J.P. Morgan 2018 Global High Yield & Leveraged Finance Conference

Transcription

1 J.P. Morgan 2018 Global High Yield & Leveraged Finance Conference February 26, 2018 A D i f f e r e n t i a t e d, I n n o v a t i v e L e a d e r i n t h e S t e e l I n d u s t r y

2 Forward-Looking Statements We have made forward-looking statements in this presentation that are based on our management s beliefs and assumptions and on information available to our management at the time such statements were made and hereby are identified as forward-looking statements for purposes of the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of Forward-looking statements include information concerning our possible or assumed future results of operations, business strategies, financing plans, competitive position, potential growth opportunities, potential operating performance improvements, the effects of competition and the effects of future legislation or regulations. Forward-looking statements include all statements that are not historical facts and can be identified by the use of forward-looking terminology such as the words believe, expect, plan, intend, anticipate, estimate, predict, potential, continue, may, should or the negative of these terms or similar expressions. Forward-looking statements involve risks, uncertainties and assumptions. Actual results may differ materially from those expressed in our forward-looking statements. You should not rely on any forward-looking statements. Factors that could cause our actual results to differ materially from the results contemplated by such forward-looking statements include: reduced selling prices, shipments and profits associated with a highly competitive and cyclical industry; domestic and global steel overcapacity; U.S. government actions on NAFTA and/or other trade agreements, treaties or policies; changes in the cost of raw materials, supplies and energy; the company s significant amount of debt and other obligations; severe financial hardship or bankruptcy of one or more of the company s major customers or key suppliers; the company s significant proportion of sales to the automotive market; reduced demand in key product markets due to competition from aluminum or other alternatives to steel; excess inventory of raw materials; supply chain disruptions or poor quality of raw materials or supplies; production disruption or reduced production levels; the company s healthcare and pension obligations; not reaching new labor agreements on a timely basis; major litigation, arbitrations, environmental issues and other contingencies; regulatory compliance and changes; climate change and greenhouse gas emissions; conditions in the financial, credit, capital and banking markets; the company s use of derivative contracts to hedge commodity pricing volatility; potential permanent idling of facilities; inability to fully realize benefits of margin enhancement initiatives; information technology security threats, cybercrime and exposure of private information; failure to achieve the expected benefits of the Precision Partners acquisition and/or to integrate Precision Partners successfully; changes in tax laws and regulations. The risk factors discussed in this presentation and under Item 1A. Risk Factors in AK Holding s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2017 and under similar headings in AK Holding s subsequently filed quarterly reports on Form 10-Q, as well as the other risks that could cause our results to differ materially from those expressed in forward-looking statements. There may be other risks and uncertainties that we are unable to predict at this time or that we currently do not expect to have a material adverse effect on our business. We expressly disclaim any obligation to update our forward-looking statements other than as required by law. Non-GAAP Financial Measures: Included in this presentation are certain non-gaap financial measures designed to complement the financial information presented in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles in the United States of America because management believes such measures are useful to investors. These non-gaap financial measures include EBITDA, Adjusted EBITDA, Adjusted EBITDA Margin, Adjusted Net Income (Loss), and Adjusted Earnings Per Share. Because our calculations of these measures may differ from similar measures used by other companies, you should be careful when comparing our non-gaap financial measures to those of other companies. A reconciliation of non-gaap financial measures to GAAP financial measures is included in the Appendix to this presentation. S A F E T Y Q U A L I T Y P R O D U C T I V I T Y I N N O V A T I O N February

3 Introduction S A F E T Y Q U A L I T Y P R O D U C T I V I T Y I N N O V A T I O N February 2018

4 Safety Highlights: 2017 Five facilities achieved ZERO OSHA recordables for 4Q 2017 OSHA Recordable Frequency Three facilities achieved ZERO OSHA recordables for the year 2017 Continue to lead the industry by a wide margin AISI AK Steel OSHA Recordable Frequency is number of injuries per 200,000 employee hours Notes: Based upon most current American Iron and Steel Institute (AISI) data available through 3Q AK Steel data is through 12/31/17; 2015 and forward includes Dearborn Works. S A F E T Y Q U A L I T Y P R O D U C T I V I T Y I N N O V A T I O N February

5 Steel: The Automotive Solution Existing products for virtually all applications New product developments for lightweighting Right product mix Long-term view / strategic approach Platform Mix Product Mix Hot Rolled SUV/CUV/Light Trucks Cars Cold Rolled Coated/Press Hardenable Steel Note: For the year ended December 31, S A F E T Y Q U A L I T Y P R O D U C T I V I T Y I N N O V A T I O N February

6 Stainless Steel: Specialty Expertise in Auto and Beyond Chrome (400 series) Leader in U.S. auto exhaust market New grades Automotive OEM relationships Brite Anneal trim for auto market Superferritic Precipitation hardening alloys S A F E T Y Q U A L I T Y P R O D U C T I V I T Y I N N O V A T I O N February

7 Electrical Steel High-efficiency GOES among the best in the world Solid relationships with U.S. transformer manufacturers International sales team Hybrid/Electric Vehicles motors (high-efficiency NOES) Innovation focus on higher-efficiency products in all markets S A F E T Y Q U A L I T Y P R O D U C T I V I T Y I N N O V A T I O N February

8 Downstream Expansion Offers Higher Margin Growth Opportunity Creates a premier integrated supplier to the automotive market Enhances our product offerings Leverages research and innovation capabilities Enhances our position in the value chain Accelerates introduction of lightweighting solutions Robust pipeline of downstream opportunities Transforming AK Steel into an innovative steel solutions provider S A F E T Y Q U A L I T Y P R O D U C T I V I T Y I N N O V A T I O N February

9 A Changing Company S A F E T Y Q U A L I T Y P R O D U C T I V I T Y I N N O V A T I O N February 2018

10 A Changing AK Steel Strategic Plan Phase I implemented successfully Elevating our sustainable margin threshold Return on cost of capital is objective Lowered risk profile of business model Not a commodity or momentum play Transitioning towards a solutions provider Innovative material solutions More value-added products Investing in downstream assets S A F E T Y Q U A L I T Y P R O D U C T I V I T Y I N N O V A T I O N February

11 Phase I Successfully Implemented Footprint Optimized Temporarily idled Ashland hot end Operating Dearborn, Middletown and Butler melt shops at higher rates Margins Enhanced Reduced commodity grade steel shipments Profitably grow automotive share Process improvements and cost reductions Product Portfolio Enhanced $35 million investment in coating line at Dearborn to produce Next Generation AHSS Introduction of Next Generation AHSS products Innovation in tubing production from AHSS R&I Investments Yielding Results $36 million Research & Innovation Center Increased Research team by ~30% Numerous innovative products in pipeline S A F E T Y Q U A L I T Y P R O D U C T I V I T Y I N N O V A T I O N February

12 A Changing AK Steel Strategic Plan Phase I implemented successfully Elevating our sustainable margin threshold Return on cost of capital is objective Lowered risk profile of business model Not a commodity or momentum play Transitioning towards a solutions provider Innovative material solutions More value-added products Investing in downstream assets S A F E T Y Q U A L I T Y P R O D U C T I V I T Y I N N O V A T I O N February

13 High-Value Flat-Rolled Product Mix Stainless/ Electrical 12% Hot-rolled 18% Other 5% Coated 47% Stainless/ Electrical 15% Hot-rolled 13% Other 2% Coated 53% Cold-rolled 18% Note: Based upon tons shipped Cold-rolled 17% S A F E T Y Q U A L I T Y P R O D U C T I V I T Y I N N O V A T I O N February

14 ... With More Predictable Pricing Customer Contract Structure Spot Market ~10% Steel Index Based Contracts Spot Market ~19% Steel Index Based Contracts ~19% Fixed Base Price Contracts ~62% Fixed Base Price Contracts ~70% Steel Index Based Contracts ~20% Monthly Lag ~2/3 Quarterly Lag ~1/3 Note: Based upon tons shipped S A F E T Y Q U A L I T Y P R O D U C T I V I T Y I N N O V A T I O N February

15 Reduced Volatility of Input Costs 40% 60% 62% 38% Note: Based upon 2018 estimated costs Cost of Goods - Other Hedge Non-hedged S A F E T Y Q U A L I T Y P R O D U C T I V I T Y I N N O V A T I O N February

16 A Solution Provider S A F E T Y Q U A L I T Y P R O D U C T I V I T Y I N N O V A T I O N February 2018

17 Precision Partners: Growth Platform Serving Our Core Market Creates a premier integrated supplier to the automotive market Enhances our product offerings Leverages both AK Steel s and Precision Partners research and innovation capabilities Accelerates introduction of lightweighting solutions Combines AK Steel s advanced materials expertise with Precision Partners leading advanced product design engineered solutions, tool design and build, hot- and coldstamping capabilities and complex assemblies End-to-end solutions further strengthen our close collaboration with our automotive OEM customers and their Tier 1 suppliers Accelerates the materials and metals-forming development and innovation efforts in the high-growth automotive lightweighting space Advanced High Strength Steels and innovation in fastgrowing hot-stamping market S A F E T Y Q U A L I T Y P R O D U C T I V I T Y I N N O V A T I O N February

18 Precision Partners: Lightweighting Solution Provider Lightweight Solutions Components produced from using specialized hot stamp production process Components produced from ultra-high strength materials using a cold stamped process Components produced from aluminum using a cold stamped process Vehicle Architecture Frame rails, x-members, spring shackle brackets, shock towers, cab mounts, bumper brackets, reinforcing beams Oil pans, floor pans Roof pillars, A-B-C pillars, roof beams, troughs, dash reinforcements, seat mounting brackets Bumpers, step rails S A F E T Y Q U A L I T Y P R O D U C T I V I T Y I N N O V A T I O N February

19 Press Hardenable Steel (PHS) Development Strategic Goals Next Generation PHS for lightweighting Higher toughness in crash events Higher residual ductility for energy absorption High Residual Ductility Ultimate Tensile Strength (UTS) 1, MPa Total elongation 12% Tailored properties for application Patents pending 2 GPa Ultra High Strength PHS UTS 2,000 MPa (2 GPa) Total elongation ~7-8% Patents pending S A F E T Y Q U A L I T Y P R O D U C T I V I T Y I N N O V A T I O N February

20 Precision Partners: Collaborative Efforts Yielding Results Collaborative efforts are already yielding results Strong new order pipeline Operational improvements are progressing Sales Opportunities 2018E 2019E 2020E 2021E 2022E Press Efficiency Utilization Levels 100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 51% 67% 92% 100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 45% 75% 25% 90% E 0% 2Q Q Q % Hot-Stamping Cells 3,000 Ton Press S A F E T Y Q U A L I T Y P R O D U C T I V I T Y I N N O V A T I O N February

21 Growth Through Innovation April 7, 2017: Opened 135,000 sq. ft. Research and Innovation Center in Middletown, Ohio Differentiating AK Steel as a leader in innovation S A F E T Y Q U A L I T Y P R O D U C T I V I T Y I N N O V A T I O N February

22 Innovative Automotive Lightweighting Solutions NanoSteel NXG 1200 NITRONIC 30 NEXMET 440EX NEXMET 1000 / 1200 Developmental PHS Automotive Aluminum S A F E T Y Q U A L I T Y P R O D U C T I V I T Y I N N O V A T I O N February

23 Innovative Steel Solutions ULTRALUME Press Hardenable Steel NEXMET Family of Products 440EX 1000 / 1200 NanoSteel Third-Gen AHSS Electrical Steels and DOE Collaboration S A F E T Y Q U A L I T Y P R O D U C T I V I T Y I N N O V A T I O N February

24 Financial Update S A F E T Y Q U A L I T Y P R O D U C T I V I T Y I N N O V A T I O N February 2018

25 Balance Sheet and Cash Flow Highlights Maintain focus on strengthening balance sheet Declining Pension / OPEB Liabilities Working capital was a small source of cash in 2017 Roughly one-third of capital investments in 2018 targeted for margin improvement Legacy liabilities decreased ~$350 million since 2014 ($ Millions) $1,500 $1,000 $500 $1,281 $1,225 $1,135 $934 $ Targeted Capital Investments Manageable Pension Contributions ($ Millions) ($ Millions) $200 $150 $100 $50 $0 $153 $160 $128 $81 $ E $250 $200 $150 $100 $50 $0 $197 $44 $51 $24 $35 $0 $ E 2019E 2020E S A F E T Y Q U A L I T Y P R O D U C T I V I T Y I N N O V A T I O N February

26 Significantly Improved Debt Profile ($ Millions) December 31, 2015 December 31, 2017 $700 Total Debt: $2.4 billion $380 $150 $537 $7 $406 $150 $406 $450 Total Debt: $2.2 billion $380 $400 $550 $530 $290 $280 $150 $62 $30 $7 $62 $ Credit Facility Senior Notes Senior Secured Notes Industrial Revenue Bonds Note: Excludes capital lease for Research and Innovation Center and unamortized debt discount and issuance costs S A F E T Y Q U A L I T Y P R O D U C T I V I T Y I N N O V A T I O N February

27 Longer-Term Target Metrics Average EBITDA Margin through a Business Cycle >8% Debt-to-EBITDA <4.0x Economic Profit: Return on Invested Capital >10.5% EBITDA Contributions from Downstream Business >30% S A F E T Y Q U A L I T Y P R O D U C T I V I T Y I N N O V A T I O N February

28 Investment Highlights Meaningful Progress Achieved Enhance Core Business Expand Growth Platform and Drive Innovation Optimized footprint and production capabilities De-risked the business model Improvements to capital structure Investment in research and innovation is yielding results On-going cost and process improvements Focus on value proposition for customers Capitalize on Precision Partners / AK Tube collaborative projects Develop and expand next generation AHSS steels Continue to evaluate downstream opportunities Creating a differentiated, innovative leader in the steel industry S A F E T Y Q U A L I T Y P R O D U C T I V I T Y I N N O V A T I O N February

29 S A F E T Y Q U A L I T Y P R O D U C T I V I T Y I N N O V A T I O N February 2018

30 Appendix S A F E T Y Q U A L I T Y P R O D U C T I V I T Y I N N O V A T I O N February 2018

31 Investor Contact S A F E T Y Q U A L I T Y P R O D U C T I V I T Y I N N O V A T I O N February

32 Non-GAAP Financial Measures Reconciliation of Adjusted Net Income Qtr ended Qtr ended Qtr ended Qtr ended ($ Millions) /31/ /30/ /30/ /31/ Reconciliation to Net Income (Loss) Attributable to AK Steel Holding Corporation Net income (loss) attributable to AK Steel Holding Corporation, as reported ($46.8) ($96.9) ($509.0) ($7.8) $62.5 $61.2 ($5.8) ($111.7) $6.2 Pension and OPEB net corridor and settlement charges Charges (credit) for termination of pellet agreement and related transportation costs 69.5 (19.3) (19.3) Impairment of Magnetation investment Impairment of AFSG investment 41.6 Charge for facility idling 28.1 Asset impairment charge Non-cash charge for U.S. tax legislation Acquisition-related expenses for Dearborn Works (net of tax) 31.7 Adjusted net income (loss) attributable to AK Steel Holding ($46.8) ($59.7) ($51.8) $129.8 $62.5 $61.2 ($5.8) ($23.3) $94.6 Reconciliation to Diluted Earnings (Losses) per Share Diluted earnings (loss) per share, as reported ($0.34) ($0.65) ($2.86) ($0.03) $0.19 $0.19 ($0.02) ($0.36) $0.02 Pension and OPEB net corridor charge/settlement loss Charges (credit) for termination of pellet agreement and related transportation costs 0.30 (0.06) (0.06) Impairment of Magnetation investment 1.44 Impairment of AFSG investment 0.23 Charge for facility idling 0.16 Asset impairment charge Non-cash charge for U.S. tax legislation Acquisition-related expenses for Dearborn Works 0.21 Adjusted diluted earnings (loss) per share ($0.34) ($0.40) ($0.29) $0.56 $0.19 $0.19 ($0.02) ($0.08) $0.30 Flat-rolled Shipments 5, , , , , , , , ,596.2 Flat-rolled Average Selling Price $1,014 $1,021 $929 $955 $1,005 $1,040 $1,021 $1,024 $1,022 S A F E T Y Q U A L I T Y P R O D U C T I V I T Y I N N O V A T I O N February

33 Non-GAAP Financial Measures Reconciliation of Adjusted EBITDA Qtr ended Qtr ended Qtr ended Qtr ended ($ Millions) /31/ /30/ /30/ /31/ Net income (loss) attributable to AK Steel Holding ($46.8) ($96.9) ($509.0) ($7.8) $62.5 $61.2 ($5.8) ($111.7) $6.2 Net income (loss) attributable to NCI Income tax expense (benefit) (10.4) (13.4) (8.7) (18.8) 23.9 (17.0) Interest expense Interest income (1.1) (0.7) (1.3) (1.6) (0.4) (0.4) (0.5) (0.1) (1.4) Depreciation and amortization EBITDA $333.3 $328.6 $13.3 $445.1 $163.2 $161.6 $90.3 $22.7 $437.8 Less: EBITDA of NCI (a) Pension and OPEB net corridor charges / settlement loss Charges (credit) for termination of pellet agreement and related transportation costs 69.5 (19.3) (19.3) Impairment of Magnetation investment Impairment of AFSG investment 41.6 Charge for facility idling 28.1 Asset impairment charge Acquisition-related expenses 23.3 Adjusted EBITDA $255.0 $280.2 $393.4 $501.9 $142.9 $142.0 $69.2 $62.3 $416.4 Adjusted EBITDA margin 4.6% 4.3% 5.9% 8.5% 9.3% 9.1% 4.6% 4.2% 6.8% (a) The reconciliation of EBITDA of noncontrolling interest to net income attributable to noncontrolling interests is as follows: Net income (loss) attributable to noncontrolling interests $64.2 $62.8 $62.8 $66.0 $16.2 $15.2 $17.1 $12.9 $61.4 Depreciation EBITDA of noncontrolling interests $78.3 $77.2 $77.1 $80.8 $20.3 $19.6 $21.1 $16.7 $77.7 S A F E T Y Q U A L I T Y P R O D U C T I V I T Y I N N O V A T I O N February