Kabupaten Langkat Suku Bunga Kredit. PDRB harga berlaku
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1 Lampiran 1. Data Penelitian Tahun Konsumsi Masyarakat PDRB harga berlaku Kabupaten Langkat Suku Bunga Kredit Kredit Konsumsi Tabungan Masyarkat Milyar Rp. Milyar Rp. % Milyar Rp. Milyar Rp ,61 765,33 14,50 1,51 5, ,26 822,66 10,00 1,56 8, ,48 980,05 12,00 1,57 5, , ,66 8,00 2,25 6, , ,79 10,00 2,73 9, , ,72 13,20 3,47 19, , ,88 13,50 4,67 49, , ,61 17,00 4,93 72, , ,31 32,00 3,75 105, , ,31 25,50 4,25 198, , ,39 15,50 7,59 398, , ,95 10,25 11,80 289, , ,49 8,19 14,10 301, , ,84 12,97 41,99 226, , ,46 11,42 124,68 468, , ,45 5,88 191,14 430, , ,08 4,33 322,75 578, , ,32 10,49 400,08 721, , ,64 5,56 603,97 566, , ,12 9,53 672,09 567,21 Sumber : BPS dan Bank Indonesia,
2 Lampiran 2. Pengujian Autocorrelation Function Variabel Konsumsi Level Date: 03/30/11 Time: 13:54 Included observations: 20. ******. ****** ****.** ***. * **..** *.. * * Variabel Konsumsi First Difference Date: 03/30/11 Time: 13:54 Included observations: 19.**..** **.. * *.. ** * * *.. * *
3 Variabel PDRB harga berlaku Level Date: 03/30/11 Time: 13:57 Included observations: 20. ******. ****** ***** **** *** ** * * Variabel PDRB harga berlaku First Difference Date: 03/30/11 Time: 13:57 Included observations: 19. **.. ** **.. ** * * *.. * *.. * *
4 Variabel Kredit Konsumsi Level Date: 03/30/11 Time: 13:59 Included observations: 20. ******. ****** ****. * ** *.. * * * Variabel Kredit Konsumsi First Difference Date: 03/30/11 Time: 13:59 Included observations: 19. ****. **** ****. *** **..** **.. * * *.. * *
5 Variabel Tabungan Level Date: 03/30/11 Time: 14:02 Included observations: 20. ******. ****** ***** ****.** *** **.. * *.. * Variabel Tabungan First Difference Date: 03/30/11 Time: 14:02 Included observations: 19.**..** * *.. * *.. * * * **.. *
6 Variabel Suku Bunga Level Date: 03/30/11 Time: 14:03 Included observations: 20. ****. **** **..** *.. * *.. * **.. * **..** Variabel Suku Bunga First Difference Date: 03/30/11 Time: 14:03 Included observations: **..** *.. * *.. * * **. ***
7 Lampiran 3. Pengujian Akar Unit Variabel Konsumsi Level Null Hypothesis: K has a unit root Lag Length: 1 (Automatic based on SIC, MAXLAG=4) Augmented Dickey-Fuller test statistic Test critical values: 1% level % level % level Variabel Konsumsi First Difference Null Hypothesis: D(K) has a unit root Lag Length: 0 (Automatic based on SIC, MAXLAG=4) Augmented Dickey-Fuller test statistic Test critical values: 1% level % level % level Variabel PDRB harga berlaku Level Null Hypothesis: PDRB_KHB has a unit root Lag Length: 0 (Automatic based on SIC, MAXLAG=4) Augmented Dickey-Fuller test statistic Test critical values: 1% level % level % level
8 Variabel PDRB harga berlaku First Difference Null Hypothesis: D(PDRB_KHB) has a unit root Lag Length: 0 (Automatic based on SIC, MAXLAG=4) Augmented Dickey-Fuller test statistic Test critical values: 1% level % level % level Variabel Kredit Konsumsi Level Null Hypothesis: KK has a unit root Lag Length: 2 (Automatic based on SIC, MAXLAG=4) Augmented Dickey-Fuller test statistic Test critical values: 1% level % level % level Variabel Kredit Konsumsi First Difference Null Hypothesis: D(KK) has a unit root Lag Length: 2 (Automatic based on SIC, MAXLAG=4) Augmented Dickey-Fuller test statistic Test critical values: 1% level % level % level
9 Variabel Tabungan Level Null Hypothesis: S has a unit root Lag Length: 0 (Automatic based on SIC, MAXLAG=4) Augmented Dickey-Fuller test statistic Test critical values: 1% level % level % level Variabel Tabungan First Difference Null Hypothesis: D(S) has a unit root Lag Length: 0 (Automatic based on SIC, MAXLAG=4) Augmented Dickey-Fuller test statistic Test critical values: 1% level % level % level Variabel Suku Bunga Level Null Hypothesis: I has a unit root Lag Length: 0 (Automatic based on SIC, MAXLAG=4) Augmented Dickey-Fuller test statistic Test critical values: 1% level % level % level
10 Variabel Suku Bunga First Difference Null Hypothesis: D(I) has a unit root Lag Length: 0 (Automatic based on SIC, MAXLAG=4) Augmented Dickey-Fuller test statistic Test critical values: 1% level % level % level
11 Lampiran 4. Pengujian Kointegrasi Null Hypothesis: ECT has a unit root Exogenous: None Lag Length: 0 (Automatic based on SIC, MAXLAG=0) Augmented Dickey-Fuller test statistic Test critical values: 1% level % level % level
12 Lampiran 5. Hasil Estimasi dengan Metode OLS Dependent Variable: K Method: Least Squares Date: 05/07/11 Time: 07:47 Included observations: 20 Variable Coefficient Std. Error Prob. C P KK S I R-squared Mean dependent var Adjusted R-squared S.D. dependent var S.E. of regression Akaike info criterion Sum squared resid Schwarz criterion Log likelihood Hannan-Quinn criter F-statistic Durbin-Watson stat Prob(F-statistic)
13 Lampiran 6. Hasil Estimasi dengan Metode ECM Dependent Variable: D(K) Method: Least Squares Date: 05/07/11 Time: 07:54 Sample (adjusted): Included observations: 19 after adjustments Variable Coefficient Std. Error Prob. C D(P) D(KK) D(S) D(I) ECT(-1) R-squared Mean dependent var Adjusted R-squared S.D. dependent var S.E. of regression Akaike info criterion Sum squared resid Schwarz criterion Log likelihood Hannan-Quinn criter F-statistic Durbin-Watson stat Prob(F-statistic)
14 Lampiran 7. Pengujian Normalitas Series: Residuals Sample Observations 19 Mean 4.64e-14 Median Maximum Minimum Std. Dev Skewness Kurtosis Jarque-Bera Probability
15 Lampiran 8. Pengujian Linieritas Ramsey RESET Test: F-statistic Prob. F(2,11) Log likelihood ratio Prob. Chi-Square(2) Test Equation: Dependent Variable: D(K) Method: Least Squares Date: 05/07/11 Time: 07:55 Sample: Included observations: 19 Variable Coefficient Std. Error Prob. C D(P) D(KK) D(S) D(I) ECT(-1) FITTED^ FITTED^3 1.95E E R-squared Mean dependent var Adjusted R-squared S.D. dependent var S.E. of regression Akaike info criterion Sum squared resid Schwarz criterion Log likelihood Hannan-Quinn criter F-statistic Durbin-Watson stat Prob(F-statistic)
16 Lampiran 9. Pengujian Multikolinieritas Model Parsial 1 Dependent Variable: D(P) Method: Least Squares Date: 05/07/11 Time: 07:56 Sample (adjusted): Included observations: 19 after adjustments Variable Coefficient Std. Error Prob. C D(KK) D(S) D(I) ECT(-1) R-squared Mean dependent var Adjusted R-squared S.D. dependent var S.E. of regression Akaike info criterion Sum squared resid Schwarz criterion Log likelihood Hannan-Quinn criter F-statistic Durbin-Watson stat Prob(F-statistic) Model Parsial 2 Dependent Variable: D(KK) Method: Least Squares Date: 05/07/11 Time: 07:56 Sample (adjusted): Included observations: 19 after adjustments Variable Coefficient Std. Error Prob. C D(P) D(S) D(I) ECT(-1) R-squared Mean dependent var Adjusted R-squared S.D. dependent var S.E. of regression Akaike info criterion Sum squared resid Schwarz criterion Log likelihood Hannan-Quinn criter F-statistic Durbin-Watson stat Prob(F-statistic)
17 Model Parsial 3 Dependent Variable: D(S) Method: Least Squares Date: 05/07/11 Time: 07:57 Sample (adjusted): Included observations: 19 after adjustments Variable Coefficient Std. Error Prob. C D(P) D(KK) D(I) ECT(-1) R-squared Mean dependent var Adjusted R-squared S.D. dependent var S.E. of regression Akaike info criterion Sum squared resid Schwarz criterion Log likelihood Hannan-Quinn criter F-statistic Durbin-Watson stat Prob(F-statistic)
18 Model Parsil 4 Dependent Variable: D(I) Method: Least Squares Date: 05/07/11 Time: 07:57 Sample (adjusted): Included observations: 19 after adjustments Variable Coefficient Std. Error Prob. C D(P) D(KK) D(S) ECT(-1) R-squared Mean dependent var Adjusted R-squared S.D. dependent var S.E. of regression Akaike info criterion Sum squared resid Schwarz criterion Log likelihood Hannan-Quinn criter F-statistic Durbin-Watson stat Prob(F-statistic)
19 Lampiran 10. Pengujian Autokorelasi Breusch-Godfrey Serial Correlation LM Test: F-statistic Prob. F(2,11) Obs*R-squared Prob. Chi-Square(2) Test Equation: Dependent Variable: RESID Method: Least Squares Date: 05/07/11 Time: 07:55 Sample: Included observations: 19 Presample missing value lagged residuals set to zero. Variable Coefficient Std. Error Prob. C D(P) D(KK) D(S) D(I) ECT(-1) RESID(-1) RESID(-2) R-squared Mean dependent var 4.64E-14 Adjusted R-squared S.D. dependent var S.E. of regression Akaike info criterion Sum squared resid Schwarz criterion Log likelihood Hannan-Quinn criter F-statistic Durbin-Watson stat Prob(F-statistic)
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