Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized AFRICA Nigeria Governance Global Practice IBRD/IDA Specific Investment Loan FY 2012 Seq No: 9 ARCHIVED on 03-Oct-2016 ISR25296 Implementing Agencies: Federal Ministry of Budget and National Planning Key Dates Key Project Dates Bank Approval Date:06-Mar-2012 Planned Mid Term Review Date:18-Jan-2016 Original Closing Date:30-Jun-2017 Project Development Objectives Effectiveness Date:30-Jul-2013 Actual Mid-Term Review Date:11-Feb-2016 Revised Closing Date:15-Dec-2017 Project Development Objective (from Project Appraisal Document) The project development objective (PDO) is to enhance opportunities for employment and access to socio-economic services while improving the public expenditure management systems in the participating states. Achievement of the PDO will be measured by the following key performance indicators: (i) Number of people employed under SEEFOR youth employment program in participating states (disaggregated by self-employed, formal employment, and gender); (ii) Number of people with access to services supported in targeted communities (disaggregated by specific services: water points, classrooms, electricity connections, improve sanitation facilities, etc.); (iii) Percentage deviation of actual aggregate expenditure from budgeted expenditure in the participating states; (iv) Percentage of public contracts above threshold awarded through competitive process in each participating state. Project Beneficiaries The main beneficiaries of the project are the four state governments with selected ministries, departments and agencies and communities in Bayelsa, Edo, Delta and Rivers states. Specifically the direct beneficiaries of Component A Youth Employment and Access to Socio-Economic services are mainly youths who are unemployed and/or seeking to be trained in vocational and technical courses in order to find jobs or set up on their own, the technical and vocational training institutions themselves and the state ministries of education and agriculture. In addition, the state agencies responsible for public works and waste management will be provided with technical assistance for their oversight function on the sub-component for youth employment. The beneficiaries of the CDD sub-component are community groups and associations in the four participating states, including farmers, women groups and youths in the rural areas. ThePFM component will provide technical assistance to support reforms and capacity building in MDAs that deal with state public finance. These will include offices and staff of Ministries of Budget and/or Economic Planning, Finance, Due Process/Public Procurement, Board of Internal Revenue and State Houses of Assembly. Has the Project Development Objective been changed since Board Approval of the Project Objective? No Components Name Component A: Youth Employment and Access to Socio-Economic Services:(Cost $126.84 M) Component B: Public Financial Management Reforms:(Cost $49.61 M) Page 1 of 9
Component C: Project Coordination and Implementation Support.:(Cost $16.00 M) Overall Ratings Name Previous Rating Current Rating Progress towards achievement of PDO Satisfactory Satisfactory Overall Implementation Progress (IP) Moderately Satisfactory Moderately Satisfactory Overall Risk Rating High High Implementation Status and Key Decisions The SEEFOR project became effective in July 2013. Project disbursement currently stands at about US$72.84 million, equal to about 36.42 percent of the credit amount of US$200 million, which remains reasonable and consistent, given the delayed start of activities resulting from the delayed approval of the national borrowing plan by the National Assembly as well as the inherent complexity of the project. The project is also supported by the recently approved EUR 80.0 million Trust Funded (TF) Grant from the European Union. The Bank-Executed (BE) portion of the EU Trust Fund, which is funding enhanced implementation support and grant administration, has been established and is disbursing. The final processing of the Recipient Executed (RE) portion of the TF, hitherto delayed because of a safeguards issues and delay in the submission of an acceptable revised consolidated audit report on the principal International Development Association (IDA)-funded project for FY 2013 by the NPCU has been completed. The activation of the RE portion of the TF is expected to be finalized by October, 2016. The progress towards achievement of the Project Development Objective (PDO) is rated Satisfactory on the basis of PDO indicators achievement, the likelihood of continued progress and effective risk management. Despite good progress on some components and activities (significant increases in youth employment generation schemes as well as demonstrated progress in a number of areas pertaining to Public Financial Management (PFM) reform implementation), overall implementation progress is assessed to be Moderately Satisfactory, pending empirical evidence of significant progress on procurement and financial management issues, and monitoring and evaluation processes during the next implementation support mission, which will commence in a month s time. The platform for Program coordination (including support to strategic implementation of activities in the areas of MTEF, employment generation which has significant macro-social implications) and scaling up of the use of M&E results of the project, is being fully established at the National Project Coordination Unit (for overall coordination and monitoring of States implementation activities and results reporting) and at the States level (for operational management of implementation processes and activities). Engagement with the Ministry of Niger Delta Affairs and the Niger Delta Development Commission initiated during the period under review will accelerate implementation of component on coordination. Monitoring capacity of the International Economic Relations Department would need to be strengthened. Safeguards issues are now being better managed across States. Environmental and Social Management Plans (ESMPs) were developed by the client and cleared by the Bank before commencement of contracts in all the beneficiary states. This is a significant improvement in compliance that the project suffered from in the past. The team will closely monitor implementation of mitigation measures identify in the ESMPs. Against that backdrop, the Bank and the EU will provide more regular monitoring of implementation performance beyond the bi-annual implementation support missions, to ensure timely corrective actions. Risks Systematic Operations Risk-rating Tool Risk Category Rating at Approval Previous Rating Current Rating Political and Governance -- High High Macroeconomic -- High High Sector Strategies and Policies -- Substantial Substantial Technical Design of Project or Program -- Substantial Substantial Institutional Capacity for Implementation and Sustainability -- High High Fiduciary -- High High Environment and Social -- High High Page 2 of 9
Stakeholders -- High High Other -- High High Overall -- High High Results Project Development Objective Indicators Number of people employed (disagregated by type of employment and gender (Number, Custom) Value 0.00 10890.00 11278.00 23450.00 Rivers = 784 Bayelsa = 3,726 Delta = 5,444 Edo = 1,324 Number of people with access to services supported in target communities (Number, Custom) Value 0.00 143863.00 174450.00 12250.00 Rivers = 1,896 Bayelsa = 52,000 Delta = 55,717 Edo = 64,838 [1] Services here include basic health, education, water and agricultural extension (disaggregated by type of service and gender) Percentage deviation of actual aggregate expenditure from budgeted expenditure in the participating states (Percentage, Custom) Value 23.25 20.75 27.00 10.00 Page 3 of 9
OIL PRICE SHOCK PLANNED EXPENDITURES NOT REALIZED Rivers = 16 Bayelsa = 15 Delta = 22 Edo = 0 Percentage of public contracts above the threshold awarded through competitive process in each participating state (Percentage, Custom) Value 22.25 42.60 42.60 60.00 Rivers = 10 Bayelsa = 28 Delta = 20 Edo = 700 Direct project beneficiaries (Number, Core) Value 0.00 151586.00 151586.00 35800.00 Rivers = 3,154 Bayelsa = 2,726 Delta = 74,065 Edo = 71,641 Female beneficiaries (Percentage, Core Supplement) Page 4 of 9
Value 0.00 15.00 63.12 30.00 Overall Intermediate Results Indicators Sub-Component A1: Number of contracts awarded for public works (Number, Custom) Value 0.00 273.00 334.00 335.00 Rivers = 15 Bayelsa = 71 Delta = 221 Edo = 27 Sub-Component A2: Number of technical and vocational courses accredited in each state by the National Board of Technical Education (Number, Custom) Value 19.00 29.00 19.00 43.00 Bayelsa = 0 Delta = 7 Edo = 10 Rivers = 2 Page 5 of 9
Sub-component A.3: Number of CDPs and LDPs projects that were implemented according to plan under SEEFOR project (Number, Custom) Value 0.00 138.00 158.00 324.00 Rivers = 22 Bayelsa = 79 Delta = 17 Edo = 40 Sub-component B.1: Number of states with draft standard Public Finance Legislation submitted to state legislature (Number, Custom) Value 1.00 3.00 3.00 4.00 Sub-component B.2:Number of States Publishing Annual Budget Estimates (Number, Custom) Value 0.00 4.00 4.00 4.00 Sub-component B2: Number of MDAs in each state with defined medium-term expenditure plan derived from the State MTEF (Number, Custom) Value 0.00 28.00 28.00 32.00 Page 6 of 9
Sub-component B.3:Number of states with new/modern chart of account/budget classification produced and used for budget and annual accounts in each participating state. (Number, Custom) Value 0.00 3.00 3.00 4.00 Sub-component B.4: Number of months taken to submit annual audited financial statements of the state to the State House of Assembly (Months, Custom) Value 17.25 16.25 12.00 5.00 Rivers = 13 Bayelsa = 8 Delta = 18 Edo = 9 Sub-component B.4:Number of States publishing most recent Annual Auditor General s Annual Financial Statements (Number, Custom) Value 0.00 3.00 3.00 4.00 Sub-component B.5: Number of states that have implemented 3-5 key modules of IFIMIS (FM, budget and payroll) (Number, Custom) Value 1.00 1.00 2.00 4.00 Page 7 of 9
Sub-component B.6: % of public contract awards published in procurement database and reflected on state official website (Percentage, Custom) Value 22.25 36.25 36.25 57.00 Bayelsa = 20 Delta = 20 Edo = 80 Rivers = 25 Sub-component B.7: Percentage increase in Internally Generated Revenue (IGR) (Percentage, Custom) Value 0.00 6.75 4.34 40.00 Rivers = 0.00 Bayelsa = 10.00 Delta = 0.00 Edo = 7.36 Overall Data on Financial Performance Disbursements (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Currency Original Revised Cancelled Disbursed Undisbursed Disbursed P121455 IDA-50220 Effective USD 200.00 200.00 0.00 72.84 106.40 36% Key Dates (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Approval Date Signing Date Effectiveness Date Orig. Closing Date Rev. Closing Date P121455 IDA-50220 Effective 06-Mar-2012 16-Apr-2013 30-Jul-2013 30-Jun-2017 15-Dec-2017 Page 8 of 9
Cumulative Disbursements Restructuring History There has been no restructuring to date. Related Project(s) P133071-State Employment and Expenditure for Results Project Page 9 of 9