Lampiran 1 Tahu n Volume Impor Bawang Merah Konsums i Bawang Merah Perkapit a di Indonesi a DATA PENELITIAN Pendapatan Nasional (PDB Perkapita atas Dasar Harga Berlaku) Produksi Bawang Merah Indonesia Harga Bawang Merah Impor Nilai Tukar Volume Impor Periode Sebelumnya MB X1 X2 X3 X4 X5 X6 (ton) (kg) (Rupiah) (Ton) ( US $ / Ton) (Rp / Ton) (Rupiah / US$) 22 32.93,8 2,26 8.546,5 766.572 275,4 2.564.32 9.311,19 47.95,3 23 42.7,9 2,227 9.34,9 762.795 294,5 2.525.965 8.577,13 32.93,8 24 48.93, 2,195 1.447,1 757.399 291, 2.61.25 8.938,85 42.7,9 25 53.78, 2,367 12.435,3 732.61 29, 2.4.62 8.278, 48.93, 26 79.84, 2.86 14.741,63 794.931 384, 3.223.68 8.395, 53.78, 27 17.649, 3,14 17.179,22 82.81 41, 3.371.43 8.223, 79.84, 28 128.15, 2,743 21.13,54 853.615 42, 4.599. 1.95, 17.649, 29 67.33, 2,524 23.647,7 965.164 43, 4.42. 9.4, 128.15, 21 73.27, 2,529 26.786,8 1.48.934 462, 4.253.842 8.991, 67.33, 211 156.381, 2,362 3.424,4 893.124 483, 4.234.944 8.768, 73.27, 212 119.55, 2,764 33.338,9 964.221 445,6 4.1.857 9.23, 156.381, Sumber: Data BPS, Deptan Holtikultura, Dirjen Pangan, dan FAO, diolah (kg) xiii 88
Lampiran 2 Hasil Pengolahan Data pada Eviews 7.2 1. Hasil Regresi Persamaan Permintaan Impor Bawang Merah di Indonesia (MB) Dependent Variable: MB Date: 3/27/14 Time: 1:27 C 21518.5 4639.71 4.644998.97 X1 18341.28 9543.636 1.921833.127 X2 4.582521.748284 6.12441.36 X3 -.41492.35567-11.54124.3 X4.47143.7784 6.56523.38 X5-6.43338 4.51643-1.424432.2274 X6 -.258145.13351-2.497749.669 R-squared.991326 Mean dependent var 8263.61 Adjusted R-squared.978314 S.D. dependent var 39929.17 S.E. of regression 5879.981 Akaike info criterion 2.45762 Sum squared resid 1.38E+8 Schwarz criterion 2.7183 Log likelihood -15.5169 Hannan-Quinn criter. 2.2981 F-statistic 76.18926 Durbin-Watson stat 1.998142 Prob(F-statistic).446 2. Hasil Uji Normalitas 5 4 3 2 1 Series: Residuals Sample 22 212 Observations 11 Mean -2.24e-11 Median 965.8425 Maximum 4259.398 Minimum -8984.213 Std. Dev. 3718.827 Skewness -1.285246 Kurtosis 4.12527 Jarque-Bera 3.585539 Probability.166498-1 -75-5 -25 25 5 xiv 89
Hasil Regresi - Uji Multikolinieritas Dependent Variable: X1 Date: 3/27/14 Time: 1:33 C 3.244322 1.613712 2.1471.16 X2-2.19E-5 3.37E-5 -.651816.5433 X3-5.11E-7 1.65E-6 -.39679.7693 X4 3.3E-7 3.33E-7.99923.3672 X5 -.171.197 -.864426.4269 X6 6.5E-6 4.2E-6 1.57528.192 R-squared.545538 Mean dependent var 2.45691 Adjusted R-squared.9175 S.D. dependent var.2891 S.E. of regression.275535 Akaike info criterion.562249 Sum squared resid.379598 Schwarz criterion.779283 Log likelihood 2.9763 Hannan-Quinn criter..42544 F-statistic 1.242 Durbin-Watson stat 3.137994 Prob(F-statistic).42313 Dependent Variable: X2 Date: 3/27/14 Time: 1:33 C 1934.38 26335.54.722764.522 X1-3569.26 5475.869 -.651816.5433 X3.164.21.8161.4592 X4.7682.3137 2.44925.58 X5-4.166344 1.953-2.13335.86 X6.8197.5289 1.594736.1717 R-squared.91912 Mean dependent var 18896.81 Adjusted R-squared.83825 S.D. dependent var 8736.588 S.E. of regression 3514.185 Akaike info criterion 19.46945 Sum squared resid 61747474 Schwarz criterion 19.68649 Log likelihood -11.82 Hannan-Quinn criter. 19.33265 F-statistic 11.36131 Durbin-Watson stat 1.417279 Prob(F-statistic).9249 xv 9
Dependent Variable: X3 Date: 3/27/14 Time: 1:34 C 686487.3 494774.9 1.387474.224 X1-3689.81 118864.3 -.39679.7693 X2 7.99684 8.856776.8161.4592 X4.44152.95859.46594.6644 X5-4.2852 56.75564 -.75412.9428 X6.7631 1.2996.58527.9556 R-squared.751384 Mean dependent var 849288.6 Adjusted R-squared.52769 S.D. dependent var 14847.9 S.E. of regression 73933.13 Akaike info criterion 25.56216 Sum squared resid 2.73E+1 Schwarz criterion 25.7792 Log likelihood -134.5919 Hannan-Quinn criter. 25.42535 F-statistic 3.22273 Durbin-Watson stat 2.111223 Prob(F-statistic).12563 Dependent Variable: X4 Date: 3/27/14 Time: 1:35 C -3541229. 213829. -1.65635.1586 X1 496751.2 5131.7.99923.3672 X2 7.99572 28.98672 2.44925.58 X3.921865 2.1472.46594.6644 X5 444.5721 166.7453 2.666175.446 X6-4.833379 5.53535 -.873944.4221 R-squared.91513 Mean dependent var 3437986. Adjusted R-squared.8326 S.D. dependent var 819851.8 S.E. of regression 337828.9 Akaike info criterion 28.692 Sum squared resid 5.71E+11 Schwarz criterion 28.81795 Log likelihood -151.351 Hannan-Quinn criter. 28.46411 F-statistic 1.77896 Durbin-Watson stat 1.596743 Prob(F-statistic).1388 xvi 91
Dependent Variable: X5 Date: 3/27/14 Time: 1:35 C 7763.22 2995.679 2.591467.488 X1-761.9377 881.4381 -.864426.4269 X2 -.114367.5361-2.13335.86 X3 -.265.352 -.75412.9428 X4.1321.495 2.666175.446 X6.12585.8547 1.472476.29 R-squared.79162 Mean dependent var 93.197 Adjusted R-squared.418323 S.D. dependent var 763.493 S.E. of regression 582.2349 Akaike info criterion 15.8748 Sum squared resid 1694988. Schwarz criterion 16.9111 Log likelihood -81.3742 Hannan-Quinn criter. 15.73727 F-statistic 2.438336 Durbin-Watson stat 2.53634 Prob(F-statistic).175152 Dependent Variable: X6 Date: 3/27/14 Time: 1:35 C -259871.1 163244.7-1.591912.1723 X1 5162.2 34241.51 1.57528.192 X2 4.242 2.636174 1.594736.1717 X3.95.153852.58527.9556 X4 -.27416.31371 -.873944.4221 X5 24.3374 16.32199 1.472476.29 R-squared.78873 Mean dependent var 76125.64 Adjusted R-squared.577461 S.D. dependent var 39141.95 S.E. of regression 25443.45 Akaike info criterion 23.42876 Sum squared resid 3.24E+9 Schwarz criterion 23.64579 Log likelihood -122.8582 Hannan-Quinn criter. 23.29195 F-statistic 3.733288 Durbin-Watson stat 2.55652 Prob(F-statistic).87293 xvii 92
3. Hasi Regresi Uji Heterokedastisitas Heteroskedasticity Test: Glejser F-statistic.61521 Prob. F(6,4).717 Obs*R-squared 5.279181 Prob. Chi-Square(6).585 Scaled explained SS 2.11265 Prob. Chi-Square(6).912 Test Equation: Dependent Variable: ARESID Date: 3/27/14 Time: 1:43 C -361.6273 2162.45 -.17169.9871 X1 2478.316 434.61.5796.5986 X2.2723.34332.6895.5755 X3 -.3716.16177 -.229734.8296 X4 -.4485.354-1.266747.274 X5 1.17653 2.54138.572529.5976 X6.1441.476.36356.7746 R-squared.479926 Mean dependent var 2751.684 Adjusted R-squared -.3186 S.D. dependent var 2345.363 S.E. of regression 2674.317 Akaike info criterion 18.8819 Sum squared resid 2867882 Schwarz criterion 19.13511 Log likelihood -96.8546 Hannan-Quinn criter. 18.72229 F-statistic.61521 Durbin-Watson stat 2.69346 Prob(F-statistic).716991 xviii 93