THE WMUR GRANITE STATE POLL

Similar documents
THE WMUR GRANITE STATE POLL

THE WMUR GRANITE STATE POLL

THE WMUR GRANITE STATE POLL THE UNIVERSITY OF NEW HAMPSHIRE SURVEY CENTER

THE WMUR GRANITE STATE POLL THE UNIVERSITY OF NEW HAMPSHIRE SURVEY CENTER

THE WMUR GRANITE STATE POLL THE UNIVERSITY OF NEW HAMPSHIRE SURVEY CENTER

THE WMUR GRANITE STATE POLL

THE WMUR GRANITE STATE POLL

THE BIA REPORT ON CONSUMER CONFIDENCE THE UNIVERSITY OF NEW HAMPSHIRE SURVEY CENTER

THE WMUR GRANITE STATE POLL THE UNIVERSITY OF NEW HAMPSHIRE SURVEY CENTER

THE BIA REPORT ON CONSUMER CONFIDENCE THE UNIVERSITY OF NEW HAMPSHIRE SURVEY CENTER

THE WMUR GRANITE STATE POLL

THE WMUR GRANITE STATE POLL

THE WMUR GRANITE STATE POLL THE UNIVERSITY OF NEW HAMPSHIRE SURVEY CENTER

THE CNN /WMUR NEW HAMPSHIRE PRIMARY POLL

THE WMUR GRANITE STATE POLL

THE CNN /WMUR NEW HAMPSHIRE PRIMARY POLL

THE CNN /WMUR NEW HAMPSHIRE PRIMARY POLL

THE WMUR GRANITE STATE POLL THE UNIVERSITY OF NEW HAMPSHIRE SURVEY CENTER

THE WMUR GRANITE STATE POLL THE UNIVERSITY OF NEW HAMPSHIRE SURVEY CENTER

THE WMUR GRANITE STATE POLL THE UNIVERSITY OF NEW HAMPSHIRE SURVEY CENTER

THE WMUR GRANITE STATE POLL

THE WMUR GRANITE STATE POLL THE UNIVERSITY OF NEW HAMPSHIRE SURVEY CENTER

THE WMUR GRANITE STATE POLL THE UNIVERSITY OF NEW HAMPSHIRE SURVEY CENTER

THE WMUR GRANITE STATE POLL

THE WMUR GRANITE STATE POLL

THE WMUR GRANITE STATE POLL THE UNIVERSITY OF NEW HAMPSHIRE SURVEY CENTER

THE CNN / WMUR NH PRIMARY POLL THE UNIVERSITY OF NEW HAMPSHIRE

THE CNN /WMUR NEW HAMPSHIRE PRIMARY POLL

THE WMUR GRANITE STATE POLL THE UNIVERSITY OF NEW HAMPSHIRE

GRANITE STATE POLL THE UNIVERSITY OF NEW HAMPSHIRE

THE CNN / WMUR NH PRIMARY POLL THE UNIVERSITY OF NEW HAMPSHIRE

THE CNN / WMUR NH PRIMARY POLL THE UNIVERSITY OF NEW HAMPSHIRE

THE CNN / WMUR GRANITE STATE POLL THE UNIVERSITY OF NEW HAMPSHIRE

How the Survey was Conducted Nature of the Sample: McClatchy-Marist National Poll of 1,197 Adults

Prepared by: Chad S. Novak, M.A. Andrew E. Smith, Ph.D. The Survey Center. University of New Hampshire

FOR RELEASE: MONDAY, MARCH 21 AT 4 PM

Western New England University Polling Institute May 29-31, 2012

Marist College Institute for Public Opinion Poughkeepsie, NY Phone Fax

Marist College Institute for Public Opinion Poughkeepsie, NY Phone Fax

How the Survey was Conducted Nature of the Sample: McClatchy-Marist Poll of 1,249 National Adults

EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE: Thursday, March 19 at 6:00 a.m. ET

FOR RELEASE: WEDNESDAY, JULY 23 AT 6 AM

How the Survey was Conducted Nature of the Sample: NBC News/WSJ/Marist North Carolina Poll of 1,033 Adults

Marist College Institute for Public Opinion Poughkeepsie, NY Phone Fax

Marist College Institute for Public Opinion Poughkeepsie, NY Phone Fax

EMBARGOED FOR RELEASE:

1. What was your overall reaction to President Obama s speech tonight very positive, somewhat positive, somewhat negative or very negative?

Marist College Institute for Public Opinion Poughkeepsie, NY Phone Fax

How the Survey was Conducted Nature of the Sample: NBC News/WSJ/Marist Virginia Poll of 1,026 Adults

NUMBERS, FACTS AND TRENDS SHAPING THE WORLD FOR RELEASE DECEMBER 19, 2013

How the Survey was Conducted Nature of the Sample: NBC News/WSJ/Marist Colorado Poll of 1,037 Adults

Marist College Institute for Public Opinion Poughkeepsie, NY Phone Fax

How the Survey was Conducted Nature of the Sample: NBC News/WSJ/Marist New Hampshire Poll of 1,108 Adults

Marist College Institute for Public Opinion Poughkeepsie, NY Phone Fax

Marist College Institute for Public Opinion Poughkeepsie, NY Phone Fax

How the Survey was Conducted Nature of the Sample: NBC News/WSJ/Marist North Carolina Poll of 1,136 Adults

How the Survey was Conducted Nature of the Sample: NBC News/WSJ/Marist North Carolina Poll of 1,150 Adults

How the Survey was Conducted Nature of the Sample: NBC News/WSJ/Marist North Carolina Poll of 1,136 Adults

OVAL OFFICE, CHRISTIE PERFECT TOGETHER? NEW JERSEY VOTERS DON T SEE GOVERNOR AS GOOD FIT FOR PRESIDENT

The sample also includes 950 interviews among registered voters (plus or minus 3 percentage points)

Western New England University Polling Institute May 29-31, 2012

Marist College Institute for Public Opinion Poughkeepsie, NY Phone Fax

Marist College Institute for Public Opinion Poughkeepsie, NY Phone Fax

FOR RELEASE: FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 30 AT 6 AM

FOR RELEASE: TUESDAY, MAY 25 AT 3 PM

NEW JERSEY AND THE FINANCIAL CRISIS

THE OHIO NEWSPAPER POLL

March Franklin & Marshall College Poll SURVEY OF PENNSYLVANIANS SUMMARY OF FINDINGS

FOR RELEASE: TUESDAY, NOVEMBER 3 AT 6 AM

Tax System Seen as Unfair, in Need of Overhaul

The Arkansas Poll, 2014 Summary Report

CHRISTIE S OVERALL RATINGS REMAIN HIGH BUT VOTERS UNHAPPY ABOUT HOW HE HANDLES ECONOMY AND TAXES

Obama Job Approval Slips as Economic Pessimism Rises

Marist College Institute for Public Opinion Poughkeepsie, NY Phone Fax

Marist College Institute for Public Opinion Poughkeepsie, NY Phone Fax

How the Survey was Conducted Nature of the Sample: McClatchy-Marist Poll of 1,465 National Adults

Marist College Institute for Public Opinion Poughkeepsie, NY Phone Fax

Interviews with 1,019 adult Americans, conducted by telephone by Opinion Research Corporation on March 12-15, The margin of sampling error for

FOR RELEASE: TUESDAY, SEPTEMBER 30 AT 6 AM

BOSTON GLOBE POLL #35 MA 2012 SENATE ELECTION. Prepared by: Andrew E. Smith, Ph.D. Chad Novak, M.A. The Survey Center University of New Hampshire

How the Survey was Conducted Nature of the Sample: NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist Poll of 1,205 National Adults

Marist College Institute for Public Opinion Poughkeepsie, NY Phone Fax

June 2007 Pennsylvania Keystone Poll

MOST NEW JERSEYANS STILL THINK STATE NOT BACK TO NORMAL POST-SANDY

GARDEN STATE IS OPTIMISTIC ABOUT BUSH S PRESIDENCY But Residents Affections Follow Clinton

How the Survey was Conducted Nature of the Sample: NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist Poll of 807 National Adults

Marist College Institute for Public Opinion Poughkeepsie, NY Phone Fax

How the Survey was Conducted Nature of the Sample: MSNBC/Telemundo/Marist Poll of 1,446 National Adults

The Arkansas Poll, 2015 Summary Report

May 2017 Franklin n & Marshall College Poll SUMMARY OF FINDINGS

EMBARGOED UNTIL 12:01AM THURSDAY APRIL 9, 2015 CHRISTIE S NEGATIVE RATINGS CONTINUE; NEW LOWS FOR OVERALL JOB APPROVAL, SANDY, AND TAXES

How would you vote How things are going How Bush is handling his job today?

FOR RELEASE: FRIDAY, OCTOBER 8 AT 1 PM

Marist College Institute for Public Opinion Poughkeepsie, NY Phone Fax

PENSION POLL 2015 TOPLINE RESULTS

How the Survey was Conducted Nature of the Sample: McClatchy-Marist Poll of 1,249 National Adults

Confidence and Oil Prices: A Potentially Volatile Mix

How the Survey was Conducted Nature of the Sample: NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist Poll of 1,350 National Adults

Arizona Voters and Education Issues. December 2017

Eagleton Institute of Politics Rutgers, The State University of New Jersey 191 Ryders Lane New Brunswick, New Jersey

Transcription:

THE WMUR GRANITE STATE POLL July 22, 2016 OBAMA S POPULARITY, JOB APPROVAL STEADY IN THE WANING MONTHS OF HIS PRESIDENCY By: Andrew E. Smith, Ph.D. Zachary S. Azem, M.A. UNH Survey Center 603/862-2226 www.unh.edu/survey-center DURHAM, NH With only months left in his presidency, President Barack Obama s job approval and personal favorability rating have remained steady in New Hampshire, and are at levels considerably higher than George W. Bush s at this point in his second term. However, a majority of New Hampshire residents continue to think the country is headed in the wrong direction. These findings are based on the latest WMUR Granite State Poll, conducted by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center. Five hundred and thirty-two (532) randomly selected New Hampshire adults were interviewed by landline and cellular telephone between July 9 and July 18, 2016. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.2 percent. Included were four hundred and sixty-nine (469) likely 2016 general election voters (MSE = +/- 4.5%). Presidential Approval President Obama s overall job approval rating has remained steady since April -- currently, 49% of New Hampshire adults say they approve of the job Obama is doing as president, 44% disapprove, and 6% are neutral. Obama s popularity, which will likely be a factor in the 2016 presidential election, is considerably better than George W. Bush s at this point in his second term (24% approve, 72% disapprove). 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 66% 63%61% 40% 33% 29% 21% 55% 55% 48% 50% 51% 51% 53%49%49% 50%49% 52% 49% 53% 50% 48% 49% 49% 51%53% 55%55% 53% 50% 52% 48% 48%48% 50% 49% 47%46% 44% 46%46% 44% 46% 41% Barack Obama Approval, All NH Adults 47% 47% 47% 47% 44% 45% 47%45% 46% 43% 42% 44%45%45% 44% 42%39% 38%38% 42% 40% Approve Disapprove We ask that this copyrighted information be referred to as the Granite State Poll, sponsored by WMUR-TV and conducted by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center.

Obama s approval numbers are high among Democrats (87%), low among Independents (36%) and very low among Republicans (13%). 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Presidential Approval in NH by Party Identification (% Approve) 93%91% 90%97% 90% 84% 85%86% 88% 92% 95%94% 90%87% 88% 85% 87% 91% 86% 88%88% 81%78% 83% 85% 87%87% 81% 79%78% 74% 76% 73% 66% 63%61% 65% 55% 65% 48% 50% 51% 62% 63% 46%46% 44% 46% 47%47%55%53%49%49% 44% 45% 48%47% 50%49% 45% 41%51%50% 42% 39% 39% 38%38% 42% 40% 36% 45% 47% 26% 42% 46% 46% 48% 39% 39% 41% 35% 32% 34% 36% 41% 43% 38% 37% 15% 31% 34%24% 12%10% 13% 13% 10% 10% 10%11% 9% 9% 10% 12% 29% 31%32%33% 32% 34% 35%36% 11%12% 10% 11% 27% 4% 6% 8% 7% 7% 7% 7% 11% 7% 8% 9% 13% 3% All NH Adults GOP IND DEM Obama s personal favorability rating has remained unchanged since April. Obama is currently viewed favorably by 49% of New Hampshire adults, 46% have an unfavorable opinion of him, and 6% are neutral or don t know enough about him to say. Obama s net favorability rating, the percentage having a favorable opinion minus the percentage having an unfavorable opinion, is +3%, slightly down from +5% in April. Perceptions of Obama are very polarized; he is very popular among Democrats (net favorability rating of +77%), but is unpopular among Independents (-17% net), and very unpopular among Republicans (-73% net). 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 58% 53% 36% 31% 71% 16% Favorability Ratings Barack Obama 64% 62% 56% 53% 56% 52% 50%51% 51%47%47% 53% 54% 52%48%48% 48% 47% 48% 48% 47% 48% 47%46%46% 49%49% 47% 51% 53% 49% 51% 47% 44% 46% 44% 44% 45% 44% 44% 47% 47% 42% 41% 40% 42% 42% 41% 40% 40%41%41% 43%45%44% 46% 45%46%47% 44% 46% 35% 27% 30% Favorable Unfavorable

Economic Approval Rating Granite Staters are becoming more positive about Obama s handling of the economy. Currently 52% of New Hampshire adults approve of how Obama is handling the economy, 43% disapprove, and 5% are neutral. As with other approval measures, there is a considerable partisan gap -- most Democrats (89%) approve of Obama s handling of the economy, while 39% of independents and only 15% of Republicans approve. This marks the highest approval of the president s handling of the economy since 2009. 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Presidential Approval: Handling the Economy 62% 58%57% 54% 54%55% 57% 56% 58% 51% 50%50% 49%50% 53% 55% 50% 48%48% 50%54%56% 52%52%50% 52%51% 49% 52% 49%47% 46%47% 46%47% 48% 46% 47% 46% 41% 43% 42% 43% 45% 40%40%37% 41%39%39% 43%42% 46% 41% 45% 46%47% 48% 35% 39% 43% 24% Approve Disapprove Foreign Affairs New Hampshire adults continue to disapprove of the Obama Administration s handling of foreign affairs, though approval has increased six percent since February. Currently 46% of New Hampshire adults say they approve of how President Obama is handling foreign affairs, 48% disapprove, and 6% are neutral. The same partisan divisions that characterize other ratings of the administration exist in evaluations of the administration s handling of foreign affairs -- 82% of Democrats approve of Obama s handling of foreign affairs, while only 33% of Independents and 11% of Republicans approve. 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 65% 63% 61% 53% 52%53%52% 52% 50% 49%49% 47% 49%52%54% 50%51% 54% 52% 49% 51% 55% 57%57%53% 52% 52% 54% 52% 47% 48% 15% 26% 29% Presidential Approval: Foreign Affairs 43% 46% 46% 43% 37%37% 42% 34% 38% 41% 41% 40%43% 40%40% 42%44% 45%46% 46% 44% 38% 40%43%43% 39%39% 33% Approve Disapprove

Right Direction Wrong Track New Hampshire residents continue to be very pessimistic about the direction the country is headed. Currently, only 30% of New Hampshire adults think things in the U.S. are generally headed in the right direction, 65% think things are seriously off on the wrong track and 4% are unsure. Democrats remain the most optimistic -- 54% believe the U.S. is headed in the right direction, while only 18% of Independents and only 9% of Republicans share this view. 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% US Heading in Right Direction or On Wrong Track Right Direction Wrong Track

Granite State Poll Methodology These findings are based on the latest WMUR Granite State Poll, conducted by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center and funded by WMUR-TV, Manchester, NH. Five hundred and thirty-two (532) randomly selected New Hampshire adults were interviewed in English by landline and cellular telephone between July 9 and July 18, 2016. If a household included more than one adult, the adult who had the most recent birthday was selected to be interviewed. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.2 percent for the entire sample. Included were four hundred sixty-nine (469) likely 2016 general election voters (MSE +/- 4.5%). These MSE s have not been adjusted for design effect. The design effect for the survey is 1.1%. The random sample used in the WMUR Granite State Poll was purchased from Marketing Systems Group (MSG), Horsham, PA. MSG screens each selected telephone number to eliminate non-working numbers, disconnected numbers, and business numbers to improve the efficiency of the sample, reducing the amount of time interviewers spend calling non-usable numbers. The data have been weighted to adjust for numbers of adults and telephone lines within households. Additionally, data were weighted by respondent sex, age, and region of the state to targets from the most recent American Community Survey (ACS) conducted by the U.S. Census Bureau. In addition to potential sampling error, all surveys have other potential sources of non-sampling error including question order effects, question wording effects, and non-response. Due to rounding, percentages may not sum to 100%. The number of respondents in each demographic below may not equal the number reported in cross-tabulation tables as some respondents choose not to answer some questions. For more information about the methodology used in the Granite State Poll, contact Dr. Andrew Smith at (603) 862-2226 or by email at andrew.smith@unh.edu. Granite State Poll, July 2016 Demographics Sex N % Region N % Male 260 49% North Country 44 8% Female 272 51% Central/Lakes 100 19% Connecticut Valley 85 16% Age N % Mass Border 140 26% 18 to 34 132 27% Seacoast 85 16% 35 to 49 127 26% Manchester Area 78 15% 50 to 64 148 30% 65 and Over 88 18% Party Registration N % Democrat 139 26% Highest Level of Education N % Undeclared/Not Reg. 252 48% High School or Less 101 20% Republican 139 26% Some College 123 23% College Graduate 159 31% Party Identification N % Post-Graduate 131 26% Democrat 226 44% Independent 87 17% Republican 195 38%

Granite State Poll, July 2016 - Likely Presidential Election Voter Demographics Sex N % Region N % Male 223 48% North Country 34 7% Female 246 52% Central/Lakes 95 20% Connecticut Valley 74 16% Age N % Mass Border 121 26% 18 to 34 106 24% Seacoast 79 17% 35 to 49 116 26% Manchester Area 66 14% 50 to 64 136 31% 65 and Over 83 19% Party Registration N % Democrat 125 27% Highest Level of Education N % Undeclared/Not Reg. 209 45% High School or Less 83 18% Republican 133 29% Some College 102 22% College Graduate 146 32% Party Identification N % Post-Graduate 124 27% Democrat 201 45% Independent 63 14% Republican 186 41%

Presidential Approval All Adults GENERALLY SPEAKING, do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president? Approve Neutral Disapprove (N) July 16 49% 6% 44% (532) Apr. 16 50% 4% 46% (616) Feb 16 45% 7% 48% (682) Oct 15 47% 5% 48% (581) July 15 48% 5% 47% (532) May 15 40% 8% 52% (566) Feb. 15 42% 5% 53% (504) Oct. 14 38% 7% 55% (678) Aug. 14 38% 7% 55% (812) July 14 45% 6% 50% (664) Apr. 14 39% 9% 53% (502) Jan. 14 42% 7% 51% (574) Oct. 13 44% 7% 49% (657) July 13 49% 5% 45% (504) Apr. 13 49% 6% 45% (501) Feb. 13 53% 2% 44% (572) Oct. 8. 12 52% 3% 45% (589) Oct. 1, 12 55% 3% 42% (635) Sept. 12 52% 4% 44% (635) Aug. 12 47% 4% 49% (579) July 12 47% 5% 48% (517) Apr. 12 50% 3% 47% (535) Feb. 12 51% 6% 43% (524) Oct. 11 41% 6% 53% (551) July 11 46% 6% 49% (512) Apr. 11 44% 5% 52% (502) Feb. 11 46% 4% 49% (519) Sept. 10 46% 4% 50% (514) July 10 51% 5% 44% (502) Apr. 10 50% 4% 46% (506) Feb. 10 48% 5% 47% (495) Oct. 09 55% 5% 40% (503) July 09 61% 6% 33% (556) Apr. 09 63% 8% 29% (500) Feb. 09 66% 14% 21% (614)

Favorability Rating President Barack Obama "Next, I'd like to get your overall opinion of some people who have been in the news. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of this person - or if you don t know enough about him or her to say. President Barack Obama?" Favorable Neutral/DK Unfavorable NET (N=) July 16 49% 6% 46% +3% (532) Apr. 16 49% 7% 44% +5% (619) Feb 16 46% 7% 47% -1% (686) Oct 15 46% 8% 46% 0% (584) July 15 47% 8% 45% +2% (530) May 15 42% 8% 51% -9% (565) Feb. 15 42% 9% 49% -7% (508) Oct. 14 40% 6% 53% -13% (679) July 14 48% 6% 46% +2% (668) Apr. 14 41% 8% 51% -10% (506) Jan. 14 46% 7% 47% -1% (582) Oct. 13 48% 7% 44% +4% (660) July 13 48% 7% 45% +3% (515) Apr. 13 52% 5% 43% +9% (499) Feb. 13 54% 5% 41% +13% (579) Oct. 8 12 53% 5% 41% +12% (589) Oct. 1 12 56% 4% 40% +16% (637) Aug. 12 47% 6% 47% 0% (579) July 12 47% 7% 47% 0% (520) Apr. 12 51% 5% 44% +7% (532) Feb. 12 53% 7% 40% +13% (527) Oct. 11 44% 9% 47% -3% (553) July 11 48% 6% 45% +3% (514) Apr. 11 44% 8% 48% -4% (503) Feb. 11 47% 8% 44% 3% (515) Sept. 10 47% 4% 48% -1% (515) July 10 51% 5% 42% +9% (504) Apr. 10 50% 4% 44% +6% (510) Feb. 10 52% 6% 41% +11% (496) Oct. 09 56% 8% 35% +21% (502) July 09 62% 7% 30% +32% (557) Apr. 09 64% 7% 27% +37% (503) Feb. 09 71% 9% 16% +55% (619) Sep. '08 53% 9% 36% +17% (522) July '08 58% 10% 31% +27% (474)

Presidential Approval Economy GENERALLY SPEAKING, do you approve or disapprove of the way President Obama is handling THE ECONOMY? Approve Neutral Disapprove (N) July 16 52% 5% 43% (530) Apr 16 49% 3% 48% (614) Feb 16 47% 6% 47% (679) Oct 15 46% 5% 49% (579) July 15 45% 4% 51% (530) May 15 41% 6% 52% (566) Feb. 15 46% 4% 50% (508) Oct. 14 42% 6% 52% (676) July 14 43% 5% 52% (656) Apr. 14 39% 6% 55% (503) Jan. 14 39% 5% 56% (573) Oct. 13 41% 5% 54% (648) July 13 45% 4% 50% (506) Apr. 13 46% 6% 48% (500) Feb. 13 47% 5% 48% (574) Oct. 12 50% 3% 48% (590) July 12 43% 4% 53% (517) Apr. 12 47% 3% 50% (536) Feb. 12 46% 5% 49% (525) Oct. 11 37% 5% 58% (551) July 11 40% 4% 56% (511) Apr. 11 40% 3% 57% (502) Feb. 11 42% 3% 55% (518) Sept. 10 43% 2% 54% (513) July 10 47% 3% 50% (502) Apr. 10 46% 3% 50% (507) Feb. 10 41% 4% 54% (493) Oct. 09 51% 3% 46% (500) July 09 57% 4% 39% (556) Apr. 09 58% 7% 35% (499) Feb. 09 62% 14% 24% (614)

Presidential Approval Foreign Affairs GENERALLY SPEAKING, do you approve or disapprove of the way President Obama is handling FOREIGN AFFAIRS? Approve Neutral Disapprove (N) July 16 46% 6% 48% (525) Apr 16 43% 5% 52% (617) Feb 16 40% 6% 54% (674) Oct 15 41% 7% 52% (576) July 15 41% 6% 53% (526) May 15 33% 9% 57% (566) Feb. 15 38% 6% 57% (501) Oct. 14 34% 5% 61% (672) July 14 42% 6% 52% (660) Apr. 14 37% 9% 55% (499) Jan. 14 37% 12% 51% (573) Oct. 13 46% 7% 47% (654) July 13 43% 8% 49% (498) Apr. 13 52% 9% 39% (494) Feb. 13 54% 6% 39% (571) Oct. 12 51% 5% 43% (589) July 12 50% 7% 43% (510) Apr. 12 54% 6% 40% (532) Feb. 12 52% 9% 38% (524) Oct. 11 49% 7% 44% (552) July 11 47% 7% 46% (508) Apr. 11 43% 5% 52% (497) Feb. 11 49% 5% 46% (515) Sept. 10 49% 7% 45% (511) July 10 50% 6% 44% (503) Apr. 10 52% 6% 42% (504) Feb. 10 53% 7% 40% (494) Oct. 09 52% 8% 40% (499) July 09 63% 9% 29% (552) Apr. 09 65% 8% 26% (496) Feb. 09 53% 32% 15% (607)

Right Track - Wrong Track Do you think things in this country are generally going in the right direction or are they seriously off on the wrong track? Right Direction Wrong Track Don t Know (N=) July 16 30% 65% 4% (532) Apr 16 38% 56% 6% (604) Feb 16 32% 61% 7% (672) Oct 15 35% 55% 9% (580) July 15 42% 51% 7% (528) May 15 31% 64% 5% (562) Feb. 15 40% 57% 4% (498) Oct. 14 36% 58% 6% (677) July 14 35% 59% 6% (654) Apr. 14 32% 62% 6% (501) Jan. 14 34% 58% 8% (569) Oct. 13 27% 67% 6% (647) July 13 39% 56% 5% (511) Apr. 13 44% 50% 6% (498) Feb. 13 47% 49% 4% (573) Oct. 12 48% 49% 3% (578) July 12 38% 57% 5% (512) Apr. 12 42% 52% 6% (525) Feb. 12 38% 54% 8% (514) Oct. 11 22% 70% 8% (553) July 11 35% 59% 6% (507) Apr. 11 32% 63% 5% (496) Feb. 11 37% 54% 9% (513) Sept. 10 38% 55% 7% (512) July 10 39% 55% 6% (491) Apr. 10 44% 51% 4% (502) Feb. 10 41% 54% 5% (484) Oct. 09 46% 45% 9% (496) July 09 51% 43% 5% (555) Apr. 09 51% 43% 7% (498) Feb. 09 38% 51% 11% (610) Sep. 08 21% 69% 10% (540) July '08 19% 73% 8% (508) Apr. '08 21% 74% 5% (487) Feb. 08 23% 71% 7% (553) Sep. 07 30% 62% 8% (505) July 07 34% 59% 6% (523) Apr. 07 37% 55% 8% (510) Feb. 07 40% 53% 7% (516) Sept. 06 34% 56% 10% (510) July 06 38% 51% 11% (496) Apr. 06 30% 62% 8% (501) Feb. 06 40% 53% 7% (487) Oct. 05 38% 55% 7% (498) July 05 47% 47% 6% (492) Apr. 05 46% 43% 11% (487) Feb. 05 53% 40% 7% (535) Oct. 04 46% 50% 4% (574) July 04 48% 43% 10% (500) Apr. 04 44% 48% 8% (535) Feb. 04 43% 49% 8% (503) Oct. 03 51% 43% 6% (487) June 03 56% 38% 5% (511)

Presidential Approval Rating - Overall Approve Neutral Disapprove (N=) STATEWIDE 49% 6% 44% 532 Registered Democrat 93% 1% 6% 139 Registered Undeclared 49% 9% 41% 252 Registered Republican 6% 6% 88% 139 Democrat 87% 5% 8% 226 Independent 36% 10% 54% 87 Republican 13% 6% 81% 195 Liberal 84% 5% 11% 144 Moderate 53% 7% 40% 195 Conservative 13% 5% 82% 147 Likely 2016 Voter 49% 5% 46% 469 Non-Likely 2016 Voter 51% 13% 36% 62 Read Union Leader 40% 7% 53% 80 Read Boston Globe 78% 7% 15% 63 Read Local Newspapers 54% 7% 39% 173 Watch WMUR 49% 8% 43% 284 Listen to NHPR 72% 5% 23% 171 Listen to Conserv. Radio 5% 0% 95% 59 18 to 34 49% 16% 35% 132 35 to 49 57% 1% 41% 127 50 to 64 43% 5% 52% 148 65 and over 55% 2% 44% 88 Male 42% 6% 51% 260 Female 56% 6% 38% 272 High school or less 28% 11% 61% 101 Some college 41% 6% 53% 123 College graduate 53% 6% 41% 159 Post-graduate 72% 2% 25% 131 Attend services 1 or more/week 35% 5% 60% 111 1-2 times a month 45% 5% 50% 42 Less often 54% 11% 35% 154 Never 57% 4% 39% 203 North Country 49% 11% 40% 44 Central / Lakes 41% 5% 54% 100 Connecticut Valley 53% 7% 40% 85 Mass Border 50% 5% 44% 140 Seacoast 55% 4% 41% 85 Manchester Area 48% 8% 44% 78 First Cong. Dist 50% 5% 45% 249 Second Cong. Dist 49% 7% 44% 283

Presidential Approval Rating - Economy Approve Neutral Disapprove (N=) STATEWIDE 52% 5% 43% 530 Registered Democrat 91% 2% 6% 138 Registered Undeclared 55% 6% 39% 252 Registered Republican 8% 5% 87% 139 Democrat 89% 3% 8% 224 Independent 39% 6% 54% 87 Republican 15% 6% 79% 195 Liberal 84% 4% 13% 144 Moderate 57% 8% 35% 193 Conservative 15% 1% 84% 147 Likely 2016 Voter 51% 4% 45% 469 Non-Likely 2016 Voter 58% 12% 31% 61 Read Union Leader 49% 4% 47% 80 Read Boston Globe 86% 1% 13% 63 Read Local Newspapers 55% 5% 40% 173 Watch WMUR 53% 6% 42% 283 Listen to NHPR 74% 6% 21% 169 Listen to Conserv. Radio 5% 0% 95% 59 18 to 34 55% 10% 35% 132 35 to 49 58% 2% 40% 126 50 to 64 46% 4% 50% 147 65 and over 54% 3% 43% 88 Male 47% 4% 48% 260 Female 56% 6% 38% 270 High school or less 34% 2% 63% 101 Some college 42% 7% 51% 123 College graduate 55% 7% 38% 157 Post-graduate 73% 3% 24% 131 Attend services 1 or more/week 40% 9% 51% 111 1-2 times a month 47% 3% 51% 42 Less often 58% 4% 38% 152 Never 57% 5% 38% 203 North Country 46% 12% 42% 44 Central / Lakes 44% 6% 51% 100 Connecticut Valley 56% 4% 40% 83 Mass Border 55% 3% 43% 140 Seacoast 52% 6% 42% 85 Manchester Area 58% 5% 38% 77 First Cong. Dist 52% 4% 44% 248 Second Cong. Dist 52% 6% 42% 282

Presidential Approval Rating - Foreign Affairs Approve Neutral Disapprove (N=) STATEWIDE 46% 6% 48% 525 Registered Democrat 88% 5% 7% 136 Registered Undeclared 46% 8% 47% 249 Registered Republican 6% 3% 91% 139 Democrat 82% 9% 9% 222 Independent 33% 7% 60% 86 Republican 11% 2% 87% 193 Liberal 74% 12% 14% 144 Moderate 52% 4% 44% 190 Conservative 12% 2% 86% 147 Likely 2016 Voter 46% 5% 49% 464 Non-Likely 2016 Voter 48% 13% 39% 60 Read Union Leader 35% 2% 63% 78 Read Boston Globe 73% 3% 24% 63 Read Local Newspapers 47% 4% 49% 173 Watch WMUR 46% 3% 51% 281 Listen to NHPR 71% 6% 23% 167 Listen to Conserv. Radio 9% 0% 91% 59 18 to 34 44% 15% 41% 131 35 to 49 52% 4% 44% 124 50 to 64 40% 4% 56% 147 65 and over 54% 1% 45% 88 Male 40% 5% 54% 259 Female 51% 6% 42% 267 High school or less 33% 10% 57% 98 Some college 34% 6% 60% 121 College graduate 50% 6% 44% 157 Post-graduate 64% 3% 33% 131 Attend services 1 or more/week 33% 3% 64% 111 1-2 times a month 38% 7% 54% 41 Less often 48% 6% 46% 151 Never 55% 8% 37% 200 North Country 48% 3% 49% 44 Central / Lakes 42% 2% 57% 98 Connecticut Valley 49% 10% 41% 83 Mass Border 48% 4% 48% 137 Seacoast 47% 7% 46% 85 Manchester Area 43% 10% 47% 77 First Cong. Dist 46% 8% 46% 245 Second Cong. Dist 45% 4% 50% 280

Favorability Rating - Barack Obama Favorable Neutral Unfavorable Don t Know (N) STATEWIDE 49% 5% 46% 1% 532 Registered Democrat 89% 4% 7% 0% 139 Registered Undeclared 51% 6% 42% 1% 252 Registered Republican 5% 3% 93% 0% 139 Democrat 85% 6% 8% 1% 226 Independent 38% 5% 55% 2% 87 Republican 12% 4% 85% 0% 195 Liberal 84% 4% 11% 1% 144 Moderate 53% 5% 42% 0% 195 Conservative 11% 5% 84% 0% 147 Likely 2016 Voter 48% 4% 48% 0% 469 Non-Likely 2016 Voter 54% 8% 35% 2% 62 Read Union Leader 38% 7% 55% 0% 80 Read Boston Globe 70% 12% 17% 0% 63 Read Local Newspapers 53% 6% 42% 0% 173 Watch WMUR 47% 7% 45% 1% 284 Listen to NHPR 70% 6% 24% 0% 171 Listen to Conserv. Radio 5% 0% 95% 0% 59 18 to 34 48% 9% 41% 2% 132 35 to 49 57% 1% 42% 0% 127 50 to 64 41% 6% 53% 0% 148 65 and over 55% 2% 43% 0% 88 Male 44% 4% 52% 1% 260 Female 53% 5% 41% 1% 272 High school or less 30% 6% 63% 2% 101 Some college 39% 5% 55% 1% 123 College graduate 52% 5% 43% 0% 159 Post-graduate 70% 4% 26% 0% 131 Attend services 1 or more/week 37% 4% 57% 1% 111 1-2 times a month 44% 4% 52% 0% 42 Less often 52% 5% 43% 1% 154 Never 55% 6% 39% 0% 203 North Country 50% 4% 46% 0% 44 Central / Lakes 39% 6% 55% 0% 100 Connecticut Valley 54% 8% 38% 0% 85 Mass Border 48% 4% 48% 0% 140 Seacoast 53% 5% 41% 2% 85 Manchester Area 50% 2% 46% 2% 78 First Cong. Dist 49% 4% 46% 1% 249 Second Cong. Dist 48% 5% 47% 0% 283

U.S. Right Direction / Wrong Track Right Wrong Don't Direction Track Know (N=) STATEWIDE 30% 65% 4% 522 Registered Democrat 55% 38% 7% 138 Registered Undeclared 31% 64% 5% 244 Registered Republican 6% 94% 1% 139 Democrat 54% 40% 6% 222 Independent 18% 75% 7% 83 Republican 9% 90% 1% 193 Liberal 53% 44% 3% 140 Moderate 31% 63% 6% 191 Conservative 9% 90% 1% 146 Likely 2016 Voter 30% 66% 4% 460 Non-Likely 2016 Voter 30% 64% 6% 60 Read Union Leader 27% 66% 8% 80 Read Boston Globe 54% 34% 12% 63 Read Local Newspapers 33% 62% 5% 171 Watch WMUR 30% 66% 4% 281 Listen to NHPR 44% 50% 6% 169 Listen to Conserv. Radio 3% 96% 1% 58 18 to 34 28% 67% 6% 129 35 to 49 41% 56% 3% 126 50 to 64 24% 74% 2% 146 65 and over 33% 60% 7% 85 Male 30% 67% 3% 257 Female 31% 64% 5% 264 High school or less 15% 79% 6% 99 Some college 21% 75% 4% 121 College graduate 34% 63% 3% 153 Post-graduate 47% 48% 5% 130 Attend services 1 or more/week 22% 73% 5% 111 1-2 times a month 35% 60% 6% 42 Less often 28% 67% 5% 149 Never 36% 60% 3% 198 North Country 24% 73% 2% 43 Central / Lakes 22% 74% 4% 98 Connecticut Valley 24% 68% 8% 83 Mass Border 38% 58% 4% 139 Seacoast 32% 64% 3% 83 Manchester Area 35% 61% 4% 76 First Cong. Dist 31% 66% 3% 244 Second Cong. Dist 30% 64% 5% 278