Financial Analysis Report

Transcription

1 Sa Sa Int l (00178.HK) & Bonjour Hold (00653.HK) Financial Analysis Report Irene SONG Yinjin Hong Kong Baptist University JOUR 2006 Finance for Business Journalists Instructor: Mr. Clemence Poon 2015/11/29

2 Content Summary... 1 Common-Size Income Statement... 3 Income Statement-YTY Comparison... 5 Common-Size Balance Sheet... 7 Balance Sheet-YTY Comparison Ratio Analysis Appendix... 17

3 Summary Sa Sa International Holdings (Chinese: 莎莎國際 ) (SEHK: 178) is a Hong Kongbased chain store company selling cosmetics, personal care, skin care and baby care products. For the year ended 31 December 2014, Sasa s turnover amounted to HK$8,756 million, representing an increase of 14.2% over the HK$7,670 million recorded last year. The Group s profit for the year 2014 was HK$4,073 million, a decrease of 14.5% over the HK$3,558 million recorded last fiscal year. Basic earnings per share were HK33.0 cents, as compared to HK29.3 cents in the previous fiscal year. The overall gross profit margin of the Group for the full fiscal year increased to 46.52% from 46.39% last year. The principal activity of Bonjour Holdings (Chinese: 卓悅控股 ) (SEHK:653) is principally engaged in the retail and wholesale of beauty and health-care products and the operation of beauty and health salons in Hong Kong, Macau and the PRC. For the year ended 31 December 2014, Bonjour s turnover amounted to HK$3,144 million, representing an increase of 3.5% over the HK$3,039 million recorded last year. The Group s profit for the year 2014 was HK$226 million, a decrease of 17.2% over the HK$273 million recorded last fiscal year. Basic earnings per share were HK6.6 cents, as compared to HK8.3 cents in the previous fiscal year. The overall gross profit margin of the Group for the full fiscal year increased to 47.68% from 47.35% last year. Sasa has a great name and good brand so it attracts big cosmetic names and customers trust it for the brands it sells, especially tourists from mainland China. Also it has advantages in going overseas market. Compared with Bonjour, Sasa is a larger enterprise and performs better than Bonjour generally, statistically speaking. But Bonjour also is a company with good development, and its gross profit margins were even a little bit higher than Sasa s. And for stock investors, Bonjour s price was much cheaper and the return of investment was considerable. In recent years, the overall retail market in Hong Kong was challenging. The retail industry sailed through ups and downs throughout the year as a result of the instabilities of the external environment and the change of Mainland tourists consumption pattern. According to the statistics in 2014 released by the Census and Statistics Department, the total retail sales value edged down 0.2% to HK$493.3 billion compare to Hong Kong s annual retail sales figures fell for the first time since the SARS outbreak in 2003.Given the current social unrest expelling the PRC tourist inflow to Hong Kong and the change in tourist mix with less spending pattern, Sasa and Bonjour are inevitably facing a challenging environment. As the two cosmetics retail giants in Hong Kong even Asia, their financial performance can be used as a benchmark of this industry. 1

4 This report consists the Common-Size Income Statement, Income Statement- YTY comparison, Common-Size Balance Sheets, Balance Sheets-YTY Comparison and Ratio Analysis of Sasa and Bonjour in 2014,2013 and 2012, and comments followed. 2

5 Common-Size Income Statement HK $M Sasa Bonjour Sasa Bonjour Sasa Bonjour Sales COGS (4683) (1645) (4112) (1600) (3508) (1483) Gross Profit Other income Distribution costs (2728) (103) (2361) (99) (1901) (100) Administrative expenses (341) (1172) (272) (1063) (208) (1006) Other operating N/A (3) N/A (2) N/A (5) expenses Total operating (3069) (1278) (2633) (1164) (2108) (1111) expenses Other gains- net 7 N/A 4 N/A 0.2 N/A Operating Profit Finance income- net 12 N/A 8 N/A 7 N/A Finance costs (0.3) (2) (0) (1) (0) (1) Profit Before Tax Taxation (191) (47) (169) (55) (145) (47) Profit After Tax Sasa Bonjour Sasa Bonjour Sasa Bonjour Sales 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% COGS 53.5% 52.3% 53.6% 52.6% 54.8% 52.8% Gross Profit 46.5% 47.7% 46.4% 47.4% 45.2% 47.2% Other income 1.2% 1.7% 0.8% 1.8% 0.6% 2.0% Distribution costs 31.2% 3.3% 30.8% 3.3% 29.7% 3.6% Administrative expenses 3.9% 37.3% 3.5% 35.0% 3.2% 35.8% Other operating N/A 0.1% N/A 0.1% N/A 0.2% expenses Total operating 35.1% 40.6% 34.3% 38.3% 32.9% 39.6% expenses Other gains- net 0.1% N/A 0.1% N/A 0.0% N/A Operating Profit 12.7% 8.7% 12.9% 10.8% 12.9% 9.6% Finance income- net 0.1% N/A 0.1% N/A 0.1% N/A Finance costs 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% Profit Before Tax 12.9% 8.7% 13.0% 10.8% 13.0% 9.6% Taxation 2.2% 1.5% 2.2% 1.8% 2.3% 1.7% Profit After Tax 10.7% 7.2% 10.8% 9.0% 10.8% 7.9% 3

6 Comments [1]. In 2014, 2013 and 2012, Sa Sa s revenue was about three times as much as that of Bonjour, so the business scale of Sasa was larger. Main reasons are as follows: Firstly, Sasa established 280 retail stores in Hong Kong, Macau, Mainland China, Singapore, Malaysia and Taiwan, but Bonjour only had 47 stores in Hong Kong, Macau and Mainland China. Secondly, the performance of Sasa s e-commerce was strong as turnover for sasa.com amounted to HK$394.0 million in 2014, a rise of 2.6% over the previous fiscal year. And turnover from Bonjour s e-commerce amounted to HK$44.8 million, a decrease of 13.8% over the previous fiscal year. Thirdly, Sasa continued to implement the its diversification strategy in the product categories as well as to broaden its appeal to segments such as the young people segment and home DIY sector, so Sasa had a more various types of brands for different kinds of customers to choose. [2]. Bonjour s cost of goods sold accounted for about 1% or 2% lower than that of Sasa in total sales, which made the proportion of Bonjour s gross profit higher. Because medium and low level products constituted a larger part of Bonjour s structure of products. Bonjour introduced a series of Korean skincare and cosmetic products as Korean products have been increasingly popular and its overall average selling price is in general lower than that of European and Japanese brands. [3]. The proportions of total operating expenses of Sasa and Bonjour are around 34% and 39% relatively, so Bonjour paid more for operating expenses. Mainly due to Bonjour spent more on promotion. In order to raise the visibility of exclusive brands, Bonjour has invited well-known artists to participate in its brand ambassadors from Hong Kong and Korea, including Miss Ada Choi, Miss Cecilia Wang, Miss Tracy Ip, Miss Queenie Chu and Miss Sherman Chung for the retail sectors spokeswomen. [4]. Due to much higher operating overheads, Bonjour s operating profit and profit after tax were lower than that of Sasa even though the former had higher gross profit, so Sasa got a better result of its ordinary activities than Bonjour. 4

7 Income Statement-YTY Comparison Sasa HK $M % % Sales % % COGS % % Gross Profit % % Other income % % Distribution costs % % Administrative % % expenses Total operating % % expenses Other gains- net % % Operating Profit % % Finance income- net % % Profit Before Tax % % Taxation % % Profit After Tax % % Comments [1]. In 2014, retail and wholesale turnover of the Group recorded an increase of 14.2% year-to-year yet, the growth of sales slowed down compared to 2013 when the increase is 19.8% from Similarly, the expansion rate of gross profit also fell from 22.8% to 14.5%. In 2014, the overall retail market in Hong Kong was challenging. The retail industry sailed through ups and downs throughout the year as a result of the instabilities of the external economic environment and the change of Mainland tourists consumption pattern. In addition, in the second half of 2014, the unstable political environment and social movement Occupy Protest which began in late September also struck a blow to Hong Kong retail market. The sales and gross profit growth, as a result, were impacted. [2]. The change rate of other income increased significantly from 45.0% to 77.6%, because the Group increased the sub-lease income in 2014 as stated in Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements 2 of Sasa Annual Report 2013/14. [3]. The expansion of operating expenses and its segments all slowed down, which indicates the volume of business was going down and the Group also tried to limit the supporting costs of the sales in the challenging retail market situation. [4]. The growth rate of operating profit declined from 19.2% to 12.9% and the profit after tax dropped from 19.7% to 13.2%, which means the Group s ordinary activity is going down. 5

8 Bonjour HK $M % % Sales % % COGS % % Gross Profit % % Other income % % Distribution costs % % Administrative % % expenses Other operating % % expenses Total operating % % expenses Operating profit % % Finance cost % % Profit before tax % % Taxation % % Profit After Tax % % Comments [1]. During the three years, sales and gross profit of the Group showed a continuous growth, but the rate of growth slowed down in 2014 compared with Both sales and gross profit margin of retail business slowdown were mainly due to lesser consumer spending in the second half of the year. This weakening reflected the change of consumers appetite and the change of the tourist consumption pattern. [2]. The growth rate of operating expenses increased from 4.8% to 9.8%, mainly due to more expenses on brand promotion to appeal customers. [3]. For the group, the finance costs are mainly from interest expense on bank borrowings and finance leases charges as stated in Notes to the Financial Statements 9 of Bonjour 2014 Annual Report. And in 2014, the interest expense on bank borrowings doubled in the not wholly repayable part as the Group borrowed more from bank. [4]. The profit before tax and the profit after tax both decreased and showed a negative growth, which indicated the Group performed quite poorly and weak resistance in difficult market environment. 6

9 Common-Size Balance Sheet HK $M Sasa Bonjour Sasa Bonjour Sasa Bonjour Property, plant and equipment Rental deposits, prepayments and other assets Deferred tax assets Total non- current assets Inventories Trade receivables Other receivables, deposits and prepayments Time deposits cash and cash equivalents Assets classified as held for sale 106 Total current assets Total Assets Trade payables Other payables and accruals Income tax payable Borrowings and loans N/A 45 N/A 39 Liabilities directly associated with assets classified as held for sale N/A 240 N/A N/A N/A N/A Total current liabilities Retirement benefit obligations Bank borrowings N/A 232 N/A N/A N/A N/A Deferred tax liabilities 0.3 N/A N/A Other payables Total non- current Liabilities Total Liabilities Share Capital Reserves Total Equity Total Liabilities and Equity

10 Property, plant and equipment Rental deposits, prepayments and other assets Sasa Bonjour Sasa Bonjour Sasa Bonjour 12.5% 48.4% 12.3% 7.8% 13.5% 10.2% 6.6% 5.6% 7.7% 8.2% 5.4% 12.3% Deferred tax assets 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.4% 0.2% 0.2% Total non- current assets 19.3% 54.2% 20.1% 16.4% 19.1% 22.6% Inventories 42.4% 16.8% 44.2% 26.7% 48.3% 27.1% Trade receivables 1.6% 2.8% 3.3% 6.5% 2.8% 6.7% Other receivables, deposits 6.1% 5.9% 5.5% 12.3% 5.5% 8.9% and prepayments Time deposits 17.6% 1.2% 7.5% 1.9% 1.5% 2.1% cash and cash equivalents 12.9% 12.2% 19.4% 36.3% 22.8% 32.7% Total current assets 80.7% 45.8% 79.9% 83.6% 80.9% 77.4% Total Assets 100.0% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% Trade payables 12.1% 11.0% 14.7% 19.8% 18.3% 17.5% Other payables and accruals 9.3% 5.7% 11.3% 32.9% 11.7% 37.7% Income tax payable 2.6% 0.9% 2.3% 3.1% 2.8% 3.8% Borrowings and loans 2.5% 12.5% N/A 4.4% N/A 4.3% Total current liabilities 26.5% 45.6% 28.3% 60.1% 32.8% 63.2% Retirement benefit 0.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.7% obligations Bank borrowings N/A 15.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A Deferred tax liabilities 0.0% N/A 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% N/A Other payables 1.5% 1.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.9% 0.7% Total non- current Liabilities 1.7% 17.1% 1.1% 0.6% 1.1% 1.3% Total Liabilities 28.2% 62.7% 29.4% 60.7% 33.9% 64.5% Share Capital 8.8% 2.2% 10.1% 3.0% 11.4% 3.3% Reserves 63.0% 35.1% 60.5% 36.3% 54.7% 32.2% Total Equity 71.8% 37.3% 70.6% 39.3% 66.1% 35.5% Total Liabilities and Equity 100.0% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 8

11 Comments [1]. In 2014, the percentage of Bonjour s non-current assets was as much as 54.2%, because at 31 December 2014 the carrying amount of land and buildings pledged as security for the Group s bank borrowings amounted to HK$693,851,000, adding its medium-term leases in Hong Kong (stated in Notes to the Financial Statements 17 of Bonjour 2014 Annual Report). Besides, in other fiscal years, the current assets of Sasa and Bonjour commanded a bigger slice at about 80% in total assets. This indicates the two companies had enough liquidity. [2]. In the three years, the amount of Sasa s total current assets and noncurrent assets was much more than that of Bonjour, which means Sasa is a larger-scale enterprise as it processes more assets. [3]. The percentages of Bonjour s current liabilities in total liabilities and equity were quite high at about 61% in 2012 and 2013, mainly due to the large amount of other payables and accruals. [4]. The two companies performed quite differently in borrowings and loans. For Sasa, the only borrowings it got at 31 March 2014, which was short term bank borrowings of a subsidiary of the Company are secured by a corporate guarantee given by the Company as stated in Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements 23 of Sa Sa Annual Report 2013/14. But Bonjour got bank borrowings on demand or within one year repayable every year, and in 2014, the percentage of bank borrowings making up total liabilities and equities was as much as 12.5%, which means Bonjour was under a relatively high leverage risk. Besides, Bonjour also got a large amount of long-term bank borrowings at 15.0%, this indicates its bad management situation. [5]. During the three years, the proportions of total liabilities to total equity were about 3:7 for Sasa, but these were around 6:4 for Bonjour. These mean that Sasa relied more on shareholders equity, but Bonjour depended more on debt. 9

12 Balance Sheet-YTY Comparison Sasa HK $M % % Property,plant and equipment % % Rental deposits, prepayments and % % other assets Deferred tax assets % % Total non- current assets % % Inventories % % Trade receivables % % Other receivables, deposits and % % prepayments Time deposits % % cash and cash equivalents % % Total current assets % % Total Assets % % Trade payables % % Other payables and accruals % % Income tax payable % % Borrowings and loans 80 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Total current liabilities % % Retirement benefit obligations % % Deferred tax liabilities % % Other payables % % Total non- current Liabilities % % Total Liabilities % % Share Capital % % Reserves % % Total Equity % % Total Liabilities and Equity % % Comments [1]. Time deposits increased greatly in the three years, especially from 2012 to 2013, it grew at 480.6%. As a main reason, it resulted a growing expansion of the amount of current assets. Although the rising rate of non-current assets declined in 2014 compared to 2013, the growth of total assets still increased. [2]. The growth rate of total liabilities rose from -1.8% to 11.2%, and the noncurrent liabilities got significant changes from 7.1% to 83.3%, mainly due to the company got more other payables and accruals. 10

13 Bonjour HK $M % % Property, plant and % % equipment Rental deposits, prepayments % % and other assets Deferred tax assets % % Total non- current assets % % Inventories % % Trade receivables % % Other receivables, deposits % % and prepayments Time deposits % % cash and cash equivalents % % Assets classified as held for 106 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A sale Total current assets % % Total Assets % % Trade payables % % Other payables and accruals % % Income tax payable % % Borrowings and loans % % 240 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Liabilities directly associated with assets classified as held for sale Total current liabilities % % Retirement benefit % % obligations Bank borrowings 232 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Deferred tax liabilities N/A 1 N/A 1 N/A N/A Other payables % % Total non- current Liabilities % % Total Liabilities % % Share Capital % % Reserves % % Total Equity % % Total Liabilities and Equity % % 11

14 Comments [1]. The expansion rate of non-current assets increased amazingly from % to 405.4%, because the change rate of property, plant and equipment soared from -15.1% to 848.1%. The current assets increased at 19.9% from 2012 to 2013, but decreased at 16.4% in That is the amount of non-current assets rose quite a lot, but the number of current assets dropped slightly. Offsetting each other, the increasing rate of total assets rose from 10.9% to 52.6%. [2]. The change rate of current liabilities climbed from 5.5% to 15.5%, and the increase of borrowings and loans was the greatest, as it lifted 328.9% from 2013 to And the change rate of non-current liabilities went up from % to %, as the significant rise in bank borrowings and other payables. So the rising rate of total liabilities also went up from 4.4% to 57.4% greatly. To sum up, from 2012 to 2014, the company was increasingly depending on liabilities, which showed a bad situation of operation and financing, so the Group had the increasing level of risks. [3]. The growth rate of equity increased from 22.8% to 44.6%, and the reserves increased from 25.1% to 47.2%, mainly because of great increases of share premium and retained profit stated in Notes to the Financial Statements 31 of Bonjour 2014 Annual Report. 12

15 Ratio Analysis Category Ratio Sasa Bonjour Sasa Bonjour Sasa Bonjour Leverage ratios Equity multiplier Debt- to- equity ratio Cash flow coverage ratio Operating Days in inventory efficiency ratios Inventory Turnover(times) Days in receivable Receivable Turnover(times) Days in payable Payable turnover (times) Liquidity ratios Cash conversion cycle(days) Current ratio Quick ratio 54.89% 32.86% 80.40% 71.03% 78.34% 62.18% Cash ratio 48.84% 26.77% 68.65% 60.23% 69.68% 51.64% Profitability Gross profit 46.52% 47.68% 46.39% 47.35% 45.23% 47.19% ratios margin Net profit margin 10.68% 7.19% 10.77% 8.98% 10.77% 7.91% Basic earnings per share(hk cents) Diluted earnings per share(hk cents) Return on assets 30.99% 13.39% 31.38% 28.29% 31.78% 25.46% Return on equity 43.49% 46.31% 45.81% 75.41% 46.25% 72.31% Valuation ratios Dividend payout 71.21% 62.12% 71.67% 79.12% 71.14% 81.08% Dividend yield 3.99% 3.73% 2.76% 6.43% 3.76% 7.06% Price- to- earnings ratio Price- to- book ratio

16 Comments Leverage [1]. As Bonjour s equity multiplier and debt-to-equity ratio both are higher than Sasa s, Bonjour relied more on debt to finance its assets, so it had a higher financial risk. [2]. Sasa s cash flow coverage ratios were higher, which means Sasa had more amount of debts covered by cash flow generated from operating activities, so Sasa was under lower leverage risk. Operating efficiency [1]. Sasa held the inventory for a longer time, which was almost doubled as long as Bonjour s days in inventory. So Sasa performed less efficiently in selling inventories due to it had more retail stores and larger volume. The slower a company can sell its inventories, the slower a company can begin to settle the account receivables and solve its own debts. And the inventory turnover of Sasa was much less than that of Bonjour because the proportion of inventories to total assets of Sasa was higher. [2]. Bonjour s days in receivables were almost Sasa s twice, contrarily, Sasa s receivable turnover was Bonjour s two times. This indicated that Sasa had a better account management than Bonjour. [3]. Bonjour took more days to pay its creditor than Sasa, and Sasa s payable turnover was a bit of higher than Bonjour s. So for suppliers, Bonjour had longer payment days. Liquidity [1]. Sasa had a really high liquidity, as its short-term assets had covered its immediate liabilities at about 2.8:1 in the three years. As for Bonjour, it still had enough short-term assets to cover its current liabilities, but it was not so liquid as Sasa. That could be risky for Bonjour, if there is an urgent crisis situation. [2]. Sasa had higher quick ratios, which means it had more current assets that were more easily and quickly converted into cash compared with current liabilities. For both of the two companies, the quick ratios decreased significantly in 2014, which indicates potential liquidity risk. [3]. Sasa s cash ratios were higher than those of Bonjour in the three years, which indicates that Sasa had a higher and more reliable liquidity in a crisis situation. So for creditors, lending money to Sasa was more reliable. But from 2012 to 2014, the cash ratios of the two companies had a decreasing trend, which means the two companies tried to improve their asset utilization to hold less amounts of cash and they need to decrease the cash held to put into other uses to resist the economic downturn. But they should take care to make sure that companies had enough liquidity. 14

17 Profitability [1]. The gross profit margins of Bonjour were a bit higher than these of Sasa, mainly because Bonjour sold diversified products and for the same products, Bonjour s prices were always lower than Sasa s. As Sasa and Bonjour are two of the most influential cosmetic retailers, their figures indicated the gross profit of the whole cosmetics retailing industry is around 46%. [2]. Sasa s net profit margins were higher than Bonjour s, which means Sasa had higher operating efficiency and profitability from 2012 to [3]. As for Basic EPS and Diluted EPS, Sasa s EPS was almost as five times much as than of bonjour, which means Sasa generated much more profit by per dollar of assets. [4]. Return on assets of Sasa remained at around 31% for three years and was higher than that of Bonjour, which means Sasa generated more profit by per dollar assets. But the return on assets of Bonjour decreased greatly in 2014 mainly because its total assets increased greatly at 52.6% from 2013 to 2014 as stated in Balance Sheet- YTY comparison. [5]. Return on equity of Bonjour was higher than that of Sasa, which means Bonjour generated more profit by per dollar of shareholder s equity. And Sasa s return on equity kept at 45% in the three years, but Bonjour s ratio had fallen from 72.31% and 75.41% to 46.31% due to its total equity increased hugely at 44.6% from 2013 to 2014 compared with the growth rate was 22.8% from 2012 to 2013 as stated in Balance Sheet- YTY comparison. Valuation [1]. In 2013 and 2012, Bonjour s dividend payout ratios were higher than Sasa s, but in 2014, Bonjour s dividend payout was around 10 percent lower than Sasa s. This means the percentage of earnings the Bonjour pays out as dividends to shareholders decreased. In the past, investors who sought for higher current income may prefer to buy Bonjour s stocks, but Sasa s stocks seems more attractive for them now. [2]. In 2013 and 2012, Bonjour s dividend yield was much higher than that of Sasa, which indicates Bonjour pays out more in dividends each year relative to its share price. However, in 2014, Sasa s dividend yield was approximately equal to Bonjour s, this means the two stocks had similar return on investment in the absence of any capital gains. With the overall consideration of Basic EPS, Diluted EPS, dividend payout and dividend yield, Sasa seemed to be a better choice than Bonjour for investors. 15

18 [3]. From fiscal 2012 to 2014, Sasa s price-to-earnings ratios were higher than Bonjour s, which means an investor pays more for Sasa s per dollar earnings. And Sasa P/E ratio decreased significantly in Because the share price dropped at 22.6% and Basic EPS increased at This indicated a faster investment recovery time, less investment risks and higher investment value of stock. Sasa % % share prices % % Basic EPS % % Bonjour % % share prices % % Basic EPS % % [4]. In 2013 and 2012, Bonjour had higher price-to-book ratios than Sasa, which means investors paid more for per dollar of Bonjour s net asset, so Bonjour s stock had higher investment risks. However, in 2014, Bonjour s P/B ratio slumped from 15.2 to 2.0, as its share price dropped at 1.79% but net asset value soared at 45.23%. Sasa % % share prices % % net asset value % % Bonjour % % share prices % % net asset value % % 16

19 Appendix *Average share prices(hk dollars) Dividend per share(hk cents) Net cash generated from operating activities (HK millions) Sasa Bonjour Sasa Bonjour Sasa Bonjour *The share prices are calculated from the average numbers of every trading day s closing prices of the whole year End