1st Quarter Revenue. April 22, 2010

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Transcription:

1st Quarter Revenue April 22, 2010

Disclaimer This presentation contains forward looking statements. The use of the words "aim(s)," "expect(s)," "feel(s)," "will," "may," "believe(s)," "anticipate(s)" and similar expressions in this presentation are intended to identify those statements as forward looking. Forwardlooking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those projected. You should not place undue reliance on these forward looking statements, which speak only as of the date of this presentation release. Other than in connection with applicable securities laws, Publicis Groupe undertakes no obligation to publish revised forward looking statements to reflect events or circumstances after the date of this press release or to reflect the occurrence of unanticipated events. Publicis Groupe urges you to review and consider the various disclosures it made concerning the factors that may affect its business carefully, including the disclosures made to the French financial markets authority (AMF). 2

3

The Context Market Context After 18 months of constant deterioration, 2 consecutive industry forecast improvements Key drivers: Emerging Markets Improved Client Balance Sheets GDP Growth Better consumers mood 4

The Context Zenith Optimedia Major Media Ad Forecasts, current prices (%) Key Markets October 2009 Forecast for FY 2010 December 2009 Forecast for FY 2010 April 2010 Forecast for FY 2010 Worldwide +0.5% +0.9% +2.2% United States 4.4% 2.6% 2.0% Japan 3.3% 3.2% 0.7% United Kingdom 2.1% 2.0% +1.3% Germany 3.2% 1.5% 1.4% China +9.5% +10.5% +12.1% France +2.7% +1.6% +1.1% Italy +0.5% +0.2% +0.2% Spain +1.0% 0.6% +0.4% Brazil +8.1% +11.8% +11.8% Source: ZenithOptimedia 5

15 The Context Ad Spend Investments Correlated to GNP Growth (except during periods of crisis such as 1991, 2001 and 2009) Investment Growth Rate : 6.0% 10 5 0 5 10 15 GNP Investments 81 83 85 87 89 91 93 95 97 99 01 03 05 07 09 11 Source: ZenithOptimedia, IMF Historical Correlation between media ad spend and GNP. Global GNP and evolution of media ad spend, current prices 6

Back to Growth 7

Growth is back! Revenue (EUR million) 1,162 Revenue Growth (as published) Organic Growth +8.1% +3.1% * * Excluding growth coming from Razorfish: +8.6% 8

Growth is back! +750 bp + 3,1% +850 bp 4.4% 5.4% 8.6% 7.4% Q1 2009 Q2 2009 Q3 2009 Q4 2009 Q1 2010 9

Publicis Groupe, Omnicom, Havas: Organic Growth +3.1% +2.1% +1.5% Q1 2010 Q1 2009. 4.4% 6.6% 8.4% Publicis Groupe Omnicom Havas 10

Revenue by Geography (EUR million) Q1 2010 Q1 2009 Organic Growth Q1 Var. 2010 vs 2009 Europe 369 357 1.5% +3.4% North America 579 526 +4.8% +10.0% Asia Pacific 131 114 +6.7% +14.9% Latin America 55 51 +9.8% +8.7% Middle East & Africa 28 27 +7.2% +3.7% Total 1,162 1,075 +3.1% +8.1% 11

Revenue by Geography in USD (USD million) Q1 2010 Q1 2009 Var. 2010 vs 2009 Europe 510 464 +9.9% North America 801 685 +16.9% Asia Pacific 182 149 +22.1% Latin America 76 66 +15.2% Middle East & Africa 39 35 +11.4% Total 1,608 1,399 +14.9% All entities translated into US dollar using the following exchange rates: March 31st, 2009 : 1 USD = 0.7680 EUR March 31st, 2010 : 1 USD = 0.7228 EUR 12

Organic Growth Europe Publicis Groupe, Omnicom, Havas Publicis Groupe Havas Omnicom France +8.4% +0.5% n.a. UK +1.4% 1.5% 0.6% Euro Currency Markets n.a n.a 5.1% Rest of EU 7.9% 7.2% n.a Total EU 1.5% 3.0% n.a. n.a.: not available 13

Organic Growth by Country Above 10% India*, Korea, Turkey 5 to 10% France**, USA***, Brazil, Mexico 0 to 5% Russia, UK, Spain, Greater China, Australia, Japan, Canada 0 to 5% Italy, Sweden Below 5% Netherlands, Switzerland, Poland, Germany, Denmark * India : +31.9% (excluding Razorfish) ** France : +8.4% (excluding Razorfish) *** USA: +5.6% (excluding Razorfish) 14

Revenue by Activity Media 19% vs 21% in 2009 SAMS* 47% vs 41% in 2009 Advertising 34% vs 38% in 2009 * SAMS including 100% Digital 15

Penetration of Growth Sectors: Digital Q1 2009* Q1 2010** Digital (% Groupe revenue) from 20.1% to 27.0% Digital Organic Growth: 15.0% * 2009 at 2010 exchange rate ** including Razorfish 3 months 16

Revenue by Geography 50% 32% 11% 5% 2% Emerging markets: 21.7% of total revenue Compared to 21.1% in Q1 2009 17

Emerging Markets China & Korea : +6.4% Asia Pacific +6.7% South East Asia : +11.2% India : +31.9% Australia & Japan : +1.3% Emerging markets organic growth : +6.2% Latin America +9.8% Central Europe 1.0% Brazil : +9.7% Other : +9.9% Russia : +2.3% MEA +7.2% Saudi Arabia : +31.6% 18

Vs Groupe target 50% 45% 40% 35% Q1 2010 Emerging Markets + Digital : 47.1%* 2010 = 50% Digital + Emerging Economies 30% 25% 20% Dec. 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Share of Revenue in Digital and Emerging Markets On track for 50% of total revenue coming from emerging markets and digital in 2010 * Including reduction for 1.6% due to overlap impact 19

Revenue by Sector Growth Q1 2010 vs 2009 Q1 2010 51% Others Retail Leisure TMT 14% 5% 5% 3% Healthcare 13% 19% 17% 12% 10% 7% 6% Finance 9% 13% 38% FMCG Retail Financial TMT Leisure Automotive FMCG Healthcare Auto Growth in all sectors 20

New Business USD 1.2 billion* * Publicis number 2 year to date (Nomura rankings) 21

New Business wins 22

Net Debt (EUR million) 1,097 911 707 600 31 March 2009 31 March 2010 Q1 2009 Q1 2010 Net Debt Average Net Debt 23

Gross Debt at March 31, 2010 Split by maturity (EUR million) Total Apr. 2010 Mar. 2011 Apr. 2011 Mar. 2012 Apr. 2012 Mar. 2013 Apr. 2013 Mar. 2014 Apr. 2014 onwards Oceane 2018* 119 119 Oceane 2014 647 647 Eurobond 2012** 522 522 Eurobond 2015** 260 260 Oranes 23 3 3 3 2 12 Earn out / Buy out 240 113 78 28 16 5 Other debt** 167 79 8 80 Total gross debt 1,978 195 611 31 137 1,004 * Put Option in 2014 ** including fair value of associated derivatives No Covenants 24

Liquidity at March 31, 2010 (EUR million) Total Amount Drawn Available Committed Facilities: 364 day revolving credit facilities 205 0 205 5 year revolving credit facility 450 0 450 5 year syndicated facility (Club Deal) 1,500 0 1,500 Total Committed Facilities 2,155 0 2,155 Cash and Marketable Securities 1,271 Total Liquidity 3,426 Groupe other uncommitted Facilities 241 8 233 25

Outlook 26

FY 2010: «Yearof the Tiger» Prosperity End of crisis : cautious optimism Accelerated growth in digital Expansion in emerging economies Rigorous cost management Cautious exit from hiring and salary freezes Investment in technology and talents 27

2010 Objectives Grow market share Work streams on accelerating change from Service Provider to Value Creator ( New Approaches, New Services, New Compensation System) 28

Outlook Back to Growth Goal: to outperform Growth Margins 29

Contacts Publicis Groupe / Investor Relations : +33 1 44 43 65 00 + 33 1 44 43 72 77 investor-relations@publicisgroupe.com

Appendix

Revenue and Organic Growth Calculation (EUR million) Q1 Currency impact (EUR million) 2009 Revenue 1,075 Currency impact (18) 2009 Revenue at 2010 exchange Rate (a) 2010 Revenue before impact of acquisitions (1) (b) 1,057 1,090 Revenue from acquisitions (1) 72 Q1 GBP 2 USD (30) Others 10 Total (18) 2010 Revenue 1,162 Organic Growth (b/a) +3.1% (1) Net of disposals Exchange rate Mar. 31, 2010: 1 USD = 0.7228 EUR 1 GBP = 1.1277 EUR 32

Net Debt Split by currency (EUR million) Total EURO USD GBP Others Oceane 2018 119 119 Oceane 2014 647 647 Eurobond 2012* 522 522 Eurobond 2015* 260 260 Orane 23 23 Earn out / Buy out 240 65 64 32 79 Other debt* 167 9 87 71 Total gross debt 1,978 1,645 151 32 150 Cash and marketable securities (1,271) 151 (728) (87) (607) Net debt 707 1,796 (577) (55) (457) * Including fair values of associated derivatives 33

Net Debt Split by rate (after interest rate swap) (EUR million) Total Earn out / Buy out Fixed Rate Oceane 2018 119 119 Oceane 2014 647 647 Variable Rate Eurobond 2012* 522 522 Eurobond 2015* 260 260 Orane 23 23 Other debt* 167 80 87 Total gross debt excl. Earn out / Buy out Earn out / Buy out 240 240 Cash and marketable securities 1,738 869 869 50% 50% (1,271) (1,271) Net debt 707 240 869 (402) * Including fair values of associated derivatives 34