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Transcription:

Interviews with 1,055 adult Americans conducted by telephone by ORC International on September 25-28, 2014. The margin of sampling error for results based on the total sample is plus or minus 3 percentage points. The sample also includes 948 interviews among registered voters (plus or minus 3 percentage points), including 701 likely voters (plus or minus 3.5 percentage points). The sample includes 704 interviews among landline respondents and 351 interviews among cell phone respondents. FOR RELEASE: TUESDAY, SEPTEMBER 30 AT 6 AM

5. If the elections for Congress were being held today, which party's candidate would you vote for in your Congressional district? 6. (IF UNSURE:) As of today, who do you lean more toward? QUESTIONS 5 AND 6 COMBINED Democratic Republican Neither/ Don t plan No candidate candidate other to vote opinion Likely Voters Sept. 25-28, 2014 47% 45% 4% * 3% Sept. 5-7, 2014 45% 49% 4% 1% 1% Registered Voters Sept. 25-28, 2014 49% 42% 5% 2% 3% Sept. 5-7, 2014 47% 45% 5% 2% 1% July 18-20, 2014 48% 44% 5% 1% 2% May 2-4, 2014 45% 46% 5% 3% 1% All Respondents Sept. 25-28, 2014 49% 41% 5% 3% 3% Sept. 5-7, 2014 47% 44% 5% 4% 1% July 18-20, 2014 48% 42% 6% 3% 2% May 2-4, 2014 46% 44% 5% 4% 2% POLL 9-2- Sept. 25-28, 2014

7. Thinking ahead to the elections for Congress this November, if you had to choose, which of the following issues will be more important to your vote -- economic conditions in the U.S. or the military action against ISIS forces in Iraq and Syria? Sept. 25-28 2014 Economic conditions 65% Military action 29% Both 5% Neither 1% Other * No opinion 1% FOR COMPARISON: CNN/USA TODAY/GALLUP TRENDS Economic conditions Possibility of war with Iraq Both Neither Other No opinion 2002 Sep 20-22 42 49 7 1 * 1 2002 Sep 2-4 57 34 7 * 0 2 2002 Aug 19-21 55 36 7 * * 2 QUESTION WORDING: Thinking ahead to the elections for Congress this November, if you had to choose, which of the following issues will be more important to your vote -- economic conditions, or the possibility of war with Iraq? POLL 9-3- Sept. 25-28, 2014

8. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Congress is handling the situation with ISIS, the Islamic militant group that controls some areas of Iraq and Syria? Sept. 25-28 2014 Approve 33% Disapprove 60% No opinion 7% FOR COMPARISON: CNN/USA TODAY/GALLUP TRENDS Approve Disapprove No opinion 1999 Apr 30-May 2 41 45 14 QUESTION WORDING: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Congress is handling the situation in Kosovo? 9. Overall, who do you have more confidence in to set the U.S. military policy toward ISIS -- President Obama or the Republican leaders in Congress? Sept. 25-28 2014 Obama 48% GOP leaders 41% Both equally 1% Neither 8% No opinion 3% FOR COMPARISON: CNN/USA TODAY/GALLUP TRENDS Clinton GOP leaders Both equally Neither No opinion 1999 Apr 30-May 2 43 42 2 9 4 QUESTION WORDING: Overall, who do you have more confidence in to set the United States' military policy toward Yugoslavia -- President Clinton or the Republican leaders in Congress? POLL 9-4- Sept. 25-28, 2014

METHODOLOGY A total of 1,055 adults were interviewed by telephone nationwide by live interviewers calling both landline and cell phones. All respondents were asked questions concerning basic demographics, and the entire sample was weighted to reflect national Census figures for gender, race, age, education, region of country, and telephone usage. Among the entire sample, 30% described themselves as Democrats, 23% described themselves as Republicans, and 47% described themselves as Independents or members of another party Crosstabs on the following pages only include results for subgroups with enough unweighted cases to produce a sampling error of +/- 8.5 percentage points or less. Some subgroups represent too small a share of the national population to produce crosstabs with an acceptable sampling error. Interviews were conducted among these subgroups, but results for groups with a sampling error larger than +/-8.5 percentage points are not displayed and instead are denoted with "N/A". POLL 9-5- Sept. 25-28, 2014

CNN/ORC International Poll -- September 25 to 28, 2014 Likely Voters Question 5/6 Q5. If the elections for Congress were being held today, which party's candidate would you vote for in your Congressional district - Q6. As of today, do you lean more toward - Base = Total Sample Total Men Women White Non-White ----- ----- ----- ----- --------- Dem, lean Dem 47% 43% 51% 40% N/A Rep, lean Rep 45% 49% 42% 53% N/A Other/Neither 4% 5% 4% 4% N/A Don't plan to vote * * * * N/A Don't know 3% 3% 3% 3% N/A Sampling Error +/-3.5 +/-5.0 +/-5.0 +/-4.0 18-35- 50- Under 50 and Total 34 49 64 65+ 50 Older ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ Dem, lean Dem 47% N/A 47% 48% 44% 49% 46% Rep, lean Rep 45% N/A 46% 46% 52% 42% 48% Other/Neither 4% N/A 5% 4% 2% 5% 3% Don't plan to vote * N/A * * * * * Don't know 3% N/A 1% 3% 2% 3% 2% Sampling Error +/-3.5 +/-8.5 +/-6.5 +/-6.0 +/-7.0 +/-4.5 Under $50K No Attended Total $50K or more College College ----- ----- ------- ------- -------- Dem, lean Dem 47% 50% 47% 40% 51% Rep, lean Rep 45% 41% 47% 53% 41% Other/Neither 4% 5% 4% 6% 4% Don't plan to vote * * * * * Don't know 3% 4% 2% 1% 4% Sampling Error +/-3.5 +/-6.5 +/-5.0 +/-7.5 +/-4.5 Demo- Indep- Repub- Lib- Mod- Conser- Total crat endent lican eral erate vative ----- ----- ------ ------ ----- ----- ------- Dem, lean Dem 47% 93% 44% 1% 89% 60% 15% Rep, lean Rep 45% 3% 42% 97% 8% 31% 79% Other/Neither 4% * 11% 1% 3% 4% 5% Don't plan to vote * * * * * * * Don't know 3% 4% 4% 1% 1% 4% 2% Sampling Error +/-3.5 +/-7.0 +/-6.0 +/-6.5 +/-8.5 +/-6.5 +/-5.5 North Mid- Sub- Total east west South West Urban urban Rural ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- Dem, lean Dem 47% 59% 48% 41% 48% 60% 44% 31% Rep, lean Rep 45% 35% 46% 50% 45% 35% 47% 61% Other/Neither 4% 2% 4% 4% 6% 4% 5% 4% Don't plan to vote * * * * * * * * Don't know 3% 3% 2% 4% 1% 2% 3% 4% Sampling Error +/-3.5 +/-8.5 +/-8.0 +/-6.0 +/-7.5 +/-6.5 +/-5.5 +/-7.5 * percentage less than 1% POLL 9-6- Sept. 25-28, 2014

CNN/ORC International Poll -- September 25 to 28, 2014 Question 7 Thinking ahead to the elections for Congress this November, if you had to choose, which of the following issues will be more important to your vote -- economic conditions in the U.S. or the military action against ISIS forces in Iraq and Syria? Base = Total Sample Total Men Women White Non-White ----- ----- ----- ----- --------- Economic conditions 65% 70% 60% 62% 71% Military action 29% 25% 33% 31% 24% Both 5% 4% 6% 5% 5% Neither 1% 1% * 1% * Other * * * * * No opinion 1% * 1% 1% * Sampling Error +/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5 +/-6.5 18-35- 50- Under 50 and Total 34 49 64 65+ 50 Older ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ Economic conditions 65% 68% 71% 65% 51% 69% 59% Military action 29% 28% 25% 29% 38% 27% 32% Both 5% 3% 4% 7% 8% 3% 7% Neither 1% 1% 1% * * 1% * Other * * * * * * * No opinion 1% 1% * * 2% * 1% Sampling Error +/-3.0 +/-7.5 +/-7.0 +/-5.5 +/-5.0 +/-5.0 +/-4.0 Under $50K No Attended Total $50K or more College College ----- ----- ------- ------- -------- Economic conditions 65% 65% 65% 62% 67% Military action 29% 27% 31% 30% 28% Both 5% 6% 4% 7% 4% Neither 1% 1% * 1% * Other * * * * * No opinion 1% 1% * * 1% Sampling Error +/-3.0 +/-5.0 +/-4.5 +/-5.5 +/-3.5 Demo- Indep- Repub- Lib- Mod- Conser- Total crat endent lican eral erate vative ----- ----- ------ ------ ----- ----- ------- Economic conditions 65% 72% 65% 55% 73% 67% 60% Military action 29% 23% 29% 38% 23% 28% 33% Both 5% 5% 5% 6% 4% 4% 6% Neither 1% * 1% * * * * Other * * * * * * * No opinion 1% 1% 1% * * 1% 1% Sampling Error +/-3.0 +/-5.5 +/-4.5 +/-5.5 +/-7.0 +/-5.0 +/-5.0 North Mid- Sub- Total east west South West Urban urban Rural ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- Economic conditions 65% 66% 66% 66% 62% 66% 64% 64% Military action 29% 27% 28% 31% 30% 27% 31% 30% Both 5% 6% 5% 3% 7% 6% 5% 5% Neither 1% * * * 2% 1% * * Other * * * * * * * * No opinion 1% * 2% * * 1% * 1% Sampling Error +/-3.0 +/-6.5 +/-6.5 +/-5.0 +/-6.5 +/-5.5 +/-4.5 +/-6.5 * percentage less than 1% POLL 9-7- Sept. 25-28, 2014

CNN/ORC International Poll -- September 25 to 28, 2014 Question 8 Do you approve or disapprove of the way Congress is handling the situation with ISIS, the Islamic militant group that controls some areas of Iraq and Syria? Base = Total Sample Total Men Women White Non-White ----- ----- ----- ----- --------- Approve 33% 36% 30% 29% 42% Disapprove 60% 59% 60% 64% 49% No opinion 7% 5% 9% 7% 8% Sampling Error +/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5 +/-6.5 18-35- 50- Under 50 and Total 34 49 64 65+ 50 Older ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ Approve 33% 37% 32% 35% 27% 34% 32% Disapprove 60% 57% 57% 59% 66% 57% 62% No opinion 7% 6% 11% 6% 7% 9% 6% Sampling Error +/-3.0 +/-7.5 +/-7.0 +/-5.5 +/-5.0 +/-5.0 +/-4.0 Under $50K No Attended Total $50K or more College College ----- ----- ------- ------- -------- Approve 33% 30% 36% 32% 34% Disapprove 60% 63% 58% 62% 58% No opinion 7% 7% 6% 6% 8% Sampling Error +/-3.0 +/-5.0 +/-4.5 +/-5.5 +/-3.5 Demo- Indep- Repub- Lib- Mod- Conser- Total crat endent lican eral erate vative ----- ----- ------ ------ ----- ----- ------- Approve 33% 43% 30% 27% 38% 34% 30% Disapprove 60% 51% 60% 68% 54% 57% 65% No opinion 7% 6% 10% 5% 8% 9% 5% Sampling Error +/-3.0 +/-5.5 +/-4.5 +/-5.5 +/-7.0 +/-5.0 +/-5.0 North Mid- Sub- Total east west South West Urban urban Rural ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- Approve 33% 38% 27% 31% 38% 35% 32% 29% Disapprove 60% 54% 64% 62% 56% 58% 60% 64% No opinion 7% 8% 8% 7% 6% 7% 8% 7% Sampling Error +/-3.0 +/-6.5 +/-6.5 +/-5.0 +/-6.5 +/-5.5 +/-4.5 +/-6.5 * percentage less than 1% POLL 9-8- Sept. 25-28, 2014

CNN/ORC International Poll -- September 25 to 28, 2014 Question 9 Overall, who do you have more confidence in to set the U.S. military policy toward ISIS -- President Obama or the Republican leaders in Congress? Base = Total Sample Total Men Women White Non-White ----- ----- ----- ----- --------- Obama 48% 46% 50% 40% 67% GOP leaders 41% 42% 40% 48% 25% Both equally 1% * 1% 1% * Neither 8% 10% 6% 9% 6% No opinion 3% 1% 4% 3% 2% Sampling Error +/-3.0 +/-4.5 +/-4.5 +/-3.5 +/-6.5 18-35- 50- Under 50 and Total 34 49 64 65+ 50 Older ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------ Obama 48% 54% 44% 51% 42% 49% 47% GOP leaders 41% 36% 47% 38% 45% 41% 40% Both equally 1% * 1% * 1% 1% 1% Neither 8% 7% 7% 9% 10% 7% 9% No opinion 3% 3% 2% 3% 2% 3% 2% Sampling Error +/-3.0 +/-7.5 +/-7.0 +/-5.5 +/-5.0 +/-5.0 +/-4.0 Under $50K No Attended Total $50K or more College College ----- ----- ------- ------- -------- Obama 48% 45% 51% 41% 54% GOP leaders 41% 43% 38% 48% 35% Both equally 1% * 1% * 1% Neither 8% 7% 9% 8% 8% No opinion 3% 4% 1% 2% 3% Sampling Error +/-3.0 +/-5.0 +/-4.5 +/-5.5 +/-3.5 Demo- Indep- Repub- Lib- Mod- Conser- Total crat endent lican eral erate vative ----- ----- ------ ------ ----- ----- ------- Obama 48% 82% 45% 10% 75% 57% 23% GOP leaders 41% 13% 39% 80% 20% 32% 65% Both equally 1% * 1% 1% * 1% * Neither 8% 4% 11% 8% 2% 8% 10% No opinion 3% 1% 4% 1% 4% 2% 2% Sampling Error +/-3.0 +/-5.5 +/-4.5 +/-5.5 +/-7.0 +/-5.0 +/-5.0 North Mid- Sub- Total east west South West Urban urban Rural ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- Obama 48% 58% 49% 42% 46% 57% 50% 29% GOP leaders 41% 31% 39% 48% 43% 33% 39% 62% Both equally 1% * * 1% * * 1% * Neither 8% 7% 7% 8% 8% 9% 7% 8% No opinion 3% 3% 5% 1% 2% 1% 4% 1% Sampling Error +/-3.0 +/-6.5 +/-6.5 +/-5.0 +/-6.5 +/-5.5 +/-4.5 +/-6.5 * percentage less than 1% POLL 9-9- Sept. 25-28, 2014