Ohio Tracking Poll Project: 180928 N Size: 1592 Registered Voters In Ohio Margin of Error: ± 2% Topline Report September 02-11, 2018 POL3 Question Response Frequency Percentage If the election for U.S. Congress in your district was held today, which one of the following candidates are you most likely to vote for? Democratic candidate 677 43% Republican candidate 577 36% Don t Know / No Opinion 338 2 % POL4 If the election for Governor was held today, which one of the following candidates are you most likely to vote for? Democrat Richard Cordray 602 38% Republican Mike DeWine 6 8 39% Don t Know / No Opinion 372 23% POL5 If the election for U.S. Senate was held today, which one of the following candidates are you most likely to vote for? Democrat Sherrod Brown 744 47% Republican Jim Renacci 50 3 % Don t Know / No Opinion 347 22% Note: Group proportions may total to larger than one-hundred percent due to rounding. All statistics are calculated for registered voters with demographic post-strati cation weights applied. Page 1
Morning Consult Summary Statistics of Survey Respondent Demographics xdemall Registered Voters in Ohio 592 00% xdemgender Gender: Male 733 46% Gender: Female 859 54% age5 Age: 18-29 29 8% Age: 30-44 35 22% Age: 45-54 26 6% Age: 55-64 348 22% Age: 65+ 34 2 % demagegeneration Generation Z: 18-21 62 4% Millennial: Age 22-37 43 27% Generation X: Age 38-53 37 23% Boomers: Age 54-72 648 4 % N 5 2 xpid3 PID: Dem (no lean) 583 37% PID: Ind (no lean) 459 29% PID: Rep (no lean) 550 35% xpidgender PID/Gender: Dem Men 242 5% PID/Gender: Dem Women 34 2 % PID/Gender: Ind Men 222 4% PID/Gender: Ind Women 238 5% PID/Gender: Rep Men 269 7% PID/Gender: Rep Women 28 8% xdemideo3 Ideo: Liberal (1-3) 484 30% Ideo: Moderate (4) 4 9 26% Ideo: Conservative (5-7) 57 36% N 473 xeduc3 Educ: < College 69 73% Educ: Bachelors degree 29 8% Educ: Post-grad 32 8% Continued on next page Page 2
Ohio Tracking Poll #180928, September, 2018 Summary Statistics of Survey Respondent Demographics xdeminc3 Income: Under 50k 943 59% Income: 50k-100k 483 30% Income: 100k+ 67 0% xdemwhite Ethnicity: White 363 86% xdemhispbin Ethnicity: Hispanic 57 4% demblackbin Ethnicity: Afr. Am. 84 2% demraceother Ethnicity: Other 45 3% xrelnet Relig: Protestant 474 30% Relig: Roman Catholic 340 2 % Relig: Something Else 3 8% N 946 xreligion1 Relig: Jewish 4 % xreligion2 Relig: Evangelical 473 30% Relig: Non-Evang. Catholics 504 32% N 976 xreligion3 Relig: All Christian 976 6 % Relig: All Non-Christian 3 8% N 07 xdemusr Community: Urban 33 2 % Community: Suburban 800 50% Community: Rural 462 29% xdememploy Employ: Private Sector 535 34% Employ: Government 82 5% Employ: Self-Employed 97 6% Employ: Homemaker 48 9% Employ: Student 44 3% Employ: Retired 428 27% Employ: Unemployed 63 0% Employ: Other 95 6% xdemmilhh1 Military HH: Yes 247 6% Military HH: No 345 84% Continued on next page Page 3
Summary Statistics of Survey Respondent Demographics Morning Consult xnr1 RD/WT: Right Direction 659 4 % RD/WT: Wrong Track 933 59% Trump_Approve Trump Job Approve 680 43% Trump Job Disapprove 850 53% N 529 Trump_Approve2 Trump Job Strongly Approve 323 20% Trump Job Somewhat Approve 356 22% Trump Job Somewhat Disapprove 230 4% Trump Job Strongly Disapprove 620 39% N 529 xnr3 #1 Issue: Economy 425 27% #1 Issue: Security 286 8% #1 Issue: Health Care 273 7% #1 Issue: Medicare / Social Security 296 9% #1 Issue: Women s Issues 8 5% #1 Issue: Education 98 6% #1 Issue: Energy 52 3% #1 Issue: Other 80 5% xsubvote16o 2016 Vote: Hillary Clinton 60 38% 2016 Vote: Donald Trump 6 8 39% 2016 Vote: Someone else 28 8% 2016 Vote: Didnt Vote 245 5% N 59 xsubvote14o Voted in 2014: Yes 97 75% Voted in 2014: No 395 25% xsubvote12o 2012 Vote: Barack Obama 752 47% 2012 Vote: Mitt Romney 462 29% 2012 Vote: Other 52 3% 2012 Vote: Didn t Vote 325 20% N 59 Trump_Fav Favorable of Trump 652 4 % Unfavorable of Trump 870 55% N 522 Continued on next page Page 4
Ohio Tracking Poll #180928, September, 2018 Summary Statistics of Survey Respondent Demographics Trump_Fav_FULL Very Favorable of Trump 353 22% Somewhat Favorable of Trump 298 9% Somewhat Unfavorable of Trump 93 2% Very Unfavorable of Trump 677 43% N 522 poll 180850 370 23% 180928 222 77% Note: Group proportions may total to larger than one-hundred percent due to rounding. All statistics are calculated with demographic post-strati cation weights applied. Page 5
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