APPENDIX: A SNAPSHOT OF INDONESIAN ECONOMIC INDICATORS Appendix Figure : Quarterly and annual GDP growth (percent growth) Appendix Figure : Contributions to GDP expenditures (quarter-on-quarter, seasonally adjusted) Year on year QoQ seas. adjust (LHS) Average (LHS)* - - Mar- Dec- Sep-7 Jun-9 Mar- *Average QoQ growth between Q Q. Sources: BPS, World Bank seasonal adjustment Appendix Figure : Contributions to GDP production (quarter-on-quarter, seasonally adjusted) - - Mar- Dec- Sep-9 Jun- Mar- Other (incl services) Retail Com & trans Manu. Mining and Const Agriculture Source: BPS via CEIC Appendix Figure : Consumer indicators (index levels) BI Consumer Survey (LHS) BI Retail sales - Mar- Dec- Sep-9 Jun- Mar- Discrepancy Net Exports Investment Gov cons. Private cons. GDP Source: BPS via CEIC and World Bank Appendix Figure : Motor cycle and motor vehicle sales (monthly sales) ' Motor cycles (LHS) Motor vehicles Jan- Feb-9 Mar- Apr- Appendix Figure : Industrial production indicators (year-on-year growth) ' Electricity - 7 - Cement Industrial Production - Jan- Feb-9 Mar- Apr- Source: BI via CEIC - - Jan- Feb-9 Mar- Apr- THE WORLD BANK BANK DUNIA June
Appendix Figure 7: Real trade flows Appendix Figure : Balance of Payments (quarter-on-quarter growth) Current account Overall Balance Exports - - Imports - - Mar- Mar-9 Mar- Mar- - Errors and omissions - Capital and financial account - - Mar- Dec- Sep-9 Jun- Mar- Source: BI and World Bank Appendix Figure 9: Trade balance Appendix Figure : International reserves and capital inflows Exports Non-resident portfolio inflows, 7 - - - Trade Balance (LHS) Imports Jan- Feb-9 Mar- Apr- - - - - Reserves (LHS) - - Jan- Feb-9 Mar- Apr- Source: BI and World Bank Appendix Figure : Terms of trade, export and import chained Fisher-Price indices (index =) Appendix Figure : Inflation and monetary policy (month-on-month & year-on-year growth, percent) index Terms of trade index Chained export price Per cent Headline Inflation YoY BI Rate Per cent Core Inflation, YoY Chained import price Mar- Mar-7 Mar-9 Mar- Inflation MoM (LHS) - - Jan- Nov- Sep-9 Jul- May- THE WORLD BANK BANK DUNIA June
Appendix Figure : Monthly breakdown of CPI (percentage point contributions to monthly growth).... -. Sources: BPS and World Bank Appendix Figure : Domestic and international rice price comparison (IDR per kg) IDR/Kg, 9, 7, Volatile Administered Core Jan-9 Aug-9 Mar- Oct- May- Dashed: international Thai rice (cif) prices, in Rupiah Solid: domestic wholesale rice prices Medium quality: Muncul I (domestic) Thai % B nd grade (international).... -., 9, 7, Appendix Figure : Inflation among neighboring countries (year-on-year, May ) *China Phillipines Korea *Malaysia *Japan *April is the latest data point Sources: National statistical agencies via CEIC, and BPS Appendix Figure : Poverty, employment, and unemployment rate (percent) Poverty rate Unemployment and formal employment rate (LHS),,, Low quality: IR III (domestic); Thai A Super (international), Jan- Feb-9 Mar- Apr-,, 7 9 Sources: PIBC, FAO and World Bank Appendix Figure 7: Regional equity indices (daily, index January 9=) Labor data from February Sakernas Source: BPS, and World Bank Appendix Figure : Broad Dollar index and Rupiah exchange rate (daily, index and levels) SET JCI IDR/USD IDR per USD 9 BSE Dollar (LHS) SGX Shanghai 9 IDR Appreciation Jan-9 Oct-9 Jul- Apr- THE WORLD BANK BANK DUNIA June
Appendix Figure 9: Year local currency government bond yields (daily, percent) Philippines United States Malaysia Jan-9 Aug-9 Mar- Oct- May- Appendix Figure : Sovereign USD Bond EMBI spreads (daily, basis points) Sources: World Bank Appendix Figure : International commercial bank lending (monthly, index January =) Appendix Figure : Banking sector indicators (monthly, percent) 9 9 Loan to Deposit Ratio (LHS) 7 7 Singapore India Malaysia 9 7 Basis points n EMBI bond spreads (LHS) Basis points n spreads less EMBI global average Jan-9 Oct-9 Jul- Apr- Return on Assets Ratio Non-Performing Loans - - - 9 USA 9 Capital Adequacy Ratio (LHS) Jan Oct 7 Jul 9 Apr Sources: CEIC and World Bank Sources: BI and World Bank THE WORLD BANK BANK DUNIA June
Appendix Table : Budget outcomes and estimates (IDR trillion) 9 (p) (p) Actual Outcome Outcome Budget WB June estimates* A. State revenue and grants 9..,.,.9,9.. Tax revenue.7 9.9 7... o/w income tax 7. 7.... - Oil and gas 77...9. 77. - Non oil and gas. 7. 97.7.9.. Non-tax revenue. 7. 7..9. o/w natural resources. 9. 7.. 7.9 i. Oil and gas...7 9. 9 ii. Non oil and gas.. 7.. B. Expenditure 9.7 97.,.,9.,.. Central government 9.. 7.7. 7.7. Transfers to the regions 9...7 9.. C. Primary balance...9-9..9 D. SURPLUS / DEFICIT (.) (.) (9.) (.7) (9.9) Deficit (percent of GDP) (.) (.) (.) (.) (.) Note: *World Bank revenue estimates are based on a different methodology than the Government to derive projections for nominal GDP (see Part C of the June IEQ for a full discussion) Sources: MoF and World Bank estimates Appendix Table : Balance of Payments Note: * Reserves at end-period Sources: BI and BPS 9 9 Q Q Q Q Q Q Q Balance of Payments -.9...... 7.. 7.7 of GDP -........7..9 Current Account...7...9....9 of GDP.......... Trade Balance 9.9...7 7...... Net Income & Current Transfers -9. -. -.7 -.9 -. -.9 -. -. -. -. Capital & Financial Accounts -..9..9...7 7. 9.. of GDP -..9.7.....9.. Direct Investment.......... Portfolio Investment.......... Other Investment -7. -.. -.7 -.9 -..... Errors & Omissions -. -. -. -. -. -.9. -.. -. Foreign Reserves*.. 9... 7. 7.. 9..7 THE WORLD BANK BANK DUNIA June