Global Economic Briefing: Global Monetary Aggregates
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1 Global Economic Briefing: Global Monetary Aggregates February 2, 218 Dr. Edward Yardeni Debbie Johnson Please visit our sites at www. blog. thinking outside the box
2 Table Of Contents Table Of Contents US Monetary Aggregates 3-4 US Monetary Growth -7 US Savings Deposits 8 US Velocity 9 Euro Area Monetary Growth 1-13 Global Monetary Growth 14-1 Global M2 Aggregate Growth 17 February 2, 218 / Global Economic Briefing: Global Monetary Aggregates www.
3 Figure 1. MONETARY BASE* (ratio scale) US Monetary Aggregates 1/ * Adjusted for changes in reserve requirements. Figure M1 32 (ratio scale) Page 3 / February 2, 218 / Global Economic Briefing: Global Monetary Aggregates www.
4 US Monetary Aggregates Figure 3. MZM* (ratio scale) * Includes M1, savings deposits, and all money market mutual funds (individual and institutional) Figure 4. M2 (ratio scale) Page 4 / February 2, 218 / Global Economic Briefing: Global Monetary Aggregates www.
5 14 Figure. MONETARY BASE* US Monetary Growth / * Adjusted for changes in reserve requirements. 3 2 Figure. M Page / February 2, 218 / Global Economic Briefing: Global Monetary Aggregates www.
6 2 Figure 7. MZM* US Monetary Growth * Includes M1, savings deposits, and all money market mutual funds (individual and institutional). Figure 8. M Page / February 2, 218 / Global Economic Briefing: Global Monetary Aggregates www.
7 18 1 Figure 9. CURRENCY* US Monetary Growth * In M1. Excludes vault cash. Figure 1. M2-M Page 7 / February 2, 218 / Global Economic Briefing: Global Monetary Aggregates www.
8 Figure 11. INTEREST-BEARING DEPOSITS (billion dollars, sa) US Savings Deposits Savings Deposits (including Money Market Deposit Accounts)* Total Small Time Deposits** * Included in M2. ** Included in M2. IRA and Keogh account balances are excluded Figure. MONEY MARKET MUTUAL FUNDS (trillion dollars, sa) Held By: Retail* Institutions** * Included in M2. IRA and Keogh account balances are excluded. ** Included in MZM, but not in M1 or M2. Source: Federal Reserve Board. Page 8 / February 2, 218 / Global Economic Briefing: Global Monetary Aggregates www.
9 1 14 Figure 13. M2 & GDP US Velocity Q M2 (using 3-month ma)* Nominal GDP Figure 14. M2 VELOCITY (GDP/M2) Velocity Three-Month Treasury Bill Rate Q Page 9 / February 2, 218 / Global Economic Briefing: Global Monetary Aggregates www.
10 Figure. Euro Area Monetary Growth ***** Chart Not Available ***** Task: KMAJEUROM1 KEEP command attempted on missing data :18: Figure 1. M2 MONETARY AGGREGATES*: EUROZONE France (=8.8) Greece (=.9) Ireland (=4.4) Portugal (Nov=1.4) Germany (=4.) Italy (Nov=4.) Netherlands (May=-1.2) Spain (=1.7) * Includes currency in circulation. Source: Bank of Greece, Duetsche Bundesbank, Banque de France, Banco de Portugal, Banca d Italia, Banco de Espana, De Nederlandsche Bank, Central Statistics Office Ireland, and Haver Analytics. Page 1 / February 2, 218 / Global Economic Briefing: Global Monetary Aggregates www.
11 4 4 Figure 17. M3 MONETARY AGGREGATES*: EUROZONE Euro Area Monetary Growth France (=7.4) Greece (=.7) Ireland (=1.7) Portugal (Nov=9.2) Germany (=4.3) Italy (=4.3) Netherlands (May=-1.1) Spain (=.8) * Includes currency in circulation. Source: Bank of Greece, Duetsche Bundesbank, Banque de France, Banco de Portugal, Banca d Italia, Banco de Espana, De Nederlandsche Bank, Central Statistics Office Ireland, and Haver Analytics. 2 Figure 18. MONETARY AGGREGATES*: EUROZONE M1 (8.) M2 (.1) M3 (4.) * Includes currency in circulation. Source: European Central Bank and Haver Analytics. Page 11 / February 2, 218 / Global Economic Briefing: Global Monetary Aggregates www.
12 3 2 Figure 19. Euro Area Monetary Growth MONETARY AGGREGATES*: GERMANY (yearly percent change, sa) M1 (7.) M2 (4.) M3 (4.3) * Includes currency in circulation. Source: Duetsche Bundesbank and Haver Analytics. 2 Figure 2. MONETARY AGGREGATES*: FRANCE M1 (.8) M2 (8.8) M3 (7.4) * Includes currency in circulation. Source: Banque de France and Haver Analytics. Page / February 2, 218 / Global Economic Briefing: Global Monetary Aggregates www.
13 2 Figure 21. Euro Area Monetary Growth MONETARY AGGREGATES*: ITALY M1 (8.) M2 (4.) M3 (4.3) Nov * Includes currency in circulation. Source: Banca d Italia and Haver Analytics Figure 22. MONETARY AGGREGATES*: SPAIN M1 (13.7) M2 (1.7) M3 (.8) * Includes currency in circulation. Source: Banco de Espana and Haver Analytics. Page 13 / February 2, 218 / Global Economic Briefing: Global Monetary Aggregates www.
14 Figure 23. MONETARY AGGREGATES*: UNITED KINGDOM Global Monetary Growth M1 (.1) M2 (2.9) M3 (.) * Includes currency in circulation. Source: Central Statistical Office. 18 Figure 24. M2*: CANADA M1 (7.7) M2 (.) M3 (4.) * Includes curreny in circulation. Source: Bank of Canada/Haver Analytics. Page 14 / February 2, 218 / Global Economic Briefing: Global Monetary Aggregates www.
15 1 14 Figure 2. JAPAN: M2 PLUS CDs* Global Monetary Growth Z M2 Plus CDS (3.) Z = Zero Interest Rate Policy. * In yen. Note: Blue shade is Quantitative Easing Policy. Source: Bank of Japan. 4 3 Figure 2. CHINA: MONETARY AGGREGATES* M1 (11.8) M2 (8.2) * In yuan. Source: China National Bureau of Statistics. Page / February 2, 218 / Global Economic Briefing: Global Monetary Aggregates www.
16 3 2 Figure 27. MONETARY AGGREGATES*: AUSTRALIA Global Monetary Growth M1 (.) M3 (4.) * Includes currency in circulation. Source: Reserve Bank of Austrailia. Page 1 / February 2, 218 / Global Economic Briefing: Global Monetary Aggregates www.
17 2 2 Figure 28. Global M2 Aggregate Growth M2 MONETARY AGGREGATES*: GLOBAL** 2 2 M2 (1.4) * Include currency in circulation and are computed in US dollars. The individual exchange rate to dollar is based on end of month values. ** Global includes China, Euro Area, Japan and United States. Source: People s Bank of China, ECB, Bank of Japan, Federal Reserve Board and Haver Analytics. Page 17 / February 2, 218 / Global Economic Briefing: Global Monetary Aggregates www.
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