SIDS Energy Outlook. Solomone Fifita, Deputy Director (Energy), Economic Development Division, Secretariat of the Pacific Community
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1 SIDS Energy Outlook Achieving Sustainable Energy for All in SIDS Challenges, Opportunities and Commitments Hilton Barbados Resort, Needham's Point, Bridgetown, Barbados 7-8 May 2012 Solomone Fifita, Deputy Director (Energy), Economic Development Division, Secretariat of the Pacific Community
2 The Context
3 Land Area in km Only 1.8% of the region is land 5 Melanesian PICs = 97.8% 18,273 18, ,840 30,407 12,281
4 ,030,000 EEZ in km % of the region is Ocean ,978,000 3,550,000 2,131,000 3,120,
5 Population Growth Trend Melanesian Countries = 87.8% PICTs 14 Forum PICS
6 GDP US$ $16,000 GDP/Capita (2009) $14,000 $12,000 $10,000 $8,000 $6,000 $4,000 $2,000 $0
7 GNB GROSS NATIONAL BEAUTY
8 GNH - GROSS NATIONAL HAPPINESS
9 The Common Issue
10 Extreme Petroleum Dependency PICs exlcuding PNG & Fiji 99% Pacific Islands Countries 95% Caribbean 80% Asia Pacific 45% World 34% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120% Source: International Energy Agency (2009) & ADB Report (2009)
11 Fuel Imports in USD (2009) $400,000,000 $350,000,000 $300,000,000 TOTAL = USD 873 million / 1.3 B litres $250,000,000 $200,000,000 $150,000,000 $100,000,000 $50,000,000 $0
12 Volume (kl) 250, , ,000 Fuel Consumed for Power Generation TOTAL IMPORTS = 1.3 billion litres TOTAL for electricity = 204 million litres (16%) 100,000 50,000 0
13 Early Estimates Electricity DIESEL GENERATION 25% Transport LAND, AIR & SEA 75% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80%
14 The Commitments
15 2010 Forum Leaders Communiqué Leaders reaffirmed their commitment to renewable energy and energy efficient future based on achievable, practical and voluntary targets.
16 Tokelau 100% by end of 2012
17 Palau National Energy Policy
18 Leaders endorsed the Framework for Action on Energy Security in the Pacific ( ) Energy Security exists when all people at all times have access to sufficient sustainable sources of clean and affordable energy and services to enhance their social and economic wellbeing
19 The Baselines / Business as Usual
20 ACCESS
21 Nauru Niue Samoa Palau Cook Islands Tuvalu Fiji RMI Tonga % Ave. 13 PICs Ave 13 PICs FSM Kiribati Vanuatu Solomon PNG Electrification Rate (%) 14% 12% 28% 46% 44% 57% 72% 78% 68.55% 81% 100% 99% 98% 98% 97% 94% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
22 Access to Modern Energy rural (%) Cook Islands Samoa Niue Tuvalu Tonga Solomon % Ave. 13 PICs Fiji RMI Ave 13 PICs Palau Kiribati Vanuatu 7% 39% 63% 62% 62% 69% 74.39% 88% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
23 Fuel Supply Security (Days) Vanuatu Tuvalu Tonga Solomon Samoa RMI PNG Palau Niue Nauru Kiribati FSM Fiji Cook Islands Fuel Supply Security
24 AFFORDABILITY
25 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% Macro-Economic Affordability (index)
26 $US/kWh $0.55 $0.50 $0.45 $0.40 $0.35 $0.30 $0.25 $0.20 $0.15 $0.10 $0.05 $0.00 Average Electricity Tariff in PICs
27 45.0% 40.0% 35.0% 30.0% 25.0% 20.0% 15.0% 10.0% 5.0% 0.0% Household Energy Expenditure Load (%)
28 PRODUCTIVITY & EFFICIENCY
29 kwh/l Power Generation Efficiency
30 35.00% Distribution Losses 30.00% 25.00% 20.00% 15.00% 10.00% 5.00% 0.00%
31 Electricity Consumption (kwh/person/year) Per capita electricity consumed to produce 1 US$ GDP per Capita Countries falling above the average trend line have a higher cost of converting energy into GDP - hence are identified as the lesser efficient ones. Palau 2000 Niue 1500 Cook Islands Countries falling Nauru below the average 1000 trend line have a Fiji RMI lower cost of converting energy FSM 500 Samoa Tuvalu Tonga into GDP - hence are identified as Kiribati Vanuatu the more efficient Solomon 0 PNG ones. $0.00 $2, $4, $6, $8, $10, $12, GDP/Capita (US$/person/year)
32 ENVIRONMENTAL QUALITY & CLEANLINESS
33 Tonnes of CO Carbon Footprint (Embeded CO2)
34 Renewable energy share(%) 10.00% 9.00% 8.00% 7.00% 6.00% 5.00% 4.00% 3.00% 2.00% 1.00% 0.00%
35 70.00% Clean Electricity Contribution (%) 60.00% 50.00% 40.00% 30.00% 20.00% 10.00% 0.00%
36 The Challenges
37 SE4ALL GOALS BY 2030 Synchronisation Ensure universal access to modern energy services Double the rate of improvement in energy efficiency Double the share of renewable energy in the global energy mix
38 Synchronisation SIDS Dock goals by 2033 increase energy efficiency by 25% (2005 baseline) 50% of electric power from renewable sources 20-30% decrease in conventional transportation fuel use
39 Tokelau 100% by end of 2012
40 2010 Forum Leaders Communiqué Leaders reaffirmed their commitment to renewable energy and energy efficient future based on achievable, practical and voluntary targets.
41 Coordination Many Partners One Team All stakeholders work together under one planthe national plan All stakeholders add value to the national goals and targets
42 Coordination Whole of Sector Approach Renewable energy targets are currently electricity generation related More emphasis on Renewable Energy and Energy Efficiency in transport Continue to address petroleum supply and pricing issues
43 Concrete Measures Fiji Renewable Energy Loans Ratio - Effective from February , Commercial banks are required to hold two per cent of their deposits and similar liabilities in loans to the Renewable Energy sector FIT Cook Is Tax and duty exemptions on solar generating units Solomon Is Duty exemptions of RE & EE equipments - RMI
44 Thank You!
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