Operational Forum Meeting Place your chosen image here. The four corners must just cover the arrow tips. For covers, the three pictures should be the same size and in a straight line. 23 January 216, 1:3 AM Radisson Grafton Hotel, 13 Tottenham Court Road, London. 1
System Management Principles Statement Place your chosen image here. The four corners must just cover the arrow tips. For covers, the three pictures should be the same size and in a straight line. Summary of balancing actions and breaches for December 216 Performance compared to last year 2
Summary Report January 217 Jan-17 Total Number of Buy Actions 15 Total Number of Sell Actions Total 15 Number of Balancing Actions (Calendar year to date) Jan-17 Jan-16 15 22 3
Operational Overview Place your chosen image here. The four corners must just cover the arrow tips. For covers, the three pictures should be the same size and in a straight line. 4
Demands Place your chosen image here. The four corners must just cover the arrow tips. For covers, the three pictures should be the same size and in a straight line. 6
mcm Gas Demand Breakdown 1 st January 216 to 31 st January 217 vs Previous Year 4 35 3 25 2 15 1 5 NDM DM (Exc Interconnectors) Total Interconnector Export Storage Injection Previous Years Actual Demand 6
Gas Demand Breakdown 1 st October 216 to 31 st January 217 vs Same Period in Previous Years 1% 9% 8% 7% 3% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 3% 3% 3% 4% 3% 4% 3% 4% 1% 6% 7% 9% 15% 13% 19% 17% 14% 15% 16% 17% 24% 6% 5% 4% 3% 64% 62% 72% 7% 68% 62% 65% 2% 1% % 21 211 212 213 214 215 216 LDZ Power Station Interconnectors Storage Industrial 7
mcm Gas Demand Statistics 1 st October 216 to 31 st January 217 6 5 4 3 2 1 Gas Year Average Gas Year Max to date Gas Year Min to date NDM DM (Exc Interconnectors) Storage Injection Total Interconnector Export 8
mcm Demand Variance from SND 1 st January 216 to 31 st January 217 1 8 6 4 2-2 -4-6 Demand / SND Variance 9
mcm Gas Demand Vs SND / Cold / Warm 1 st January 216 to 31 st January 217 45 4 35 3 25 2 15 1 5 Total Demand SND Cold Warm 1
mcm LDZ Actual Demand Vs LDZ SND 1 st April 216 to 31 st January 217 2 18 16 14 12 1 8 6 4 2 Summer Average [Apr 16 to Sep 16] Winter Average [Oct 16 to Date] LDZ Actual LDZ SND 11
mcm LDZ Demand / LDZ SND Variance 1 st January 216 to 31 st January 217 8 6 4 2-2 -4-6 -8 Demand / SND Variance 12
mcm Gas Consumption for Power Generation 1 st January 216 to 31 st January 217 1 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 Actual for Power Generation Previous Year 13
Supplies Place your chosen image here. The four corners must just cover the arrow tips. For covers, the three pictures should be the same size and in a straight line. 14
mcm Gas Supply Breakdown 1 st January 216 to 31 st January 217 vs Previous Year 4 35 3 25 2 15 1 5 Gas Day UKCS Norwegian LNG BBL LRS MRS IUK SRS Previous Year Supply 15
Gas Supply Breakdown 1 st October 216 to 31 st January 217 vs Same Period in Previous Years 1% 9% 8% 7% 8% 5% 8% 1% 16% 19% 8% 7% 9% 7% 6% 5% 13% 8% 12% 14% 13% 3% 7% 1% 8% 6% 5% 24% 3% 36% 37% 38% 37% 41% 4% 3% 2% 39% 42% 33% 36% 34% 38% 38% 1% % 211 212 213 214 215 216 217 UKCS Norwegian LNG Interconnectors Storage 16
mcm NSS (Non Storage Supply) 1 st October 216 to 31 st January 217 6 55 5 45 4 35 3 25 2 15 1 5 Gas Year Average Gas Year Max to date Margins Notice Assumptions Capacity UKCS Norway LNG BBL IUK 17
mcm pp/th differential (NBP vs. Zee) IUK Flows vs NBP & ZEE Price Differential 1 st January 216 to 31 st January 217 8 6 + IMPORT TO NBP 1 8 4 2 6 4 2-2 -2-4 -6 - EXPORT TO ZEE -4-6 -8-8 -1 IUK IUK Import Capacity IUK Export Capacity IUK Price Differential 18
mcm LNG Terminal Flows 1 st January 216 to 31 st January 217 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 South Hook Dragon Isle of Grain Previous Year LNG 19
mcm Norwegian Flows 1 st January 216 to 31 st January 217 16 14 12 1 8 6 4 2 Langeled FLAGS [estimated] Vesterled [estimated] Previous Year Norway 2
mcm Storage Withdrawal vs Injection 1 st January 216 to 31 st January 217 12 1 8 6 4 2-2 -4-6 -8 Withdrawal Injection 21
twh Long Range Storage Stocks (LRS) 1 st October 216 to 31 st January 217 vs Previous Years 45 4 35 3 25 2 15 1 5 LRS 216/217 LRS 215/216 LRS 214/215 LRS 213/214 22
twh Medium Range Storage Stocks (MRS) 1 st October 216 to 31 st January 217 vs Previous Years 16 14 12 1 8 6 4 2 MRS 216/217 MRS 215/216 MRS 214/215 MRS 213/214 23
% Combined EU Storage Stocks (% Full) 1 st October 216 to 31 st January 217 vs Previous Years 1 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 216/17 215/16 214/15 213/14 24
p/therm UK Gas Prices 1 st January 216 to 31 st January 217 vs Previous Year 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 SAP SMPB SMPS Previous Year SAP 25
What Operational Issues Affected Users? 26
Transporter Actions and Neutrality Place your chosen image here. The four corners must just cover the arrow tips. For covers, the three pictures should be the same size and in a straight line. Energy Balancing Capacity 28
Gwh Transporter Energy Traded on the OCM NGG Monthly Buys and Sells 1 st January 2167 to 31 st January 217 vs Previous Year 6 7 5 4 3 2 1 6 5 4 3 2 1-1 -2-3 -4-5 -1-2 -3-4 -5-6 -6-7 Buy 215/16 Buy Prev Year Sell 215/16 Sell Prev Year 28
% Days of Default SMP Prices (SMPB) January 216 to January 217 1 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 SMPB [NG Set Price] SMPB [Default Marginal] 29
% Days of Default SMP Prices (SMPS) January 216 to January 217 1 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 SMPS [NG Set Price] SMPS [Default Marginal] 3
Energy Balancing Balancing Costs Payments / Charges / Net Credit / Debit (Imbalance / Scheduling / OCM) December 216 2,, 18,, 2,827,96 Net Credit 155,9 16,, 14,, 434,957 1,26,29 12,, 1,, 8,, 15,489,949 15,111,856 6,, 4,, 2,, Credits Debits 31
Energy Balancing Balancing Costs Payments / Charges / Net Credit / Debit (Imbalance / Scheduling / OCM) December 216 Nov-16 Imbalance Payment [DCS] - 15,111,855.69 Charge [DCT] 15,489,949.31 Scheduling Exit Charge [DXS] 13,744.34 Exit Charge [EXS] 12,677.94 Entry Charge [ESC] 318,535.1 OCM Payment [TTB] - 1,26,29.29 Charge [TTS] 2,827,959.54 Balancing Costs 2,434,81.16 32
Energy Balancing Balancing Costs OCM Payments / Charges December 216 1,4, 1,2, 1,, 8, 6, 4, 2, -2, -4, -6, 1/12/216 8/12/216 15/12/216 22/12/216 29/12/216 Payment [TTB] Charge [TTS] 33
Energy Balancing Balancing Costs Imbalance Payments / Charges December 216 2,5, 2,, 1,5, 1,, 5, -5, -1,, -1,5, -2,, 1/12/216 8/12/216 15/12/216 22/12/216 29/12/216 Payment [DCS] Charge [DCT] 34
Energy Balancing Balancing Costs Scheduling Charges December 216 35, 3, 25, 2, 15, 1, 5, 1/12/216 8/12/216 15/12/216 22/12/216 29/12/216 Day Exit Charge [DXS] Entry Charge [ESC] Exit Charge [EXS] 35
Capacity Neutrality Net Cost / Revenue 1 st April 216 to 31 st January 217 Revenue/Costs WDDSEC/DAI Entry Capacity Revenue - 854,765 Total Entry Constraint Management Operational Costs Entry Capacity Overrun Revenue - 1,214,293 Non-Obligated Sales Revenue (Entry only) - 51,17 Revenue from Locational Sells and PRI Charges - 14,249 Net Revenue - 2,134,477 36
Net Capacity Neutrality Revenue 1 st April 216 to 31 st January 217 37
Capacity Neutrality 1 st April 216 to 31 st January 217 Month Entry Cap Overrun Revenue Non-obligated sales revenue (entry) Month Locational Sells and PRI charges revenue Apr-16-11,246-148 May-16-79,691-21 Jun-16-193,29-188 Jul-16-59,4-1,74 Aug-16-78,428-32 Sep-16-38,921-495 Oct-16-39,985-7,426 Nov-16-388,711-7,426 Dec-16 225,67-4,894 Jan-17-28,48 Feb-17 Mar-17 Apr-16 May-16 Jun-16 Jul-16 Aug-16 Sep-16-14,249 Oct-16 Nov-16 Dec-16 Jan-17 Feb-17 Mar-17 Total - 1,214,293 (FY16-17) - 51,17 (FY16-17) Total 14,249 (FY16/17) 38