Report to the Finance Committee Review of Variable Rate Debt. MTA Finance Department Patrick J. McCoy, Director April 24, 2017

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Transcription:

Report to the Finance Committee Review of Variable Rate Debt MTA Finance Department Patrick J. McCoy, Director April 24, 2017

MTA s Variable Rate Debt Policy (1) The Authority desires to achieve the lowest possible interest cost on its debt and maintain a prudent level of interest rate risk. Therefore, the following policy shall apply: The Authority may issue Variable Rate Debt in such amounts as deemed necessary and/or beneficial by staff to provide funding for Approved Capital Programs or to refund existing obligations of the Authority. Upon such issuance, the principal amount of Variable Rate Debt outstanding shall not exceed 25% of the aggregate principal amount of all outstanding obligations of the Authority. (1) MTA Board adopted the Variable Rate Policy on May 20, 2004, Note: Synthetic Fixed Rate presentation is scheduled to be presented to the Finance Committee in October 2017 1

Variable Rate Debt Represents 7% of Total Debt ($ in billions) Synthetic Fixed Rate Debt 2.36 6% Variable Rate Debt 2.37 7% Term Rate Debt 0.51 1% (1) Fixed Rate Debt 31.24 86% (2) Excludes New York State supported Service Contract Bonds (1) Term Rate bonds have a fixed rate for a defined period (ending with a mandatory tender) but do not have a fixed rate for the entire life of the bond. (2) Includes $1.086 billion Bond Anticipation Notes. 2

Variable (1) Rate Debt Diversification $ in millions Floating Rate Notes 1,928.00 41% Weekly VRDB 1,865.18 39% Daily VRDB 933.94 20%. (1) Includes variable rate and synthetic fixed debt. 3

Types of Variable Rate Debt in MTA s Debt Portfolio Variable Rate Demand Bonds ( VRDBs ), $2.8 billion outstanding Interest rate is determined on a periodic basis depending on the interest rate mode; Remarketing Agent sets the interest rate on each reset date and markets bonds tendered Optional tenders are supported by bank letters of credit (LOC) Floating Rate Notes ( FRNs ), $1.9 billion outstanding Interest rate is determined based on a set spread to a floating index (SIFMA or LIBOR) 4

Unhedged Variable Rate Debt Has Declined Since 2015 $ Billion 3 $2.53 Unhedged Variable Rate Debt $2.60 $2.68 $2.72 $2.37 % of Total 9 8 7 2 6 5 4 1 3 2 0 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 1 0 Note: All totals are as of March 31 of their respective year. 5

5-Year Tax-Exempt Rate History 5.0% 30-Year Tax-Exempt Bond Rate (1) (2012-2016) 1.0% SIFMA (2012-2016) 4.0% 0.8% Average 0.15% High 0.87% Low 0.01% 3.0% 0.6% 2.0% 0.4% 1.0% 0.0% Average 3.11% High 4.51% Low 1.93% 0.2% 0.0% Long-term bond yields are near the historic average (5-year avg. is 3.11%) Short-term rates have increased since March 2016 from its historic low of 1 basis point (5-year avg. is 0.15%) (1) 30-Year AAA MMD

2016 Variable Rate Bonds Performance 1.40% 1.20% MTA Variable Rate Bonds Weighted Daily Average Rates (1) 1.00% 0.80% MTA Variable Rate Bonds Average of Weighted Daily Rates (1) : 0.94% 0.60% 0.40% Other Benchmark Rates (2016 Avg) Revenue Bond Index 3.52% 30-year MMD 2.54% 30-year Treasury 2.60% 1-year Treasury 0.60% SIFMA 0.42% 0.20% Jan-16 Feb-16 Mar-16 Apr-16 May-16 Jun-16 Jul-16 Aug-16 Sep-16 Oct-16 Nov-16 Dec-16 (1) Includes VRDBs and FRNs; Rates inclusive of remarketing and letter of credit fees, as applicable.

Liquidity Expirations, FRN and Term Rate Bond Tender Dates by Year, 2017-2022 $ in millions 221 2,194 162 520 346 172 115 150 340 399 325 57 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 0 Expiring Liquidity FRNs Term Rate Bonds 2017 Outlook: $520 million of FRNs and $340 million of VRDBs have tender dates/letter of credit expirations in 2017. 8

Appendix 2017 Liquidity Expiration, FRN and Term Bond Tender Dates Schedule Remarketing Agents Letter of Credit Providers 9

2017 Credit/Liquidity Facilities Expiration and FRN and Term Bond Reset Dates Schedule Bond Series Outstanding Par ($ millions) Mode Credit/Liquidity Support Provider LOC Expiration/ Tender Date DTF 2008A-1 167.435 Daily Royal Bank of Canada 6/16/2017 DTF 2008A-2a 82.575 FRN NA 6/1/2017 1 TRB 2002D-2a 100.000 FRN NA 5/15/2017 TRB 2005D-2 98.750 Daily Landesbank Hessen- Thüringen Girozentrale 11/10/2017 TRB 2005E-2 74.055 Weekly Royal Bank of Canada 12/15/2017 TRB 2011B 99.560 FRN NA 11/1/2017 TRB 2012G-4 73.050 FRN NA 11/1/2017 TRB 2014D-2 165.000 FRN NA 11/15/2017 1 TRB 2002D-2a Bonds have been called and reoffered on April 6, 2017 Complete schedule is available at MTA.info 10

2017 Credit/Liquidity Facilities Expiration, FRN and Term Bond Tender Dates Schedule Bond Series Outstanding Par ($ millions) Mode Credit/Liquidity Support Provider Exp./Reset Date DTF 2008A 1 167.435 Weekly Royal Bank of Canada 6/16/2017 DTF 2008A 2a 82.575 FRN NA 6/1/2017 TRB 2005D 2 98.750 Daily Landesbank Hessen Thüringen Girozentrale 11/10/2017 TRB 2005E 2 74.055 Weekly Royal Bank of Canada 12/15/2017 TRB 2011B 99.560 FRN NA 11/1/2017 TRB 2012G 4 73.050 FRN NA 11/1/2017 TRB 2014D 2 165.000 FRN NA 11/15/2017 1 Complete schedule is available at MTA.info 10

Variable Rate Demand Bonds Remarketing Agents $ in millions Goldman Sachs & Co. 42.55 1% Loop Capital Markets 123.17 4% US Bancorp Jefferies $147.8 98.74 5% 4% Mitsubishi UFJ Securities (USA), Inc. 150.00 5% Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Smith Incorporated 296.60 11% RBC Capital Markets, LLC 167.44 6% Citigroup 556.61 20% TD Securities 239.78 9% Wells Fargo Securities 241.48 9% PNC Capital markets LLC 78.42 3% Morgan Stanley & Co. LLC JP Morgan Securities 402.76 LLC 14% 253.84 9% 12

Variable Rate Demand Bonds Letter of Credit Providers $ in millions Bank of Montreal 172.80 6% U.S. Bank National Association 147.75 5% Bank of the West 49.11 2% Citibank, N.A. 197.29 7% The Bank of Tokyo- Mitsubishi UFJ, Ltd 700.62 25% Bank of America, N.A 148.47 5% TD Bank, N.A. 282.33 10% Royal Bank of Canada 241.49 9% Wells Fargo Bank, National Association 241.48 9% PNC Bank, National Association 78.42 3% Landesbank Hessen- Thüringen Girozentrale 426.66 15% State Street Bank and Trust Company 112.72 4% 11