CBL Research West African Review Commentary Analyst: Nana Agyei Opoku Agyemang Repor ng Period: Mar 11 15, 2013 Ghana GSE Composite Index consolidated its recent surge as it grew by 4.83% for the week under review. The index which ended the week at 1,641.03 points represents a 36.78% year to date return. Market cap also went on the upside to end the week at GHS56,173.03 million (USD29,270.50 million) Shares totaling 8.72 million traded on the GSE during the week and this is 2.77% below the 8.97 million shares that traded on the market in the previous week. The transac ons for the week were valued at GHS15.13 million (USD7.89 million) which is about 4 mes the GHS4.04 million (USD2.11 million) trade value that was registered for last week. An average of 1.74 shares valued at GHS3.03 million (USD1.58 million) traded on each session of the week. In all, a total of 527 deals averaging 165 deals per day were recorded for the week. Thursday recorded the biggest turnover for the week as its deals made up for 29.01% and 55.22% of the overall weekly market volume and value respec vely. The gainers outperformed the laggards as they formed 46.24% of the market strength while the laggards se led for 4.30%. The remaining 49.46% of the market strength represents stocks that traded but did not change in price. Market Snapshot Market Name: Ghana Stock Exchange (GSE) Major Indices: GSE Composite Index (GSE CI) GSE Financial Stocks Index (GSE FSE) Listed Stocks: 36 Trading Days: Monday Friday Trading Hours:10.00hrs GMT 15.00hrs GMT Trading Day Market Index (GSE CI) Change (%) Market Cap Previous Current Daily Year to Date GHS m USD m Monday 1,565.41 1,578.93 0.86 31.61 55,690.23 29,129.73 Tuesday 1,578.93 1,589.21 0.65 32.47 55,747.47 29,113.99 Wednesday Thursday 1,589.21 1,597.56 1,597.56 1,608.49 0.53 0.68 33.16 34.07 55,927.27 55,986.79 29,142.45 29,173.46 Friday 1,608.49 1,641.03 2.02 36.78 56,173.03 29,270.50
Trading Sta s cs Trading Day Volume Value (GHS) Value (USD) Transac ons Ac ve Equi es Gainers Losers Unchanged Monday 1,897,823 3,206,984.12 1,677,468.42 145 19 9 1 9 Tuesday 1,399,598 1,061,038.00 554,124.71 152 14 7 0 7 Wednesday 1,305,532 726,395.97 378,508.66 140 20 7 1 12 Thursday 2,528,597 8,352,618.53 4,352,362.32 248 20 10 1 9 Friday 1,584,925 1,779,438.00 927,225.26 142 20 10 1 9 Market Volume (Week on Week) Market Value (Week on Week)
Market Strength Events Schedule Company/Organiza on Event Date CAL Bank Limited AGM 27 Mar 13 SG SSB Limited AGM 26 Mar 13 Dividend Announcement Dividend Announcement Company DPS (GHS) DPS (USD) Qualifying Date Payment Date CAL 0.0350 0.0192 22 Mar 13 30 Apr 13 SCB Pref 0.0672 0.0369 13 Mar 13 28 Mar 13 Market News Ghana Said to Offer Cocoa From Next Crop as London Prices Rally SG SSB 0.0400 0.0220 22 Mar 13 15 May 13 February infla on is highest since June 2010 Ghana, the second biggest cocoa producer, offered beans from its next crop a er prices rose in London, according to three traders with direct knowledge of the sales proposals. The Ghana Cocoa Marke ng Co., which manages sales on behalf of industry regulator the Ghana Cocoa Board, offered beans from its 2013 14 crop star ng in October this week, said the traders, who asked not to be iden fied because they aren t authorized to speak to the media. Futures traded on the NYSE Liffe exchange in London gained 2.5 percent last week. Deliveries to ports in Ivory Coast were 649,249 tons from Oct. 1 through Dec. 31, according to the government. That s a 7.5 percent decline from a year earlier. Bloomberg The rate at which the general price level of goods and services increase in the country went up to 10 per cent in February, from the January figure of 8.8 per cent, the highest rate since June 2010. According to the Ghana Sta s cal Service (GSS), the consumer price index (CPI), which is used to measure the rate of price changes, otherwise known as infla on, recorded a monthly change rate of 2.6 per cent in February 2013. Infla on rate, which is measured by the CPI, looks at the change over me in the general price level of goods and services that households acquire for the purpose of consump on. Food infla on recorded a year on year change rate of 5.3 per cent, 1.4 per cent points higher than the 3.9 per cent recorded in January 2013. Daily Graphic
Nigeria Commentary NSE All Share Index appreciated slightly by a 0.31% for the week though it declined for the last two session of the week to close at 32,950.08 points. The current value of market benchmark corresponds to a 17.35% year todate growth. Total market cap also went up slightly by the same margin to end the period at NGN10,543,788.22 million (USD66,052.06 million) A total of 2,549.90 million shares were traded on the market during the week and this is 32.28% greater than the 1,927.64 million shares that changed hands on the bourse in the previous week. In all, a total of NGN21,693.75 million (USD136.77 million) was realized from the deals that were executed on the market and this is 3.35% above the NGN20,989.68 million (USD111.38 million) that recorded in the past week. An average volume of 509.98 million shares valued at NGN4,338.75 million (USD27.36 million) traded on each session of the week. At the end of the week a total of 29,335 transac ons were executed on the NSE represen ng an average of 5,867 trades per session. Monday recorded the highest trade volume for the week with a 27.46% share while Thursday emerged as the session with the highest trade value as its deals accounted for 28.89% of the total market volume. The gainers and losers for the week were slightly at par as 24.29% of the market strength represented gainers, 24.64% losers and 51.07% did not experience any price varia on. Market Snapshot Market Name: Nigerian Stock Exchange (NSE) Major Indices: NSE All Share Index NSE 30 Index Listed Stocks: 198 Trading Days: Monday Friday Trading Hours:10.15hrs GMT 14.30hrs GMT Trading Day Market Index (NSE ALSI) Change (%) Market Cap Previous Current Daily Year to Date NGN m USD m Monday 32,849.11 32,890.36 0.13 17.14 10,524,676.75 66,765.07 Tuesday 32,890.36 33,351.71 1.40 18.78 10,672,304.86 67,485.01 Wednesday 33,351.71 33,357.16 0.02 18.80 10,674,050.31 67,414.20 Thursday 33,357.16 33,207.02 0.45 18.26 10,626,005.36 66,919.55 Friday 33,207.02 32,950.08 0.77 17.35 10,543,788.22 66,052.06
Trading Sta s cs Trading Day Volume Value (NGN) Value (USD) Deals Traded Equi es Gainers Losers Unchanged Monday 700,209,030 2,674,865,725.19 16,968,464.05 5,721 112 35 22 55 Tuesday 474,667,620 4,825,072,183.39 30,510,753.27 6,489 115 34 24 57 Wednesday Thursday Friday 306,945,176 3,306,348,590.09 20,881,936.25 5,799 111 33 26 52 638,424,557 6,266,808,222.03 39,466,572.53 5,878 107 19 28 60 429,650,564 4,620,654,877.88 28,946,313.02 5,448 115 15 38 62 Market Volume (Week on Week) Market Value (Week on Week)
Market Strength Events Schedule Company/Organiza on Event Date NSE Issuers Portal Launch March 26, 2013 NSE Reuters Breakfast Mee ng March 21, 2013 Dividend Announcement Company DPS (NGN) DPS (USD) Qualifying Date Payment Date NB 3.0000 0.0200 14 Mar 13 16 May 13 NESTLE 18.5000 0.1200 29 Apr 13 10 May 13 Market News Wema Bank to Raise N35 Billion by April Wema Bank Plc yesterday indicated plans to complete a N35 billion private placement to strategic investors by the end of April to enable the commercial bank apply for a na onal banking license again. Reuters quoted the Head of Corporate Communica ons, Wema Bank, Mrs. Kemi Aina, to have said this Thursday. "We expect all arrangements to be concluded by the end of April 2013, adding that the fresh capital would enable them seek a na onal banking license. In the wake of the financial crisis, Wema bank was one of the lenders forced to recapitalise its opera ons by the central bank. It decided to meet tougher requirements by scaling down its business to become a regional bank in the 2009. ThisDay Vitafoam profit slips on insecurity, cost of raw materials he profit margin of Vitafoam Nigeria plc for the financial year ended September 30, 2012 was adversely affected by several challenges in the opera ng environment, some of which include insecurity that affected distribu on of goods and rising cost of raw materials inputs. Some of these costs could not be passed to consumers in view of the company s desire to remain compe ve in products pricing. The board and management of Vitafoam Nigeria plc disclosed this in Lagos while presen ng the financial report of the company to shareholders at its 51st annual general mee ng, no ng that it will con nue to take proac ve steps towards ensuring that the company remains ahead of perennial challenges and sustain returns to shareholders. Vanguard
Commentary Performance barometer of the regional bourse recorded a 2.54% loss for the week a er slipping in all but one of the trading days of the week. The BRVM CI which ended the week at 190.90 points also has a 14.60% year to date return. Market cap also registered the same level of loss to end the week at XOF4,620,018.00 million (USD9,148.37 million) Shares totaling 7.52 million changed hands on the market during the week and this represents about 6 mes the 1.32 million shares that traded on the integrated market in the previous session. The deals that were executed on the BRVM for the week amounted to XOF4,956.50 million (USD9.82 million) represen ng a 27.18% rise from French West Africa XOF3,897.23 million (USD7.74 million) that was recorded on the market last week. An average of 1.50 million shares worth XOF991.30 million (USD1.96 million) on each session of the week. A total of 735 deals averaging 147 trades per session were executed on each session of the week. Monday recorded the highest turnover as its deals made up for 67.65% and 44.69% of the overall weekly volume and value respec vely. The market strength for the week under review was cons tuted as follows 17.48% were advancers, 36.89% went on the downside whereas the remaining 45.63% traded but did not change in value. Market Snapshot Market Name: Bourse Regionale Des Valeurs Mobilieres (BRVM) Major Indices: BRVM Composite Index Listed Stocks: 39 BRVM 10 Index Trading Days: Monday Friday Trading Hours: 08:30hrs GMT 12:00hrs GMT Trading Day Market Index (BRVM CI) Change (%) Market Cap Previous Current Daily Year to Date XOF m USD m Monday 195.87 194.60 0.65 16.82 4,709,664.51 9,326.56 Tuesday 194.60 192.22 1.22 15.39 4,651,928.46 9,226.79 Wednesday 192.22 191.18 0.54 14.77 4,626,798.26 9,192.51 Thursday 191.18 191.40 0.12 14.90 4,632,064.80 9,143.16 Friday 191.40 190.90 0.26 14.60 4,620,018.00 9,148.37
Trading Sta s cs Trading Day Volume Value (XOF) Value (USD) Transac ons Traded Equi es Gainers Losers Unchanged Monday 5,086,736 2,214,844,088.00 4,386,061.83 155 23 3 13 7 Tuesday 177,224 1,379,210,679.00 2,735,571.60 149 18 5 3 10 Wednesday 1,994,010 718,655,316.00 1,427,823.16 162 19 0 8 11 Thursday 144,754 445,375,945.00 879,120.41 145 19 6 4 9 Friday 116,381 198,414,063.00 392,891.34 124 24 4 10 10 Market Volume (Week on Week) Market Value (Week on Week)
Market Strength Events Schedule Company/Organiza on Event Date SICABLE General Mee ng March 15, 2013 SICOR General Mee ng March 26, 2013 SITAB General Mee ng March 15, 2013 SICOR General Mee ng April 26, 2013 Market News Ecobank Sees Deposit Growth of at Least 20% in 2013 Ecobank Transna onal Inc. s deposits will increase by at least 20 percent this year as Africa s growing economy a racts more customers, Chief Execu ve Officer Thierry Tanoh said. Revenue is expected to climb 15 percent this year and at the same rate in 2014 and 2015, he told reporters in Abidjan, Ivory Coast s commercial capital, today. Sub Saharan Africa s economy is forecast to expand 5.8 percent this year, outpacing a global rate of 3.5 percent, according to the Interna onal Monetary Fund. The growth is enough to keep Ecobank focusing on Africa, Tanoh said. We don t plan to open units in northern Africa or in South Africa, or outside Africa, he said. African Markets Air Liquide signs pact with Chinese partners Air Liquide has been awarded two major long term contracts by BOE Technology Group in China, to supply ultra pure carrier molecules to its two latest cu ngedge flat panel display fabs. These plants will both manufacture large numbers of advanced flat panel displays. The first plant (called BOE Ordos G5.5 AMOLED fab) will be based in Ordos, Inner Mongolia and the other plant (called BOE Hefei G8.5 TFT LCD fab) in Hefei, Anhui province. These contracts are the 20th and 21st long term supply agreements signed by Air Liquide Group in the flat panel display industry in Asia. The total ultra pure nitrogen newly contracted will amount to 50,000 Nm3/h. This is the largest investment ever made by Air Liquide in China for a client in this sector.