Rwanda. Till Muellenmeister. Health Budget Brief

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Rwanda Till Muellenmeister Health Budget Brief Investing in children s health in Rwanda 217/218

Health Budget Brief: Investing in children s health in Rwanda 217/218 United Nations Children s Fund (UNICEF) Rwanda October 217

3 Preface This health budget brief is one of four briefs that explore the extent to which the Government of Rwanda addresses the health needs of children under 18 years of age and mothers in Rwanda. The brief analyses the size and composition of the budget allocation for the 217/18 fiscal year, and the adequacy of past spending under the health sector of Rwanda. The budget briefs aim to synthesize complex budget information so that it is easily understood by stakeholders inside and outside the government, and to inform decision makers through key messages for policy and financing changes. Key messages Despite a nominal health budget increase, the ratio of the health budget to the national budget has declined in recent years: Over the past five years, the nominal health budget increased by 22.9 per cent, from 157.5 billion RWF in 213/14 to 193.6 billion RWF in 217/18. However, the ratio of the health sector budget as a proportion of the national budget shows a declining trend, from 1.8 per cent in 214/15 to 9.2 per cent in 217/18. Thus, the health budget is below the Health Sector Strategic Plan (HSSP) 3 targets of a ratio of 15 per cent of the health budget to the national budget as well as the Abuja Declaration. A high rate of budget execution, indicating stronger planning and budget execution capacities of districts within the ongoing decentralization process: The health budget execution rate was nearly 86 per cent in 215/16 at the national level and 99.6 per cent at district level. Declining external financing (donor funding): The health sector realized a major shift from donor-dominant financing to domestic financing (national budget). The share of external finance under the health sector was 57.2 per cent in 213/14, while in 217/18 it is estimated at 15.3 per cent. UNICEF/Till Muellenmeister

4 1. Introduction 1.1 Understanding the Rwandan health sector The Rwandan health sector is coordinated by the Ministry of Health (MINISANTE), whose mission is to provide and continually improve affordable promotive, preventive, curative and rehabilitative health-care services to the Rwandan population. 1 MINISANTE is supported by the Rwanda Biomedical Centre (RBC) an implementing agency responsible for coordinating and improving research activities in the fields of disease prevention, education and provision of treatment to people at all levels. 2 Health services in Rwanda are provided at various levels of the health-care system by public, faith-based, private for-profit and non-government organizations: 3 Community health: Basic treatments are provided at health posts (HPs) and health centres (HCs), and Community Health Workers provide basic assistance at the household level; 4 Figure 1: Rwanda health services structures Nationa level District level Sector level Village Ministry of Health (MINISANTE)/RBC Referral hospitals (RHs)/Provincial District hospitals (DHs) Health centres (HCs) Health posts (HPs) Public Health District: Upon referral from HCs, district hospitals (DHs) undertake advanced diagnosis and treatment; and Province or national: Upon referral from DHs, referral hospitals (RHs) address specialized medical diagnosis and treatment. Community Community Health Workers Households/Population Figure 1 shows an illustrative summary of health services structures in Rwanda. Source: State finance data analysed 1.1.1 Guiding strategic documents and key targets Table 1: Strategic documents and targets Strategic documents Rwanda Vision 22: A long-term, 2- year development vision Key performance indicators and targets A reduction of: The maternal mortality rate from 1,7 to 2 per 1, The infant mortality rate from 17 to 5 per 1, Fertility rate from 6.5 children in 2 to 4.5 children in 22 Economic Development and Poverty Reduction Strategy Second Generation (EDPRS 2): 213 218 Increase births in health facilities from 63 per cent (211) to 82 per cent in 218 Reduce: Maternal mortality ratio (per 1, live births) from 476 (211) to 22 in 218 Under-five mortality rate per/1, live births) from 76 (211) to 42 in 218 Health Sector Strategic Plan (HSSP) Increase percentage of births attended in a health facility from 69 per cent to 9 per cent Increase health centres with maternal health services from 16 per cent to 1 per cent Increase government budget for health as a share of the total budget from 11 per cent (212) to 15 per cent by 218

5 1.2 Health sector performance on selected indictors Rwanda s health sector realized impressive gains in achieving the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs), including Goal 4 on reducing child mortality and Goal 5 on improving maternal mortality (Figure 2 and Figure 3). Figure 2: Maternal mortality ratio per 1, (25 215) Figure 3: Maternal mortality ratio per 1 trend (25 215) 75 75 Infant mortality Under 5 mortality 476 21 75 476 476 21 21 25 DHS 21 DHS 214/15 DHS 25 RDHS 21 RDHS 214/15 RDHS Source: State finance laws Source: State finance laws Between 25 and 214, the maternal mortality rate decreased by more than three times (from 75 per 1, live births in 25 to 21 per 1, in 214/15) and infant mortality fell from 152 per 1, live births to 5 per 1, in 214/15. Table 2 presents additional indicators that Rwanda has performed strongly in recent years. Table 2: Key health indicators Key indicators 2 25 21 215 Neonatal mortality rate per 1, live births 44 37 27 2 Infant mortality rate per 1, 17 86 5 32 Under-five mortality per 1, 196 152 76 5 Maternal mortality rate per 1, 1,71 75 476 21 Stunting (%) 51.1 48.3 44.2 37.9 Institutional deliveries (%) 27 28 69 91

6 However, the nutrition status among children under 5 years of age continues to be a public health concern, with stunting rates of 38 per cent at the national level, 41 per cent in rural areas and 24 per cent in urban areas. 5 Figure 4 and Figure 5 indicate the trends of stunting in Rwanda between 25 and 215 and the target by 22. 6 Figure 4: Stunting rates in children under 5 years of age 6 48 44 4 38 15 2 DHS 25 DHS 21 DHS 214/15 Target 22 Source: State finance data analysed Figure 5: Children stunting trend by residence Recommendations for addressing malnutrition: Strengthen multi-sectoral coordination to accelerate progress in reducing all forms of malnutrition; Scale up nutrition-specific interventions, including maternal, infant and young child nutrition, micronutrient supplementation, etc.; 8 6 4 2 Infant mortality Infant mortality 57.5 53.3 51 46.5 41.9 4.6 37.9 33.3 27.3 23.7 DHS 1992 DHS 2 DHS 25 DHS 21 DHS 214/15 Implement nutrition-sensitive interventions in food-insecure areas; and Bolster behaviour-change interventions to improve adolescent, maternal and child nutrition. Source: State finance data analysed UNICEF/Noorani

7 2. Trend of government spending in the health sector 2.1 Size of government spending Rwanda s health sector budget has increased from 157.5 billion RWF in 213/14 to 193.6 billion RWF in 217/18, reflecting an increase of 22.9 per cent. Despite the nominal increase, the share of the health budget to the total government budget declined from 1.8 per cent in 214/15 to 9.2 per cent in 217/18, and the share of the health budget to gross domestic product (GDP) decreased from 3.47 per cent in 214/16 to 2.85 per cent in 216/17 (Figure 6). Figure 6: Per-cent share of health budget to total budget and GDP Health budget (nominal) 25 2 15 1 5 Health budget (billion) Share of health budget to national budget Government health spending as % of GDP 1.8 1.2 9.5 9.7 9.2 157.5 189.5 18.4 188.6 193.6 3.2 3.47 3.3 2.85 213/14 214/15 215/16 216/17 217/18 12 1 8 6 4 2 Source: Budget law data analysed by author 2.2 Government spending in the health sector by selected priority sector The budget allocation to national priority sectors realized a decreasing trend. For example, the share of the transport budget decreased from 11.8 per cent in 213/14 to 7.3 per cent, the share of the education budget fell from 15.2 per cent in 213/15 to 11.5 per cent in 217/18, and the share of the energy budget decreased from 11.6 per cent to 4 per cent in 217/18 (Figure 7). The analysis indicates that the decreasing trend can be attributed to an increase of the recurrent budget allocated to the newly established public institutions and reforms across government ministries and agencies. Figure 7: Per-cent share of budget allocation to priority sectors 6 4 2 Health budget Education budget Energy budget Transport budget Public order and safety 4.1 4.3 11.8 5.1 9.9 9 5.1 5.2 11.6 1.4 8.5 8.7 7.3 4.5 4 15.2 13.4 12.3 11.3 11.5 9.5 1.8 1.2 9.7 9.2 213/14 214/15 215/16 216/17 217/18 Source: Budget law data analysed by author

8 While the Health Sector Strategic Plan (HSSP) targeted an increase in the ratio of the health budget to the national budget from 11 per cent in 212 to 15 per cent by 218, it declined instead. The continued declining trend of budget allocated to health is likely to have undesirable effect on the realized health outcome. Thus, the Government of Rwanda will have to substantially increase the budget allocated to the health sector in order to maintain the achievement realized. 2.3 Health sector spending against selected countries A comparative analysis of health sector spending in Rwanda against that of Kenya, Uganda and the United Republic of Tanzania reveals that despite a slight reduction, Rwanda allocated the biggest proportion of the budget towards health until 214, followed by Uganda at 7.2 per cent, and Kenya at 5.7 per cent (Figure 8). Figure 8: Government spending in comparison with other countries 4 3 2 1 Kenya Rwanda Tanzania Uganda Sub-Saharan Africa 5.8 5.8 5.6 5.7 5.5 11 9.1 7.6 7.5 7.2 5.3 5.7 5.7 5.6 5.6 7.9 7.7 7.7 7.7 7.5 4 5.2 5.5 5.6 5.7 21 211 212 213 214 Source: World Bank health statistics database. 2.4 Changes in the health budget The Government of Rwanda s budget revision takes place mid-year (December January), with the purpose of addressing emerging national priority priorities. From 214/15 to 217/18, the health budgets were revised upward in response to health-sector needs. For example, in 214/15, the health budget was increased by 5.7 per cent, in 215/16 it was increased by 13.1 per cent, and in 216/17 it was increased by.4 per cent (Figure 9). Figure 9: Initial vs. revised health budget 25 Initial health budget (millions) Revised health budget (millions) Health budget changes (%) 13.1 15 2 15 1 5-1.9-2.2 212/13 213/14 5.7 214/15 215/16.4 216/17 2.7 217/18 1 5-5 Source: Budget law data analysed by author

9 2.5 Changes in the health budget: Inflationadjusted changes The trend of the inflation-adjusted health budget changes indicates a less significant effect of inflation on the health budget. This was due to: (i) low level of inflation rate over the past four years, ranging between 1.8 per cent and 5.9 per cent; and (ii) annual nominal increase of the health budget, which curbed the inflationary effect on the health budget (Figure 1). Figure 1: Nominal and inflation-adjusted health government health budget 4 Health budget changes (%) Health budget changes inflation adjusted 3 2 24.6 1.9 2.7-8 -7.2 -.3-2 -13.8-9.5 213/14 214/15 215/16 216/17 217/18 Source: State finance data analysed 2.6 Health sector priorities: Budget trends for selected programmes The Third Health Sector Strategic Plan (HSSP 3) defines the following priorities for the health sector: Sustain the achievements in the fight for maternal and child health and against infectious diseases, and invest in prevention and control of non-communicable diseases; Improve access to health services (financial, geographical, community health); Improve the quality of health provision (quality assurance, training, medical equipment, supervision); Reinforce institutional strengthening (especially towards district health services, DHUs); and Improve the quantity and quality of human resources for health (planning, quantity, quality, management). UNICEF/Noorani

1 A large amount of the health budget over the past five years has been allocated to financial and geographic accessibility of health services, which include health infrastructure, subsidization to health insurance and performance-based financing (PBF). Financial and geographic accessibility of health services was allocated 43.3 billion RWF in 217/18, indicating an increase of 2.9 per cent when compared with the 216/17 budget. Procurement and distribution of medical equipment is the second-largest health programme, with 38.7 billion RWF in 217/18, significantly increased when compared with 216/17. Diseases prevention and control takes the third position, as it was allocated 15.1 billion FRW. This includes vaccination of preventable diseases, HIV prevention and fighting of epidemic diseases. The budget allocation for health human resources declined from 13.1 billion RWF in 216/17 to 7.5 billion RWF in 217/18 (Figure 11). Figure 11: Budget allocation by core programmes Health human resources Financial and geographical health accessibility Disease prevention and control Medical procurement and distribution Maternal child and health 213/14 1.7 3.5 7.3 5.1 19.7 214/15 11.9 51.2 7.4 2 24.4 215/16 11.4 47.3 5.6 12.5 41.9 216/17 13.1 35.8 5 11.5 23.1 217/18 7.5 43.3 4.4 15.1 38.7 2 4 6 8 1 12 Source: Budget law data analysed by author 2.7 Budget allocated to nutrition-specific interventions Figure 12. Nutrition budget changes 214/15 217/18 Malnutrition and stunting remain public challenges, and the Government of Rwanda, through the Ministry of Health (MINISANTE), Ministry of Agriculture (MINAGRI)/Rwanda Agriculture Board (RAB) and Ministry of Local Government (MINALOC)/Local Administrative Development Agency Government (LODA), has established specific budget lines to address nutrition challenges. From 214/15 to 216/17, the budget allocated to the nutrition programme increased by two times (from 4 billion RWF to 8.2 billion RWF); however, in 217/18, the budget allocated to nutrition-related interventions was significantly reduced and reached 5.9 billion RWF (Figure 12). 1 8 6 4 2 Total nutrition budget (billions) Changes in nutrition budget Share of nutrition budget to health budget (%) 4 2.12 6.4 59 3.54 8.2 28.6 4.36 5.9 4.49 -.1 212/13 213/14 214/15 215/16 8 6 4 2-2 Source: State finance data analysed While the analysed budgets for nutrition under this brief consist of government budgets, there are, however, a number of multiple stakeholders involved in fighting malnutrition and stunting countrywide. Mapping all budgets used by non-governmental institutions is recommended to clearly understand various efforts being made to combat malnutrition and ensure equity across the country.

11 3. Composition of health spending 3.1 Budget allocation by the Ministry of Health, agencies and districts Figure 13: Budget allocation by key agencies Health spending consists of the budget for three agencies and districts: Ministry of Health, Rwanda Biomedical Centre (RBC), referral hospitals and districts. RBC has been allocated a larger proportion of the health budget; however, there is a declining trend e.g., RBC was allocated 12.2 billion RWF in 215/16 and 85.7 billion RWF in 217/18, reflecting a reduction of 16.1 per cent. MINISANTE was allocated a considerable proportion of the budget 59.2 billion RWF in 217/18, -a slight increase when compared with 216/17. The budget allocated to districts shows an increasing trend; districts were allocated 4 billion RWF during 217/18, indicating an increase of 16.6 per cent. Also, a limited budget is allocated to referral hospitals 8.8 billion RWF (Figure 13) MINISANTE Referral hospitals 25 2 15 1 5 214/15 215/16 Source: State finance data analysed Rwanda biochemical centre Districts 216/17 217/18 3.2 Health budget per economic activities Figure 14: Recurrent vs. development health budget The share of the development budget declined from 75.8 per cent of the total health budget in 213/14 to 54.7 per cent in 217/18. The decrease in the development budget is partly explained by a significant reduction of external financing to the health sector and a recent increase of recurrent costs associated with the increase of performance-based financing and other incentives offered to Community Health Workers (Figure 14). Recurrent % share of development Development (D&E) 15 75.8 77.7 78.1 1 63.2 54.7 1 8 6 To increase the decentralization of health services as well as to enhance equity, the Government of Rwanda will have to increase the budget allocated to districts and referral hospitals. These agencies deal directly with the community on health-related issues. 5 212/13 213/14 Source: State finance data analysed 214/15 215/16 4 2

12 4. Budget execution Despite a lack of execution data at the local level, the available data indicate a decreasing trend in the budget execution rate, from 15 per cent in 212/13 to 86 per cent. In 215/16. However, at the local level, the budget execution was at 99.6 per cent in 215/16 (Figure 15). Figure 15: Budget execution rate 12 1 8 6 4 2 % budget execution (health agencies) National budget execution (%) 15.7 93.8 97.7 96.3 212/13 213/14 11.2 97.3 87.1 86 214/15 215/16 Source: Budget law data analysed by author 5. Financing the health sector Health-sector financing experienced a major shift from externally dominant financing to primarily domestic ownership. In the 213/14 fiscal year, the external financing was more than a half of the national health budget (59.6 per cent); however, over subsequent years domestic financing gained the majority, and is estimated at 15.3 per cent in 217/18 budget (Figure 16). Figure 16: Share of external financing to national budget 2 Domestic (billion) External (billion) % share of external finance 8 15 1 57.2 6 4 5 213/14 21.4 214/15 23.4 14.1 215/16 216/17 15.3 2 Source: Budget law data analysed by author To enable efficient monitoring of the health budget execution, the Government of Rwanda will have to avail budget execution reports by spending agencies, programmatic and functional areas.

13 Rwanda has maintained consistent investment in the health sector through domestic revenues amid external aid declines. There is an increasing risk, however, that the country may resort to borrowing funding to maintain the level of services in health and other social sectors. The Government of Rwanda must therefore devise strategic interventions aiming at broadening the tax base, and UNICEF will continue to advocate for increased financing in social services, including the health sector. 6. Policy issues 1. Increased cost of health services In December 216, the Government of Rwanda increased the cost of health services. The Ministry of Health explained that those owning RAMA/RSSB health insurance (mostly government employees and their dependents) would experience an increase of 25 per cent on previous tariffs, while those covered by MMI (mostly people in national services) and other private health insurance holders would see an increase of 15 per cent or more. While increasing health coverage costs will improve the quality of service provided by health facilities, it will also increase out-of-pocket expenses.. 2. Referral approach for public servants who use Rwanda La Rwandaise d Assurance Maladie (RAMA) In March 217, the Rwanda Social Security Board (RSSB) announced a new referral system for those owning the RAMA health insurance. The new policy will result in financial gains to RSSB due to the low cost in public health facilities. 3. Malnutrition The high rate of malnutrition, particularly among children 5 years old and younger: 38 per cent at the national level, 4.6 per cent in rural areas and 23.8 per cent in urban areas. The disparity among the populations in rural and urban areas signals inequity that needs special attention and an increased budget targeting rural areas and the most vulnerable districts. 4. Declining external financing (ODA) In the past, the health sector was mainly financed by external donors. For example, in 213/14, external financing accounted for 57 per cent of the total health budget, but the share of external financing has decreased significantly in recent years. To maintain health service coverage, the Government of Rwanda must devise strategic interventions aimed at broadening the tax base. UNICEF/Noorani

14 Endnotes 1 Ministry of Health, Third Health Sector Strategic Plan, July 212 June 218, Kigali, Rwanda, available at: <www.moh. gov.rw/fileadmin/templates/docs/hssp_iii_final_ver- SION.pdf>. 2 <www.moh.gov.rw/fileadmin/templates/hlaws/rbc_law. pdf>. 3 Ministry of Health, National Community Health Service Strategic Plan, July 213 June 218, Kigali, Rwanda, May 213, available at: <www.moh.gov.rw/fileadmin/templates/chd_ Docs/CHD-Strategic_plan.pdf>. 4 To follow antenatal care, women after delivery and children younger than 9 months old, malnutrition screening, provision of contraceptives, preventive and behaviour change activities. 5 National Institute of Statistics of Rwanda, et al., Rwanda Demographic and Health Survey (DHS), 214 215, Kigali, Rwanda, March 216. 6 Ministry of Finance and Economic Planning (MINECOFIN), Rwanda Vision 22, revised 212, Kigali, Rwanda, available at: <www.minecofin.gov.rw/fileadmin/templates/documents/ndpr/vision_22_.pdf>. UNICEF/Noorani

United Nations Children s Fund Ebenezer House 137 Umuganda Boulevard Kacyiru Kigali P O Box 381 Kigali Tel: +25 788 162 7 Email: kigali@unicef.org Web: www.unicef.org/rwanda www.facebook.com/unicef.rwanda www.twitter.com/unicefrw www.youtube.com/channel/ucc2yxsnbkbzwe61cmxoz4nq