Public Disclosure Authorized AFRICA Tanzania Poverty and Equity Global Practice IBRD/IDA Specific Investment Loan FY 2011 Seq No: 7 ARCHIVED on 02-Feb-2016 ISR22197 Implementing Agencies: National Bureau of Statistics Public Disclosure Authorized Key Dates Key Project Dates Bank Approval Date:24-Mar-2011 Planned Mid Term Review Date:21-Oct-2013 Original Closing Date:31-Oct-2016 Project Development Objectives Effectiveness Date:09-Aug-2011 Actual Mid-Term Review Date:26-Jun-2014 Revised Closing Date:30-Jun-2018 Public Disclosure Authorized Project Development Objective (from Project Appraisal Document) To develop a national statistical system that effectively and efficiently delivers reliable and timely statistics in accordance with international standards and best practice. Has the Project Development Objective been changed since Board Approval of the Project Objective? No PHRPDODEL Components Name Institutional Development and Legal Reform:(Cost $0.80 M) Public Disclosure Authorized Human Resource Capacity Development:(Cost $3.20 M) Development of Statistical Infrastructure:(Cost $6.10 M) Data Development and Dissemination:(Cost $8.90 M) Physical Infrastructure and Equipment:(Cost $10.00 M) Project Management:(Cost $1.00 M) Overall Ratings Name Previous Rating Current Rating Progress towards achievement of PDO Satisfactory Satisfactory 2/2/2016 Page 1 of 10
Overall Implementation Progress (IP) Satisfactory Satisfactory Overall Risk Rating Substantial Substantial Implementation Status and Key Decisions The International Development Agency (IDA), the World Bank, is supporting the implementation of the Tanzania Statistical Master Plan (TSMP) 2009-14 through a credit of US$30 million. The IDA-credit is being implemented in a 'basket fund' arrangement with the UK Department for International Development (DfID) and the Department of Foreign Affairs, Trade and Development, Canada (DFATD). Activities financed by the TSMP Basket Fund are fully planned, executed and accounted for by the Government of Tanzania through the National Bureau of Statistics in close consultation with the three basket fund partners. In addition to the basket fund partners, other partners such as the United Nations Children's Fund (UNICEF), the International Labor Organization (ILO), the Food and Agricultural Organization (FAO) and the European Union (EU) are contributing to the TSMP through parallel streams of financing and technical assistance of selected activities. The project consists of five components addressing issues such as the legal, institutional and organizational framework for statistics in Tanzania, training and skills development, development of statistical infrastructure, data development and dissemination and investments in ICT equipment as well as new office space for the National Bureau of Statistics and the Office of the Chief Government Statistician of Zanzibar. Government of Tanzania initially expected implementation of the Tanzania Statistical Master Plan to be complete in June 2014. However, due to delays in securing funding and getting activities started the Ministry of Finance and the National Bureau of Statistics have extended the closing date of strategy implementation to June 2018. and DFATD have adjusted their bilateral funding instruments accordingly, whereas DFID are still considering. These are some of the TSMP highlights of year 2014-2015: - National Accounts revision and rebase completed and revised national accounts series released. The national account system has been reset and recalculated with 2007 as the base year. In addition, updated statistical classifications have been introduced, e.g. ISIC rev. 4. The revision resulted in a 27.8% increase in the GDP level for the new base year of 2007; and a 31.6% increase in GDP level for 2013. - New official poverty estimates were released on the basis of Household Budget Survey 2011-12. Official poverty is estimated at 28.2 percent of the population down from 34.4 percent in 2007. - The Statistics Act 2015 was signed into law by the President of the United Republic of Tanzania and came into operation in November, 2015. The Act provides more autonomy for the National Bureau of Statistics and allows for more professionalism as well as a stronger mandate for the Bureau to lead and coordinate the official statistical system of Tanzania. However, substantial criticism has been voiced on the part of opposition MPs, media, NGOs and independent researchers to certain parts of the Act, which would see harsher penalties for 'misuse' of statistics. The Government has pledged to amend the controversial clauses and to clarify interpretation of the Act through the regulations. - Other important activities include the 2012 Population and Housing Census, 2014 Integrated Labor Force Survey, 2014/15 National Panel survey and 2013 Annual Large Farms Production Survey which are completed, and the 2013 Industrial Census which is close to completion with results expected in May 2016. -The construction of new office space for the Office of the Chief Government Statistician of Zanzibar has started and the preparation of the architectural design and technical specifications of the National Bureau of Statistics new office is underway. Specific procurement notices for contracts to be bid under the World Bank's international competitive bidding (ICB) procedures and for contracts for consultancy services will be announced, as they become available, in UN Development Business and dgmarket. All questions related to procurement under this project should be directed to NBS TSMP Coordinator, Mrs Joy Sawe, joy.sawe@nbs.go.tz. 2/2/2016 Page 2 of 10
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Risks Systematic Operations Risk-rating Tool Risk Category Rating at Approval Previous Rating Current Rating Political and Governance Moderate Moderate Macroeconomic Moderate Moderate Sector Strategies and Policies Moderate Moderate Technical Design of Project or Program Substantial Substantial Institutional Capacity for Implementation and Sustainability Substantial Substantial Fiduciary Substantial Substantial Environment and Social Low Moderate Stakeholders Substantial Substantial Other Low Low Overall Substantial Substantial Results Project Development Objective Indicators PHINDPDOTBL National Geographical Information System strengthened (Text, Custom) Village shape files produced and disseminated 40% of village shape files have been completed. All village shape files are expected to be completed end December, 2015. Begin 2022 Population and Housing Census preparatory geographic works Date 30-Jun-2011 30-Jun-2014 17-Dec-2015 30-Jun-2018 PHINDPDOTBL Economic Statistics strengthened (Text, Custom) National Accounts Series based on 2007 Supply Use Table(SUT) disseminated National account series based on 2007 Supply- Use Table(SUT) disseminated in December 2014. Quarterly Production of Producer Price Index (PPI) based on 2012 basket. 2/2/2016 Page 4 of 10
National Accounts Series based on 2012 Supply Use Table (SUT) Date 30-Jun-2011 30-Jun-2014 17-Dec-2015 30-Jun-2018 PHINDPDOTBL Average number of visits in NBS and OCGS websites per day (Text, Custom) 1,700 per day 2,654 per day 2,000 per day Date 30-Jun-2011 17-Dec-2015 30-Jun-2018 PHINDPDOTBL Increased user engagement (Text, Custom) One User Forum/ Focus Group discussion One Focus Group discussion was conducted December 2014. One User Forum/Focus Group discussion Date 30-Jun-2011 17-Dec-2015 30-Jun-2018 PHINDPDOTBL Number of MDAs producing new or improved statistics with TSMP support (Text, Custom) Six MDAs are supported and producing new or improved statistic. Six MDAs were supported by TSMP producing new or improved statistic Eight MDAs are supported and producing new or improved statistic. Date 30-Jun-2011 17-Dec-2015 30-Jun-2018 Overall Comments Intermediate Results Indicators 2/2/2016 Page 5 of 10
Legal framework for the NSS with clear roles, responsibilities, reporting lines and functions developed (Text, Custom) Statistics Act 2002 does not give NBS professional autonomy or role of coordinating NSS. Zanzibar Statistics Act 2007 gives OCGS professional autonomy and role of coordinating Zanzibar Statistical System. Statistics Act 2015 approved by Parliament and signed into law by President Zanzibar Regulations to support implementation of the 2007 Act enabled Zanzibar Regulations were prepared and submitted to the Zanzibar Attorney General Office for comments. Statistics Bill 2013 approved by the government and submitted to parliament for enactment. Date 30-Jun-2011 03-Jun-2015 17-Dec-2015 30-Jun-2018 Reform of Organization Structure and Improved Human Resource Management (Text, Custom) Organization Structure, Scheme of service and Salary structures in need of reform Action Plans for implementation of the reforms are updated Reforms are implemented contingent on enactment of 2013 Statistics Bill Date 30-Jun-2011 17-Dec-2015 30-Jun-2018 Annual staff training plan implemented (Percentage, Custom) 0.00 32.00 65.00 80.00 Date 30-Jun-2011 03-Jun-2015 17-Dec-2015 30-Jun-2018 Updated statistical registers and sample frames for household and establishment based surveys (Text, Custom) Tanzania Mainland: Statistical Business Register (SBR) updated 2007. Tanzania Mainland : Statistical Business Register (SBR) Comprehensive updates in progress Up to date sampling frames, Statistical Business Register (SBR) and National 2/2/2016 Page 6 of 10
Master Sample (NMS). Date 30-Jun-2011 17-Dec-2015 30-Jun-2018 Implemented Quality Assessment Framework (Text, Custom) No quality assessment in place. Concepts definitions and methodologies outdated. No or little documentation of business processes. Two statistical compendia have been disseminated in 2015 (tourism and agriculture). Two more (health and education) are planned for release by the end of June. Four statistical compendia disseminated through NBS website Quality assessment of three sectoral compendia conducted and assessment report/certificat es issued Date 30-Jun-2011 03-Jun-2015 17-Dec-2015 30-Jun-2018 Cumulative number of surveys implemented under TSMP (Number, Custom) 0.00 12.00 23.00 18.00 Date 30-Jun-2011 30-Jun-2014 17-Dec-2015 30-Jun-2018 Number of data sets uploaded to the National Data Archive (NADA) (Number, Custom) 9.00 19.00 24.00 Date 30-Jun-2011 17-Dec-2015 30-Jun-2018 2/2/2016 Page 7 of 10
Performance against Annual Release Calendar (Percentage, Custom) 0.00 43.00 47.00 72.00 Date 30-Jun-2011 03-Jun-2015 17-Dec-2015 30-Jun-2018 New NBS and OCGS buildings (Text, Custom) Accommodation for NBS and OCGS is inadequate Drawings, Bill of Quantities and Bidding Documents Completed for OCGS. Start construction of building. Start of Procurement Process for design and supervision contract for NBS. Buildings construction completed Date 30-Jun-2011 03-Jun-2015 17-Dec-2015 30-Jun-2018 ICT equipment and vehicules (Text, Custom) ICT needs assessment for OCGS in place 52 motor cycles procured. LAN and WAN equipment for NBS procured and installed Procurement of new ICT equipment in line with ICT needs assessment, four motor vehicles and 52 motor cycles Date 30-Jun-2011 17-Dec-2015 30-Jun-2018 Overall Comments Data on Financial Performance 2/2/2016 Page 8 of 10
Disbursements (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Currency Original Revised Cancelled Disbursed Undisbursed Disbursed P107722 IDA-48950 Effective XDR 19.30 19.30 0.00 13.45 5.85 70% Key Dates (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Approval Date Signing Date Effectiveness Date Orig. Closing Date Rev. Closing Date P107722 IDA-48950 Effective 24-Mar-2011 13-May-2011 09-Aug-2011 31-Oct-2016 30-Jun-2018 Cumulative Disbursements Restructuring History Level Approved on 09-Jul-2013,Level 2 Approved on 29-May-2015,Level 2 Approved on 10-Dec-2015 Related Project(s) There are no related projects. 2/2/2016 Page 9 of 10
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