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Transcription:

February 215 Data Release Fannie Mae s consumer attitudinal survey polls the adult U.S. general population to assess their attitudes about homeownership, renting a home, the economy, and household finances. CONSUMER ATTITUDES ABOUT HOMEOWNERSHIP The average 12-month home price change expectation remained at 2.5%. The share of respondents who say home prices will go up in the next 12 months fell to 46%. The share who say home prices will go down fell to 6%. 5 4 3 2 1-1 3.2 Average 12 Month Home Price Change Expectation 2.2 2.3 2.5 2.5 8 6 4 2 5 38 Share of respondents who say home prices will in the next 12 months Go Up Go Down Stay the Same 45 46 49 46 42 41 38 41 7 8 8 8 6-2 The share of respondents who say mortgage rates will go up in the next 12 months increased back to 48%. Those who say it is a good time to buy a house remained constant at 67%, while those who say it is a good time to sell decreased by 4 percentage point to 4%. 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 Share of respondents who say mortgage rates will in the next 12 months Go Up Go Down Stay the Same 56 45 48 45 48 33 4 5 7 7 6 45 38 41 4 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 68 68 34 Share of respondents who say it is a Good Time to Buy Good Time to Sell 67 67 64 39 4 44 4 National Housing Survey February 215 Data Release. 215 Fannie Mae. 215 February

CONSUMER ATTITUDES ABOUT HOMEOWNERSHIP AND HOME RENTAL The average 12-month rental price change expectation increased to 4.%. The percentage of respondents who expect home rental prices to go up remained at 52%. 5 4 4.3 Average 12 Month Rental Price Change Expectation 3.2 4.1 3.6 4. 8 6 51 Share of respondents who say home rental prices will in the next 12 months Go Up Go Down Stay the Same 55 53 52 52 3 2 1 4 2 42 2 3 4 2 3 37 4 41 38 A survey high 54% of respondents think it would be easy to get a home mortgage, while those who think it would be difficult fell 4 percentage points to 43% a survey low. Share of respondents who think it would be to get a home mortgage today 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 52 45 Easy Difficult 48 48 52 5 54 44 47 43 The share who say they would buy if they were going to move fell 1 percentage point to 65%, while the share who would rent remained at 29%. 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 Share of respondents who say they would if they were going to move Buy Rent 66 66 3 28 61 66 65 34 29 29 National Housing Survey February 215 Data Release. 215 Fannie Mae. February 215

CONSUMER ATTITUDES ABOUT THE ECONOMY AND HOUSEHOLD FINANCES The share of respondents who say the economy is on the right track increased by 3 percentage points to 47% - an alltime survey high, coupled with a survey low of 45% for those who say the economy is on the wrong track. The percentage of respondents who expect their personal financial situation to get better over the next 12 months fell to 46%. Share of respondents who say the economy is on the 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 57 35 Right Track Wrong Track 54 51 49 4 41 44 47 45 8 6 4 2 43 41 15 Share of respondents who expect their personal financial situation to over the next 12 months Get Better Get Worse Stay the Same 44 41 45 48 46 42 39 42 12 12 11 11 The share of respondents who say their household income is significantly higher than it was 12 months ago fell 5 percentage points to 24%. The share of respondents who say their household expenses are significantly higher than they were 12 months ago fell by 4 percentage points to 31%. 8 6 Share of respondents who say their household income is than it was 12 months ago Significantly Higher Significantly Lower About the Same 59 59 58 56 61 8 6 Share of respondents who say their household expenses are than they were 12 months ago Significantly Higher Significantly Lower About the Same 54 53 52 52 57 4 24 25 25 29 24 4 36 37 34 35 31 2 2 9 9 13 1 9 16 14 14 13 12 National Housing Survey February 215 Data Release. 215 Fannie Mae. February 215

Fannie Mae Monthly National Housing Survey Feburary 215 APPENDIX About the Survey Fannie Mae s National Housing Survey polled a nationally representative sample of 1, respondents aged 18 and older between February 1, 215 and February 23, 215. Most of the data collection occurred during the first two weeks of this period. Findings were compared to the same survey conducted monthly beginning June 21. Interviews were conducted by Penn Schoen Berland, in coordination with Fannie Mae. The statistics in this release are estimated from sample surveys and are subject to sampling variability as well as nonsampling error, including bias and variance from response, nonreporting, and undercoverage. Expected price changes are calculated by creating an average of all responses, using a % change for those who said prices would stay the same, and excluding outliers beyond two standard deviations. All figures are shown in percentages, except where otherwise stated. Febuary 215 Survey Audience Size: General Population (N=1,2) Margin of Error: ±3.1% Average home price change expectation % February 214 3.2 March 214 2.7 April 214 2.9 May 214 2.9 June 214 2.4 July 214 2.3 August 214 2.1 September 214 2.2 October 214 2.8 November 214 2.6 December 214 2.3 January 215 2.5 February 215 2.5 Share of respondents who say home prices will go up, go down, or stay the same in the next 12 months % Go Up % Go Down % Stay the Same February 214 5 7 38 March 214 48 5 42 April 214 5 5 39 May 214 48 7 39 June 214 46 1 41 July 214 42 8 45 August 214 42 9 45 September 214 45 8 42 October 214 44 7 43 November 214 44 6 44 December 214 46 8 41 January 215 49 8 38 February 215 46 6 41 National Housing Survey February 215 Data Release. 215 Fannie Mae. February 215

Share of respondents who say mortgage rates will go up, go down, or stay the same in the next 12 months % Go Up % Go Down % Stay the Same February 214 56 4 33 March 214 54 3 38 April 214 52 7 38 May 214 49 5 38 June 214 55 4 35 July 214 54 4 39 August 214 5 5 4 September 214 45 5 45 October 214 48 6 38 November 214 45 4 41 December 214 48 7 38 January 215 45 7 41 February 215 48 6 4 Share of respondents who say it is a good time to buy, and share of respondents who say it is a good time to sell % Good Time to Buy % Good Time to Sell February 214 68 34 March 214 69 38 April 214 69 42 May 214 68 43 June 214 7 4 July 214 67 43 August 214 64 38 September 214 68 39 October 214 65 44 November 214 68 39 December 214 64 4 January 215 67 44 February 215 67 4 Average rental price change expectation % February 214 4.3 March 214 4.2 April 214 4. May 214 3.9 June 214 4.3 July 214 3.8 August 214 4.1 September 214 3.2 October 214 3.7 November 214 3.6 December 214 4.1 January 215 3.6 February 215 4. National Housing Survey February 215 Data Release. 215 Fannie Mae. February 215

Share of respondents who say home rental prices will go up, go down, or stay the same in the next 12 months % Go Up % Go Down % Stay the Same February 214 51 2 42 March 214 52 4 41 April 214 52 2 43 May 214 51 3 39 June 214 54 3 38 June 214 51 3 42 August 214 53 4 38 September 214 55 3 37 October 214 49 4 41 November 214 53 4 37 December 214 53 4 4 January 215 52 2 41 February 215 52 3 38 Share of respondents who think it would be difficult or easy for them to get a home mortgage today % Difficult % Easy February 214 52 45 March 214 47 52 April 214 52 45 May 214 47 49 June 214 46 52 July 214 5 47 August 214 49 48 September 214 48 48 October 214 5 48 November 214 47 48 December 214 44 52 January 215 47 5 February 215 43 54 Share of respondents who say they would buy or rent if they were going to move % Buy % Rent February 214 66 3 March 214 68 28 April 214 65 32 May 214 66 29 June 214 68 28 July 214 67 29 August 214 64 32 September 214 66 28 October 214 65 3 November 214 62 31 December 214 61 34 January 215 66 29 February 215 65 29 National Housing Survey February 215 Data Release. 215 Fannie Mae. February 215

Share of respondents who think the economy is on the right track or the wrong track Right Track Wrong Track February 214 35 57 March 214 33 58 April 214 35 57 May 214 38 57 June 214 39 54 July 214 35 59 August 214 35 56 September 214 4 54 October 214 4 53 November 214 36 52 December 214 41 51 January 215 44 49 February 215 47 45 Share of respondents who expect their personal financial situation to get better, get worse, or stay the same in the next 12 months % Get Better % Get Worse % Stay the Same February 214 43 15 41 March 214 42 12 45 April 214 44 14 41 May 214 42 14 43 June 214 43 15 42 July 214 4 15 43 August 214 44 14 4 September 214 41 12 44 October 214 45 1 43 November 214 46 12 41 December 214 45 12 42 January 215 48 11 39 February 215 46 11 42 Share of respondents who say their household income is higher, lower, or about the same compared to 12 months ago % Higher % Lower % About the Same February 214 24 16 59 March 214 21 14 63 April 214 25 12 62 May 214 21 12 65 June 214 24 11 64 July 214 28 12 58 August 214 23 15 6 September 214 25 14 59 October 214 25 12 61 November 214 25 11 62 December 214 25 14 58 January 215 29 13 56 February 215 24 12 61 National Housing Survey February 215 Data Release. 215 Fannie Mae. February 215

Share of respondents who say their household expenses are higher, lower, or about the same compared to 12 months ago % Higher % Lower % About the Same February 214 36 9 54 March 214 33 8 58 April 214 39 9 5 May 214 34 12 52 June 214 38 8 52 July 214 36 1 52 August 214 36 11 5 September 214 37 9 53 October 214 36 1 52 November 214 36 11 51 December 214 34 13 52 January 215 35 1 52 February 215 31 9 57 National Housing Survey February 215 Data Release. 215 Fannie Mae. February 215