WEEKLY REVIEW WEEK JUNE 2013

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Transcription:

WEEKLY REVIEW WEEK 24 14 JUNE 2013

NIFTY OVERVIEW USDINR is showing signs of softening and that is good for equity markets. We could see a bounce in Nifty from here to around 5830-5900 levels. However, one must understand that the broader trend is down and selling pressure may again set in after a rise in Nifty. RBI interest rate decision on Monday, 17 June 2013 will decide the direction of the markets in the near term. However, eventually again the movement of USDINR will steer the direction of Nifty. We believe that Nifty has solid long term support at 5525 and it is here one can expect smart money to come in. Weekly Candle Chart of Nifty (futures) 2

BANK NIFTY OVERVIEW Bank Nifty may rise to the levels of 12000-12140. However, one must understand that the broader trend is down and selling pressure will again set in at higher levels. Bank Nifty has solid long term support at 11300 levels and this is where we believe it can reverse its trend and move upward. Weekly Candle Chart of Bank Nifty (futures) 3

STOCKS IN FOCUS HINDALCO INDUSTRIES LTD BSE Code:500440 NSE Symbol: HINDALCO P/E :10.90 ISIN Demat:INE038A01020 Div & Yield %:1.60 EPS :8.88 Book Value:171.96 Market Cap (Rs Cr.):18541.93 Face Value :1 Recommendation : BUY Last Close : 96.80 Targets : 104-110 Stop loss: 92 (closing basis) Hindalco is trading near its historic support. A long term trendline lends it support around 90-92 levels. Further on the daily charts, the stock has given a bullish engulfing pattern, which suggests bullish reversal from here. The stock is a buy for the targets of 104-110 and stop loss of 92 on closing basis. 4

STOCKS IN FOCUS BHARTI AIRTEL LTD BSE Code:532454 NSE Symbol: BHARTIARTL P/E :22.55 ISIN Demat:INE397D01024 Div & Yield %:0.33 EPS :12.75 Book Value:135.7 Market Cap (Rs Cr.):114965.22 Face Value :5 Recommendation : BUY Last Close : 287.70 Targets : 300-307 Stop loss: 278 (closing basis) Bharti Airtel is showing signs of reversal from here. The stock has given a bullish engulfing pattern on the daily charts. This suggests bullish reversal. Further, the stock is currently trading near its long term trendline support. The stock is a buy for the targets of 300-307 and stop loss of 278 on closing basis. 5

STOCKS IN FOCUS ITC LTD BSE Code:500875 NSE Symbol: ITC P/E :34.80 ISIN Demat:INE154A01025 Div & Yield %:1.36 EPS :9.39 Book Value:28.14 Market Cap (Rs Cr.):258230.82 Face Value :1 Recommendation : SELL BETWEEN 330-332 Last Close : 327.45 Targets : 315-298 Stop loss: 340.10 (closing basis) ITC made a double top around 355, which was its lifetime high. This a bearish sign. Further the stock showed divergence on the momentum indicator RSI. The recent price action broke the horizontal support line and this gives a bearish confirmation. The stock is sell for the targets of 315-298 and stop loss of 340.10 on closing basis. 6

DISCLAIMER Created by: Inventure Research Contact : Research Coordinator, Inventure Growth & Securities Ltd,201,Viraj Tower, Near Landmark Building, Western Express Highway, Andheri (East),Mumbai -400 069 Tele: 91-22-39548500 Extension :578, Fax: 91-22-40751535. E-mail: milan.bavishi@inventuregrowth.com, website : http://www.inventuregrowth.com/ Notice: This document is prepared by Mr. Milan Bavishi. Research for Inventure Group for private circulation exclusively for their clients. Disclosure: We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees, including persons involved in the preparation or issuance of this material may; (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company/companies mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company / companies discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company / companies or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The same persons may have acted upon the information contained here in. Disclaimer: This document has been furnished to you solely for your information and may not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. The material is based upon technical reading of the Graph. Though utmost care is taken by the writer of this document, and it should be relied upon as such. Neither Mr. Milan Bavishi of Inventure Growth & Securities Ltd. nor any person connected with any of these entities accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. Opinions expressed herein the report are our own and are based on Technical Research as of the date appearing in this document only. Reports based on Technical Analysis centers on studying charts of a stock's price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company's fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report based on a company's fundamentals. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward- looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that may not exactly adhere to the recommendations expressed herein. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and /or redistributed without Mr. Milan Bavishi s prior written consent. In so far as this report includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable, although its accuracy and completeness cannot be guaranteed. 7