FY2018 Financial Results

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Transcription:

FY2018 Financial Results UX200 (Geneva s International Motor Show 2018 exhibition car) Toyota Motor Corporation May 9, 2018

Cautionary Statement with Respect to Forward-Looking Statements This presentation contains forward-looking statements that reflect Toyota s plans and expectations. These forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors that may cause Toyota s actual results, performance, achievements or financial position to be materially different from any future results, performance, achievements or financial position expressed or implied by these forward-looking statements. These factors include, but are not limited to: (i) changes in economic conditions, market demand, and the competitive environment affecting the automotive markets in Japan, North America, Europe, Asia and other markets in which Toyota operates; (ii) fluctuations in currency exchange rates, particularly with respect to the value of the Japanese yen, the U.S. dollar, the euro, the Australian dollar, the Russian ruble, the Canadian dollar and the British pound, and interest rates fluctuations; (iii) changes in funding environment in financial markets and increased competition in the financial services industry; (iv) Toyota s ability to market and distribute effectively; (v) Toyota s ability to realize production efficiencies and to implement capital expenditures at the levels and times planned by management; (vi) changes in the laws, regulations and government policies in the markets in which Toyota operates that affect Toyota s automotive operations, particularly laws, regulations and government policies relating to vehicle safety including remedial measures such as recalls, trade, environmental protection, vehicle emissions and vehicle fuel economy, as well as changes in laws, regulations and government policies that affect Toyota s other operations, including the outcome of current and future litigation and other legal proceedings, government proceedings and investigations; (vii) political and economic instability in the markets in which Toyota operates; (viii) Toyota s ability to timely develop and achieve market acceptance of new products that meet customer demand; (ix) any damage to Toyota s brand image; (x) Toyota s reliance on various suppliers for the provision of supplies; (xi) increases in prices of raw materials; (xii) Toyota s reliance on various digital and information technologies; (xiii) fuel shortages or interruptions in electricity, transportation systems, labor strikes, work stoppages or other interruptions to, or difficulties in, the employment of labor in the major markets where Toyota purchases materials, components and supplies for the production of its products or where its products are produced, distributed or sold; and (xiv) the impact of natural calamities including the negative effect on Toyota s vehicle production and sales. A discussion of these and other factors which may affect Toyota s actual results, performance, achievements or financial position is contained in Toyota s annual report on Form 20-F, which is on file with the United States Securities and Exchange Commission. 2

3 Caution concerning Insider Trading Under Japanese securities laws and regulations (the "Regulations"), subject to certain exceptions, any person who receives certain material information relating to the business, etc. of Toyota which may be contained in this document is prohibited from trading in Toyota's shares or certain other transactions related to such shares (as set forth in the Regulations) until such material information is deemed to be made public. Under the Regulations, material information is deemed to be made public when (i) such material information is notified to a stock exchange and is disclosed by ways of electromagnetic means as prescribed by the ordinance of the Cabinet Office (posting on the TDnet (Timely Disclosure Network) information service ) or (ii) twelve (12) hours have elapsed since a listed company, such as Toyota, disclosed such material information to at least two (2) media sources as prescribed by the Regulations.

4 FY2018 Financial Results FY2018 Financial Performance FY2019 Financial Forecasts

Consolidated Vehicle Sales (thousands of vehicles) 10,000 8,971 8,964 (-7) (-0.1%) 8,000 2,274 2,255 (-19) 日本 Japan 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 2,837 2,806 925 968 1,588 1,543 1,347 1,392 16/4-17/3 17/4-18/3 (-31) (+43) (-45) (+45) Change Total retail vehicle sales in thousands 10,251 10,441 +190 N. 北米 America Europe 欧州 Asia アジア Other その他 Central and South 中南米 America, Oceania, オセアニア Africa, アフリカ The Middle East, etc. 5

Consolidated Financial Summary <FOREX Rates> FY2018 FY2017 US$ : +3 yen 111 yen 108 yen : +11 yen 130 yen 119 yen (billions of yen) Vehicle Sales (thousands of vehicles) FY2018 ('17/4~'18/3) FY2017 ('16/4~'17/3) Change 8,964 8,971-7 Net Revenues Operating Income Other Income (Margin) 29,379.5 27,597.1 +1,782.3 2,399.8 1,994.3 +405.4 (8.2%) (7.2%) 220.5 199.4 +21.1 Income before Income Taxes Provision for Income Taxes Equity in Earnings of Affiliated Companies *1 *1 2,620.4 2,193.8 +426.6 504.4 628.9-124.4 470.0 362.0 +108.0 regarding China 88.9 85.1 +3.7 Net Income *2 *2 2,493.9 1,831.1 +662.8 (Margin) (8.5%) (6.6%) *1 Regarding Japan : 342.4 billion yen (+100.6 billion yen year on year), Other 38.7 billion yen (+3.5 billion yen year on year) Retail Sales Results in China ( 17/1-12): 1,290 thousand vehicles (+76 thousand vehicles year on year) *2 Net Income attributable to Toyota Motor Corporation 6

Analysis of Consolidated Operating Income (billions of yen) +125.0 1,994.3 +265.0 Excluding the overall impact of foreign exchange rates and swap valuation gains/losses, etc. +165.0 Cost Reduction Efforts -100.0 Effects of Marketing Activities *2 +60.0 Decrease in Expenses, etc. *3 +15.4 Other *4 2,399.8 Effects of FOREX Rates *1 16/4-17/3 Operating Income (+405.4) 17/4-18/3 *1. Details *2. Details *3. Details Transactional (Imports & Exports) +215.0 Translational FOREX impact Volume, Model Mix +70.0 Labor Costs -75.0 +25.0 US$ +100.0 concerning overseas subsidiaries Financial Services +35.0 Depreciation -50.0 +65.0 Other +25.0 Other -205.0 R&D Expenses -25.0 Other +50.0 (Translational FOREX impact of fiscal (Including sales costs, etc.) Expenses, etc. +210.0 year-end balance of provisions in foreign currencies, etc.) From FY2017 financial results, "Effects of FOREX Rates" includes translational FOREX impact concerning operating income of overseas subsidiaries and fiscal year-end balance of provisions in foreign currencies, etc. *4. Details Valuation Gains/Losses from Swaps, etc. +15.4 7

8 Geographic Operating Income Operating Income (billions of yen) (Excluding Valuation Gains/Losses from Interest Rate Swaps, etc.) 2,837 2,806 Consolidated Vehicle Sales (thousands of vehicles) Japan N. America Europe Asia Other 2,274 2,255 (-19) (-31) +455.7 1,206.0 1,661.8-198.7 330.9 132.1 925-11.8 +88.9 968 77.1 (+43) 1,588 1,543 +4.3 424.4 428.8 (-45) 1,347 63.4 +54.7 1,392 118.1 (+45) 16/4-17/3 17/4-18/3 16/4-17/3 17/4-18/3 16/4-17/3 17/4-18/3 16/4-17/3 17/4-18/3 16/4-17/3 17/4-18/3 Operating Income including Valuation Gains/Losses from Interest Rate Swaps, etc. (billions of yen) 1,202.2 1,659.9 311.1 138.8-12.2 75.0 435.1 433.1 58.6 112.6 Japan (+455.7 billion yen year on year) Increased as a result of favorable FOREX rates, cost reduction and marketing efforts. N. America (-198.7 billion yen year on year) Declined due to effects of marketing activities such as increased sales incentives. Europe (+88.9 billion yen year on year) Increased mainly as a result of cost reduction efforts. Asia (+4.3 billion yen year on year) Increased due to cost reduction and marketing efforts. Other (+54.7 billion yen year on year) Increased largely due to marketing efforts and favorable FOREX rates.

9 Financial Services Operating Income Operating Income (billions of yen) * * Excluding Valuation Gains/Losses from Interest Rate Swaps, etc. Operating Income* 283.9 billion yen (+43.4 billion yen year on year) Operating income increased, despite growth in selling, general and administrative costs, mainly due to an increase in the lending balance and a decrease in expenses related to loan losses. 240.4 283.9 FY2017 FY2018 Change +43.4 Operating Income Valuation Gains/Losses from Interest Rate Swaps, etc. 222.4 285.5-18.0 1.5 +63.1 +19.6 Operating Income Excluding Valuation Gains/Losses from Interest Rate Swaps, etc. 240.4 283.9 +43.4 16/4-17/3 17/4-18/3

Shareholder Return : Dividends 250 200 150 100 50 (yen) 250 200 150 100 50 Year-end Dividend Interim Dividend 165 125 100 Dividend per Common Share and Net Income 200 210 210 220 110 120 Net Income (Right axis) 110 100 100 100 65 75 (billions of yen) 30,000 3,000 25,000 2,500 20,000 2,000 15,000 1,500 10,000 1,000 500 5,000 0 0 Total Amount of Dividends (billions of yen) 14/3 15/3 * Payout Ratio = (dividend per common share) (net income attributable to Toyota Motor Corporation per common share) 17/3 522.9 631.3 645.5 627.5 642.6 Payout Ratio * 28.7% 29.0% 28.3% 34.6% 26.1% 16/3 18/3 0 0 10

Shareholder Return : Summary FY2018 FY2017 Dividend Dividends on Common Share Interim 100 yen per share 220 yen per share 100 yen per share 26.1% Year-end 120 yen per share 642.6 billion yen 110 yen per share 210 yen per share 34.6% 627.5 billion yen 650.1 billion yen (*1) 632.4 billion yen (*1) Share Repurchase Interim Year-end 249.9 billion yen/ 33 million shares of common stock 300.0 billion yen/ 55 million shares of common stock (max) 549.9 billion yen/ 88 million shares of common stock (max) 199.9 billion yen/ 29 million shares of common stock 249.9 billion yen/ 40 million shares of common stock 449.9 billion yen/ 69 million shares of common stock T otal Shaholder Return 1,200.1 billion yen (max) 1,082.4 billion yen T otal Return Ratio (*2) 48.1% (max) 59.1% *1 Including Dividends on First Series Model AA Class Shares *2 Total Return Ratio = {(dividends on both common shares and the first series Model AA class shares) + (share repurchase for shareholder return)} (net income attributable to Toyota Motor Corporation) 11

12 FY2018 Financial Results FY2018 Financial Performance FY2019 Financial Forecasts

FY2019 Forecasts: Consolidated Vehicle Sales (thousands of vehicles) 10,000 8,964 8,950 (-14) 8,000 2,255 2,190 (-65) Japan 6,000 2,806 2,800 (-6) N. America Europe Asia 4,000 2,000 968 940 1,543 1,670 1,392 1,350 (-28) (+127) (-42) Other Central and South America, Oceania, Africa, The Middle East, etc. 0 17/4-18/3 18/4-19/3 Change Total retail vehicle sales in thousands 10,441 10,500 +59 13

FY2019 Forecasts: Consolidated Financial Summary <FOREX Rates> FY2018 FY2017 US$ : -6 yen 105 yen 111 yen : ±0 yen 130 yen 130 yen (billions of yen) FY2019 Forecasts FY2018 Results Change Vehicle Sales (thousands of vehicles) 8,950 8,964-14 Net Revenues 29,000.0 29,379.5-379.5 Operating Income 2,300.0 2,399.8-99.8 Income before Income Taxes (Margin) (7.9%) (8.2%) 2,450.0 2,620.4-170.4 Equity in Earnings of Affiliated Companies Net Income * * (Margin) 440.0 470.0-30.0 2,120.0 2,493.9-373.9 (7.3%) (8.5%) * Net Income attributable to Toyota Motor Corporation 14

Analysis of FY2019 Forecasts: Consolidated Operating Income (billions of yen) 2,399.8-230.0 Effects of FOREX Rates *1 +130.0 Excluding the overall impact of foreign exchange rates and swap valuation gains/losses, etc. +130.0 Cost Reduction Efforts -50.0 +50.0 +0.2 Effects of Marketing Activities *2 Decrease in Expenses, etc. *3 Other *4 2,300.0 FY2018 Results 111 yen/us$ 130 yen/ Operating Income (-99.8) FY2019 Forecasts 105 yen/us$ 130 yen/ *1. Details *3. Details Transactional (Imports & Exports) -275.0 Translational FOREX impact Volume, Model Mix +30.0 Labor Costs -30.0-25.0 US$ -245.0 concerning overseas subsidiaries Financial Services ±0 Depreciation -50.0 ±0 Other +70.0 Other -80.0 R&D Expenses -25.0 Other (Translational FOREX impact of fiscal (Including sales costs, etc.) -30.0 Expenses, etc. +155.0 year-end balance of provisions in foreign currencies, etc.) *2. Details *4. Details Valuation Gains/Losses from Swaps, etc. +0.2 From FY2017 financial results, "Effects of FOREX Rates" includes translational FOREX impact concerning operating income of overseas subsidiaries and fiscal year-end balance of provisions in foreign currencies, etc. 15

FY2018 Financial Results Toyota Motor Corporation May 9, 2018 RAV4 (New York International Auto Show 2018 exhibition car)

20000 18000 16000 14000 12000 10000 8000 6000 4000 2000 0 250 200 150 100 50 0 (Reference) Transition of Financial Performance Forecast Consolidated Vehicle Sales (thousands of vehicles) 8,972 8,681 8,971 8,964 8,950 27.2 Net Revenues (trillions of yen) 28.4 27.5 29.3 29.0 Operating Income Operating Margin(%) 10.1 10.0 (billions of yen) 8.2 7.9 2,750.5 2,853.9 7.2 2,399.8 2,300.0 1,994.3 Net Income (billions of yen) Net Margin(%) 8.5 8.0 8.1 7.3 6.6 2,173.3 2,312.6 2,493.9 2,120.0 1,831.1 15/3 16/3 17/3 18/3 19/3 15/3 16/3 17/3 18/3 19/3 15/3 16/3 17/3 18/3 19/3 15/3 16/3 17/3 18/3 19/3 8,508.2 9,229.9 9,199.5 7,279.5 Total Liquid Assets * 7,959.0 7,763.0 (billions of yen) (billions of yen) ( 億円 ) Dividend per Share (yen) Ratio to Net Revenues (%) (billions of yen) (billions of yen) Depreciation Expenses 9,372.1 8,025.9 Interest-Bearing Debt Net Liquid Assets Total Shareholder Return R&D Expenses Capital Expenditures 20.0 924.6 21.0 21.0 1,287.2 1,082.4 22.0 1,200.1 3.7 3.7 3.8 1,004.5 1,055.6 1,037.5 1,064.2 3.6 3.7 1,080.0 1,177.4 1,292.5 1,211.8 885.1 893.2 1,302.7 964.4 1,370.0 1,000.0 806.2 15/3 16/3 17/3 18/3 15/3 16/3 17/3 18/3 15/3 16/3 17/3 18/3 19/3 15/3 16/3 17/3 18/3 19/3 * Cash and cash equivalents, time deposits, marketable debt securities and its investment in monetary trust funds, excluding in each case those relating to financial services 17

(Reference) FY2019 Forecasts: Vehicle Production and Retail Sales (thousands of vehicles) FY2019 Forecasts ( 18/4-19/3) FY2018 Results ( 17/4-18/3) Change T o y o t a & L e x u s Vehicle Production * 1 Retail Vehicle Sales * 2 Japan Overseas Total Japan Overseas Total Exports 3,190 5,710 8,900 1,530 7,970 9,500 1,900 3,199 5,724 8,923 1,597 7,823 9,420 1,882-9 -14-23 -67 +147 +80 +18 Total Retail Vehicle Sales (Including Daihatsu- & Hino- brand) * 2 10,500 10,441 +59 *1 Including vehicle production by Toyota s affiliates outside consolidation *2 Including vehicle sales by Toyota s affiliates outside consolidation 18

(Reference) Definitions of Consolidated and Retail Vehicle Sales Daihatsu- and Hino- brand vehicles Toyota- and Lexus- brand vehicles Number of vehicles produced for wholesale by Toyota Motor Corporation and its consolidated subsidiaries Number of vehicles produced for wholesale by Toyota s affiliates outside consolidation (e.g. JV affiliates in China, etc) Consolidated Vehicle Sales P5,P13 Distributors or Dealers outside consolidation Toyota and Lexus Vehicle Sales P18 Total Retail Vehicle Sales P5, P13, P18 (in bottom part) Customers *There is a limited number of exceptional cases where sales are made other than in accordance with the flowchart above. 19