Overview & Strategy. Don Lindsay President & CEO

Transcription

1 Overview & Strategy Don Lindsay President & CEO

2 Forward Looking Information Both these slides and the accompanying oral presentation contain certain forward-looking statements within the meaning of the United States Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 and forward-looking information within the meaning of the Securities Act (Ontario). Forwardlooking statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors which may cause the actual results, performance or achievements of Teck to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by the forwardlooking statements. These forward-looking statements include statements relating to management s expectations with respect to global market, demand and production trends, our future production and expansion targets, mine life and our strategy. These forward-looking statements involve numerous assumptions, risks and uncertainties and actual results may vary materially. These statements are based on a number of assumptions, including, but not limited to, assumptions regarding general business and economic conditions, interest rates, the supply and demand for, inventories of, and the level and volatility of prices of our products, the timing of receipt of regulatory and governmental approvals for Teck s expansions, Teck s costs of production and production and productivity levels, as well as those of its competitors, market competition, the accuracy of Teck s reserve and resources estimates and the geological, operational and price assumptions on which these are based, tax benefits, the resolution of environmental and other proceedings, our ongoing relations with our employees and partners and joint venturers, performance by customers and counterparties of their contractual obligations, and the future operational and financial performance of the company generally. Events or circumstances could cause actual results to differ materially. Factors that may cause actual results to vary include, but are not limited to: unanticipated developments in business and economic conditions in the principal markets for Teck s products or in the supply, demand, and prices for metals and other commodities to be produced, changes in interest or currency exchange rates, inaccurate geological assumptions (including with respect to the size, grade and recoverability of reserves and resources), legal disputes or unanticipated outcomes of legal proceedings, unanticipated operational difficulties (including failure of plant, equipment or processes to operate in accordance with specifications or expectations, cost escalation, unavailability of materials and equipment, government action or delays in the receipt of permits or government approvals, industrial disturbances or other job action, and unanticipated events related to health, safety and environmental matters), decisions made by our partners or co-venturers, social unrest, failure of suppliers to meet their contractual commitments and changes in general economic conditions or conditions in the financial markets. Certain of these risks are described in more detail in Teck s annual information form available at and in public filings with the SEC. Teck does not assume the obligation to revise or update these forward-looking statements after the date of this document or to revise them to reflect the occurrence of future unanticipated events, except as may be required under applicable securities laws. 2

3 Management Changes & Updates Ian Kilgour Executive Vice President & Chief Operating Officer Andrew Golding Senior Vice President, Corporate Development Ron Vance Senior Vice President, Corporate Development (Retiring February 2014) 3

4 Management Changes & Updates Dale Andres Senior Vice President, Copper Mark Edwards Vice President, Community & Government Relations Dean Winsor Vice President Human Resources 4

5 Diversified, Low Risk, Long Life Portfolio Focused on the Americas Steelmaking Coal World s 2 nd largest seaborne met coal producer Six open-pit operations >25 year mine life >100 year resources Potential Quintette production Zinc: Red Red Dog Dog (100%) (100%) Large scale, low cost zinc production ~20 year+ mine life, with potential to increase further Energy: Oil Sands Fort Hills: 20% Frontier: 100% Lease 421: 50% 3.5 Bn barrel resource Red Dog Fort Hills Frontier & L421 Highland Valley Elk Valley Trail Pend Oreille Growth, Diversity and Cost Competitive Production Duck Pond Antamina Quebrada Blanca Relincho Andacollo Mine Advanced Project Refinery Trail: Top 5 zinc/lead facility in the world Copper: Antamina (22.5%) Antamina (22.5%) Large, low cost copper-zinc co-product mine Current operations to 2028 Copper: Quebrada Quebrada Blanca Blanca (76.5%) (76.5%) Cathode production expected to continue until 2019 Potential to triple production with 40 year resource Copper: Carmen de Andacollo (90%) Andacollo (90%) Low capex expansion that quadrupled production >20 year mine life Copper: Highland Valley (97.5%) Mine life to 2027 Potential to extend mine life by an additional yrs 5 Note: References throughout to mine lives are based on Teck reserve estimates (or where indicated resource estimates) and current production rates. Actual mine lives may vary

6 Canada s Largest Diversified Mining Company Long-Term Strategy Unchanged Long life assets Low half of the cost curve Diversify to expand opportunity set Low risk jurisdictions Capital allocation to good risk / reward projects 6

7 Global Markets & Customers Revenue by Market Diversified, global customer base China 25% Asia excl. China 33% North America 20% South America 4% Europe 18% 7 Source: Teck

8 China s Growth Is Strong In Absolute Terms In absolute terms, China s quarterly GDP growth is currently double that of 8-10 years ago Rmb (billions) 1, Mar-01 Mar-02 Mar-03 Mar-04 Mar-05 Mar-06 Mar-07 Mar-08 Mar-09 Mar-10 Mar-11 Mar-12 Mar % 14.0% 12.0% 10.0% 8.0% 6.0% 4.0% 2.0% 0.0% GDP growth in RMB at 2005 prices (lhs) Average increase (lhs) Real GDP growth rate (rhs) Lower GDP growth rate on a higher base = strong absolute growth 8 Source: Ministry of Commerce and Industry & CEIC Generate

9 Continued Urbanization Will Drive Robust Growth Urbanization is identified as the most important driver by Xi-Li s leadership China Urbanisation rate (%) > to to to 51.5 <33.9 No Data China ranks 129 th in the world by urbanization rate 9 Source: World Bank

10 Substantial Economic Growth Requires Decades to Achieve With the right policies, China still has the potential to boost incomes Per Capita GDP Relative to the US at PPP % Japan Taiwan India Korea China s GDP is ~20% of the US s on a per capital basis China 10 Source: Dragonomics

11 Substantial Potential For Continuous Robust Growth in China Other Asian economies show that China could still grow at 8% for the next 15 years Country 20-Year Period Beginning When Country s Per Capital GDP Was 21% of US s Average Annual GDP Growth Rate Over a 20-Year Period Japan Singapore Taiwan Korea China* Source: Lin Yifu s prediction for China

12 Steelmaking Coal Business Unit Growth growing to maximize the value of our resources Productivity continuously improving our efficiency Sustainability responsibly mining for the long term 12

13 STEELMAKING COAL Highest Operating Profit Steelmaking Coal Business Teck has the highest operating profit steelmaking coal business in the industry Steelmaking Coal EBITDA (H US$ millions) 1,200 Teck has the highest proportion of hard coking coal production US$ (millions) 800 Cost management efforts contributing to Teck s strong operating profit position * Includes some thermal assets ** Adjusted EBITDA

14 COPPER Increased Copper Production; Efficient Use of Capital Highland Valley Mill Optimization Project to increase mill throughput ~10% Carmen de Andacollo Mid-size producer for very low capex Antamina Expansion increased mill throughput ~30% Quebrada Blanca Supergene resource depleting Large hypogene resource foundation for future expansion Thousand Tonnes Annual Copper Production 308 Guidance F 14

15 COPPER - MARKETS Copper Costs Provide Strong Price Support Copper Costs Higher Than Commonly Understood Generally, cost curves underestimate current cash costs by approximately 20% Top 10 Copper Producers Costs Actual vs. 3 rd Party Research (US$/lbs) Actual cash costs are ~20% higher on average - 11% 34% 21% 7% 49% 6% 35% 20% 26% All-in costs including sustaining capital and deferred stripping provide even higher support % 0.00 Actual* 3rd Party Research 15 Source: Company reports & presentations, 3 rd party research provider, Teck Note: costs back-calculated for miners who do not report C1/cash costs

16 ZINC A World-Class Business & Disciplined Production Red Dog Mine World s 3 rd largest zinc mine High grade, large volume production Low quartile cost position Trail Metallurgical Operations Integrated smelting and refining complex Major products are refined zinc and lead Low cost power US$ / lbs US$ / lbs 2012 Zinc Cost Curve (C1 cash costs after by-products) Low cost zinc producer 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 Paid Metal (Mlbs) 2012 Zinc Smelter Cash Margin (cash margin $/lbs) ,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 Total Slab Zinc (kt) High margin smelter 16 Source: Wood Mackenzie Q dataset

17 ZINC - MARKETS Zinc Market Positioned for Change Zinc Stocks - 10 Years Zinc Stocks - YTD US /lb ,400 1,200 1, thousand tonnes US /lb ,250 1,200 1,150 1,100 1,050 1, thousand tonnes Stocks Price plotted to October 25, 2013 Stocks Price plotted to October 25, 2013 Stocks down >180 kt over 10 months Large inventory position to work down Significant off-market inventories as well Mine closures to alter supply / demand balance 17 Source: LME

18 Mined Oil Sands Are In Teck s Sweet Spot þ þ þ þ þ þ þ þ Strategic diversification Mining-friendly jurisdiction Large truck & shovel mining projects World-class resources Long-life assets Competitive margins Minimizing execution risk Tax effective 18

19 The Real Value of Long Life Assets Significant value created over long term 60% of PV of cash flows beyond year 5 IRR of 50 year life only ~1% > 20 year life asset Options for debottlenecking and expansion 50-year assets provide for superior returns operating through many price cycles 19

20 G O L D S T R AT E G Y Creating and Realizing Value In the Gold Business Division operates similar to a junior gold company Building resources through exploration and partnering Capturing value via property, equity and royalty portfolios Goal to create a gold asset base with a +$1Bn market value 20 20

21 Increasing Returns to Shareholders Vision of steady & sustainable growth Annualized Dividend Payout ($) $0.90 Progressive dividend policy while maintaining adequate liquidity - Current dividend: semi-annual payment $0.45; annualized $0.90 $0.80 $0.70 $0.60 $0.50 Purchased 10 million shares in the past 12 months $0.40 $0.30 $0.20 $0.10 $Jul-10 Jan-11 Jul-11 Jan-12 Jul-12 Jan-13 Jul-13 21

22 Focused on Shareholder Value Volumes Strong Cost reductions on track Projects & capex being deferred Strong balance sheet Increased cash returns to shareholders 22

23 Overview & Strategy Don Lindsay President & CEO