Investor Teleconference Presentation Third Quarter Fastenal Company October 11, 2017

Transcription

1 Investr Telecnference Presentatin Third Quarter 2017 Fastenal Cmpany Octber 11,

2 Safe Harbr Statement All statements made herein that are nt histrical facts (e.g., gals regarding Onsite and vending signings as well as expectatins regarding FTE, leverage, cash flw, and capital expenditures) are frward-lking statements within the meaning f the Private Securities Litigatin Refrm Act f Such statements invlve knwn and unknwn risks, uncertainties and ther factrs that may cause actual results t differ materially. Mre infrmatin regarding such risks can be fund in the Frm 10-K fr Fastenal Cmpany fr the year ended December 31, 2016 filed with the Securities & Exchange Cmmissin. Any numerical r ther representatins in this presentatin d nt represent guidance by management and shuld nt be cnstrued as such. The appendix t the fllwing presentatin includes a discussin f certain nn-gaap financial measures. Infrmatin required by Regulatin G with respect t such nn-gaap financial measures can be fund in the appendix. 2

3 CEO Messages n 3Q17 $0.60 $0.50 $0.40 EPS (Fully-Diluted) $0.44 $0.50 Sales grwth accelerated in 3Q17 and thrugh September. Year-t-date daily sales grwth, at 10.1%, returned t duble-digits fr the first time since $0.30 $0.20 $0.10 $0.00 Grwth drivers cntinue t gain tractin. Onsite had recrd 3Q17 signings, putting us n track fr signings. Vending and natinal accunt sales are utgrwing the verall business. 16% 14% 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% (2%) (4%) Daily Sales Rate (DSR) Grwth 13.6% 10.6% 8.8% 6.2% 5.0% 1.5% 1.9% 1.6% 1.8% 2.7% (2.0%) Operating expense leverage despite ne fewer day in the perid prduced a higher perating margin. It als mre than ffset a grss margin affected by strms, mix and fewer rganizatinal tailwinds. Year-t-date, SG&A as a percent f sales is at a recrd lw. Our 3Q17 perating cash flw generatin was a recrd fr any third quarter. 3

4 3Q17 Grwth Driver Update Onsite Signings and Active Sites Signings Vending Device Signings and Installed Base 2 (in thusands) Signings Active Sites Installed Base Signed 81 Onsites, finishing with 555 active sites (up 47.6% frm 3Q16). Our 2017 gal remains signings (vs. 176 signings in 2016). Ttal in-market 1 sites were 2,973 in 3Q17, up frm 2,921 in 3Q16. This reflects a slight decline in ur public branch cunt, mre than ffset by a higher Onsite cunt. We signed 4,771 vending devices (dwn 0.3% frm 3Q16). Prduct sales thrugh these devices rse duble digits and we experienced a lwer rate f device remval in 3Q17. Natinal Accunts daily sales rse 17.3% in 3Q17 vs 3Q16. 1 In-market lcatins include public branches (U.S. and ROW) plus Onsites 2 Vending data excludes units related t ur leased lcker prgram 4

5 3Q17 Business Cadence 20% 15% 10% End Market DSRs % 15.3% The U.S. PMI averaged 58.6 in 3Q17, vs in 3Q16 and 55.8 in 2Q17. U.S. Industrial Prductin was up 2.0% in July/Aug vs. 3Q16 and up 0.1% vs. 2Q17. 5% 0% (5%) 5.2% Heavy Equipment Ttal Mftring Cnstructin End markets remain psitive. Manufacturing, led by heavy machinery, general industrial and transprtatin, cntinues t drive grwth. Sales t smaller accunts (nn-natinal Accunts) accelerated in 3Q17. 15% 10% 5% Prduct Categry DSRs 14.6% 12.1% Fastener daily sales rse 12.1% in 3Q17 vs. 3Q16; Mansc cntributed 3.8 percentage pints (pps) t this grwth. Nn-fastener daily sales accelerated and were up 14.6% in 3Q17. 0% (5%) (10%) (15%) Fasteners (35.6% f Sales) Nn-Fasteners (64.4% f Sales) Sales at 64% f ur branches grew in 3Q17, vs. 62% in 2Q17. Of ur Tp 100 Natinal Accunts, 72 grew in 3Q17, frm 68 in 2Q17. 1 In July 2017 we reclassified certain end market designatins. Values shwn in the chart at the tp f this page will differ frm prir presentatins. 5

6 3Q17 Results Summary Annual Rates f Change 3Q17 3Q16 % Chg. Dllar amunts in millins, except per share amunts Net Sales $1,132.8 $1, % DSR Yr./Yr. % Chg % On an annual basis, grss margin was 49.1% in 3Q17, frm 49.3% in 3Q16, reflecting mix, the impact f strms, and inclusin f Mansc. Grss Prfit $555.9 $ % Grss Prfit Margin 49.1% 49.3% (20) bps Emplyee-Related Exp % Occupancy-Related Exp % Selling Transprtatin Exp % Operating Incme $228.5 $ % Operating Incme Margin 20.2% 20.0% 20 bps EPS (Fully-Diluted) $0.50 $ % Onsite Signings % Vending Device Signings 4,771 4,783 (0.3%) Branch Cunt 2,418 2,545 (5.0%) Branch FTE 11,480 11, % Ttal FTE 17,329 16, % Operating Cash Flw $162.6 $ % % f Net Earnings 113.7% 105.1% --- Capital Expenditures (Net) $23.7 $71.7 (66.9%) Dividends $92.0 $ % Dividends Per Share $0.32 $ % Share Repurchase $25.9 $ Ttal Debt $440.0 $445.0 (1.1%) Tt. Debt/Capital 17.8% 18.9% (5.8%) Percentage calculatins may nt be able t be reprduced due t runding f dllar values. Price/cst was cnsistent sequentially frm 2Q17 t 3Q17, while rganizatinal variables were less favrable. Expanded perating margin 20 bps t 20.2% by leveraging ccupancy and transprtatin. The incremental perating margin was 21.3%. YTD SG&A (ex. D&A) as a percentage f sales f 26.1% has never been lwer. Public branches were dwn 31 net sites in 3Q17 vs. 2Q17, t a ttal f 2,418. We als had tw public branch cnversins. Abslute headcunt was up 68 in 3Q17 vs. 2Q17. 6

7 3Q17 Cash Flw Prfile Operating Cash Flw (in millins) 105.1% * Percentages abve the bar represent OCF as a % f Net Incme Net Capital Expenditures and Depreciatin (in millins) $ % 2017 Net CapEx Target: ~$127M $23.7 Generated perating cash flw f $162.6M in 3Q17, up 21.9% and a cnversin rate f 113.6%. This largely reflects better perating results. Net capital spending f $23.7M in 3Q17 fell 66.9% frm 3Q16 n the absence f spending n leased lckers. Full year expectatins fr capital spending remains $127M. We repurchased $25.9M in stck in 3Q17 at an average price f $43.03 per share. Ttal debt was 17.8% f ttal capital in 3Q17, slightly belw 2Q17 (18.3%) and 3Q16 (18.9%). Net Capital Expenditures Depreciatin 7

8 Appendix Nn-GAAP Financial Measures The appendix includes infrmatin n ur Return n Invested Capital ( ROIC ), which is a nn-gaap financial measure. We define ROIC as net perating prfit less incme tax expense divided by average invested capital ver the trailing 12 mnths. We believe ROIC is a useful financial measure fr investrs in evaluating the efficiency and effectiveness f ur use f capital and believe ROIC is an imprtant driver f sharehlder return ver the lng-term. Our methd f determining ROIC may differ frm the methds f ther cmpanies, and therefre may nt be cmparable t thse used by ther cmpanies. Management des nt use ROIC fr any purpse ther than the reasns stated abve. The tables that fllw n page 9 include a recnciliatin f the calculatin f ur return n ttal assets ( ROA ) (which is the mst clsely cmparable GAAP financial measure) t the calculatin f ur ROIC fr the perids presented. 8

9 Return n Invested Capital Calculatin f Return n Invested Capital Recnciliatin f ROIC t Return n Assets (ROA) TTM TTM TTM TTM (Amunts in millins) 3Q17 3Q16 (Amunts in millins) 3Q17 3Q16 Operating Incme $861.0 $792.5 Net Earnings $541.0 $496.6 (Incme Tax Expense) ($312.1) (290.5) Ttal Assets $2,816.0 $2,612.9 NOPAT $548.9 $502.0 ROA 19.2% 19.0% Ttal Current Assets $1,853.9 $1,725.3 NOPAT $548.9 $502.0 Cash and Cash Equivalents (140.2) (129.4) Add: Incme Tax Expense $ Accunts Payable (132.4) (124.9) Operating Incme $ Accrued Expenses (193.9) (191.9) Add: Interest Incme Prperty & Equipment, Net Subtract: Interest Expense (8.4) (5.7) Other Assets, Net Subtract: Incme Tax Expense (312.1) (290.5) Invested Capital $2,349.6 $2,166.7 Net Earnings $541.0 $496.6 ROIC 23.4% 23.2% Invested Capital $2,349.6 $2,166.7 Add: Cash and Cash Equivalents Add: Accunts Payable * Amunts may nt ft due t runding differences. Add: Accrued Expenses Ttal Assets $2,816.0 $2,

10 Sequential Trends* Cum. Chg., Cum. Chg., Cum. Chg., Cum. Chg., DSR BENCHMARKS Jan.** Feb. Mar. Jan. t Mar. Apr. May June Jan. t Jun. July Aug. Sep. Jan. t Sep. Oct. Jan. t Oct. Nv. Dec. BENCHMARK (1.1%) 0.9% 4.5% 5.5% (1.0%) 1.9% 1.8% 8.4% (3.7%) 3.8% 1.8% 10.3% (2.4%) 7.6% (3.7%) (6.9%) 2017 DSR 0.2% 1.5% 3.6% 5.1% 2.2% 1.4% 2.8% 12.0% (2.4%) 2.2% 3.8% 16.0% Delta v. Benchmark 1.3% 0.6% (0.9%) (0.4%) 3.1% (0.5%) 1.0% 3.6% 1.3% (1.6%) 2.0% 5.7% 2016 DSR 0.4% (0.8%) 1.5% 0.7% 1.7% 0.6% (0.2%) 2.9% (2.3%) 2.4% 1.5% 4.5% (0.9%) 3.6% (5.5%) (6.6%) Delta v. Benchmark 1.5% (1.7%) (3.0%) (4.8%) 2.7% (1.3%) (1.9%) (5.5%) 1.4% (1.4%) (0.2%) (5.8%) 1.5% (4.0%) (1.8%) 0.3% 2015 DSR (3.6%) (0.1%) 4.2% 4.0% (2.1%) 3.4% 0.9% 6.3% (4.3%) 4.1% (0.9%) 5.0% (2.0%) 2.9% (3.0%) (8.4%) Delta v. Benchmark (2.5%) (1.0%) (0.4%) (1.5%) (1.1%) 1.4% (0.9%) (2.1%) (0.6%) 0.3% (2.7%) (5.3%) 0.4% (4.7%) 0.7% (1.5%) 2014 DSR (1.4%) 3.0% 7.1% 10.3% (2.6%) 4.2% 2.5% 14.8% (3.8%) 5.8% 1.0% 18.0% (1.5%) 16.2% (2.7%) (5.9%) Delta v. Benchmark (0.3%) 2.1% 2.6% 4.8% (1.6%) 2.3% 0.7% 6.4% (0.1%) 2.0% (0.8%) 7.7% 0.9% 8.6% 0.9% 1.1% DAYS COUNT TOTAL * The acquisitin f Mansc increased the 2017 DSRs fr April and the Jan. t June Cumulative Change by 1.3pps each; it decreased the 2017 DSR fr June by 0.1pp. ** The January average is based n the histrical change in January vs. Octber. All ther mnths are sequential. NOTES: Easter was in April in 2017, versus March in This shift was a rughly 50 bps benefit t 1Q17 and a rughly 50 bps drag t 2Q17. We began t use a benchmark based n a five-year average ( ) in Previusly, we used lngerterm averages. Amunts may nt ft due t runding differences. 10

11 Emplyee Statistics Abslute Cunt FTE Cunt HEADCOUNT STATISTICS 3Q17 3Q16 Change 4Q16 Change 3Q17 3Q16 Change 4Q16 Change Branches/Onsites 13,298 13, % 12, % 11,480 11, % 10, % Nn-Branch Selling 1,668 1, % 1, % 1,638 1, % 1, % Selling Persnnel 14,966 14, % 14, % 13,118 12, % 12, % Distributin 3,479 3, % 3, % 2,502 2, % 2, % Manufacturing % % % % Administrative 1,161 1, % 1, % 1,105 1, % 1, % Nn-Selling Persnnel 5,276 5, % 5, % 4,211 4, % 3, % Ttal Persnnel 20,242 19, % 19, % 17,329 16, % 16, % NOTES: FTE Full-Time Equivalent. FTE is based n 40 hurs per week. Mansc had 123 emplyees (113 FTE) at the end f September 2017 that were nt in the ther perids. Its inclusin in the figures abve increased the year-ver-year (3Q17 versus 3Q16) percentage change in ttal abslute and FTE headcunt by 0.6pps and 0.7pps, respectively, and increased the year-t-date (3Q17 versus 4Q16) percentage change in ttal abslute and FTE headcunt by 0.6pps and 0.7pps, respectively. 11

12 Branch Statistics BRANCH STATISTICS New Branch Openings 1Q Q Q Q Cumulative Clsed/Cnverted Lcatins Clsed Lcatins Clsed (Curr. Quarter) 0 0 (1) 0 (11) (6) (2) (41) (9) (65) (36) Clsed (Annual) (1) (8) (10) (7) (28) (16) (16) (73) (50) (144) (93) Cnverted Lcatins (Annual) Branch-t-Custmer Only 0 (2) (1) (1) 0 0 (2) (2) (6) (16) (7) Custmer Only-t-Branch Cumulative (1) (10) (11) (6) (27) (13) (18) (74) (56) (159) (100) YEAR-END BRANCH COUNT 2,160 2,311 2,369 2,490 2,585 2,652 2,687 2,637 2,622 2,503 2,418 NOTES: As f September 30, 2017, includes 2,121 branches in the U.S., 195 in Canada, and 102 in the rest f the Wrld. Branch Cunt includes all lcatins that sell t multiple accunts (traditinal branches, verseas branches, and strategic accunts branches). It excludes lcatins that sell t single accunts (strategic accunts sites and Onsites). 12

13 End Market Prfile End Market Mix Transprtatin, 2.4% Other, 5.4% Gv't/Educatin, 3.8% Reseller, 8.9% Manufacturing, 41.0% Cnstructin, 13.6% Mfg - Heavy Equip., 24.8% NOTES: Reclassified Grwth Rates fr Manufacturing and Cnstructin Sectrs MAJOR SEGMENT GROWTH Full (Daily Sales Rates) Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nv Dec Year Manufacturing % 6.4% 8.4% 9.2% 10.3% 14.9% 14.4% 14.6% 16.9% (inc. Heavy Equip.) % 1.8% (0.5%) 3.9% 1.1% (0.9%) 1.5% (0.3%) 2.0% 3.1% 1.3% 4.2% 1.6% Cnstructin % 4.8% 6.6% 5.8% 6.0% 5.7% 5.7% 5.0% 4.9% % 1.9% (1.8%) 0.2% (1.7%) (0.9%) 1.2% 0.4% 3.4% 3.4% (2.4%) (1.7%) 0.4% 13