Raspadskaya Russia s Leader in Coking Coal
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1 Raspadskaya Russia s Leader in Coking Coal Presentation for investors 29 th October 2008
2 Disclaimer This presentation does not constitute or form part of, and should not be construed as, an offer to sell or issue or the solicitation of an offer to buy or acquire securities of the Company or any of its subsidiaries in any jurisdiction or an inducement to enter into investment activity in any jurisdiction. Neither this presentation nor any part thereof, nor the fact of its distribution, shall form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract or commitment or investment decision whatsoever. The information contained in this presentation has not been independently verified. The information in this presentation is subject to verification, completion and change without notice and neither the Company is under any obligation to update or keep current the information contained herein. Accordingly, no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made or given by or on behalf of the Company or any of its respective members, directors, officers or employees nor any other person accepts any liability whatsoever (in negligence or otherwise) for any loss howsoever arising from any use of this presentation or its contents or otherwise arising in connection therewith. This presentation and the information contained herein does not constitute and should not be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy securities in the United States as defined in Regulation S under the US Securities Act of 1933 (the "Securities Act"). Any securities of the Company may not be offered or sold in the United States absent registration or an exemption from registration under the Securities Act. The Company has not registered and does not intend to register any portion of the Offering in the United States or to conduct a public offering of securities in the United States. This presentation does not constitute a public offering or an advertisement of securities in the Russian Federation and does not constitute an offer or a proposal to make offers or to acquire any securities in the Russian Federation. This presentation contains "forward-looking statements" which include all statements other than statements of historical fact. Such forward-looking statements can often be identified by words such as "plans," "expects," "intends," "estimates," "will," "may," "continue," "should" and similar expressions. Such forward-looking statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other important factors beyond the Company s control that could cause the actual results, performance or achievements of the Company to be materially different from future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such forwardlooking statements. Such forward-looking statements are based on numerous assumptions regarding the Company s present and future business strategies and the environment in which the Company will operate in the future. By their nature, forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties because they relate to events and depend on circumstances that may or may not occur in the future. These forward-looking statements speak only as at the date as of which they are made, and none of the Company or any of its respective agents, employees or advisors intends or has any duty or obligation to supplement, amend, update or revise any of the forward-looking statements contained herein to reflect any change in the Company s expectations with regard thereto or any change in events, conditions or circumstances on which any such statements are based. The information and opinions contained in this presentation are provided as at the date of this presentation and are subject to change without notice. 1
3 Last Events and News in October 2008 Financial and industrial situation Government s decisions and support of industries Demand and supply in coal, coke and steel Price environment and expectations for domestic and export sales Next steps and timing 2
4 Raspadskaya Key Investment Highlights Russian leading coking coal producer Largest high quality coking coal reserves in Russia One of the largest producer of coking coal in Russia (13.6 mt in 2007 and 8,0 mt in 9m 2008) Top-five producer of coking coal in the world in 2007 Efficiency Relative low cash cost of coal concentrate production in comparison with main coal companies in the world Labor productivity are on par with global peers Compact integrated operating complex employing modern highly-productive equipment Professional management Optimal and highly efficient production Continued focus on safety procedures Experienced management proved by efficient operation track record Strong financial performance EBITDA up from $200m in 2007 to $434m in 1H 2008 EBITDA margin up from 63% in 2007 to 72% in 1H 2008 Net profit up from $240m in 2007 to $262m in 1H 2008 Net profit margin up from 31% in 2007 to 43% in 1H 2008 Growth potential Potential production volume is 17mt of coking coal Growth of market share in Ukraine and Eastern Europe Possibility of access to rapidly growing Asian markets Potential to increase reserves and resources Sound financial policies Effective Net Debt / EBITDA of 0,4x in 1H 2008 while maximum allowable Net Debt / EBITDA is 3x Dividend payout ratio not less than 25% of IFRS Net profit, dividend payout for %. Interim dividend in 2008 will account about 70% of 1H 2008 IFRS Net profit 3
5 Transparent Ownership Structure and Strategic Relations with Evraz Adroliv Investments Ltd. (1) (Cyprus) 50% (3) Corber Enterprises Ltd. (Cyprus) Source: Raspadskaya OAO Raspadskaya (Russia) Mastercroft Mining Ltd. (2) (Cyprus) 50% (3) Free Float (4) 80% 20% Notes: (1) Adroliv Investments Ltd. is beneficially owned by G. Kozovoy and A. Vagin (2) Mastercroft Mining Ltd. is beneficially owed by Evraz Group S.A. (3) % of voting shares (4) Include 18% placed during IPO in Nov and 2% owned by employees, former employees and their families Shareholders agreement at ownership company Corber provides for the following: Unanimous adoption of resolutions on major strategic issues Adroliv appoints CEO and deputy CEO Corporate governance executed in accordance to western best practice standards Long-term partnership with Evraz Transactions effected at arm s length basis Long-term 5-year supply contract for the period of for Russian plants and supply to new plants in Ukraine from 1Q 2008 Evraz Group accounted for 16.3% in 2007 and 20% in 1H 2008 of Raspadskaya s total sales volumes Raspadskaya accounted for 18.5% in 2007 and 15% in 1H 2008 of total coal concentrate supplies to Evraz Group in 2007 and for 32% (2007) and 33% (9m 2008) of by the Urals plant NTMK, for 29% (2007) and 22% (9m 2008) of by the Siberian plant NKMK) 4
6 Leading Producer of Coking Coal Leading coking coal producer in Russia and among top five globally by volume in 2007 Largest Russian companies producing coking coal (2007 and 9m 2008) Raspadskaya Sibuglemet (1 Yuzhny Kuzbass (2 Yakutugol (3 YuKU (4 Vorkuta KRU (5 KuzbassUgol SUEK ProkopevskUgol Belon Other 5,3 5,0 4,1 2,8 2,4 2,7 2,0 2,3 2,0 1,3 2,3 3,6 5,8 6,6 7,0 6,6 6,7 6,4 6,2 8,0 8,0 8,7 8, m2008 Mln tonnes of raw coal 13,6 Notes: (1) As a part of Mechel (2) As a state company with 25% of Mechel in 2007 and a part of Mechel in 1H 2008 (3) As a part of Evraz (4) As a part of Severstal (5) As a part of Severstal in 2007 and as a part of ArcelorMittal in 1H 2008 Largest companies producing coking coal concentrate globally (2007) Mln tonnes of concentrate BMA Elk Valley Coal Xstrata (1) Anglo American Raspadskaya (2) Peabody (3) Alpha NR (4) Massey Energy Rio Tinto (5) Walter Industries (6) 13,2 11,3 10,2 22,6 52,0 9,5 Notes: (1) Attributable production 9,2 (2) All salable output restated in tonnes of coal concentrate at 75.6% yield 8,5 (3) Estimated at 4% of total mining sales (4) Estimated at 38% of produced and processed coal 8,2 (5) Attributable production. 6.2mt of HCC plus Other met coal estimated (6) Depending on concentrate ratio one of top tier Russian 5,9 companies or NWR (Czech Republic) can be at this level Source: CDU TEK form UDP-3.10 Source: Companies data 5
7 High-quality Reserves and Strong Production Favourable mining and geological conditions: forceful continuous seams (1.5 to 5 m) with flat dip <10 o allows for use of productive equipment allowing for efficient mining Coal output CAGR at Raspadskaya in was 13.1% in comparison with Russia s CAGR of just 2.2% Raspadskaya s share of total coking coal output in Russia has grown from 10% in 2001 to 19% in % in 2006, 19% in 2007, 14,5% in 9m 2008) ,8 63,1 69,1 75,1 69,9 70,3 72,9 73,6 13, Raspadskaya (mt) ,7 7,7 9,6 10,6 9,7 10,6 11,7 6,6-5, Production in Russia (mt) F 0 Mining Raspadskaya (actual) Mining Raspadskaya (forecast 2H 2008 on 23 Sept 2008) Coal production in Russia Source: Rosinformugol, Raspadskaya 6
8 Modern Preparation Plant Drives Growth of Sales and Profitability Built in 2 years, launched in 4Q 2005 The biggest preparation plant in Russia and one of the biggest globally Current project capacity at 7.5 mtpa of raw coal which allowed to process 10.3mt of raw coal in 2007 potential to expand project capacity to 15mtpa of raw coal after the launch of Stage 2 in 3Q 08 Weighted average coal preparation costs of concentrate decreased from $7.9/t in 2005 to $2.6/t in 1H 2008 The share of coal prepared by third parties decreased from 14% in 2007 to 1% in 1H 2008 Increased share of coal concentrate in total sales New environmentally friendly technology implemented: closed-loop water-slurry circuit Russian preparation facilities by plants (9m 2008) Preparation Costs PP Raspadskaya PP Nerungrinskaya PP Sibir PP Pechorskaya PP Kuznetskaya PP Belovskaya PP Antonovskaya PP ZSMK PP Berezovskaya PP Koksovaya 4,6 4,8 4,5 4,8 4,2 4,0 5,0 3,5 4,1 3,5 3,2 2,7 2,0 1,6 6,0 5,9 8,0 7,1 7, m08 10,3 Mln tonnes of raw coal US$ / ton of concentrate produced 2.0 Raspadskaya PP H 2008 Weighted Average Cost: $ Other PP Preparation cost (Raspadskaya PP) Weighted Average Cost: $2.6 2,6 Raspadskaya PP Other PP Preparation cost (Other PP) Transportation cost Source: Rasmin Source: Raspadskaya 7
9 Marketing strategy towards long-term and mid-term supply contracts with the key customers Raspadskaya adds 5 new clients in 1H Ukrainian plants of Evraz, an Ukrainian plant of ArcelorMittal Kryvyi Rig and a Russian plant of Ural Steel Russia accounts for 70 to 80% of Raspadskaya s total sales by volume (80% in 2006, 74% in 2007, 73% in 1H 2008) because of convenient railway infrastructure, preserving quality of products, positive market dynamics ensuring good prices for end products, long-term historical relationships with key customers Strong, Long-Standing Relations and Diversified Customer Base 6 major Russian steel and coking chemical plants controlled by MMK, Evraz Group (2) and NLMK (3) accounted together for 53% of our sales by volume in 2007 and 56.5% in 1H 2008 Raspadskaya s market position in Ukraine is historically strong and Ukraine is considered to be the most important export market (4) Sales for ArcelorMittal was accounted 6.8% of total sales in 2007 (for Romanian plant) and 6.7% in 1H 2008 (for Romanian and Ukrainian plants) UKRAINE Н Н Н Н2008 Steel Production Volume, mn tonnes 12,4 13,2 7,0 14,4 14,1 7,3 9,1 9,0 4,8 40,9 42,8 22,3 Raspadskaya Sales, mn tonnes 2,13 2,18 1,02 1,32 1,65 0,61 1,00 1,50 0,76 1,17 1,47 0,95 as a % of Total 27% 21% 24% 17% 16% 15% 13% 15% 18% 15% 14% 22% Share of RASP in overall consumption of concentrate / in Russian exports to Ukraine 30% 30% 26% 13% 19% 13% 10% 15% 14% 18% 23% 29% Notes: 1) Rounded and calculated for the coal concentrate, raw coal sales restated into concentrate 2) Sales to Evraz Group in 2006, 2007 include supplies to NTMK, ZapSib and NKMK, in 1H 2008 to NTMK and NKMK 3) Sales to NLMK in 2006, 2007 and 1H 2008 include also supplies to Altai-Koks 4) Sales to Ukraine in don t include Evraz and ArselorMittal assets in Ukraine Source: Raspadskaya, Companies data, Rasmin, Metal-Courier 8
10 Structure of Raspadskaya Export Significantly more diversified export sales since 2007 Sales to Ukraine to the following clients: Alchevski, Avdeevski and Yasinovski coke-chemical plants, Zaporozhkoks, Makeevkoks Structure of concentrate export sales by geography (2007) Hungary 9.4% Japan 5.5% Bulgaria Other (1) 3.1% 3.7% Structure of concentrate export sales by geography (1Н 2008) Romania 8% Hungary 9% Bulgaria 1% Ukraine - Evraz 20% Ukraine 53.2% Romania 25.1% Ukraine - Other 38% Ukraine - ArcelorMittal 24% Source: Raspadskaya Notes: (1) Other sales are attributable to Slovakia, Korea and China which account for 1.6%, 1.1% and 1.0% of total export sales Sales to Ukraine amount 82% 9
11 Dynamics of Coking Coal Prices Increase in international steel prices has positively impacted Russian export and domestic steel prices Steel spot prices in February- August have put the risk of 2008 on upside and provided support to stronger coal prices Russian coal prices while supported by rising prices of global seaborne export remain primarily a function of domestic supply/demand balance which points at a continued supply tightness in the short- to mid-term $/т Source: Raspadskaya Coking Coal Price Performance Raspadskaya (FCA) vv ,3 1П05 2П05 1П06 2П06 1П07 2П07 1П08 9M08 Weighted Average Domestic Concentrate Price Weighted Average Export Concentrate Price Weighted Average Domestic Raw Coal Price 156,4 80,3 Contract prices of SHCC in Russia were ca. US$150 per tonne (FCA Mezhdurechensk, Siberia) in 1H 2008, from 1st July 2008 at RUB or US$230 per tonne (FCA Mezhdurechensk, Siberia), from 1st September RUB or US$210 per tonne (FCA Mezhdurechensk, Siberia) Weighted average contract prices of SHCC for all sales were ca. US$171 per tonne (FCA Mezhdurechensk, Siberia) for 9m
12 Financial Statements Key Highlights П П 2008 Revenue Growth, % 66% n/a 79% EBITDA Margin, % 63% 59% 72% EBIT Margin, % 45% 41% 61% Net Income Margin, % 31% 27% 43% Balance sheet Total assets Total debt Net debt Shareholders equity High financial performance achieved in 1H 2008 as a result of price growth for coal concentrate by 117% in comparison with 1H
13 Revenue and Cost Structure Revenue structure, by products $ 607 mln $ mln Sale of goods structure, by geography (raw coal and concentrate) 1H H 2008 $ 338 mln Export 30% Export 26% 279 1Н2007 1Н2008 Coal Concentrate Coal Other Russia 70% Note: Excluding railway tariff Russia 74% Cost dynamics Cost of sales structure (1H 2008) $ mln 49% 31% Taxes 6% Electricity 5% Other services and costs 7% Materials 17% 1П П 2008 COGS % of Revenues Source: Raspadskaya Payroll tax 6% Source: Raspadskaya Payroll 20% Depreciation, amortisation and depletion 38% 12
14 Cost of sales and cost of production Cost of sales increased by 15% Cash cost of production increased by 26% Cash cost of preparation decreased by 14% Cost of production 6m2008 Other services and costs Preparation services from third parties Change in cost of production Electricity +1 Payroll taxes +3 Change in cost of sales Mineral extraction tax and taxes in production costs +2 Materials +7 Cost of sales 6m Payroll +8 Cash cost of production +24 Depreciation, depletion and amortization Cost of production 6m $mln Change in finished goods Cost of other resold goods Railway tariff Cost of sales 6m $mln The increase in our total cash cost of raw coal production and the decrease in production volume as well as the US dollar depreciation had an effect on increase in production costs per tonne of concentrate from 17,2 $/t in 1H 2007 to 26,4$/t in 1H
15 Financial Guidance, Policies and Results Dividend yield Financial Results Financial Guidance Company s internal financial guidance is as follows: Net Debt/EBITDA of 1.5x (on a standalone basis) Board of Directors approved target dividend payout ratio of at least 25% of IFRS net income, subject to future cash flows and investments Maintain bank facilities or cash balance to cover working capital needs Total dividend payments for amounted to US$218m Dividend payout ratio amounted 58% of IFRS Net profit for 2006 and 68% - for 2007 The Board of Directors on 18 th September 2008 decided to recommend an improvement of interim dividends for 2008 as 6.0 RUB per share, which will amount about $187m or 71% of IFRS Net profit in 1H 2008 Net debt as of 30 Jun 2008 is $171m compared with $265m as of 31 Dec 2007 RUB/Share 6,00 5,00 4,00 3,00 2,00 1,00 0,00 3,9% 1,94 5,00 3,1% Dividend per share Market price on MICEX: ,05 RUB ,06 RUB Source: MICEX, Raspadskaya Dividend yield In 2008 pricing environment remains exceptionally strong providing Raspadskaya with a significant advantage in an operationally leveraged business As downside risk, Raspadskaya recognizes its exposure to volatile coking coal prices and intends to pursue a conservative financial policy to compensate for price volatility 14
16 Loans and Borrowings 6 months US$ mn per cent notes due Russian banks BSGV 1 3 Interest payable 2 3 Unamortised debt issue costs (2) (2) Total Debt The main debt of Raspadskaya is Eurobonds $300m. The date of issue - May 2007, fixed coupon per cent per annum Other debts credits from Russian banks for finsncing investments In 2007 average annual interest rate for short-term debt was 7.6% in terms and 8.7% in $ terms. Average interest rate for long-term debt was 8.0% in RUR terms, 7.5% in $ terms and 6.7% in terms 6 months 6 months US$ mn Less than one year Roubles, mn Between one year and two years 3 10 US dollars, mn Between two years and five years Euro, mn 1 9 Unamortised debt issue costs (2) (2) Unamortised debt issue costs, US$ mn (2) (2) Total Debt Total Debt
17 Investments CAPEX (50) (100) (150) (50) (100) $ mln (50) (46) (52) (71) (84) F DD&A (excl. Mineral reserve) CAPEX (actual) CAPEX (forecast 2H 2008) The Company is reviewing its mid-term business development program which is formed based on licenses, geological conditions, exploration and production works, balance between underground/surface operations and SHCC/HCC grades, production potential and market conditions 323 (1) Total 2008 capex programme amounts to US$323m, of which: Ca. 55% will be allocated for technical modernization at Raspadskaya Mine Purchase of highly productive mechanized mining complexes DBT (currently named BUCYRUS), JOY, MKT-7 Expected benefits include minimization of mining waste, decrease in capital maintenance, increased productivity Ca. 25% will be allocated for mine under construction (Raspadskaya Koksovaya, having hardcoking coal reserves) Ca. 4% will be allocated for Raspadskaya Preparation Plant (Stage 2 of Ppeparation Plant launched in 3Q 08 with additional project 3.5mtpa of raw coal) Main investment expenditures in 1H 2008 were amounted to $151m associated with the core mine (Raspadskaya) $82m, mine MUK-96 - $82m, open-mine Raspadsky $15m and under construction (Raspadskaya Koksovaya) $27m Notes (1) RUR / USD exchange rate of 24.5 Source: Raspadskaya 16
18 Strategy of the Leading Russian Coking Coal Producer Increase scale Grow production volumes for semi-hard and hard coking coal grades Grow reserves through new licenses and resource reclassification Selective bolt-on acquisitions in accordance to mining conditions and further business growth potential criteria Strengthen market position Secure long and mid-term contracts with existing and prospective customers Continue to be a supplier of choice in Russia through reliability and product consistency Increase market share in Ukraine and Eastern Europe, enter Asian markets Use comfortable market situation and price environment during nearest years Maintain financial discipline Maintain cost efficiency Focus on high rate of return projects Adhere to prudent capital structure Consistently pay dividends to shareholders Corporate governance and social responsibility Maintain strong corporate governance standards Continue to pursue the policy of transparent disclosure of material information Policies of building long-term investor relations with existing and potential shareholders Recruit and train highly qualified staff Keep focus on sustainability (health, safety and environment) 17
19 Contacts Investor Relations Contacts Tel: +7 (499)
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