Jefferies 2018 Industrials Conference. Curt Espeland, EVP and Chief Financial Officer August 7, 2018

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Transcription:

Jefferies 2018 Industrials Conference Curt Espeland, EVP and Chief Financial Officer August 7, 2018

Forward-looking statements During this presentation, we make certain forward-looking statements concerning plans and expectations for Eastman Chemical Company. We caution you that actual events or results may differ materially from our plans and expectations. See our Form 10-Q for second quarter 2018 filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission for risks and uncertainties which could cause actual results to differ materially from current expectations. Non-GAAP financial measures All earnings measures in this presentation are non-gaap and exclude certain non-core and unusual items. In addition, earnings per share are calculated with an adjusted tax rate that is the forecasted full year tax rate that excludes the provision for income taxes for non-core and unusual items. Debt to EBITDA Ratio is defined as Total Debt divided by Adjusted EBITDA. EBITDA is net earnings or net earnings per share before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization adjusted to exclude the same non-core and any unusual or non-recurring items as are excluded from the Company's other non-gaap earnings measures for the same periods. EBITDA Margin is EBITDA divided by the GAAP measure sales revenue in the Company s income statement for the period presented. Projections of future Adjusted EBITDA and EBITDA Margin also exclude any non-core or non-recurring items. Free cash flow is cash provided by operating activities (with any adjustments to exclude non-core, unusual, or non-recurring sources or uses of cash or including cash from or used by activities that are managed as part of core business operations) less the amount of capital expenditures (typically cash used for additions to properties and equipment, and in first six months 2018 net of proceeds from property insurance). Return on Invested Capital (or ROIC ) is adjusted net income plus interest expense after tax divided by average total borrowings plus average stockholders equity for the period presented, each derived from the GAAP measures in the Company s financial statements for the periods presented. Reconciliations to the most directly comparable GAAP financial measures and other associated disclosures, including a description of the excluded and adjusted items, are available in the Management s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations sections of the Forms 10-K and 10-Q filed and the Forms 8-K furnished with the SEC for the periods for which non-gaap financial measures are presented. Projections of future earnings exclude any non-core, unusual, or non-recurring items and assume that the adjusted tax rate for the most recent completed period will be the actual tax rate for the projected periods. Unless otherwise indicated, except for earnings per share, all dollar amounts are millions ($M) or billions ($B). 2

Strong value creation expected going forward Core sales revenue growth in line with end markets Specialty products growing >2x underlying markets 23% CORPORATE EBITDA MARGIN and increasing with improved product mix >$1 billion ANNUAL FREE CASH FLOW and growing 10% 15% RETURN ON INVESTED CAPITAL (ROIC) creating value above cost of capital and growing over time 8% 12% EPS CAGR 2018 2020 3

Unique innovation-driven growth model delivers consistent, sustainable value World-Class Technology Platforms Differentiated Application Development Relentlessly Engage the Market Significant integration and scale enable innovation, reliability and cost advantage Advantaged growth and execution capability and culture Aggressive and disciplined portfolio management 4

$M Strong and growing cash from operations driven by continued growth in corporate earnings $1,800 $1,500 $1,200 OPERATING CASH FLOW 2010 2020F Operating cash flow growing with our businesses Will continue working capital discipline in line with growth $900 $600 2018 operating cash flow negatively impacted by coal gas incident $300 $0 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018F 2019F 2020F 5

$M Targeted capital expenditures funding organic growth and maintenance $700 $600 $500 CAPITAL EXPENDITURES 2010 2020F Annual maintenance capital expected to be $300 $350 million Will continue to fund targeted growth initiatives $400 $300 $200 $100 Anticipate future projects will be driven by innovation and other growth programs Recent examples include Tritan TM, Crystex TM, PVB resin, and ketones $0 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018F 2019F 2020F Maintenance & incremental growth Growth Coal gas repair & restart Expected return on growth investments of 10% 15%+ % of sales 4% 6% 6% 5% 6% 7% 7% 6% 5% 5% 5% 6

$M Free cash flow over next 3 years expected to be ~$3.5 billion $1,500 FREE CASH FLOW 2010 2020F $1,200 $900 $600 $300 $0 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018F 2019F 2020F Expect to fully deploy free cash flow 7

$M Maintain investment-grade credit rating that provides financial flexibility to invest in growth and reward stockholders $8,000 $7,000 $6,000 $5,000 TOTAL DEBT 4.0x 3.5x 3.0x 2.5x $4,000 $3,000 $2,000 $1,000 $0 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018F 2019F 2020F 2.0x 1.5x 1.0x 0.5x 0.0x Expect ~2.5x debt to EBITDA ratio in next 12 to 24 months 8

$M Strong balance sheet and sufficient liquidity $1,200 $800 $400 $0 PUBLIC DEBT MATURITIES 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2042 2044 Remain committed to investment-grade credit rating Expect to delever over next 12 24 months Manageable debt maturities in 2019 and 2020 Sources of liquidity: $1.25 billion revolver $300 million accounts receivable securitization program Meaningful return of cash to stockholders Combination of cash flow generation, strong balance sheet, and liquidity provides flexibility to pursue growth 9

$M Long history of returning capital to stockholders $2.50 DIVIDENDS PER SHARE CAGR ~13% (2010 2017) $800 $2.4B OF CAPITAL RETURNED TO STOCKHOLDERS (2013 2017) $2.00 $600 $1.50 $1.00 $0.50 $400 $200 $0.00 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018F $0 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018F Dividends Share repurchases $2B share repurchase authorization 10

A sustained high level of returns as the company grows Earnings 20% RETURN ON INVESTED CAPITAL (ROIC) 15% Innovation- Driven Growth 10% 5% Cash flow ROIC 0% 2017 2020F Expect ROIC of 10% 15% as the company grows in a disciplined manner 11

Position of strength Expect to generate free cash flow approaching ~$3.5 billion 2018 2020 Maintain capital structure that provides financial flexibility to invest for growth and reward stockholders Strong balance sheet and sufficient liquidity foundation for growth Continue to improve ROIC with an expectation to return 10% 15% Strong execution track record enables sustainable value creation 12

Appendix

Reconciliation of Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities to Free Cash Flow ($ in millions) 2004 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Net cash provided by operating activities 494 575 625 1,128 1,297 1,433 1,624 1,385 1,657 Add: adjustments to net cash provided by operating activities 1,2,3 200 110 150 Adjusted net cash provided by operating activities 494 775 735 1,128 1,297 1,433 1,624 1,535 1,657 Additions to property and equipment 248 243 457 465 483 593 652 626 649 Free cash flow 246 532 278 663 814 840 972 909 1,008 1) 2010 cash from operating activities reflected the adoption of amended accounting guidance for transfers of financial assets which resulted in $200 million of receivables, which were previously accounted for as sold and removed from the balance sheet when transferred under the accounts receivable securitization program being included on the first quarter balance sheet as trade receivables, net. This increase in receivables reduced cash from operations by $200 million in first quarter 2010. 2) 2011 cash from operating activities included the use of $110 million for tax payments for the tax gain on the sale of PET business completed in first quarter 2011. 3) 2015 cash from operating activities included an accelerated pension contribution of $150 million. Reconciliation of return on invested capital (ROIC) ($ in millions) 2017 Adjusted Net Income 1,112 Plus Interest Expense, net of tax 159 Total 1,270 Average Debt 6,513 Average Equity 4,830 Total Average Investment 11,343 ROIC 11.2% Note: Average adjusted equity is computed by summing current and prior year Total Eastman stockholders equity plus current year non-core and unusual items net of tax as shown in the reconciliation of adjusted net income, all divided by two. 14