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Copyright 2014 April 24-30, 2014 502 Interviews Michigan HAI3237 Margin of Error: +/- 4.4% Hello, my name is from HAI, a national research firm. [IF LANDLINE] We're conducting a survey in Michigan to get people's opinions on important issues. This number was selected at random and according to the research procedure, I would like to speak to the [ALTERNATE: YOUNGEST/OLDEST] [ALTERNATE: MAN/WOMAN] at this address who is registered to vote. [IF CELL PHONE] We're conducting a survey of cell phone users in Michigan to get people's opinions on important issues. Since you are on a cell phone, I can call you back if you are driving or doing anything else that requires your full attention. Can you talk safely and privately now? [IF YES, CONTINUE. IF NO, SCHEDULE CALLBACK] RESUME ASKING ALL RESPONDENTS QB. Are you officially registered to vote in that county in Michigan? Yes... 100% No/(Don t know) --------> TERMINATE QC. In November, elections will be held for Governor, U.S. Senate, Congress, and other offices. But there is no election for President. Although it is a while away, how likely are you to vote in that election: will you definitely vote; probably but not certainly vote in it; are the chances about 50-50 that you will vote, or is it likely that you will not vote in November? Q1. When it comes to politics, do you generally think of yourself as a Democrat, an Independent or a Republican? ASK IF DEMOCRAT/REPUBLICAN Would you call yourself a strong [DEMOCRAT/REPUBLICAN] or a not very strong [DEMOCRAT/REPUBLICAN]? Definitely vote... 76% Probably vote... 24 All other responses----> TERMINATE Strong Democrat... 22% Weak Democrat... 11 Independent... 31 Weak Republican... 10 Strong Republican... 14 VOL: (Green Party)... - VOL: (Other/Don't know)... 11 TOTAL DEMOCRAT... 34% TOTAL INDEPENDENT... 31 TOTAL REPUBLICAN... 24 RESUME ASKING ALL RESPONDENTS Q2. Now I'd like to ask your impressions of some people in public life. As I read each name, tell me whether your impression of that person is very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable. If you don't recognize a name, just say so. Here's the first one: [READ ITEM] Have you heard of that person? [IF YES] Is your impression of that person very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable? FAVORABLE UNFAVORABLE (Can t Never RECOGNITION TOTAL ROTATE Very Some (Mixed) Some Very rate) heard Effective Total Fav Unfav Barack Obama... 27% 20 2 13 34 5-95% 100% 47% 47 Terri Lynn Land... 9% 20 2 8 10 15 37 49% 63% 29% 18 Gary Peters... 8% 18 1 10 11 18 34 48% 66% 26% 21 Q3. In the election for Governor later this year, if the candidates are [ROTATE:] Mark Schauer, the Democrat, AND Rick Snyder, the Republican, for whom would you vote? [IF UNDECIDED, ASK] Who would you lean toward supporting if the election were held today? Likely Definite Schauer... 36% 36% (Lean Schauer)... 1 1 Snyder... 46 49 (Lean Snyder)... 2 2 VOL: (Don't know)... 15 12 As you may know, Carl Levin is retiring this year, and will not seek another term in the U.S. Senate. TOTAL SCHAUER... 37% 38% TOTAL SNYDER... 48 50 Q4. In the election for U.S. Senate, if the candidates are [ROTATE:] Gary Peters, the Democrat, AND Terri Lynn Land, the Republican, for whom would you vote? [IF UNDECIDED, ASK] Who would you lean toward supporting if the election were held today? Likely Definite Peters... 40% 42% (Lean Peters)... 2 2 Land... 35 37 (Lean Land)... 2 2 VOL: (Don't know)... 21 18 TOTAL PETERS... 42% 43% TOTAL LAND... 37 38

Hickman Analytics, Inc. HAI3237 Michigan Page 2/3 Now for a few questions on other issues. Q5. Do you strongly support, somewhat support, somewhat oppose, or strongly oppose oil and natural gas extraction that uses hydraulic fracturing, sometimes known as fracking? SUPPORT: Strongly... 19% SUPPORT: Somewhat... 21 OPPOSE: Somewhat... 17 OPPOSE: Strongly... 20 VOL: (Don't know)... 23 TOTAL SUPPORT... 40% TOTAL OPPOSE... 37 Q6. Do you strongly support, somewhat support, somewhat oppose, or strongly oppose the construction of the Keystone XL oil pipeline across Montana, South Dakota, and Nebraska to bring oil from Canada and the northern U.S. to refineries in Texas? SUPPORT: Strongly... 31% SUPPORT: Somewhat... 29 OPPOSE: Somewhat... 9 OPPOSE: Strongly... 14 VOL: (Don't know)... 17 TOTAL SUPPORT... 60% TOTAL OPPOSE... 23 As you may have heard, after five years of studying the Keystone XL pipeline, the Obama administration recently announced that it will delay a final decision, possibly until after the elections this fall. Q7. The administration says it needs more time to gather information about the legal status and environmental impact of the pipeline. Pipeline supporters in both parties say the delay is a political favor to Obama s liberal allies that will cost the country jobs and energy independence. How about you, [ROTATE] Do you think the delay is necessary to gather more information, OR... 30% Do you think the delay is mostly about politics?... 57 VOL: (Don't know)... 13 Q8. For this question, assume that President Obama delays making a decision on the Keystone XL pipeline until after the election. Would Obama delaying a decision on the Keystone XL pipeline make you much more likely, somewhat more likely, somewhat less likely, or much less likely to vote for Gary Peters for U.S. Senate? MORE LIKELY: Much... 10% MORE LIKELY: Somewhat... 13 LESS LIKELY: Somewhat... 12 LESS LIKELY: Much... 19 VOL: (No difference)... 21 VOL: (Don't know)... 26 TOTAL MORE LIKELY... 23% TOTAL LESS LIKELY... 31 ASK IF SUPPORT [N = 301, MoE = 5.6%] Q9. And, assume that President Obama denies the permit to construct the Keystone XL pipeline. Would Obama denying the permit to construct the Keystone XL pipeline make you much more likely, somewhat more likely, somewhat less likely, or much less likely to vote for Gary Peters for U.S. Senate? MORE LIKELY: Much... 8% MORE LIKELY: Somewhat... 13 LESS LIKELY: Somewhat... 15 LESS LIKELY: Much... 30 VOL: (No difference)... 21 VOL: (Don't know)... 13 TOTAL MORE LIKELY... 21% TOTAL LESS LIKELY... 45 RESUME ASKING ALL RESPONDENTS Q10. Looking ahead, how important are energy issues, including the Keystone XL pipeline, in terms of how you will vote in this year s election? Are they very important, somewhat important, not very important, or not important at all in determining how you will vote? Very important... 28% Somewhat important... 43 Not very important... 15 Not important at all... 10 VOL: (Depends)... 1 VOL: (Don't know)... 3 TOTAL IMPORTANT... 71% TOTAL NOT IMPORTANT... 25 Now I would like to ask you a few final questions for statistical purposes only. D100. Sex. Male... 48% Female... 52 D101. What is your age? 18-24... 6% 25-29... 3 30-34... 5 35-39... 5 40-44... 8 45-49... 9 50-54... 11 55-59... 10 60-64... 13 65+... 29 VOL: (Refused)... 1

Hickman Analytics, Inc. HAI3237 Michigan Page 3/3 D105. When it comes to politics, do you generally think of yourself as liberal, somewhat liberal, moderate, somewhat conservative or conservative? Liberal... 16% Somewhat liberal... 13 Moderate... 21 Somewhat conservative... 17 Conservative... 27 VOL: (Don t know)... 6 TOTAL LIBERAL... 29% TOTAL CONSERVATIVE... 44 D510. Do you have a landline telephone? Yes... 66% No... 33 VOL: (Don't know/not sure)... 1 D511. Do you have a mobile telephone? Yes... 90% No... 10 VOL: (Don't know/not sure)... * D512. Would you say you mainly use your landline telephone, mainly use your mobile phone, or do you use both equally? Landline only... 10% Landline mostly... 15 Both... 24 Cell mostly... 16 Cell only... 34 VOL: (Don't know)... * TOTAL LANDLINE... 25% TOTAL CELL... 50 D300. And just to make sure we have a representative sample of voters, could you please tell me your race? [IF NECESSARY] Well, most people consider themselves black or white? Black... 12% White... 83 VOL: (Other)... 2 VOL: (Don t know/refused)... 3 D301. Do you consider yourself a Hispanic, Latino, or Spanish-speaking American? Yes... 4% No... 94 VOL: (Don't know/refused)... 2 Thank you for taking the time to complete this interview.

Personal popularity of U.S. Senate candidates Gary Peters Terri Lynn Land Total Total CR/ Net Total Total CR/ Net Total Fav Unfav NH Fav Fav Unfav NH Fav Total recognition Gary Terri Lynn Peters Land Effective recognition Gary Terri Lynn Peters Land TOTAL 502 26% 21 52 5 29% 18 51 11 66% 63% 48% 49% Definite voters 381 28% 24 47 4 32% 20 46 12 70% 68% 53% 54% Wayne 73 36% 30 35 6 29% 19 47 10 78% 65% 65% 53% Oakland 72 36% 32 31 4 31% 17 51 14 82% 67% 69% 49% Rest of Detroit 103 29% 22 47 7 19% 18 62 1 72% 54% 53% 38% All of Detroit 249 33% 27 39 6 25% 18 54 7 77% 61% 61% 46% Grand Rapids 111 18% 14 67 4 32% 18 47 13 54% 66% 33% 53% Flint 58 15% 15 70 0 26% 21 52 5 52% 68% 30% 48% Rest of state 84 23% 17 59 6 36% 15 49 21 59% 63% 41% 51% White 418 22% 23 54-1 29% 18 51 11 65% 65% 46% 49% Other 84 45% 9 45 36 26% 19 54 7 68% 56% 55% 46% Democrat 168 42% 9 48 33 23% 28 48-5 67% 65% 52% 52% Republican 121 13% 34 53-21 35% 9 54 26 66% 64% 47% 46% Others 212 20% 23 55-3 29% 15 53 14 65% 62% 45% 47% Male 201 22% 27 50-5 32% 15 51 17 65% 65% 50% 49% Female 217 22% 20 57 2 26% 20 51 6 65% 64% 43% 49% 18-39 74 13% 12 73 1 20% 14 63 6 42% 50% 27% 37% 40-59 153 25% 21 53 4 33% 20 45 14 67% 70% 47% 55% 60+ 191 23% 30 47-7 29% 18 51 11 73% 66% 53% 49% Liberal 302 17% 28 54-11 34% 14 50 20 65% 65% 46% 50% Conservative 190 13% 34 52-21 40% 10 48 30 69% 68% 48% 52% Other 112 24% 17 57 7 23% 20 54 3 59% 60% 43% 46% PETERS: Rate favorably 130 100% 0 0 100 27% 40 33-13 100% 74% 100% 67% PETERS: Rate not favorably 110 0% 96 0-96 48% 19 29 29 100% 83% 100% 71% LAND: Rate favorably 143 24% 36 39-12 100% 0 0 100 73% 100% 61% 100% LAND: Rate not favorably 101 52% 23 23 29 0% 90 0-90 88% 100% 77% 100% Can rate both 165 53% 46 0 7 53% 44 0 9 100% 100% 100% 100% SENATE VOTE Peters 211 49% 10 39 40 17% 35 48-17 74% 63% 61% 52% Land 185 8% 39 52-31 51% 4 41 47 66% 75% 48% 59% Don't know 106 10% 12 78-2 11% 9 77 2 48% 43% 22% 23% Support 203 22% 29 49-7 40% 12 47 29 65% 67% 51% 53% Oppose 184 32% 17 49 15 24% 28 47-4 69% 67% 51% 53% Don't know 115 23% 14 64 9 15% 13 67 1 61% 51% 36% 33% Support 301 26% 27 47-1 35% 15 48 21 68% 66% 53% 52% Oppose 115 34% 15 50 19 20% 34 46-14 69% 62% 50% 54% Don't know 86 16% 10 73 6 16% 9 70 7 54% 55% 27% 30% Need more time 152 38% 14 48 24 19% 29 52-10 64% 59% 52% 48% Politics 286 20% 28 51-8 35% 14 48 21 67% 67% 49% 52% Don't know 63 23% 7 67 16 22% 9 66 13 61% 57% 33% 34% DELAY: More likely 114 46% 11 43 34 30% 25 43 5 67% 65% 57% 57% DELAY: Less likely 156 17% 40 42-23 38% 13 47 24 69% 67% 58% 53% DELAY: No difference/dk 233 22% 13 63 9 22% 18 58 4 62% 60% 37% 42% DENY: More likely 63 48% 12 40 37 29% 23 46 7 73% 65% 60% 54% DENY: Less likely 134 20% 35 45-15 41% 11 46 30 64% 65% 55% 54% DENY: No difference/dk 104 19% 25 54-6 32% 15 52 17 70% 69% 46% 48% Very important 139 22% 28 49-5 33% 18 49 15 63% 62% 51% 51% Not very important 363 27% 19 53 9 27% 18 52 9 67% 64% 47% 48%

U.S. Senate vote preference Total Net Peters Land DK Peters TOTAL 502 42% 37 21 5 Definite voters 381 43% 38 18 5 Wayne 73 50% 36 14 14 Oakland 72 44% 32 23 12 Rest of Detroit 103 42% 31 27 11 All of Detroit 249 45% 33 22 12 Grand Rapids 111 40% 43 17-2 Flint 58 34% 40 26-6 Rest of state 84 41% 39 20 2 White 418 37% 42 21-4 Other 84 66% 13 22 53 Democrat 168 79% 11 10 67 Republican 121 6% 76 18-70 Others 212 33% 35 32-1 Male 201 34% 46 20-12 Female 217 40% 38 22 2 18-39 74 43% 32 25 11 40-59 153 37% 42 21-5 60+ 191 35% 45 20-10 Liberal 302 26% 52 22-26 Conservative 190 20% 64 16-43 Other 112 35% 32 33 3 PETERS: Rate favorably 130 80% 12 8 68 PETERS: Rate not favorably 110 22% 67 12-45 LAND: Rate favorably 143 25% 66 8-41 LAND: Rate not favorably 101 74% 14 12 59 Can rate both 165 54% 38 8 16 Support 203 37% 52 12-15 Oppose 184 51% 25 23 26 Don't know 115 37% 29 35 8 Support 301 37% 47 17-10 Oppose 115 63% 15 23 48 Don't know 86 34% 32 34 1 Need more time 152 68% 17 15 51 Politics 286 30% 50 20-20 Don't know 63 34% 24 42 9 DELAY: More likely 114 71% 23 6 48 DELAY: Less likely 156 24% 59 17-35 DELAY: No difference/dk 233 40% 29 31 11 DENY: More likely 63 67% 26 6 41 DENY: Less likely 134 22% 60 18-38 DENY: No difference/dk 104 37% 41 23-4 Very important 139 39% 46 15-7 Not very important 363 43% 33 23 10

Keystone pipeline and hydraulic fracturing Q5. Hydraulic fracturing Q6. Keystone pipeline Net Net Total Support Oppose DK Support Support Oppose DK Support TOTAL 502 40% 37 23 4 60% 23 17 37 Definite voters 381 43% 35 23 8 62% 22 16 40 Wayne 73 42% 27 31 15 63% 20 17 43 Oakland 72 40% 33 27 7 64% 17 19 46 Rest of Detroit 103 37% 35 28 3 66% 17 17 49 All of Detroit 249 39% 32 29 8 64% 18 18 46 Grand Rapids 111 45% 35 20 10 52% 27 21 26 Flint 58 34% 45 21-12 60% 23 17 38 Rest of state 84 42% 47 11-5 56% 33 11 24 White 418 42% 37 21 4 63% 20 17 43 Other 84 35% 33 32 2 44% 36 20 8 Democrat 168 35% 42 24-7 50% 31 20 19 Republican 121 56% 17 26 39 77% 9 14 68 Others 212 36% 44 20-8 58% 25 17 33 Male 201 51% 33 15 18 77% 14 9 63 Female 217 32% 41 27-9 50% 26 24 25 18-39 74 33% 44 23-11 50% 26 23 24 40-59 153 41% 41 18 1 68% 25 8 43 60+ 191 45% 32 23 13 64% 14 22 50 Liberal 302 46% 31 23 15 68% 14 18 54 Conservative 190 54% 23 22 31 74% 9 17 65 Other 112 31% 44 25-12 58% 23 19 34 PETERS: Rate favorably 130 35% 45 20-11 59% 30 11 29 PETERS: Rate not favorably 110 54% 32 14 22 74% 17 9 57 LAND: Rate favorably 143 57% 31 12 26 74% 16 10 58 LAND: Rate not favorably 101 26% 53 21-28 49% 38 12 11 Can rate both 165 45% 41 14 4 67% 27 6 40 SENATE VOTE Peters 211 35% 45 20-10 52% 34 14 18 Land 185 57% 25 18 31 76% 9 15 67 Don't know 106 23% 40 38-17 48% 25 28 23 Support 203 100% 0 0 100 82% 12 7 70 Oppose 184 0% 100 0-100 44% 44 13 0 Don't know 115 0% 0 100 0 48% 9 43 38 Support 301 55% 27 18 28 100% 0 0 100 Oppose 115 21% 70 9-49 0% 100 0-100 Don't know 86 16% 27 57-12 0% 0 100 0 Need more time 152 29% 48 23-19 45% 35 19 10 Politics 286 50% 33 17 17 74% 17 9 56 Don't know 63 26% 27 47-1 32% 18 50 14 DELAY: More likely 114 45% 35 20 9 60% 31 9 29 DELAY: Less likely 156 52% 31 18 21 79% 17 4 63 DELAY: No difference/dk 233 31% 41 28-10 47% 23 30 24 DENY: More likely 63 43% 32 25 11 100% 0 0 100 DENY: Less likely 134 65% 22 13 42 100% 0 0 100 DENY: No difference/dk 104 50% 29 21 21 100% 0 0 100 Very important 139 54% 33 13 22 73% 20 7 54 Not very important 363 35% 38 27-3 55% 24 21 31

Reason for delay and effect on Peters Senate vote Q7. Reason for delay Q8. Effect on vote if delayed Q9. Effect on vote if denied Gather Mostly Net More Less None Net More Less None Net Total information politics DK information likely likely /DK More Total likely likely /DK More TOTAL 502 30% 57 13-27 23% 31 46-8 301 21% 45 34-24 Definite voters 381 30% 58 12-29 24% 30 46-5 237 20% 45 35-24 Wayne 73 36% 47 18-11 29% 27 44 2 46 29% 41 29-12 Oakland 72 29% 53 18-25 14% 34 52-20 46 12% 52 36-39 Rest of Detroit 103 28% 57 15-29 19% 33 48-13 68 22% 38 40-16 All of Detroit 249 30% 53 16-23 20% 31 48-11 161 21% 43 36-22 Grand Rapids 111 31% 63 6-32 22% 29 49-8 58 21% 41 38-20 Flint 58 23% 66 11-43 20% 37 43-18 35 17% 50 33-33 Rest of state 84 34% 55 11-22 32% 28 40 4 47 22% 51 27-29 White 418 26% 62 12-35 20% 34 46-14 264 17% 48 35-32 Other 84 50% 35 15 15 35% 15 50 20 37 52% 20 28 32 Democrat 168 48% 38 14 10 42% 17 41 25 84 41% 32 26 9 Republican 121 16% 73 11-57 15% 45 40-30 93 14% 58 28-43 Others 212 24% 63 13-39 12% 34 54-23 124 12% 43 45-31 Male 201 25% 66 9-42 22% 36 42-15 154 14% 53 33-39 Female 217 28% 57 15-29 19% 32 49-13 110 20% 42 38-21 18-39 74 36% 49 15-12 23% 32 45-9 37 21% 58 22-37 40-59 153 24% 65 10-41 18% 37 46-19 103 10% 52 38-42 60+ 191 24% 63 13-39 21% 33 46-12 123 21% 42 37-21 Liberal 302 21% 66 14-45 16% 37 47-21 205 15% 50 35-35 Conservative 190 19% 69 12-49 17% 42 41-25 140 12% 54 35-42 Other 112 23% 60 16-37 16% 29 55-14 65 22% 41 37-20 PETERS: Rate favorably 130 44% 45 11-1 40% 20 40 20 77 39% 35 25 4 PETERS: Rate not favorably 110 19% 75 6-55 12% 58 31-46 82 9% 57 34-48 LAND: Rate favorably 143 20% 70 10-50 24% 41 35-17 106 17% 52 31-34 LAND: Rate not favorably 101 44% 48 7-4 30% 24 46 6 49 31% 35 35-4 Can rate both 165 35% 59 6-24 29% 33 37-4 111 24% 45 31-21 SENATE VOTE Peters 211 49% 41 10 9 38% 17 44 21 110 38% 27 35 12 Land 185 14% 78 8-64 14% 50 36-35 140 12% 58 30-46 Don't know 106 21% 54 25-33 6% 26 68-20 51 8% 46 46-39 Support 203 21% 70 8-49 25% 40 35-15 166 16% 53 31-36 Oppose 184 40% 51 9-11 22% 26 52-4 80 25% 37 37-12 Don't know 115 31% 43 26-13 20% 24 56-4 55 29% 32 40-3 Support 301 23% 70 7-47 23% 41 36-18 301 21% 45 34-24 Oppose 115 47% 43 10 4 31% 22 47 8 0 0% 0 0 0 Don't know 86 34% 29 37 5 12% 8 80 4 0 0% 0 0 0 Need more time 152 100% 0 0 100 39% 14 46 25 69 37% 24 39 13 Politics 286 0% 100 0-100 16% 44 40-27 211 16% 53 31-38 Don't know 63 0% 0 100 0 11% 13 76-2 20 22% 26 53-4 DELAY: More likely 114 52% 41 6 11 100% 0 0 100 68 65% 30 5 35 DELAY: Less likely 156 14% 81 5-67 0% 100 0-100 123 7% 81 11-74 DELAY: No difference/dk 233 30% 49 21-19 0% 0 100 0 109 9% 13 79-4 DENY: More likely 63 40% 53 7-12 70% 14 15 56 63 100% 0 0 100 DENY: Less likely 134 12% 84 4-71 15% 75 10-60 134 0% 100 0-100 DENY: No difference/dk 104 26% 64 10-38 4% 13 83-10 104 0% 0 100 0 Very important 139 28% 65 7-38 28% 47 25-18 102 25% 56 19-32 Not very important 363 31% 54 15-23 20% 25 55-5 198 19% 39 42-20