Deutsche Bank 15 th Annual Leverage Finance Conference. October 2007
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1 Deutsche Bank 15 th Annual Leverage Finance Conference October 2007
2 Forward-Looking Statements Statements in this presentation which are not statements of historical fact are forward-looking statements within the safe harbor provision of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of These forward-looking statements are based on the information available to, and the expectations and assumptions deemed reasonable by, Accuride Corporation at the time this presentation was made. Although Accuride Corporation believes that the assumptions underlying such statements are reasonable, it can give no assurance that they will be attained. Factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from expectations include the risks detailed under the caption Risk Factors in the Company s filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. We undertake no obligation to publicly update any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events, or otherwise. 2
3 Management Presenters John Murphy President & Chief Operating Officer Dave Armstrong Chief Financial Officer & General Counsel 3
4 Investment Highlights One of the largest component and solutions suppliers to the commercial vehicle market Recognized brands with #1 or #2 market positions 20 plus years of relationships with the leading OEMs Industry Fundamentals Expected to Return in 2008 and is expected to be a short-term decline in demand Demand is expected to return to 2006 peak levels by 2009 Strong Margins and Cash Flow Margins remain strong despite rising raw material prices Debt has been reduced by over $200 million since early 2005 Additional $70 million repaid in 2007 Over $100 million in free cash flow generated in
5 Company Overview
6 End Markets and Customers Heavy-Duty Truck (Class 8) 2006 Revenue by End Market Heavy Conventional Tandem-Axle Van Transit Bus Medium-Duty Truck (Class 5-7) Commercial Light Truck Other 6% Industrial 7% Trailer 7% Medium Conventional School Bus Walk-In Van Commercial Vehicle Aftermarket 19% Heavy - Duty & Medium - Duty Truck 61% Recreational Vehicle Single-Axle Van Truck Trailer Stake 2006 Revenue by Customer Other 39% Freightliner 18% Van Flat Bed Tanker Paccar 18% Light Truck (Class 3-4) Volvo/Mack 9% International 16% 6
7 Leading Brands & Market Positions Steel Wheels #1 Aluminum Wheels #2 Brake Drums #1 Disc Wheel Hubs #1 Spoke Wheels #1 Metal Grill and Crown Assemblies #1 Chrome Plating and Polishing #1 Metal Bumpers #2 Seating Assemblies #2 Fuel Tanks #2 Drums Steel Wheels Metal Grill Seating Assemblies Aluminum Wheels Disc Wheel Hubs Metal Bumper 7 Source: Management estimates
8 Strong Content per Vehicle ($ in millions) 2006 Revenue = $1, Revenue (1) % of Total $ % $ % $ % $ % $ % $ % Hood Tops and Skins Windshield Frames Sunvisors Seating Systems Chassis & Suspension Brackets Exhaust Stacks & Assemblies Brake Drums, Disc Wheel Hubs, Spoke Wheels, Rotors Grill Assemblies Steel and Aluminum Wheels Crown Assemblies Fuel Tank Straps Bumpers Fenders Fuel Tank Assemblies Fuel Tank Ends Accuride Gunite Imperial Brillion Fabco Bostrom 8 (1) Excludes intercompany sales Engine Castings Steerable Drive Axles Battery/Tool Boxes
9 Industry Demand Forecasts Real GDP Build Rate & Freight Growth Projections 5.0% % Change 4.5% 4.0% 3.5% 3.0% 2.5% 2.0% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.0% 4.4% 3.9% 3.7% 3.2% 3.3% 3.0% 3.1%3.2%3.2% 2.5% 2.0% 1.6% 0.8% Production (Units) E 2008E 2009E 2010E 2011E 3,500 3,250 3,000 2,750 2,500 US Freight (in tonmiles) Class 8 Class 5-7 Trailer U.S. Freight Tonnage Industrial Production 6.0% % Change 5.0% 4.0% 3.0% 2.0% 1.0% 0.0% 4.7% 4.5% 4.1% 3.2% 3.3% 2.5% 2.8% 2.6% 2.6% 2.0% 1.1% 0.0% The forecasted decline in demand in 2007 and 2010 related to more stringent EPA emission standards Real GDP and industrial production continue to grow -1.0% -2.0% -3.0% -4.0% -3.5% Demand returns to previous levels in 2008 and Source: ACT Research, Sept 2007 and Feb. 2007
10 Quarterly Build Rate Projections Significant decline in production levels forecasted in Q2 and Q Q decline = - 31% Q decline = - 36% (Units in thousands) Commercial Vehicle Production Production (units) Q1-06 Q2-06 Q3-06 Q4-06 Q1-07 Q2-07 Q3-07 Q4-07 Class 8 Class 5-7 Trailer 10 Source: ACT Research, Sept 2007
11 Value Creation Strategy Enhanced Shareholder Value Revenue Growth Earnings Growth Cash Flow Growth Organic Growth AccuSolutions Paccar Hood Assembly NABI Bus Chassis New Technology External Growth Targeted acquisitions to leverage current distribution channels and manufacturing competencies International expansion Operational Excellence Focus on continuous improvement to improve profitability Strategic Investments Invest in high return projects to improve automation and reduce costs Debt Reduction Disciplined management of working capital and capital expenditures 11
12 Strategic Initiative - AccuSolutions AccuSolutions Business Model Accuride Produced Parts Accuride Produced Parts New Technology Low-Cost Sourced Parts Accuride Solution Centers OEM Assembly Plant Assemblies, kitted parts, line sequenced and value-add service parts delivered JIT New Business Awards 12 NABI Bus Chassis Paccar Hood Assembly
13 M & A Growth Strategy 1. Increase value added product 2. Increase geographic footprint 3. Increase exposure to adjacent markets 13
14 2007 Management Actions London Ontario Steel Wheel Restructuring Reallocation of heavy steel wheel production to other facilities (Henderson, KY & Monterrey, Mexico) Decrease in London hourly and salary workforce No anticipated increase as production ramps up Total estimated 2007 non-cash write-off Approximately $16 million Total 2007 cash cost Approximately $4 million Anticipated annual savings Approximately $10 million Operations Highlights Recently launched new Accu-Lite wheel that will reduce the weight of our industry standard wheel by 8 lbs. Recently awarded light steel wheel contract beginning production in 2010 with a total estimated revenue of approximately $40 million 14
15 2007 Management Actions Erie Press Replacement Major press replacement project remains on schedule Significant capital investment Fully operational in the first half of 2008 Anticipated increase in efficiencies and through-put Labor Relations Five agreements in 2007 Elkhart Brillion (Steelworkers) Brillion (Machinists) Erie Rockford Four successfully concluded Rockford November
16 Financial Results
17 Strong Revenue and Earnings Growth Sales are up 9.7% Adjusted EBITDA is up 7.2% Net Income is up 24.2% Pro Forma Results as of December 31, ($ in millions, except per share data) % Change 2006 vs Net Sales $ 1,082.3 $ 1,283.6 $ 1, % 9.7% Gross Profit % of Net Sales 15.1% 16.1% 14.0% Adjusted EBITDA % 7.2% % of Net Sales 14.7% 15.8% 15.4% Net Income % 24.2% Net Income per Share $ 0.61 $ 1.71 $ % 9.9% Diluted Shares Pro forma results give effect to the acquisition of TTI and related financings as if these occurred on January 1, 2005.
18 YTD 2007 Results Sales declined by 20.9% due to new emission standards Adjusted EBITDA declined by $33.3 million but margin remained strong Net Income was impacted by $12.6 million, or $0.36 per diluted share, of special items ($ in millions, except per share data) YTD Results for the Period Ended June 30, Net Sales $ $ Gross Profit % of Net Sales 15.1% 9.2% Adjusted EBITDA % of Net Sales 15.4% 13.6% Net Income/(Loss) Net Income (Loss) per Share $ 1.11 $ 0.09 Diluted Shares
19 Strong Cash Flow Over $100 million of free cash generated in 2006 YTD Free cash flow impacted by reduction of EBITDA ($ in millions) Cash From Operating Activities Capital Expenditures Free Cash Flow % of Net Sales Working Capital % of LTM Net Sales Free Cash Flow and Working Capital 2006 $ (42.2) % % 2006 $ 46.8 (15.2) YTD % % Free cash flow expected to exceed $35 million in $ 15.0 (15.9) (0.9) NA % 19 Working capital is defined as current assets less cash minus current liabilities excluding gain contingency.
20 Significant Debt Reduction Repaid approximately $210.4 million of bank debt in 2005 and 2006 Additional $60 million paid in Q and $10 million paid in Q All amortization payments prepaid through 2011 Pro forma leverage ratio has been reduced to 2.9x in June 2007 from approximately 5.0x in December 2004 ($ in millions) x Pro Forma Total Debt and Leverage Ratio 6.0x 5.0x Total Debt x x x x x 3.0x 2.0x Leverage Ratio Dec-04 Dec-05 Dec-06 Jun-06 Jun x 20 Leverage ratio is defined as total debt less cash divided by LTM Adjusted EBITDA and may be different from calculation related to our credit agreement
21 Investment Highlights
22 Investment Highlights One of the largest component and solutions suppliers to the commercial vehicle market Recognized brands with #1 or #2 market positions 20 plus years of relationships with the leading OEMs Industry Fundamentals Expected to Return in 2008 and is expected to be a short-term decline in demand Demand is expected to return to 2006 peak levels by 2009 Strong Margins and Cash Flow Margins remain strong despite rising raw material prices Debt has been reduced by over $200 million since early 2005 Additional $70 million repaid in 2007 Over $100 million in free cash flow generated in
23
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