THE WMUR GRANITE STATE POLL THE UNIVERSITY OF NEW HAMPSHIRE SURVEY CENTER August 16, 2012 NH DIVIDED ON INCOME TAX AMENDMENT, CONTINUE TO OPPOSE REPEAL OF GAY MARRIAGE By: Andrew E. Smith, Ph.D. Chad S. Novak, M.A. UNH Survey Center 603/862-2226 www.unh.edu/survey-center DURHAM, NH New Hampshire voters are divided over a proposed constitutional amendment prohibiting an income tax. Granite Staters continue to oppose efforts to repeal the gay marriage law passed in 2009, and Governor Lynch is on track to end his final term in office with high approval ratings. These findings are based on the latest WMUR Granite State Poll, conducted by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center. Five hundred eighty-one (581) randomly selected New Hampshire adults were interviewed by landline and cellular telephone between August 1 and August 12, 2012. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.1 percent. Included is a subsample of 555 likely general election voters (margin of sampling error +/- 4.2%). Income Tax Amendment An amendment to the New Hampshire Constitution will be on the ballot this November that would prohibit the implementation of a state income tax. When asked whether or not they would vote for this amendment, Granite Staters were evenly divided. In the most recent Granite State Poll, 40% said they would vote for the amendment, 41% would vote against it, and 18% are unsure. But since this amendment requires a two-thirds majority, passage is doubtful. The proposed amendment gets support from only a slim majority of Republicans (55%), while most Democrats (54%) oppose it. Independents are divided, with 38% supporting the amendment and 41% planning to vote against it. Support for the amendment is unchanged since February. 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Vote For/Against Income Tax Amendment 55% 54% 39% 40% 38% 41% 41% 41% 27% 29% 20% 18% 20% 21% 16% Vote For Vote Against Don't Know All NH Adults - Feb. '12 All NH Adults - Aug. '12 DEM IND GOP We ask that this copyrighted information be referred to as the Granite State Poll, sponsored by WMUR-TV, and conducted by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center.
Gay Marriage One of the most controversial issue facing the legislature is the proposed repeal of a 2009 law that legalized same-sex, or gay marriage in New Hampshire. Opposition to a bill that would repeal gay marriage in New Hampshire remains strong only 28% of New Hampshire adults support the repeal of the 2009 law (23% strongly support and 5% support somewhat), 51% strongly oppose repeal, 10% somewhat oppose repeal, and 10% are neutral or don t know. These figures have remained unchanged over the past 18 months. Republicans are much more likely to favor repeal (51%) while Democrats (89%) and Independents (56%) oppose repeal. 70% 60% 50% Support / Oppose Repeal of Gay Marriage in NH 11% 12% 11% 10% 40% 30% 20% 5% 5% 9% 5% 51% 50% 48% 51% 10% 0% 24% 22% 23% 23% Support, Feb. '11 Support, Oct. '11 Support, Feb. '12 Support, Aug. '12 9% 11% 8% 10% Neutral, Feb. '11 Neutral, Oct. '11 Strongly Neutral, Feb. '12 Somewhat Neutral, Aug. '12 Oppose, Feb. '11 Oppose, Oct. '11 Oppose, Feb. '12 Oppose, Aug. '12 Opposition to repealing gay marriage in New Hampshire remains much firm than support. When opponents of repeal are asked if they would be upset if it were gay marriage were repealed, more than half (52%) say they would be very upset, 26% would be somewhat upset, 8% would be not too upset, 13% would not be upset at all, and 1% are unsure. By comparison, when proponents of repeal are asked how upset they would be if gay marriage were not repealed, only 24% said they would be very upset, 29% would be somewhat upset, 27% would be not too upset, 18% would not be upset at all, and 1% are unsure. Gubernatorial Approval In his final year as New Hampshire governor, John Lynch continues to be extremely popular. In the most recent Granite State Poll, 67% of New Hampshire adults say they approve of the way he is handling his job as governor, 19% disapprove, and 14% are neutral or don t know. Lynch has strong support among Democrats (83% approve) and also receives majority support from Independents (65%) and Republicans (53%).
100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% NH Gubernatorial Approval John Lynch Approve Disapprove Lynch s personal favorability ratings also remain very high. In the latest Granite State Poll, 68% of New Hampshire adults say they have a favorable opinion of Lynch, 16% have an unfavorable opinion, 9% are neutral, and 8% say they don t know enough about him to say. Lynch s net favorability rating, the percentage having a favorable opinion minus the percentage having an unfavorable opinion, remains high at +52%. Lynch receives very high net favorability ratings from Democrats (+80%) as well as from Independents (+50%), and even receives high net favorability ratings from Republicans (+29%). 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Favorability Ratings NH Governor John Lynch Favorable Unfavorable More than a quarter of New Hampshire adults have met Governor Lynch at some point in his four terms in office. Residents of Central / Lakes Region (36%) and adults 50-64 (34%) are most likely to have personally met Governor Lynch.
Most Important Problem Facing New Hampshire Concerns about the state s economy and unemployment remain most important problem facing the state, mentioned by 42% of respondents. Other important concerns are the state budget (7%), Republicans in the legislature (6%), taxes (6%), education funding (6%), health care (5%), and high quality of education (5%). Concerns about jobs and the economy is the most important problem mentioned by all demographic groups. 50% Most Important Problem Facing NH 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Education Funding Jobs, Economy Taxes Health Care Quality Education State Budget GOP/Legislature Right Direction or Wrong Track? While New Hampshire residents think how the state as a whole is doing, most believe the state is headed in the right direction. Currently, 56% of New Hampshire adults feel the state is heading in the right direction, 35% think the state is seriously off on the wrong track, and 9% are unsure. Majorities of Republicans (63%) and Independents (61%) say the state is headed in the right direction, but Democrats are split, with 48% saying things are going in the right direction while 44% think the state is seriously off on the wrong track. 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% NH Heading in Right Direction or On Wrong Track? Right Direction Wrong Track
Approval of NH Legislature Republicans gained large majorities in the New Hampshire House of Representatives and Senate in 2012 after four years of control by Democrats. The state is split in how good of a job the Legislature is doing - 45% approve, 37% disapprove, and 18% are neutral or don t know enough to say. Republicans (62%) and Independents (54%) approve of the job the Legislature is doing, however only 26% of Democrats approve. 60% Approval Rating NH Legislature 50% 42% 42% 45% 40% 30% 38% 40% 37% 20% 10% 0% Feb. '12 Apr. '12 Aug. '12 Approve Disapprove Favorability Ratings of Legislative Leaders The leaders of the two Chambers of the New Hampshire legislature are largely unknown to New Hampshire adults, and perceptions of them are based strongly on partisanship. Only 18% of New Hampshire adults have a favorable opinion of House Speaker Bill O Brien, 26% have an unfavorable opinion of him, 7% are neutral and 50% don t know enough about him to say. O Brien s net favorability rating is -8%; -35% among Democrats, 0% among Independents, and +17% among Republicans. 50% Favorability Ratings House Speaker Bill O Brien 40% 30% 25% 27% 26% 20% 10% 16% 15% 18% 0% Feb. '12 Apr. '12 Aug. '12 Favorable Unfavorable
Senate President Peter Bragdon is even less well known than Speaker O Brien. Only 10% of New Hampshire adults have a favorable opinion of Bragdon, 9% have an unfavorable opinion of him, 6% are neutral, and 74% don t know enough about him to say. Bragdon s net favorability rating is +1%; only -6% among Democrats, +3% among Independents, and +7% among Republicans. 50% Favorability Ratings Senate President Peter Bragdon 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 13% 14% 10% 11% 8% 9% Feb. '12 Apr. '12 Aug. '12 Favorable Unfavorable New Hampshire House of Representatives Likely 2012 New Hampshire voters were asked which party s candidate they planned on supporting in the upcoming election for state representatives. Voters are currently divided on which party to support, with 35% supporting Republican candidates, 39% Democratic candidates, 5% supporting another party or a mix of Republicans and Democrats, and 21% undecided. 70% New Hampshire House of Representatives Generic Ballot 60% 50% 40% 34% 35% 37% 39% 30% 20% 21% 21% 10% 8% 5% 0% Republican Democrat Other/Mix Undecided Apr. '12 Aug. '12
New Hampshire State Senate Likely 2012 New Hampshire voters are also divided on which party to support for the State Senate, with 35% supporting Republican candidates, 39% Democratic candidates, 2% other, and 23% undecided. 70% New Hampshire State Senate Generic Ballot 60% 50% 40% 37% 37% 35% 39% 30% 20% 22% 23% 10% 0% 4% 2% Republican Democrat Other Undecided Apr. '12 Aug. '12
Granite State Poll Methodology These findings are based on the latest WMUR Granite State Poll, conducted by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center. Five hundred eighty-one (581) randomly selected New Hampshire adults were interviewed by landline and cellular telephone between August 1 and August 12, 2012. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.1 percent. Included is a subsample of 555 likely general election voters (margin of sampling error +/- 4.2%). The data have been weighted to adjust for numbers of adults and telephone lines within households, respondent sex, and region of the state. In addition to potential sampling error, all surveys have other potential sources of non-sampling error including question order effects, question wording effects, and non-response. Gubernatorial Approval GENERALLY SPEAKING, do you approve or disapprove of the way Governor Lynch is handling his job as governor? Approve Neutral/DK Disapprove (N=) Aug. 12 67% 14% 19% (571) Apr. 12 72% 12% 17% (535) Feb. 12 68% 14% 18% (520) Oct. 11 70% 12% 17% (554) July 11 65% 12% 23% (506) Apr. 11 68% 8% 23% (497) Feb. 11 67% 10% 23% (514) Sept. '10 58% 14% 28% (512) July 10 59% 15% 27% (497) Apr. 10 56% 15% 29% (507) Feb. 10 60% 14% 26% (489) Oct. 09 66% 11% 23% (495) July 09 63% 11% 27% (553) Apr. 09 70% 15% 15% (496) Feb. 09 74% 14% 12% (612) Sep. 08 75% 13% 12% (539) July '08 72% 15% 13% (512) Apr. 08 74% 13% 13% (496) Feb. '08 73% 14% 12% (547) Sept. 07 72% 14% 14% (501) July 07 76% 11% 13% (501) Apr. 07 80% 12% 7% (514) Feb. 07 77% 16% 6% (531) Sept. 06 77% 14% 9% (504) July 06 79% 15% 6% (498) Apr. 06 73% 21% 6% (489) Feb. 06 72% 22% 6% (491) Oct. 05 71% 20% 9% (495) July 05 61% 26% 12% (490) Apr. 05 53% 39% 8% (480) Feb. 05 43% 51% 6% (524)
Favorability Ratings Governor John Lynch Next, I'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of this person - or if you have never heard of him or her. Governor John Lynch. Favorable Neutral Unfavorable Don t Know NET (N=) Aug. 12 68% 9% 16% 8% +52% (580) Apr. 12 74% 6% 14% 6% +60% (533) Feb. 12 67% 7% 15% 10% +52% (526) Oct. 11 70% 9% 15% 6% +55% (554) July 11 66% 10% 19% 5% +47% (514) Apr. 11 67% 9% 17% 6% +50% (503) Feb. 11 66% 12% 17% 4% +49% (519) Sept. '10 61% 9% 24% 7% +37% (513) July '10 61% 9% 22% 8% +39% (504) Apr. 10 58% 10% 26% 6% +32% (509) Feb. 10 63% 9% 19% 9% +44% (496) Oct. 09 64% 8% 22% 5% +42% (500) July 09 62% 8% 24% 6% +38% (557) Apr. 09 72% 7% 13% 8% +59% (500) Feb. 09 76% 10% 8% 7% +68% (617) Sep. 08 73% 6% 14% 8% +59% (522) July 08 76% 8% 10% 6% +66% (517) Apr. 08 74% 11% 12% 4% +62% (499) Feb. '08 78% 11% 9% 3% +69% (554) Sept. 07 73% 10% 11% 6% +62% (506) July 07 76% 8% 12% 5% +64% (505) Apr. 07 80% 9% 7% 4% +73% (515) Feb. 07 80% 9% 6% 5% +74% (536) Sept. 06 76% 11% 7% 5% +69% (511) July 06 80% 8% 5% 7% +75% (505) Apr. 06 78% 10% 4% 8% +74% (503) Feb. 06 76% 12% 6% 6% +70% (499) Oct. 05 69% 13% 9% 8% +60% (508) July 05 69% 9% 11% 11% +58% (500) Oct. 04 34% 13% 12% 40% +22% (573) July 04 17% 8% 6% 69% +11% (508) Feb. 04 7% 9% 6% 77% +1% (509)
Most Important Problem Facing New Hampshire Let's turn to the State of New Hampshire... There are many problems facing the STATE OF NEW HAMPSHIRE today. In general, what do you think is the most IMPORTANT problem facing the STATE OF NEW HAMPSHIRE today? Jobs / Economy Educ. Funding Taxes Health Care Qual. Educ. Growth/ Sprawl State Budget Cost of Gas/Oil GOP Leg. Other/ DK (N=) Aug. 12 42% 6% 6% 5% 5% 0% 7% * 6% 23% (541) Apr. 12 36% 4% 5% 4% 4% 0% 6% 2% 8% 31% (518) Feb. 12 37% 4% 4% 5% 4% 0% 9% * 10% 27% (509) Oct. 11 48% 4% 5% 4% 3% 0% 7% * 6% 21% (548) July 11 34% 1% 6% 4% 3% 0% 18% 1% 6% 28% (512) Apr. 11 31% 4% 5% 3% 4% 0% 23% 1% 7% 22% (494) Feb. 11 43% 8% 6% 2% 4% 0% 18% 1% * 18% (508) Sept. '10 46% 4% 7% 2% 5% 0% 16% 0% 0% 21% (504) July 10 45% 3% 5% 2% 4% * 21% * 0% 17% (498) Apr. '10 39% 5% 8% 4% 2% * 23% * 0% 19% (504) Feb. 10 48% 6% 9% 4% 4% * 14% * 0% 15% (486) Oct. 09 36% 2% 9% 8% 5% * 17% 0% 0% 18% (494) July 09 32% 3% 11% 6% 2% * 22% 1% 0% 31% (551) Apr. 09 41% 5% 10% 5% 4% * 10% * 0% 24% (491) Feb. 09 43% 6% 8% 4% 3% 0% 17% * 0% 19% (607) Sep. 08 30% 10% 14% 6% 7% * 6% 7% 0% 20% (531) July 08 22% 13% 12% 5% 6% 1% 6% 14% 0% 22% (504) Apr. 08 24% 13% 17% 4% 6% 0% 4% 7% 0% 25% (496) Feb. '08 26% 11% 11% 10% 6% 1% 6% 1% 0% 28% (542) Sept. 07 11% 22% 19% 9% 7% 1% 2% 1% 0% 28% (499) July 07 9% 23% 15% 11% 9% 2% 1% 2% 0% 29% (488) Apr. 07 15% 28% 15% 7% 11% 2% 1% 1% 0% 20% (501) Feb. 07 14% 23% 16% 8% 9% 2% 1% 1% 0% 26% (527) Sept. 06 11% 27% 14% 7% 9% 3% 2% 2% 0% 26% (499) July 06 12% 19% 10% 6% 6% 3% 1% 5% 0% 38% (490) Apr. 06 16% 19% 11% 4% 10% 3% 2% 5% 0% 30% (501) Feb. 06 14% 20% 13% 10% 7% 3% 1% 3% 0% 29% (498) Oct. 05 12% 17% 18% 7% 6% 5% 2% 3% 0% 30% (503) July 05 13% 27% 13% 6% 5% 4% 2% * 0% 28% (496) Apr. 05 13% 31% 14% 8% 6% 3% 5% 3% 0% 18% (487) Feb. 05 15% 24% 14% 6% 9% 2% 2% * 0% 28% (541) July 04 13% 31% 11% 6% 5% 4% 2% 0% 0% 28% (504) Apr. 04 20% 20% 13% 5% 7% 3% 4% 0% 0% 29% (536) Feb. 04 22% 20% 14% 10% 7% 2% 5% 0% 0% 21% (502) Oct. 03 19% 21% 13% 5% 10% 3% 6% 0% 0% 23% (490) June 03 16% 27% 13% 3% 6% 1% 9% 0% 0% 25% (513) Apr. 03 16% 28% 14% 4% 8% 2% 6% 0% 0% 22% (497) Feb. 03 16% 29% 16% 2% 12% 2% 2% 0% 0% 21% (644) June 02 16% 31% 15% 2% 12% 1% 5% 0% 0% 18% (424) Apr. 02 11% 31% 24% 2% 7% 2% 1% 0% 0% 22% (684) Feb. 02 12% 27% 17% 0% 21% 1% 3% 0% 0% 19% (312) Oct. 01 15% 42% 11% 1% 45 2% * 0% 0% 25% (519) * Less than 1%
NH - Right Direction or Wrong Track Do you think things in New Hampshire are generally going in the right direction or are they seriously off on the wrong track? Right Direction Wrong Track Don t Know (N=) Aug. 12 56% 35% 9% (577) Apr. 12 62% 32% 6% (532) Feb. 12 59% 30% 11% (517) Oct. 11 62% 26% 12% (544) July 11 61% 32% 7% (503) Apr. 11 54% 39% 7% (491) Feb. 11 65% 25% 11% (517) Sept. '10 61% 29% 10% (511) July 10 60% 32% 9% (496) Apr. 10 57% 34% 9% (503) Feb. 10 61% 31% 8% (490) Oct. 09 58% 30% 12% (496) July 09 55% 38% 7% (557) Apr. 09 64% 27% 9% (497) Feb. 09 60% 28% 12% (605) Sept. 08 73% 17% 10% (535) July '08 70% 21% 9% (514) Apr. 08 65% 27% 8% (491) Feb. 08 69% 20% 11% (547) Sept. 07 73% 17% 10% (507) July 07 76% 18% 6% (500) Apr. 07 76% 14% 9% (506) Feb. 07 78% 13% 8% (524) Sept. 06 79% 14% 7% (509) July 06 80% 13% 8% (497) Apr. 06 76% 13% 11% (501) Feb. 06 76% 14% 10% (495) Oct. 05 75% 17% 9% (502) July 05 75% 17% 8% (494) May 05 71% 15% 13% (488) Feb. 05 74% 13% 13% (535) July 04 59% 32% 9% (503) Apr. 04 65% 26% 9% (530) Feb. 04 61% 28% 11% (500) Oct. 03 67% 26% 7% (485) Jun. 03 62% 29% 9% (510)
Legislature Approval And generally speaking, do you approve or disapprove of the way the New Hampshire legislature is handling its job? Approve Neutral/DK Disapprove (N=) Aug. 12 45% 18% 37% (566) Apr. 12 40% 18% 42% (533) Feb. 12 42% 20% 38% (522) Favorability Ratings Bill O Brien Next, I'd like to get your overall opinion of some people in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of this person - or if you have never heard of him or her. Speaker of the House Bill O Brien. Favorable Neutral Unfavorable Don t Know NET (N=) Aug. 12 18% 7% 26% 50% -8% (578) Apr. 12 15% 4% 27% 54% -12% (533) Feb. 12 16% 9% 25% 50% -9% (526) Senate President Peter Bragdon. Favorability Ratings Peter Bragdon Favorable Neutral Unfavorable Don t Know NET (N=) Aug. 12 10% 6% 9% 74% +1% (577) Apr. 12 8% 7% 14% 71% -6% (532) Feb. 12 13% 10% 11% 66% +2% (525) State House Generic Ballot "Please think about the November election for your representative to the New Hampshire House of Representatives. Do you plan to vote for the Republican or Democratic or candidate for the New Hampshire House of Representatives... or do you plan to skip the election for New Hampshire House of Representatives this time?" [ROTATE PARTIES] Apr. 12 Aug. 12 Republican 34% 35% Democrat 37% 39% Other 3% 1% Some Republican/Some Democrat 5% 4% Undecided 21% 21% (N=) (462) (520)
State Senate Generic Ballot "Please think about the November election for your representative to the New Hampshire Senate. Do you plan to vote for the Republican or Democratic candidate for the New Hampshire Senate... or do you plan to skip the election for New Hampshire Senate this time?" [ROTATE PARTIES] Apr. 12 Aug. 12 Republican 37% 35% Democrat 37% 39% Other 4% 2% Undecided 22% 23% (N=) (469) (522) Repeal of Gay Marriage in New Hampshire On another topic As you may know, New Hampshire legalized marriage between gay and lesbian couples in 2009. Recently, there has been an effort in the State Legislature to repeal this law. Would you say you support or oppose the effort to repeal legalized gay marriage in New Hampshire? IF SUPPORT: Do you strongly support this or just somewhat? IF OPPOSE: Do you strongly oppose this or just somewhat? Feb. 11 Oct. 11 Feb. 12 Aug. 12 Strongly Support 24% 22% 23% 23% Somewhat Support 5% 5% 9% 5% Neutral/Don t Know 9% 11% 8% 10% Somewhat Oppose 11% 12% 11% 10% Strongly Oppose 51% 50% 48% 51% (N=) (517) (482) (521) (573) IF SUPPORT REPEAL: Suppose the current gay marriage legislation does not get repealed. Would you be very upset, somewhat upset, not too upset, or not upset at all? Feb. 11 Feb. 12 Aug. 12 Very Upset 17% 23% 24% Somewhat Upset 38% 38% 29% Not Too Upset 22% 20% 27% Not Upset At All 19% 16% 18% Don t Know / No Opinion 3% 3% 1% (N=) (147) (169) (162) IF OPPOSE REPEAL: Suppose the current gay marriage legislation gets repealed. Would you be very upset, somewhat upset, not too upset, or not upset at all? Feb. 11 Feb. 12 Aug. 12 Very Upset 42% 46% 52% Somewhat Upset 30% 28% 26% Not Too Upset 15% 9% 8% Not Upset At All 12% 14% 13% Don t Know / No Opinion 2% 2% 1% (N=) (321) (310) (352)
State Income Tax Amendment This November, there will be a proposed amendment to the New Hampshire Constitution on the ballot which would prohibit the state from having an income tax. As of now, would you say you would vote for or against the proposed amendment to prohibit an income tax, or don t you know enough about this to say? (ASKED IN FEB. 2012) Recently, the New Hampshire House of Representatives proposed an amendment to the New Hampshire Constitution which would prohibit the state from having an income tax. If this amendment were to pass the New Hampshire Senate, it would be on the ballot in November. As of now, would you say you would vote for or against the proposed amendment to prohibit an income tax, or don t you know enough about this to say? Feb. 12 Aug. 12 Vote For 39% 40% Vote Against 41% 41% Don t Know 20% 18% (N=) (520) (553)
Gubernatorial Approval Approve Neutral Disapprove (N=) STATEWIDE 67% 14% 19% 571 Registered Democrat 85% 8% 7% 159 Registered Undeclared 67% 15% 18% 229 Registered Republican 49% 21% 30% 139 Democrat 83% 10% 7% 238 Independent 65% 12% 23% 91 Republican 53% 20% 28% 226 Liberal 83% 10% 7% 138 Moderate 73% 11% 16% 214 Conservative 48% 21% 30% 173 Support Tea Party 47% 19% 34% 149 Neutral 66% 17% 18% 165 Oppose Tea Party 85% 8% 6% 211 Union household 76% 13% 11% 63 Non union 66% 14% 19% 496 Read Union Leader 65% 11% 24% 153 Read Boston Globe 80% 10% 10% 83 Watch WMUR 68% 12% 20% 365 Listen to NHPR 84% 7% 9% 175 10 yrs or less in NH 59% 18% 23% 89 11 to 20 years 60% 18% 21% 85 More than 20 years 71% 12% 17% 378 18 to 34 53% 21% 26% 59 35 to 49 60% 18% 22% 102 50 to 64 68% 13% 19% 211 65 and over 76% 13% 11% 175 Male 66% 12% 22% 283 Female 69% 16% 16% 288 High school or less 62% 22% 17% 116 Some college 62% 18% 20% 126 College graduate 67% 13% 20% 186 Post graduate 78% 6% 16% 131 Less than $30K 58% 26% 16% 69 $30K to $60K 79% 8% 13% 102 $60K to $75K 64% 23% 13% 39 $75K to $100K 75% 4% 21% 55 $100K or more 76% 6% 18% 133 Attend services 1 or more/week 64% 15% 22% 150 1 2 times a month 52% 13% 35% 73 Less often 74% 13% 14% 148 Never 73% 15% 12% 171 North Country 67% 12% 21% 44 Central / Lakes 63% 16% 21% 99 Connecticut Valley 72% 17% 10% 85 Mass Border 70% 12% 18% 176 Seacoast 70% 11% 19% 97 Manchester Area 55% 20% 25% 70 First Cong. Dist 63% 18% 19% 268 Second Cong. Dist 71% 11% 18% 303
Favorability Rating - John Lynch Favorable Neutral Unfavorable Don't Know (N=) STATEWIDE 68% 9% 16% 8% 580 Registered Democrat 86% 4% 7% 3% 159 Registered Undeclared 68% 10% 12% 10% 233 Registered Republican 49% 13% 30% 8% 142 Democrat 85% 5% 5% 5% 240 Independent 67% 6% 17% 9% 91 Republican 51% 14% 25% 10% 232 Liberal 84% 7% 6% 3% 140 Moderate 75% 7% 11% 7% 215 Conservative 46% 14% 29% 11% 178 Support Tea Party 46% 12% 33% 9% 151 Neutral 69% 9% 11% 10% 167 Oppose Tea Party 85% 6% 5% 4% 215 Union household 76% 9% 10% 5% 63 Non union 67% 9% 16% 8% 506 Read Union Leader 64% 10% 20% 6% 153 Read Boston Globe 82% 7% 5% 6% 85 Watch WMUR 70% 7% 17% 6% 368 Listen to NHPR 86% 3% 7% 4% 177 10 yrs or less in NH 62% 5% 18% 15% 94 11 to 20 years 56% 11% 19% 13% 86 More than 20 years 72% 10% 14% 4% 380 18 to 34 59% 9% 18% 14% 61 35 to 49 60% 10% 20% 10% 103 50 to 64 69% 7% 17% 7% 216 65 and over 74% 11% 9% 5% 175 Male 65% 9% 19% 7% 286 Female 71% 8% 13% 8% 294 High school or less 61% 12% 16% 11% 116 Some college 62% 9% 20% 9% 131 College graduate 69% 10% 14% 6% 189 Post graduate 78% 4% 13% 4% 133 Less than $30K 64% 9% 16% 11% 71 $30K to $60K 78% 9% 9% 4% 103 $60K to $75K 69% 12% 8% 11% 39 $75K to $100K 70% 10% 16% 4% 58 $100K or more 75% 10% 15% 1% 134 Attend services 1 or more/week 71% 8% 16% 5% 150 1 2 times a month 50% 6% 30% 14% 77 Less often 72% 10% 12% 6% 151 Never 72% 10% 10% 8% 172 North Country 69% 5% 16% 10% 45 Central / Lakes 70% 10% 17% 2% 100 Connecticut Valley 66% 12% 10% 12% 87 Mass Border 68% 7% 18% 7% 180 Seacoast 74% 5% 16% 6% 98 Manchester Area 57% 15% 17% 11% 70 First Cong. Dist 68% 9% 16% 7% 270 Second Cong. Dist 68% 9% 16% 8% 310
Are Things in NH on Right/Wrong Track Right Wrong Don't Direction Track Know (N=) STATEWIDE 56% 35% 9% 577 Registered Democrat 47% 46% 7% 157 Registered Undeclared 57% 34% 10% 233 Registered Republican 62% 28% 10% 140 Democrat 48% 44% 8% 237 Independent 61% 30% 10% 91 Republican 63% 28% 9% 231 Liberal 49% 43% 8% 137 Moderate 59% 32% 8% 214 Conservative 59% 34% 8% 178 Support Tea Party 60% 33% 7% 151 Neutral 68% 22% 10% 167 Oppose Tea Party 45% 47% 7% 213 Union household 41% 53% 5% 64 Non union 59% 32% 9% 501 Read Union Leader 62% 32% 6% 152 Read Boston Globe 57% 34% 10% 85 Watch WMUR 60% 33% 7% 368 Listen to NHPR 52% 42% 6% 176 10 yrs or less in NH 60% 32% 8% 93 11 to 20 years 62% 20% 18% 85 More than 20 years 55% 38% 7% 379 18 to 34 68% 25% 7% 59 35 to 49 59% 34% 7% 102 50 to 64 54% 38% 8% 216 65 and over 53% 34% 12% 175 Male 59% 33% 8% 285 Female 53% 37% 10% 292 High school or less 54% 31% 15% 114 Some college 64% 28% 8% 131 College graduate 58% 36% 7% 190 Post graduate 50% 43% 7% 132 Less than $30K 65% 23% 12% 70 $30K to $60K 53% 36% 11% 103 $60K to $75K 43% 47% 10% 39 $75K to $100K 74% 23% 3% 57 $100K or more 60% 33% 7% 133 Attend services 1 or more/week 59% 32% 9% 149 1 2 times a month 59% 33% 7% 77 Less often 56% 37% 7% 151 Never 56% 34% 11% 169 North Country 51% 45% 4% 45 Central / Lakes 59% 32% 9% 100 Connecticut Valley 36% 55% 9% 86 Mass Border 63% 24% 13% 180 Seacoast 52% 42% 6% 97 Manchester Area 68% 27% 5% 69 First Cong. Dist 61% 31% 8% 267 Second Cong. Dist 52% 38% 10% 310
Most Important Problem Facing NH Educ Jobs, State GOP/ Don't Funding Economy Taxes Budget State Leg. Other Know (N=) STATEWIDE 6% 42% 6% 7% 6% 28% 5% 541 Registered Democrat 8% 36% 3% 7% 15% 27% 5% 147 Registered Undeclared 5% 42% 6% 5% 5% 31% 6% 221 Registered Republican 3% 50% 10% 12% 0% 20% 3% 132 Democrat 9% 30% 4% 5% 14% 33% 4% 224 Independent 4% 49% 2% 2% 2% 36% 5% 83 Republican 3% 52% 9% 10% 0% 18% 6% 217 Liberal 7% 29% 5% 4% 16% 34% 4% 128 Moderate 7% 41% 2% 9% 6% 30% 5% 208 Conservative 4% 52% 11% 7% 0% 21% 6% 163 Support Tea Party 2% 54% 11% 9% 0% 18% 5% 136 Neutral 7% 46% 3% 3% 1% 32% 8% 157 Oppose Tea Party 8% 30% 4% 9% 16% 31% 3% 204 Union household 16% 42% 1% 4% 20% 17% 0% 59 Non union 5% 42% 6% 7% 5% 30% 6% 472 Read Union Leader 5% 42% 4% 11% 5% 30% 3% 145 Read Boston Globe 9% 31% 3% 4% 15% 33% 6% 81 Watch WMUR 6% 43% 6% 6% 6% 29% 5% 346 Listen to NHPR 5% 38% 3% 10% 12% 28% 5% 168 10 yrs or less in NH 8% 34% 8% 3% 3% 36% 8% 82 11 to 20 years 2% 51% 8% 6% 4% 24% 6% 77 More than 20 years 7% 42% 5% 8% 8% 27% 4% 363 18 to 34 9% 43% 2% 2% 1% 34% 9% 50 35 to 49 6% 43% 8% 7% 2% 29% 5% 95 50 to 64 5% 45% 5% 8% 9% 26% 2% 208 65 and over 7% 37% 7% 6% 7% 28% 8% 166 Male 6% 39% 7% 8% 7% 27% 5% 269 Female 6% 44% 5% 5% 6% 30% 5% 273 High school or less 4% 43% 6% 3% 0% 35% 9% 102 Some college 3% 45% 10% 5% 2% 33% 2% 122 College graduate 4% 43% 5% 10% 7% 26% 5% 180 Post graduate 13% 37% 4% 6% 15% 22% 3% 127 Less than $30K 8% 42% 6% 1% 2% 36% 5% 66 $30K to $60K 9% 35% 7% 7% 4% 30% 8% 94 $60K to $75K 5% 55% 5% 4% 4% 25% 2% 37 $75K to $100K 9% 36% 4% 16% 6% 22% 8% 55 $100K or more 5% 40% 7% 9% 14% 24% 2% 127 Attend services 1 or more/week 6% 41% 10% 8% 7% 25% 3% 138 1 2 times a month 5% 45% 4% 14% 2% 24% 6% 71 Less often 6% 43% 5% 4% 8% 29% 5% 142 Never 6% 41% 4% 5% 8% 30% 6% 161 North Country 10% 51% 5% 2% 5% 24% 2% 38 Central / Lakes 4% 39% 4% 10% 12% 23% 8% 96 Connecticut Valley 10% 35% 14% 5% 7% 25% 3% 82 Mass Border 5% 39% 7% 7% 4% 30% 8% 171 Seacoast 4% 52% 1% 9% 6% 27% 1% 90 Manchester Area 8% 40% 2% 5% 4% 39% 2% 65 First Cong. Dist 6% 49% 2% 6% 3% 30% 3% 253 Second Cong. Dist 6% 35% 9% 8% 9% 26% 7% 289
Legislature Approval Approve Neutral Disapprove (N=) STATEWIDE 45% 18% 37% 566 Registered Democrat 27% 22% 50% 157 Registered Undeclared 49% 14% 37% 226 Registered Republican 62% 15% 23% 139 Democrat 26% 20% 53% 235 Independent 54% 15% 31% 87 Republican 62% 15% 23% 226 Liberal 32% 15% 53% 137 Moderate 44% 15% 40% 208 Conservative 56% 17% 27% 174 Support Tea Party 65% 14% 20% 148 Neutral 53% 19% 28% 163 Oppose Tea Party 24% 15% 61% 209 Union household 36% 13% 50% 64 Non union 47% 18% 35% 491 Read Union Leader 46% 18% 37% 152 Read Boston Globe 29% 18% 52% 84 Watch WMUR 48% 18% 34% 364 Listen to NHPR 42% 7% 51% 170 10 yrs or less in NH 49% 17% 34% 90 11 to 20 years 52% 21% 27% 81 More than 20 years 42% 17% 40% 376 18 to 34 51% 27% 22% 60 35 to 49 45% 18% 37% 98 50 to 64 51% 10% 39% 209 65 and over 36% 23% 40% 176 Male 50% 14% 36% 281 Female 40% 22% 38% 285 High school or less 53% 23% 24% 113 Some college 53% 23% 24% 123 College graduate 43% 17% 40% 189 Post graduate 34% 10% 56% 130 Less than $30K 49% 27% 24% 68 $30K to $60K 44% 16% 40% 101 $60K to $75K 39% 22% 39% 39 $75K to $100K 53% 17% 30% 55 $100K or more 47% 8% 45% 129 Attend services 1 or more/week 48% 17% 35% 149 1 2 times a month 56% 16% 28% 77 Less often 47% 15% 38% 147 Never 35% 22% 43% 164 North Country 42% 12% 46% 43 Central / Lakes 42% 16% 42% 100 Connecticut Valley 42% 16% 42% 85 Mass Border 51% 21% 28% 173 Seacoast 49% 15% 36% 95 Manchester Area 34% 25% 41% 70 First Cong. Dist 45% 20% 35% 265 Second Cong. Dist 45% 16% 38% 301
Favorability Rating Bill O Brien Favorable Neutral Unfavorable Don't Know (N=) STATEWIDE 18% 7% 26% 50% 578 Registered Democrat 12% 4% 41% 43% 159 Registered Undeclared 17% 6% 24% 52% 230 Registered Republican 28% 10% 15% 46% 142 Democrat 8% 4% 43% 45% 240 Independent 18% 5% 18% 59% 89 Republican 29% 10% 12% 48% 232 Liberal 12% 8% 42% 38% 140 Moderate 16% 5% 31% 48% 215 Conservative 27% 9% 10% 54% 175 Support Tea Party 34% 3% 12% 51% 151 Neutral 21% 11% 13% 55% 164 Oppose Tea Party 6% 6% 49% 39% 215 Union household 19% 5% 37% 39% 64 Non union 18% 7% 24% 51% 503 Read Union Leader 30% 5% 25% 40% 153 Read Boston Globe 8% 9% 46% 37% 82 Watch WMUR 20% 7% 25% 48% 366 Listen to NHPR 15% 7% 41% 37% 174 10 yrs or less in NH 13% 6% 19% 62% 94 11 to 20 years 20% 6% 15% 59% 86 More than 20 years 20% 7% 30% 43% 378 18 to 34 13% 4% 14% 68% 61 35 to 49 15% 6% 17% 62% 103 50 to 64 20% 8% 31% 41% 216 65 and over 19% 6% 28% 47% 173 Male 22% 7% 29% 41% 287 Female 14% 6% 22% 58% 291 High school or less 16% 7% 14% 63% 116 Some college 22% 5% 21% 52% 131 College graduate 19% 5% 27% 48% 188 Post graduate 15% 9% 38% 37% 133 Less than $30K 17% 5% 13% 65% 71 $30K to $60K 15% 11% 29% 46% 101 $60K to $75K 9% 7% 25% 58% 39 $75K to $100K 22% 2% 21% 54% 58 $100K or more 20% 10% 37% 33% 134 Attend services 1 or more/week 27% 8% 20% 46% 147 1 2 times a month 26% 3% 16% 55% 77 Less often 17% 9% 27% 47% 151 Never 9% 6% 35% 50% 172 North Country 15% 1% 36% 48% 45 Central / Lakes 16% 9% 33% 41% 97 Connecticut Valley 9% 10% 24% 57% 87 Mass Border 19% 4% 19% 57% 181 Seacoast 24% 8% 23% 45% 98 Manchester Area 23% 6% 30% 42% 70 First Cong. Dist 22% 7% 24% 47% 270 Second Cong. Dist 15% 6% 27% 52% 308
Favorability Rating Peter Bragdon Favorable Neutral Unfavorable Don't Know (N=) STATEWIDE 10% 6% 9% 74% 577 Registered Democrat 9% 6% 16% 69% 159 Registered Undeclared 10% 6% 7% 77% 230 Registered Republican 14% 8% 8% 70% 142 Democrat 8% 7% 14% 71% 239 Independent 11% 8% 8% 73% 90 Republican 12% 5% 5% 77% 231 Liberal 9% 12% 13% 66% 139 Moderate 10% 5% 11% 74% 215 Conservative 12% 5% 6% 77% 176 Support Tea Party 14% 3% 6% 76% 150 Neutral 8% 8% 5% 78% 165 Oppose Tea Party 9% 8% 16% 67% 215 Union household 18% 11% 13% 58% 62 Non union 9% 6% 9% 76% 504 Read Union Leader 16% 4% 8% 73% 152 Read Boston Globe 9% 7% 12% 72% 85 Watch WMUR 10% 5% 10% 75% 366 Listen to NHPR 14% 7% 17% 62% 177 10 yrs or less in NH 9% 5% 4% 81% 94 11 to 20 years 9% 11% 5% 75% 83 More than 20 years 11% 6% 12% 72% 380 18 to 34 9% 5% 3% 83% 59 35 to 49 13% 7% 11% 68% 102 50 to 64 9% 7% 9% 75% 215 65 and over 10% 5% 11% 74% 175 Male 14% 8% 11% 67% 284 Female 6% 4% 8% 81% 293 High school or less 3% 5% 8% 84% 116 Some college 6% 9% 5% 81% 129 College graduate 12% 3% 14% 71% 188 Post graduate 18% 9% 9% 64% 133 Less than $30K 5% 2% 4% 88% 71 $30K to $60K 9% 5% 9% 77% 103 $60K to $75K 7% 10% 5% 78% 38 $75K to $100K 9% 2% 9% 80% 58 $100K or more 19% 13% 14% 54% 134 Attend services 1 or more/week 12% 7% 6% 75% 150 1 2 times a month 12% 3% 12% 73% 77 Less often 8% 6% 13% 72% 148 Never 10% 8% 9% 74% 172 North Country 13% 1% 19% 67% 44 Central / Lakes 12% 5% 9% 74% 100 Connecticut Valley 4% 8% 11% 78% 86 Mass Border 10% 6% 6% 78% 179 Seacoast 11% 4% 15% 71% 98 Manchester Area 11% 11% 6% 72% 70 First Cong. Dist 12% 5% 11% 72% 270 Second Cong. Dist 9% 7% 8% 76% 307
Plan on Voting for Republican or Democrat for State House of Representatives (2012 Likely General Election Voters) Some Rep/ Don't Republican Democrat Other Some Dem Know (N=) STATEWIDE 35% 39% 1% 4% 21% 520 Registered Democrat 4% 84% 1% 2% 9% 151 Registered Undeclared 29% 31% 2% 6% 33% 204 Registered Republican 78% 1% 1% 3% 17% 137 Democrat 1% 83% 1% 2% 13% 224 Independent 16% 12% 8% 12% 52% 63 Republican 74% 3% 0% 3% 20% 218 Liberal 8% 79% 1% 1% 10% 131 Moderate 26% 39% 3% 4% 28% 198 Conservative 66% 8% 1% 4% 20% 158 Support Tea Party 69% 4% 2% 3% 22% 134 Neutral 38% 26% 2% 8% 26% 144 Oppose Tea Party 7% 73% 1% 2% 17% 208 Union household 26% 51% 2% 1% 21% 61 Non union 36% 38% 1% 4% 21% 447 Read Union Leader 42% 36% 2% 6% 15% 138 Read Boston Globe 11% 65% 2% 4% 18% 78 Watch WMUR 35% 38% 2% 4% 20% 329 Listen to NHPR 22% 53% 2% 6% 17% 165 10 yrs or less in NH 34% 37% 0% 1% 28% 83 11 to 20 years 41% 31% 5% 3% 20% 74 More than 20 years 33% 42% 1% 4% 20% 345 18 to 34 25% 49% 1% 2% 23% 39 35 to 49 37% 31% 3% 6% 23% 90 50 to 64 37% 42% 2% 1% 19% 206 65 and over 29% 41% 1% 6% 23% 162 Male 39% 34% 2% 5% 20% 251 Female 31% 44% 1% 3% 22% 269 High school or less 35% 36% 2% 4% 23% 93 Some college 40% 30% 3% 4% 23% 109 College graduate 33% 43% 0% 4% 20% 178 Post graduate 30% 45% 1% 3% 20% 130 Less than $30K 34% 39% 3% 5% 20% 63 $30K to $60K 27% 49% 0% 1% 22% 93 $60K to $75K 27% 45% 0% 2% 26% 35 $75K to $100K 39% 35% 0% 3% 23% 54 $100K or more 31% 43% 4% 3% 18% 128 Attend services 1 or more/week 47% 29% 1% 3% 19% 141 1 2 times a month 37% 34% 2% 2% 25% 73 Less often 31% 43% 0% 3% 22% 137 Never 21% 50% 3% 5% 20% 143 North Country 21% 36% 2% 4% 37% 39 Central / Lakes 35% 42% 0% 6% 18% 96 Connecticut Valley 38% 39% 0% 2% 22% 77 Mass Border 39% 35% 3% 2% 21% 161 Seacoast 32% 42% 1% 5% 20% 86 Manchester Area 31% 45% 1% 5% 18% 61 First Cong. Dist 34% 40% 1% 5% 20% 242 Second Cong. Dist 35% 38% 2% 3% 22% 278
Plan on Voting for Republican or Democrat for State Senate (2012 Likely General Election Voters) Republican Democrat Other Don't Know (N=) STATEWIDE 35% 39% 2% 23% 522 Registered Democrat 5% 85% 0% 10% 153 Registered Undeclared 28% 30% 4% 37% 201 Registered Republican 81% 2% 0% 17% 138 Democrat 1% 85% 1% 13% 224 Independent 18% 10% 10% 63% 64 Republican 75% 4% 1% 21% 218 Liberal 8% 79% 0% 13% 132 Moderate 29% 40% 2% 29% 195 Conservative 65% 11% 2% 22% 160 Support Tea Party 69% 5% 3% 23% 139 Neutral 38% 26% 3% 33% 145 Oppose Tea Party 7% 75% 1% 17% 204 Union household 28% 49% 0% 23% 63 Non union 36% 38% 2% 24% 449 Read Union Leader 41% 34% 3% 22% 141 Read Boston Globe 14% 61% 0% 25% 78 Watch WMUR 36% 39% 3% 22% 332 Listen to NHPR 20% 53% 3% 24% 167 10 yrs or less in NH 35% 37% 2% 26% 84 11 to 20 years 38% 31% 5% 26% 76 More than 20 years 34% 43% 1% 22% 345 18 to 34 26% 50% 7% 17% 44 35 to 49 37% 35% 3% 26% 91 50 to 64 38% 41% 2% 19% 208 65 and over 29% 40% 1% 30% 156 Male 38% 33% 3% 26% 257 Female 33% 46% 1% 21% 265 High school or less 37% 32% 1% 30% 95 Some college 44% 32% 3% 21% 113 College graduate 34% 43% 2% 21% 179 Post graduate 27% 47% 1% 25% 126 Less than $30K 38% 43% 1% 18% 63 $30K to $60K 25% 52% 0% 23% 93 $60K to $75K 23% 47% 2% 28% 35 $75K to $100K 39% 37% 3% 21% 54 $100K or more 34% 42% 4% 20% 129 Attend services 1 or more/week 49% 27% 0% 25% 144 1 2 times a month 37% 32% 6% 25% 72 Less often 31% 44% 0% 25% 139 Never 22% 54% 4% 19% 143 North Country 27% 39% 0% 34% 40 Central / Lakes 35% 42% 1% 22% 95 Connecticut Valley 38% 39% 2% 22% 73 Mass Border 40% 34% 4% 22% 164 Seacoast 33% 43% 1% 24% 89 Manchester Area 29% 45% 1% 24% 61 First Cong. Dist 35% 40% 2% 23% 248 Second Cong. Dist 35% 39% 2% 24% 274
Support/Oppose Repealing Gay Marriage in NH Strongly Somewhat Neutral/ Somewhat Strongly Don t Support Support Don t Know Oppose Oppose Know (N=) STATEWIDE 23% 5% 8% 10% 51% 2% 573 Registered Democrat 11% 1% 5% 5% 75% 2% 159 Registered Undeclared 21% 4% 8% 13% 52% 2% 232 Registered Republican 45% 11% 11% 9% 22% 1% 137 Democrat 6% 2% 2% 8% 81% 1% 240 Independent 22% 3% 16% 16% 40% 2% 91 Republican 42% 9% 10% 10% 26% 3% 226 Liberal 8% 1% 1% 10% 80% 1% 140 Moderate 16% 4% 7% 13% 57% 2% 210 Conservative 44% 10% 14% 7% 21% 3% 177 Support Tea Party 51% 9% 7% 9% 20% 4% 148 Neutral 19% 6% 14% 13% 47% 1% 165 Oppose Tea Party 6% 2% 1% 9% 79% 3% 215 Union household 21% 5% 6% 10% 58% 1% 63 Non union 24% 5% 8% 10% 51% 3% 500 Read Union Leader 24% 7% 5% 12% 50% 2% 151 Read Boston Globe 11% 6% 3% 9% 69% 1% 85 Watch WMUR 24% 6% 9% 9% 50% 2% 365 Listen to NHPR 13% 5% 3% 11% 68% 1% 177 10 yrs or less in NH 22% 4% 6% 7% 60% 1% 92 11 to 20 years 17% 7% 6% 12% 52% 6% 86 More than 20 years 25% 5% 8% 10% 50% 2% 376 18 to 34 7% 5% 2% 13% 73% 0% 61 35 to 49 18% 5% 13% 13% 51% 1% 102 50 to 64 22% 6% 6% 9% 54% 3% 213 65 and over 33% 4% 9% 8% 44% 2% 174 Male 28% 6% 7% 10% 47% 3% 280 Female 19% 4% 8% 11% 55% 2% 293 High school or less 29% 3% 9% 11% 44% 3% 115 Some college 20% 10% 13% 7% 44% 6% 131 College graduate 24% 3% 6% 12% 52% 2% 187 Post graduate 21% 3% 2% 9% 65% 0% 131 Less than $30K 33% 6% 9% 6% 42% 6% 70 $30K to $60K 20% 3% 5% 7% 63% 3% 103 $60K to $75K 14% 13% 9% 2% 62% 0% 39 $75K to $100K 20% 2% 2% 14% 58% 4% 56 $100K or more 18% 6% 7% 11% 57% 1% 132 Attend services 1 or more/week 40% 4% 7% 12% 34% 3% 150 1 2 times a month 21% 10% 6% 13% 42% 8% 76 Less often 22% 5% 7% 10% 56% 1% 150 Never 11% 4% 7% 6% 69% 1% 171 North Country 22% 4% 3% 15% 56% 0% 45 Central / Lakes 24% 2% 6% 16% 48% 3% 100 Connecticut Valley 30% 5% 6% 8% 49% 3% 86 Mass Border 22% 5% 10% 9% 50% 4% 176 Seacoast 23% 6% 9% 7% 55% 1% 98 Manchester Area 18% 10% 10% 7% 55% 1% 68 First Cong. Dist 22% 6% 9% 9% 51% 1% 268 Second Cong. Dist 25% 4% 6% 11% 51% 3% 305
Upset if Gay Marriage WAS Repealed (Opponents of Gay Marriage Repeal) Very Somewhat Not Too Not Upset Don t Upset Upset Upset At All Know (N=) STATEWIDE 52% 26% 8% 13% 1% 352 Registered Democrat 69% 22% 4% 3% 1% 128 Registered Undeclared 47% 28% 9% 16% 1% 150 Registered Republican 22% 30% 16% 32% 0% 43 Democrat 66% 23% 6% 4% 1% 212 Independent 40% 32% 13% 16% 0% 51 Republican 24% 31% 13% 32% 0% 82 Liberal 71% 16% 8% 4% 1% 126 Moderate 48% 36% 8% 7% 0% 148 Conservative 23% 27% 11% 39% 0% 50 Support Tea Party 28% 25% 21% 26% 0% 43 Neutral 37% 37% 6% 20% 1% 99 Oppose Tea Party 68% 20% 6% 5% 0% 188 Union household 53% 23% 14% 11% 0% 43 Non union 52% 26% 8% 14% 1% 304 Read Union Leader 38% 29% 11% 19% 3% 93 Read Boston Globe 61% 26% 5% 7% 1% 67 Watch WMUR 50% 27% 6% 16% 1% 217 Listen to NHPR 65% 16% 5% 13% 0% 138 10 yrs or less in NH 53% 28% 16% 3% 0% 61 11 to 20 years 55% 29% 3% 11% 3% 55 More than 20 years 52% 24% 8% 15% 1% 224 18 to 34 47% 29% 7% 16% 1% 52 35 to 49 56% 25% 8% 11% 0% 65 50 to 64 50% 32% 8% 11% 0% 135 65 and over 59% 14% 10% 15% 2% 91 Male 43% 26% 11% 20% 0% 159 Female 60% 26% 6% 7% 1% 194 High school or less 34% 28% 13% 22% 3% 63 Some college 46% 27% 4% 22% 0% 67 College graduate 54% 28% 11% 6% 1% 120 Post graduate 65% 20% 5% 11% 0% 97 Less than $30K 39% 42% 9% 6% 4% 33 $30K to $60K 54% 21% 6% 18% 1% 72 $60K to $75K 54% 34% 6% 6% 0% 25 $75K to $100K 44% 32% 5% 20% 0% 40 $100K or more 63% 23% 9% 5% 0% 90 Attend services 1 or more/week 48% 20% 9% 20% 2% 69 1 2 times a month 45% 20% 13% 20% 2% 42 Less often 44% 36% 13% 7% 1% 98 Never 64% 22% 3% 10% 0% 129 North Country 43% 20% 14% 23% 0% 32 Central / Lakes 56% 29% 7% 9% 0% 64 Connecticut Valley 32% 37% 6% 24% 1% 49 Mass Border 56% 27% 8% 10% 0% 105 Seacoast 62% 22% 5% 11% 0% 61 Manchester Area 52% 16% 14% 12% 5% 42 First Cong. Dist 57% 22% 8% 12% 1% 163 Second Cong. Dist 47% 29% 9% 14% 0% 189
Upset if Gay Marriage Was NOT Repealed (Supporters of Gay Marriage Repeal) Very Somewhat Not Too Not Upset Don t Upset Upset Upset At All Know (N=) STATEWIDE 24% 29% 27% 18% 1% 162 Registered Democrat 30% 19% 31% 21% 0% 18 Registered Undeclared 17% 26% 37% 20% 0% 58 Registered Republican 30% 35% 18% 14% 2% 77 Democrat 36% 25% 25% 15% 0% 18 Independent 7% 19% 45% 30% 0% 23 Republican 25% 34% 24% 15% 1% 115 Liberal 27% 50% 18% 5% 0% 12 Moderate 16% 34% 30% 20% 0% 43 Conservative 27% 27% 29% 14% 2% 96 Support Tea Party 26% 32% 21% 18% 2% 89 Neutral 13% 33% 43% 11% 0% 40 Oppose Tea Party 36% 30% 18% 16% 0% 19 Union household 33% 17% 34% 16% 0% 16 Non union 23% 31% 27% 17% 1% 143 Read Union Leader 31% 31% 31% 7% 0% 47 Read Boston Globe 7% 22% 43% 29% 0% 15 Watch WMUR 23% 29% 33% 15% 0% 107 Listen to NHPR 26% 10% 43% 21% 0% 32 10 yrs or less in NH 27% 21% 31% 21% 0% 24 11 to 20 years 24% 9% 25% 42% 0% 21 More than 20 years 23% 36% 27% 12% 2% 112 18 to 34 26% 9% 37% 29% 0% 7 35 to 49 24% 27% 30% 19% 0% 23 50 to 64 25% 39% 24% 12% 0% 60 65 and over 21% 27% 29% 20% 3% 64 Male 20% 29% 32% 17% 2% 92 Female 30% 29% 21% 19% 0% 70 High school or less 18% 32% 23% 27% 0% 37 Some college 12% 26% 29% 29% 4% 39 College graduate 31% 26% 35% 8% 0% 52 Post graduate 35% 38% 19% 8% 0% 31 Less than $30K 26% 38% 18% 18% 0% 26 $30K to $60K 4% 29% 50% 17% 0% 24 $60K to $75K 12% 21% 47% 20% 0% 11 $75K to $100K 39% 21% 9% 31% 0% 12 $100K or more 17% 35% 34% 13% 0% 32 Attend services 1 or more/week 40% 20% 21% 20% 0% 65 1 2 times a month 10% 45% 36% 9% 0% 23 Less often 18% 36% 31% 11% 4% 40 Never 8% 27% 33% 32% 0% 27 North Country 25% 22% 15% 39% 0% 12 Central / Lakes 22% 46% 31% 0% 0% 27 Connecticut Valley 30% 23% 28% 19% 0% 30 Mass Border 24% 31% 22% 19% 4% 47 Seacoast 18% 23% 35% 24% 0% 27 Manchester Area 26% 25% 32% 17% 0% 19 First Cong. Dist 23% 35% 26% 17% 0% 75 Second Cong. Dist 26% 25% 29% 19% 2% 86
Vote For/Against Amendment To Prohibit State Income Tax Vote For Vote Against Don t Know (N=) STATEWIDE 40% 41% 18% 553 Registered Democrat 28% 53% 20% 152 Registered Undeclared 42% 43% 15% 227 Registered Republican 51% 31% 18% 139 Democrat 27% 54% 20% 232 Independent 38% 41% 21% 78 Republican 55% 29% 16% 225 Liberal 30% 52% 17% 135 Moderate 37% 46% 16% 206 Conservative 55% 29% 16% 168 Support Tea Party 56% 29% 15% 146 Neutral 46% 32% 22% 156 Oppose Tea Party 26% 61% 13% 211 Union household 43% 45% 12% 63 Non union 40% 41% 19% 479 Read Union Leader 48% 38% 14% 145 Read Boston Globe 26% 53% 21% 84 Watch WMUR 42% 39% 18% 353 Listen to NHPR 32% 51% 17% 173 10 yrs or less in NH 51% 35% 13% 91 11 to 20 years 37% 36% 27% 83 More than 20 years 39% 44% 17% 361 18 to 34 41% 26% 33% 55 35 to 49 48% 31% 21% 96 50 to 64 41% 44% 15% 210 65 and over 36% 48% 16% 169 Male 42% 41% 16% 274 Female 38% 41% 21% 279 High school or less 43% 33% 25% 106 Some college 44% 40% 15% 118 College graduate 40% 40% 20% 188 Post graduate 35% 52% 13% 130 Less than $30K 41% 40% 20% 65 $30K to $60K 39% 46% 15% 99 $60K to $75K 42% 45% 13% 38 $75K to $100K 34% 38% 28% 56 $100K or more 44% 43% 12% 134 Attend services 1 or more/week 45% 39% 16% 145 1 2 times a month 58% 35% 7% 75 Less often 37% 43% 20% 146 Never 31% 46% 24% 162 North Country 37% 44% 19% 43 Central / Lakes 42% 46% 12% 98 Connecticut Valley 37% 45% 17% 79 Mass Border 41% 37% 22% 174 Seacoast 37% 45% 18% 95 Manchester Area 47% 34% 19% 64 First Cong. Dist 43% 38% 20% 260 Second Cong. Dist 38% 45% 17% 293