COMMODITY RESEARCH Kunal Kame COMMODITY DAILY 12 TH JULY 2018

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Transcription:

COMMODITY RESEARCH Kunal Kame COMMODITY DAILY 12 TH JULY 2018

In Yesterday s Session Bullion, continues with Tuesday down trend as US dollar trade stronger after the Trump administration threatened to impose additional tariffs on $200 billion worth of Chinese goods. Gold in COMEX has drifted from top of $1256 to low of $1243 levels. In MCX price opened on weaker note at 30479 levels and slump to low of 30300, at the time of closing price was trading with loss of 0.70% at 39310. Silver was also down by one and half percent at 39200. Bullion is trading near crucial levels is price slips further below these levels then intermediate term could turn bearish. Crude oil was trading with loss as U.S. President Donald Trump threatened to levy new tariffs on China, deepening a trade dispute that could depress energy demand. WTI oil extended losses, as EIA weekly inventory data showed that oil supplies in the U.S. fell more than expected. NYMEX Crude was down by 3.70% where it fell from high of $74.04 to $71.36. In MCX price opened slightly weak at 5055 levels and after hovering in range, fell to low of 5032 levels. After inventory major fall was seen up to low of 4900 levels. Expect down trend to continue and further lows of 4780 to get tested. NG found support at 192 levels and price recovered up to high of 195.30. Expect higher levels of 195-196 to attracted profit selling and NG could continue with its down trend. Base Metals plunge to its lowest levels in year as U.S. threats of tariffs on an additional $200 billion worth of Chinese goods, pushed the world s two biggest economies ever closer to a full-scale trade war. The detailing overnight of U.S. President Donald Trump s already-threatened 10% tariffs on an additional $200 billion of Chinese goods dampened hopes that Washington will eventually step back from the escalating row. On an average Base Metals are down more than 2.5%. With only exception of Aluminium which recovered from low of 141 to 143.50. Overall sentiments remains pessimistic and any rise should be used as selling opportunity. Technical Levels for METALS METALS S1 S2 S3 R1 R2 R3 TREND GOLD 29900 30115 30310 30525 30700 30985 Bearish SILVER 38580 38800 39100 39375 39790 40050 Bearish CRUDE 4815 4870 4930 4973 5025 5088 Bearish NG 184 188 191 194 196 198 Bearish COPPER 406 411 417 425 428 432 Bearish NICKEL 927 933 945 961 968 977 Bearish LEAD 144 148 150 153 158 162 Bullish ZINC 167 171 175 181 184 189 Bearish

Technical Levels for Currency CURRENCY S1 S2 S3 R1 R2 R3 Trend USDINR 68.20 68.49 68.72 68.96 69.18 69.44 BULLISH EURINR 80.28 80.55 80.78 81.10 81.35 81.58 BULLISH GBPINR 90.88 91.17 91.39 91.53 91.70 91.97 BULLISH JPYINR 61.26 61.62 61.85 62.20 62.47 62.77 BULLISH Todays Event Time IST KEY EVENT (US) EXPCD PREV IMPACT 06:00 PM CPI m/m 0.2% 0.2% Bullion 06:00 PM Unemployment Claims 226K 231K Bullion 08:00 PM Natural Gas Storage 55B 78B Natural Gas

How to these Technical Levels S1, S2 & S3 are Support Levels. R1, R2, R3 are Resistance Levels. If Expected Trend is Bullish Try to take long position around support Levels And Exit around Resistance Levels. If Expected Trend is Bearish Try to take Short position around Resistance Levels. And Exit around Support Levels. Created by: Inventure Research Contact : Commodity Research Desk, Inventure Growth & Securities Ltd,201,Viraj Tower, Near Landmark Building, Western Express Highway, Andheri (East),Mumbai -400 069 Tele: 91-22-8879606284 Extension :690, Fax: 91-22-40751535. E-mail: commresearch@inventuregrowth.com, website : http://www.inventuregrowth.com/ Notice: This document is prepared by Mr. Kunal Kame. Research for Inventure Group for private circulation exclusively for their clients. Disclosure: We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees, including persons involved in the preparation or issuance of this material may; (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company/companies mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company / companies discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company / companies or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The same persons may have acted upon the information contained here in. Disclaimer: This document has been furnished to you solely for your information and may not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. The material is based upon technical reading of the Graph. Though utmost care is taken by the writer of this document, and it should be relied upon as such. Mr. Kunal Kame of Inventure Growth & Securities Ltd. or any person connected with any of these entities accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. Opinions expressed herein the report are our own and are based on Technical Research as of the date appearing in this document only. Reports based on Technical Analysis centers on studying charts of a stock's price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company's fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report based on a company's fundamentals. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward- looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that may not exactly adhere to the recommendations expressed herein. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and /or redistributed without company s prior written consent. In so far as this report includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable, although its accuracy and completeness cannot be guaranteed.