CSI Index Monthly Report. April 2015 Issue

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Transcription:

CSI Index Monthly Report April 2015 Issue

CSI Express Mainland stock market continued the upward trend in April despite cooling measures taken by regulators. It only went sideways in the last several days. CSI 300 Index was up by 17.25% to 4749.89 points. Shanghai Composite Index climbed 18.51% to 4441.66 points. Shenzhen Component Index gained by 12.60% to 14818.64 points. Large cap indices led the size group by a small advantage. Telecom and industrials led the sector and thematic group. Average daily turnover of A-share market leveled up to CNY 1424.7 billion. CSI Universal Bond Index increased by 1.23% to 155.18 points. CSI is pleased to announce that it has been named the Best Index Provider, Onshore in AsianInvestor magazine s Asset Management Awards 2015. This Award identifies the best index provider among the players in all the onshore markets in Asia. It is a recognition for CSI s commitment to deliver innovative index solutions in both China mainland and offshore market. We look forward to further improve our R&D capability and meet client needs in the future. Index Launch in April CSI Tao Entertainment Index and CSI Tao Health Index. Similar to the CSI Taojin Big Data 100 Index that rolled out in January, these 2 indices also utilize big data from the Alipay Information Service Platform, a part of the Alibaba Group. The CSI Tao Entertainment Index selects up to 100 largest stocks from leisure and entertainment industries such as food & beverage, comic & animation, sports events etc. Each stock has a basic weight proportional to their market cap. In addition, all the sub industries are ranked by an overall score based on an industry quant factor and an industry big data factor. Those stocks in the top 50% ranked sub industries have enhanced weights in the index. The CSI Tao Health Index follows a similar methodology except that the scores are assigned to the stocks in health industries and the top 80 ranked stocks enter the Index. Index Launch in May CSI Tourism Thematic Index. The Index consists of up to 50 largest stocks from the scenic spot, travel agency, hotel and other related industries. The weight cap on each stock is 10%. The market cap of the Index is CNY 345 billion. CSI Reform of the Rural Land System Agriculture Index. The Index consists of up to 50 largest stocks which are related to agricultural Land Transfer, urban industrial land use intensification, agricultural machinery, irrigation, agricultural services and seed. The weight cap on each stock is 7%. The market cap of the Index is CNY 455 billion. CSI Intelligent Agriculture Index. The Index consists of up to 50 largest stocks which are related to agricultural production informatization, management informatization, information management and intelligent agricultural machinery themes. The weight cap on each stock is 5%. The market cap of the Index is CNY 583 billion. CSI SWS Emerging Health Industry Thematic Index. The Index consists of up to 100 largest stocks from health services, medical services and medicine health industries. The three industries are assigned a fixed weight each. The market cap of the Index is CNY 1.75 trillion. CSI Rare Metals Industry Index. The Index is composed of all rare metals industry stocks which pass liquidity screening. The weight cap on each stock is 15%. The market cap of the Index is CNY 416 billion. CSI Culture & Sport Index. The Index selects up to 100 largest stocks from culture or sports related businesses 1

such as publishing & distribution services, arts and crafts production, sport service industry, etc. The market cap of the Index is CNY 2.06 trillion. CSI Asset-light Index. The Index consists of the 100 largest stocks from industries like media, retail, bio-pharmaceutical, etc, whose businesses rely more on intangible assets. The weight cap on each industry is 20% while the weight cap on each stock is 5%. The market cap of the Index is CNY 7.59 trillion. CSI Traditional Chinese Medicine Index. The Index consists of up to 50 largest stocks from the traditional Chinese medicine industry. The weight cap on each stock is 10%. The market cap of the Index is CNY 788 billion. CSI Nuclear Energy & Power Index. The Index consists of up to 50 largest companies which provide nuclear materials, or manufacture key & auxiliary facilities for nuclear power plant, or be involved in the construction, operation and maintenance of nuclear power plant. The weight cap on each stock is 10%. The market cap of the Index is CNY 1.02 trillion. CSI WIND Asset Reorganization Index, CSI WIND M&A and Asset Reorganization Index and CSI WIND Biotechnology Index. The three indices are developed together with WIND, a leading Chinese financial information vendor. The Asset Reorganization Index s universe covers all the companies in the process of reorganization or bringing in strategic investors. It then selects up to 100 largest stocks ranked by the trading asset value of reorganization or the trading amount of private placement. The weight cap on each stock is 10% if the number of constituent is at or above 50. The market cap of the Index is CNY 1.86 trillion. The M&A and Asset Reorganization Index covers stocks in either reorganization or M&A process. The weight cap on each stock is 5% if the number of constituent is at or above 20. The market cap of the Index is CNY 1.91 trillion. The Biotechnology Index selects up to 100 stocks whose 30% of profit or operating income comes from biotechnology business. The weight cap on each stock is 10% if the number of constituent is at or above 10. The market cap of the Index is CNY 412 billion. At the end of March, there are 366 active equity funds benchmarked to CSI-licensed indices. The aggregate AUM is CNY 720 billion. There are 326 index funds (excluding QDIIs) tracking CSI-licensed indices. The aggregate AUM is CNY 470 billion. Among all the products, 81 are on overseas markets with aggregate AUM CNY 59 billion. In April, 10 index products were incepted in China mainland market, 9 of which track CSI-licensed indices. China Southern launched 1 ETF tracking CSI 500 Industrials Index, which raised CNY 941 million. It also launched 1 ETF tracking CSI 500 Materials index, which raised CNY 992 million. E Fund launched 1 structured fund tracking SSE 50 Index, which raised CNY 2.47 billion. Western Leadbank FMC launched 1 structured fund tracking CSI 500 Equal Weight Index, which raised CNY 203 million. GF launched 1 feeder fund for its CSI All Share Consumer Discretionary ETF, which raised CNY 1.42 billion. QHKY launched 1 structured fund tracking CSI Health Industry Index, which raised CNY 351 million. Penghua launched 1 structured fund tracking CSI Banks Index, which raised CNY 3.90 billion. It also launched 1 structured fund tracking CSI Alcoholic Drink Index, which raised CNY 666 million. Fullgoal launched 1 structured fund tracking CSI Banks Index, which raised CNY 2.07 billion. In US market, Direxion launched the Direxion Daily CSI 300 China A Share Bull 2X Shares ETF which provides daily 2x leveraged exposure to CSI 300 Index. 2

CSI&SSE Main Indices Performance Index Close 1M 3M 12M YTD 12M Volatility P/E P/B Dividend Yield CSI 300 4,749.89 17.25% 38.30% 120.04% 34.42% 21.99% 18.37 2.67 1.92% CSI 100 4,428.06 18.87% 36.19% 121.33% 28.70% 24.67% 15.06 2.31 2.43% CSI 200 5,991.10 14.45% 42.16% 117.74% 45.84% 20.41% 43.86 4.43 0.68% CSI 500 8,469.67 16.77% 50.37% 124.89% 59.12% 20.31% 51.66 4.73 0.58% CSI 700 7,102.33 15.65% 46.31% 121.44% 52.45% 19.97% 47.39 4.57 0.63% CSI 800 5,395.31 17.11% 41.48% 121.37% 40.53% 20.34% 21.27 2.96 1.63% CSI 1000 10,180.49 15.94% 55.51% 124.97% 68.90% 24.50%* 80.98 6.29 0.34% CSI Dividend 4,955.86 18.92% 43.53% 123.73% 43.70% 21.07% 11.83 1.88 3.31% SSE Composite 4,441.66 18.51% 38.35% 119.19% 37.31% 21.26% 20.26 2.86 1.72% SSE 50 3,250.49 18.00% 35.13% 117.45% 25.91% 26.52% 13.68 2.14 2.70% SSE 180 10,608.55 18.23% 38.36% 124.43% 31.87% 23.28% 16.08 2.42 2.27% SSE 380 7,588.03 18.64% 50.02% 131.18% 55.92% 20.59% 44.72 3.80 0.91% SSE MidCap 5,047.98 18.58% 43.75% 136.96% 42.52% 20.48% 23.87 3.15 1.46% SSE SmallCap 6,599.32 19.32% 51.86% 133.82% 57.28% 20.80% 47.95 3.95 0.79% SSE Dividend 3,480.95 18.32% 40.78% 114.20% 36.63% 22.78% 10.57 1.70 3.67% [*] Source: WIND CSI&SSE Size Indices Representativeness CSI Indices Large Cap Mid Cap Small Cap Mini Cap CSI 100 (38.8%, 28.2%)* CSI 200 (15.2%, 17.3%) CSI 500 (15.4%, 19.9%) CSI 300 (54.1%, 45.4%) CSI 1000 (16.5%, 20.7%) CSI 800 (69.5%, 65.4%) Shanghai + Shenzhen A-Share Mkt Cap 56.0 trillion CNY, Average Daily Turnover 1424.7 billion CNY [*] Index (% Mkt Cap of Shanghai+Shenzhen A-Share, % Turnover of Shanghai+Shenzhen A-Share) SSE Indices Large Cap Mid Cap Small Cap SSE 50 (42.7%, 31.2%)** SSE MidCap (23.6%, 24.9%) SSE 180 (66.3%, 56.1%) SSE SmallCap (19.5%, 26.9%) Shanghai A-Share Mkt Cap 34.6 trillion CNY, Average Daily Turnover 825.4 billion CNY [**] Index (% Mkt Cap of Shanghai A-Share, % Turnover of Shanghai A-Share) 3

CSI 300 Index Analysis 1000 900 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 Bil CNY Overview Daily Turnover 4/1 4/7 4/10 4/15 4/20 4/23 4/28 Summary Risk-Return Analysis 1M 3M 6M 12M YTD Performance 17.25% 38.30% 89.36% 120.04% 34.42% Volatility 22.60% 22.09% 27.71% 21.99% 27.06% P/E P/B EPS ROE ROA CSI 300 18.35 2.67 0.69 14.23% 15.23% Energy 18.29 2.01 0.66 10.96% 12.11% Materials 39.48 2.83 0.31 6.37% 6.71% Industrials 38.55 4.19 0.44 10.68% 12.00% Consumer Dis 23.91 4.20 0.97 16.26% 19.29% Consumer Sta 28.21 4.95 1.14 17.54% 18.56% Health Care 43.74 6.24 0.86 14.26% 15.22% Financials 11.57 1.97 0.81 16.99% 17.38% IT 61.20 6.70 0.32 10.36% 11.26% Telecom Serv 48.72 4.10 0.28 4.72% 12.05% Utilities 19.59 2.87 0.51 14.66% 18.50% Top 5 Weighted Stocks Close 4749.89 Change 17.25% # of Stocks 300 Name Ticker Mkt Cap Adjusted (Bil CNY) Mkt Cap Wgt Chg Open High Average Daily 455.00 PING AN OF CHIN 601318 458.2 458.2 4.01% 13.32% 4057.50 Advanced 264 Volume Mil Lots CMB 600036 375.9 300.7 2.63% 17.02% Average Daily 647.50 CMBC 600016 287.9 287.9 2.52% 9.48% 4839.08 30 Turnover Bil CNY Declined CITIC SECURITIES600030 338.1 270.4 2.36% 4.69% Low 4046.94 Turnover Rate 42.76% Unchanged 6 HAITONG SECURI600837 231.5 231.5 2.02% 22.21% Sector Analysis Close (right) 5000 4800 4600 4400 4200 4000 3800 3600 3400 3200 3000 Constituent Performance Sector Names Mkt Cap Turnover Wgt 1M Cont Name Ticker Close 1M Cont (Bil CNY) Rate Energy 17 4024 3.31% 18.70% 24.79 Top 5 Performers Materials 35 1746 6.97% 17.04% 48.20 CSCL 601866 11.10 109.43% 7.64 108.12% Industrials 57 5510 19.00% 35.66% 237.20 MCC 601618 11.03 96.61% 10.96 91.59% Consumer Dis 46 2660 11.17% 12.00% 56.84 CSR 601766 31.70 86.58% 28.78 59.86% Consumer Sta 26 1477 6.15% 14.63% 37.28 POWERCHINA 601669 18.28 84.83% 10.03 156.82% Health Care 25 921 4.03% 13.30% 22.51 SPC 600688 9.79 78.65% 3.92 165.77% Financials 48 11052 38.42% 11.43% 187.22 Bottom 5 Performers IT 26 1317 5.94% 12.07% 30.36 BLUEFOCUS 300058 30.44-16.49% -1.44 115.44% Telecom Serv 5 474 1.63% 43.48% 23.46 GOLD MANTIS 002081 30.39-13.59% -1.75 29.04% Utilities 15 1078 3.38% 23.78% 30.81 GDAD 002400 37.34-8.88% -0.70 62.28% GLODON 002410 38.19-7.98% -0.52 42.60% Sector Performance WASU 000156 45.36-7.43% -0.12 89.57% Top 5 Contributors 1M 12M 250% CSR 601766 31.70 86.58% 28.78 59.86% CHINA RAILWAY 601390 21.31 68.73% 24.64 99.45% 200% CHINA CNR 601299 32.56 76.86% 23.80 51.08% 150% PING AN OF CHIN 601318 88.66 13.32% 22.36 80.00% 100% CSCEC 601668 10.90 42.11% 20.12 91.63% 50% Bottom 5 Contributors 0% GDAD 002400 37.34-8.88% -0.70 62.28% YIWU CCC 600415 24.44-5.05% -0.73 41.19% HTSC 601688 29.13-1.65% -1.14 73.76% BLUEFOCUS 300058 30.44-16.49% -1.44 115.44% GOLD MANTIS 002081 30.39-13.59% -1.75 29.95% 4

CSI Sector & Thematic Indices: Top & Bottom Performers CSI All Share Marine 59.1% CSI High-Speed Railway Industry 46.6% CSI 300 Telecommunication Services 43.5% CSI Infrastructure 41.9% CSI 300 Transportation 38.5% CSI Innovative and Growing Enterprises 8.9% CSI 300 Media 8.8% CSI 1000 Telecommunication Services 8.2% CSI 500 Telecommunication Services 6.8% CSI 300 Retailing 0.7% SSE Sector & Thematic Indices: Top & Bottom Performers SSE 180 Telecommunication Services 59.9% SSE Industrials 41.9% SSE 180 Industrials 40.8% SSE 180 Infrastructure 40.1% SSE Urbanization Transport 36.7% SSE 180 Information Technology 10.7% SSE Smart Home 10.2% SSE Information Technology Dividend 9.9% SSE Urbanization Green Cities 9.1% SSE High and New Technology Enterprisess 8.1% CSI&SSE Style Indices CSI&SSE Fundamental Indices SSE 380 Value SSE LMS Cap Value SSE 180 Value CSI 300 Value CSI 800 Value CSI 500 Value SSE 180 Growth SSE LMS Cap Growth CSI 300 Growth CSI 800 Growth SSE 380 Growth CSI 500 Growth 21.4% 21.2% 20.4% 20.4% 19.2% 16.5% 15.5% 14.5% 14.5% 14.3% 14.2% 13.9% CSI RAFI 50 SSEF 200 SSEF 500 CSI RAFI 200 CSI RAFI 600 CSI RAFI 400 SSEF 300 26.3% 24.5% 23.4% 22.5% 21.5% 17.3% 15.4% 5

CSI Strategy Indices: Top & Bottom Performers CSI 300 Leveraged 2X CSI 500 High Beta CSI 500 Volatility Weighted CSI 500 Equal Weight CSI 500 Stability CSI Dividend Volatility Control 10% CSI 300 Volatility Control 10% CSI Equity and Bond Risk Parity CSI 300 Inversed CSI 300 Inversed 2X -23.3% -12.0% 6.8% 4.7% 2.0% 27.4% 22.9% 21.6% 21.6% 21.2% SSE Strategy Indices: Top & Bottom Performers SSE Industrials Sector Equal Weight SSE 180 Leveraged 2X SSE Telecommunication Services Sector SSE Telecommunication Services Sector SSE 180 Fundamental Weighted SSE 50 Volatility Control 10% SSE Equity and Bond Risk Parity SSE SH-HK AH Premium SSE 180 Inversed -15.7% SSE 180 Inversed 2X -29.7% -0.8% 6.0% 2.3% 23.8% 23.5% 39.0% 38.4% 37.0% CSI Overseas Indices (HK, in HKD): Top & Bottom Performers CSI Hong Kong Listed Tradable Mainland CSI HK 300 Industrials CSI HK 300 Midstream Industry CSI HK 300 High Beta CSI HK 300 Mainland Low Beta CSI HK 100 Uti CSI HK 100 Consumer Discretionary CSI HK 300 Consumer Staples CSI HK 100 Consumer Staples CSI HK 100 Health Care 5.5% 5.2% 4.3% 0.4% 0.0% 24.8% 24.7% 24.6% 23.2% 30.6% 6

CSI Overseas Indices (Other, in CNY): Top & Bottom Performers CSI SH-SZ-HK 400 Industrials CSI Great China ex Taiwan Industrials CSI China Mainland Enterprises 400 Industrials CSI SH-SZ-HK 1100 Transportation CSI SH-SZ-HK 400 Midstream Industry CSI Overseas Mainland Information CSI Overseas enterprises ex Taiwan CSI ASEAN 80 CSI Overseas Mainland Consumer Staples CSI Overseas enterprises ex Taiwan 4.9% 4.0% 1.2% 0.6% 0.5% 33.6% 33.4% 33.4% 29.2% 29.2% CSI&SSE Bond Indices (Selected) Index Close 1M YTD Duration Modified Duration Convexity CSI Universal Bond 155.18 1.23% 2.20% 4.15 4.01 20.51 4.11 CSI Aggregate Bond 161.97 1.35% 2.31% 4.87 4.71 24.50 4.15 CSI 1 Bond 140.27 0.57% 1.57% 0.46 0.45 0.35 3.51 CSI Aggregate Bond (1-3) 157.07 0.88% 1.93% 1.91 1.84 2.70 3.89 CSI Aggregate Bond (3-7) 163.22 1.08% 2.07% 4.03 3.87 10.38 4.36 CSI Aggregate Bond (7-10) 162.94 1.62% 2.43% 6.79 6.60 26.97 3.88 CSI Aggregate Bond (10+) 164.30 3.36% 4.05% 13.50 13.13 133.25 4.41 CSI Treasury Bond 157.79 1.72% 2.63% 6.65 6.50 44.07 3.47 CSI Financial Bond 159.25 1.42% 1.63% 4.27 4.12 17.88 3.97 CSI Corporate Bond 175.81 0.92% 2.63% 3.62 3.45 10.71 5.03 CSI Central Bank Note 131.67 1.08% 1.64% 1.26 1.22 1.36 2.96 CSI Short Term Note 140.27 0.56% 1.84% 0.36 0.35 0.25 4.70 CSI 50 Bond 136.66 1.14% 1.92% 4.51 4.38 15.37 3.68 CSI Medium Term Note 50 126.75 0.50% 2.53% 3.02 2.88 6.36 4.91 CSI Short Term Note 50 127.40 0.50% 1.54% 0.36 0.34 0.23 4.72 SSE Corporate Bond 30 134.45 0.83% 2.39% - - - - SSE Convertible Bond 465.48 9.31% 7.34% - - - - YTM 7

Disclaimer The data and information contained in the Report are obtained from sources China Securities Index Co., Ltd. ( CSI ) believes to be reliable, but the accuracy and completeness of such data and information are not warranted. Neither the Report nor any data or information contained therein shall constitute any recommendation or suggestion in relation to any securities, financial products or other investment vehicles or investment strategies, and you should not rely on the Report or any data or information contained therein to make any investment decisions. CSI accepts no liability (whether in tort or contract or otherwise) for any loss or damage suffered by any person arising from any inaccuracies or omissions or for any direct or indirect use of the Report or any data or information contained therein. Contacts Sales & Marketing Department China Securities Index Co., Ltd. Tel: +86-21-50185500 Fax: +86-21-50186368 Address: 13F, Bldg 6, Lujiazui Century Financial Plaza, 308 Jinkang Road Pudong, Shanghai 200127 PR China Email:csindex@sse.com.cn Website: www.csindex.com.cn 8

CSI Indices CSI Index Family * [*] A short version. For the complete version please contact CSI. CSI Equity Indices CSI Size Indices CSI Sector Indices CSI Overseas Indices CSI 300 CSI 300 Sector CSI Great China CSI 100 CSI 300 Industry Group CSI Great China Sector CSI 200 CSI 500 Sector CSI RAFI HK 50 CSI 500 CSI (800) Sector CSI HK 100/200/300 CSI 700 CSI 800 Industry Group CSI HK 100/300 Sector CSI 800 CSI 1000 Sector CSI HK 300 Style CSI 1000 CSI All Share Sector CSI HK Middle Cap Select CSI Free Float CSI All Share Industry Group CSI HK Dividend CSI Mega-Cap AMAC Industry CSI HK SOEs/POEs CSI All Share CSI HK Strategy CSI Thematic Indices CSI Strategy Indices CSI Cross-Straits 500 CSI SOEs/POEs CSI RAFI Fundamental CSI Overseas China Brand 80 CSI Dividend CSI 300/500/800 Equal Weight CSI Overseas China Internet CSI Industry Leader CSI 300/500 High/Low Beta CSI Overseas China Five-Year Plan CSI Industry Chain CSI 300/100/200 Dynamic/Stability CSI Overseas China Consumer CSI Urbanization CSI 300 Leveraged CSI Overseas China Urbanization CSI Culture & Sport CSI China Mainland Companies Global CSI 300 Smart-Beta Leisure CSI Environmental Governance CSI Volatility Weighted/Control CSI China Mainland Enterprises 400 CSI Mobile Internet CSI Synthetic Option Strategy CSI ASEAN CSI Old-Age Industry CSI Style Indices CSI BRICS CSI National Defence CSI 300/500/800 Style CSI Overseas High Yield Bond ETFs CSI Fixed Income Indices CSI Credit Bond CSI Government Bond CSI Convertible Bond CSI Fund Indices CSI Open-end Fund CSI Listed Structured Fund CSI Jinniu Fund CSI Future Indices CSI Commodity Futures CSI Commodity Futures Sector CSI Optimum Yield Commodity Futures CSI Customized Indices CSI Baifa 100 CSI Tencent&Ji'an Value 100 CSI 300 Fullgoal 130/30 Long-Short

Exchange Owned Indices Exchange Owned Index Family * ** [*] A short version. For the complete version please contact CSI. [**] This family of indices is managed by CSI. Shanghai Stock Exchange (SSE) Equity Indices SSE Composite Indices SSE Size Indices SSE Strategy Indices SSE Composite SSE 180 SSE 50/180/380 Equal Weight SSE A Share SSE 50 SSE 180 Sector Equal Weight SSE B Share SSE 380 SSE Sector Equal Weight SSE New Composite SSE Mega-Cap SSE Fundamental SSE Sector Classification SSE Large/Mid/Small Cap SSE 180/380 High/Low Beta SSE Free Float SSE Market Value Top 100 SSE Volatility Weighted SSE Medium Enterprise SSE 180/380 Dynamic and Stability Composite Indices SSE Sector Indices SSE Style Indices SSE 180 Leverage/Inverse SSE Sector SSE Large & Mid & Small Cap Style SSE 50/180 Volatility Control SSE 180/380 Sector SSE 180/380 Style SSE Thematic Indices SSE 180 Thematic SSE Agriculture Theme SSE /180 Corporate Governance SSE 50/180/380 Dividend SSE Health Care Theme SSE Social Responsibility SSE TMT SSE Commodity Equity SSE Environmental Protection Industry SSE Old-Age Industry SSE Emerging Industries SSE Sustainable Development Industry SSE SOEs/POEs SSE Culture Industries SSE Industry Top SSE Consumer 80 SSE Strategic Information Industry SSE Shanghai Enterprises SSE Urbanization SSE TMT Industry SSE Regional Industry Top SSE Industry Chain SSE National Defense Industry SSE Oversea-listing A shares SSE Fixed Income Indices SSE Government Bond SSE 5/10-year China Treasury Note SSE 5-year Credit Bond SSE Enterprise Bond SSE Convertible Bond SSE Detachable Convertible Bond SSE Corporate Bond 30 SSE Urban Construction Investment SSE Medium Term Medium-High Yield Bond Cross Market Credit Bond SSE Fund Indices SSE Fund Shenzhen Stock Exchange (SZSE) Equity Indices SZSE Strategy Indices SZSE Thematic Indices SZFI 60/120/200 SZSE Industry Chain