For financial adviser use only. Not to be used with retail clients. Guide to Backtesting

Similar documents
Investec Structured Products. Guide to Backtesting. For Financial Adviser use only. Not to be used with retail clients.

Guide to Backtesting Deposit Plans November 2018

Guide to Backtesting Investment Plans March 2019

Our Plans. Please refer to brochure and KID for full product details, terms and conditions and risks. Structured Products SRP AWARDS

Our Plans. Please refer to brochure and KID for full product details, terms and conditions and risks. Structured Products SRP AWARDS.

2018/ /20. Our Plans. Double ISA 2018/19 and/or 2019/20

For financial adviser use only. Not to be used with retail clients. The Gilt option. Diversification of counterparty risk

Please scroll to find the 2018 and 2019 global fund holiday calendars.

Performance Report October 2018

Spheria Australian Smaller Companies Fund

FTSE 100 and RPI Combination Plan 6 (ISA only)

XML Publisher Balance Sheet Vision Operations (USA) Feb-02

Notes issued pursuant to these Final Terms are securities to be listed under Listing Rule 19.

FTSE 100 Defensive Autocall - Issue 5

Notes issued pursuant to these Final Terms are securities to be listed under Listing Rule 19.

Capturing equity gains whilst protecting portfolios

Common stock prices 1. New York Stock Exchange indexes (Dec. 31,1965=50)2. Transportation. Utility 3. Finance

Asset Manager Performance Comparison

Asset Manager Performance Comparison

PRESS RELEASE. Securities issued by Hungarian residents and breakdown by holding sectors. January 2019

2017 Fund holidays for Vanguard Investments Series plc

Review of Registered Charites Compliance Rates with Annual Reporting Requirements 2016

OTHER DEPOSITS FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS DEPOSIT BARKAT SAVING ACCOUNT

GIMA Pulse Date of Report: 04/07/2017 a monthly snapshot of the UK Economy from

Algo Trading System RTM

Investec Structured Return Note. 10 January 2019

Business & Financial Services December 2017

Financial & Business Highlights For the Year Ended June 30, 2017

Big Walnut Local School District

FOR RELEASE: MONDAY, MARCH 21 AT 4 PM

Voya Indexed Universal Life-Protector

WESTWOOD LUTHERAN CHURCH Summary Financial Statement YEAR TO DATE - February 28, Over(Under) Budget WECC Fund Actual Budget

GIMA Pulse Date of Report: 04/12/2017 a monthly snapshot of the UK Economy from

TERMS OF REFERENCE FOR THE INVESTMENT COMMITTEE

Isle Of Wight half year business confidence report

Cost Estimation of a Manufacturing Company

Understanding the Indexed Accounts

QUARTERLY REPORT AND CERTIFICATION OF THE COUNTY TREASURER For Quarter Ending June 30, 2009 COMPLIANCE CERTIFICATION

THE MORGAN STANLEY DUAL INDEX DEFENSIVE KICK OUT PLAN 3

Voya Indexed Universal Life-Global Plus

PHOENIX ENERGY MARKETING CONSULTANTS INC. HISTORICAL NATURAL GAS & CRUDE OIL PRICES UPDATED TO July, 2018

Factor Leave Accruals. Accruing Vacation and Sick Leave

Dual Index Defensive Step Down Kick-Out Plan 4

Executive Summary. July 17, 2015

PRESS RELEASE. Securities issued by Hungarian residents and breakdown by holding sectors. October 2018

HUD NSP-1 Reporting Apr 2010 Grantee Report - New Mexico State Program

What s new in LDI Expanding the toolkit

HIPIOWA - IOWA COMPREHENSIVE HEALTH ASSOCIATION Unaudited Balance Sheet As of July 31

HIPIOWA - IOWA COMPREHENSIVE HEALTH ASSOCIATION Unaudited Balance Sheet As of January 31

PRESS RELEASE. Securities issued by Hungarian residents and breakdown by holding sectors. October 2017

QUESTION 2. QUESTION 3 Which one of the following is most indicative of a flexible short-term financial policy?

Investment Grade Fixed Income Review

Diversification of counterparty risk

Citi Dynamic Asset Selector 5 Excess Return Index

HSBC INVESTMENT FUNDS TRUST HSBC GLOBAL INVESTMENT TRUST AND HSBC COLLECTIVE INVESTMENT TRUST FUND HOLIDAY CALENDAR 2017

Affordable Care Act Implementation Alert

FTSE/STOXX Defensive Step Down Kick-Out Plan 10

GIMA Pulse Date of Report: 05/07/2018 a monthly snapshot of the UK Economy from

Allianz MasterDex 5 Plus SM Annuity

BANK OF GUYANA. BANKING SYSTEM STATISTICAL ABSTRACT Website:

Exam 1 Problem Solving Questions Review

Regional overview Gisborne

Big Walnut Local School District

SmallBizU WORKSHEET 1: REQUIRED START-UP FUNDS. Online elearning Classroom. Item Required Amount ($) Fixed Assets. 1 -Buildings $ 2 -Land $

LOAN MARKET DATA AND ANALYTICS BY THOMSON REUTERS LPC

Fund Factsheet 1st Quarter 2017

Triodos Bank. These are our interest rates for personal accounts. (including discontinued accounts).

Regional overview Hawke's Bay

PRESS RELEASE. Securities issued by Hungarian residents and breakdown by holding sectors. April 2016

BANK OF GUYANA. BANKING SYSTEM STATISTICAL ABSTRACT Website:

Development of Economy and Financial Markets of Kazakhstan

Foundations of Investing

Revenue Estimating Conference Tobacco Tax and Surcharge Executive Summary

Aon Hewitt. Facts & Figures. December 2014 Update. Risk. Reinsurance. Human Resources. Empower Results

Looking at a Variety of Municipal Valuation Metrics

VALUE AVERAGING - TECHNOLOGY MODEL PORTFOLIO - INVESTMENT SUMMARY

FTSE 100 Defensive Step Down Kick-Out Plan 11

January 27, 2012 THE CBK WEEKLY BULLETIN

1.2 The purpose of the Finance Committee is to assist the Board in fulfilling its oversight responsibilities related to:

Euro Area Securities Issues Statistics: February 2017

CONTENTS COMMENTARY CHARTS TABLES GLOSSARY. Section 1: Headline Inflation Section 2: Core Inflation

Monthly Report. June ,57

Key IRS Interest Rates After PPA

Aon Hewitt. Facts & Figures. July 2017 Update. Risk. Reinsurance. Human Resources. Empower Results

Six good reasons for choosing DNB in the new banking environment

CBK Weekly Statistical Bulletin of Key Monetary and Financial Indicators

U.S. Natural Gas Storage Charts

Factor Mixology: Blending Factor Strategies to Improve Consistency

Constructing a Cash Flow Forecast

Global Tactical Asset Allocation

The equity derivatives market: The state of the art

Review of Membership Developments

Investit Software Inc. INVESTOR PRO CANADA 20 UNIT CONDOMINIUM DEVELOPMENT EXAMPLE

Department of Public Welfare (DPW)

Market and Economic Charts. Retail Fund Management Team Investec Asset Management

Non-standard monetary policy in the euro area Economics Roundtable discussion (8 September 2017)

Short Volatility Trading with Volatility Derivatives. Russell Rhoads, CFA

CITI Bank Bangkok branch. Set B Capital Item1 Capital Structure Table 2 Capital of Foreign Banks Branchs Unit : THB. Item June 30, 2009

Invesco Perpetual Fixed Interest

Government Bond Market Development in Myanmar

Transcription:

For financial adviser use only. Not to be used with retail clients. Guide to Backtesting

Backtesting Backtesting can be a useful tool for advisers in order to evaluate the performance of a structured product in various market scenarios. Backtesting should be used as one of a suite of tools when choosing a suitable product for a client. The information provided in this factsheet is intended to demonstrate how our Structured Products would have performed historically, had they been available for investment. Particular emphasis has been placed on the scenarios in which clients would have either lost capital or received no return on their investment. In order to simulate past performance, our Structured Products have been tested as if they had started on every trading day between January 1984 and July 215. For Plans linked to the EURO STOXX 5 Index, testing begins from December. For reference, backtesting a 6 year Plan linked to the FTSE 1 between 1984 and 215 constitutes over 6,4 individual tests. It is important to bear in mind that the information contained within this factsheet is in no way an indication of future returns. This factsheet is an analysis of the following Plans: Investment Plans FTSE 1 Enhanced Kick-Out Plan FTSE 1 Enhanced Income Plan FTSE 1 Defensive Kick-Out Plan Dual Index Step Down Kick-Out Plan Deposit Plans FTSE 1 Kick-Out Deposit Plan FTSE 1 6 Year Defensive Deposit Plan FTSE 1 4 Year Deposit Plan Additional support tools For more information on our Plans including additional adviser support tools, please speak to your Investec Structured Products regional account manager or visit our website: www.investecstructuredproducts.com Additional tools available include maturity information, valuations, ISA information, Gary Dale s thought box blogs, adviser guides to structured products and our due diligence support pack. 3

Investment Plans FTSE 1 Enhanced Kick-Out Plan This product has a maximum term of 6 years, with the potential for maturity after years 1-6 if the FTSE 1 Index is greater than its starting level. Capital is at risk if the FTSE 1 Index halves during the product term. The table below shows the number of occasions on which this product would have matured at each potential maturity date. Where the product would have reached final maturity, the table shows how many times an investor would have experienced either a positive return, a return of capital with no additional return or a capital loss. Early Maturity in Year 1 4724 73.15% Early Maturity in Year 2 528 8.18% Early Maturity in Year 3 167 2.59% Early Maturity in Year 4 234 3.62% Early Maturity in Year 5 145 2.25% Final Maturity positive return 225 3.48% Final Maturity capital loss 56.87% Final Maturity 379 5.87% Total number of tests 6458 The chart below shows the start date of any instances where investment in the FTSE 1 Enhanced Kick-Out Plan would have resulted in either a capital loss or a return of capital with no additional return: Apr 1999 Sep 56 instances of capital loss FTSE 1 Index Starting Level Feb 1999 Feb 21 281 instances of Jan 27 Dec 27 98 instances of return of capital only 1984 199 22 24 26 28 21 212 214 Final for backtesting FTSE 1 Index Source of FTSE 1 Index Data: Bloomberg. 4

FTSE 1 Enhanced Income Plan This product has a term of 6 years and pays fixed monthly income payments, irrespective of the performance of the FTSE 1. Capital is at risk if the FTSE 1 halves during the product term and fails to recover at maturity. 6-month daily averaging is used to determine the final level of the FTSE 1. The table below shows the number of occasions on which an investor in this product would have lost capital. It is important to note that where a loss would have occurred, all fixed monthly income payments would have still been made. Capital Loss 56.87% Capital Return 642 99.13% Total number of tests 6458 The chart below shows the start date of any instances where investment in the FTSE 1 Enhanced Income Plan would have resulted in a capital loss: Apr 1999 Sep 56 instances of capital loss FTSE 1 Index Starting Level 1984 199 22 24 26 28 21 212 214 Final for backtesting FTSE 1 Index Source of FTSE 1 Index Data: Bloomberg. 5

FTSE 1 Defensive Kick-Out Plan This product has a maximum term of 6 years, with the potential for early maturity after years 3-5 if the FTSE 1 Index is greater than 9% of its starting level. Capital is at risk if the product runs to the final maturity date and the FTSE 1 Index is below 5% of its starting level. The table below shows the number of occasions on which this product would have matured at each potential maturity date. Where the product would have reached final maturity, the table shows how many times an investor would have experienced either a positive return, a return of capital with no additional return or a capital loss. Early Maturity in Year 3 5214 8.74% Early Maturity in Year 4 434 6.72% Early Maturity in Year 5 21 3.25% Final Maturity positive return 273 4.23% Final Maturity capital loss.% Final Maturity 327 5.6% Total number of tests 6458 The chart below shows the start date of any instances where investment in the FTSE 1 Defensive Kick-Out Plan would have resulted in either a capital loss or a return of capital with no additional return: FTSE 1 Index Starting Level Jul Sep 327 instances of 1984 199 22 24 26 28 21 212 214 Final for backtesting FTSE 1 Index Source of FTSE 1 Index Data: Bloomberg. 6

Dual Index Step Down Kick-Out Plan This product has a maximum term of 6 years, with the potential for early maturity after years 2-5 or a positive return in year 6 if both the FTSE 1 Index and the EURO STOXX 5 Index are greater than a Kick-Out level that reduces each year. The Kick-Out levels are a percentage of each index s starting level: 1% in Year 2, 95% in Year 3, 9% in Year 4, 85% in Year 5 and 8% in Year 6. Capital is at risk if the product runs to the final maturity date and either the FTSE 1 Index or the EURO STOXX 5 Index falls by more than 5% at any point during the term, and either index finishes lower than 8% of its starting level. The table below shows the number of occasions on which this product would have matured at each potential maturity date. Where the product would have reached final maturity, the table shows how many times an investor would have experienced either a positive return, a return of capital with no additional return or a capital loss. Early Maturity in Year 2 382 67.23% Early Maturity in Year 3 333 5.86% Early Maturity in Year 4 253 4.45% Early Maturity in Year 5 129 2.27% Final Maturity positive return 388 6.83% Final Maturity Capital Loss 76 12.43% Final Maturity 53.93% Total Number of Tests 5682 The chart below shows the start date of any instances where investment in the Dual Index Step Down Kick-Out Plan would have resulted in a capital loss: FTSE 1/EURO STOXX 5 Index Starting Level Apr 1999 Nov 262 instances of capital loss Feb 1999 Jun 1999 36 instances of return of capital only Jan 26 Feb 28 444 instances of capital loss Jun 26 Jul 26 17 instances of return of capital only 199 22 24 26 28 21 212 214 Final for backtesting FTSE 1 Index EURO STOXX 5 Index Source of Index Data: Bloomberg. 7

Deposit Plans FTSE 1 Kick-Out Deposit Plan This product has a maximum term of 6 years, with the potential for maturity after years 3-6 if the FTSE 1 Index is greater than its starting level. This product does not put capital at risk. The table below shows the number of occasions on which this product would have matured at each potential maturity date. Where the product would have reached final maturity, the table shows how many times an investor would have experienced a positive return or a return of capital with no additional return. Early Maturity in Year 3 4678 72.44% Early Maturity in Year 4 35 4.72% Early Maturity in Year 5 319 4.94% Final Maturity positive return 231 3.58% Final Maturity 925 14.32% Total number of tests 6458 The chart below shows the start date of any instances where investment in the FTSE 1 Kick-Out Deposit Plan would have only resulted in a return of capital with no additional return: FTSE 1 Index Starting Level Mar Feb 21 677 instances of Mar 26 Dec 27 248 instances of 1984 199 22 24 26 28 21 212 214 Final for backtesting FTSE 1 Index Source of FTSE 1 Index Data: Bloomberg. 8

FTSE 1 6 Year Defensive Deposit Plan This product has a term of 6 years. At maturity, if the FTSE 1 Index is greater than 9% of its starting level, this product pays a fixed coupon. If the FTSE 1 is below 9% of its starting level, this product returns capital with no additional return. The table below shows the number of occasions on which an investment in this product would have resulted in either a positive return, or a return of capital with no additional return. Positive Return 5661 87.66% Return of Capital Only 797 12.34% Total number of tests 6458 The chart below shows the start date of any instances where investment in the FTSE 1 6 Year Deposit Plan would have only resulted in a return of capital, with no additional return: FTSE 1 Index Starting Level Mar 1997 Sept 797 instances of 1984 199 22 24 26 28 21 212 214 Final for backtesting FTSE 1 Index Source of Index Data: Bloomberg. 9

Deposit Plans FTSE 1 4 Year Deposit Plan This product has a term of 4 years. At maturity, if the FTSE 1 is greater than its starting level, this product pays a fixed coupon. If the FTSE 1 is below its starting level, this product returns capital with no additional return. The table below shows the number of occasions on which an investment in this product would have resulted in either a positive return, or a return of capital with no additional return. Positive Return 5119 73.52% Return of Capital Only 1844 26.48% Total number of tests 6963 The chart below shows the start date of any instances where investment in the FTSE 1 4 Year Deposit Plan would have only resulted in a return of capital, with no additional return: FTSE 1 Index Starting Level Oct 1997 Sept 21 946 instances of Nov 24 Aug 28 898 instances of 1984 199 22 24 26 28 21 212 214 Final for backtesting FTSE 1 Index Source of FTSE 1 Index Data: Bloomberg. 1

For more information visit www.investecstructuredproducts.com For technical help call 27 597 465 Follow us @garydaleisp Investec Structured Products The Plans referred to herein are not sponsored, endorsed, or promoted by the index providers, and the index providers bear no liability with respect to any such Plans or any index on which such Plans are based. The prospectus and relevant Plan brochure contains a more detailed description of the limited relationship the index providers have with the license and any related products. Investec Structured Products is a trading name of Investec Bank plc. Investec Bank plc (Reg. no. 48964) is authorised by the Prudential Regulation Authority and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority and the Prudential Regulation Authority and a member of the London Stock Exchange. Registered at 2 Gresham Street, London EC2V 7QP. 317487/TAL715