Goldman, Sachs & Co

GS Global ECS Credit Strategy Research. March 31, Alberto Gallo, CFA Goldman, Sachs & Co The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. Goldman Sachs Research The CLO market shows signs of life GS Global ECS Credit Strategy Research March 31, 11 Alberto Gallo, CFA Goldman, Sachs & Co. 1-917-33-31 alberto.gallo@gs.com

More information

GLOBAL ECONOMICS GLOBAL AUTO REPORT

GLOBAL ECONOMICS GLOBAL AUTO REPORT North American Auto Production Begins To Rebound CONTACTS Global sales gains moderate as purchases decline temporarily in Asia. US inventories fall below a year earlier, setting the stage for a rebound

More information

SQS India BFSI Ltd HOLD. Impact of Macro Headwinds Still Hurting; Revenue from US May Pick up in FY18E

SQS India BFSI Ltd HOLD. Impact of Macro Headwinds Still Hurting; Revenue from US May Pick up in FY18E Company Update Impact of Macro Headwinds Still Hurting; Revenue from US May Pick up in FY18E EBITDA Margins recovered by 618 bps QoQ: The company has witnessed many challenges over the year FY17 starting

More information

Century Plyboards. Result Update UNDER REVIEW. Ply revenue surprise, so does low interest cost AMBIT INSIGHTS

Century Plyboards. Result Update UNDER REVIEW. Ply revenue surprise, so does low interest cost AMBIT INSIGHTS Century Plyboards Ply revenue surprise, so does low interest cost Revenue growth of 20% YoY was better than our expectation of 14.6%. The growth was largely led by the revenues (Rs476mn) from the newly

More information

Equity Research. Rockwell Collins, Inc. COL: Reduce FQ1 For Higher Restructuring; Savings To Offset. Outperform. November 16, 2015

Equity Research. Rockwell Collins, Inc. COL: Reduce FQ1 For Higher Restructuring; Savings To Offset. Outperform. November 16, 2015 November 16, 2015 Equity Research Rockwell Collins, Inc. COL: Reduce FQ1 For Higher Restructuring; Savings To Offset Summary. Rockwell Collins announced after the close on November 13 that its expected

More information

VITRO Conglomerates. Quarterly Report July 29, VITRO Market Outperformer 12M FWD Price Target P$73.0

VITRO Conglomerates. Quarterly Report July 29, VITRO Market Outperformer 12M FWD Price Target P$73.0 Quarterly Report VITRO Market Outperformer 12M FWD Price Target P$73.0 Price 61.1 12M Price Range 36.3/ 66.7 Shares Outstanding (Mill) 483.6 Market Cap (Mill) 1,564 Float 20% Net Debt ( Mill) -424 EV Adj.

More information