DEPARTEMENT TOEGEPASTE ECONOMISCHE WETENSCHAPPEN

Size: px
Start display at page:

Download "DEPARTEMENT TOEGEPASTE ECONOMISCHE WETENSCHAPPEN"

Transcription

1 DEPARTEMENT TOEGEPASTE ECONOMISCHE WETENSCHAPPEN ONDERZOEKSRAPPORT NR 9730 GOMONOTONICITY AND MAXIMAL STOP-LOSS PREMIUMS by Ja DHAENE Shau WANG Virgiia R. YOUNG Marc GOOVAERTS Katholieke Uiversiteit Leuve Naamsestraat 69, Leuve

2 ONDERZOEKSRAPPORT NR 9730 COMONOTONICITY AND MAXIMAL STOP-LOSS PREMIUMS by Ja DHAENE Shau WANG Virgiia R. YOUNG Marc GOOVAERTS 0/1997/2376/32

3 CorI1ootoicity ad Maxirllal Stop-Loss Preriurlls* Ja Dhaeet Shau Wag+ Virgiia R. Youg Marc J. Goovaerts' Abstract I this paper, we ivestigate the relatioship betwee comootoicity ad stoploss order. vve prove our mai results by usig a characterizatio of stop-loss order withi the framework of Yaari's (1987) dual theory of choice uder risk. Wag ad Dhaee (1997) explore related problems i the case of bivariate radom variables. vve exted their work to a arbitrary sum of radom variables ad preset several examples illustratig our results. 1 Itroductio The stop-loss trasform is a importat tool for studyig the riskiess of a isurace portfolio. I this paper, we cosider the idividual risk theory model, where the aggregate claims of the portfolio are modeled as the sum of the claims of the idividual risks. We ivestigate the aggregate stop-loss trasform of such a portfolio without makig the usual assumptio of mutual idepedece of the idividual risks. \Vag ad Dhaee (1997) explore related problems i the case of bivariate radom variables. We exted their work to a arbitrary sum of radom variables. To prove results cocerig orderig of risks, oe ofte uses characterizatios of these orderigs withi the framework of expected utility theory, see e.g. Kaas et a1. (1994). We, however, rely o the framework of Yaari's (1987) dual theory of choice uder risk. Our results are easier to obtai i this dual settig. I Sectio 2,,ye provide otatio ad a brief itroductio to Yaari's dual theory of risk. We itroduce a special type of depedecy betwee the idividual risks, the otio 'J. Dhaee ad M.J. Goovaerts would like to thak the fiacial support of Oderzoeksfods KU.Leuve (grat OT/97/6). -Katholieke Uiversiteit Leuve, Uiversiteit va Amsterdam, Uiversiteit Atwerpe. =Uiversity of Waterloo. i Uiversity of Wiscosi-Madiso. '"Katholieke Uiversiteit Leuve, Uiversiteit va Amsterdam. 1

4 of "comootoicity". Loosely speakig, risks are comootoic if they" move i the same directio". I Sectio 3, we cosider stop-loss order. It is well-kow that stop-loss order is the order iduced by all risk-averse decisio makers whose prefereces amog risks obey the axioms of utility theory. We show that the class of decisio makers, whose prefereces obey the axioms of Yaari's dual theory of risk ad who have icreasig cocave distortio fuctios, also iduces stop-loss order. From this characterizatio of stop-loss order, we fid the followig result: If risk Xi is smaller i stop-loss order tha risk Yi, for i = 1,..., TI, ad if the risks Yi are mutually comootoic, the the respective sums of risks are also stop-loss ordered. I Sectio 4, we characterize the stochastic domiace order withi Yaari's theory. I Sectio 5, we cosider the case that the margial distributios of the idividual risks are give. We derive a expressio for the maximal aggregate stop-loss premium i terms of the stop-loss premiums of the idividual risks. Fially, i Sectio 6, we preset several examples to illustrate our results. We remark that Wag ad Youg (1997) further cosider orderig of risks uder Yaari's theory. They exted first ad secod stochastic domiace orderigs to higher orderigs i this dual theory of choice uder risk. 2 Distortio Fuctios ad Comootoicity For a risk X (i.e. a o-egative real valued radom variable with a fiite mea), we deote its cumulative distributio fuctio (cdf) ad its decumulative distributio fuctio (ddf) by Fx ad Sx respectively: Fx (x) = Pr {X :::; ;r:}, Sx(x) = Pr{X > :r}, O:::;;r: < CXl, O:::;;r < CXl. I geeral, both Fx ad Sx are ot oe-to-oe so that we have to be cautious i defiig their iverses. We defie F"yl ad S"yl as follows: if{x: Fx(x) 2: p}, if {x : Sx (x) :::; p}, 0< p:::; L O:::;p<L F;:I(O) = 0, Sx 1 (1) =0. where we adopt the covetio that if q; = CXl. We remark that F.yl is o-decreasig, SXl is o-icreasig ad S;/ (p) = F"y 1 (1 - p). Startig from axioms for prefereces betwee risks. Vo Neuma ad Morgester (1947) developed utility theory. They showed that, vvithi this axiomatic framework, a decisiomaker has a utility fuctio 'U such that he or she prefers risk X to risk Y (or is idifferet betwee them) if ad oly if E (u( - X)) 2: E (u( - Y)). 2

5 Yaari (1987) presets a dual theory of choice uder risk. I this dual theory, the cocept of )) distortio fuctio" emerges. It ca be cosidered as the parallel to the cocept of "utility fuctio" i utility theory. Defiitio 1 A distortio fuctio 9 is a o-decreasig fuctio 9 g(o) = 0 ad g(l) = 1. [0,1] --+ [0,1] with Startig from a axiomatic settig parallel to the oe i utility theory, Yaari shows that there exists a distortio fuctio 9 such that the decisio maker prefers risk X to risk Y (or is idifferet betwee them) if ad oly if Bg(X) :S Hg(Y), where for ay risk X, the "certaity equivalet" Bg (X) is defied as Hg (X) = /= g[sx(x)]dx = /1 Si/(q)dg(q). io.~ We remark that By (X) = E(X) if 9 is the idetity. For a geeral distortio fuctio 9 1 the certaity equivalet Hg (X) ca be iterpreted as a "distorted" expectatio of X. See Wag ad Youg (1997) for a discussio of Yaari's axioms i a isurace cotext. I the followig sectios, we use two special families of distortio fuctios for provig some of our results. I the followig lemma. we derive expressios for the certaity equivalets Hg (X) of these families of distortio fuctios. For a subset A of the real umbers, we use the otatio fa for the idicator fuctio which equals 1 if ::e E A ad 0 otherwise. Lemma 1 (a) Let the distortio fuctio 9 be defied by g( x) = f (x > p), 0 :S x :S I, for a arbitrary, but.fixed, p E [0,1]. The for ay risk X the certaity equi'vazet Hg(X) zs gwe by (b) Let the distortio fuctio 9 be de.fied by g(x) = mi (x/p, 1), 0 :S.r :S I, for a arbitrary, but.fixed, p E (0,1]. The for ay risk X, the certaity equi'vazet Bg(X) zs gwe by Proof. (a) First let 9 be defied by g(x) = f(x > p). As we have for ay :r > 0 that S dx) :S p {::} S)/(p) :S x, we fid g(sx(x)) = { Ix < S;/(p), ' 0, x 2: SX1(p), from which we immediately obtai the expressio for the certaity equivalet. 3

6 (b) Now let 9 be defied by g(x) = mi (x/p, 1). I this case we fid g(sx(x)) = { I S'y(x)/p,.1: < S"~l(p), _,,1: 2 S-X I (p), from which we immediately obtai the desired result. Yaari's axiomatic settig oly differs from the axiomatic settig of expected utility theory by modifyig the idepedece axiom. This modified axiom ca be expressed i terms of "comootoic" risks. Defiitio 2 The r-isks Xl, X 2,... ) X ar-e said to be mutually comootoic if Q,'f/',Ij of the followig equivalet coditios hold: (1) The cdf FX1,x2,oo,xof (XI,X2)...,X) satisfies for all Xl'..., :r; 2 o. (2) Ther-e exists a mdom variable Z ad o-deer-easig fuctios UI,..., 'U o R s'/u:h that (XI,...,X) ~ (UI(Z)"",u(Z)), (3) For- ay uifor-mly distr-ibuted mdom var-iable C o [0, 1], we have that I the defiitio above, the otatio "~,, is used to idicate that the two multivariate radom variables are equal i distributio. The proof for the equivalece of the three coditios is a straightforward geeralizatio of the proof for the bivariate case cosidered i,yag ad Dhaee (1997). The followig theorem states that the certaity equivalet of the sum of mutually comootoic risks is equal to the sum of the certaity equivalets of the differet risks. Theorem 2 lfthe r-isksxi,x2",.,x ar-e mutually eomootoie, the H9(XI + X X) = LHg(Xi)' i=l Proof. A proof for the bivariate case ca be foud i Wag (1996). A geeralisatio to the multivariate case follows immediately by cosiderig the fact if XI,X2"",X are mutually comootoic, the also Xl + X X - l ad X are mutually comootoic. If we restrict to the class of cocave distortio fuctios, the the certaity equivalet is subadditive, which meas that the certaity equi\'alet of a sum of risks is smaller tha or equal to the sum of the certaity equivalets. This property is stated i the followig theol-em. 4

7 Theorem 3 If the distortio fuctio 9 is cocave, the for ay risks Xl, X 2, "', X we have that Hq(XI + X 2 + '" + X) :s; L Hg(Xi)' i=l The theorem above is a straightforward geeralizatio of the bivariate case cosidered i ~Wag ad Dhaee (1997). 3 Stop-Loss Order ad Comootoicity For ay risk X ad ay d 2:: 0, we defie (X - d)+ = max(o, X - d). The stop-loss premium \vith retetio d is the give by E(X - d)+. Defiitio 3 A risk X is said to precede a risk Y i stop-loss order, writte X :S;sl Y, ~f for all retetios d 2:: 0, the stop-loss premium for risk X is smaller tha that for risk Y: E(X - d)+ :s; E(Y - d)+. I the followig theorem, we derive characterizatios of stop-loss order, withi the framework of Yaari's dual theory of choice uder risk. Theorem 4 For ay risks X ad Y, the followig coditio's are equivalet: (1J X :S;sl Y (2) For all cocave distortios fuctios, we have that Hg(X) :s; Hg(Y). (3/ For all distortio fuctios 9 defied by g(x) = mi (x/p, 1), p E (0,1], we have that Hg(X) :s; Hg(Y). Proof. (1) ::::} (2) : Relyig o the fact that stop-loss order is the trasitive closure of the order i dagerousess (Mliller, 1996), ad o the domiated covergece theorem, we oly have to prove that if X ad Yare ordered i dagerousess. writte X :S;D Y, the Hg(X) :s; I-Jg(Y) for all cocave distortio fuctios. Hece. let us assume that X :S;D Y; that is, E(X) < E(Y) ad there exists a real umber c 2:: 0 such that 5 x (:r) > 5 y (x)forall::c<c, 5 x (x) < 5y (x) for all T 2:: c..\"ow let g be a distortio fuctio. As g is o-decreasig, we immediately fid g(5x (:r)) > g(sy(x)) for all.t <C, g(5x (:r)) < g(5y (x)) for all:r >c.

8 Also assume that 9 is cocave i [0,1]. Thus, for each y i [0,1], there exists a lie l(:r) = ayx + b, with l(y) = g(y) ad l(x) ~ g(x) for all x i [0,1]. As l(y) = g(y), we fid that l(x) = ay(x - y) + g(y). Hece, l(x) ~ g(x) ca be writte as g(1;) - g(y) ~ ay(x - y) for all x i [0.1]. As 9 is o-decreasig, we fid that ay ~ 0. Further. ay is a o-icreasig fuctio of ii By substitutig Sx(x) ad Sy(x) for x ad y i the above iequality, we obtai 9 (Sx(x)) - 9 (Sy(x)) ~ as,.-(x) (Sx(:r) - Sy(x)) for all x ~ 0. From the crossig coditio for 9 (Sx(x)) - 9 (Sy(x)) ad the fact that asy(x) IS a odecreasig fuctio of x, we fid 9 (Sx(x)) - 9 (Sy(x)) ~ as, (c) (S\{r) - Sy(:r)) for all x > 0. Takig the itegral over both members of the iequality above leads to where the last iequality holds because E(X) ~ E(Y). Hece.,ve have prove that coditio (1) implies coditio (2). (2) ::::;, (3) : This follows immediately. because g(x) = mi (x/p, 1) defies a cocave distortio fuctio. (3) ::::;, (1) : For ay distortio fuctio 9 defied by g(:r) = mi (x/p, 1), p E (0,1]. we fid from Lemma 1 that 'Hg(X) ~ Hg(Y) is equivalet to l d P S-;/(p) + -1 Sx(x)dx + E(X - d)+ ~ P Syl (p) + 1 Sy(x)dx + E(Y - d)-i' Jd sx ~) 5; ~) for all d ~ O. We have to prove that E(X - d)+ ~ E(Y - d)+ for ay d ~ O. If Sx(d) = 0, the E(X - d)+ = so that E(X - d)+ ~ E(Y - d)+. ::\ow assume that Sx(d) > O. ad let p = Sx(d). Note that i geeral S)/(p) ~ d ad that for S;/(p) ~ 1; ~ d we have that Sx{r) = p. Hece, Hg(X) ~ Hg(Y) ca be rewritte as E(X - d)+ ~ r d 1 (Sy(:r;) - p) dx + E(Y - d)+. J 5;; (p) As Syl(p) ~ X <=> Sy(x) ~ p, we fid that the itegral i the iequality above is always egative, from which it follows that E(X - dh ~ E(Y - d)-t-. As the proof holds for ay d 2': 0, we fid that coditio (1) follows from coditio (3). Withi the framework of expected utility theory. stop-loss order of two risks is equivalet to sayig that oe risk is preferred over the other by all risk-averse decisio makers. From 6

9 the theorem above, we see that we have a similar iterpretatio for stop-loss order withi the framework of Yaari's theory of choice uder risk: Stop-loss order of two risks is equivalet to sayig that oe risk is preferred over the other by all decisio makers who have odecreasig cocave distortio fuctios. See Wag ad Youg (1997) for related results. :'\ote that our Theorem 4 is more geeral tha the correspodig result of Wag ad Youg (1997) because we do ot assume that the distortios are differetiable. It is well-kow that stop-loss order is preserved uder covolutio of mutually idepedet risks, see e.g. Goovaerts et al. (1990). I the followig theorem we cosider the case of mutually comootoic risks. Theorem 5 If Xl,X2, ""X ad Y 1, Y2,..., Y are sequeces of risks 'with Xi S:.SI Yi (i L...,) ad with Y 1,Y2,...,Y mutually comootoic, the L.: Xi S:.SI L.: Yi. i=l i=l Proof. Usig Theorems 2, 3 ad 4 we fid that for ay cocave distortio fuctio 9, i=l i=l \\'hich proves the theorem. ~ote that i the theorem above, we make o assumptio cocerig the depedecy amog the risks Xi' This meas that the theorem is valid for ay depedecy amog these risks. For ay risk X ad ay uiformly distributed radom variable U o [0,1], we have that X ~ Fx 1 (U). From this fact, we obtai the followig corollary to Theorem 5. Corollary 6 For ay radom variable U, uiformly distributed o [0,1]' ad ay risks Xl' X 2,...,X, we have L.: Xi S:.sl L.: Fjy} (U). i=l i=l Aother proof for this corollary. i terms of" supermodular order" 1 ca be foud i M tiller ). :'-Jote that (Xl, X 2,..., X) ad (Fjyj 1 (U), FX21(U),..., Fx~ (U)) have the same margial distributios, while the risks Fx/(U). i = 1,...,71" are mutually comootoic. Hece, Corollary 1 states that, withi the class of all multivariate risk with give margials Xl, X 2,..., X 1 the stop-loss premiums of Xl + X X are maximal if the risks Xi are mutually c0mootoic. 7

10 4 Stochastic Domiace ad Comootoicity I this sectio, \ve first examie whether Theorem 5, which holds for stop-loss order. also holds i the case of stochastic domiace, i.e. if)) S s/' is replaced by )) S sf". Defiitio 4 A risk Y is said to stochastically domiate a risk X, wriue X Sst. Y; ~l the followig coditio holds: Sx(x) S Sy(x) for all x 2: o. Let X I,X2, YI ad Y2 be uiformly distributed radom variables defied o [0,1]. with X 2 = 1- Xl ad Y I - Y2. The we have that Y I ad Y2 are comootoic. Further, Xi Sst Y, (i = 1, 2). After some straightforward calculatios, we fid that FXdx2(x) < FYI +1'2 (x) if 0 S x < l. F Xl + X 2 ( X ) > FYl""I-1'2 ( X ) if x 2: 1. Hece, Xl + X 2 is ot stochastically domiated by}] + Y2 so that Theorem 5 does ot hold i the case of stochastic domiace. However, stochastic domiace implies stop-loss order, so we should have that Xl +X2 Ssl Y I + Y2. This follows ideed from the crossig coditio. Theorem 7 For ay risks X ad Y, the followig coditios are equivalet: (1) X Sst Y. (2) For all distortio fuctios 9 we have that Hg(X) S Hg(Y). (3) SXI(p) S Syl (p) for all p E [0,1]. Proof. (1) =? (2) : Straightforward. (2) =? (3) : Let p E [0,1] ad cosider the distortio fuctio 9 defied by g(;r) = l(x > p). 0 S x S 1. The proof the follows from Lemma 1. (3) =? (1) : For a fixed x 2: 0, let p = Sy(x). From S.~l(p) S Syl(p), we haw that S" (Syl(p)) S P = Sy(x). Note that i geeral, S)-;l(p) S X. As Sx is o-icreasig, we fid SX(x) S Sx (Syl(p)) S Sy(x). As the proof holds for ay x 2: 0, we have prove that coditio (3) implies coditio (1). Withi the framework of utility theory, it is well-kow that stochastic domiace of t,, o risks is equivalet to sayig that oe risk is preferred over the the other by all decisio makers who prefer more to less. From the theorem above, we see that, withi the framework of Yaari's theory of choice uder risk, stochastic domiace of risk Y over risk X holds if ad oly if all decisio makers with (o-decreasig) distortio fuctio prefer risk X. 8

11 Actually, preservatio of stochastic domiace is a axiom i both utility theory ad Yaari's dual theory. Hece, the fact that coditio (1) implies coditio (2) is a direct result of this axlo1. 5 Maximal Stop-Loss Premiums i the Multivariate Case From Corollary 6, we cocluded that i the class of all multivariate risks with give margials (Xl, X 2,..., X ), the stop-loss premiums are maximal if the risks Xi, i = 1,...,, are mutually comootoic. For comootoic risks Xi, the stop-loss premium with retetio d is give by ::\ ow we will derive aother expressio for this upper boud. Theorem 8 Let Xl,... ) X be mutually comootoic risks. The for ay retetio d 2' 0, we have E(XI X - d)+ = LE(Xi - di)+ - i=l [d - SXl (Sx(d))] Sx(d) where X = Xl X ad the di are defied by di = Sx;(Sx(d)). Proof. If Sx(d) = 0, the the iequality trivially holds. ::\ow assume that Sx(d) > O. Let p = Sx(d) ad defie a distortio fuctio g by g(x) = mi (x/p, 1) for 0 :::; x :::; 1. As Xl,'",X are mutually comootoic, we fid from Theorem 2 that Csig Lemma 1 this equality ca be \Hitte as from which we fid because S;/(p) = L~l Sx;(p) for comootoic risks, see Deeberg (1994) or Wag (1996). O the other had, we have that 9

12 Now combie these two equalities to obtai the desired result. From Theorem 8 we see that, apart from a correctio factor, ay stop-loss premium for,. ~ the sum of comootoic risks ca be writte as a sum of stop-loss premiums for the idividual risks ivolved. Note that i geeral we have that SxJ(Sx(d)) < d. However, if S,,{r) > Sx(d) for all x < d, the Sx 1 (Sx(d)) = d, so that i this case E(X X - d)+ = 2: E(Xi - di)+ i=l with the di as defied i Theorem 8. I this case,,, e also have that L~'=l di = d. 6 Examples I this fial sectio, we show by example how to evaluate stop-loss premiums for the sum X = Xl + X X of the mutually comootoic risks Xl, X 2,..., X. We first cosider the case for which all risks have a two-poit distributio ad the three cases for which all risks have cotiuous distributios. Example 1: The Idividual Life lvlodel Assume that each risk Xi, (i = 1,...,) has a two-poit distributio i 0 ad ai > 0 with Pr(Xi = ai) = qi. The ddf of Xi is the give by if 0 ::; x < ai, if x ~ ai, from which we fid S-l C ) = { Oi, if 0 ::; p < qi x, p 0, if qi ::; P ::; l. Without loss of geerality, we assume that the radom variables Xi are ordered such that q1 2:... 2: q Now assume that the risks are comootoic, the we have if 0 ::; p < q 1 if qj-t-l ::; P < qjl if q1 ::; P < 1. Hece, if 0 ::; x < ai, if a aj ::; x < a ajll, if :1: 2: a 10

13 which meas that X is a discrete radom variable with poit-masses i 0, a1, a] + a2, a1 + a2 + a3,.. " a1 + a a For d such that a aj :s: d < a aj+l,we fid if i < j + 1, if i 2- j + 1, so that S-;/(Sx(d)) = S.~1(qj_H),,ve fially fid from Theorem 8 that = L:Si;(Qj+l) = al aj. i=l 'f d > "\", 1 '_ L.,i=l ai This idividual life model is more extesively cosidered i Dhaee ad Goovaerts (1996). Example 2: Expoetial l\iargials Assume that each Xi, (i = 1,"', ) IS distributed accordig to the Expoetial (bi) distributio (bi > 0) with ddf give by SX i (x) = e- x / bi, x > O. For comootoic Xi, the iverse ddf of their sum X is Si 1 (p) = -blp, Sx(x) = e- X / b, x> O. I other words, the comootoic sum of expoetial radom variables is expoetially distributed. Heilma (1986) cosiders the case of = 2. Oe ca easily verify that the stop-loss premium with retetio d is give by Example 3: Pareto lviargials Assume that each Xi (i = 1,".,) is distributed accordig to the Pareto (a, bi) distributio (a, b i > 0) with ddf give by bi ) a ( bi +:r ' x> O. 11

14 For comootoic Xi, the iverse ddf of their sum X is SXl(p) = b (p-l/a -1), i which b = L~'=l bi. Thus, x> O. I other words, the comootoic sum of Pareto radom variables (with idetical first parameter) is a Pareto radom variable. Oe ca easily verify that for ay d 2:: 0 we have that E(X _ d)+ = (_b_)a-l b b+d a_i' a> 1. Example 4: Expoetial-Iverse Gaussia Margials Assume that each Xi, (i = 1....,) is distributed accordig to the expoetial-iverse Gaussia (bi, Ci) distributio (bi, Ci > 0) with ddf give by x> 0, see Hesselager, Wag ad Willmot (1997). I this case the iverse ddf of Xi is fb: SXi (p) = - (I p) - v-l p. 4Ci Ci Thus, for comootoic Xi, the iverse ddf of their sum X is If Sx 1 (p) = - 1 (I p) 2 - -I p. 4c C Sx(x) = e:rp [-2JC (J;y; + b - Jb)], x> O. I other words, the comootoic sum of expoetial-iverse Gaussia radom variables is also a expoetial-iverse Gaussia radom variable. Oe ca easily verify that for ay d 2:: 0 we have that E(X - d)+ ~ exp [-2Ji (.,jd+ b - Jb)] [Jd ~ b + ;c]. 12

15 Refereces Deeberg, D. (1994). No-Additive MeasuTe Ad Itegral, Kluwer Academic Publisher's, Bosto. Dhaec, 1. ad Goovaerts, M. (1996). Depedecy of risks ad stop-loss order, ASTIN Bulleti, 26(2), Dhaee, 1. ad Goovaerts, M. (1997). O the depedecy of Tisks i the idividual lile model, Isurace: Mathematics ('1 Ecoomics, 19, Goo'uaerts, M.J., Kaas, R.,va Heerwaarde, A.E. ad Ba'uwelickx, 1'. (1990). Eflecti'ue actuarial methods, Isurace Series, Vol. 3, North-Hollad. Amsterdam, Ncw YOTk, Oxford, Tokyo. Heilma, W.R. (1986). O the impact of the idepedece of risks o stop-loss prem'illms, Isurace: JvIathematics ad Ecoomics, 5, Hesselager, 0.; Wag, S. ad Willmot, G. (1997). Expoetial ad scalc mixt'utes ad equilibrium distributios, Workig Paper. Kaas, R., va Heerwaarde, A.E., ad Goovaerts, M.J. (1994). Risks, Educatio SeTies 1, CAIRE, Brussels. Orderig of Actuarial Miiller, A. (1996). OrdeTig of Tisks: a comparati'ue study via stop-loss trasfotts, Isu:race: Mathematics ad Ecoomics Miiller, A. (1997). Stop-loss otdet fot pottfolios of depedet risks. Isurace: Mathematics ad Ecoomics, to appeat. vo Neuma, 1., MorgesteT, O. (1947). TheoTY of games ad ecoomzc beha'uiour, secod editio, PTiceto UiveTsity PTess, Priceto, New JeTsey. \Fag, S. (1996). PTemium calculatio by trasformig the layet premium desity, ASTIN Bulleti 26, \/Fag, S. ad Dhaee, 1. (1997). Comootoicity, cottelatio ordet ad ptemium priciples, submitted. l,fag, S. ad Youg, V.R. (1997). OrdeTig Tisks: utility theoty versus YaaTi's dv,al theory of Tisk, submitted. Ycwri, M. E. (1987). The dual theory of choice udet Tisk, Ecoometrica 55,

16

OEPARTEMENT TOEGEPASTE ECONOMISCHE WETENSCHAPPEN

OEPARTEMENT TOEGEPASTE ECONOMISCHE WETENSCHAPPEN j. OEPARTEMENT TOEGEPASTE ECONOMISCHE WETENSCHAPPEN ONDERZOEKSRAPPORT NR 9812 A NOTE ON THE STOP-LOSS PRESERVING PROPERTY OF WANG'S PREMIUM PRINCIPLE by C. RIBAS M.J. GOOVAERTS J.DHAENE Katholieke Universiteit

More information

A note on the stop-loss preserving property of Wang s premium principle

A note on the stop-loss preserving property of Wang s premium principle A note on the stop-loss preserving property of Wang s premium principle Carmen Ribas Marc J. Goovaerts Jan Dhaene March 1, 1998 Abstract A desirable property for a premium principle is that it preserves

More information

5. Best Unbiased Estimators

5. Best Unbiased Estimators Best Ubiased Estimators http://www.math.uah.edu/stat/poit/ubiased.xhtml 1 of 7 7/16/2009 6:13 AM Virtual Laboratories > 7. Poit Estimatio > 1 2 3 4 5 6 5. Best Ubiased Estimators Basic Theory Cosider agai

More information

Lecture 9: The law of large numbers and central limit theorem

Lecture 9: The law of large numbers and central limit theorem Lecture 9: The law of large umbers ad cetral limit theorem Theorem.4 Let X,X 2,... be idepedet radom variables with fiite expectatios. (i) (The SLLN). If there is a costat p [,2] such that E X i p i i=

More information

A New Constructive Proof of Graham's Theorem and More New Classes of Functionally Complete Functions

A New Constructive Proof of Graham's Theorem and More New Classes of Functionally Complete Functions A New Costructive Proof of Graham's Theorem ad More New Classes of Fuctioally Complete Fuctios Azhou Yag, Ph.D. Zhu-qi Lu, Ph.D. Abstract A -valued two-variable truth fuctio is called fuctioally complete,

More information

14.30 Introduction to Statistical Methods in Economics Spring 2009

14.30 Introduction to Statistical Methods in Economics Spring 2009 MIT OpeCourseWare http://ocwmitedu 430 Itroductio to Statistical Methods i Ecoomics Sprig 009 For iformatio about citig these materials or our Terms of Use, visit: http://ocwmitedu/terms 430 Itroductio

More information

The Limit of a Sequence (Brief Summary) 1

The Limit of a Sequence (Brief Summary) 1 The Limit of a Sequece (Brief Summary). Defiitio. A real umber L is a it of a sequece of real umbers if every ope iterval cotaiig L cotais all but a fiite umber of terms of the sequece. 2. Claim. A sequece

More information

Rafa l Kulik and Marc Raimondo. University of Ottawa and University of Sydney. Supplementary material

Rafa l Kulik and Marc Raimondo. University of Ottawa and University of Sydney. Supplementary material Statistica Siica 009: Supplemet 1 L p -WAVELET REGRESSION WITH CORRELATED ERRORS AND INVERSE PROBLEMS Rafa l Kulik ad Marc Raimodo Uiversity of Ottawa ad Uiversity of Sydey Supplemetary material This ote

More information

x satisfying all regularity conditions. Then

x satisfying all regularity conditions. Then AMS570.01 Practice Midterm Exam Sprig, 018 Name: ID: Sigature: Istructio: This is a close book exam. You are allowed oe-page 8x11 formula sheet (-sided). No cellphoe or calculator or computer is allowed.

More information

The material in this chapter is motivated by Experiment 9.

The material in this chapter is motivated by Experiment 9. Chapter 5 Optimal Auctios The material i this chapter is motivated by Experimet 9. We wish to aalyze the decisio of a seller who sets a reserve price whe auctioig off a item to a group of bidders. We begi

More information

Subject CT5 Contingencies Core Technical. Syllabus. for the 2011 Examinations. The Faculty of Actuaries and Institute of Actuaries.

Subject CT5 Contingencies Core Technical. Syllabus. for the 2011 Examinations. The Faculty of Actuaries and Institute of Actuaries. Subject CT5 Cotigecies Core Techical Syllabus for the 2011 Examiatios 1 Jue 2010 The Faculty of Actuaries ad Istitute of Actuaries Aim The aim of the Cotigecies subject is to provide a groudig i the mathematical

More information

Solutions to Problem Sheet 1

Solutions to Problem Sheet 1 Solutios to Problem Sheet ) Use Theorem.4 to prove that p log for all real x 3. This is a versio of Theorem.4 with the iteger N replaced by the real x. Hit Give x 3 let N = [x], the largest iteger x. The,

More information

Math 312, Intro. to Real Analysis: Homework #4 Solutions

Math 312, Intro. to Real Analysis: Homework #4 Solutions Math 3, Itro. to Real Aalysis: Homework #4 Solutios Stephe G. Simpso Moday, March, 009 The assigmet cosists of Exercises 0.6, 0.8, 0.0,.,.3,.6,.0,.,. i the Ross textbook. Each problem couts 0 poits. 0.6.

More information

Monetary Economics: Problem Set #5 Solutions

Monetary Economics: Problem Set #5 Solutions Moetary Ecoomics oblem Set #5 Moetary Ecoomics: oblem Set #5 Solutios This problem set is marked out of 1 poits. The weight give to each part is idicated below. Please cotact me asap if you have ay questios.

More information

Sequences and Series

Sequences and Series Sequeces ad Series Matt Rosezweig Cotets Sequeces ad Series. Sequeces.................................................. Series....................................................3 Rudi Chapter 3 Exercises........................................

More information

Combining imperfect data, and an introduction to data assimilation Ross Bannister, NCEO, September 2010

Combining imperfect data, and an introduction to data assimilation Ross Bannister, NCEO, September 2010 Combiig imperfect data, ad a itroductio to data assimilatio Ross Baister, NCEO, September 00 rbaister@readigacuk The probability desity fuctio (PDF prob that x lies betwee x ad x + dx p (x restrictio o

More information

Summary. Recap. Last Lecture. .1 If you know MLE of θ, can you also know MLE of τ(θ) for any function τ?

Summary. Recap. Last Lecture. .1 If you know MLE of θ, can you also know MLE of τ(θ) for any function τ? Last Lecture Biostatistics 60 - Statistical Iferece Lecture Cramer-Rao Theorem Hyu Mi Kag February 9th, 03 If you kow MLE of, ca you also kow MLE of τ() for ay fuctio τ? What are plausible ways to compare

More information

Lecture 4: Parameter Estimation and Confidence Intervals. GENOME 560 Doug Fowler, GS

Lecture 4: Parameter Estimation and Confidence Intervals. GENOME 560 Doug Fowler, GS Lecture 4: Parameter Estimatio ad Cofidece Itervals GENOME 560 Doug Fowler, GS (dfowler@uw.edu) 1 Review: Probability Distributios Discrete: Biomial distributio Hypergeometric distributio Poisso distributio

More information

Anomaly Correction by Optimal Trading Frequency

Anomaly Correction by Optimal Trading Frequency Aomaly Correctio by Optimal Tradig Frequecy Yiqiao Yi Columbia Uiversity September 9, 206 Abstract Uder the assumptio that security prices follow radom walk, we look at price versus differet movig averages.

More information

Online appendices from Counterparty Risk and Credit Value Adjustment a continuing challenge for global financial markets by Jon Gregory

Online appendices from Counterparty Risk and Credit Value Adjustment a continuing challenge for global financial markets by Jon Gregory Olie appedices from Couterparty Risk ad Credit Value Adjustmet a APPENDIX 8A: Formulas for EE, PFE ad EPE for a ormal distributio Cosider a ormal distributio with mea (expected future value) ad stadard

More information

Institute of Actuaries of India Subject CT5 General Insurance, Life and Health Contingencies

Institute of Actuaries of India Subject CT5 General Insurance, Life and Health Contingencies Istitute of Actuaries of Idia Subject CT5 Geeral Isurace, Life ad Health Cotigecies For 2017 Examiatios Aim The aim of the Cotigecies subject is to provide a groudig i the mathematical techiques which

More information

Maximum Empirical Likelihood Estimation (MELE)

Maximum Empirical Likelihood Estimation (MELE) Maximum Empirical Likelihood Estimatio (MELE Natha Smooha Abstract Estimatio of Stadard Liear Model - Maximum Empirical Likelihood Estimator: Combiatio of the idea of imum likelihood method of momets,

More information

1 Estimating sensitivities

1 Estimating sensitivities Copyright c 27 by Karl Sigma 1 Estimatig sesitivities Whe estimatig the Greeks, such as the, the geeral problem ivolves a radom variable Y = Y (α) (such as a discouted payoff) that depeds o a parameter

More information

Notes on Expected Revenue from Auctions

Notes on Expected Revenue from Auctions Notes o Epected Reveue from Auctios Professor Bergstrom These otes spell out some of the mathematical details about first ad secod price sealed bid auctios that were discussed i Thursday s lecture You

More information

FINM6900 Finance Theory How Is Asymmetric Information Reflected in Asset Prices?

FINM6900 Finance Theory How Is Asymmetric Information Reflected in Asset Prices? FINM6900 Fiace Theory How Is Asymmetric Iformatio Reflected i Asset Prices? February 3, 2012 Referece S. Grossma, O the Efficiecy of Competitive Stock Markets where Traders Have Diverse iformatio, Joural

More information

Statistics for Economics & Business

Statistics for Economics & Business Statistics for Ecoomics & Busiess Cofidece Iterval Estimatio Learig Objectives I this chapter, you lear: To costruct ad iterpret cofidece iterval estimates for the mea ad the proportio How to determie

More information

0.1 Valuation Formula:

0.1 Valuation Formula: 0. Valuatio Formula: 0.. Case of Geeral Trees: q = er S S S 3 S q = er S S 4 S 5 S 4 q 3 = er S 3 S 6 S 7 S 6 Therefore, f (3) = e r [q 3 f (7) + ( q 3 ) f (6)] f () = e r [q f (5) + ( q ) f (4)] = f ()

More information

An Empirical Study of the Behaviour of the Sample Kurtosis in Samples from Symmetric Stable Distributions

An Empirical Study of the Behaviour of the Sample Kurtosis in Samples from Symmetric Stable Distributions A Empirical Study of the Behaviour of the Sample Kurtosis i Samples from Symmetric Stable Distributios J. Marti va Zyl Departmet of Actuarial Sciece ad Mathematical Statistics, Uiversity of the Free State,

More information

Limits of sequences. Contents 1. Introduction 2 2. Some notation for sequences The behaviour of infinite sequences 3

Limits of sequences. Contents 1. Introduction 2 2. Some notation for sequences The behaviour of infinite sequences 3 Limits of sequeces I this uit, we recall what is meat by a simple sequece, ad itroduce ifiite sequeces. We explai what it meas for two sequeces to be the same, ad what is meat by the -th term of a sequece.

More information

Section Mathematical Induction and Section Strong Induction and Well-Ordering

Section Mathematical Induction and Section Strong Induction and Well-Ordering Sectio 4.1 - Mathematical Iductio ad Sectio 4. - Strog Iductio ad Well-Orderig A very special rule of iferece! Defiitio: A set S is well ordered if every subset has a least elemet. Note: [0, 1] is ot well

More information

1 Random Variables and Key Statistics

1 Random Variables and Key Statistics Review of Statistics 1 Radom Variables ad Key Statistics Radom Variable: A radom variable is a variable that takes o differet umerical values from a sample space determied by chace (probability distributio,

More information

Subject CT1 Financial Mathematics Core Technical Syllabus

Subject CT1 Financial Mathematics Core Technical Syllabus Subject CT1 Fiacial Mathematics Core Techical Syllabus for the 2018 exams 1 Jue 2017 Subject CT1 Fiacial Mathematics Core Techical Aim The aim of the Fiacial Mathematics subject is to provide a groudig

More information

INTERVAL GAMES. and player 2 selects 1, then player 2 would give player 1 a payoff of, 1) = 0.

INTERVAL GAMES. and player 2 selects 1, then player 2 would give player 1 a payoff of, 1) = 0. INTERVAL GAMES ANTHONY MENDES Let I ad I 2 be itervals of real umbers. A iterval game is played i this way: player secretly selects x I ad player 2 secretly ad idepedetly selects y I 2. After x ad y are

More information

Sampling Distributions and Estimation

Sampling Distributions and Estimation Cotets 40 Samplig Distributios ad Estimatio 40.1 Samplig Distributios 40. Iterval Estimatio for the Variace 13 Learig outcomes You will lear about the distributios which are created whe a populatio is

More information

5 Statistical Inference

5 Statistical Inference 5 Statistical Iferece 5.1 Trasitio from Probability Theory to Statistical Iferece 1. We have ow more or less fiished the probability sectio of the course - we ow tur attetio to statistical iferece. I statistical

More information

Department of Mathematics, S.R.K.R. Engineering College, Bhimavaram, A.P., India 2

Department of Mathematics, S.R.K.R. Engineering College, Bhimavaram, A.P., India 2 Skewess Corrected Cotrol charts for two Iverted Models R. Subba Rao* 1, Pushpa Latha Mamidi 2, M.S. Ravi Kumar 3 1 Departmet of Mathematics, S.R.K.R. Egieerig College, Bhimavaram, A.P., Idia 2 Departmet

More information

Consistent Assumptions for Modeling Credit Loss Correlations

Consistent Assumptions for Modeling Credit Loss Correlations Uiversity of Nebraska - Licol DigitalCommos@Uiversity of Nebraska - Licol Joural of Actuarial Practice 1993-2006 Fiace Departmet 2006 Cosistet Assumptios for Modelig Credit Loss Correlatios Ja Dhaee Uiversity

More information

Estimating Proportions with Confidence

Estimating Proportions with Confidence Aoucemets: Discussio today is review for midterm, o credit. You may atted more tha oe discussio sectio. Brig sheets of otes ad calculator to midterm. We will provide Scatro form. Homework: (Due Wed Chapter

More information

Models of Asset Pricing

Models of Asset Pricing APPENDIX 1 TO CHAPTER 4 Models of Asset Pricig I this appedix, we first examie why diversificatio, the holdig of may risky assets i a portfolio, reduces the overall risk a ivestor faces. The we will see

More information

Models of Asset Pricing

Models of Asset Pricing APPENDIX 1 TO CHAPTER4 Models of Asset Pricig I this appedix, we first examie why diversificatio, the holdig of may risky assets i a portfolio, reduces the overall risk a ivestor faces. The we will see

More information

A Note About Maximum Likelihood Estimator in Hypergeometric Distribution

A Note About Maximum Likelihood Estimator in Hypergeometric Distribution Comuicacioes e Estadística Juio 2009, Vol. 2, No. 1 A Note About Maximum Likelihood Estimator i Hypergeometric Distributio Ua ota sobre los estimadores de máxima verosimilitud e la distribució hipergeométrica

More information

SELECTING THE NUMBER OF CHANGE-POINTS IN SEGMENTED LINE REGRESSION

SELECTING THE NUMBER OF CHANGE-POINTS IN SEGMENTED LINE REGRESSION 1 SELECTING THE NUMBER OF CHANGE-POINTS IN SEGMENTED LINE REGRESSION Hyue-Ju Kim 1,, Bibig Yu 2, ad Eric J. Feuer 3 1 Syracuse Uiversity, 2 Natioal Istitute of Agig, ad 3 Natioal Cacer Istitute Supplemetary

More information

CHAPTER 8 Estimating with Confidence

CHAPTER 8 Estimating with Confidence CHAPTER 8 Estimatig with Cofidece 8.2 Estimatig a Populatio Proportio The Practice of Statistics, 5th Editio Stares, Tabor, Yates, Moore Bedford Freema Worth Publishers Estimatig a Populatio Proportio

More information

Monopoly vs. Competition in Light of Extraction Norms. Abstract

Monopoly vs. Competition in Light of Extraction Norms. Abstract Moopoly vs. Competitio i Light of Extractio Norms By Arkadi Koziashvili, Shmuel Nitza ad Yossef Tobol Abstract This ote demostrates that whether the market is competitive or moopolistic eed ot be the result

More information

Standard Deviations for Normal Sampling Distributions are: For proportions For means _

Standard Deviations for Normal Sampling Distributions are: For proportions For means _ Sectio 9.2 Cofidece Itervals for Proportios We will lear to use a sample to say somethig about the world at large. This process (statistical iferece) is based o our uderstadig of samplig models, ad will

More information

Models of Asset Pricing

Models of Asset Pricing 4 Appedix 1 to Chapter Models of Asset Pricig I this appedix, we first examie why diversificatio, the holdig of may risky assets i a portfolio, reduces the overall risk a ivestor faces. The we will see

More information

Non-Inferiority Logrank Tests

Non-Inferiority Logrank Tests Chapter 706 No-Iferiority Lograk Tests Itroductio This module computes the sample size ad power for o-iferiority tests uder the assumptio of proportioal hazards. Accrual time ad follow-up time are icluded

More information

We learned: $100 cash today is preferred over $100 a year from now

We learned: $100 cash today is preferred over $100 a year from now Recap from Last Week Time Value of Moey We leared: $ cash today is preferred over $ a year from ow there is time value of moey i the form of willigess of baks, busiesses, ad people to pay iterest for its

More information

MODELING CATASTROPHES AND THEIR IMPACT ON INSURANCE PORTFOLIOS

MODELING CATASTROPHES AND THEIR IMPACT ON INSURANCE PORTFOLIOS MODELING CATASTROPHES AND THEIR IMPACT ON INSURANCE PORTFOLIOS Hélèe Cossette,* Thierry Duchese, ad Étiee Marceau ABSTRACT The authors propose a geeral idividual catastrophe risk model that allows damage

More information

Bayes Estimator for Coefficient of Variation and Inverse Coefficient of Variation for the Normal Distribution

Bayes Estimator for Coefficient of Variation and Inverse Coefficient of Variation for the Normal Distribution Iteratioal Joural of Statistics ad Systems ISSN 0973-675 Volume, Number 4 (07, pp. 7-73 Research Idia Publicatios http://www.ripublicatio.com Bayes Estimator for Coefficiet of Variatio ad Iverse Coefficiet

More information

A Bayesian perspective on estimating mean, variance, and standard-deviation from data

A Bayesian perspective on estimating mean, variance, and standard-deviation from data Brigham Youg Uiversity BYU ScholarsArchive All Faculty Publicatios 006--05 A Bayesia perspective o estimatig mea, variace, ad stadard-deviatio from data Travis E. Oliphat Follow this ad additioal works

More information

A random variable is a variable whose value is a numerical outcome of a random phenomenon.

A random variable is a variable whose value is a numerical outcome of a random phenomenon. The Practice of Statistics, d ed ates, Moore, ad Stares Itroductio We are ofte more iterested i the umber of times a give outcome ca occur tha i the possible outcomes themselves For example, if we toss

More information

Unbiased estimators Estimators

Unbiased estimators Estimators 19 Ubiased estimators I Chapter 17 we saw that a dataset ca be modeled as a realizatio of a radom sample from a probability distributio ad that quatities of iterest correspod to features of the model distributio.

More information

Parametric Density Estimation: Maximum Likelihood Estimation

Parametric Density Estimation: Maximum Likelihood Estimation Parametric Desity stimatio: Maimum Likelihood stimatio C6 Today Itroductio to desity estimatio Maimum Likelihood stimatio Itroducto Bayesia Decisio Theory i previous lectures tells us how to desig a optimal

More information

Appendix 1 to Chapter 5

Appendix 1 to Chapter 5 Appedix 1 to Chapter 5 Models of Asset Pricig I Chapter 4, we saw that the retur o a asset (such as a bod) measures how much we gai from holdig that asset. Whe we make a decisio to buy a asset, we are

More information

AMS Portfolio Theory and Capital Markets

AMS Portfolio Theory and Capital Markets AMS 69.0 - Portfolio Theory ad Capital Markets I Class 6 - Asset yamics Robert J. Frey Research Professor Stoy Brook iversity, Applied Mathematics ad Statistics frey@ams.suysb.edu http://www.ams.suysb.edu/~frey/

More information

4.5 Generalized likelihood ratio test

4.5 Generalized likelihood ratio test 4.5 Geeralized likelihood ratio test A assumptio that is used i the Athlete Biological Passport is that haemoglobi varies equally i all athletes. We wish to test this assumptio o a sample of k athletes.

More information

. (The calculated sample mean is symbolized by x.)

. (The calculated sample mean is symbolized by x.) Stat 40, sectio 5.4 The Cetral Limit Theorem otes by Tim Pilachowski If you have t doe it yet, go to the Stat 40 page ad dowload the hadout 5.4 supplemet Cetral Limit Theorem. The homework (both practice

More information

of Asset Pricing R e = expected return

of Asset Pricing R e = expected return Appedix 1 to Chapter 5 Models of Asset Pricig EXPECTED RETURN I Chapter 4, we saw that the retur o a asset (such as a bod) measures how much we gai from holdig that asset. Whe we make a decisio to buy

More information

Exam 1 Spring 2015 Statistics for Applications 3/5/2015

Exam 1 Spring 2015 Statistics for Applications 3/5/2015 8.443 Exam Sprig 05 Statistics for Applicatios 3/5/05. Log Normal Distributio: A radom variable X follows a Logormal(θ, σ ) distributio if l(x) follows a Normal(θ, σ ) distributio. For the ormal radom

More information

Research Article The Probability That a Measurement Falls within a Range of n Standard Deviations from an Estimate of the Mean

Research Article The Probability That a Measurement Falls within a Range of n Standard Deviations from an Estimate of the Mean Iteratioal Scholarly Research Network ISRN Applied Mathematics Volume 0, Article ID 70806, 8 pages doi:0.540/0/70806 Research Article The Probability That a Measuremet Falls withi a Rage of Stadard Deviatios

More information

Problem Set 1a - Oligopoly

Problem Set 1a - Oligopoly Advaced Idustrial Ecoomics Sprig 2014 Joha Steek 6 may 2014 Problem Set 1a - Oligopoly 1 Table of Cotets 2 Price Competitio... 3 2.1 Courot Oligopoly with Homogeous Goods ad Differet Costs... 3 2.2 Bertrad

More information

EVEN NUMBERED EXERCISES IN CHAPTER 4

EVEN NUMBERED EXERCISES IN CHAPTER 4 Joh Riley 7 July EVEN NUMBERED EXERCISES IN CHAPTER 4 SECTION 4 Exercise 4-: Cost Fuctio of a Cobb-Douglas firm What is the cost fuctio of a firm with a Cobb-Douglas productio fuctio? Rather tha miimie

More information

of Asset Pricing APPENDIX 1 TO CHAPTER EXPECTED RETURN APPLICATION Expected Return

of Asset Pricing APPENDIX 1 TO CHAPTER EXPECTED RETURN APPLICATION Expected Return APPENDIX 1 TO CHAPTER 5 Models of Asset Pricig I Chapter 4, we saw that the retur o a asset (such as a bod) measures how much we gai from holdig that asset. Whe we make a decisio to buy a asset, we are

More information

ENGINEERING ECONOMICS

ENGINEERING ECONOMICS ENGINEERING ECONOMICS Ref. Grat, Ireso & Leaveworth, "Priciples of Egieerig Ecoomy'','- Roald Press, 6th ed., New York, 1976. INTRODUCTION Choice Amogst Alteratives 1) Why do it at all? 2) Why do it ow?

More information

Introduction to Econometrics (3 rd Updated Edition) Solutions to Odd- Numbered End- of- Chapter Exercises: Chapter 2

Introduction to Econometrics (3 rd Updated Edition) Solutions to Odd- Numbered End- of- Chapter Exercises: Chapter 2 Itroductio to Ecoometrics (3 rd Updated Editio) by James H. Stock ad Mark W. Watso Solutios to Odd- Numbered Ed- of- Chapter Exercises: Chapter 2 (This versio August 7, 204) Stock/Watso - Itroductio to

More information

Research Article The Average Lower Connectivity of Graphs

Research Article The Average Lower Connectivity of Graphs Applied Mathematics, Article ID 807834, 4 pages http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2014/807834 Research Article The Average Lower Coectivity of Graphs Ersi Asla Turgutlu Vocatioal Traiig School, Celal Bayar Uiversity,

More information

Lecture 5: Sampling Distribution

Lecture 5: Sampling Distribution Lecture 5: Samplig Distributio Readigs: Sectios 5.5, 5.6 Itroductio Parameter: describes populatio Statistic: describes the sample; samplig variability Samplig distributio of a statistic: A probability

More information

Game Theory. Lecture Notes By Y. Narahari. Department of Computer Science and Automation Indian Institute of Science Bangalore, India July 2012

Game Theory. Lecture Notes By Y. Narahari. Department of Computer Science and Automation Indian Institute of Science Bangalore, India July 2012 Game Theory Lecture Notes By Y. Narahari Departmet of Computer Sciece ad Automatio Idia Istitute of Sciece Bagalore, Idia July 01 Chapter 4: Domiat Strategy Equilibria Note: This is a oly a draft versio,

More information

Lecture 4: Probability (continued)

Lecture 4: Probability (continued) Lecture 4: Probability (cotiued) Desity Curves We ve defied probabilities for discrete variables (such as coi tossig). Probabilities for cotiuous or measuremet variables also are evaluated usig relative

More information

Optimal Allocation of Policy Limits and Deductibles

Optimal Allocation of Policy Limits and Deductibles Optimal Allocation of Policy Limits and Deductibles Ka Chun Cheung Email: kccheung@math.ucalgary.ca Tel: +1-403-2108697 Fax: +1-403-2825150 Department of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Calgary,

More information

ii. Interval estimation:

ii. Interval estimation: 1 Types of estimatio: i. Poit estimatio: Example (1) Cosider the sample observatios 17,3,5,1,18,6,16,10 X 8 X i i1 8 17 3 5 118 6 16 10 8 116 8 14.5 14.5 is a poit estimate for usig the estimator X ad

More information

Online appendices from The xva Challenge by Jon Gregory. APPENDIX 10A: Exposure and swaption analogy.

Online appendices from The xva Challenge by Jon Gregory. APPENDIX 10A: Exposure and swaption analogy. APPENDIX 10A: Exposure ad swaptio aalogy. Sorese ad Bollier (1994), effectively calculate the CVA of a swap positio ad show this ca be writte as: CVA swap = LGD V swaptio (t; t i, T) PD(t i 1, t i ). i=1

More information

The Top-Down Approach to Calculation of the Insurance Premium

The Top-Down Approach to Calculation of the Insurance Premium The Top-Dow Approach to Calculatio of the Isurace Premium ojciech Otto, dr hab.; Faculty of Ecoomic Scieces, arsaw Uiversity. Itroductio Commercial price of isurace coverage fluctuates due to chagig market

More information

Robust Mechanisms for Risk-Averse Sellers

Robust Mechanisms for Risk-Averse Sellers Robust Mechaisms for Risk-Averse Sellers Mukud Sudararaja Google Ic., Moutai View, CA, USA mukuds@google.com. Qiqi Ya Departmet of Computer Sciece, Staford Uiversity, Staford, CA, USA qiqiya@cs.staford.edu.

More information

ON DIFFERENTIATION AND HARMONIC NUMBERS

ON DIFFERENTIATION AND HARMONIC NUMBERS ON DIFFERENTIATION AND HARMONIC NUMBERS ERIC MORTENSON Abstract. I a paper of Adrews ad Uchimura [AU, it is show how differetiatio applied to hypergeometric idetities produces formulas for harmoic ad q-harmoic

More information

Random Sequences Using the Divisor Pairs Function

Random Sequences Using the Divisor Pairs Function Radom Sequeces Usig the Divisor Pairs Fuctio Subhash Kak Abstract. This paper ivestigates the radomess properties of a fuctio of the divisor pairs of a atural umber. This fuctio, the atecedets of which

More information

Solution to Tutorial 6

Solution to Tutorial 6 Solutio to Tutorial 6 2012/2013 Semester I MA4264 Game Theory Tutor: Xiag Su October 12, 2012 1 Review Static game of icomplete iformatio The ormal-form represetatio of a -player static Bayesia game: {A

More information

EXERCISE - BINOMIAL THEOREM

EXERCISE - BINOMIAL THEOREM BINOMIAL THOEREM / EXERCISE - BINOMIAL THEOREM LEVEL I SUBJECTIVE QUESTIONS. Expad the followig expressios ad fid the umber of term i the expasio of the expressios. (a) (x + y) 99 (b) ( + a) 9 + ( a) 9

More information

On Regret and Options - A Game Theoretic Approach for Option Pricing

On Regret and Options - A Game Theoretic Approach for Option Pricing O Regret ad Optios - A Game Theoretic Approach for Optio Pricig Peter M. DeMarzo, Ila Kremer ad Yishay Masour Staford Graduate School of Busiess ad Tel Aviv Uiversity October, 005 This Revisio: 9/7/05

More information

Dr. Maddah ENMG 624 Financial Eng g I 03/22/06. Chapter 6 Mean-Variance Portfolio Theory

Dr. Maddah ENMG 624 Financial Eng g I 03/22/06. Chapter 6 Mean-Variance Portfolio Theory Dr Maddah ENMG 64 Fiacial Eg g I 03//06 Chapter 6 Mea-Variace Portfolio Theory Sigle Period Ivestmets Typically, i a ivestmet the iitial outlay of capital is kow but the retur is ucertai A sigle-period

More information

Today: Finish Chapter 9 (Sections 9.6 to 9.8 and 9.9 Lesson 3)

Today: Finish Chapter 9 (Sections 9.6 to 9.8 and 9.9 Lesson 3) Today: Fiish Chapter 9 (Sectios 9.6 to 9.8 ad 9.9 Lesso 3) ANNOUNCEMENTS: Quiz #7 begis after class today, eds Moday at 3pm. Quiz #8 will begi ext Friday ad ed at 10am Moday (day of fial). There will be

More information

ECON 5350 Class Notes Maximum Likelihood Estimation

ECON 5350 Class Notes Maximum Likelihood Estimation ECON 5350 Class Notes Maximum Likelihood Estimatio 1 Maximum Likelihood Estimatio Example #1. Cosider the radom sample {X 1 = 0.5, X 2 = 2.0, X 3 = 10.0, X 4 = 1.5, X 5 = 7.0} geerated from a expoetial

More information

CHAPTER 2 PRICING OF BONDS

CHAPTER 2 PRICING OF BONDS CHAPTER 2 PRICING OF BONDS CHAPTER SUARY This chapter will focus o the time value of moey ad how to calculate the price of a bod. Whe pricig a bod it is ecessary to estimate the expected cash flows ad

More information

18.S096 Problem Set 5 Fall 2013 Volatility Modeling Due Date: 10/29/2013

18.S096 Problem Set 5 Fall 2013 Volatility Modeling Due Date: 10/29/2013 18.S096 Problem Set 5 Fall 2013 Volatility Modelig Due Date: 10/29/2013 1. Sample Estimators of Diffusio Process Volatility ad Drift Let {X t } be the price of a fiacial security that follows a geometric

More information

Overlapping Generations

Overlapping Generations Eco. 53a all 996 C. Sims. troductio Overlappig Geeratios We wat to study how asset markets allow idividuals, motivated by the eed to provide icome for their retiremet years, to fiace capital accumulatio

More information

Asymptotics: Consistency and Delta Method

Asymptotics: Consistency and Delta Method ad Delta Method MIT 18.655 Dr. Kempthore Sprig 2016 1 MIT 18.655 ad Delta Method Outlie Asymptotics 1 Asymptotics 2 MIT 18.655 ad Delta Method Cosistecy Asymptotics Statistical Estimatio Problem X 1,...,

More information

Introduction to Probability and Statistics Chapter 7

Introduction to Probability and Statistics Chapter 7 Itroductio to Probability ad Statistics Chapter 7 Ammar M. Sarha, asarha@mathstat.dal.ca Departmet of Mathematics ad Statistics, Dalhousie Uiversity Fall Semester 008 Chapter 7 Statistical Itervals Based

More information

BOUNDS FOR TAIL PROBABILITIES OF MARTINGALES USING SKEWNESS AND KURTOSIS. January 2008

BOUNDS FOR TAIL PROBABILITIES OF MARTINGALES USING SKEWNESS AND KURTOSIS. January 2008 BOUNDS FOR TAIL PROBABILITIES OF MARTINGALES USING SKEWNESS AND KURTOSIS V. Betkus 1,2 ad T. Juškevičius 1 Jauary 2008 Abstract. Let M = X 1 + + X be a sum of idepedet radom variables such that X k 1,

More information

43. A 000 par value 5-year bod with 8.0% semiaual coupos was bought to yield 7.5% covertible semiaually. Determie the amout of premium amortized i the 6 th coupo paymet. (A).00 (B).08 (C).5 (D).5 (E).34

More information

Simulation Efficiency and an Introduction to Variance Reduction Methods

Simulation Efficiency and an Introduction to Variance Reduction Methods Mote Carlo Simulatio: IEOR E4703 Columbia Uiversity c 2017 by Marti Haugh Simulatio Efficiecy ad a Itroductio to Variace Reductio Methods I these otes we discuss the efficiecy of a Mote-Carlo estimator.

More information

Where a business has two competing investment opportunities the one with the higher NPV should be selected.

Where a business has two competing investment opportunities the one with the higher NPV should be selected. Where a busiess has two competig ivestmet opportuities the oe with the higher should be selected. Logically the value of a busiess should be the sum of all of the projects which it has i operatio at the

More information

Chapter 8: Estimation of Mean & Proportion. Introduction

Chapter 8: Estimation of Mean & Proportion. Introduction Chapter 8: Estimatio of Mea & Proportio 8.1 Estimatio, Poit Estimate, ad Iterval Estimate 8.2 Estimatio of a Populatio Mea: σ Kow 8.3 Estimatio of a Populatio Mea: σ Not Kow 8.4 Estimatio of a Populatio

More information

FOUNDATION ACTED COURSE (FAC)

FOUNDATION ACTED COURSE (FAC) FOUNDATION ACTED COURSE (FAC) What is the Foudatio ActEd Course (FAC)? FAC is desiged to help studets improve their mathematical skills i preparatio for the Core Techical subjects. It is a referece documet

More information

CHAPTER 8: CONFIDENCE INTERVAL ESTIMATES for Means and Proportions

CHAPTER 8: CONFIDENCE INTERVAL ESTIMATES for Means and Proportions CHAPTER 8: CONFIDENCE INTERVAL ESTIMATES for Meas ad Proportios Itroductio: I this chapter we wat to fid out the value of a parameter for a populatio. We do t kow the value of this parameter for the etire

More information

Risk contributions in an asymptotic multi factor framework

Risk contributions in an asymptotic multi factor framework Risk cotributios i a asymptotic multi factor framework Dirk Tasche May 20, 2005 Abstract So far, regulatory capital requiremets for credit risk portfolios are calculated i a bottomup approach by determiig

More information

Stochastic Processes and their Applications in Financial Pricing

Stochastic Processes and their Applications in Financial Pricing Stochastic Processes ad their Applicatios i Fiacial Pricig Adrew Shi Jue 3, 1 Cotets 1 Itroductio Termiology.1 Fiacial.............................................. Stochastics............................................

More information

We analyze the computational problem of estimating financial risk in a nested simulation. In this approach,

We analyze the computational problem of estimating financial risk in a nested simulation. In this approach, MANAGEMENT SCIENCE Vol. 57, No. 6, Jue 2011, pp. 1172 1194 iss 0025-1909 eiss 1526-5501 11 5706 1172 doi 10.1287/msc.1110.1330 2011 INFORMS Efficiet Risk Estimatio via Nested Sequetial Simulatio Mark Broadie

More information

This paper provides a new portfolio selection rule. The objective is to minimize the

This paper provides a new portfolio selection rule. The objective is to minimize the Portfolio Optimizatio Uder a Miimax Rule Xiaoiag Cai Kok-Lay Teo Xiaoi Yag Xu Yu Zhou Departmet of Systems Egieerig ad Egieerig Maagemet, The Chiese Uiversity of Hog Kog, Shati, NT, Hog Kog Departmet of

More information

Randomization beats Second Price as a Prior-Independent Auction

Randomization beats Second Price as a Prior-Independent Auction Radomizatio beats Secod Price as a Prior-Idepedet Auctio Hu Fu Nicole Immorlica Breda Lucier Philipp Strack Jue 7, 5 Abstract Desigig reveue optimal auctios for sellig a item to symmetric bidders is a

More information