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Transcription:

Gazprom Consolidated 2008 IFRS Financial Results Presentation

Disclaimers This presentation has been prepared by OJSC Gazprom (the Company ), and comprises the slides for a presentation to investors concerning the Company. This presentation does not constitute or form part of any offer or invitation to sell or issue, or any solicitation of any offer to purchase or subscribe for, any shares or other securities representing shares in the Company, nor shall it or any part of it nor the fact of its presentation or distribution form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract or investment decision. Any viewer of this presentation considering a purchase of such securities is hereby reminded that any such purchase should be made solely on the basis of the information contained in the prospectus or other offering document prepared in relation thereto and will be subject to the selling restrictions set out therein. No reliance may be placed for any purposes whatsoever on the information contained in this presentation, or any other material discussed at any presentation or on its completeness, accuracy or fairness. The information in this presentation should not be treated as giving investment advice. Care has been taken to ensure that the facts stated in this presentation are accurate, and that the opinions expressed are fair and reasonable. However, the contents of this presentation have not been verified by the Company. Accordingly, no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made or given by or on behalf of the Company or any of its members, directors, officers or employees or any other person as to the accuracy, completeness or fairness of the information or opinions contained in or discussed at this presentation. None of the Company or any of their respective members, directors, officers or employees nor any other person accepts any liability whatsoever for any loss howsoever arising from any use of this presentation or its contents or otherwise arising in connection therewith. The information in this presentation includes forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements include all matters that are not historical facts, statements regarding the Company s intentions, beliefs or current expectations concerning, among other things, the Company s results of operations, financial condition, liquidity, prospects, growth, strategies, and the industry in which the Company operates. By their nature, forwardlooking statements involve risks and uncertainties, including, without limitation, the risks and uncertainties to be set forth in the prospectus, because they relate to events and depend on circumstances that may or may not occur in the future. The Company cautions you that forward looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and that its actual results of operations, financial condition and liquidity and the development of the industry in which the Company operates may differ materially from those made in or suggested by the forward-looking statements contained in this presentation. In addition, even if the Company s results of operations, financial condition and liquidity and the development of the industry in which the Company operates are consistent with the forward-looking statements contained in this presentation, those results or developments may not be indicative of results or developments in future periods. The information and opinions contained in this presentation are provided as at the date of this presentation and are subject to change without notice. No person is under any obligation to update or keep current the information contained herein. By attending the presentation you agree to be bound by the foregoing limitations. 1

2008 Highlights

2008 Key Financial Highlights Record Revenue growth up 45% compared to 2007 Adjusted EBITDA (1) increased by 64% compared to 2007 Net Income (2) increased by 13% compared to 2007 Leverage easing: Total debt decreased by 10% compared to 2007 Total Debt / Adjusted EBITDA dropped to 0,9x in 2008 from 1,7x in 2007 (1) Adjusted EBITDA calculated as operating profit plus depreciation and provisions for impairment of assets (includes provisions for impairment of accounts receivable and prepayments, assets under construction, Investments and other long-term assets and inventory obsolescence) except provisions for impairment of accounts receivable and prepayments. (2) Profit attributed to shareholders of Gazprom. 3

Recent Market Conditions Extreme oil prices resulted in high gas prices Crude price 150 ($/bbl) 125 100 75 50 25 0 Aug-06 Oct-06 Dec-06 Feb-07 Apr-07 Jun-07 Aug-07 Oct-07 Dec-07 Feb-08 Apr-08 Jun-08 Aug-08 Oct-08 Dec-08 Brent Source: Bloomberg Urals Ruble appreciation/depreciation and inflation Key macro factors (RR) 29 28 27 26 25 24 23 22 21 20 Jan-07 Mar-07 May-07 Jul-07 Sep-07 Nov-07 Jan-08 Mar-08 May-08 Jul-08 Sep-08 Nov-08 (%) 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 Oil prices grew steadily in 1H08 reaching $146/bbl in July 08 In 1H08 inflation in Russia was 8.7%, while oil prices surged by more than 40% In 2H08 Russian exporters were able to benefit from 30% ruble depreciation vs USD USDRUB exchange rate monthly average Inflation, % change as of 1 Jan 07 Source: Reuters, State Statistics Committee

2008 Performance

Revenue Record Growth of Revenue in 2008 Net revenue 3 519 2 423 2 152 1 384 977 763 903 840 830 946 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 4Q07 1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 Net revenue growth in 2008 is due to gas prices growth refined products prices growth oil prices growth power energy assets consolidation transportation tariffs growth Revenue reconciliation (Y-O-Y) 102 80 128 47 29 148 5 3 519 557 2 423 2007 Gas sales to Europe & other countries Gas sales in FSU Gas sales in Russia Refined products sales Crude oil and gas condensate sales Gas transportation sales Energy sales Other revenues 2008 6

EBITDA and Net Profit Maintaining Profitability Adjusted EBITDA (1) and margin Net profit and margin 37,6% 42,0% 44,8% 964 36,8% 892 1 463 41,6% 21,4% 22,5% 28,5% 613 27,2% 658 743 21,1% 367 581 209 311 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Adj. EBITDA grew by 64% in 2008 Y-o-Y Adj. EBITDA grew 4.0x in the last 5 years Net profit grew by 13% in 2008 Y-o-Y Net profit grew 3.6x in the last 5 years (1) EBITDA calculated as operating profit plus depreciation and impairment provisions for assets (includes impairment provisions of accounts receivable and prepayments, assets under construction, investments and other long-term assets and inventory obsolescence) except for impairment provisions for accounts receivable and prepayments. 7

Operating Expenses Breakdown of Major Operating Expense Items Y-o-Y Comparison Purchased oil and gas Taxes other than on income Staff costs Growth mainly related to increase in the amount of gas sale and purchase transactions in the European market and volumes of gas purchased Depreciation Growth mainly related to crude oil production and global oil prices increase Transit of gas, oil and refined products Repairs and maintenance Growth mainly related to the increase of gas transportation volumes through the territories of Eastern Europe Cost of goods for resale Growth resulted from the increase in volumes of repair services rendered by third parties Materials Growth mainly resulted from operations of Gazprom Germania Group (purchase and sale of electricity) Electricity and heating expenses (1) Other 2007 2008-50 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500 550 600 650 700 (1) Other include: social expenses, insurance expenses, rental expenses and other operating expenses. 8

Working Capital Management of Accounts Receivable Trade receivables (1) Accounts receivable turnover (times a year) 344 394 499 7,5 8,9 7,6 9,7 219 208 260 4,9 5,9 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Improvement of receivable turnover and prevention of liquid funds freezing: Tightening of FSU payment discipline Prepayment for gas delivered to Russian consumers Gazprom s reduction of prepayments to suppliers and contractors (1) Including bad debt provisions and long-term trade receivables. 9

Operating Cash Flow Increasing Cash Flow Generation Cash flow reconciliation 479 (121) (65) (308) 1 032 (896) (120) 185 (135) 13 65 Profit before tax Depreciation and Non-cash Items Change in Working Capital Change in Noncurrent Items Profit tax paid Cash Flows from Inv.Activities LT Borrowings (Net) ST Borrowings (Net) Cash Flows from Other Fin.Activities Influence of Exchange Rate Change Change in Cash and Cash Equivalents Operating cash flow Net cash flow +70% 1 017 (715) 182 +50% 273 +99% +10% 544 599 1 017 279 (181) 67 (74) (62) 13 344 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2007 Operating cash flow Capex Other Investing Activities Debt Net Change Dividends and Treasury Stock Interest Paid and Other Financing Activities Influence of Exchange Rate Change 2008 10

Debt Strategy Leverage Under Control Credit metrics Debt maturity profile (1) 1,7х 1,6х 1,4х 1,4х 1,1х 0,8х 1,7х 1,4х 0,9x 0,7x (% of debt) 33% 31% 9% 27% 25% 33% 35% 35% 39% 25% 19% 20% 12% 13% 13% 17% 20% 30% 34% 32% 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Total debt / Adj. EBITDA Net debt / Adj. EBITDA 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Less that 1 year 1-2 years 2-5 years More that 5 years Credit ratings A3 Baa1 Baa1 Baa2 Baa2 BBB- BBB BBB Baa3 BBB- BB+ BB+ Investment grade BB BB BB- Jan-05 Jul-05 Jan-06 Jul-06 Jan-07 Jul-07 Jan-08 Jul-08 Jan-09 S&P Fitch Moody's Funding facilities In 2009 we obtained $ 6.75 bln loans In April 2009 we issued: - $2.25 bln Loan Participation Notes (9.25% rate; maturity 2019) - CHF 0.5 bln Loan Participation Notes (9.0% rate; maturity 2011) In April 2009 we issued RR 10.0 bln bonds (16.7% rate; 2 years buy-back put option) (1) Excluding promissory notes. 11

Investment Program Growth Driver for Future Cash Flows Gazprom Group CapEx Priority projects for 2009 801 Production 353 486 577 Zapolyarnoye field Yamal Peninsula (Bovanenkovskoye field) 2005 2006 2007 2008 Urengoiskoye field Transportation CapEx Oil and gas cond. production CapEx Distribution CapEx Gas production CapEx Refining CapEx Other CapEx Severo-Kamennomisskoye field Self funding (OpCF/Cash CapEx) Transportation 99% 123% 110% 142% Nord Stream pipeline Pochinki-Gryazovets pipeline Yamal-Center pipeline Bovanenkovo-Ukhta pipeline Ukhta-Gryazovets pipelines 2005 2006 2007 2008 12

Operational Results and Segment Performance

Major Achievements of 2008 and Recent Developments Exploration and Production: Shtokman field Yamal project Urengoiskoye field Sakhalin-2 10 new licenses (3.3tcm) Russia Gas transportation: Nord Stream South Stream 6 additional regions included to Russian Federation gasification program Acquisitions: Daltransgaz Salavatnefteorgsintez GazpromNeft (20%) TGK-1 (46.4%) Venezuela Exploration: Urumako-1, Urumako-2 Oil projects of National Oil Consortium Certification: Ayacucho-3 MoU with PDVSA on Blanquilla Este project (LNG) Bolivia Exploration: Acero gas project Sunchal gas project Algeria Austria Exploration: License area El Assel (blocks 236b, 404a, 405b1) Germany Bernburg UGS project launched Central European Gas Hub (50%) Nigeria MoU with Ministry of Energy/NNOC Belarus Transportation: Beltransgaz (37.5%) Serbia Production: NIS (51%) Tajikistan Exploration wells drilling Libya Exploration: License area 19 (PSA, blocks 1-4) License area 64 (PSA, blocks 1-3) Production: Oil concessions C96, C97 (49%) Kyrgyzstan Exploration wells drilling India Exploration: Block 26 (PSA with GAIL) Vietnam Exploration: Blocks 112, 113, 129-132 (JV with Petrovietnam) 14

Operational Results Demand Impacts Gas Sales Volumes Gas sales volumes by markets (Bcm) +3% 524,6 539,7 +7% 578,8-1% +0,2% 572,0 573,1 153,2 (29%) 65,7 (13%) +2% +17% 156,1 (29%) 76,6 (14%) +3% +32% 161,5 (28%) 101,0 (17%) +4% -4% 168,5 (29%) 96,5 (17%) +9% 0% 184,4 (32%) 96,5 (17%) +0,4% +3% -3% -5% 305,7 (58%) 307,0 (57%) 316,3 (55%) 307,0 (54%) 292,2 (51%) 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Russia FSU Europe & other countries 15

Export Markets Key factor of 2008 Revenue Growth Gas prices and volumes in Europe & other countries Gas prices and volumes in FSU 270 246 259 299 346 390 438 ($/mcm) 466 (bcm) 112 109 108 114 151 148 167 ($/mcm) 170 (bcm) 40 40 38 51 54 46 40 45 28 22 22 25 25 25 22 25 1Q07 2Q07 3Q07 4Q07 1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q07 2Q07 3Q07 4Q07 1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 Net revenues from Europe & other countries Net revenues from FSU 218 192 186 277 339 323 331 438 74 60 57 64 83 80 86 107 1Q07 2Q07 3Q07 4Q07 1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q07 2Q07 3Q07 4Q07 1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 16

Domestic Market Key Future Value Driver Gas prices and volumes 120 100 80 1 287 1 318 1 323 1 296 1 652 1 655 1 667 1 604 (RR/mcm) (bcm) 60 40 20 0 105,6 59,5 46,4 95,5 105 54,9 45,5 86,8 1Q07 2Q07 3Q07 4Q07 1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 Sales volumes in Russia Domestic prices Net revenues Domestic gas sales by consumer type in 2008 (1) Power generation 173 136 124 139 78 61 91 76 1Q07 2Q07 3Q07 4Q07 1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 11% 25% 17% 7% 2% 32% 7% Metallurgy Agro chemistry Cement industry Households Utility sector Other (1) Management estimates 17

Oil, Gas Condensate and Refined Products High Business Efficiency Sales of crude oil and gas condensate Sales of refined products (mln tonnes) +5 % (mln tonnes) -4 % Deconsolidation of Sibur Holding in 2H 2008 22,7 23,9 45,3 43,6 2007 2008 2007 2008 +28 % 215,0 +24 % 653,0 167,8 525,2 2007 2008 2007 2008 Russia FSU Europe & other countries Russia FSU Europe & other countries

Power Generation Expected Efficiency Growth Rationale for energy business Net revenues Liberalisation of electricity market Guaranteed and growing demand for electricity (RR million) 197,2 Further vertical integration: Consolidation of Mosenergo, OGK-2 and OGK-6 Advance payment for 17,7% of TGK-1 49,5 2007 2008 Generation capacity under control Installed capacity compared to European peers (GW) 35,4 (1) 44,2 (1) (GW) 18,9 13 14 19 35 43 45 60 64 74 94 2007 2008E 2014E-2020E Endesa CEZ Vattenfall Gazprom Iberdrola RWE GDF-Suez Edf EoN Enel (1) OGC-2, OGC-6, Mosenergo, TGC-1. 19

Conclusions & Expectations We expect 2009 results to be rather modest World economies slowdown Decline in global energy demand Significant drop in oil prices Reduction of our production volumes Decrease of our domestic and export sales volumes Our price and revenue expectations to be more comparable with 2007 20

Summary Financial Statements

Balance Sheet Balance Sheet, RR million 2007 2008 Change, RR million Change, +/(-)% Total current assets, of which 1 566 417 1 572 075 5 658 0% Cash and cash equivalents and restricted cash 291 134 347 580 56 446 19% Accounts receivable and prepayments 697 464 675 934 (21 530) -3% Total long-term assets, of which 5 226 139 5 596 493 370 354 7% Property, plant and equipment 3 490 477 4 020 522 530 045 15% Investments in associated undertakings and jointly controlled entities 670 403 772 143 101 740 15% Total assets 6 792 556 7 168 568 376 012 6% Total current liabilities, of which 1 084 554 964 845 (119 709) -11% Taxes payable 23 033 6 774 (16 259) -71% Short-term interest bearing debt (1) 525 525 440 692 (84 833) -16% Total long-term liabilities, of which 1 394 905 1 290 624 (104 281) -7% Long-term interest bearing debt (2) 985 141 925 072 (60 069) -6% Total liabilities 2 479 459 2 255 469 (223 990) -9% Total liabilities and equity 6 792 556 7 168 568 376 012 6% (1) Short-term interest bearing debt: short-term borrowings and current portion of long-term debt, short-term promissory notes payable. (2) Long-term interest bearing debt: long-term borrowings, long-term promissory notes payable, restructured tax liabilities. 22

Financial Results Income Statement Statement of Income, RR million 2007 2008 Change, +/(-)% Sales 2 423 245 3 518 960 45% Operating expenses (1 713 759) (2 159 690) 26% Reserves for impairment of assets and other reserves (7 708) (98 964) 1184% Operating profit / EBIT 701 778 1 260 306 80% Gain from sale of interest in subsidiary 50 853 - Gain (loss) from change in fair value of call option 50 738 (50 738) -200% Deconsolidation of NPF Gazfund 44 692 - Finance income 159 380 165 603 4% Finance expenses (132 573) (341 179) 157% Share of net income (loss) of associated undertakings and jointly controlled entities 24 234 (16 686) -169% Gain on available-for-sale financial assets 25 102 14 326-43% Profit before profit tax 924 204 1 031 632 12% Current profit tax expense (218 266) (307 094) 41% Deferred profit tax expense (10 953) 46 842-528% Profit tax expense (229 219) (260 252) 14% Shareholders profit (1) 658 038 742 928 13% (1) Excluding minority interest. 23

Cash Flow Statement Cash flow from Operating activities, RR million 2007 2008 Change, +/(-)% Profit before tax 924 204 1 031 632 12% Depreciation 183 577 195 016 6% Net unrealized foreign exchange losses (gains) (27 338) 162 523-694% Interest expense 76 975 59 910-22% Working capital changes 32 492 (120 706) -471% Profit tax (194 037) (308 772) 59% Net cash provided by operating activities 598 508 1 016 551 70% Investing Activities, RR million Capex (543 420) (714 714) 32% Others (348 821) (180 884) -48% Net cash used for investing activities (892 241) (895 598) 0% Financing Activities, RR million Long-term financing and loans, net 460 275 (119 570) -126% Interest paid (74 152) (55 225) -26% Net cash (used for) provided by financing activities 309 706 (68 893) -122% Cash and cash equivalents at the beginning of reporting period 269 224 279 109 4% Cash and cash equivalents at the end of reporting period 279 109 343 833 23% 24