CALEDONIA MINING CORPORATION

Transcription

1 CALEDONIA MINING CORPORATION An African-Focussed Mining, Exploration and Development Company ww.caledoniamining.com Company Presentation August December 2011 April 2012

2 Disclaimer This presentation does not constitute, or form part of, any offer to sell or issue or any solicitation of any offer to purchase or subscribe for, any shares in Caledonia, nor shall it (or any part of it) or the fact of its distribution, form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, or act as an inducement to enter into any contract or agreement thereto. Certain forward looking statements may be contained in the presentation which include, without limitation, expectations regarding metal prices, estimates of production, operating expenditure, capital expenditure and projections regarding the completion of capital projects as well as the financial position of the company. Although Caledonia Mining Corporation ( Caledonia ) believes that the expectations reflected in such forward-looking statements are reasonable, no assurance can be given that such expectations will prove to be accurate. Accordingly, results could differ from those projected as a result of, among other factors, changes in economic and market conditions, changes in the regulatory environment and other business and operational risks. Accordingly, neither Caledonia, nor any of its directors, officers, employees, advisers, associated persons or subsidiary undertakings shall be liable for any direct, indirect or consequential loss or damage suffered by any person as a result of relying upon this presentation or any future communications in connection with this presentation and any such liabilities are expressly disclaimed 2

3 Caledonia Group Overview TSE: CAL. OTCQX: CALVF. AIM: CMCL. Mining, exploration and development, focused on attractive assets in Africa Strong foundation in gold production Blanket Gold Mine, Zimbabwe 40,000oz pa Low-cost producer: $521/oz Exploration funded by strong internal cash flow Nama base metals exploration, Zambia Highly prospective area: adjacent to a new VALE copper mine development 2011 exploration identifies a new, copper-bearing zone Listed in Toronto and NASDAQ since 1992 and London (AIM) since 2005 No Debt, cash in the Treasury and no necessity to raise funds. 3

4 Caledonia Group Overview Results Highlights 7 successive quarters of increased gold production: gold production has tripled since Q Successive quarters of increased Gross Profit 4

5 Blanket Gold Mine, Zimbabwe Costs Continued reduction in cash costs per ounce in $581/oz Q4 $521/oz 5

6 Blanket Gold Mine, Zimbabwe Cost Reductions due to Improved Efficiency Investments since 2009 have improved Blanket s operating efficiency No. 4 Shaft Expansion completed in late 2010 allows increased production, thereby spreading fixed costs over more production No 4 shaft has a highly efficient, automated loading system which reduces hoisting costs Level18-22 Ore pass (completed Q3 2011) reduces multiple handling of ore: reduces costs and allows increased tonnage throughput Investments in milling and CIL circuits have increased recoveries and reduced the quantity of the consumables required to produce each ounce of gold o Cost per tonne processed fell from $29/t in Q1 of 2011 to $24/t by Q4 of 2011 o Cyanide usage (approx. $3,300/t delivered) reduced from 1.4Kg/t processed to 0.67Kg/t processed o Gold recovery increased to from 92%in 2010 to 93.4% in Q4 of

7 Blanket Gold Mine, Zimbabwe A Low-Cost African Gold Producer Blanket s cash costs are highly competitive Blanket s operations benefit from: o tight cost control o amenable mine environment, o efficient metallurgical plant o efficient labour structure Sources: Company Announcements In 2011 Blanket won EMA awards for Safety, Health and Environment 7

8 Blanket Gold Mine, Zimbabwe Reserves Blanket is situated on the 70km x15km Gwanda Greenstone Belt Summary of Reserves and Resources (at 31 December 2010) Category Tonnes Grade (g/t) Proven Reserve Probable Reserve Indicated Resource Inferred Resource N/A Source: NI Gold Contained (oz) Reserves and Resources above 750m supports 14 years production at 40koz per annum Existing mine plan gives ample time for further exploration and development with uninterrupted production Expected that resources will increase as a result of on-going exploration over the next months 8

9 Blanket Gold Mine, Zimbabwe Surplus Metallurgical Plant Capacity Investments in the Blanket metallurgical plant have reinforced the surplus capacity 40,000oz gold production equates to plant throughput of approx 1,000tpd Over 3,000 tpd of hoisting and crushing capacity installed. 1,800tpd milling capacity installed 3,800tpd CIL capacity installed Thus, additional ore can be processed at Blanket without capital investment or increased fixed overheads: only marginal mining and consumable costs Exploration and development is in progress to identify incremental ore At Blanket Mine in continuations of known ore-shoots At Blanket s portfolio of satellite properties ( brownfield, relatively quick, short term production lead time, and low capital cost), crushed ore trucked to Blanket Throughput of 1,800tpd would result in 70,000oz per annum of gold production 9

10 Blanket Gold Mine, Zimbabwe Exploration: Blanket Level 22 Haulage extension will connect No. 4 Shaft to resources at Eroica and Lima and provide platforms for exploration drilling for continuations of ore-shoots below 750 m Total haulage length will be 3km, of which 1.5km has already been completed. 10

11 Blanket Gold Mine, Zimbabwe Exploration: Blanket Self-funded, high-conviction and rapid exploration and development programme Indicative timeframe to complete down-dip exploration: approximately 36 months to revised NI New discovery target: up to 10 million tonnes or 1.25moz down to 1,300 m Blanket s immediate neighbour is currently mining down to 1,100m The optimal commercialisation of any increased resource base will be determined by a feasibility study: Increase production and extend mine life May require a new production shaft down to 1,300m a significant capital project Caledonia intends to fund future developments at Blanket using internal cash resources 11

12 Blanket Gold Mine, Zimbabwe Satellite Developments Blanket has several brownfield exploration projects close to the current mine Immediate focus: GG, 7km from Blanket Mascot Project Area, 42km from Blanket Crushed ore will be trucked by road to Blanket which has surplus capacity Increased throughput at Blanket will further reduce costs per ounce as fixed overheads are spread over higher production 12

13 Blanket Gold Mine, Zimbabwe Exploration Satellite Projects: GG GG Satellite Project 7kms from Blanket Geochemical analysis and surface drilling indicates attractive exploration targets Headgear and winder have been installed Further work awaiting ZESA connection Shaft-sinking contractor identified for rapid mobilisation GG Exploration headgear and winder house, Feb months shaft sinking followed by development/exploration Depending on exploration, first payable ore unlikely before early

14 Blanket Gold Mine, Zimbabwe Exploration Satellite Projects: GG and Mascot EAgle Vulture headgear, winder and compressor house, Feb 2011 Indicative capital cost approx US$600,000 per shaft Mascot Satellite Project 3 old mines (Mascot, Penzance and Eagle Vulture) with shafts and infrastructure Eagle Vulture: re-opened and dewatered Depending on exploration results, mine plan could be developed in mid-2012 Mascot: electricity connection virtually complete - ZESA final testing Penzance: the 3 rd shaft to be addressed Indicative production rate tpd per mine, subject to exploration success Satellite Projects could provide relatively small but rapid increases in production for very modest capital investment 14

15 Zimbabwe Overview Economic Stabilisation Zimbabwe Dollar abolished in Feb 2009: eradicated hyper-inflation Conservative economic policies Liberalised commercial environment: Blanket exports and sells gold on the international market and retains 100% of sales proceeds in US$ Well-educated, skilled, stable and experienced workforce: 99% of Blanket s employees and management are Zimbabweans, most of whom live in the mine village. Blanket does not use expensive expatriates Taxation: 7% royalty; 25% income tax Proximity to South Africa: Easy and rapid access to consumables, equipment and specialised skills US$ denominated costs benefit from any devaluation of the South African Rand Blanket s increased production and low-cost base is testament to the operating environment in Zimbabwe 15

16 Indigenisation 20 February 2012: Memorandum of Understanding signed with Zimbabwe Government Indigenous Zimbabweans to acquire 51% of Blanket Mine for $30.09m, vendorfinanced IZ owners comprise employee and community trusts, National Indigenisation and Economic Empowerment Fund and others Management is working hard to implement the various transactions as quickly as possible Anticipated that transactions will be implemented in Q2 of 2012 Once fully indigenised, Blanket will be well-positioned, strategically and financially, to expand 16

17 Zambian Base Metals Nama Substantial Copper-Cobalt Opportunity Caledonia holds Licences covering over 810 sq. km. adjacent to Konkola and Vale/ARM properties Konkola East licence area is the first target: 5 holes drilled in 2011 identified a new copperbearing mineralised zone 17

18 Zambian Base Metals Nama Substantial Copper-Cobalt Opportunity New mineralised zone identified in holes 3, 4 and 5 is considered to be a contiguous zone. The assay results for the three intersections have a weighted average of 0.47% copper over a weighted average width of 41 metres at depths between 280 and 450 metres. Holes 3 and 4 are approximately 1,650 metres apart representing a minimum strike length of the mineralisation exploration programme to identify near surface extension (Phase 1) and deeper extension (Phase 2) 18

19 Summary Financials Year Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Year Est* C$'m C$'m C$'m C$'m C$'m C$'m C$'m Gold production (k.oz) Gold price (U$$) Revenues (gross) EBITDA Profit before Tax Profit after Tax Adjusted EPS - basic (cents) ** 3.14** 2.20 * Source of 2012 forecast: Edison Investment Reseach EPS is after 51% minority interest ** Adjusted EPS for 2011 and Q4 of 2011 excludes $3.8m impairment of South African asset and foreign exchange gain At a share price of 10 cents, Caledonia trades on a historic P/E ratio of 3.2 and EV/EBITDA multiple of 1.8x 2012 earnings forecast reflects 51% indigenisation on a proforma basis from 1 Jan 2011 Profit growth from 2012 depend s on the gold price and the outcome of exploration and subsequent development (not reflected in Edison research) 19

20 Capital Structure Capital Structure Shares in issue (m) Options (m) 42.6 Fully diluted shares in issue (m) Zimbabwe Debt (31 December 2011) Non-Zimbabwe Cash (31 December 2011) Net Assets (31 December 2011) C$430,000 C$9,686,000 C$40,014,000 Simple and transparent capital structure Options at 8.5% of issued share capital: in-line with most junior mining companies Caledonia holds free cash outside Zimbabwe and has $2.5m working capital facility in Zimbabwe Caledonia will continue to accumulate cash so that it has the financial capacity to invest 20 in further growth, independent of international debt and equity markets

21 Management and Directors Management Directors Chief Executive Stefan Hayden Chairman Carl Jonsson Finance Director Steve Curtis Chief Executive Stefan Hayden VP Exploration Dr Trevor Pearton Finance Director Steve Curtis Blanket Mine Manager Caxton Mangezi Indep Director Robert Babensee VP Corporate Development and IR Mark Learmonth Indep Director Indep Director Chris Harvey Jim Johnstone Management team has extensive mining experience and African expertise: Caledonia s management team and the operational head office is in Johannesburg, South Africa easy access to all of its projects Strong independent directors with substantial and relevant technical experience 21

22 Summary The Investment Case Long established cash generative gold producer Lowest cash cost producer in Africa at US$521/oz Au Blanket mine - 40,000 oz pa production capacity Considerable exploration upside funded by strong internal cash flow Nama prospective base metals exploration project, Zambia Adjacent to existing Vale mine Experienced management team with extensive mining experience and Africa expertise 22

23 Summary The Investment Case EV/Sales(x) EV/EBITDA(x) PER(x) Source: IQ Capital 23

24 Contacts Caledonia Mining Website: Share Codes: TSE - CAL; OTCQX CALVF; AIM - CMCL Stefan Hayden, President and CEO Tel: shayden@caledoniamining.com Mark Learmonth, Vice President Tel: marklearmonth@caledoniamining.com Research: Edison Investment Research 24